Mr. Vegas
Free Friday Play from Mr. Vegas: 10/24 10:00 PM NCAAF
(115) OREGON VS (116) CALIFORNIA: Over the total.
So, can each team score 40 points? Maybe even 50! Oregion's offense is rolling and the over is 38-11-2 in the Ducks last 51 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Sonny Sykes and Cal throw all night long and rack up points -- but they give them up too much. The over is 6-2 in the Golden Bears last 8 neutral site games and this shapes up as an offensive show. Play Oregon/Cal Over the total.
Free Friday Play from Mr. Vegas: 10/24 10:00 PM NCAAF
(115) OREGON VS (116) CALIFORNIA: Over the total.
So, can each team score 40 points? Maybe even 50! Oregion's offense is rolling and the over is 38-11-2 in the Ducks last 51 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Sonny Sykes and Cal throw all night long and rack up points -- but they give them up too much. The over is 6-2 in the Golden Bears last 8 neutral site games and this shapes up as an offensive show. Play Oregon/Cal Over the total.
Jim Feist
Comp NBA Pick for Friday, October 24, 2014: 9:05 PM EST
(611) PHOENIX SUNS VS (612) UTAH JAZZ
Take: (612) UTAH JAZZ
Reason: Your free pick for Friday, October 24th comes in NBA action as the Suns and Jazz meet in Utah. Phoenix overachieved last season and it's hard to see this group getting fired up to finish out the preseason. In Jeff Hornacek's first year as the Suns coach last season, Phoenix was the NBA's most improved team. The Suns improved by 23 games, finishing with 48 wins Phoenix plays its third straight road game here and comes off a loss at the Clippers allowing 108 points and 49&% shooting. Phoenix forward T.J. Warren suffered a thumb injury in Tuesday's win against the Lakers and won't play. That game against the Lakers was in OT, so this team is more interested in getting home than playing all out tonight. Utah (5-2) is a hungry young team that has had a strong preseason, off an easy win at Oklahoma City. Utah's Enes Kanter 6-foot-11 center scored 27 points, made 12 of 17 shots and pulled down seven rebounds to help the Jazz defeat the Thunder 105-91 in preseason action. Trey Burke had 23 points, Alec Burks scored 15 and Derrick Favors had 12 points and 15 rebounds for the Jazz, who are 5-2 in the preseason under new coach Quin Snyder after finishing 25-57 last season. They are home from a 4-game road trip and have won their only 2 home preseason games by 19 and 13 points. Play the Utah Jazz.
Comp NBA Pick for Friday, October 24, 2014: 9:05 PM EST
(611) PHOENIX SUNS VS (612) UTAH JAZZ
Take: (612) UTAH JAZZ
Reason: Your free pick for Friday, October 24th comes in NBA action as the Suns and Jazz meet in Utah. Phoenix overachieved last season and it's hard to see this group getting fired up to finish out the preseason. In Jeff Hornacek's first year as the Suns coach last season, Phoenix was the NBA's most improved team. The Suns improved by 23 games, finishing with 48 wins Phoenix plays its third straight road game here and comes off a loss at the Clippers allowing 108 points and 49&% shooting. Phoenix forward T.J. Warren suffered a thumb injury in Tuesday's win against the Lakers and won't play. That game against the Lakers was in OT, so this team is more interested in getting home than playing all out tonight. Utah (5-2) is a hungry young team that has had a strong preseason, off an easy win at Oklahoma City. Utah's Enes Kanter 6-foot-11 center scored 27 points, made 12 of 17 shots and pulled down seven rebounds to help the Jazz defeat the Thunder 105-91 in preseason action. Trey Burke had 23 points, Alec Burks scored 15 and Derrick Favors had 12 points and 15 rebounds for the Jazz, who are 5-2 in the preseason under new coach Quin Snyder after finishing 25-57 last season. They are home from a 4-game road trip and have won their only 2 home preseason games by 19 and 13 points. Play the Utah Jazz.
Jack Jones
South Florida vs. Cincinnati
Jack's Free Pick Friday: Cincinnati -10.5
While the Bearcats have been blown out three times this season, all three of those games came against quality opponents in Ohio State, Memphis and Miami, and two of them came on the road. After that gauntlet of a schedule, playing teams like SMU and South Florida have to feel like a breeze for the Bearcats. I look for them to make easy work of the Bulls at home in this one.
The Bearcats got back in the win column last week with a 41-3 win at hapless SMU. It outgained the Mustangs 508-276 for the game. The defense put forth their best effort of the season in limiting SMU to just a field goal while forcing four turnovers. They held the Mustangs scoreless after the first quarter and cruised to a 38-point victory.
Now Cincinnati returns home, where it has one of the most underrated home-field advantages in the country. The Bearcats have gone 5-1 or better at home in five of the past six seasons. They went 6-0 in 2008, 6-0 in 2009, 5-1 in 2011, 6-1 in 2012 and 5-1 in 2013. So, in those five seasons combined, they sported a 28-3 record at home. They are a completely different animal inside the friendly confines of Paul Brown Stadium.
Despite getting five of their first seven games at home this season, the South Florida Bulls have been blown out by double-digits three times. Their only three wins have come against Western Carolina, Connecticut and Tulsa. One of those teams is an FCS opponent, while the other two are among the worst teams in the FBS. They also only won those three games all by 8 points or fewer.
This Cincinnati offense is putting up big numbers in 2014, averaging 34.3 points and 443.0 yards per game. Gunner Kiel is one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the country. He is completing 59.4 percent of his passes for 1,853 yards with 19 touchdowns against six interceptions. He should have his way with a USF defense that is giving up 29.0 points and 418.3 yards per game.
I just don’t believe that South Florida has the offensive firepower to keep up with Kiel and company in this one. The Bulls are averaging just 21.7 points and 311.3 yards per game to rank 120th out of 128 teams in total offense. That’s really bad when you consider the opponents they have faced thus far are giving up averages of 28.4 points and 400 yards per game.
I believe this line has been set lower than it should be because USF beat Cincinnati 26-20 at home last year. However, a closer look at the box score shows that the Bearcats should have won, but gave it away. They outgained the Bulls 350-241 for the game, but the Bulls got two non-offensive touchdowns on four Cincinnati turnovers, which was the difference in the game. Don’t expect the Bearcats to make the same kind of mistakes at home this time around.
Cincinnati is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games off a game with a turnover margin of +4 or better. The Bulls are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win. South Florida is 8-21 ATS in its last 29 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in its previous game. Cincinnati is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 meetings with South Florida. Bet Cincinnati Friday.
South Florida vs. Cincinnati
Jack's Free Pick Friday: Cincinnati -10.5
While the Bearcats have been blown out three times this season, all three of those games came against quality opponents in Ohio State, Memphis and Miami, and two of them came on the road. After that gauntlet of a schedule, playing teams like SMU and South Florida have to feel like a breeze for the Bearcats. I look for them to make easy work of the Bulls at home in this one.
The Bearcats got back in the win column last week with a 41-3 win at hapless SMU. It outgained the Mustangs 508-276 for the game. The defense put forth their best effort of the season in limiting SMU to just a field goal while forcing four turnovers. They held the Mustangs scoreless after the first quarter and cruised to a 38-point victory.
Now Cincinnati returns home, where it has one of the most underrated home-field advantages in the country. The Bearcats have gone 5-1 or better at home in five of the past six seasons. They went 6-0 in 2008, 6-0 in 2009, 5-1 in 2011, 6-1 in 2012 and 5-1 in 2013. So, in those five seasons combined, they sported a 28-3 record at home. They are a completely different animal inside the friendly confines of Paul Brown Stadium.
Despite getting five of their first seven games at home this season, the South Florida Bulls have been blown out by double-digits three times. Their only three wins have come against Western Carolina, Connecticut and Tulsa. One of those teams is an FCS opponent, while the other two are among the worst teams in the FBS. They also only won those three games all by 8 points or fewer.
This Cincinnati offense is putting up big numbers in 2014, averaging 34.3 points and 443.0 yards per game. Gunner Kiel is one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the country. He is completing 59.4 percent of his passes for 1,853 yards with 19 touchdowns against six interceptions. He should have his way with a USF defense that is giving up 29.0 points and 418.3 yards per game.
I just don’t believe that South Florida has the offensive firepower to keep up with Kiel and company in this one. The Bulls are averaging just 21.7 points and 311.3 yards per game to rank 120th out of 128 teams in total offense. That’s really bad when you consider the opponents they have faced thus far are giving up averages of 28.4 points and 400 yards per game.
