6/12 results - tough push on Poland PK, but from what I saw and the actual Polish goal, a fair result for the Austrians. Croatians ran circles around Germany today, Germany wasn't crisp or quick and their defense looked shaky as all hell.
- Germany PK -358 for 3 - loser
- Germany -1 +138 for 1 - loser
- Germany/Croatia >2 -143 for 4 - winner
- Exact Score, Germany 2/Cro 0 +590 for .5 - loser
- Exact Score, Germany 2/Cro 1 +767 for .5 - loser
- Germany scores first -167 for 1 - loser
- Klose first goal +467 for .5 - loser
- Germany PK 1H -279 for 2 - loser
- Poland PK -134 for 3 units - push
6/12:
1-7-1 -16.49
YTD:
Total = 26-16-3 +8.5657
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 18-14-2 +11.6583
Still Pending:
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5
- Germany PK -358 for 3 - loser
- Germany -1 +138 for 1 - loser
- Germany/Croatia >2 -143 for 4 - winner
- Exact Score, Germany 2/Cro 0 +590 for .5 - loser
- Exact Score, Germany 2/Cro 1 +767 for .5 - loser
- Germany scores first -167 for 1 - loser
- Klose first goal +467 for .5 - loser
- Germany PK 1H -279 for 2 - loser
- Poland PK -134 for 3 units - push
6/12:
1-7-1 -16.49
YTD:
Total = 26-16-3 +8.5657
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 18-14-2 +11.6583
Still Pending:
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5
6/13:
- Italy/Romania >2 -115 for 2 units
- France/Netherlands >2 -105 for 2 units
Pretty much everyone other than the Dutch are in a must win situation to avoid having to win their final game so there shouldn't be any sitting back and playing anti-football like the French Colonies and Romanians did the other day. Given the Dutch defense is generally sub-par and their propensity for attacking football, having them in the "we can sit back" position is the best of the lot. Combine that with positive offensive changes by both the French and Italians (in, ADP, De Rossi, Perotta, out DiNatale, Gattuso and Ambrosini) and I expect some goals today.
YTD:
Total = 26-16-3 +8.5657
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 18-14-2 +11.6583
Still Pending:
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5
- Italy/Romania >2 -115 for 2 units
- France/Netherlands >2 -105 for 2 units
Pretty much everyone other than the Dutch are in a must win situation to avoid having to win their final game so there shouldn't be any sitting back and playing anti-football like the French Colonies and Romanians did the other day. Given the Dutch defense is generally sub-par and their propensity for attacking football, having them in the "we can sit back" position is the best of the lot. Combine that with positive offensive changes by both the French and Italians (in, ADP, De Rossi, Perotta, out DiNatale, Gattuso and Ambrosini) and I expect some goals today.
YTD:
Total = 26-16-3 +8.5657
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 18-14-2 +11.6583
Still Pending:
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5
6/13 reults: - well, my analysis was pretty spot on as both games were wide open. Should have won Italy if not for a heroic effort for the Gypsies keeper, dodgy offside call and a missed PK and now the Dutch are up on the French Colonies 3-1.
- Italy/Romania >2 -115 for 2 units - push
- France/Netherlands >2 -105 for 2 units - winner
1-0-1 +2
YTD:
Total = 27-16-4 +10.5657
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 19-14-3 +13.6583
Still Pending:
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5
- Italy/Romania >2 -115 for 2 units - push
- France/Netherlands >2 -105 for 2 units - winner
1-0-1 +2
YTD:
Total = 27-16-4 +10.5657
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 19-14-3 +13.6583
Still Pending:
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5
6/14:
- Spain/Sweden >2 -140 for 2 units
YTD:
Total = 27-16-4 +10.5657
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 19-14-3 +13.6583
Still Pending:
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5
- Spain/Sweden >2 -140 for 2 units
YTD:
Total = 27-16-4 +10.5657
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 19-14-3 +13.6583
Still Pending:
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5
6/14 Adding: I see a low scoring game here, especially with Sweden losing, that opens the door for Russia and, to a lesser extent. Greece plays their crappy anti-football and I expect it again. Russia's attack is still pretty decimated with the suspension and injury to their two best players. Biggest concern is Russia's poor D, but Greece doesn't attack much anyway.
