Guru's Golden Picks: CFL Experiment Week 3

Search

Member
Joined
Mar 8, 2005
Messages
1,777
Tokens
I'm guessing that team one wins the toss and defers. Team two takes the ball. Team one then elects to go into the wind first.
 

You play... to win... the game
Joined
Dec 3, 2004
Messages
8,249
Tokens
Calgary should be alright here... Stamps up 7 with a couple minutes left in the 3rd quarter. Great kick there by the Calgary kicker into the wind. Winnepeg in big trouble with only 2:00 left of wind on their side.

What's up with the "Jumbotron" penalty??? Something about it being illegal to use electronics to stimulate the crowd??? What BS...

Anyway Scott, here's the rule on it and my interpretation on the ruling... correct me if I'm wrong...

The captain of the team having first choice at the start of the first half shall choose between...

a) kicking off or receiving the kickoff, or
b) which end of the field to defend

The captain of the other team shall have the first choice at the start of the second half

So if I'm reading this right, this means that Calgary won the toss, giving them first option. Because Winnepeg was getting first choice in the 2nd half, Calgary, and any team that wins the toss, must take the ball to start the game. Winnepeg chose the wind in the 2nd quarter, which makes sense. Winnepeg then had to take the ball to start the 2nd half, meaning Calgary got to choose which way they were going, and obviously they took the wind in the 4th quarter.
 

Member
Joined
Mar 8, 2005
Messages
1,777
Tokens
"Calgary should be alright here," huh?


That's what I thought about Montreal and Saskatchewan last week.
 

You play... to win... the game
Joined
Dec 3, 2004
Messages
8,249
Tokens
Hey Scott, no worries my friend! You can blame me for curses and jinxes all you'd like, but I know you remember the last time karma set in for me, right?

AFL Week 14 or so... I had just written a little piece on here about teams scoring bullsh^t TDs at the end of games to earn some positioning on tiebreakers because of the big mess shaping up in the National Conference.

And you remember what happened in New York, right? I was on New York and you were on Philly +7.5... New York was up 6 or something like that at the end of the game and threw for a TD on the last play, landing me Aaron Garcia over in the TDs + INTs, as well as an over play or a 2nd half or something like that.

Or you'd prefer to not talk about that... lol... Just yanking your chains my friend.
 

Member
Joined
Mar 8, 2005
Messages
1,777
Tokens
I'd like to yank Garcia's head off for that. PHL had just returned a ko for a TD with 4 seconds left to "cover" that game. Yeah, sure they did. I won't forget that one.
 

You play... to win... the game
Joined
Dec 3, 2004
Messages
8,249
Tokens
Haha... Well, at least I didn't get the :finger: .... look at it this way... one of our records is about to be dashed... Hopefully the good karma man will help us secure a cover...

:dancefool
 

Member
Joined
Mar 8, 2005
Messages
1,777
Tokens
Since I didn't bet this game right away and take CAL -2 and waited and got CAL -3, you KNOW this game will land 2.
 

You play... to win... the game
Joined
Dec 3, 2004
Messages
8,249
Tokens
Or 3... lol... but yes, 2 would be MUCH worse... CFL live scoring is down and my radio coverage is VERY in and out at this point... getting 4 or 5 words at a time here.
 

Member
Joined
Mar 8, 2005
Messages
1,777
Tokens
Glad that game wasn't on TV. UGLY. One TD, on a blocked punt. I was gonna watch the replay on the dish at 3pm tomorrow but I think I would fall asleep.
 

You play... to win... the game
Joined
Dec 3, 2004
Messages
8,249
Tokens
Scott, is this game over? Talking on the phone at the moment and lost the radio coverage of the game... Last I heard the game was 21-12 and the Bombers were driving.
 

Member
Joined
Mar 8, 2005
Messages
1,777
Tokens
BC will score more points in the first half tomorrow night than Calgary and Loseipeg scored the entire night tonight.
 

Member
Joined
Mar 8, 2005
Messages
1,777
Tokens
It's over. I think it was called due to lack of interest. MAN, that was ugly. Apparently Loseipeg had 2nd and 10 from their own 12 or so and a guy DROPPED what the CAL announcers said was a SURE TD. Would have been 98 yards. He just DROPPED it. Right in front of his own bench. I will watch THAT play on the replay on the dish tomorrow, but not the first 57 minutes or so.
 