I believe this line has been set lower than it should be because USF beat Cincinnati 26-20 at home last year. However, a closer look at the box score shows that the Bearcats should have won, but gave it away. They outgained the Bulls 350-241 for the game, but the Bulls got two non-offensive touchdowns on four Cincinnati turnovers, which was the difference in the game. Don’t expect the Bearcats to make the same kind of mistakes at home this time around.
Cincinnati is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games off a game with a turnover margin of +4 or better. The Bulls are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win. South Florida is 8-21 ATS in its last 29 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in its previous game. Cincinnati is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 meetings with South Florida. Bet Cincinnati Friday.
At the Gate - Friday
By Mike Dempsey
There are just three days remaining in the Belmont Park fall championship meeting, and the jockey title is still very much up for grabs.
Javier Castellano leads with 41 winners from 201 mounts with earnings of $2,940,116, but there are a couple of jockeys nipping on his heels and the title could come down to closing day on Sunday.
Joel Rosario and Irad Ortiz Jr. each have 37 winners. Rosario has just 128 mounts at the meeting, winning at a 29% clip. Ortiz has ridden 195 at the meeting, good for a 19% win clip. Ortiz leads all jockeys in purses with $3,318,064.
On the trainer side, Chad Brown appears to have the title wrapped up with 27 winners from 101 starters, winning at a 27% rate with earnings of $2,595,962. Brown will be busy next week at Santa Anita, as he has pre-entered a dozen runners in the Breeders’ Cup, 10 of those in turf events.
David Jacobson is second in the Belmont Park trainer standings with 20 winners from 80 starters. He has runners in two races on Friday’s card.
We were off the turf again on Thursday and the main tack was sloppy. The weather is on the improve, but I am thinking we may still be off the turf on Friday. Over the final three days of the meeting, 18 of the 30 races are carded for the turf.
We had four winners on top on the nine race card on Thursday, but it was a chalkfest. My top picks paid just $4.60, $6.30, $4.50 and $3.20.
Today’s card has more promise and we have two competitive cards coming up this weekend at Belmont Park to close out the meet. Aqueduct opens next Wednesday.
Here is today’s opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:
BEL Race 1 Clm $40,000N2L (12:50 ET)
9 Verismilitude 3-1
7 Touching My Toes 5-2
10 China Gold 9-2
2 Ballerina Belle 6-5
Analysis: Verismilitude drops in for a tag for the first time and I am assuming we are going to be off the grass today. The filly was a smart looking maiden winner two back on turf at the Spa and last out over a wet track against state bred Alw-1 foes she tried to finish fifth. She ran well in a runner up finish in her debut on the main track at eh Spa behind repeat winner Girlabouttown, who beat state bred Alw-1 foes in her next outing on Aug. 24. Looks like a good spot here tagged for $40,000 and facing non-winners of two.
Touching My Toes returns off nearly a three month break here after getting pulled up last out in the mud going nine furlongs at the Spa. The filly broke her maiden over a sloppy track at the Big A back in March and now makes her first start for the rice barn. The cut back in distance should suit. Rice is 17% winners with newcomers to the barn.
Wagering
WIN: #9 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 7,9 / 2,7,9,10
TRI: 7,9 / 2,7,9,10 / 1,2,7,9,10
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:
BEL Race 8 Alw $77,000N1X (4:27 ET)
8 Monster Mash 8-1
9 Round 2-1
3 Duval 9-2
4 Big Guy Ian 5-1
Analysis: Monster Mash is back on dirt here after coming up the inside with a good late rally to finish in the runner up spot last out over the Tapeta surface at Presque Isle against open allowance foes. He actually drops into an easier spot here facing Alw-1 foes here. His last win came at the Big A on the inner track beating $25,000 non-winners of three. He makes his second start off a 4 1/2 month break here for the Englehart barn. Decent value if he goes off near his 8-1 morning line.
Round was not off cleanly last out getting bumped and forced out and came with a good late rally to finish in the runner up spot in his first go against winners and first go off a three month break. The colt earned a solid fig two back breaking his maiden in his second career start which was off a nine-month layoff. The Mott trainee still looks as if he has a ton of upside and has put in a couple of good works since his last start. Main knock is going to be the light price.
Wagering
WIN: #8 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 8,9 / 3,4,8,9
TRI: 8,9 / 3,4,8,9 / 3,4,5,8,9
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Belmont Park
R3: #9 Whateveryyouwant 10-1
R6: #2 Saint Finian 10-1
R6: #7 Sunbio 10-1
R7: #7 Navy Blue 8-1
R7: #4 Cats Landing 10-1
R8: #8 Monster Mash 8-1
R10: #4 Agent Van Alden 8-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
There are just three days remaining in the Belmont Park fall championship meeting, and the jockey title is still very much up for grabs.
Javier Castellano leads with 41 winners from 201 mounts with earnings of $2,940,116, but there are a couple of jockeys nipping on his heels and the title could come down to closing day on Sunday.
Joel Rosario and Irad Ortiz Jr. each have 37 winners. Rosario has just 128 mounts at the meeting, winning at a 29% clip. Ortiz has ridden 195 at the meeting, good for a 19% win clip. Ortiz leads all jockeys in purses with $3,318,064.
On the trainer side, Chad Brown appears to have the title wrapped up with 27 winners from 101 starters, winning at a 27% rate with earnings of $2,595,962. Brown will be busy next week at Santa Anita, as he has pre-entered a dozen runners in the Breeders’ Cup, 10 of those in turf events.
David Jacobson is second in the Belmont Park trainer standings with 20 winners from 80 starters. He has runners in two races on Friday’s card.
We were off the turf again on Thursday and the main tack was sloppy. The weather is on the improve, but I am thinking we may still be off the turf on Friday. Over the final three days of the meeting, 18 of the 30 races are carded for the turf.
We had four winners on top on the nine race card on Thursday, but it was a chalkfest. My top picks paid just $4.60, $6.30, $4.50 and $3.20.
Today’s card has more promise and we have two competitive cards coming up this weekend at Belmont Park to close out the meet. Aqueduct opens next Wednesday.
Here is today’s opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:
BEL Race 1 Clm $40,000N2L (12:50 ET)
9 Verismilitude 3-1
7 Touching My Toes 5-2
10 China Gold 9-2
2 Ballerina Belle 6-5
Analysis: Verismilitude drops in for a tag for the first time and I am assuming we are going to be off the grass today. The filly was a smart looking maiden winner two back on turf at the Spa and last out over a wet track against state bred Alw-1 foes she tried to finish fifth. She ran well in a runner up finish in her debut on the main track at eh Spa behind repeat winner Girlabouttown, who beat state bred Alw-1 foes in her next outing on Aug. 24. Looks like a good spot here tagged for $40,000 and facing non-winners of two.
Touching My Toes returns off nearly a three month break here after getting pulled up last out in the mud going nine furlongs at the Spa. The filly broke her maiden over a sloppy track at the Big A back in March and now makes her first start for the rice barn. The cut back in distance should suit. Rice is 17% winners with newcomers to the barn.
Wagering
WIN: #9 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 7,9 / 2,7,9,10
TRI: 7,9 / 2,7,9,10 / 1,2,7,9,10
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:
BEL Race 8 Alw $77,000N1X (4:27 ET)
8 Monster Mash 8-1
9 Round 2-1
3 Duval 9-2
4 Big Guy Ian 5-1
Analysis: Monster Mash is back on dirt here after coming up the inside with a good late rally to finish in the runner up spot last out over the Tapeta surface at Presque Isle against open allowance foes. He actually drops into an easier spot here facing Alw-1 foes here. His last win came at the Big A on the inner track beating $25,000 non-winners of three. He makes his second start off a 4 1/2 month break here for the Englehart barn. Decent value if he goes off near his 8-1 morning line.
Round was not off cleanly last out getting bumped and forced out and came with a good late rally to finish in the runner up spot in his first go against winners and first go off a three month break. The colt earned a solid fig two back breaking his maiden in his second career start which was off a nine-month layoff. The Mott trainee still looks as if he has a ton of upside and has put in a couple of good works since his last start. Main knock is going to be the light price.
Wagering
WIN: #8 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 8,9 / 3,4,8,9
TRI: 8,9 / 3,4,8,9 / 3,4,5,8,9
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Belmont Park
R3: #9 Whateveryyouwant 10-1
R6: #2 Saint Finian 10-1
R6: #7 Sunbio 10-1
R7: #7 Navy Blue 8-1
R7: #4 Cats Landing 10-1
R8: #8 Monster Mash 8-1
R10: #4 Agent Van Alden 8-1
Good luck today!
