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Wisconsin Primary - Republican Winner
Tue 4/5401 Ted Cruz wins Wisconsin Primary -650
6:00AM402 Field wins Wisconsin Primary +420

2016 Primary Forecasts

The odds and polls for presidential primaries and caucuses, updated daily.

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UPDATED 5:22 PM EDT | MAR 31, 2016
v Wisconsin Republican primary





According to our latest polls-plus forecast, Ted Cruz has an 89% chance of winning the Wisconsin primary.


 

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Ce5zvtRVAAA0fax.jpg
 

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Cherry picking outlier polls again, not a suprise. Latest poll 3/28/ thru 3/29 with almost twice as many
responders than the Marquette obvious outlier poll. Three of last four polls have it a virtual tie in Wisconsin;
that is Cruz +1, Trump +2 & Cruz +1 and you are touting Marquette Poll pollsters a 'Tabernacles of Wisdom'

PPP (D)*3/28 - 3/29768 LV3.5 Cruz 38 Trump 37 Kasich 17[COLOR= ] Cruz +1[/COLOR]
Hmm. There's another "outlier" When the "Outliers" become the common result, what do you have left?

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoECruzTrumpKasichSpread
RCP Average3/19 - 3/30----36.532.721.0Cruz +3.8
FOX Business3/28 - 3/30742 LV3.5423219Cruz +10
PPP (D)*3/28 - 3/29768 LV3.5383717Cruz +1
Marquette3/24 - 3/28471 LV5.8403021Cruz +10
0ptimus (R)*3/22 - 3/246182 LV1.1273129Trump +2
Emerson3/20 - 3/22439 LV4.6363519Cruz +1
Free Beacon (R)3/19 - 3/20500 LV4.4363121Cruz +5

Wisconsin Primary - Republican Winner
Tue 4/5401 Ted Cruz wins Wisconsin Primary -810
6:00AM402 Field wins Wisconsin Primary +470

Republican Presidential Nominee - Republican National Convention
Mon 7/18901 Donald Trump is Republican Nominee -140
8:00AM902 Field wins Republican Nomination +120
Mon 7/18903 Ted Cruz is Republican Nominee +360
8:00AM904 Field wins Republican Nomination -450
Mon 7/18905 John Kasich is Republican Nominee +560
8:00AM906 Field wins Republican Nomination -1080
Mon 7/18907 Paul Ryan is Republican Nominee +1500
8:00AM908 Field wins Republican Nomination -4500

Tue 11/8103 Donald Trump wins Election +515
8:00AM104 Field wins Presidential Election -730

 

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Cherry picking outlier polls again, not a suprise. Latest poll 3/28/ thru 3/29 with almost twice as many
responders than the Marquette obvious outlier poll. Three of last four polls have it a virtual tie in Wisconsin;
that is Cruz +1, Trump +2 & Cruz +1 and you are touting Marquette Poll pollsters a 'Tabernacles of Wisdom'

PPP (D)*3/28 - 3/29768 LV3.5 Cruz 38 Trump 37 Kasich 17[COLOR= ] Cruz +1[/COLOR]

See post # 2683.

Stay down, son, stay down...kth)(&^:pointer:azzkick(&^Loser!@#0:laughingb
 

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Bravo for Assad – he is a vile tyrant but he has saved Palmyra from Isil

The Syrian regime, with military help from Russia, is succeeding where the West has failed



"It has been Putin who with a ruthless clarity has come to the defence of his client, and helped to turn the tide."



By Boris Johnson

9:00PM BST 27 Mar 2016



I suppose it is bizarre to feel such joy at the military success of one of the vilest regimes on earth. But I cannot conceal my elation as the news comes in from Palmyra and it is reported that the Syrian army is genuinely back in control of the entire Unesco site.

There may be booby traps in the ruins, but the terrorists are at last on the run. Hooray, I say. Bravo – and keep going. Yes, I know. Assad is a monster, a dictator. He barrel-bombs his own people. His jails are full of tortured opponents. He and his father ruled for generations by the application of terror and violence – and yet there are at least two reasons why any sane person should feel a sense of satisfaction at what Assad’s troops have accomplished.




The first is that no matter how repulsive the Assad regime may be – and it is – their opponents in Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (Isil) are far, far worse. These are the people who have carved out this foul statelet in the desert, this dark star whose tractor beam of evil has sucked in so many pathetic would-be jihadists from Britain and other countries in western Europe. These are the nutjobs whose hideous ideology expressed itself again last week at Zaventem airport and Maelbeek metro station.

