Hilarious TRUMP Lovers

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[h=2]The Indian-American attorney who is part of the 1% (50, Illinois)[/h]
[h=2]‘It’s a very economics-driven decision’[/h]I’m an Indian-American male and moved to the US with my parents when I was three in 1968. I’m presently an attorney with an engineering background and am in the top 0.5-0.6% of income earners and top 1% in terms of assets.
A Trump presidency would mean to me a return to a US where immigrants came to this country in measured amounts, and who could substantially contribute to the economy and to society. There was no chain immigration, so those who came were well qualified, earned as much as their American counterparts, and lived in a much better ordered society.
Cheap immigrant/HB1 visa labor is killing the standard of living for Americans, leading to general unhappiness and dissatisfaction. It’s a very economics-driven decision for me. For my parents, who are in their 70s and 80s, it is as well. They were Democrats until now. Even though we are all well off, we see that the loss in standard of living is dragging down the entire country. Money may not cure all ills, but it certainly helps.
 

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'Take it to the bank!' Trump has a 97 percent chance of beating Hillary in the general election says college professor who is 'almost certain' the Donald WILL be the next U.S. president




  • Professor Helmut Norpoth’s statistical modeling gives Trump a 97 percent chance of beating Clinton in November - if he's the GOP nominee





  • He'd have an even better shot against Bernie Sanders - 99 percent





  • Norpoth's model has accurately predicted the winner of every national election since 1912, The Statesman reports, except the election of 1960


You keep posting this stupid shit like it actually MEANS something-meanwhile, you weren't even able to tell the difference between charged with a crime and being convicted of one. I noticed you STFU pretty quickly in the other thread when I bitched slapped your claim that Frump's thug wasn't actually arrested, lol.
 

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Funny how you Mind Numbed Drumpfettes tout polls when they're in your favor as the be all and end all, and totally dismiss them when they show a different picture. No Surprise.
Hey NB, how about Drumpf wanting to punish women for having an abortion, being in favor of Japan and South Korea, and Saudi Arabia getting Nukes, and not taking Nuking Europe off the table. I bet you're proud. I hope the idiot wasn't spouting such nonsense when you guys were picking up Co-eds in the 70's on the Upper East Side.

Why is it that I have to remind you that while the nominations are still in doubt those
candidate vs. candidate polls mean actually nothing. They are the so-called polls you
get giddy about.

On the other hand the Wisconsin poll where the voting begins within a week that shows
Cruz ahead by a hair although I hate to view them are relevant, I reluctantly concede that
point. But please refrain from getting all giddy about general election polls more than 7 months
away, your aware enough to know they mean nothing until the candidates are selected.
 

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Why is it that I have to remind you that while the nominations are still in doubt those
candidate vs. candidate polls mean actually nothing. They are the so-called polls you
get giddy about.

On the other hand the Wisconsin poll where the voting begins within a week that shows
Cruz ahead by a hair although I hate to view them are relevant, I reluctantly concede that
point. But please refrain from getting all giddy about general election polls more than 7 months
away, your aware enough to know they mean nothing until the candidates are selected.
It's your guy that talks endlessly about Polls, and that if you're leading the polls, your #winning. So if you're getting blasted in the General election polls you're #losing.
 

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The Primary Model

(2016)

87%-99% Certain Trump Will Be President

Primaries Predict Election Winner -- Cycle Also Favors GOP —Forecast Model Batting 5 for 5 (since 1996)Helmut Norpoth


It is 87% to 99% certain that Donald Trump will win the presidential election on November 8, 2016; 87% if running against Hillary Clinton, 99% if against Bernie Sanders.
These predictions come from primarymodel.com

It is a statistical model that relies on presidential primaries and an election cycle as predictors of the vote in the general election.

Winning the early primaries is a major key for electoral victory in November. Trump won the Republican primaries in both New Hampshire and the South Carolina while Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders split the Democratic primaries in those states.

What favors the GOP in 2016 as well, no matter if Trump is the nominee or any other Republican, is the cycle of presidential elections. After two terms of Democrat Barack Obama in the White House the electoral pendulum is poised to swing to the GOP this year.


1456939963787




In a match-up between the Republican primary winner and each of the Democratic contenders, Donald Trump is predicted to defeat Hillary Clinton by 52.5% to 47.5% of the two-party vote. He would defeat Bernie Sanders by 57.7% to 42.3%.

For the record, the PRIMARY MODEL, with slight modifications, has correctly predicted the winner of the popular vote in all five presidential elections since it was introduced in 1996. In recent elections the forecast has been issued as early as January of the election year.

Presidential elections going back as far as 1912 are used to estimate the weight of primary performance. It was in 1912 that presidential primaries were introduced. That year the candidate who won his party’s primary vote, Woodrow Wilson, went on to defeat the candidate who lost his party’s primary vote, William Howard Taft. As a rule, the candidate with the stronger primary performance wins against the candidate with the weaker primary performance. For elections from 1912 to 2012 the PRIMARY MODEL picks the winner, albeit retroactively, every time except in 1960.



1456940076553




For elections prior to 1952 all primaries were included. Beginning in 1952, only the New Hampshire Primary has been used, as a rule. South Carolina has been added to gauge primary performance this year. Hillary Clinton enjoys strong support in a large group of voters, African-Americans, who are few in numbers in New Hampshire. Her combined performance in New Hampshire and South Carolina gives her a higher primary score than Sanders. As a result, in the general election Clinton fares less badly against Trump than does Sanders.