You play... to win... the game
Joined
Dec 3, 2004
Messages
8,249
Tokens
See Scott? What did I tell you? No problem my man. :party:

Very nice night indeed...

Calgary (1st quarter ml) @ Losipeg W (+1 unit)
Calgary (1st half ml) @ Losipeg W (+1 unit)

Calgary (-3) @ Losipeg W (+3 units)


ATS: 5-1 (+9.30 units)
Totals: 1-1 (-0.03 units)
Moneylines: 2-2 (0.00 units)
1st half: 2-1 (+1.48 units)
2nd half: 2-1 (+2.87 units)
Overall: 12-6 (+13.62 units)

Rather than playing solely on Montreal for the game, I am going to play very small on the Alouettes for the full 60 minutes, but slightly larger in the 1st half, as it appears that they are much more prepared to play the 1st halves of games (2-0 ATS) than the 2nd halves (0-2 ATS). Even though history and logic suggests that at some point, the Alouettes will put a decent GAME together instead of a half.... I'll take my chances with a winning game on the 1st half instead of getting snakebit by a back-door prone team. Of note though in this game... Montreal has the worst defense of any decent team this year in terms of points per game and points per 2nd half, while Edmonton ranks tops in the former category... might lead for an interesting over play in the 2nd half, but we shall see what the game brings through 2 quarters.

Montreal (1st half ml) vs. Edmonton (1.5 units -127)
Monreal (-3.5) vs. Edmonton (1 unit +100)

In the other game my play is over and will be under across the board. Ottawa's offense has been wildly inconsistent from quarter to quarter and half to half... look at the 2nd half against Montreal last week! BC has a small sample set of which to choose from, that being a 27-20 defeat of the Argos away. Many people think this BC team is legit once again this year, and I for one, am not one to argue with this. But I have a hard time laying 14.5 points in a CFL game, despite the fact that this season that particular number has been covered 3 times... historically speaking, this is an incredibly difficult number to defeat... but then again, this Ottawa team is THAT bad...

But Kerry Joseph seemed to find a bit of a stride in the 4th quarter against Montreal, and the hope is that some of that momentum carries over. Yes, that was at home, and yes, that was in a very heated game where momentum carried them to victory, but I made mention at the start of the season that this Ottawa team had a bunch of offensive talent. BC scores points in bunches, as over half of their home games eclipsed 60 points last season... expect much of the same once again this year. My hope here is that Ottawa finds a bit of an offensive stride and that BC does their best to keep a backdoor cover/comeback attempt from happening. Ottawa knows the only team they've never defeated lies in BC and will be looking to kill that statement tomorrow night, albeit highly unlikely. But over the total? It's a bunch of points to get to, but I don't think these teams are going to have a problem, particularly if the Gades can throw 2 offensive TDs together and keep Kerry Joseph off of his back. Also of note in terms of percentages here... over plays this year in the CFL are 3-6, with 2 of those wins being in Ottawa games... This is just one of these games, as one of my buddies has told me in the past... "When you find a game you really like, attack it from all angles"...

British Columbia vs. Ottawa over 10.5 (1st quarter) (1.5 units -108)
British Columbia vs. Ottawa over 29.5 (1st half) (2 units -105)
British Columbia vs. Ottawa over 58.5 (1.5 units -107)
 

You play... to win... the game
Joined
Dec 3, 2004
Messages
8,249
Tokens
Thanks Sharky... Just hope I get the chance to listen to all of the games this weekend... Sounds like by Saturday night I might be headed for a shelter because of this damn hurricane floating around. Florida State is way too close to the water to be taking chances with category 3+ hurricanes anywhere nearby.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
8,652
Tokens
Sorry to hear that GURU, hopefully things don't get to rough out there. Be safe out there.
 

You play... to win... the game
Joined
Dec 3, 2004
Messages
8,249
Tokens
For the first time all year, I have a CFL game of television! Got the Als and Eskimos tonight... Get 'em Alouettes tonight!
 

Gabriel Morency Rules!!
Joined
Oct 18, 2004
Messages
3,927
Tokens
Als defence just brutal on that 1st drive.going to be a long night I'm afraid:monsters- :sad3:
 

You play... to win... the game
Joined
Dec 3, 2004
Messages
8,249
Tokens
Nice of the Montreal defense to show up in the 1st quarter of this game... how nuts... great first "bettors first CFL game"... Als down 14-0 after 1...
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,118,927
Messages
13,561,600
Members
100,711
Latest member
credihealth
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com