Fore! 2018

[lostinamerica]

Portugal Masters:

Outrights:

Robert Rock(66/1) e.w.
Julien Guerrier(125/1) e.w.
Nacho Elvira(33/1) e.w.
George Coetzee(40/1) e.w.
Raphael Jacquelin(300/1) e.w.
Nicolas Colsaerts(75/1) e.w.
Tom Lewis(50/1) e.w.
Ricardo Gouveia(175/1) e.w.
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano(250/1) e.w.
Pablo Larrazabal(55/1) e.w.
Matthew Southgate(10/1) e.w.
Oliver Fisher(200/1) e.w.
- - A Palmer design. Do I have any reason to feel lucky? Are we near Barcelona? Allez les Bleus!

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Tour Championship:

Outrights:

Tiger Woods(12/1) e.w.
Cameron Smith(50/1) e.w.
Bubba Watson(40/1) e.w.
Billy Horschel(25/1) e.w.
Webb Simpson(25/1) e.w.
- - 5 selections in a field of 30 with no long odds is not a recipe for long term success, and this is in an event in which I don’t recall doing very well since omg Chad Campbell @ 40/1 back in 2003 . . . I feel comfortable with my play on Tiger, and I feel there is no way I can give a shout to Matsuyama, but after that I feel I’m just guessing among a large number of other players with legitimate claims, including Horschel . . . I don’t really think Bubba is going to be your winner, but I’m just looking for a betting interest on someone at more than 28/1, and then I decided I like the look of Cameron Smith better. Finally, just on the basis of wanting at least one more play, I’ll let Webb Simpson carry my cash even though I’ve been wrong on him both good and bad for at least two seasons.

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Sanford International:

Tom Lehman(22/1) e.w.
Billy Andrade(40/1) e.w.
Jerry Smith(100/1) e.w.
Rocco Mediate(110/1) e.w.
Stephen Ames(140/1) e.w.
- - My life in golf started when an 8 year old from Sioux Falls, South Dakota moved in as our new neighbor.

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Sunday:

Horschel(+105) over Finau
Woods(+105) over McIlroy
- - Capping and pulling the trigger from the matchups menu to knock off the rust as "Ryder Cup practice".

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Ryder Cup:


Top American:

Webb Simpson(20/1)
Jordan Spieth(+850)
Tony Finau(25/1)
Tiger Woods(+750)


Top European:

Ian Poulter(10/1)
Tommy Fleetwood(+750)


Top Combined:

Ian Poulter(16/1) e.w.
Phil Mickelson(40/1) e.w.


- - I doubt the first pairings impact the odds too much, but just in case I'll get my plays in now. I’ll opt for more choices and fewer e.w. wagers.


- - I’ll take a stab at guessing the first day pairings:

1. Reed & Spieth
2. Woods & DeChambeau
3. Simpson & Johnson
4. Fowler & Thomas or Fowler & Mickelson

1. Fleetwood & Rose
2. Poulter & Hatton
3. Molinari & Noren
4. McIlroy & Rahm


1. Spieth & Thomas
2. Woods & DeChambeau
3. Johnson & Koepka
4. Fowler & Finau

1. Molinari & Fleetwood
2. Rose & Stenson
3. Poulter & Rahm
4. McIlroy & Casey


- - With a task force and Presidents Cups and priorities and player relationships, I think the angle of Europeans being a more connected team is a thing of the past. I think the venue offers a solid home field advantage. I know the spectator experience and the television visuals from Le Golf National will have a spectacular flavor.


GL

 

[lostinamerica]

U.S.A.(-145) over Europe

Koepka/Finau(+125) over Rose/Rahm

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Johnson/Fowler(-125) over Stenson/Rose
Molinari/Fleetwood(+100) over Spieth/Thomas

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Pure Insurance:

Outrights:

Paul Broadhurst(20/1) e.w.
Jeff Maggert(66/1) e.w.
Paul Goydos(70/1) e.w.
Mark O'Meara(100/1) e.w.
Jesper Parnevik(100/1) e.w.
Tom Watson(150/1) e.w.

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Molinari/Fleetwood(-125) over Woods/Reed
Johnson/Fowler(-160) over Casey/Hatton
- - Already looking at Koepka (with Johnson?) and Woods (not with DeChambeau?) as having crucial afternoon matches.

