European football 2009-2010

[BstonBruin]

Norway - Tippeligaen
Molde FK PK 2.14 over Brann Bergen
This was at +0.5 for Molde earlier in the week. I should have played it then.

Molde is actually a better team on the road than at home. They have scored 10 goals and have only given up 4 goals in 5 road matches.

Brann has only won once in 4 home matches.

Why is Molde such an underdog if they have played so well on the road?

 

[SRBI]

Smells fishy, I'll stay away those odds are too good to be true for Molde even the PK (+110) I mean come on who wouldn't bet this team at that price but you never know with the Scandinavian leagues GL!

 

[BstonBruin]

There is no PK option on sportsbook.com...

 

[quantumleap]

Why is Molde such an underdog if they have played so well on the road?

I've wondered that about a lot of matches in the Scandinavian leagues. Sometimes I'm right even though the line appears fishy. Sometimes I'm wrong.

 

[BstonBruin]

They are down 1-0 in the 60th not looking good...

 

[quantumleap]

I think maybe Brann is a tough team to know if they are going to show up, kind of like the Lakers.

Brann 2, Molde 0, Loss, -1.00
Alta 4, Byasen 3, WINNER, +0.85

Today: -0.15

YTD: +3.37

 

[quantumleap]

Denmark - SAS Ligaen
AGF Aarhus PK 1.96 over Vejle BK
Vejle has not won in their last 10 games. Unless Aarhus will be resting players because it's the last game of the season I don't feel this is a risky bet.

 

[quantumleap]

Finland - Veikkausliiga
IFK Mariehamn PK 1.80 over Tampere United (2 units)
Mariehamn has scored 7 goals and only given up 2 goals in 4 home matches. They have not lost at home.

Tampere has given up 6 goals and only scored one goal in 3 road matches and have lost all 3 matches on the road.

 

[quantumleap]

Sweden - Allsvenskan
Djurgårdens IF PK 1.63 over Örgryte IS
Djurgården's hopes have been bolstered by their 1st win in the league last week. I usually don't like to count on a poor team to help me win a bet but I'm making this bet more on their opponent's record.

Örgryte has not won in 11 league matches this season.

 

[quantumleap]

Sweden - Superettan
IK Sirius Uppsala/Mjallby Solvesborg over 2 1/2 1.61
I know this is a bit chalky but I figured I would go for what appears to be an easy one.

Mjallby has scored 10 goals in 4 home matches this year.

Sirius has given up 10 goals in 4 home matches this year.

 

[rolltide]

Denmark - SAS Ligaen
AGF Aarhus PK 1.96 over Vejle BK
Vejle has not won in their last 10 games. Unless Aarhus will be resting players because it's the last game of the season I don't feel this is a risky bet.

hey ql, just wanted to pass along this article from agf website...12 guys out for AGF. at least Feilhaber finally gets some minutes

here is a translation from google

Four key forsvarsspillere, three backs, two midfield players and three attackers must Erik Rasmussen ignore its STARTING in last season's struggle.

Dan Thomassen, Mark Howard, Anders Kure and Kim Madsen subtracted all the damage that makes them ukampdygtige. The same is true for Lind Ulrik Kvist, Arhur Sorin and Michael Lumber. From midfield players have Jeremiah White quarantine and Jerry Lucena suffer with knæproblemer and therefore starts on the bench. A bench seat waiting Peter Graulund having trouble akillessenen and therefore saved. In addition, Erik Rasmussen, as you know also ignore Nando Rafael and Dioh Williams, both of which are still resume coach.

Nothing, however, is not so bad that it is not good for anything. The high drop-out means that two new "Young Guns" have a chance from the start, namely forsvarsspiller Alexander Jackson Moller and attack Sanel Kapidzic.

Cheftræner Erik Rasmussen has already set the starting formation:


Steffen Rasmussen

Frederik Krabbe - Ole Budtz - Alexander Jackson Moller - Jens Gjesing

Jakob Poulsen - Kasper Povlsen - Benny Feilhaber - Jesper Lars Pleidrup

David Devdariani

Sanel Kapidzic

 

[quantumleap]

hey ql, just wanted to pass along this article from agf website...12 guys out for AGF. at least Feilhaber finally gets some minutes

here is a translation from google

Four key forsvarsspillere, three backs, two midfield players and three attackers must Erik Rasmussen ignore its STARTING in last season's struggle.

