Greek Picks

[JackDee]

panathinaikos 1/1 in.
olympiakos easy over, 1-3.

a nice parley win of +1.78 * 2.5 units (-0.35 cover) = +4.1 units, sweet.

as for the doubles parley so far olympiakos is in, while the other three are pushes, so if aek does not fvck us up here(were losing 2-0 on the 15th but currently on the 31st are 2-2, and missing some good chances to take the lead), we are in for +0.32*0.75*3, +0.36*0.75*3, +*0.75 = + another 2.13 units.(and just 1 loss in 15 bets placed this weekend, and a whole lot of pushes too, lol.)

but for the time being

Ytd +7.06 units.

(about fvcking time we go into double digits i say...)

 

[JackDee]

so if aek does not fvck us up here(were losing 2-0 on the 15th but currently on the 31st are 2-2, and missing some good chances to take the lead), we are in for +0.32*0.75*3, +0.36*0.75*3, +*0.75 = + another 2.13 units.(and just 1 loss in 15 bets placed this weekend, and a whole lot of pushes too, lol.)

Aek came through, and with what a score 2-7, i d say it was well worth the 1.3something chalk.

ytd moves to:

Ytd +9.19 units (could 've been much much better, but what the hell, it's a + regardless)

 

[chriscol]

great run, jack. keep them coming

 

[JackDee]

thanks chris.

will be posting my selections later today or early (gmt) on saturday.

bol.

jack.

 

[JackDee]

Actually, here's one preliminary selection, it's a parlay.

Aek to win over Proodeftiki at 1.2
Olympiakos pk over panathinaikos 1.4

1.68 combined odds for 2.25 units.

 

[winbet]

Jack, +9.19 units sounds criminal considering the work you put in. Hope you get the rewards you deserve.

 

[JackDee]

thanks win. i sure hope so myself.

An insane handicap line out at pinnacle for the Proodeftiki - Aek game. -2,2.5 at 1.926. I will honour it with 2 units and 0.25 units cover on the 3-0 exact score.

Aek has only managed a 2+ goal win twice (3-0 and last weeks 2-7) with lowest two teams in the greek league, and proodeftiki have only lost with 2+ goals twice, having won away at league leaders olympiakos. Aek is showing some signs of recovery, and are in good form, hence i ll use them as a "banker" for my parley, but a 2+ goal difference is a another matter. The only way aek can manage this is if they score earlier than about the 30th minute, and mind you, proodeftiki is a tough defensive team. What is more important here is that aek's defense is at best unreliable, key left winger georgatos (arguably aek's best player so far, and top scorer) is out of the squad and looking for a trasfer to rivals olympiakos. To make matters worse talented key attacker lymberopoulos suffered a strained ankle in yesterdays training so aek's coach will be forced to experiment with mediocre nailitzis and goalless so far in league games okkas in attack. In short, i see aek winning this one one way or the other, but i reckon a 3 goals victory here has much less chances than 50%, and therefore a winning bet is possibly in the making.

 

[JackDee]

btw, it's implied but i didn't mention it directly, my bet is on Proodeftiki +2,2.5 at 1.92.

 

[JackDee]

after a lot of consideration i ll be adding another couple of bets for the local derby olympiakos v. panathinaikos, game starts in about 25-30 minutes, sorry for the late post.

Haltime fulltime x/1 0.75 units.

Olympiakos -1 three way handicap 0.75 units at 3.4
Olympiakos -1 draw three way handicap at 3.4 for 0.5 units.

And i am taking a shot at a bet i don't usually try: (always good to expand the repertoire a bit if profitable.)

More goals second half at 1.95 for 1.25 units.

[This message was edited by JackDee on November 22, 2003 at 11:52 AM.]

 

[JackDee]

btw aek game just ended at 3-0, good thing i covered my bet with the 3-0 exact at 9 hence which i thought was the only distinct possibility for a score in case my handicap bet lost, so no harm no foul. As expected aek was good for a win, but that 3-0 was a rather fortunate result in terms of the goal difference. Pity too, that proodeftiki striker wasted a sure goal in front of an goalkeeper-less aek net, to give us the (half) win, but there you have it, that's football.

 

[chriscol]

thx anyway. just took the hdc..but it's this kind of day for me.
keep them coming

 

[JackDee]

sorry for that chris, i too dropped a couple of more units in the greek derby, but, like you said, it was that type of day.
Hopefully today will prove more profitable.

 

[JackDee]

First two games for today.

Kalithea - Paniliakos
Draw at 3.2 for 1.25 units.
Under at 1.95 for 1 unit

Ionikos - Akratitos
Draw at 3.3 for 1 units.
Under at 1.65 for 1 unit.
Halftime Draw at 2.05 for 0.75 units.

 

[JackDee]

next one in order

Aris - Panionios
Draw at 3.2 for 0.75 units.
Halftime Draw at 2 for 0.75 units.
Under at 1.71 for 1 unit.

 

[JackDee]

Aigaleo - Chalchidona
Under at 1.85 for 1 unit.
Aigaleo at 1.7 for 1 unit.

Ofi - Xanthi
Draw at 3.4 for 0.75 units.

Paok - Iraklis
Under at 1.95 for 1 unit.
Paok at 1.7 for 1.25 units.

 

[JackDee]

i can't believe i am losing two clear 2-0 unders, turn 2-1 overs with goals on the 92+ minute, as well as a halftime draw with a goal scored on the 43rd to make it 1-0, but that's betting...

 

[JackDee]

I ve dropped 4.35 units so far this weekend.

2 games and three bets pending.

 

[JackDee]

at least i was right on the money about the paok game, all in all i dropped about 3 units the weekend, will calculate the exact ytd some other time, in a hurry now to post a great bet i ve found for the uefa games barcelona-panionios. A lot of books out there have got a sweet 1.6 price on the ng bets, in other words panionios (or barca) to not score, this is a gift, panionios can't score in greece against horrible defences and their coach is looking to buy strikers this december, why do they stand a chance to score at camp nou? They don't imo, and hence i rate this as a possibly lucrative 2 unit bet.
Also. I can't not honour the over bet in the panathinaikos v. man. u. game, with panathinaikos weakened defence due to injuries, with no defesive player to take care of bussiness up high with a header, and coach sum playing the 4-4-2, with first leg game at 5-0, and panathinaikos going down 1-3 against stutgard here a few weeks ago, i can't, like said, not honour the over at a gift price of 1.98 courtesy of the good folks at pinnacle for 1.75 units, and put something down (0.25 units) on the 0-2 exact score which i see as the next more possible score.

bol guys, have a good cl winning day, and enjoy some great football too.

 

[JackDee]

adding man u -3.5 at 3.3 for 0.5 units.

 

[JackDee]

Three Games started a few minutes ago, so no other use posting my selections, than for record keeping consistency. Thus for these three i am on Proodeftiki under for 1.25 units at 1.65, the draw at 3.2 for 1 unit, iraklis at 1.35 for 2 units, Xanthi kalithea over at 1.9 for 1.25 units.

In half an hour or so i ll post the rest of my bets, after reviewing lattest news on line ups, weather conditions, formations, etc. etc.