Guru's Golden Picks: Arena Week 7

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You play... to win... the game
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Okay, Saberkitties... you think you can let the measley two minutes roll off the clock BEFORE scoring your next TD....
 

You play... to win... the game
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would also be nice if Grieb could throw an incompletion at some point....
 

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Thanks Mark.... 1 incompletion and you get to the 2nd quarter... and it takes 9 seconds to score 7 points... I don't like the way this game is going for me... Looks great for you Tommy... craptastic for me...
 

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Holy Cow , Went To Get A Cup Of Coffee And 2 More Scores On The Board. Going Over Me Thinks.
 

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Great, 2 plays and 2 TDs in the quarter... just craptastic.... can we PLEASE get a 5 minute scoring drive now instead of a 5 second scoring drive...
 

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At least that took some time... hope this is how the half somehow ends... sorry I abandoned you there Tommy... I'm headed to bed...
 

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Woken up by my damn boss from work... anyway, I see going into the 4th Sabercats by 19 and only 71 points. Looking good for us all.
 

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and another Philly turnover... Looking good folks. Let's melt some clock (oh yeah, get to 100 if you'd like, but stay under 107 to say I beat the closing number too).
 

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Saberkitties vs. Philly under 113.5 W (+1.90 units)

I'm gonna drop this in the win column even though there's 4 minutes left... Kitties have the ball up 52-26 in what proved to be an extremely easy game... SJ and the under. Everyone that jumped over... sorry... But pretty much what I thought was gonna happen happened in this one. The Kitties offense couldn't be stopped (1 fumble and 1 FG were the only stops) and the defense was great (26 points, 3 turnovers... no more needed). Mark Grieb came out like a house on fire starting 10 for 10 and never looked back despite very mediocre numbers. Still, the team cracks 50 again, and it sure as hell looks like this Sabercats team is here to stay again, with a ton of home games still to play. Don't wanna see these guys on the schedule anywhere right now. Glad the Preds are done with 'em... at least I know if I see them again, it'll be in the Arena Bowl. Recap attached.

--AFLGuru:toast:

YTD...

Against the opening line: 15-7
Against that same closing line: 12-8-1

Sides Record: 9-9 (+3.94 units)
Totals Record: 13-4 (+21.78 units)
Parlays: 1-2 (+0.55 units)
2nd half: 2-3 (-1.87 units)
Teasers: 0-1 (-3 units)
Props: 1-3 (-2.48 units)

Composite Record

YTD: 26-22 (54.2%)
Net: +18.92 units

Units Wagered: 123 units
Units Won: 18.92 units
Net %: 15.4% profit per unit wagered
 

You play... to win... the game
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Yeah, when Nick Rolovich enters the game, it's time to celebrate...

:party:
 

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Wow, you could have 14 point teased Philly and 35 point teased the over and lost both halves... I figured this would be under the number, but 52-26 Saberkitties is ridiculous. Take it and run though... take it and run. You realize how rarely one team outscores the other in ALL FOUR QUARTERS?!?!?!?! I mean, I can see it if you outscore them 2 quarters and go even for two quarters, but to beat them by at least 3 in every quarter is pretty embarassing. This Philly team is pretty bad... and this San Jose team is legit.

--AFLGuru:toast:
 

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Saturday card...

Las Vegas (-1) @ Columbus (5 units)
Las Vegas @ Columbus under 90 and 96 (2.5 total units)

Georgia (+6.5) @ New York (4 units)
Colorado (-6.5) @ Nashville (4 units)
Nashville over 41.5 points (1.5 units)

Also need a couple of these games over 100 points to give us a shot on Sunday of picking up the rest.
 

You play... to win... the game
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Philyaw starting... sorry Scott, forgot to mention that yesterday when I found out.
 

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Pretty sure Douglas played last week, right? Anyways, I don't even see him on the injury report, so I guess he's good to go.
 

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CONGRATS TO YOU AND ME LAST NIGHT ON OUR BLOW OUT WINS. LOOKING OVER THE STATS FROM THAT GAME I SEE GRAZIANI HAD A BAD GAME BUT THE DEFENSE GAVE UP AND IS AVERAGING 4 YDS PER RUSH . THIS MAKES ME THINK THAT IN THE RED ZONE THEY HAVE TROUBLE STOPPING ANYONE THEY PLAY.


AFTER FIRING THE COACH THIS TEAM SEEMED TO GO IN THE TANK AND I'M WONDERING IF GRAZIANI IS REGRETTING GOING THERE. PHILLY IS A TOUGH TOWN TO PLAY IN , THEY WILL BOO YA AT THE DROP OF A HAT . THIS TEAM MAY HAVE NO HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE FOR THE REST OF THE SEASON.

THEIR NEXT GAME AT HOME vs TB WILL BE THE KEY TO THE REST OF THE SEASON . IF THEY LOSE I'LL BE LOOKING TO GO AGAINST THEM UNTIL THEY TURN IT AROUND.

WHAT'S YOUR FEELINGS HERE????
 

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Philly is the 4th worst team in the AFL... there's my opinion.

Lol... I've been saying this all year. Graziani is going to be worth a couple wins for them. And so far, he has. That game against Nashville they would've lost if Browder or Hammel were the QB like last year. But the truth of the matter says the line still sucks (I believe still only 1 sack and Graziani has had a ton of pressure on him all year), the WRs are overrated (Smith is great, Scott is okay, but there's no one else), and the kicking game sucks... Schoerjs is terrible. And until they get a good coach in there, that team is going nowhere fast. Look at what Dailey did in Colorado... that team isn't THAT good. Lots of no name guys making names for themselves in his system. Might be the smartest coach in the AFL short of Marcum.

That being said, Tampa's routing Philly next week, especially if they get a game from Arizona this week.

--AFLGuru:toast:
 

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