Chris? You there? Your thoughts on Dortmund -1.5 -130? only 5 goals conceded at home this year.
Dortmund- Köln: Köln +1.5 @ 1.99
i know everything looks so easy for Dortmund..they are dominant league leader, coming of a hugh win at München. Köln has a few key players out in Geromel, Matushyk.
I am not saying that Köln is getting points here, but i think it might be a close game.
Köln is full of confidence. If you look only at the games after winter break you find from 7 games played Dortmund on top with 15 pts, followed by Köln with 14...they welcome back Petit in defensive midfield from suspension for today s game and also regular defensive startet brecko from suspension..that should help the team to slow down Dortmund a bit and destroy their rythm.
With their recent run they will be definetely not shy to attack from a defensive strong position and podolski and Novakovic are always able to score even against the strong Dortmund defense.
Dortmund on the other hand is no doubt the better team, but they have sometime shown problems to put weaker teams away at home, where they struggle somehow to score...away they are far more dangerous and actually have even a better away rec than at home...they have not scored an avarage of 2 goals at home.
if köln scores that could be very well a 2-1 type of game.
it will also not help Dortmund to have the big win at München..i think a lot was focused on that game as the last milestone to take on the way to the championship, so it might be a little bit of a let down spot as well.
Last few Dortmund home games show what i mean..2-0 over terrible st.pauli, 1-1 vs. bottom Stuttgart, 0-0 over then not well playing Schalke.
so be careful, as this game can as well end 2-0 or something and being a loser, but i like the chance for Köln to stay in the game considering the whole setup.
BOL to all