BlueWolf--
Winnipeg's biggest problem this year has been Tee Martin's inability to make things happen on offense. He's out, and the original starting QB slated to start the year is back in the saddle for the Blue Bombers. I expect either the Bombers to come out shooting offensive, or to totally just get killed. Yes, there's a chance of a backdoor cover, but I believe by these three bets, I'm really minimizing risk and maximizing potential profit by my logic on this game. My worst nightmare with this is Montreal to jump out like 17-0 in the first half and then end up winning the game like 17-13. If Montreal comes out of the gate fast enough, I'll be guaranteed either over or the Montreal victory by at least 2 TDs. If Winnipeg reaches 11 in the first half, they're probably gonna get the over... just a matter of how many Montreal can score then.
Hope that helps in my logic... I'd go Bombers over the team total and under the total points if I were you, though. Figure the Bombers can score 21, be over the total, and the game still go under, but it's less likely that Montreal wins by 3 or 4 TDs on the road with the Bombers contributing just under their total to get to the over... I think you'll cover yourself just fine, and what you're betting juice on is Montreal not getting to 40 or so on the Bombers...