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Thomas/Spieth(-110) over Poulter/McIlroy
- - Not keen on much in the afternoon except any possible ticket the U.S.A. has of holing 100 to 200 feet of putts per match absolutely starts by hitting fairways.

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

As I stated yesterday at daybreak, I was expecting that Koepka and Woods would have crucial afternoon matches. As I feared, both were big asks.

If there is to be any drama on Sunday, Koepka and Simpson have crucial matches.

I should have made my Sunday plays as soon as the lines became available, because every one except Woods has moved significantly against me, so much so I shouldn't even bother with a play on Molinari.

Thomas(-125) over McIlroy
Molinari(-250) over Mickelson
Woods(-125) over Rahm
Hatton(-110) over Reed

There's a good chance I'll add plays on Poulter(+120) and Simpson(+140) because it's been such a good season I can make lots of plays between now and Christmas just for the heck of it.

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Poulter(+120) over Johnson
Simpson(+140) over Rose

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Through 39 weeks:
Outrights YTD: 53-461 (+211.53*)
Matchups YTD: 48-41 (+6.50*)


Dunhill Links:

Tony Finau(16/1) e.w.
Ross Fisher(40/1) e.w.
Tom Lewis(50/1) e.w.
Marcus Kinhult(110/1) e.w.
Chris Paisley(125/1) e.w.
Marc Warren(125/1) e.w.
Richie Ramsay(125/1) e.w.
Thomas Aiken(250/1) e.w.
Trevor Immelman(250/1) e.w.
Edoardo Molinari(400/1) e.w.


GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Safeway Open:

Outrights:

Beau Hossler(35/1) e.w.
Sang-Moon Bae(40/1) e.w.
Peter Uihlein(45/1) e.w.
Andrew Landry(66/1) e.w.
Lucas Glover(80/1) e.w.
Hunter Mahan(80/1) e.w.
Nick Watney(100/1) e.w.
J.J. Spaun(110/1) e.w.
Chad Campbell(140/1) e.w.
Maverick McNealy(300/1) e.w.
- - A nice synopsis of the 2018 Web.com graduates:
http://www.sundogsgolfworld.com/web.com-graduates-2018

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

CIMB Classic:

Outrights:

Xander Schauffele(16/1) e.w.
Cameron Smith(28/1) e.w.
Kiradech Aphibarnrat(66/1) e.w.
Si Woo Kim(66/1) e.w.
Keith Mitchell(100/1) e.w.

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

British Masters:

Outrights:

Matthew Fitzpatrick(25/1) e.w.
Andrew Johnston(66/1) e.w.
Marcus Kinhult(70/1) e.w.
Robert Rock(80/1) e.w.
Matthieu Pavon(150/1) e.w.
Lee Slattery(160/1) e.w.
Ryan Evans(600/1) e.w.
Haotong Li(30/1) e.w.
Thorbjorn Olesen(25/1) e.w.

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

SAS Championship:

Outrights:

Glen Day(45/1) e.w.
Michael Bradley(80/1) e.w.
Rocco Mediate(100/1) e.w.

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

CJ Cup:

Outrights:

Paul Casey(22/1) e.w.
Gary Woodland)33/1) e.w.
Kyle Stanley(50/1) e.w.
Ian Poulter(55/1) e.w.
J. B. Holmes(66/1) e.w.

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Valderrama Masters:

Outrights:

Soren Kjeldsen(20/1) e.w.
Marcus Kinhult(28/1) e.w.
Richie Ramsay(55/1) e.w.
Ricardo Gouveia(66/1) e.w.
Ashley Chesters(70/1) e.w.
Nino Bertasio(100/1) e.w.
Matteo Manassero(140/1) e.w.
Soomin Lee(250/1) e.w.
David Drysdale(110/1) e.w.

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

HSBC Champions:

Outrights:

Brooks Koepka(8/1) e.w.
Jason Day(16/1) e.w.
Matt Wallace(80/1) e.w.
Branden Grace(100/1) e.w.
Kiradech Aphibarnrat(125/1) e.w.
Shubhankar Sharma(200/1) e.w.
Patton Kizzire(350/1) e.w.

GL