St.Pauli- Frankfurt: Frankfurt pk,+0.5 @ 1.85
i understand the line, but think the wrong team is favoured here. Frankfurt after some struggles beginning of season plays very solid football recently. in league they are coming of a draw vs. Schalke,where they dominated play in 3 wins before that. in midweek they beat Hamburg 5-2 at home. especially away they are a dangerous team winning 3 of 5 games.
St.Pauli is off a surprising good start. But now they are facing some injury problems and if you look closer at their results they got their points vs. teams that are expected on a similar level and playing at bottom half of table. Frankfurt is better than that and in recent form will have a good chance to get a win here, but at least a draw.
Wolfsburg- Stuttgart: Wolfsburg pk,-0.5 @ 1.90 !! 2 units!! and over 3@ 1.79
Wolfsburg is disappointing so far,but looking closer they actually play well but cant finish matches due to some big defenses lappses. they lost at hoem to Mainz 3-4 after having a 3-0 lead and same 2-3 loss to Leverkusen after 2-0 lead. at home they are still a dominant force and after reading a few interviews of players they have now understood situation and will play much more focused and get their act together in league.
Stuttgart is the right team to start that. Stuttgart is even more disappointing having already fired the coach and now everybody seems to relax a bit after last week s 2-0 hoem win over lowly st.pauli (it was actually quite lucky). that win might even let them let down a bit, but still they have only 7 points and only 1 point from 4 away games. big reason to go againstthem is also their injury situation. 3 defender are out injured (Niedermeir, DelPierre, Degen), Marica and Progrebniak (only offensive thread so far) are a late scratch and Gentner, Boulharouz and Tasci jsut came back from injury and will also likely not be available.
especially bad is the suspension of their skipper DelPierre, which is also the reason to go over for me. he missed beginning of season ,resulting in basically all games going over due to chaotic defense (even the Euro-league matches vs. weaker teams). he came back and the teams stabilized a bit, but now the team leader is out again with suspension which is not good against a powerful offense like Wolfsburg.