GoSooners Big 12 Plays Of The Week For 10-25

Search

Member
Joined
Oct 16, 2004
Messages
28,799
Tokens
Plays so far:

Texas-OSU (UNDER 71) **
Missouri (-22) over Colorado **
Kansas (-1) over Texas Tech *
Nebraska (-11) over Baylor **
Ga Tech (-12) over Virginia **** (Best Bet)
Purdue (PK) over Minnesota ***
Rutgers (+9.5) over Pitt **
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
577
Tokens
Virginia at Georgia Tech...This has been a tale of two seasons for Virginia. After getting blown out by USC, Duke and UCONN, they've won their last 3 games...But let's take a closer look at their wins..All of the games they won were (1) played at home and (2) bad situational spots for the opposing teams. Maryland was coming off a big win at Clemson. And then playing in their second straight road game.. East Carolina was a non-BCS team going on the road after coming off a very disappointing loss as double digit favorites over Houston. And North Carolina was coming off a big close emotional win over Notre Dame. And had just lost their best offensive player to injury. Virginia's wins all came in good spots against teams in bad spots....On the other side Ga Tech scored a huge win last week under the most adverse conditions, against a team who had just lost their coach, and playing in a very hostile fired up enviornment of Clemson. This team showed me alot in beating Clemson..They lost their lead late in the game, and then came back in the closing minutes to win it. This tells me something about the backbone of this team and coach Johnson..One of the best coaches in the America..I also like the fact that this GT team can win as favorites..They were 7 point favorites earlier this season against Miss St. and 13 point faves against Duke, and easily covered both games..Defense is the name of the game..And GT plays some of the best in the ACC. And then there's that option offense that is so hard to defense..Virginia hasn't seen anything like it this year..What I see is a young team going on the road against the best defense that they've seen this year other than USC. And trying to defend an offense that is averaging 32 ppg against division 1 competetion at home..Virginia has almost identical numbers on offense and defense (actually a little worse) as the Duke team that lost 27-0 to GT at home two weeks ago. And that Duke team had much more overall experience than the Cavs. I can see a similar score here..I also like the fact that the line hasn't moved off of the original number..And this has been the case in almost all of my Best Bets this year. Which makes me feel even better about this play. It's the less obvious games that always look the best to me.. Taking Ga Tech (-12) over Virginia **** (Best Bet)

Valid points. One thing to consider is that Al Groh's teams have a tendency to start the season slow and get stronger late. Cedric Peerman, I believe, did not play when Virginia lost to Duke and UConn. The QB, Vera, has substantially improved and Virginia is not the same team. I like Paul Johnson a lot too. Triple Option can lead to some big plays, but also some turnovers. It is a lot of points. Have to respectively disagree with you on this one. This is a tough spot for GT. For the first time, they are ranked and no longer under the radar. I see a very close game that will be fought tooth and nail.
 

Member
Joined
Oct 16, 2004
Messages
28,799
Tokens
Valid points. One thing to consider is that Al Groh's teams have a tendency to start the season slow and get stronger late. Cedric Peerman, I believe, did not play when Virginia lost to Duke and UConn. The QB, Vera, has substantially improved and Virginia is not the same team. I like Paul Johnson a lot too. Triple Option can lead to some big plays, but also some turnovers. It is a lot of points. Have to respectively disagree with you on this one. This is a tough spot for GT. For the first time, they are ranked and no longer under the radar. I see a very close game that will be fought tooth and nail.
Peerman is good..But he's going to find the yards very tough to come by against this GT defensive front. The best by far that Virginia has faced this season in conference. When they stop the run it's going to put the game on Vera's shoulders. This is where I think Virginia gets in trouble on the road..Ga Tech is now ranked..But they've been the favorites with the lines in their last 3 games, including on the road at Clemson..I actually think we're getting good value here..My numbers have Ga Tech favored by 16.74...Good luck
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
577
Tokens
Peerman is good..But he's going to find the yards very tough to come by against this GT defensive front. The best by far that Virginia has faced this season in conference. When they stop the run it's going to put the game on Vera's shoulders. This is where I think Virginia gets in trouble on the road..Ga Tech is now ranked..But they've been the favorites with the lines in their last 3 games, including on the road at Clemson..I actually think we're getting good value here..My numbers have Ga Tech favored by 16.74...Good luck

You are right that GT defensive front is solid and it is asking a lot for Vera to win the game. I guess what appeals to me is that Virgina is playing emotionally tough football right now. They did not quit last week and I see another gritty performance.
 

Yes...I'm the Best.
Joined
Sep 12, 2007
Messages
1,120
Tokens
Of ALL the Games on the board, we both made Gerogia Tech our strongest play. That can only mean one thing..........Money in the Bank. I caught this game Early, and have been suprised some of the other guys on here have not really talked about it.