Dan Thomassen, Mark Howard, Anders Kure and Kim Madsen subtracted all the damage that makes them ukampdygtige. The same is true for Lind Ulrik Kvist, Arhur Sorin and Michael Lumber. From midfield players have Jeremiah White quarantine and Jerry Lucena suffer with knæproblemer and therefore starts on the bench. A bench seat waiting Peter Graulund having trouble akillessenen and therefore saved. In addition, Erik Rasmussen, as you know also ignore Nando Rafael and Dioh Williams, both of which are still resume coach.

Nothing, however, is not so bad that it is not good for anything. The high drop-out means that two new "Young Guns" have a chance from the start, namely forsvarsspiller Alexander Jackson Moller and attack Sanel Kapidzic.

Cheftræner Erik Rasmussen has already set the starting formation:


Steffen Rasmussen

Frederik Krabbe - Ole Budtz - Alexander Jackson Moller - Jens Gjesing

Jakob Poulsen - Kasper Povlsen - Benny Feilhaber - Jesper Lars Pleidrup

David Devdariani

Sanel Kapidzic

Thanks tide.



As I mentioned in my post, I thought that Aarhus may be resting players. However, that gives the "Young Guns" mentioned in your article a chance to show off their skills which could lead to a win for Aarhus.

Aarhus' coach:
~~:<<

:toast:

 

[chriscol]

hi quantum,

how do you like Sonderjysk today at -0.25
i know horsens probably will not win at odense,which would mean Sonder is in even with a loss, but too make sure and playing at home,why should they not go for the win? at least they are in form and Ejsberg is also not really a world beater...

i am also looking to go against the bottom team in the strange finish league, but odds look to good to be true, which makes me cautious:
HAKA -1.25, HJK ONLY -0.75 ?????, JARO -0.75

any input on these?

BOL with your other plays

 

[quantumleap]

hi quantum,

how do you like Sonderjysk today at -0.25
i know horsens probably will not win at odense,which would mean Sonder is in even with a loss, but too make sure and playing at home,why should they not go for the win? at least they are in form and Ejsberg is also not really a world beater...

i am also looking to go against the bottom team in the strange finish league, but odds look to good to be true, which makes me cautious:
HAKA -1.25, HJK ONLY -0.75 ?????, JARO -0.75

any input on these?

BOL with your other plays

I didn't go with SonderjyskE today because they have 4 draws in a row. I wasn't sure they would be able to get the win.

As far as the Finnish league, I try not to take big favorites of more than 1 goal. I kick myself now as I see that Mjallby is up 3-0 over Sirius. Jaro has had a couple losses lately so I did not consider them. I don't remember why I didn't take HJK.

 

[quantumleap]

Looks like the "Young Guns" didn't come through for Aarhus as Vejle gets their first win in 11 matches.

Vejle 2, Aarhus 1, Loss, -1.00
Mariehamn 1, Tampere 0, WINNER, +1.60
Djurgården 0, Örgryte 0, Push, 0.00
Mjallby 4, Sirius 0, WINNER, +0.61

Today: +1.21

YTD: +4.58

 

[quantumleap]

This week:

PK:
2 wins, 2 losses, 1 push

Dogs:
None

Favorites:
2 wins, 1 loss

Totals:
1 win, 1 push
----------
Here's a YTD update as of Sunday:

PK:
9 wins, 7 losses, 9 pushes

Dogs:
9 wins, 6 losses

Favorites:
9 wins, 5 losses

Totals:
2 win, 1 loss, 1 push

 

[quantumleap]

Norway - Adeccoligaen
Kongsvinger IL PK 1.75 over Nybergsund IL
Kongsvinger lost to Sogndal their last match at home. That leads to this match being a PK instead of Kongsvinger -0.5. I think Kongsvinger comes back here to make up for their last loss at home.

 

[quantumleap]

Nybergsund 3, Kongsvinger 0, Loss, -1.00

No more bets on Kongsvinger for a while.

YTD: +3.58

 

[quantumleap]

Irish Republic - Division 1
Mervue United +0.5 1.68 over Finn Harps
Finn has won once in their last 10 matches and that was against Kildare which has lost all of their 12 matches except one.

 

[jimbojpc]

Quantumleap do you have any info on the Soccer game- France(-1.00) Turkey game being played at 3:00 p.m. eastern today?