Vernon: Friday 10/24 Analysis
By James Witherite
DRF HARNESS
Best Bet: CENTURION ATM (10th)
Race 1
(6) JL Cruze nearly survived an extended first-over battle last week, leading briefly before Proud Flag struck the front in the closing yards. He’s shown good staying power, and could threaten off a cozier tracking trip tonight. (1)You’re Catching On ships in from the Pennsylvania three-turn miles, finding N4L company at Pocono too tough after beating N3L foes at Philly. She’s scored her two wins on the year from close tracking trips, and her inside draw should enable a similar early position. (4)Laettner hasn’t missed a check in his last seven, struggling to keep up with the dominant Daley Lovin last week. Past efforts show ample staying power, so he’s a logical minor consideration here.
Race 2
(4) Jersey Strong broke on the far turn at Philly last out in her Historic Stake division, but hit the board in five consecutive races prior to that. She was a closing second in the PA Sire Stakes Championships in September, and is well proven so far in her young career. (6)Sweet Thing held clear for a 1:55 3/5 Kindergarten win last week, showing improvement since switching to the two-turn mile. Her chasing 1:54 3/5 effort at Lexington two back shows ample promise. (3)Model Behavior comes in from the Green Acres series at Freehold, earning two wins and two seconds since breaking maiden at Tioga in August. While she moves into a stouter group tonight, she’s got good enough form to factor in the exotics.
Race 3
(6) Allerage Star won her Kindergarten leg two back, recovering from a break to just prevail by way of a :27 3/5 LQ. She looked strong in her pair of Tioga wins, and can reasonably control the terms throughout. (5)Pad Princess chased to hold second in her last three stakes engagements, hitting the board in all but one of her 10 career races. Noting the company she’s faced, she stacks up well in this group, but she’ll need a pressured pace for optimal results. (3)Kaliska broke early in the NY Sire Stakes final in September, but had good fortune in the preliminaries, winning at Monticello and Batavia from pocket trips. A close tracking trip would prove ideal for this $47K Harrisburg purchase.
Race 4
(7) Painite battled gamely in a narrow defeat last week, beaten by the ground-saving Frisky Joe after sustaining a strong first-over bid. If she can stay in contention after that tough trip against just stouter rivals, a cozier one should prove all the better. (1)Canadian Justice drops in class after flattening from the pocket last out, but she’s done well enough against tougher foes earlier in the season. She possesses ample raw speed to factor at this level, and the class drop should enable her a better shot to rally late off a close tracking trip. (8) Choke Hold is back in for the optional $6k tag, collared by Hold On Tightly after making steady progress on the far turn. That effort leaves plenty to like, but he’s tasked with staving off newcomers who drop in from tougher events.
Race 5
(7) Boots N Chains just missed from the pocket in last week’s Kindergarten division, just missing 20-1 shot Dapper Don. Though still a maiden, he’s been no worse than fourth since August, facing nothing but stakes company since. His string of sub-:28 LQs at Lexington are promising. (4)Wheels Ah Smokin comes back off a six-week layoff, fading late in the Wellwood after suffering early traffic trouble. A clearer journey should prove all the more beneficial for the second-time Åke Svanstedt trainee. (1)Broken Record won a Green Acres leg at Freehold by 27-1/2 lengths, but no doubt faces a more seasoned group here. That said, the four-time winner can secure a close early spot and hold enough to round out exotics.
Race 6
(4) Muscle Diamond rallied well from off the pace in his last three efforts, winning at Lexington with a pair of seconds against stakes company prior to that. He made a late kick to score in the Tompkins at Tioga prior to that, and should have no problem riding this strong recent form into tonight’s event. (1)Billy Flynn has been beaten by no worse than a head in 9 career starts, sweeping his Pennsylvania Sire Stakes schedule while also beating Lexington stakes company. With the likelihood of pressure from #5 and #7, the race seems to shape up better for a tracker-stalker, but there’s plenty to like about this earner of $331K already. (3)Ralph R has hit the board in 10 of 13 career races, flattening off a wide bid in his Kindergarten effort last week. However, past stalking efforts have shown decent late trot, and he can rally enough for a minor if the pace shapes up to be contested.
Race 7
(5) Crescent City only shows one win in her 12 career races, but demonstrated strong raw speed at Lexington and Philly. After a string of five minor checks against tough stakes company, this tracker-stalker could threaten late if #6, #7, #8, and #9 contest a hot pace. (8)Happiness held sway for a 1:53.1 Historic Stake win at Philly last out, keeping her undefeated record intact after overnight wins in PA. Tonight’s group is a bit tougher, but she’s already demonstrated good versatility and results. (2)Deli Beach just missed off a tracking trip at Philly last week, but proved a pillar-to-post winner in the Reynolds at Tioga four back. Her inside draw should get her close enough to the pace to stay in contention late.
Race 8
(1) Proud Flag steps up off a strong two-length win against N3L foes, kicking cover for a 1:56 2/5 score. He’s hit the board in all but one race on the year, and has shown consistently good late trot. Capable on the class rise. (3)Winbak Meadow held third from the pocket last week, laboring late while giving futile chase to Daley Lovin. A pocket trip yielded a win at this level the week prior, however. Five straight starts ITM at this level are no doubt promising, but he needs the close tracking trip. (5)Keystone Sapphire hasn’t raced since last November, qualifying a good bit better last week after a trio of lackluster morning efforts. She finds a much easier group than the fields she faced in Toronto last fall. Minor consideration off last week’s solid trial.
Race 9
(7) Oh No Three O is in search of his fourth straight win, shrugging off a late challenge en route to a 1:54 1/5 win two weeks ago. While he dictated the pace in his last two, he’s capable of winning from off the pace as well. Versatility + form = strong choice. (8)Here Comes Numbers held for a mid-level Yonkers win two back, striking from the pocket five back to beat similar as well. He ships in from Toronto after finishing a non-threatening seventh, and the class relief should be of benefit. Post 8, however, not so much. (5)A Penny Earned has been no worse than fourth in his last seven races, consistently facing Open company and proving competitive from a variety of trips. Strong minor consideration, but use higher if the price is right.
Race 10
(2) Centurion ATM comes in off a pair of narrow misses at Lexington, but kicked clear for a 1:53 2/5 win in the $355K Peter Haughton on Hambletonian Day. He’s got strong form and clear strength-of-schedule edge. Seek value in exotics. (6)SS Poseidon never got involved in last week’s Kindergarten division after a break at the start, but he reeled off seven straight ITM finishes against stakes company prior to that. Best of the rest, given his ability to control the terms or rally from a tracking trip. (4)Dapper Don narrowly held for an upset win in last week’s Kindergarten division, heading right the front and holding off Boots N Chains in 1:56. Momentum off that win paired with past staying power can get him in the hunt for a minor share.
Race 11
(7) Oaklea Tyson was just collared last week after having been pushed through a :28 3/5 third quarter, but he’s held his own well at this level. Prior to last week’s fourth-place effort, he held second in two consecutive outings, toiling to stay relevant against top-level conditioned foes prior to that. Plenty to like. (4) Mystical Con rallied from the back for a narrow win at this level three back, staying on well in his last two efforts as well. Last week, he only missed by two lengths after he was forced four-wide in the stretch. A less demanding trip could benefit this optional $8k claimer. (5)Hold On Tightly steps up off a narrow win last week, kicking cover to just prevail in 1:56 3/5. He’s shown better late trot in his last two races, and can use it to hit the ticket late.
Race 12
(1) Tomy Terror narrowly held for a 1:52 stakes score at the Meadows last out, hitting the exacta in all nine of his career starts. Largely facing PA-based stakes company, he moves to the big track with good form and good raw speed. Lots to like. (2)Bet You never got involved from post 8 in the NY Sire Stakes final, but shows good lines in past efforts when not hampered by such an unfavorable draw. His late kick at Philly last out yielded a 1:51 3/5 third-place effort. Lots to like here too, especially if he can stay up close. (5)Hall of Terror shows Lexington and Reynolds stakes wins this year, along with a trio of PA Stallion Series scores. Others have advantages in terms of raw speed and class, but he’s a logical minor consideration given his consistently good efforts.
