ULL at Kansas State...KSU is coming off a very dull performance at Louisville on national television. And ULL is coming off of two good performances against Kent St. and then two weeks ago took Illinois to the wire. But I have problems with the situational angle for ULL here. They have to go out on the road once again to play a BCS team, and then go directly into league play on the road the next week. So I have a feeling this game is not going to have this team's full attention.. ULL also hasn't faced a good passing QB like Freeman this year. And it's going to make their defense play back more. Unlike what they had to do against primary rushing teams like Kent and Ill. This should open up the run game for KSU, which was pretty much nonexistent last week against Louisville. ULL is just giving up too many yards on defense this season (460 a game) to recommend covering on the road. And they have a TO margin of -4. So KSU will probably get one or two easy scores in this game. The Cats needs to get their stuff together before Big 12 play with Texas Tech next week. And the best way to regroup is to put the hammer down on the Ragin' Cajuns...I don't see Freeman having two bad games in a row..Especially when he'll get plenty of time to pick apart the ULL defense..KSU is a different team in Manhattan and will be too tough here. Taking KSU (-20.5) over ULL ***
TT....I don't see ULL being the running dogs here because they give up almost 300 ypg rushing themselves. If KSU rushes for 130 yards or more here they should be able to outrush ULL. And I think they'll easily get to this number. ULL's rushing numbers are a bit tainted because they had 400 yards rushing against Kent St. last week in only their third game of the season. But against a BCS team Illinois the week before they rushed for only 87 yards....They may get to 125 yards or so here because they are primarily a rush team. But not much more than that imo....Good luck
Great Find with KSU GS. When I mean great find I mean nice angle.
GS settle a little argument between myself and a local sharp concerning Texas vs OU coming up in a couple weeks. We both do lines for games (he more so than myself) and I'm not going to say who came up with each of these lines but you tell me what line do you think is closer to what the line will be (if that makes any sense).
OU -4
OU -7
GS settle a little argument between myself and a local sharp concerning Texas vs OU coming up in a couple weeks. We both do lines for games (he more so than myself) and I'm not going to say who came up with each of these lines but you tell me what line do you think is closer to what the line will be (if that makes any sense).
OU -4
OU -7
If the lines were being set right now, I would say 7 is the closest number. But part of this is still public perception. OU is perceived as a team who is unstoppable right now, and is going to put up 50 points a game on everybody. Although the Sooners haven't played what I consider a top 25 team yet. They will this week. Those numbers could change after this game..TCU will be the best defense that OU faces all year. And that probably includes Texas. But if Texas continues to win big and OU possibly struggles in this game, that number could go down to closer to 4.
I had the 7 for the reasons you've mentioned. I'm on TCU already and will probably add more if the line does what I think I will.
I concur 4/5 will probably be the line if OKL struggles on Saturday as I think they will.
While the media and fans (I'm a little to blame haha) hype Bama @ GA (for good reason) I think TCU @ OKL might end up stealing the show on Saturday.
Thanks for your two cents GS
If it's not closer to 8.5 by gametime, everyone should wager their mortgage on the Sooners. Texas will be crippled by the loss of Blaine Irby (Tight End), who broke his knee Theisman style this past weekend. This is setting up a la 2001, 66-13 type of game. Not positive on the year or score, but you get my drift.
jb...OU-Texas has been very close series since after World War 2. There isn't ever as much talent gap as you think between the teams. OU was 12 points favorites last season and looked like clearly the better team. But the Sooners were lucky to get out of there with a win, much less a cover..So let's cross that road when we get to it. Circumstances can change on a dime. And at this point we really have no idea what the line will be. Keep in mind that OU suffered a big loss of their own with DL Demarcus Granger. He's was the number one DL in the nation coming out of highschool in 2005. And he was probably OU's best lineman...Big loss.
it would be -4 maybe -4.5, possibly -3.5
they play on a neutral field.
Texas has allowed 33, OU 38
Texas has scored 146, OU 164
Texas is allowing about 100 more yards per game, but their rushing allowed per game is very close. OU has played slightly better competition with a stress to slightly b/c OU had Chattanooga. I doubt if OU is favored by a touchdown even if UT loses at Colorado.
I don't disagree with any of this. But I never get ahead of myself when it comes to lines...I'm sure the linesmakers have acceess to the same numbers we do. And probably more..Whatever the number is, I ALWAYS assume that the linemakers set the line right..It's up to us to find an edge either way on a spread.
Possible Money Maker
Correct me if i am wrong. Penn State is 4-0 ATS this year.
I do not recall a team going 12-0 ATS for a season.
I am thinking put 1 unit on Illinois this week and if it loses go against Penn State on thier next game and and go 2 units against them. so on and so on until you cash.....
odds are you will cash soon...... Thoughts ????
Correct me if i am wrong. Penn State is 4-0 ATS this year.
I do not recall a team going 12-0 ATS for a season.
I am thinking put 1 unit on Illinois this week and if it loses go against Penn State on thier next game and and go 2 units against them. so on and so on until you cash.....
odds are you will cash soon...... Thoughts ????