An earlier forecast, which garnered much notoriety, predicted a Trump victory over Clinton with 97% certainty. That prediction was made before the Democratic primary in South Carolina was held and relied on polling reports for that state. Clinton wound up beating Sanders by a much bigger margin than was indicated by pre-primary polls. Still, it is 87% certain that Trump will defeat Clinton in November.

It is possible, of course, that the Republican Party will not nominate Trump as its presidential candidate. If the nomination were to go to Marco Rubio instead the PRIMARY MODEL would predict:

It is 86% certain that Hillary Clinton will defeat Marco Rubio. Clinton will get 52.4% and Rubio 47.6% of the two party vote.

According to the model, Ted Cruz or any other candidate (except Trump) would fare the same way against Clinton.

In the event that the Democrats nominate Bernie Sanders instead of Hillary Clinton, while the GOP nominates Marco Rubio, the PRIMARY MODEL would predict:

It is 89% certain that Marco Rubio will defeat Bernie Sanders. Rubio will get 52.8% and Sanders 47.2% of the two party vote.

According to the model, Ted Cruz or any other candidate (except Trump) would fare the same way against Sanders.

 

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http://www.kxlf.com/story/31608569/donald-trumps-3-positions-on-abortion-in-3-hours

ROTFLMAO!!!! Herr Frump makes Mitt "Flip Flop" Romney look like Harry "The Buck Stops HERE!" Truman...

Posted: Mar 31, 2016 5:47 AM PST Updated: Mar 31, 2016 5:48 AM PST Donald Trump's 3 positions on abortion in 3 hours

By CNN





Donald Trump sought to clarify, walk back, then seemingly reverse his position on punishing women who seek abortion procedures -- should they be legally banned -- over the course of a few hours Wednesday.
Here's what he said about it in just one day:
'Some form of punishment'

The GOP presidential front-runner's mad scramble began a little after he told MSNBC's Chris Matthews that abortion, if outlawed, should carry "some form of punishment."
When Matthews asked if that penalty should apply specifically to the woman, Trump replied: "Yes."
But he didn't elaborate on its nature except to say that men should not be held responsible.
The backlash was fast, angry and bipartisan.
Dawn Laguens from the Planned Parenthood Action Fund called Trump "flat-out dangerous," while Bernie Sanders ("Shameful") and Hillary Clinton ("Horrific and telling") tweeted their condemnations.
On the GOP side, John Kasich and Ted Cruz, who both favor strict anti-abortion laws, criticized Trump from the right, with the Texas senator accusing him of having damaged the cause, saying the billionaire "demonstrated that he hasn't seriously thought through the issues."
'This issue is unclear'

Trump spokeswoman Hope Hicks sent in a statement from Trump to reporters: "This issue is unclear and should be put back into the states for determination. Like Ronald Reagan, I am pro-life with exceptions, which I have outlined numerous times."
Criticism, though, continued to come.
'The woman is a victim'

By a little before 5 p.m., Trump released another explanation -- marking an almost complete about-face.
"If Congress were to pass legislation making abortion illegal and the federal courts upheld this legislation, or any state were permitted to ban abortion under state and federal law, the doctor or any other person performing this illegal act upon a woman would be held legally responsible, not the woman," Trump said in a statement.
"The woman is a victim in this case as is the life in her womb," Trump said. "My position has not changed -- like Ronald Reagan, I am pro-life with exceptions."


Whatta candidate, and whatta party: this Mutt, and, arguably, the most disliked member of Congress in the top two slots, too funny...What Super Beetle Juice ignore this and continue to post his dumb fucking pictures...
 

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Drumpf's his new cock to suck after Putin ran away from Syria. Guy is scarily obsessed.

Do you really want to paint it like Putin ran away from Syria? You know better. Putin's intervention turned the tide for Assad and ISIS is on the run. Also, Russia has gained intl influence since it became involved and is now being sought after by other nations looking to purchase military hardware:
Russia, Despite Draw Down, Shipping More to Syria than Removing

Syrian Campaign Pays Off as Moscow Lands Military Contracts
 

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Do you really want to paint it like Putin ran away from Syria? You know better. Putin's intervention turned the tide for Assad and ISIS is on the run. Also, Russia has gained intl influence since it became involved and is now being sought after by other nations looking to purchase military hardware:
Russia, Despite Draw Down, Shipping More to Syria than Removing

Syrian Campaign Pays Off as Moscow Lands Military Contracts
It turned the tide for Assad. Any harm to ISIS is/was just ancillary. I think you know this.
http://www.businessinsider.com/5-huge-myths-about-russias-military-intervention-in-syria-2015-11
 

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It's your guy that talks endlessly about Polls, and that if you're leading the polls, your #winning. So if you're getting blasted in the General election polls you're #losing.

Trump as a person has more advantages than all the other candidates & on the other hand has more
disadvantages than the rest of them. Face the facts Kasich has a sliver of pure Kasich backers as does
Cruz the rest of their voters are anti-Trump voters with no real allegiance to either Kasich or Cruz.

Another advantage not necessarily assigned to Trump 'girth of being' is his competitors. Kasich is as
none interesting as a candidate can be still competing on the basis of one victory a 'favorite son' victory at that.
Cruz on the other hand is one peculiar person, A walking personality disorder called even by a college roomate,
Trump has to consider himself lucky coming out of a 17 man field with these two being the only ones left to beat.
 

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