Woodbine Harness: Friday 1/20 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 3/5,7,8,9/3,8,9/10/ALL = $24
EARLY PICK 4: 10/ALL/1,5,6,8/6 = $40
LATE PICK 4: 1,2,5,8/2,3,6,10/1/1,6,7 = $48
MEET STATS: 75 - 312 / $428.30 BEST BETS: 12 - 29 / $44.70
SPOT PLAYS: 9 - 28 / $44.20
Best Bet: SHES A MANIAC (4th)
Spot Play: BURNIN MONEY (2nd)
Race 1
(3) AVA N ELLA qualified well for this return and then missed a race due to a cancelled card (weather). She should be formidable here if she's still tight enough. (4) KAYS SHADOW raced well last time but she couldn't quite reach a game and determined winner. She rates highly here. (5) TEMPUS SEELSTER faces easier here and she should wake up with a much better performance. (7) P L JASMINE was decent in the Niagara series; small share predicted.
Race 2
(8) BURNIN MONEY looked like he was setting up a good rally on Monday night until the leader took off at the head of the lane, but he did close a bit of ground late. He drops and could bring a decent price here; top call. (5) IN SECRET impressively chased down a loose leader last time. He has beaten better than these before; using. (9) BUZZ raced great at a big price last time. He could do the same here, so keep him in mind for vertical bets. (7) ADVERSITY should close for a smaller share again.
Race 3
(8) EMPTYTHETILL raced okay last time, but that was off a month break and he was prepping for this series. He could pop here at a nice price. (3) BROOKLETSJUSTIFIED exploded with a life's best effort here Monday night; respect. (9) AWESOMENESS has only missed the exacta once so far and he is an obvious player. (7) CLOUSEAU HANOVER raced well here on Monday; consider.
Race 4
(10) SHES A MANIAC takes a higher tag here, which relegates her to the outer post, but she absolutely lays over these on paper. Only a horrendous trip can get her beat here. (6) DONNA PARTY improved last time when third to the choice. She looks next best. (9) WATT A FUNNY FACE could land in a good spot near the front early and take a good piece of this. (2) TOTAL KNOCKOUT woke up last week with a much better mile. She can grab a small slice here.
Race 5
(4) VOODOO CHARM moves inside after showing some mild late interest from the 10-hole last time; price play. (6) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE moves to the best post off a decent effort when leaving from further out; using. (8) MUCH ADOO should set the pace again. She will last to the wire one of these weeks. (5) MISS COCO LUCK is always around the money and she shouldn't be left off tri and super bets.
Race 6
(5) SEVERUS HANOVER was passed only by the two big favorites after opening up a big early lead last time. Slightly better rating could get him to the winner's circle. (8) DEWEYKEEPUMNWHY should threaten here if he can again overcome his frequent gait issues. (6) ELDORADO OF GOLD leaves from the best post and is steered by the leading driver; using. (1) FERRISWHEEL JUNKIE will be looking for room late and he isn't impossible if the race falls apart in deep stretch.
Race 7
(6) A PLUS lands in a good spot here and picks up McNair; top call. (7) AINSLEYNOELLE drops back to a level where she should show early speed and can threaten from close range here. (8) THREE DREAMS is likely for another minor share here. (2) NINETTE B fits well here. She should make the ticket, at a minimum.
Race 8
(5) ROCKIN WITH DEWEY drops and moves inside. She should get a more aggressive steer this time. (1) ODDS ON AMETHYST can threaten here if he stays flat. (2) EXEMPLAR steps up off a solid win and he should contend here, too. (8) HUBBY NUMBER ONE gets a better post here, which should make him a threat vs. these.
Race 9
(6) BIG YELLOW paced the best mile of his life Monday night and he is likely to bring a square price here coming right back in a stakes series; top call. (3) MANY FACETS showed promise last fall and he looks ready to roll again based on his January 15th qualifier; using. (10) SENIOR K had a good tightener for this following his Valedictory series win. He's not out of this despite drawing widest. (2) TALBOT DOMINO had a useful debut and he could pass them all if there is lots of action up front.
Race 10
(1) HOT SPOT HANOVER continues to race at a high level and she looks best vs. these. (8) DAZZLING ROCKETTE took a ton of action last week then roared by her rivals down the lane. Tab the tote for clues with this one. (5) WANDA BAYAMA should be a speed threat here and if she gets a breather, she may be tough to overhaul. (2) BET YA should get a decent trip and finish on the fringes here.
Race 11
(7) DRIVINGTHEDRAGON N returns to this circuit after winning several times in mixed company in the top class at Charlottetown. She gets Lasix and an aggressive pilot; top call. (1) BAROCKEY drops several levels and she will no doubt take lots of action. She's the one to beat. (6) CASE DISMISSED moves up off a predictable win and she can threaten racing near the front. (2) MAPLELEA will be passing rivals late for a small share. (4) NAUGHTY LADY B is a good one to use on the bottom of vertical wagers.