Win or lose, there is more value in this game than any other on the board I think. But I have shown those reasons. Anyway, just stopped by too see what you were looking at this week and saw our Best Bets were the same.

Lets cash, Dizzle
 

Member
Joined
Oct 16, 2004
Messages
28,799
Tokens
Rice at Tulane...CUSA games are always tricky to play with close lines because most of the time these teams defenses forget to get off the bus..The team who stays on the bus more often is Rice...Their aim is to outscore their opposition...Period. But in Tulane's case, they are the better running team with the much better defense (#1 in the CUSA in in total D ppg. passing D and sacks). Rice has the second worse defense in the CUSA (allowing 480 ypg) and they are allowing almost 200 ypg rushing (Tulane's strength). Rice is also 11th in the league running the ball. They can't run the ball and can't stop the run. Not a great formula for success on the road against a team like Tulane...It's all a matter of Tulane pounding the ball and keeping Rice's offense off the field..It will probably be a close CUSA game..But I like the hometeam here for all of the reasons above...Taking Tulane (-2) over Rice **
 

Member
Joined
Oct 16, 2004
Messages
28,799
Tokens
Of ALL the Games on the board, we both made Gerogia Tech our strongest play. That can only mean one thing..........Money in the Bank. I caught this game Early, and have been suprised some of the other guys on here have not really talked about it.

Win or lose, there is more value in this game than any other on the board I think. But I have shown those reasons. Anyway, just stopped by too see what you were looking at this week and saw our Best Bets were the same.

Lets cash, Dizzle
Dizzle...I always like it when we're on the same side...BOL this weekend.:toast:
 

Member
Joined
Oct 16, 2004
Messages
28,799
Tokens
Plays so far:

Texas-OSU (UNDER 71) **
Missouri (-22) over Colorado **
Kansas (-1) over Texas Tech *
Nebraska (-11) over Baylor **
Ga Tech (-12) over Virginia **** (Best Bet)
Purdue (PK) over Minnesota ***
Rutgers (+9.5) over Pitt **
Tulane (-2) over Rice **
 

Member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
3,998
Tokens
GoSooners, really like your GT play. Their "D" is what's really impressive, which should easily stuff whatever Virginia has to offer. And you are absolutely right about line movement.

I hope we all cash on this great play. BOL this weekend.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
657
Tokens
GS,
Great write-ups once again. you are such an asset to this sight. Keep up the great work.
I love the Rutgers play. Schiano will have his squad ready, and like usual just when you think (the stach) has his team ready and playing good, he throws up a shit game plan. Pitt also has ND @ ND next week. They will be looking ahead to that game.
Also like your call on Purdue. I think Minny is simply overrated.
BOL, my friend
Muffin:drink:
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2006
Messages
12,479
Tokens
Plays so far:

Texas-OSU (UNDER 71) **
Missouri (-22) over Colorado **
Kansas (-1) over Texas Tech *
Nebraska (-11) over Baylor **
Ga Tech (-12) over Virginia **** (Best Bet)
Purdue (PK) over Minnesota ***
Rutgers (+9.5) over Pitt **
Tulane (-2) over Rice **



Bol my friend & hope all is well ........I have already posted KU in another forum as one of my plays ......gl on the rest of your card ....your as solid as they come over here .:103631605
 

Member
Joined
Oct 16, 2004
Messages
28,799
Tokens
GoSooners, really like your GT play. Their "D" is what's really impressive, which should easily stuff whatever Virginia has to offer. And you are absolutely right about line movement.

I hope we all cash on this great play. BOL this weekend.
Thanks Wormy...Something else about this game...Even though GT is 6-1, they still have to win this game to become bowl eligible because they've played two FCS teams this year..So besides this being a Homecoming week, they'll have some extra incentive to win this game..And Virginia is coming off a hard fought overtime game and now hitting the road for the first time in a month..A good situational angle as well as a technical angle....BOL this weekend.:toast:
 

Member
Joined
Oct 16, 2004
Messages
28,799
Tokens
GS,
Great write-ups once again. you are such an asset to this sight. Keep up the great work.
I love the Rutgers play. Schiano will have his squad ready, and like usual just when you think (the stach) has his team ready and playing good, he throws up a shit game plan. Pitt also has ND @ ND next week. They will be looking ahead to that game.
Also like your call on Purdue. I think Minny is simply overrated.
BOL, my friend
Muffin:drink:
Yeah, I meant to mention the Notre Dame game they have next week. Pitt is starting to play well, which is why this isn't a big play..But I like playing on teams with good fundamentals who play good defense. And Rutgers isn't making any mistakes and beating themselves..Which gives them a decent chance here.
 