They somehow claim a religious justification for the murder and maiming of hundreds of innocent civilians. Assad’s regime may be thuggish and brutal and callous and evil in its own way. But these people are warped and sick almost beyond belief. They burn people alive – simply for holding to a slightly different version of Islam. They throw gays off cliffs or out of windows. They put their opponents in cages and then lower those cages into swimming pools, all filmed to the accompaniment of their droning music and their pompous commentary.





They are engaged in what can only be called genocide of the poor Yazidis (though for some baffling reason the Foreign Office still hesitates to use the term genocide). They are a threat to our security in Europe; they are a nightmare for the people of Syria. If ever a group of terrorists deserved to be wiped off the face of the Earth, to be expunged from the roll of the human race – that group is Isil.
And then there is a second reason why I rejoice at the news from Palmyra – and although I am aware that for many people this is a very secondary consideration, it is, for me, of deep emotional importance. The victory of Assad is a victory for archaeology, a victory for all those who care about the ancient monuments of one of the most amazing cultural sites on Earth. The monsters of Isil were not just content to murder anyone who refused to accept their barbaric version of Islam. They were so small, so narrow, so stunted in their understanding of the will of God that they regarded any pre-Islamic building or structure – no matter how beautiful – as being somehow a blasphemy. They have mined, bombed and demolished some of the most sublime buildings in the world. They took the devoted curator of the site, Khaled al-Assad, and punished him for his scholarship by killing him in the amphitheatre.
Palmyra2_3601253b.jpg
Syrian regime forces gather at a palace complex on the western edge of Palmyra

The period in which Isil has held Palmyra – now almost a year – has been a moral and cultural catastrophe. And yes, that is why I am glad that they have been driven from the site.
On April 19, we in London will show our solidarity with Palmyra by erecting in Trafalgar Square a digitally reproduced copy of the 15-metre gateway of the Temple of Bel. The project is being led by the Institute of Digital Archaeology, and it is a joint venture with Harvard, Oxford and Dubai’s Museum of the Future.
It will not be perfect. It will not be made of the same pinkish-golden stone of that original temple gateway, which Isil has blown to atoms. It will be made of resin. But it will still look amazing, and it will symbolise our collective determination – across the world – to put this ghastly epoch behind us, and to remember that for almost 2,000 years there was a willingness on the part of every conqueror who came to Palmyra to enjoy the architecture for what it was.
That temple was sacred once to Bel; then it was a church in the Byzantine period; and then it was a mosque. No one, until these sickos, thought to destroy it. I am glad the gateway will be going up in London, because I hope it will also be a sign of our British determination to be useful in the reconstruction of the country.
It is alas very hard to claim that the success of the Assad forces is a result of any particular British or indeed Western policy. How could it be? We rightly loathe his regime and what it stands for, and for the last few years we have been engaged in an entirely honourable mission to build an opposition to Assad that was not composed simply of Isil. That effort has not worked, not so far.
It has been Putin who with a ruthless clarity has come to the defence of his client, and helped to turn the tide. If reports are to be believed, the Russians have not only been engaged in air strikes against Assad’s opponents, but have been seen on the ground as well. If Putin’s troops have helped winkle the maniacs from Palmyra, then (it pains me to admit) that is very much to the credit of the Russians. They have made the West look ineffective; and so now is the time for us to make amends, and to play to our strengths.
We have some of the greatest archaeological experts in the world. I hope that the Government will fund them to go to Syria and help the work of restoration. It is far cheaper than bombing, and more likely to lead to long-term tourism and economic prosperity. One day Syria’s future will be glorious, but that will partly depend on the world’s ability to enjoy its glorious past. British experts should be at the forefront of the project.
 

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Hmm. There's another "outlier" When the "Outliers" become the common result, what do you have left?

