Friday 05/22/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

Search
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">gamehunter

BOSTON +103 (2 UNITS)

PHILADELPHIA +146 (1.5 UNITS)

BALTIMORE +107 (2 UNITS)

OVER TEX/HOU 10.5 RUNS (+105) (1.5 UNITS)

WHITE SOX -116 (2 UNITS)

MINNESOTA -120 (2 UNITS)

KANSAS CITY +126 (1.5 UNITS)

UNDER LAA/LAD 8 RUNS (-119) (2 UNITS)
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Matt Fargo

MLB | May 22
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Oakland Athletics Arizona Diamondbacks +125

Oakland dropped a tough game yesterday, losing to he Rays by allowing three runs in the bottom of the ninth inning. That is a difficult loss to overcome and even though the A�s are heading home, they are in a struggle and should not be laying this kind of number. Oakland has the worst record in the American League and it is just 8-10 at home on the season. The pitching has been decent overall but is has not been successful recently as it has posted a 6.18 ERA over the last 10 games. The offense broke out in the final two games in Tampa Bay with seven and five runs but this offense is still very below average as the A�s are hitting .241 on the season, worst in the American League. Arizona certainly is not better offensively as it is hitting just .234 on the season but it is coming around of late with a .255 average over its last 10 games. Most importantly, it is scoring runs, averaging 6.0 rpg over that span. After starting the season 4-8 on the road, the Diamondbacks have won four of their last five games away from home so there is absolutely no edge for Oakland here on its home field. Trevor Cahill gets the start for the A�s and he has had a solid season thus far but it has been extremely inconsistent. In eight starts, he has allowed two runs or fewer six times but he has also allowed seven runs in the other two games. His ERA sits at 5.01 but even more disturbing is his 1.65 WHIP. That does come down at home but it also goes up in night games to 1.98. He will be opposed by Billy Buckner but is back in the big leagues for his first start since 2007 when he was with the Royals. He pitched well in the Minors before getting called up as he allowed three runs in 16.2 innings in his recent efforts and overall he went 2-2 with a 3.81 ERA in 28.1 innings while allowing just one home run. Oakland is just 3-7 in its last 10 games as a favorite and is 6-18 in its last 24 games after allowing five runs or more in its previous game. 3* Arizona Diamondbacks
<!-- / message -->
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Mikey Sports

MLB | May 22
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners -140

Free MLB Play
<!-- / message -->
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
James Patrick Sports

Red Wings vs. Blackhawks

The World Champions travel to Chicago's United Center to take on the Windy City Boys in Game #3 of the Western Conference Finals. Our Stanley Cup complimentary selection is Detroit Red Wings as the Champs are 24-9 their past 33 games with Chicago and 56-26-6 in Friday action.
<!-- / message -->
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Cajun Sports

Cleveland Indians @ Cincinnati Reds
Selection: 2* Cincinnati Reds -120

Great American Ballpark will be the site of a three-game interleague series between the host Cincinnati Reds and their instate rivals the Cleveland Indians with game one set for Friday night and a first pitch at 7:10PM Eastern Time. The Indians troubles this season have been wide spread with pitching and hitting both falling well below preseason expectations. Cleveland entered their ten-game road trip batting .266 overall and a mere .249 with runners in scoring position. Although they have recently seen those numbers improve while facing the Royals and Rays they have struggled against this Reds team during interleague play. The Indians have hit .248 while losing six of their last seven to the Reds; during four straight losses at Great American they could only manage a batting average of .218. The Reds have seen their bats cool of while losing five of their last six games but they could get a huge boost if first baseman Joey Votto is able to return to their starting lineup tonight, he was hitting .366 before missing their last four games due to an inner ear infection. His return could make an immediate impact in the Reds lineup and that’s not good news for an Indians starter who is struggling on the bump this season. Cleveland will send Anthony Reyes to the hill with his 1-1 W/L record and ERA of 6.56 on the season. Over his last four starts Reyes is 0-1 W/L with an ERA of 8.84. Even though the Reds have been struggling themselves of late they hope to be able to take advantage of Reyes as he is 1-2 W/L with an ERA of 8.53 in four starts versus Cincinnati. Reyes is 0-8 W/L (-9.4) during May starts over the last two seasons. Cleveland is 2-8 W/L their last ten interleague road games, 1-6 W/L their last seven interleague games versus right-handed starters, 1-7 W/L last eight interleague games when installed as an underdog, 1-6 W/L their last seven meetings against Cincinnati and 0-4 W/L their last four meetings in the Queen City. The Reds will send Bronson Arroyo to the bump with his 5-3 W/L record and ERA of 6.56 on the year. The Reds are 16-5 W/L (+10.7) in home games during the month of May over the last two seasons. Cincinnati is 12-5 W/L (+9.8) versus teams whose hitters strikeout seven or more times per game. We also want to Play ON MLB (NL) favorites -110 or higher with an OBP <=.350 against a team with a bullpen WHIP >=1.550 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 or worse on the season, 36-12 W/L (+21.1). With significant technical support for the host and our Pitcher Efficiency Ratings Index projecting Arroyo to give his team a quality start we will lay the short price with the Reds as they get another win versus the Indians in the Queen City on Friday night.

