Friday 05/22/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LT Profits

Chicago White Sox -120

The Chicago White Sox got blasted 20-1 by the Minnesota Twins yesterday after winning the first two games of this home stand, but we look for them to bounce back today at a rather short price vs. a Pittsburgh Pirates club not known for their fine road play.

Not only are the White Sox as a team looking to redeem themselves here, but their starter Gavin Floyd is also looking to recover from three bad starts in a row. All three of those outings came on the road though, and Floyd has two Quality Starts in three home outings this year. He has also allowed exactly one run in each of his two career starts against the Pirates, and he is facing a Pittsburgh lineup that is batting just .239 on the road this season.

In fact, the Pirates have had a high home/away variance for quite some time, which is one of the reasons they are just 36-75 in their last 111 road games overall, and that always make them a prime road fade when the price is low like this. Remember also that while their starter Zach Duke is having a nice year, he has allowed nine earned runs and 18 hits in just 12 innings over two starts vs. the White Sox.

Look for Chicago to put that 20-1 drubbing behind them in a hurry with a crowd-pleasing win on Friday.

Pick: White Sox -120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Red Dog Sports

Angels and Dodgers
Play: Under 8

Weaver has an ERA of 1.88 in his last 3 and Kershaw has an ERA of 3.18 in his last 3 starts. The Angels last 3 interleague games have produced 7 unders and 2 overs. The last 3 meetings were 1-0, 1-0 and 6-0. Look for an under on Friday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Karl Garrett

Colorado at DETROIT -135

Tonight in baseball, lay a little lumber with the red-hot Tigers.

Detroit just won their 6th straight, as they have opened a 3-game lead in the AL Central.

The Tigers have been taking care of business in Motown, as they are 14-5 for the season in their home ball park, and they did win all 3 games played at home a season ago against the visiting Rockies.

Colorado won last night, but are still just 3-6 their last 9 games, and a lowly 9-14 on the road this year.

It will be Jimenez and Porcello to the mound, Jimenez is just 1-3 on the road this year with an ERA of 4.50. Chances are the hot Tigers bats will do some damage to Ubaldo before long in this one.

Rick Porcello is starting to live up to the hype, as he has only allowed 2 runs to score over his last 18 innings of work for a 3-0 mark.

Things are rocking in Motown right now, and I don't see Colorado spoiling the losing streak tonight.

Take the Tigers!

4♦ DETROIT

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Chris Jordan

Philadelphia at NEW YORK -155

Nine straight wins and the Bronx Bombers are hosting the defending champion Phillies. Sounds like a winner to me.

After all, what better time to make even more of a statement, like when you're winning as much as New York is, and step right into Interleague play to take on the defending champs.

The Yankees have won seven straight at home during their winning streak, and are on additional runs of 8-0 as a chalk, 5-0 against right-handed starters, 37-18 at home, 7-1 on Friday and 54-20 when hosting N.L. opponents.

And while I know Philly is 6-1 on its current 10-game road trip, they’ve lost Brett Myers’ last four interleague starts and seven of his last eight against the A.L. East.

I'd rather side with A.J. Burnett since the Yanks are 3-1 in his first four home starts in the Bronx. And get this, he's yet to get a decision in the new Yankee Stadium. Here's the perfect opportunity.

1♦ N.Y. YANKEES

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sports Gambling Hotline

Philadelphia at NEW YORK

Another comp play winner on Thursday as the Nuggets-Lakers hold UNDER once again.

Now 7 straight Bonus Play winners, 35-19-3 overall comp play run.

MLB total for you tonight, as we like the Phillies and the Yankees to keep the lumber cranking, and Friday night's game in the Bronx to go OVER the posted total.

Both teams went OVER the total on Thursday, as Philadelphia enters this series having played HIGH in 5 of their last 7 contests, while the Yankees OVER last night made it 4 straight in the OVER column. It also ran the new stadium's ledger to 13-5 OVER in the 18 games played there.

There are plenty of big sticks in both lineups, and with ALL 4 of Brett Myers road starts this year playing HIGH, and AJ Burnett still sporting a season ERA over 5, we have a feeling it will be the hitters who have plenty to say about the outcome of this game.

Expect plenty of crooked digits on the Yankee Stadium scoreboard tonight.

Play on the OVER.

3? OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Nick Parsons

LA Angels @ LA Dodgers -125

The Los Angeles Dodgers haven't done well in interleague play in recent years, but that might change given the way they're playing right now. The Dodgers look to move 17 games over .500 for the first time in more than seven years Friday when they open a three-game home series against the Los Angeles Angels. Scioscia's team will get its first look Friday at Clayton Kershaw (2-3, 4.60 ERA), who took a no-hit bid into the eighth inning against Florida on Sunday. Kershaw, who gave up a double to lead off the eighth, allowed one run and one hit over seven-plus innings of a 12-5 victory and I look for him to have another great game; play on the DODGERS!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vegas Experts

New York Mets at Boston Red Sox

The Mets have lost four in a row while Boston has won three straight. Despite playing at home, the Red Sox are underdogs. How can that be? Well, because they're facing Johan Santana, who has a phenomenal 30-5 team start record since 1997. if he did not walk a batter in his last start. An American League veteran, Santana has a career 2.43 ERA vs. Boston. The Sox trot out Dice-K, who is fresh off the DL. He was horrible in two starts prior, posting a 12.80 ERA.