- Russia 0/Greece 0 +674 for .5 units
- Russia 1/Greece 0 +647 for .5 units
- Russia 0/Greece 1 +767 for .5 units
- Russia 1/Greece 1 +590 for .5 units
- Russia 0/Greece 0 +674 for .5 units
- Russia 1/Greece 0 +647 for .5 units
- Russia 0/Greece 1 +767 for .5 units
- Russia 1/Greece 1 +590 for .5 units
Not really, risking 2 units on <2.5 would win ~1.3 units, depending which of these hit I would be between ~1.5 units and ~2.2 units, but I also lose on a 2-0 in either direction. More reward for more risk. I really don't see either team scoring 2 goals though. Greece will lock down if up 1-0 and I think their D is good enough to prevent Russia from scoring a second goal if Russia scores first.
6/14 Results: Thanks J Grif
- Spain/Sweden >2 -140 for 2 units - winner
- Spain/Sweden >1 1H +114 for 2 units - winner
- Russia 0/Greece 0 +674 for .5 units - loser
- Russia 1/Greece 0 +647 for .5 units - winner
- Russia 0/Greece 1 +767 for .5 units - loser
- Russia 1/Greece 1 +590 for .5 units - loser
3-3 +6.015
YTD:
Total = 30-19-4 +16.5807
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 22-17-3 +19.6733
Still Pending:
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5
- Spain/Sweden >2 -140 for 2 units - winner
- Spain/Sweden >1 1H +114 for 2 units - winner
- Russia 0/Greece 0 +674 for .5 units - loser
- Russia 1/Greece 0 +647 for .5 units - winner
- Russia 0/Greece 1 +767 for .5 units - loser
- Russia 1/Greece 1 +590 for .5 units - loser
3-3 +6.015
YTD:
Total = 30-19-4 +16.5807
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 22-17-3 +19.6733
Still Pending:
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5
6/15 - Happy Father's Day to all. These games tend to be wide open with little tackling or defense when no one is playing for anything. I think Portugal will still have enough (and maybe more than usual) in attack with Quaresma, Hugo Almeida and Nani in attack.
- Portugal PK -131 for 1 unit
- Portugal/Switzerland >3 +186 for 1 unit
YTD:
Total = 30-19-4 +16.5807
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 22-17-3 +19.6733
Still Pending:
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5
- Portugal PK -131 for 1 unit
- Portugal/Switzerland >3 +186 for 1 unit
YTD:
Total = 30-19-4 +16.5807
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 22-17-3 +19.6733
Still Pending:
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5
6/15 Results - I am going to grade round robins as 1 play, loss or win, depending on results
- Portugal PK -131 for 1 unit - loss
- Portugal/Switzerland >3 +186 for 1 unit - loss
- Mexico -2135/US -2000/Argentina -700 2 & 3 team round robin - loss
0-3 -9.562
YTD:
Total = 30-22-4 +7.0187
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 22-19-3 +17.3633
WCQ10 = 0-0 (RR 0-1) -7.252
Still Pending:
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5
- Portugal PK -131 for 1 unit - loss
- Portugal/Switzerland >3 +186 for 1 unit - loss
- Mexico -2135/US -2000/Argentina -700 2 & 3 team round robin - loss
0-3 -9.562
YTD:
Total = 30-22-4 +7.0187
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 22-19-3 +17.3633
WCQ10 = 0-0 (RR 0-1) -7.252
Still Pending:
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5
6/16: - Germany needs a result to advance and outclass Austria by miles. I am basically doubling down on them advancing, just can't see them losing this game.
- Germany PK -763 - 2 units
- Germany -1 -147 - 2 units
- Germany scores 1st -337 (this is the play where 0-0 is a push) - 2 units
- Germany PK 1H -520 - 2 units
YTD:
Total = 30-22-4 +7.0187
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 22-19-3 +17.3633
WCQ10 = 0-0 (RR 0-1) -7.252
Still Pending:
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5
- Germany PK -763 - 2 units
- Germany -1 -147 - 2 units
- Germany scores 1st -337 (this is the play where 0-0 is a push) - 2 units
- Germany PK 1H -520 - 2 units
YTD:
Total = 30-22-4 +7.0187
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 22-19-3 +17.3633
WCQ10 = 0-0 (RR 0-1) -7.252
Still Pending:
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5
6/16 results: Well, not exactly pretty, but I will take it.