Race 13
(1) Socks and Shuzy won her last three races since coming back from a six-week layoff, kicking clear from the pocket in strong fashion last week over the off going. She stays in against similar company off the victory last week, and her form has been no doubt solid. (5)Magical Lass ships in from Ontario, finding major class relief over Ontario Sire Stakes races. She narrowly held sway for a 1:59 1/5 Mohawk win three back, but missed the board in her other efforts. Cozier spot should be of benefit. (6)Fashionableapple faded of a first-over try last week, but performed better in past efforts against easier groups. Excuse her line last week on account of the extended first-over push.
By James Witherite
DRF HARNESS
Best Bet: CENTURION ATM (10th)
Race 1
(6) JL Cruze nearly survived an extended first-over battle last week, leading briefly before Proud Flag struck the front in the closing yards. He’s shown good staying power, and could threaten off a cozier tracking trip tonight. (1)You’re Catching On ships in from the Pennsylvania three-turn miles, finding N4L company at Pocono too tough after beating N3L foes at Philly. She’s scored her two wins on the year from close tracking trips, and her inside draw should enable a similar early position. (4)Laettner hasn’t missed a check in his last seven, struggling to keep up with the dominant Daley Lovin last week. Past efforts show ample staying power, so he’s a logical minor consideration here.
Race 2
(4) Jersey Strong broke on the far turn at Philly last out in her Historic Stake division, but hit the board in five consecutive races prior to that. She was a closing second in the PA Sire Stakes Championships in September, and is well proven so far in her young career. (6)Sweet Thing held clear for a 1:55 3/5 Kindergarten win last week, showing improvement since switching to the two-turn mile. Her chasing 1:54 3/5 effort at Lexington two back shows ample promise. (3)Model Behavior comes in from the Green Acres series at Freehold, earning two wins and two seconds since breaking maiden at Tioga in August. While she moves into a stouter group tonight, she’s got good enough form to factor in the exotics.
Race 3
(6) Allerage Star won her Kindergarten leg two back, recovering from a break to just prevail by way of a :27 3/5 LQ. She looked strong in her pair of Tioga wins, and can reasonably control the terms throughout. (5)Pad Princess chased to hold second in her last three stakes engagements, hitting the board in all but one of her 10 career races. Noting the company she’s faced, she stacks up well in this group, but she’ll need a pressured pace for optimal results. (3)Kaliska broke early in the NY Sire Stakes final in September, but had good fortune in the preliminaries, winning at Monticello and Batavia from pocket trips. A close tracking trip would prove ideal for this $47K Harrisburg purchase.
Race 4
(7) Painite battled gamely in a narrow defeat last week, beaten by the ground-saving Frisky Joe after sustaining a strong first-over bid. If she can stay in contention after that tough trip against just stouter rivals, a cozier one should prove all the better. (1)Canadian Justice drops in class after flattening from the pocket last out, but she’s done well enough against tougher foes earlier in the season. She possesses ample raw speed to factor at this level, and the class drop should enable her a better shot to rally late off a close tracking trip. (8) Choke Hold is back in for the optional $6k tag, collared by Hold On Tightly after making steady progress on the far turn. That effort leaves plenty to like, but he’s tasked with staving off newcomers who drop in from tougher events.
Race 5
(7) Boots N Chains just missed from the pocket in last week’s Kindergarten division, just missing 20-1 shot Dapper Don. Though still a maiden, he’s been no worse than fourth since August, facing nothing but stakes company since. His string of sub-:28 LQs at Lexington are promising. (4)Wheels Ah Smokin comes back off a six-week layoff, fading late in the Wellwood after suffering early traffic trouble. A clearer journey should prove all the more beneficial for the second-time Åke Svanstedt trainee. (1)Broken Record won a Green Acres leg at Freehold by 27-1/2 lengths, but no doubt faces a more seasoned group here. That said, the four-time winner can secure a close early spot and hold enough to round out exotics.
Race 6
(4) Muscle Diamond rallied well from off the pace in his last three efforts, winning at Lexington with a pair of seconds against stakes company prior to that. He made a late kick to score in the Tompkins at Tioga prior to that, and should have no problem riding this strong recent form into tonight’s event. (1)Billy Flynn has been beaten by no worse than a head in 9 career starts, sweeping his Pennsylvania Sire Stakes schedule while also beating Lexington stakes company. With the likelihood of pressure from #5 and #7, the race seems to shape up better for a tracker-stalker, but there’s plenty to like about this earner of $331K already. (3)Ralph R has hit the board in 10 of 13 career races, flattening off a wide bid in his Kindergarten effort last week. However, past stalking efforts have shown decent late trot, and he can rally enough for a minor if the pace shapes up to be contested.
Race 7
(5) Crescent City only shows one win in her 12 career races, but demonstrated strong raw speed at Lexington and Philly. After a string of five minor checks against tough stakes company, this tracker-stalker could threaten late if #6, #7, #8, and #9 contest a hot pace. (8)Happiness held sway for a 1:53.1 Historic Stake win at Philly last out, keeping her undefeated record intact after overnight wins in PA. Tonight’s group is a bit tougher, but she’s already demonstrated good versatility and results. (2)Deli Beach just missed off a tracking trip at Philly last week, but proved a pillar-to-post winner in the Reynolds at Tioga four back. Her inside draw should get her close enough to the pace to stay in contention late.
Race 8
(1) Proud Flag steps up off a strong two-length win against N3L foes, kicking cover for a 1:56 2/5 score. He’s hit the board in all but one race on the year, and has shown consistently good late trot. Capable on the class rise. (3)Winbak Meadow held third from the pocket last week, laboring late while giving futile chase to Daley Lovin. A pocket trip yielded a win at this level the week prior, however. Five straight starts ITM at this level are no doubt promising, but he needs the close tracking trip. (5)Keystone Sapphire hasn’t raced since last November, qualifying a good bit better last week after a trio of lackluster morning efforts. She finds a much easier group than the fields she faced in Toronto last fall. Minor consideration off last week’s solid trial.
Race 9
(7) Oh No Three O is in search of his fourth straight win, shrugging off a late challenge en route to a 1:54 1/5 win two weeks ago. While he dictated the pace in his last two, he’s capable of winning from off the pace as well. Versatility + form = strong choice. (8)Here Comes Numbers held for a mid-level Yonkers win two back, striking from the pocket five back to beat similar as well. He ships in from Toronto after finishing a non-threatening seventh, and the class relief should be of benefit. Post 8, however, not so much. (5)A Penny Earned has been no worse than fourth in his last seven races, consistently facing Open company and proving competitive from a variety of trips. Strong minor consideration, but use higher if the price is right.
Race 10
(2) Centurion ATM comes in off a pair of narrow misses at Lexington, but kicked clear for a 1:53 2/5 win in the $355K Peter Haughton on Hambletonian Day. He’s got strong form and clear strength-of-schedule edge. Seek value in exotics. (6)SS Poseidon never got involved in last week’s Kindergarten division after a break at the start, but he reeled off seven straight ITM finishes against stakes company prior to that. Best of the rest, given his ability to control the terms or rally from a tracking trip. (4)Dapper Don narrowly held for an upset win in last week’s Kindergarten division, heading right the front and holding off Boots N Chains in 1:56. Momentum off that win paired with past staying power can get him in the hunt for a minor share.
Race 11
(7) Oaklea Tyson was just collared last week after having been pushed through a :28 3/5 third quarter, but he’s held his own well at this level. Prior to last week’s fourth-place effort, he held second in two consecutive outings, toiling to stay relevant against top-level conditioned foes prior to that. Plenty to like. (4) Mystical Con rallied from the back for a narrow win at this level three back, staying on well in his last two efforts as well. Last week, he only missed by two lengths after he was forced four-wide in the stretch. A less demanding trip could benefit this optional $8k claimer. (5)Hold On Tightly steps up off a narrow win last week, kicking cover to just prevail in 1:56 3/5. He’s shown better late trot in his last two races, and can use it to hit the ticket late.
Race 12
(1) Tomy Terror narrowly held for a 1:52 stakes score at the Meadows last out, hitting the exacta in all nine of his career starts. Largely facing PA-based stakes company, he moves to the big track with good form and good raw speed. Lots to like. (2)Bet You never got involved from post 8 in the NY Sire Stakes final, but shows good lines in past efforts when not hampered by such an unfavorable draw. His late kick at Philly last out yielded a 1:51 3/5 third-place effort. Lots to like here too, especially if he can stay up close. (5)Hall of Terror shows Lexington and Reynolds stakes wins this year, along with a trio of PA Stallion Series scores. Others have advantages in terms of raw speed and class, but he’s a logical minor consideration given his consistently good efforts.
