There's no doubt that Nebraska is improving on offense. Their also looking to get to a bowl game in Pelini's first year. So with OU and Kansas on board, this game will have the Huskers undivided attention to get to 5 wins on the season. Baylor's bowl hopes are pretty much gone with Mizzou, Texas and Texas Tech left on their schedule. So Nebraska has much more to play for in this game..Baylor is also a thin team on defense..And in recent years they had a tendency to fold up their tents after half the season is over..They just don't have the horses on defense to keep up with the high powered Big 12 offenses.
GoSooners, You turned me on to Tulsa earlier this season. Any thoughts on Sunday night? Looking at the stats, Central Fla seems to have an ok D, but a bad O. Maybe a revenge angle for Tulsa? Central Fla beat them twice last year, but I think Tulsa turned the ball over 7 times in those games. 23 a lot of points, but after seeing them score 77 last week, I want to take them again. GL this week and as always look forward to your write ups.
I hear what your saying...But the only thing that's starting to bother me about Tulsa is their making headlines and beginning to lose some of their line value...I liked them more when they were 10-18 point favorites more than what they are now at close to 4 TD's. I also think UCF is a little better team than they appear...The only game they got blown out in was to UTEP...But UCF turned the ball over 6 times in that game, had a fumble returned for a TD and had a punt blocked. Otherwise, they've had a much better strength of schedule than Tulsa in having to play Miami, Boston College and South Florida..Three BCS teams..Tulsa hasn't played any this year. HUGE difference. UCF has only played two conference games. So nobody knows exactly how good they are..I know they beat SMU alot easier than Tulsa did. Plus they gave Miami a good game last week. As high as I've been on Tulsa, I would be real hesitant to bet against UCF getting this many points in this game.
Go sooners,
I was way off on Mizzou last week as well. What do you think about Missouri -22 vs Colo. I think it is going to be a blow out. It seems like MU freaks out against the big boys (OU, UT) but always destroys the average Big 12 teams. I dont think Colorado has the offense to put up many points even against MU pathetic D. Plus it is a statement game for the the tigers at home. I believe Mu scores at will and I love betting on this offense.
I was way off on Mizzou last week as well. What do you think about Missouri -22 vs Colo. I think it is going to be a blow out. It seems like MU freaks out against the big boys (OU, UT) but always destroys the average Big 12 teams. I dont think Colorado has the offense to put up many points even against MU pathetic D. Plus it is a statement game for the the tigers at home. I believe Mu scores at will and I love betting on this offense.
Colorado at Missouri...Mizzou has had a rough go of it the last couple games..But I just don't see them laying another egg here..Especially against a CU team who can't get out of their own way on offense. The KSU-CU game was ugly last week. Hawkins is looking like he don't know what to do with his QB situation..He's stuck between using his more expereinced son and using his freshman QB Ballenger..Ballenger is the better athlete who is a dual threat running and passing. But he's also very mistake prone, and doesn't know all of the playbook well enough to run the offense on a full time basis.. And Cody Hawkins basically hasn't been able to move this team down the field since the first 5 minutes of the West Virginia game over a month ago. I don't see things improving at all this week, because if CU can only score 14 points at home against the worst defensive team in the Big 12, their not going to do anything on the road against Mizzou. Mizzou is still very much in the hunt for the Big 12 North Division. So they still have something to play for..That's why I don't see a letdown here..CU has a decent defense. But they haven't showed me enough on offense to cover this spread. Mizzou shouldn't have to score many here to cover...I'm thinking it's going to be a 35-10 type of game. Much like what Kansas did to CU a couple weeks ago...Taking Mizzou (-22) over Colorado **
do you think that texas can run the table.. i personally like okl st this year i think they are for real this year and everyone should watch out for them but then again the big 12 is loaded this year i would like to see a good big 12 vs sec champ game btw your best bets are money this year and i thank you for those winners and keep up the great work and love hearing what you have to say bout your games
Yes i think Texas can run the table. But I also think they could lose two more games...It's going to be close..None of the rest of these games are going to be as easy as the Missouri game was..OSU presents a whole new set of problems for Texas..The one thing I'll be looking for in that game is if Orakpo and the Texas defense can stop the OSU run game..This will be the key in my opinion to OSU having success and possibly pulling off an upset. But I can tell you that OSU always gives Texas fits..And it never seems to matter what kind of records either team has..It's always a barnburner with these teams.
