FYI:
-This was the rest of my plays I released in my CFB-Early Set...on Rivalry Saturday.
*SATURDAY'S PLAYS (11-19):
{CFB- PLAYS}
**Special-TOP RATED UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE DAY ON: (4 Units)
Oklahoma St +3
-Baylor has to be totally depressed after what happened down the stretch...Losing 5 straight games and 6 of 7 after they started out going 4-1 and thinking of going bowling this year...Well, I think they were so excited and were talking so much about getting to a bowl and how good they were early this year, that they forgot the big boys that they still needed to go through inorder to get there...Everyone was hyping this Bears team up and they started to play well...beating Iowa St and then coming close to beating Oklahoma as well...But we have to remember, they caught an Iowa St that lost its way mid-season but found it down the stretch...and Oklahoma simply was not even looking at Baylor as any threat but had enough to hold on....Then the Big Boys came in and knocked the rest of what was a Baylor supposedly on the rise back to reality where they really belong...and, those beatings must of put major dents in this team that was full of steam early...As the sayings goes, never count your eggs before they hatch..Or, its not how you start but how you finish, that counts...
In Baylors case, they have been consistant poor finisher down the stretch the past few years...and this year is no exception...And, if you think that the Bears are good cause they upset Iowa St...Well, we should know by know that Baylor is always good to pull one upset over a Big 12 opponent each year, as they have done that in 2003 with their upset of Colorado 42-30...And they did it again, in their upset of Texas A&M, the following year 35-34...And this season just like the previous two, they pulled the upset of Iowa St ...However, besides this one upset a year trend that the Bears have continued...They also have been consistantly following another trend as well each of the past 3 seasons following that big upset...And that is, they followed that win with losing the rest of their games down the stretch...In 2003, after they upset Colorado...they went on to lose their next 7 games.....In 2004, after they upset Texas A&M, they went on to lose their final 3 games....And so far this year, after they upset Iowa St, they are again on track to end the year on another losing slide...as they so far have lost 5 straight, with this game with the Cowboys left to complete the slide completely, just like the previous years...
Another thing also that should be noticed is the fact that this season ending slides that the Bears have been consistantly following...It should be noted that everyone of those games, since 2003, have been lost by DD blowouts...This year, besides the 6 point lost to Oklahoma lost, the Bears are getting once again losing by DD blowouts...I like this trend to continue on its path like it has the past two seasons...eventhough the Cowboys are the weakest team they will be facing since that upset of Iowa St back on Oct 8.
One main reason why I like Oklahoma St to come out and take this one in solid fashion is due to the fact, that this season unlike the others, the Bears still had a chance to go bowling...until the 2nd to last week of the season....All they had to do was beat Missouri and then beat this Cowboys team, and they would become Bowl eligible for the first time since 1994....They gave it a shot but was simply outmatched by Smith and Missouri, thus ending any chances for a bowl once more...Now, they enter this game with nothing at all to play for...And, after all they went through and having all their hopes riding on a bowl this season...to fall short once more, has just got to be to hard for them to find any reason to not finish this season with anything else but how they finished the previous two seasons....With another loss..
The Cowboys, on the other hand, after their upset of TT...now find themselves in the same situation as the Bears were in...And, if the Cowboys win their last two games vs Baylor and then against Oklahoma they will become bowl eligible and that has got to motivate these Cowboys, who have been playing with alot of pride the last few game, eventhough things were not in their favor at all...After blowing that 19 point half-time lead to Texas...this big upset over TT simply gives this Cowboy team new life and something even more to play for...
Another reason why I love Oklahoma St's chances today is also due to the fact that Baylor's offense has seemed to gone bye-bye....They didnt do anything last week against Missouri, until they were already down 24-0...They did nothing against Texas in their game before that on...Or against TT in the game before Texas...After that win vs Iowa St, Nebraska stole alot of their momentum...which then Oklahoma took alot following...Then the Texas Boys down the stretch took enough...and Missouri, I feel took the remaining steam out of them....Now against this excited Cowboys team, who is coming off a big win, I cant help but to see them getting pounded by that ground game of the Cowboys, which pounded them the past two seasons, during the ending part of both seasons winning by 17 pts and 28 pts...
I think they prematurely allowed themselves to think of the rewards before winning the rights to the rewards....and the media and all didnt help any...and probably made their fall even more harder...
One area which the Bears defense is weak is against the run...and after getting pounded by Texas two weeks ago, and then by Missouri, last week allowing a whopping 298 yards on the ground....I say, that the Bears, who is allowing opponents to average 168.9 ypg rushing per game, provides the perfect softened up opponent for a Cowboy team that is all about the running game...
Leading the Ground Em and Pound Em today will be the Cowboys RB Hamilton...who currently is the Big 12 leading rusher, among RBs and is less than 150 yards of topping 1,000 yards in this his freshman season...Last week, the Cowboys rushed for a whopping 303 yards against TT, which Hamilton accounted for 161 of those yards on 23 carries...while Julius Crosslin added 91 yards on 14 runs from scrimmage...
Side Note: Out of the 30 touchdowns scored against the Bears this season, 20 have come on the ground.
The Cowboys have currently won 9 straight games vs Baylor...and the biggest reason is because of their Pound Em and Ground Em game...It is with their running game that they use to wear down and demoralize their opponents defense, while also at the same time keeping their offense off the field....Today, I see this approach working again as Baylor is already demoralized and already was abused the past two weeks by Texas and Missouri's Ground Em and Pound Em attacks...I simply dont see anything left in the tank at all for the Bears...as they have simply nothing to draw upon at all...and at this time of the season, the only ones who cares about going into the off-season on a winning note or putting forth a good effort to end another disappointing season yet again, are the coaches...and not the players...To bad for them because its the players that will be playing...and I dont expect a this Baylor team ending this season any different then the how they ended the previous two....and that means a Cowboy Outright Win.....
Go Okie St!
**TOP RATED PLAY ON: (3 Units)
Kansas St -2.5
-Yet another team who has dominated their opponents over the years...as K St has beaten Missouri the last 12 times they played....This is a down year for them..but they had their chances in this 5 game slide that they are on...Ie, losing to Col by 3 and Tex A&M by 2, blew their chances to go bowling....But, with Coach Synders suddenly annoucing his retirement on Tuesday....you have to see the Boys getting up for this one to send out their coach, who took them to national prominance, with a big win in his last game....Unlike Wisconsin, who couldnt get it done for Coach Alvarez in their last game....The Wildcats, should be highly motivated to get the job done for their coach...as they know how to defend and beat Brad Smith and Missouri......
Still got more solid plays, including my
Special-TOP RATED FAV OF THE DAY...still waiting to go off...
If you want to come on board, just let me know...Till then, GL to all and
Lets Go Get Em!....Aloha CC.
Cont Info:
COCAPTAINSPORTS@YAHOO.COM