Race 13
(1) Socks and Shuzy won her last three races since coming back from a six-week layoff, kicking clear from the pocket in strong fashion last week over the off going. She stays in against similar company off the victory last week, and her form has been no doubt solid. (5)Magical Lass ships in from Ontario, finding major class relief over Ontario Sire Stakes races. She narrowly held sway for a 1:59 1/5 Mohawk win three back, but missed the board in her other efforts. Cozier spot should be of benefit. (6)Fashionableapple faded of a first-over try last week, but performed better in past efforts against easier groups. Excuse her line last week on account of the extended first-over push.
Woodbine Harness: Friday 10/24 analysis
By Greg Gangle
DRF HARNESS
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet: MEA LILLEY MARK (8th)
Spot Play: SEASIDE RORY (2nd)
Race 1
(3) BLOCKING THE WAY comes from the Antonacci barn, draws inside and is fresh off an easy win in his latest. (2) TEQUILA HAZE draws inside for Jones and has back-to-back scores coming into this event. (10) MAJESTE DUGARAS will need to overcome the outside, but went a tough trip in her latest en route to victory. She's capable with a trip from the outside.
Race 2
(1) SEASIDE RORY draws the rail, drops in class and the Gillis barn has been much better as of late. (6) BAROCKEY has excellent gate-speed and was a game second last week in this class. (8) JET HOT STUFF has a terrific late kick and should offer a nice price.
Race 3
(1) DONTCHEATONMENOW moves into the Johnson barn, gets the rail and remains at this level. (3) MOONLIGHT ESPOIR did all the work on the front last week and had to settle for second. He draws inside again and comes from a top barn. (4) JULIET debuts for new trainer Gallucci and is fresh off a win at Rideau Carleton.
Race 4
(1) JABAS LUCK went gate-to-wire in her latest by over eight lengths at Flamboro. She dropped major seconds and has some upside in this class. (2) CORONA WITH LIME comes from top connections, draws inside and has been a proven threat in this class. (6) JAKARDEZ hasn't been racing at her best, but is reclassified in here and it should offer a better result.
Race 5
(2) PAPER BACKED LINDY debuts for new trainer Montini, draws inside and has been knocking on the door in this class. (4) WHEELING N DEALIN comes from the Blais barn and has hit the board in two of his last three. (7) MURMUR HANOVER drops out of the Preferred class, is versatile and will offer a short price.
Race 6
(5) ST LADS PEEPER was a winner in her latest, but hasn't raced since Sept. 16 which is a concern. She offers back class, a good post and gets Davis back aboard. (7) HAT TRICK HONEY was an open length winner in her latest and jumps in class. (3) WILDCAT HANNA has hit the board in each of her last two starts and draws inside this week. She's versatile and gets Christoforou back in the bike.
Race 7
(3) LONG ISLAND TEA went a tough trip in her latest and still managed to win in commanding fashion. She is on top of her game right now. (2) CHIVAREE HANOVER draws inside, comes from the McNair barn and will need to mind her manners to be a factor in here. (5) WINDSUN REVENGE was a winner last week by four lengths and has been racing very consistent for trainer Durham.
Race 8
(2) MEA LILLEY MARK has a solid record this season, draws inside and is due for a win in this class. (1) WANNA ROCK N ROLL draws the rail, comes from Robinson and gets Waples. (10) J HIGH will need to overcome post 10 once again and should offer a nice price for Henry.
Race 9
(7) CHARMED LIFE comes from the Menary barn and just missed last week in this class, by a nose. (5) DOUBLEDOWN GASS has the quickest gate-speed in the field and likely will receive a nice trip. He's a price option and has been very consistent. (4) WHISKEY TAX has excellent gate-speed, draws inside and has all kinds of back class to offer.
Race 10
(3) FRANKIES FIRST LUV was a winner two back in this class, draws inside and is capable again in here. (10) BADLANDS LOVE has hit the board in each of her last four starts and capable of overcoming post 10. (4) MACH SOME NOISE comes from the O'Sullivan barn and is fresh off an open length romp in her latest. She steps up in class, but is very likeable for the triactor.
Race 11
(5) FOOLISH MIND has been very consistent all season, draws well and has been knocking on the door in this class last week. (3) BEACH GAL moves back onto this circuit, draws inside and shows sub-1:50 speed. (6) ITS NO SECRET has been knocking on the door in each of her last three starts, but fails to have that knockout punch. I'm not confident in her in the win column, but is a good option for the triactor.
Race 12
(2) SIR LBS Z TAM finally draws inside in this class, comes from the Moreau barn and likely will offer a low price. (5) REQUEST FOR PAROLE draws well again this week and drops in class. She should offer a better result for trainer Johnson. (7) RUB N TUG hit the board last week at a higher level and might offer a nice price again this week.
Race 13
(4) NINE LIVES HANOVER was a winner in each of her last two and remains at the same level. (8) PAID IN CASH has an excellent on-the-board record and can't be overlooked for the traictor. (7) MY VICTORINO was a winner in two of her last three and has a terrific late kick.
By Greg Gangle
DRF HARNESS
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet: MEA LILLEY MARK (8th)
Spot Play: SEASIDE RORY (2nd)
Race 1
(3) BLOCKING THE WAY comes from the Antonacci barn, draws inside and is fresh off an easy win in his latest. (2) TEQUILA HAZE draws inside for Jones and has back-to-back scores coming into this event. (10) MAJESTE DUGARAS will need to overcome the outside, but went a tough trip in her latest en route to victory. She's capable with a trip from the outside.
Race 2
(1) SEASIDE RORY draws the rail, drops in class and the Gillis barn has been much better as of late. (6) BAROCKEY has excellent gate-speed and was a game second last week in this class. (8) JET HOT STUFF has a terrific late kick and should offer a nice price.
Race 3
(1) DONTCHEATONMENOW moves into the Johnson barn, gets the rail and remains at this level. (3) MOONLIGHT ESPOIR did all the work on the front last week and had to settle for second. He draws inside again and comes from a top barn. (4) JULIET debuts for new trainer Gallucci and is fresh off a win at Rideau Carleton.
Race 4
(1) JABAS LUCK went gate-to-wire in her latest by over eight lengths at Flamboro. She dropped major seconds and has some upside in this class. (2) CORONA WITH LIME comes from top connections, draws inside and has been a proven threat in this class. (6) JAKARDEZ hasn't been racing at her best, but is reclassified in here and it should offer a better result.
Race 5
(2) PAPER BACKED LINDY debuts for new trainer Montini, draws inside and has been knocking on the door in this class. (4) WHEELING N DEALIN comes from the Blais barn and has hit the board in two of his last three. (7) MURMUR HANOVER drops out of the Preferred class, is versatile and will offer a short price.
Race 6
(5) ST LADS PEEPER was a winner in her latest, but hasn't raced since Sept. 16 which is a concern. She offers back class, a good post and gets Davis back aboard. (7) HAT TRICK HONEY was an open length winner in her latest and jumps in class. (3) WILDCAT HANNA has hit the board in each of her last two starts and draws inside this week. She's versatile and gets Christoforou back in the bike.
Race 7
(3) LONG ISLAND TEA went a tough trip in her latest and still managed to win in commanding fashion. She is on top of her game right now. (2) CHIVAREE HANOVER draws inside, comes from the McNair barn and will need to mind her manners to be a factor in here. (5) WINDSUN REVENGE was a winner last week by four lengths and has been racing very consistent for trainer Durham.
Race 8
(2) MEA LILLEY MARK has a solid record this season, draws inside and is due for a win in this class. (1) WANNA ROCK N ROLL draws the rail, comes from Robinson and gets Waples. (10) J HIGH will need to overcome post 10 once again and should offer a nice price for Henry.
Race 9
(7) CHARMED LIFE comes from the Menary barn and just missed last week in this class, by a nose. (5) DOUBLEDOWN GASS has the quickest gate-speed in the field and likely will receive a nice trip. He's a price option and has been very consistent. (4) WHISKEY TAX has excellent gate-speed, draws inside and has all kinds of back class to offer.
Race 10
(3) FRANKIES FIRST LUV was a winner two back in this class, draws inside and is capable again in here. (10) BADLANDS LOVE has hit the board in each of her last four starts and capable of overcoming post 10. (4) MACH SOME NOISE comes from the O'Sullivan barn and is fresh off an open length romp in her latest. She steps up in class, but is very likeable for the triactor.