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoECruzTrumpKasichSpread
RCP Average3/19 - 3/30----36.532.721.0Cruz +3.8
FOX Business3/28 - 3/30742 LV3.5423219Cruz +10
PPP (D)*3/28 - 3/29768 LV3.5383717Cruz +1
Marquette3/24 - 3/28471 LV5.8403021Cruz +10
0ptimus (R)*3/22 - 3/246182 LV1.1273129Trump +2
Emerson3/20 - 3/22439 LV4.6363519Cruz +1
Free Beacon (R)3/19 - 3/20500 LV4.4363121Cruz +5

Wisconsin Primary - Republican Winner
Tue 4/5401 Ted Cruz wins Wisconsin Primary -810
6:00AM402 Field wins Wisconsin Primary +470

Republican Presidential Nominee - Republican National Convention
Mon 7/18901 Donald Trump is Republican Nominee -140
8:00AM902 Field wins Republican Nomination +120
Mon 7/18903 Ted Cruz is Republican Nominee +360
8:00AM904 Field wins Republican Nomination -450
Mon 7/18905 John Kasich is Republican Nominee +560
8:00AM906 Field wins Republican Nomination -1080
Mon 7/18907 Paul Ryan is Republican Nominee +1500
8:00AM908 Field wins Republican Nomination -4500

Tue 11/8103 Donald Trump wins Election +515
8:00AM104 Field wins Presidential Election -730



It's established, you despise Trump but i'm of the opinion that if you had to choose between Trump & Cruz
as difficult as it would be you'd pull the lever for Trump.
 

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Pictured: Syrian army on the ground as they continue to retake historic city of Palmyra from ISIS after massive offensive as Iraqi forces advance on Mosul


  • Syrian army is pictured on the ground as they retake Palmyra from ISIS
  • Russian military announced death of special forces officer near Palmyra
  • ISIS captured the ancient city of Palmyra in May 2015 from Syrian forces
  • The terror organisation began blowing up the area's historic monuments
  • Russian jets have been pounding ISIS positions in the area for weeks
 

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6:53PM GMT 18 Mar 2016


Russian aircraft will contine to fly tens of missions a day against targets in Syria despite a pull out of forces announced by Vladimir Putin earlier this week, military officials in Moscow have said.

Russian airstrikes are supporting a regime offensive against the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (Isil) around the ancient city of Palmyra, generals said on Friday, in an apparent signal that the Kremlin will not relinquish direct military support for Bashar Assad despite pulling out the bulk of its forces in Syria.

"Conditions have been created for the encirclement and definitive defeat of Isil armed formations in Palmyra,” Lt. Gen. Sergei Rudskoi, the head of Russia’s National Defence Control Centre, told journalists at a briefing in Moscow.

"Government troops and patriotic forces with the support of the Russian air force are carrying out a large-scale operation to liberate Palmyra," he said. "On average Russian planes are flying 20 to 25 combat sorties each day.”

Isil, which seized control of Palmyra in May last year, is not party to a ceasefire between regime forces and most rebel groups that came into force on February 27.




Russian President Vladimir Putin and Syrian President Bashar al-Assad meet at the Kremlin in Moscow back in October last year
The announcement came as the terror group claimed to have killed five Russian soldiers fighting alongside regime troops near the city.
"The soldiers of the caliphate, by the grace of God, have killed five Russian soldiers and six members" of the Syrian army, as well as Hezbollah fighters, Isil said in a statement earlier on Friday.
A website linked to Isil, Aamaq, published a video showing the bloodied corpse of a man in military gear that it claimed was a Russian military advisor.
"Four of the Russian soldiers were killed in Qasr al-Halabat west of Palmyra during an attempt to storm the area that IS forces foiled, while the advisor whose corpse was shown in a video distributed by the agency died (Thursday) in the Dawa area," Aamaq claimed.
The footage also showed equipment apparent taken from the body, including a customised AK-74 rifle and a military first aid kit.



Lt. Gen. Rudskoi did not address the terror group’s claims. Maj. Gen. Igor Konashenkov, the chief spokesman for the ministry of defence, declined to comment when asked to respond to the claim.
Although Russia has not formally acknowledged sending ground forces into combat in Syria, it is widely believed to have deployed armour, artillery, and special forces alongside Syrian regime troops.
Vladimir Putin appeared to tacitly acknowledge that when he publicly decorated Maj. Gen. Yuri Yarovitsky, the deputy commander of the First Tank Army of Russia’s Western Military District, at a welcome home ceremony for veterans of the Syrian expedition in the Kremlin on Thursday.
Mr Putin also appeared to refer to the family of a previously unacknowledged casualty of the conflict, which would bring the number of Russian soldiers known to have been killed since the intervention began to five.
Russia launched a five-month bombing campaign in support of Bashar Assad’s beleaguered government forces on September 30 last year.
Mr Putin announced the formal end to the mission in Syria on Monday, and ordered “most” of the contingent there home by the end of the week.
 

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