Guru's Golden Picks: Arena League Week 11

[AFLGuru]

I would've felt better getting another half point on the 2nd half line, so if you can find 56 or 56.5 somewhere, it's the right call. Colorado even now at 4 is good.

 

[AFLGuru]

Still taking shots here with these system plays. New York will likely get the ball first. Small play here...

New York (+1.5) @ LA 1st half (1.5 units -105)

 

[AFLGuru]

Sh*t, Philly just picked off Dutton and almost took it to the house. Philly takes over... now we're in bad shape.

 

[AFLGuru]

Don't like the way either of these games are going. Philly is blanketing Harrell, making Dutton find another option. They'd better get this figured out while the defense is on the field, because they scored, but it was an ugly possession. Also, Chicago is constantly facing 3rd down against San Jose... so I'm not liking either of these games right now...

Chicago 34 - SJ 33 with Chicago knocking on the doorstep
Colorado 49 - Philly 42, Philly about to get the ball back

 

[AFLGuru]

41-33 Chicago

 

[AFLGuru]

Colorado ball after a Smith fumble!

 

[AFLGuru]

Philly's hot... they got screwed. Smith recovered the fumble and ball changed hands several times underneath I guess. Regardless, a personal foul puts Colorado in great shape to put the lead back out to 2 TDs.

 

[AFLGuru]

Massive run by Rich Young leaping over everyone for the score. Crush back up 2 scores. A stop here would all but put the game away. Bad news: Graziani hasn't thrown a pass yet in this quarter and we're 2/3 of the way through it.

 

[AFLGuru]

More bad news... LA started with the ball... I guess it's okay for now if they just go back and forth for awhile. We'll see what happens.

 

[AFLGuru]

I've counted 4 personal fouls this quarter in this Colorado/Philly game. Philly moving in to score. Graz over should be easy.

 

[AFLGuru]

Crush lead to 7, but the hex has been placed... Haden "Hasn't been a missed extra point yet." Translation: Clay Rush misses a PAT on Colorado's next score. LA missed the PAT, which could bode large for us at the end of this half. 18 completions for Graziani.

 

[AFLGuru]

CHICAGO INT! Rush take over up 8 trying to put a gap between themselves and SJ

 

[AFLGuru]

TD Crush... blown coverage by Philly left McKenzie wide open. Both DBs covered Harrell. 63-49

 

[AFLGuru]

Philyaw picked off... Philly about to score... bad post...

 

[AFLGuru]

Crush have Philly in 4th and goal... game could be this play.

 

[AFLGuru]

HELD! Colorado takes over! HUGE stop for the D full of energy. NO doubt they're getting in the end zone VERY quick on this next drive to put it away!

 

[AFLGuru]

And Chicago gets the ball back!

 

[AFLGuru]

And New York gets a stop! Man when things go good, they go good.

 

[AFLGuru]

Chicago MIGHT be able to run the clock out here... that'd be huge.

 

[AFLGuru]

3 bad plays for Colorado going for it on 4th down.... don't know why to be honest with you... but they are... 4th and 3

GOT IT! 1st down Crush