147th Open Championship:
OUTRIGHTS:
Tiger Woods(28/1) e.w.
Marc Leishman(45/1) e.w.
Zach Johnson(100/1) e.w.
Brandt Snedeker(125/1) e.w.
Danny Willett(50/1) e.w. Top European
Matthew Southgate(50/1) e.w. Top European
Brandt Snedeker(45/1) e.w. Top American
Peter Uihlein(60/1) Top American
Hao Tong Li(22/1) e.w. Top Rest of World
Dylan Fritteli(33/1) e.w. Top Rest of World
Danny Willett(100/1) First Round Leader
Jason Dufner(125/1) e.w. First Round Leader
MATCHUPS:
Leishman(-115) over Matsuyama (Tournament)
Fleetwood(+115) over McIlroy (Tournament)
Rose(+130) over Spieth/Aphibarnrat (Thursday)
GL
OUTRIGHTS:
Tiger Woods(28/1) e.w.
Marc Leishman(45/1) e.w.
Zach Johnson(100/1) e.w.
Brandt Snedeker(125/1) e.w.
Danny Willett(50/1) e.w. Top European
Matthew Southgate(50/1) e.w. Top European
Brandt Snedeker(45/1) e.w. Top American
Peter Uihlein(60/1) Top American
Hao Tong Li(22/1) e.w. Top Rest of World
Dylan Fritteli(33/1) e.w. Top Rest of World
Danny Willett(100/1) First Round Leader
Jason Dufner(125/1) e.w. First Round Leader
MATCHUPS:
Leishman(-115) over Matsuyama (Tournament)
Fleetwood(+115) over McIlroy (Tournament)
Rose(+130) over Spieth/Aphibarnrat (Thursday)
GL
Saturday:
Tiger has caught absolutely no breaks with the conditions in the draw, has accordingly shown great patience with his approach shots, and has a nice feel for the speed of the greens; he will not be going backwards from T-29 over the weekend . . . The course does favor left to right, which gives Noren a glimmer, gives Reed a beast, and Mickelson is sharper than I expected but not a threat . . . If Jordan Spieth wins playing this far from his best golf, then this time right now is anything but some golden era in the game . . . Danny Willet will still stay sharp, but some strain might show, and a tiny step back might be more likely than a serious push forward . . . If the bet was offered at -120, my strongest play going forward would be Tommy Fleetwood playing the last 36 holes in fewer strokes than Rory McIlroy . . . In the build up to Thursday I started doubting whether the plotters would really have an advantage over the aggressive bombers, but in the final analysis thought it was probably the case, and I think two days have shown it to be mostly true, and will surely be the handiest road to the clubhouse if making a push for the title on Sunday (if Koepka was closer to the lead I would be fearful of a path for him, but I don’t think he’s going to be awesome enough to get the job done from where he sits) . . . At the start of the week I was tempted to make plays on lots of low numbers, but decided that was not worth a commitment, and am very glad I stayed away . . . Yesterday it was an obvious choice for me to add Pat Perez to my team at his huge price; nothing comparable that I like to today, but with a gun to my head and forced to take someone at 80/1 or more, I’d lean toward Webb Simpson at 125/1 or Kyle Stanley at 200/1 or Chris Wood at 500/1 for entertainment purposes . . . I played 8 matchups yesterday, and could have easily added 6 more, and would have been fine in doing so; today I’m struggling to find matchups that jump out to me (would love Woods over Mickelson), but going with these . . .
Molinari(-115) over Day
Willett(-110) over Hoffman
Fleetwood(-110) over McIlroy
Kisner(+140) over Z.Johnson
Eish . . .
GL
Tiger has caught absolutely no breaks with the conditions in the draw, has accordingly shown great patience with his approach shots, and has a nice feel for the speed of the greens; he will not be going backwards from T-29 over the weekend . . . The course does favor left to right, which gives Noren a glimmer, gives Reed a beast, and Mickelson is sharper than I expected but not a threat . . . If Jordan Spieth wins playing this far from his best golf, then this time right now is anything but some golden era in the game . . . Danny Willet will still stay sharp, but some strain might show, and a tiny step back might be more likely than a serious push forward . . . If the bet was offered at -120, my strongest play going forward would be Tommy Fleetwood playing the last 36 holes in fewer strokes than Rory McIlroy . . . In the build up to Thursday I started doubting whether the plotters would really have an advantage over the aggressive bombers, but in the final analysis thought it was probably the case, and I think two days have shown it to be mostly true, and will surely be the handiest road to the clubhouse if making a push for the title on Sunday (if Koepka was closer to the lead I would be fearful of a path for him, but I don’t think he’s going to be awesome enough to get the job done from where he sits) . . . At the start of the week I was tempted to make plays on lots of low numbers, but decided that was not worth a commitment, and am very glad I stayed away . . . Yesterday it was an obvious choice for me to add Pat Perez to my team at his huge price; nothing comparable that I like to today, but with a gun to my head and forced to take someone at 80/1 or more, I’d lean toward Webb Simpson at 125/1 or Kyle Stanley at 200/1 or Chris Wood at 500/1 for entertainment purposes . . . I played 8 matchups yesterday, and could have easily added 6 more, and would have been fine in doing so; today I’m struggling to find matchups that jump out to me (would love Woods over Mickelson), but going with these . . .
Molinari(-115) over Day
Willett(-110) over Hoffman
Fleetwood(-110) over McIlroy
Kisner(+140) over Z.Johnson
Eish . . .
GL
