Here's what I've grabbed for this afternoon's game with some thoughts...
Winnepeg/Toronto under 51.5 (1.5 units -110) (Grabbed upon line openings at 5Dimes)
Winnepeg over 22 (1 unit -110)
Winnepeg over 11 1st half (1.5 units +100)
Winnepeg (+1.5) 1st quarter (0.5 units -115)
Winnepeg (ml) @ Toronto (1 unit +270)
Bunch of people think the Argos are in a BAD spot today... real bad... Once again, I'm putting up a bunch of plays that I think put myself in a decent spot to be in a "one or the other" situation, and I think I'm in a spot where it's quite possible to take the whole ordeal.
First on under. Toronto's tired. We all know Toronto's tired. And they have to be physically drained putting forth their best effort @ Montreal. Allen and Avery both looked very strong for the Argos, though the defense had some holes in it.
From Winnepeg's standpoint... there has been 9 days since the Bombers last outing, and they've been cover happy of late. Glenn seems to have found stride once again with the Bombers, and these guys aren't as much of a mess on defense as one would like to think after getting thrashed by Saskatchewan earlier in the year. This is the same team that with Tee Martin at the helm maybe should have beaten Calgary a few weeks back, and that Stamps team is vastly improved as well. Winnepeg is coming up on a stretch of the schedule that they can really make a move on if they keep momentum from last week going. Catching Toronto on short rest off of a very emotionally draining game, travelling to Calgary, hosting Hamilton, and hosting Ottawa, followed by trips to Hamilton and Saskatchewan. Be very careful with this Bomber team... Very very careful.
If I lose the under on this game, I likely lose it because of Winnepeg's offense. That being said, my wager on this game would essentially be complete if Toronto stayed under 30. Seeing how they haven't done that with the exception of this past week at Montreal, I can certainly hope that the Bombers can hold them under that total. If they do, my worst case is losing about 2 units. But in a game like this that points could really be at a premium for, I'll take the 1.5 start in the 1st 15 minutes and then hope that the Bombers take advantage of a tiring Toronto team as the game goes on. The play on the Bombers 1st quarter is sort of progressive. I can see the Argos simply coming out flat, or dying as the game goes on. Odds have it if the Bombers cover the 1st quarter, I won't be playing on them in the 2nd half, but if they don't cover the 1st quarter, likelihood says that I'll be playing again on the Bombers 2nd half. The more I've thought about this, the more I'm gonna go with Joe Public's rare dog in the Bombers to keep the momentum from Montreal going.