- Germany PK -763 - 2 units - win
- Germany -1 -147 - 2 units - push
- Germany scores 1st -337 (this is the play where 0-0 is a push) - 2 units - win
- Germany PK 1H -520 - 2 units - push
- Germany PK 2H -473 - 2 units - win
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1 - win
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2 - win
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5 - win
6-0-2 +10.5
YTD:
Total = 36-22-6 +17.5187
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 28-19-5 +27.8633
WCQ10 = 0-0 (RR 0-1) -7.252
- Germany PK -763 - 2 units - win
- Germany -1 -147 - 2 units - push
- Germany scores 1st -337 (this is the play where 0-0 is a push) - 2 units - win
- Germany PK 1H -520 - 2 units - push
- Germany PK 2H -473 - 2 units - win
- Germany -736 to advance 7.36 to win 1 - win
- Austria -533 to be eliminated 10.66 to win 2 - win
- Spain -395 to advance 5.925 to win 1.5 - win
6-0-2 +10.5
YTD:
Total = 36-22-6 +17.5187
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 28-19-5 +27.8633
WCQ10 = 0-0 (RR 0-1) -7.252
6/17: Everyone has to score except the Dutch and they are the team you want in that position. Italy and France, although both with tremendous defenses, can't sit back and have to come out playing. Romania can't hope a draw is enough so they too will be drawn out and the Dutch are all attack, all the time and fantastic on the counter. Definitely think we will see some goals today
- Italy/France >2 -144 - 2 units
- NED/Romania >2 -153 - 2 units
- NED/Romania >1 1H +113 - 2 units
YTD:
Total = 36-22-6 +17.5187
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 28-19-5 +27.8633
WCQ10 = 0-0 (RR 0-1) -7.252
- Italy/France >2 -144 - 2 units
- NED/Romania >2 -153 - 2 units
- NED/Romania >1 1H +113 - 2 units
YTD:
Total = 36-22-6 +17.5187
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 28-19-5 +27.8633
WCQ10 = 0-0 (RR 0-1) -7.252
6/17: Was watching Italy so I didn't see the Dutch game, but I guess they had some easy opportunities in the first half that they didn't finish. Anyway, super happy and a bit surprised that the Italians made it through.
- Italy/France >2 -144 - 2 units - push
- NED/Romania >2 -153 - 2 units - push
- NED/Romania >1 1H +113 - 2 units - loss
0-1-2 -2 units
YTD:
Total = 36-23-8 +15.5187
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 28-20-7 +25.8633
WCQ10 = 0-0 (RR 0-1) -7.252
- Italy/France >2 -144 - 2 units - push
- NED/Romania >2 -153 - 2 units - push
- NED/Romania >1 1H +113 - 2 units - loss
0-1-2 -2 units
YTD:
Total = 36-23-8 +15.5187
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 28-20-7 +25.8633
WCQ10 = 0-0 (RR 0-1) -7.252
6/18: Results:
- Russia/Sweden >2 -126 - 2 units - push
- Spain -125 - 2 units - win
- Russia/Sweden >1 1H +140 - 2 units - push
- Spain PK 1H -251 - 2 units - loss
1-1-2 for -3.02
YTD:
Total = 37-24-10 +12.4987
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 29-21-9 +22.8433
WCQ10 = 0-0 (RR 0-1) -7.252
- Russia/Sweden >2 -126 - 2 units - push
- Spain -125 - 2 units - win
- Russia/Sweden >1 1H +140 - 2 units - push
- Spain PK 1H -251 - 2 units - loss
1-1-2 for -3.02
YTD:
Total = 37-24-10 +12.4987
2008 Friendlies = 8-2-1 -3.0926
Euro 2008 = 29-21-9 +22.8433
WCQ10 = 0-0 (RR 0-1) -7.252