Play on: NY Mets

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tom Freese

Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins May
Prediction: Minnesota Twins

Minnesota is 22-4 their last 26 home games vs. lefty starters and they are 41-15 their last 56 games as home favorites. The Twins are 21-7 vs. AL Central teams and they are 39-12 their last 51 Interleague games. Milwaukee is 3-7 their last 10 meetings with Minnesota and they are 1-6 their last 7 Interleague road games. The Brewers are 3-9 in the last 12 starts made by Manny Parra and they are 0-5 with Parra as an underdog. PLAY ON MINNESOTA - (Slowey vs. Parra)
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on LA Dodgers -123

The Dodgers are 17-3 at home this season and I'll back them tonight behind Clayton Kershaw and his 0.95 home ERA. The Dodgers are a perfect 3-0 in his home starts this season. LAD is 11-0 against the money line in home games after a game where the bullpen gave up no runs this season and 11-1 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. Without Vlad or Abreu, I don't see the Halos having enough fire power to compete against Kershaw tonight.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Matt Rivers

For Friday take the Brewers in Minnesota.

This is certainly far from being a mortal lock but the way Manny Parra has been pitching of late and the way the Brew Crew have been taking care of business over the past month or so I'll take my chances with Milwaukee here at this price.

It's tough to go against Ron Gardenhire's Twins at the Metrodome as they win a lot more than they lose there with the advantage of their turf as well as the roof and other factors but over the past month or so Ryan Braun, Prince Fielder and the Brewers have been arguably the best team in all of baseball and should get another victory today.

Losing Rickie Weeks for the season certainly did not help anything but this Milwaukee team is extremely athletic and talented and should be just fine against Kevin Slowey today. I like the Minnesota righthander as the guy is good but he is also not a guy that I totally fear at all.

Parra was horrific to start the season but has settled in nicely over his past three or four starts and being a lefty against Mauer and Morneau is not a bad thing. I am not expecting a gem at all from the Southpaw but Milwaukee has been playing the much better baseball of late and therefore will back them here, even on the road.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Ryan

Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals
Play: Baltimore Orioles

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Baltimore as they face the Washington Nationals in inter-league play slated to start at 7:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 112-9 making 59 units since 2003. Play on all dogs with a money line of +100 or higher after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games facing an opponent after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Washington is just 17-32 (-15.5 Units) against the money line versus teams outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons; 9-23 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons; 6-18 (-16.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons; 9-23 (-14.2 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons. Zimmerman has not pitched well at all posting an 8.47 ERA over his last 3 starts and a 6.35 ERA for the season spanning 6 starts. Take Baltimore.

 

[smallunits]

Thanks for this, Can'tPickaWinner…I know Sharp was on Washington yesterday, just want to double-check it's his same play today. Is it confirmed? Again, thanks!

I know im not cpaw..but this is confirmed he is on the nats again....gl

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thanks for this, Can'tPickaWinner…I know Sharp was on Washington yesterday, just want to double-check it's his same play today. Is it confirmed? Again, thanks!

yes confirmed -110

 

[boomshakalaka]

I know im not cpaw..but this is confirmed he is on the nats again....gl

Much thanks!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Doc's NHL

3 Chicago
2 Chicago PL
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Doc's Sports

4-Unit Play #507 Take Orlando/Cleveland OVER 188 (8:30 p.m. EST, Friday)

3 Unit Pick #10 Take Chicago (-120) over Detroit (8:05 pm Versus)
2 Unit Pick #10 Take Chicago (-1.5 +235) over Detroit (8:05 pm Versus)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

AJPierzynski


YTD:
1 unit Plays: 230-214 +13.69 units
2 unit Plays: 209-139 +106.48 units
Total: 439-353 +120.17 units

Baltimore Orioles +108 (2 units)
Detroit Tigers -140 (2 units)
Tampa Bay Rays -105 (2 units)
Los Angeles Dodgers -123 (2 units)
Chicago White Sox -118 (2 units)
Cleveland Indians +105 (1 unit)
Texas Rangers -110 (1 unit)
Minnesota Twins -124 (1 unit)
Boston Red Sox +114 (1 unit)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

R&R Totals

MLB | May 22
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners Total 8½ un-115

Free MLB Over-Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pure Lock

MLB | May 22
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers -123

Free MLB Play

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Price

MLB | May 22
Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers -142

Bonus Play for 5/22/09
1 Unit on Detroit Tigers -142
The Tigers enter Interleague play having won 6 in a row to improve to 14-5 at home this season. The Rocks are only 9-14 on the road and they will not have the edge tonight. Detroit sends young gun Rick Porcello to the hill, who is 3-0 with an ERA of just 1.00 over his last 3 starts. He should be plenty good enough to get the job done tonight against a Rockies team averaging only 4.1 runs per game on the road, considering that his team is getting 6.6 runs per game at home. Colorado is 1-14 against the money line in road games after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 3.7 to 8.2 in these games. Take the Tigers.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

EZ'S FREE SELECTION

Game: Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers

(910) Detroit Tigers -$140

(Listing Porcello and Jimenez)

I'm going to keep riding the Tigers as they keep providing
us with free winners! Detroit's rookie starting pitcher Rick
Porcello has great stuff and is starting to put it together. In
his last three starts Porcello is 3-0 with an ERA of 1.00.
I look for him to have another great outing against a Rockies
team that is one of the worst hitting teams in MLB. The
Rockies starting pitcher Ubaldo Jimenez is throwing 99 mph
fastballs, but he is very hittable and very erratic.
I look for the Tigers win again!

2009 Free Selections Record 76-62 (55.1%)