Graded Selection: 2* Cincinnati Reds 6 Cleveland Indians 2
<!-- / message -->
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Scott Rickenbach

San Francisco Giants Money Line (+) @ Seattle

The Giants are absolutely worth a look here. There was a big early line move here and a lot of that had to do with Johnson's struggles and the fact that Vargas had an impressive outing for the Mariners. However, it's so early for Vargas that not so much weight should be put into his early numbers.

As for Johnson, he has recently had to pitch at Colorado and face a couple of tough lineups in his last three starts. Now, going back to Seattle where he pitched so well for so many years, we can absolutely foresee him getting back on track here. He's facing a very weak (and struggling!) lineup in a pitcher's park. That said, we see the Giants giving him enough offensive support here to make San Francisco worthy of a look as a small underdog play on Friday night.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
BRAD DIAMOND SPORTS

Play on: Washington over Baltimore

In Washington, the Orioles come to town in a game that will go a long way to test the fan base of both clubs. Washington is 23-6 as a chalk in Inter-League play, while the Orioles are 1-10 on Friday's. Washington leads the series winning 7 of 10. Back the Nationals to pick up a big win tonight.
<!-- / message -->
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Jeff Benton

Not only did the Lakers’ pathetic performance at the free-throw line down the stretch last night cost me my 20 Dime Best Bet, it cost me my third straight free-play winner on the game going OVER the total, as it missed by three points. Let’s get back on track Friday with our first interleague freebie of the baseball season, backing the Dodgers against the Angels.

The Halos have had their neighbor’s number recently, but last year, the Dodgers at least managed a split of a the six-game interleague series, winning two of the three contests at home while giving up a grand total of one run – yes ONE run – in those three contests at Dodger Stadium. Tonight, Joe Torre gives the ball to young lefty Clayton Kershaw, who came within six out of a no-hitter on Sunday at the Marlins.

Moreover, the 22-year-old has given up just two runs and nine hits with six walks and 21 strikeouts in 19 innings pitched at home, with the Dodgers winning all three of his home starts. By comparison, the Angels’ Jered Weaver is 3-0 with a 1.23 ERA in five home starts (four of them Angels wins), but 0-2 with a 5.21 ERA in three road efforts (all Angels losses).

Finally, the Dodgers are 17-3 at home this season and 43-14 in their last 57 as a host, while the Halos have dropped four of seven on their current road trip and are just 9-11 as a visitor this season. Back Kershaw and the rested Dodgers – they had Thursday off after sweeping the Mets in a three-game series – at this very reasonable price.

4♦ L.A. DODGERS
<!-- / message -->
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Scott Delaney

Nice little 3-0 spurt with the comp plays and tonight we're going to play the low number between the Red Sox and Mets today, as I believe Dice K and Johan Santana will end up in a pitchers' duel.

Diving into the numbers to assist us with this comp play, we find the low number is 7-2 in Santana’s last nine starts overall, 4-0 in his last four on Friday nights, 6-2 when Matsuzaka toes the slab at Fenway and 5-2 in his last seven Interleague contests.

On top of that, the under is on streaks of 4-1-1 for Boston overall, 40-19-7 for New York on Friday and 8-2-2 in this East Coast rivalry.

No question we're in store for a low-scoring game.

Play Mets/Red Sox Under
<!-- / message -->
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Tony Weston

We finally break through in a one-run game as the Diamondbacks pull off the win last night and hand us a W in this spot.

We’re staying in Florida as we’re taking the Tampa Bay Rays on the road at the Marlins.

The Rays come into tonight’s game having won 5 of their last 7 games and are 10-6 their last 16 games overall.

Now Tampa battles a Florida team that has gone totally in the tank after getting off to a strong start when the season was first underway.

After starting the season 11-1 the Marlins have won only 8 of their last 30 games overall and are only 2-9 their last 11 games overall.

Over their last 10 home games Florida has only 2 wins and have only won 3 of their last 14 games in front of the home fans.

Tonight, the Marlins will drop another one in front of the home fans as the Rays get over tonight.

3♦ RAYS
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Bobby Maxwell

N.Y. Mets at BOSTON +115

We scored our second straight FREE winner Thursday with the Padres as they beat the Giants in San Diego with a ninth-inning rally. Today we've got our third straight comp winner as we go with the Red Sox at home against the Mets.

The Mets go limping back to the East Coast after losing four straight in California. They dropped the final game in San Francisco on Sunday and then got swept in a three-game set in Los Angeles.

Now they go to Boston where the red-hot Red Sox are waiting and ready to welcome back starter Daisuke Matsuzaka (0-1, 12.79 ERA) tonight. We're playing Boston tonight who are coming in off a 5-1 win Thursday and a three-game sweep of the Blue Jays. The Red Sox have won four of their last five overall and allowed just 10 runs in those five games.

Matsuzaka has been on the DL since April 14. In his career, he is 17-8 with a 4.18 ERA in 21 starts in Fenway Park, but today is he first outing against the Mets.