Race 11
(5) FOOLISH MIND has been very consistent all season, draws well and has been knocking on the door in this class last week. (3) BEACH GAL moves back onto this circuit, draws inside and shows sub-1:50 speed. (6) ITS NO SECRET has been knocking on the door in each of her last three starts, but fails to have that knockout punch. I'm not confident in her in the win column, but is a good option for the triactor.
Race 12
(2) SIR LBS Z TAM finally draws inside in this class, comes from the Moreau barn and likely will offer a low price. (5) REQUEST FOR PAROLE draws well again this week and drops in class. She should offer a better result for trainer Johnson. (7) RUB N TUG hit the board last week at a higher level and might offer a nice price again this week.
Race 13
(4) NINE LIVES HANOVER was a winner in each of her last two and remains at the same level. (8) PAID IN CASH has an excellent on-the-board record and can't be overlooked for the traictor. (7) MY VICTORINO was a winner in two of her last three and has a terrific late kick.
Yonkers: Friday 10/24 Analysis
By Brewster Smith
DRF HARNESS
MEET STATS: 325 - 1225 / $2,154.20 BEST BETS: 26 - 102 / $128.80
Best Bet: CONKERS CONQUEST (7th)
Spot Play: BLUE FIN (3rd)
Race 1
(4) TALBOTCREEK ARMANI is back at Yonkers. Gelding can boss these at his best. (5) LIGHTNING STRIKE did show some speed at Monticello last time out & gets Bartlett tonight. (2) DUKES UP could land a share of the purse.
Race 2
(5) IL MAGO takes another drop in class. Trotter should be a serious threat against these. (2) AFFIRMED ACTION flashed good early zip last time around. (4) BIG SKY STORM got the job done against lesser recently.
Race 3
(1) BLUE FIN Pocket rocket trip last time out. Should be ready to move forward for all the marbles. (2) DEEP SEA HANOVER Gelding put in a nice qualifier here and should be ready for his return to the races. (4) VODKA IS TERROR has hit the board in his last three tries; watch out.
Race 4
Will take a shot with (6) PUTNAMS ATTACK to put it all together against this group & Brennan stays. (1) MEETBEHINDTHEBARN should fare quite well from the rail slot. (4) JW RACER Gelding showed good speed for win honors last time out.
Race 5
With the right trip, (3) IM FABULOUS can mow these down at her best. (1) LUCKY COLBY Philly shipper returns Yonkers & retains the fence; threat. (5) FOX VALLEY STEFFEN got up for the victory in his last start.
Race 6
(6) SCANDALOUS HANOVER Pacing miss moves out of the 8-hole and with her speed, she could take these Open foes to task for all the cash. (7) COFFEE ADDICT rallied strongly for the show spot in her recent trip. (8) ROCKAROUND SUE will also be closing in the final strides based on her lastest score.
Race 7
(1) CONKERS CONQUEST put in two nice efforts so this pacing gelding should be considered a serious threat from the fence. (2) PENCE HANOVER raced evenly in his last one. (3) LUCKY LUCKY LEO could have a say in the outcome.
Race 8
(7) MELADYS MONET Trotting gelding is very consistent and he has every right to get back on the winning track. (8) BAMBINO GLIDE has wheeled off two straight victories. (4) FORTNISTA was second best in her last trip to the post.
Race 9
(1) ITZAZIAM draws the rail slot and that should help this gelding's cause; the pick. (4) MEGO MOSS Woodbine invader showed good speed in his last start (2) KEENAN moves down the ladder and should be a factor in here.
Race 10
(2) MACH A WISH got the job done last out for her second straight score. She should keep on her winning ways against these. (1) SIR JILLIAN Z TAM should be right there from the rail slot. (4) MARTY PARTY could land a share.
Race 11
(1) LOOKING HANOVER Even finish in his last try. Gelding seems to be ready to fire his best with Sears at the helm. (2) STIR ME UP just got up for win honors last time out. (4) SOME LIKE IT HOT has tactical speed and could contend in here.
Race 12
This seems to be a great spot for (1) MONKEY ON MY WHEEL to get the job done with Brian Sears once again at the controls for Trainer Casie Coleman. (3) SUMMERTIME LEA gets serious post relief; main danger. (6) ROBIN CRUISER & ROCK N LOAD can complete the trifecta and superfecta.
By Brewster Smith
DRF HARNESS
MEET STATS: 325 - 1225 / $2,154.20 BEST BETS: 26 - 102 / $128.80
Best Bet: CONKERS CONQUEST (7th)
Spot Play: BLUE FIN (3rd)
Race 1
(4) TALBOTCREEK ARMANI is back at Yonkers. Gelding can boss these at his best. (5) LIGHTNING STRIKE did show some speed at Monticello last time out & gets Bartlett tonight. (2) DUKES UP could land a share of the purse.
Race 2
(5) IL MAGO takes another drop in class. Trotter should be a serious threat against these. (2) AFFIRMED ACTION flashed good early zip last time around. (4) BIG SKY STORM got the job done against lesser recently.
Race 3
(1) BLUE FIN Pocket rocket trip last time out. Should be ready to move forward for all the marbles. (2) DEEP SEA HANOVER Gelding put in a nice qualifier here and should be ready for his return to the races. (4) VODKA IS TERROR has hit the board in his last three tries; watch out.
Race 4
Will take a shot with (6) PUTNAMS ATTACK to put it all together against this group & Brennan stays. (1) MEETBEHINDTHEBARN should fare quite well from the rail slot. (4) JW RACER Gelding showed good speed for win honors last time out.
Race 5
With the right trip, (3) IM FABULOUS can mow these down at her best. (1) LUCKY COLBY Philly shipper returns Yonkers & retains the fence; threat. (5) FOX VALLEY STEFFEN got up for the victory in his last start.
Race 6
(6) SCANDALOUS HANOVER Pacing miss moves out of the 8-hole and with her speed, she could take these Open foes to task for all the cash. (7) COFFEE ADDICT rallied strongly for the show spot in her recent trip. (8) ROCKAROUND SUE will also be closing in the final strides based on her lastest score.
Race 7
(1) CONKERS CONQUEST put in two nice efforts so this pacing gelding should be considered a serious threat from the fence. (2) PENCE HANOVER raced evenly in his last one. (3) LUCKY LUCKY LEO could have a say in the outcome.
Race 8
(7) MELADYS MONET Trotting gelding is very consistent and he has every right to get back on the winning track. (8) BAMBINO GLIDE has wheeled off two straight victories. (4) FORTNISTA was second best in her last trip to the post.
Race 9
(1) ITZAZIAM draws the rail slot and that should help this gelding's cause; the pick. (4) MEGO MOSS Woodbine invader showed good speed in his last start (2) KEENAN moves down the ladder and should be a factor in here.
Race 10
(2) MACH A WISH got the job done last out for her second straight score. She should keep on her winning ways against these. (1) SIR JILLIAN Z TAM should be right there from the rail slot. (4) MARTY PARTY could land a share.
Race 11
(1) LOOKING HANOVER Even finish in his last try. Gelding seems to be ready to fire his best with Sears at the helm. (2) STIR ME UP just got up for win honors last time out. (4) SOME LIKE IT HOT has tactical speed and could contend in here.