Texas Tech at Kansas...A game between two high powered offenses. And even though Tech rates the better offense on paper, they haven't played the good pass defenses that Kansas has. In fact, Kansas has played the much better strength of schedule with their opponents having a win/loss record of 24-17 while Texas Tech has played the much easier schedule of teams with a total win/loss record of 15-21..Not counting the two Division 2 opponents they've played..That's right I said two! Kansas has two losses..But my bet is if Tech had to play USF and OU on the road they would also have two losses. These are two very evenly matched teams. But Kansas is the home team, which gives them the advantage here. Under Leach, Tech has consistently been terrible on the road against quality opponents. And most of it has to do with their defense. Or lack of it..This year Tech is rated just #104 in pass defense. And they really haven't played anybody yet who has even had a sniff of the top 25. They will this week. It should be a great game. But if Reesing can throw for 350 yards on the road against OU, they can do it at home against Tech..I also like the way RB Sharp is coming on for Kansas (104 yards rushing on 12 carries against OU). I'm taking the home team..But this should be a very close game..Taking Kansas for a small play...Kansas (-1) over Texas Tech *
Baylor at Nebraska...The Huskers appear to be coming on in the second half of the year..They've gone to a more true spread offense with 4 and 5 receiver one back sets..And Ganz is starting to get on the same page with his receivers. Baylor has at times been good on offense. QB Griffin is acccounting for about 65% of their offense. But if Nebraska uses the same blueprint as OSU did last week in shutting the Baylor run game down first (31 rushes for 42 yards), and make Griffin beat them through the air, then I think they'll be alright. Griffin has a good percentage/int ratio passing the ball..But most all of his passes are of the short low risk variety. These work well against the weaker teams like ISU and WSU. But against the better teams, Baylor can't keep up. This is usually also the time of year when Baylor starts regressing on defense..They are very thin on that side of the ball..And these high powered Big 12 offenses usually start having their way with them in late Oct/Nov games...Gundy admitted that OSU played an absolutely terrible game on offense last week. And they still easily covered the 17 point spread. Nebraska has everything to play for here..Their big goal is to become bowl eligible in Pelini's first year. Baylor on the other hand has lost all hope of a bowl with Mizzou, Texas and Texas Tech on the horizon..The Huskers have found a good formula on offense and are getting better. The Nebraska O-line will be a big mismatch over the Baylor D-Line. And a thin Baylor team is playing their second road game in a row. I look for Nebraska to win here in a high scoring 42-24 type of game...Taking Nebraska (-11) over Baylor **
Baylor at Nebraska...The Huskers appear to be coming on in the second half of the year..They've gone to a more true spread offense with 4 and 5 receiver one back sets..And Ganz is starting to get on the same page with his receivers. Baylor has at times been good on offense. QB Griffin is acccounting for about 65% of their offense. But if Nebraska uses the same blueprint as OSU did last week in shutting the Baylor run game down first (31 rushes for 42 yards), and make Griffin beat them through the air, then I think they'll be alright. Griffin has a good percentage/int ratio passing the ball..But most all of his passes are of the short low risk variety. These work well against the weaker teams like ISU and WSU. But against the better teams, Baylor can't keep up. This is usually also the time of year when Baylor starts regressing on defense..They are very thin on that side of the ball..And these high powered Big 12 offenses usually start having their way with them in late Oct/Nov games...Gundy admitted that OSU played an absolutely terrible game on offense last week. And they still easily covered the 17 point spread. Nebraska has everything to play for here..Their big goal is to become bowl eligible in Pelini's first year. Baylor on the other hand has lost all hope of a bowl with Mizzou, Texas and Texas Tech on the horizon..The Huskers have found a good formula on offense and are getting better. The Nebraska O-line will be a big mismatch over the Baylor D-Line. And a thin Baylor team is playing their second road game in a row. I look for Nebraska to win here in a high scoring 42-24 type of game...Taking Nebraska (-11) over Baylor **
I think what is really tough for Tech is coming off a rivalry game with the Aggies and then going back on the road again. In a way Kansas is a sandwich game. But Tech will be making a big mistake if they don't bring their A+ game to Kansas..When the Jayhawks play in Lawrence they play like a top 10 team..They are very tough at home...My numbers actually have Tech favored by 4...But I believe the homefield advantage for Kansas combined with the Tech road history makes Kansas the play here whether Tech has Texas next week or not.
The two that I have been looking at so far this week are Kansas and North Carolina. I don't think KU is a better team but we all know about TT on the road. I remember the meltdown at Stillwater last year, it seems like they always just find a way to not get it done on the road, but they haven't looked invincible at home this year either. The one thing that scares me about KU is their defensive line isn't that productive but the LB's are very solid and they will have to be active this week.