New York has Johan Santana (5-2, 1.36 ERA) on the mound tonight who is coming off his worst outing of the year when he gave up six runs in seven innings in San Francisco on Saturday. In his career against the Red Sox, Santana is 4-4 with a 3.40 ERA in 12 appearances agaisnt Boston, including nine starts.

New York is coming in off a long flight and won't be ready for the Red Sox. And you know they'll get a good effort from Matsuzaka tonight. This one will be low scoring but give the Red Sox the edge.

2♦ BOSTON
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
DUNKEL

Orlando at Cleveland

The Cavs look to bounce back from their Game One loss and build on their 7-0-1 ATS record in their last 8 games when playing with 1 day of rest. Cleveland is the pick (-9) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-9).

Game 507-508: Orlando at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 122.766; Cleveland 133.302
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 10 1/2; 187 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 9; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-9); Under


MLB

Milwaukee at Minnesota

The Twins are coming off a 20-1 romp over the White Sox and look to build on their 10-1 record in Kevin Slowey's last 11 starts after scoring 5 or more runs in their previous game. Minnesota is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Twins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+105).

Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Zambrano) 14.553; San Diego (Peavy) 15.828
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-140); Under

Game 903-904: NY Mets at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 16.283; Boston (Matsuzaka) 15.515
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-140); Under

Game 905-906: Philadelphia at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Myers) 16.852; NY Yankees (Burnett) 15.910
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 12
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-160); 11
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+150); Over

Game 907-908: Baltimore at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hill) 15.011; Washington (Zimmerman) 14.007
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Washington (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+115); Over

Game 909-910: Colorado at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 14.875; Detroit (Porcello) 16.285
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-135); Over

Game 911-912: Tampa Bay at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) 14.291; Florida (Nolasco) 15.377
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Florida (-115); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-115); Over

Game 913-914: Cleveland at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Reyes) 14.921; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.493
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-125); Over

Game 915-916: Toronto at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Halladay) 15.731; Atlanta (Kawakami) 14.235
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-165); Over

Game 917-918: Texas at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 15.325; Houston (Paulino) 16.678
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-110); Under

Game 919-920: Pittsburgh at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 13.544; White Sox (Floyd) 14.912
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+105); Over

Game 921-922: Milwaukee at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Parra) 15.313; Minnesota (Slowey) 16.228
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+105); Under

Game 923-924: Kansas City at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davies) 15.275; St. Louis (Wellemeyer) 15.025
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Under

Game 925-926: Arizona at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Buckner) 14.935; Oakland (Cahill) 15.956
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-145); Over

Game 927-928: San Francisco at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Johnson) 15.513; Seattle (Vargas) 13.837
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+120); Under

Game 929-930: LA Angels at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 17.167; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.007
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+115); Under


NHL

Detroit at Chicago

The Red Wings look to build on their 10-4 record in their last 14 road games. Detroit is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+120).

Game 9-10: Detroit at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 13.720; Chicago 11.930
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+120); Under
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Sportsbettingstats

Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers

The Magic shocked the Cavs by winning game 1 and the Cavs need to win this game tonight, as they will be in major trouble if the lose this game and head to Orlando down 2-0 in this series. The Cavs had the best defense in the NBA this year, but in game 1 the Magic put up 107 points on them and allowed them to shoot just over 55% from the field. The Cavs were up by 15 points at halftime and let the Magic back into the game, as in the 2nd half the Magic shot 59% from the field, went 7/13 on 3-pointers and outscored Cleveland 59-43. One of the main reasons that the Cavs lost is that their 2nd and 3rd scoring options had a bad game, as Delonte West and Mo Williams combined for 28 points and only shot a combined 10/29 from the floor including only hitting 5 of 16 3-pointers. King James did have a huge game going for 49 points, but he needs some help tonight on the offensive end of the court.

The Magic won game 1 on Wednesday night 107-106. For the game the Magic shot well going 43/78 for a FG% of 55.1% and the Cavs shot 43/88 for a FG% of 48.9%. This season the Magic ranked 4th in scoring (101 ppg) and the Cavaliers ranked 13th (100.3 ppg). On D the Cavaliers were the best in the league ranking 1st in points allowed (91.3 ppg) and the Magic ranked 6th (94.4 ppg).

Cleveland needs to get back to their bread and butter, which is playing solid defense. Dwight Howard had a big game (30 points 13 rebounds), but his supporting cast was huge, as Hedo Turkoglu had 15 points and 14 assists and Rashard Lewis scored 22 points on 9/13 shooting and hit the game winning shot. The Cleveland Bench was non-existent in game 1, as they had a grand total of 5 points. Even though the Magic won game 1 they have to hold onto the rock better, as they had 13 turnovers and the Cavs only had 5. Cleveland has to play better perimeter defense and not allow the Magic to have open looks from deep, as in game 1 the Magic shot a 3-pt FG% of 45%. All the pressure is on the Cavs tonight, as this is a must win game for them.

Staff Pick: The Cavs have to play better D tonight and they will do just that, as they will win this game, cover the spread, and tie this series at a game apiece.

Cavaliers 99 Magic 89
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,120,315
Messages
13,580,186
Members
100,962
Latest member
habibroshan0
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com