Race 12
This seems to be a great spot for (1) MONKEY ON MY WHEEL to get the job done with Brian Sears once again at the controls for Trainer Casie Coleman. (3) SUMMERTIME LEA gets serious post relief; main danger. (6) ROBIN CRUISER & ROCK N LOAD can complete the trifecta and superfecta.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dayton Raceway
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Post: 7:55 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$3000 - HORSES & GELDINGS N/W $1250 IN LAST 4 STARTS
CONSORTIUM CHOICES
Chatsworth Consortium
# 7 KING CAT ANVIL N 8/1
# 3 JOLTS VIRTUE 7/2
# 5 ROCKNROLL AGAIN 6/1
Really keen on the chance of KING CAT ANVIL N taking down the winner's share in this race especially at 8/1. The brain trust has Jamieson on its list of drivers who are tearing it up most recently. Last 30 days win figure is terrific. JOLTS VIRTUE - Could very well provide us a win based on good recent speed ratings - earning an average of 81. Seems to have a very nice class advantage based on the opponents he has faced. ROCKNROLL AGAIN - Galliers's return on investment for runners going up in class make this a tremendous play. This standardbred could get the victory here beginning from the Dayton Raceway 5 position.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Post: 7:55 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$3000 - HORSES & GELDINGS N/W $1250 IN LAST 4 STARTS
CONSORTIUM CHOICES
Chatsworth Consortium
# 7 KING CAT ANVIL N 8/1
# 3 JOLTS VIRTUE 7/2
# 5 ROCKNROLL AGAIN 6/1
Really keen on the chance of KING CAT ANVIL N taking down the winner's share in this race especially at 8/1. The brain trust has Jamieson on its list of drivers who are tearing it up most recently. Last 30 days win figure is terrific. JOLTS VIRTUE - Could very well provide us a win based on good recent speed ratings - earning an average of 81. Seems to have a very nice class advantage based on the opponents he has faced. ROCKNROLL AGAIN - Galliers's return on investment for runners going up in class make this a tremendous play. This standardbred could get the victory here beginning from the Dayton Raceway 5 position.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Saratoga Harness
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Post: 6:45 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 58 - Purse:$4800 - 2 & 3-YEAR-OLD FILLIES - NON-WINNERS 1 EXTENDED PARI-MUTUEL RACE LIFE OR $5,000 LIFE SARATOGA
CONSORTIUM CHOICES
Chatsworth Consortium
# 2 PEMBROKE LYNN 2/1
# 1 ON THE RISE 6/1
# 4 MISS HYSTERIA 8/1
The consensus in this one is that PEMBROKE LYNN is the one to beat. Overall numbers appear respectable. Can't throw out at this point. This horse may have some hidden form, a triumph would be a pleasant surprise. Take a look at this standardbred's average speed number of 65 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a good play. ON THE RISE - This horse has a nose for the wire, just look at her better than average win percent. When the starter calls, fine animals coming out of the 1 hole have more wins than normal. MISS HYSTERIA - This filly has the ability to take positive advantage of a favorable pace scenario in this contest. The wagering panel will always throw in a solid standardbred from the 4 position here at Saratoga Harness, keep in mind for your exotics.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Post: 6:45 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 58 - Purse:$4800 - 2 & 3-YEAR-OLD FILLIES - NON-WINNERS 1 EXTENDED PARI-MUTUEL RACE LIFE OR $5,000 LIFE SARATOGA
CONSORTIUM CHOICES
Chatsworth Consortium
# 2 PEMBROKE LYNN 2/1
# 1 ON THE RISE 6/1
# 4 MISS HYSTERIA 8/1
The consensus in this one is that PEMBROKE LYNN is the one to beat. Overall numbers appear respectable. Can't throw out at this point. This horse may have some hidden form, a triumph would be a pleasant surprise. Take a look at this standardbred's average speed number of 65 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a good play. ON THE RISE - This horse has a nose for the wire, just look at her better than average win percent. When the starter calls, fine animals coming out of the 1 hole have more wins than normal. MISS HYSTERIA - This filly has the ability to take positive advantage of a favorable pace scenario in this contest. The wagering panel will always throw in a solid standardbred from the 4 position here at Saratoga Harness, keep in mind for your exotics.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Northlands Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8800 Class Rating: 76
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR ALBERTA BREDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER IN 2014 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,000, FOR EACH $750 TO $4,750 1 LB.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 KISS SIN GOODBYE 9/5
# 7 RAPPA 3/1
# 8 SO GOOD LUCKY 8/1
My pick in here is KISS SIN GOODBYE. This gelding has a strong winning percentage in dirt route races. Should come out solid - I have liked the way this gelding has moved rapidly to the lead recently. Recorded a solid Equibase speed fig in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. RAPPA - Have to love when any horse makes a quick turnaround. I expect a competitive performance from this equine whose conditioner has one of the top return on investment percentages with horses running at this distance and surface. SO GOOD LUCKY - Petrowski has this gelding running well and is a very good selection based on the very strong Speed Figures put up in route races lately. The speed rating of 80 from his last affair looks strong in here.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8800 Class Rating: 76
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR ALBERTA BREDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER IN 2014 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,000, FOR EACH $750 TO $4,750 1 LB.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 KISS SIN GOODBYE 9/5
# 7 RAPPA 3/1
# 8 SO GOOD LUCKY 8/1
My pick in here is KISS SIN GOODBYE. This gelding has a strong winning percentage in dirt route races. Should come out solid - I have liked the way this gelding has moved rapidly to the lead recently. Recorded a solid Equibase speed fig in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. RAPPA - Have to love when any horse makes a quick turnaround. I expect a competitive performance from this equine whose conditioner has one of the top return on investment percentages with horses running at this distance and surface. SO GOOD LUCKY - Petrowski has this gelding running well and is a very good selection based on the very strong Speed Figures put up in route races lately. The speed rating of 80 from his last affair looks strong in here.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 63
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 STRAWBERRY CAT 7/2
# 3 GINA'S WISH 12/1
# 2 THEY CALL ME PAT 9/2
STRAWBERRY CAT has a decent shot to take this race. Could provide positive gains based on decent recent Equibase speed figs with an average of 51. Will most likely be one of the front-runners of the pack going into the midpoint of the contest. This filly has been constatntly running well in her latest outings. GINA'S WISH - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Lozano have shown very strong results recently. Ought to go to the lead and should never look back. THEY CALL ME PAT - Looks very good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races lately. She has to be given consideration given the quite good speed figures.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 63
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 STRAWBERRY CAT 7/2
# 3 GINA'S WISH 12/1
# 2 THEY CALL ME PAT 9/2
STRAWBERRY CAT has a decent shot to take this race. Could provide positive gains based on decent recent Equibase speed figs with an average of 51. Will most likely be one of the front-runners of the pack going into the midpoint of the contest. This filly has been constatntly running well in her latest outings. GINA'S WISH - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Lozano have shown very strong results recently. Ought to go to the lead and should never look back. THEY CALL ME PAT - Looks very good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races lately. She has to be given consideration given the quite good speed figures.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Golden Gate - Race #8 - Post: 4:26pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 102
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#5 SANDOR (GB) (ML=4/1)
#1 PULPIT'S EXPRESS (ML=5/1)
#2 NAHEM (ML=8/1)
SANDOR (GB) - I took a look at this gelding's finishes. He's almost always in the money. This gelding's last speed fig is high enough to score here, I'll play him right back this time out. PULPIT'S EXPRESS - Frey is up for another event today after riding aboard this animal for the 1st attempt on Oct 5th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. This gelding has been posting some excellent workout times. The mount with the top average class rating in turf events is usually a solid play. This thoroughbred fits the bill. NAHEM - This gelding is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of 'King Jerry'. Finished off the board last out at Golden Gate, but was within five lengths of the winner. Opening at 8/1 makes me think he's got a chance. He has the highest (EPS) earnings per start. Take a good look at this horse.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 DELTA RANGER (ML=7/2), #9 DUKE OF DOOM (ML=9/2), #8 SHUN (ML=6/1),
DELTA RANGER - I checked out this horse's past performances and he doesn't do well as the public's choice and is likely to be favored today. DUKE OF DOOM - Don't feel this pony will make a winning move in today's event. That last speed figure was substandard when compared with today's Equibase class figure. SHUN - This gelding earned a speed figure in his last race which likely isn't good enough in today's race. The seventh place finish position in the last affair was not the best.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 SANDOR (GB) is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
Skip
Bar
Golden Gate - Race #8 - Post: 4:26pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 102
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#5 SANDOR (GB) (ML=4/1)
#1 PULPIT'S EXPRESS (ML=5/1)
#2 NAHEM (ML=8/1)
SANDOR (GB) - I took a look at this gelding's finishes. He's almost always in the money. This gelding's last speed fig is high enough to score here, I'll play him right back this time out. PULPIT'S EXPRESS - Frey is up for another event today after riding aboard this animal for the 1st attempt on Oct 5th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. This gelding has been posting some excellent workout times. The mount with the top average class rating in turf events is usually a solid play. This thoroughbred fits the bill. NAHEM - This gelding is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of 'King Jerry'. Finished off the board last out at Golden Gate, but was within five lengths of the winner. Opening at 8/1 makes me think he's got a chance. He has the highest (EPS) earnings per start. Take a good look at this horse.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 DELTA RANGER (ML=7/2), #9 DUKE OF DOOM (ML=9/2), #8 SHUN (ML=6/1),
DELTA RANGER - I checked out this horse's past performances and he doesn't do well as the public's choice and is likely to be favored today. DUKE OF DOOM - Don't feel this pony will make a winning move in today's event. That last speed figure was substandard when compared with today's Equibase class figure. SHUN - This gelding earned a speed figure in his last race which likely isn't good enough in today's race. The seventh place finish position in the last affair was not the best.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 SANDOR (GB) is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
Skip
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Woodbine - Race #2 - Post: 1:30pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 89
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#7 PAPIAMENTO (ML=8/1)
#1 FIGHTING CHRIS (ML=5/2)
#2 ORBIT EXPRESS (ML=4/1)
PAPIAMENTO - When this jock and conditioner join forces you have to take a look. Wilson and Christoffersen have been wonderful together. This gelding should be in fine form, this far into his form cycle. FIGHTING CHRIS - The ROI when Stein and Attard get together is terrific. Ranked number one in (EPS) earnings per start. Another notice that this horse is the class of the race. ORBIT EXPRESS - Trainer, Silvera, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 STORMIN CLOONEY (ML=2/1), #6 MIDNIGHT BLACK (ML=6/1),
STORMIN CLOONEY - Hasn't raced or had any workouts since October 1st. Not much value on this chalk horse. Garnered a run-of-the-mill speed figure last race out in a $20,000 Optional Claiming race on October 1st. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that figure. MIDNIGHT BLACK - Just don't believe he is worth it at the probable odds.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #7 PAPIAMENTO on the nose if you can get odds of 4/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,7] Box [2,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Bar
Woodbine - Race #2 - Post: 1:30pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 89
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#7 PAPIAMENTO (ML=8/1)
#1 FIGHTING CHRIS (ML=5/2)
#2 ORBIT EXPRESS (ML=4/1)
PAPIAMENTO - When this jock and conditioner join forces you have to take a look. Wilson and Christoffersen have been wonderful together. This gelding should be in fine form, this far into his form cycle. FIGHTING CHRIS - The ROI when Stein and Attard get together is terrific. Ranked number one in (EPS) earnings per start. Another notice that this horse is the class of the race. ORBIT EXPRESS - Trainer, Silvera, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 STORMIN CLOONEY (ML=2/1), #6 MIDNIGHT BLACK (ML=6/1),
STORMIN CLOONEY - Hasn't raced or had any workouts since October 1st. Not much value on this chalk horse. Garnered a run-of-the-mill speed figure last race out in a $20,000 Optional Claiming race on October 1st. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that figure. MIDNIGHT BLACK - Just don't believe he is worth it at the probable odds.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #7 PAPIAMENTO on the nose if you can get odds of 4/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,7] Box [2,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Handicapped by Ellis Starr at Keeneland
Race #2 - Rating = 2
#2 Mambo Man - Fair odds 5/2
#6 Grandstand - Fair odds 3/1
Two more days of great racing. Don't miss out. Big Success So Far at Keeneland (Through Sat 10/18): 32% winners on top, +22% Return on Investment.
