Germany's kicking everyone's ass on the testing front. They have more cases but also fewer death. I always thought more testing would lower the death rate. I was thinking 1% was the best bet, but after looking at Germany it might even be lower. But don't let that get us into a false sense of security. The scary part of this is everything we know is still based on anecdotal evidence so far. The most alarming statistic, IMO, isn't the death rate. This could end up having a death rate similar to the flu. The most alarming statistic is the the hospitalization stat. With the flu, your chances of being hospitalized is 1%, with COVID-19 it's anywhere from 15 to 20%. Yikes. That's up to 20 time the amount of people seeking care, which will be devastating.
The things is, in that scenario, if 10, 20, 50% or more got infected, then the economy would be shut down anyway to the degree of infections. The virus problem would be much more prolonged, & dealing with it more like cutting a cancer out a bit at a time over a number of operations. Better to operate once & remove the thing all at once.
Also way more people would become infected, hence more deaths, more ill health, loss of quality of life, & therefore probably overall damage to the economy in the long run.
Then there is the possibility of the longer the virus thrives & the more it spreads, the greater chance of it mutating into something else that has to be dealt with, something even worse.
What makes them immune? Did someone invent a vaccine?
"Researchers do know that reinfection is an issue with the four seasonal coronaviruses that cause about 10 to 30 percent of common colds. These coronaviruses seem to be able to sicken people again and again, even though people have been exposed to them since childhood."
https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsa...y-after-recovering-from-a-case-of-coronavirus
"It's also possible that, for some reason, the body's immune response to seasonal coronaviruses is just not that robust or that something about the infection itself may inhibit the body's ability to develop long-term immunity.
"Maybe the antibodies are not protective and that is why, even though they are present, they don't work very well," says Frieman.
The other known human coronaviruses, SARS and MERS, can cause more severe disease, and basically nothing is known about the possibility of reinfection with those viruses."
https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsa...y-after-recovering-from-a-case-of-coronavirus
"Maybe the antibodies are not protective and that is why, even though they are present, they don't work very well," says Frieman.
The other known human coronaviruses, SARS and MERS, can cause more severe disease, and basically nothing is known about the possibility of reinfection with those viruses."
https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsa...y-after-recovering-from-a-case-of-coronavirus
