Wake Forest @ Boston College
Line: +2.5
This line smells like a trap to me. I just don’t see how Wake is only -2.5 against Boston College. I mean they can’t be this dumb. They have to know they are going to get HAMMERED by Wake money. They seem to be just fine with that. Although, they are inflating the line rapidly so at least it isn’t just frozen at 3 with everyone hammering Wake. It could have just been a bad line but I don’t know. The line is so bad that that’s the only reason I don’t have this as a 7 unit play.
Boston College, as mentioned, has one win to their resume and gets some great credibility. Upsets happen in college basketball, it doesn’t make BC any better or worse. They are still the same team. They are the same team that lost to Harvard at home, Miami at home, @ Saint Louis, and vs. Purdue on a neutral floor. What people fail to realize is that UNC shot 38% from the floor, 31% behind the arc, and 55% from the line. UNC shot 51% before that game from the floor. BC’s defense had nothing to do with it as they had many open looks from 3 point land and inside, just nothing was falling.
BC also has Corey Raji nicked up and I have him as questionable as we speak. The only thing in BC’s favor is that they have owned Wake Forest. They beat them all 4 times rather easily. However, it is safe to say they haven’t been as good as Wake is this year.
Wake has some good wins this year. They beat Baylor in Anaheim (a win I didn’t see coming), broke the country’s longest home winning streak @ BYU, and beat UNC (again in a game UNC shot poorly). However, Teague is the biggest thing in this game. He will no doubt be the best player on the floor and he is much better then I anticipated. He seems to have taken the step to the next level as one of the best players in the country. He had no problem blowing by anyone guarding him in that UNC game.
Rice and Sanders are going to have to lead BC. However, when Rice can’t get to the bucket, no easy task vs. Wake, he seems to recklessly toss up any shot he can get off. This will kill them vs. Wake and he needs to be much more selective. Wake should control the paint and glass. Their bigs really impressed me against UNC. If they do, I don’t see how BC wins. In order for BC to win they must get all the calls, shoot an insane %, catch Wake looking ahead, and somehow shutdown Teague.
Just don’t see it. I may fall into a trap but I have tried to get off of this game a few times and can’t do it.
Wake Forest -2.5 (3 Units)