Exacta: Box 2,6
Mambo Man might have won his last start, a turf route like this one, if not for the fact he was blocked at a critical stage in the race from the 3/16 mark to the 1/8 mark. He won 3 turf races in a row in the spring and has won at SA on turf before so with just a bit of racing luck he can make amends for that last effort.
Grandstand missed by a head on the wire last out under these conditions but on the main track. He's been 1st or 2nd four times on grass so has a good shot to transfer that main track form to the turf today and be part of the exacta at the very least.
Race #2 - Rating = 2
#2 Mambo Man - Fair odds 5/2
#6 Grandstand - Fair odds 3/1
Two more days of great racing. Don't miss out. Big Success So Far at Keeneland (Through Sat 10/18): 32% winners on top, +22% Return on Investment.
Exacta: Box 2,6
Mambo Man might have won his last start, a turf route like this one, if not for the fact he was blocked at a critical stage in the race from the 3/16 mark to the 1/8 mark. He won 3 turf races in a row in the spring and has won at SA on turf before so with just a bit of racing luck he can make amends for that last effort.
Grandstand missed by a head on the wire last out under these conditions but on the main track. He's been 1st or 2nd four times on grass so has a good shot to transfer that main track form to the turf today and be part of the exacta at the very least.
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park
RACE #4 - BELMONT PARK - 2:26 PM EASTERN POST
10.0 FURLONGS INNER TURF THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD ALLOWANCE $77,000.00 PURSE
#8 MAKE A DECISION
#9 LUNAR ROVER
#1 BARATTI / #1A SUBLIME
#2 MAKE IT GOLD
#8 MAKE A DECISION is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this allowance field this afternoon racing at, or about, 10.0 furlongs on the grass, and has been a "POWER RUN PERFORMER" in five straight starts, hitting the board in a pair, including a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in his last outing, missing a "Circle Trip" in that race by just a "photographed nose" at the wire. #9 LUNAR ROVER, the morning line favorite, scored with a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 2nd race back, winning by nearly 10 lengths!
RACE #4 - BELMONT PARK - 2:26 PM EASTERN POST
10.0 FURLONGS INNER TURF THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD ALLOWANCE $77,000.00 PURSE
#8 MAKE A DECISION
#9 LUNAR ROVER
#1 BARATTI / #1A SUBLIME
#2 MAKE IT GOLD
#8 MAKE A DECISION is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this allowance field this afternoon racing at, or about, 10.0 furlongs on the grass, and has been a "POWER RUN PERFORMER" in five straight starts, hitting the board in a pair, including a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in his last outing, missing a "Circle Trip" in that race by just a "photographed nose" at the wire. #9 LUNAR ROVER, the morning line favorite, scored with a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 2nd race back, winning by nearly 10 lengths!
SPOT PLAYS
For Friday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Belmont Park (5th) Zo Zo, 9-2
(10th) Chase This Bandit, 3-1
Delta Downs (5th) Tunnelformoney, 5-1
(10th) Mr. Madalyn, 3-1
Finger Lakes (1st) Five to One, 5-1
(5th) Lucky Ned, 9-2
Golden Gate Fields (6th) Mr. Candy Bar, 7-2
(8th) Delta Ranger, 7-2
Gulfstream Park West (2nd) Tiz Time Is Now, 4-1
(9th) Native Gold, 3-1
Hawthorne (5th) Proud Jackson, 4-1
(8th) Love You Mon, 4-1
Indiana Grand (3rd) Sergios Pride, 9-2
(4th) Chia Spice, 3-1
Keeneland (6th) Ben's Juliette, 5-1
(7th) Costenia, 3-1
Laurel Park (6th) Bren's Golden Girl, 4-1
(9th) Harbingerofthings, 4-1
Meadowlands (3rd) R Clever Cat, 6-1
(6th) Briteliteinthecity, 4-1
Penn National (1st) Galactico, 7-2
(3rd) Quizzer, 5-1
Remington Park (4th) Lightninginabottle, 7-2
(7th) Strawberry Cat, 7-2
Retama Park (1st) Condobound, 4-1
(7th) Silver Spot, 4-1
Santa Anita (5th) Aperfectdaytofly, 4-1
(6th) Snuggley Bear, 7-2
Thistledown (3rd) Carol's Enjoyment, 7-2
(5th) Moon, 4-1
Woodbine (5th) Emma's Love, 7-2
(8th) Copper Kitten, 7-2
For Friday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Belmont Park (5th) Zo Zo, 9-2
(10th) Chase This Bandit, 3-1
Delta Downs (5th) Tunnelformoney, 5-1
(10th) Mr. Madalyn, 3-1
Finger Lakes (1st) Five to One, 5-1
(5th) Lucky Ned, 9-2
Golden Gate Fields (6th) Mr. Candy Bar, 7-2
(8th) Delta Ranger, 7-2
Gulfstream Park West (2nd) Tiz Time Is Now, 4-1
(9th) Native Gold, 3-1
Hawthorne (5th) Proud Jackson, 4-1
(8th) Love You Mon, 4-1
Indiana Grand (3rd) Sergios Pride, 9-2
(4th) Chia Spice, 3-1
Keeneland (6th) Ben's Juliette, 5-1
(7th) Costenia, 3-1
Laurel Park (6th) Bren's Golden Girl, 4-1
(9th) Harbingerofthings, 4-1
Meadowlands (3rd) R Clever Cat, 6-1
(6th) Briteliteinthecity, 4-1
Penn National (1st) Galactico, 7-2
(3rd) Quizzer, 5-1
Remington Park (4th) Lightninginabottle, 7-2
(7th) Strawberry Cat, 7-2
Retama Park (1st) Condobound, 4-1
(7th) Silver Spot, 4-1
Santa Anita (5th) Aperfectdaytofly, 4-1
(6th) Snuggley Bear, 7-2
Thistledown (3rd) Carol's Enjoyment, 7-2
(5th) Moon, 4-1
Woodbine (5th) Emma's Love, 7-2
(8th) Copper Kitten, 7-2