Member
Joined
Oct 16, 2004
Messages
28,799
Tokens
Bol my friend & hope all is well ........I have already posted KU in another forum as one of my plays ......gl on the rest of your card ....your as solid as they come over here .:103631605
This is really a big game for Kansas because they can't afford to lose to Tech when they also have Texas coming to town in a couple weeks..You have to protect your home field if you want to win your division..So this is a must-win because I don't see Kansas beating Texas. BOL:toast:
 

New member
Joined
Oct 26, 2005
Messages
1,011
Tokens
As always GS, best of luck this week, Glad to see you on the Skers, hope you are correct. I relly like the attitude Pelini has installed in the team. Night and day from last year with Calahan. Also nice to see the OU-NU game in prime time next week this year. Hopefully it will be somewhat respectable game.
 

New member
Joined
Dec 21, 2004
Messages
191
Tokens
Sooner-
I like GT as well. I coach HS football up here and I have incorporated many of Paul Johnsons schemes(blocking/running the option) Only difference is I run the Midline(freeze) more than the off tackle play-You cant use the exact blocking techniques becuse you cant use cut blocks like college can. One of his coaches(Monken) who coaches the wing backs has been up in these parts and give great lectures on the Zone read/give.
Johnson has been using this offence since his days at Goergia Southenr and has been very successful-I know this doesnt bring any substance to the capping part but I figured I would share.
BTW HS football up here doesnt come close to what you guys have down there.
GL this weekend and I am riding GT with you.
Take care bro-
 

Member
Joined
Oct 16, 2004
Messages
28,799
Tokens
Auburn at West Virginia...This is a game where strength of schedule really comes into play...I've always liked playing SEC teams going out of conference in the middle of the season as dogs...Their winning/covering percentage is very high..Especially against much inferior conferences like the Big East this season..This has really got to be a disappointing season for WV...They were supposed to be a top ten BCS team favored to win the Big East. But right now they are sitting at 4-2 with losses to non-BCS team East Carolina (4-3) and Colorado (4-3). Two very mediocre teams. Something else that this WV team is lacking compared to previous years; they can't score..27 points is the most they've put up against Division 1 opponents. And now their facing one of the best defenses in the country after playing no defense that is ranked above #45. WV has Pat White under the ball..But his problem this year is he has no go-to receivers..So basically everybody is putting 8 and 9 in the box and stop this team without the worry of having a big play threat downfield..Auburn will do the same thing, only better than everybody else has. Auburn has of course struggled on offense this year..But despite these troubles keep this in mind. They haven't lost any game by more than 5 points all year..And these were against some very good SEC defenses that are every bit as good as WV's. Auburn has just come off a much needed bye week where I'm sure Tuberville has gotten his dominoes more in a row on offense. They should have a decent enough gameplan here to get them enough points for the win or cover in what should be a low scoring game...A big coaching mismatch here...Taking Auburn (+3) over West Virginia **
 

CoachLT is my Obi Wan Kenobi
Joined
Oct 13, 2006
Messages
3,343
Tokens
Interesting post GS. I was going to lay off that game, but I think you are right about several things.

What's your take about the return of Pat White and the loss of Blackmon for AU? I'm concerned that White, who is throwing more this year, will be able to move the ball on AU. I think AU's D is good but not as good as year's past.
 

Member
Joined
Oct 16, 2004
Messages
28,799
Tokens
Sooner-
I like GT as well. I coach HS football up here and I have incorporated many of Paul Johnsons schemes(blocking/running the option) Only difference is I run the Midline(freeze) more than the off tackle play-You cant use the exact blocking techniques becuse you cant use cut blocks like college can. One of his coaches(Monken) who coaches the wing backs has been up in these parts and give great lectures on the Zone read/give.
Johnson has been using this offence since his days at Goergia Southenr and has been very successful-I know this doesnt bring any substance to the capping part but I figured I would share.
BTW HS football up here doesnt come close to what you guys have down there.
GL this weekend and I am riding GT with you.
Take care bro-
KC...I've watched this GT team play 3 times this year...And I can tell you that there is nothing I like more in a team than one who plays great funamental football in every phase of the game. And then has a tough attitute on top of that..Their defense really impresses me..They've only allowed 6 TD's scored on them all year. And they are especially tough at home..I also like their +5 turnover margin compare to Virginia's -3. Johnson is a great coach..I've probably made more money on his running dog teams at Navy more than about any other team in the last few years...BOL this weekend.:toast:
 

Member
Joined
Feb 16, 2008
Messages
7,041
Tokens
GS, could you see this GT play being a Dr. Bob play? It looks so good I might better jump on it before his plays come out today I'm thinking?
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,989
Messages
13,575,864
Members
100,889
Latest member
junkerb
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com