European football 2009-2010

[quantumleap]

Denmark - SAS Ligaen
SønderjyskE +0.5 1.73 over Aalborg BK (2 units)
Here's my new favorite team, SønderjyskE and they are dogs once again. They are fighting relegation since they are 2 points ahead of 2nd to last Horsens with 2 matches left to go. They have not lost in their last 5 matches.

Aalborg has not won in their last 12 matches!

 

[quantumleap]

Norway - Tippeligaen
Odd Grenland Skien -0.5 2.04 over Fredrikstad FK
Odd has won 3 out of 4 at home.

Fred has lost 4 out of their last 5.

Sandefjord Fotball +0.5 1.81 over Lillestrøm SK
Sandefjord is 4th in the league

Lillestrøm won their first match in 10 last week. It was against the 2nd worst team in the league.

 

[quantumleap]

Norway - Adeccoligaen
Nybergsund PK 2.09 over Moss
Nybergsund has not lost in 3 road matches this year and are in 2nd place in the league.

Moss has lost 4 out of their last 5 matches.

 

[quantumleap]

Norway - Tippeligaen
1 more unit added on the following:

Sandefjord Fotball +0.5 1.81 over Lillestrøm SK

 

[quantumleap]

Denmark - Division 1
FC Roskilde +0.5 1.83 over Thisted FC
Thisted has lost 4 in a row.

Thisted/Roskilde over 3 1.76
History of each team's scoring.

 

[quantumleap]

SønderjyskE 1, Aalborg 1, WINNER, +1.46
Odd 2, Fred 0, WINNER, +1.04
Lillestrøm 2, Sandefjord 1, Loss, -2.00
Moss 2, Nybergsund 1, Loss, -1.00
Thisted 4, Roskilde 0, Loss on the +0.5, -1.00
Thisted 4, Roskilde 0, WINNER on the total, +0.76

Today: -0.78

YTD: +2.82

 

[quantumleap]

Sweden - Allsvenskan
IFK Göteborg -0.5 1.93 over Malmö FF
I'm starting to have better luck with the -0.5 line. I think it's because I'm not taking the teams that appear obvious.

This is an exception to that rule. Göteborg has won all 5 matches at home by scoring 15 goals and only giving up 1 goal.

Malmö won their 1st 2 road matches but have since dropped their last 3 road matches.

 

[quantumleap]

Sweden - Superettan
Mjallby Solvesborg PK 1.77 over Landskrona BoIS
Mjallby suffered their first defeat of the season during their last match and that put them tied for first in the league. They will have extra motivation to win this one.

Landskrona has lost 3 out of their last 5 league matches.

 

[wannabewhale]

Thanks for the winner on SønderjyskE
To think I would ever bet soccer in Denmark

There are so many knowledgeable cappers here on football
I LOVE the fact you write a sentence or two on the situation of your pick.
Sometimes I will go with a guy that puts in a two unit play or more or just tail like I do Joeyfitz(when he puts them in on time)
Much appreciated and GL

 

[quantumleap]

Thanks for the winner on SønderjyskE
To think I would ever bet soccer in Denmark

There are so many knowledgeable cappers here on football
I LOVE the fact you write a sentence or two on the situation of your pick.
Sometimes I will go with a guy that puts in a two unit play or more or just tail like I do Joeyfitz(when he puts them in on time)
Much appreciated and GL

Glad you won on that one. Sorry about any losing bets.

I put an explanation for each team so I can go back to see which ideas have been working. For example, SønderjyskE is trying to escape relegation. That way I can fine-tune my picks in the future and exclude those ideas that aren't working. I also put in explanations so other people can make up their own mind if they want to follow the pick.

You will also notice that I rarely bet because of how one team is doing. I will usually bet based upon how both teams are doing.

:toast:

 

[quantumleap]

Here's an update as of Sunday:

PK:
7 wins, 5 losses, 8 pushes

Dogs:
9 wins, 6 losses

Favorites:
7 wins, 4 losses

Totals:
1 win, 1 loss

 

[BstonBruin]

I see Gothenburg is up 1-0 at the half...have you been following the game? All I see the score but I have no idea as far as possesion etc.

 

[quantumleap]

I see Gothenburg is up 1-0 at the half...have you been following the game? All I see the score but I have no idea as far as possesion etc.

I only follow through livescore.com.

Mjallby 1, Landskrona 0, WINNER, +0.77
Göteborg 2, Malmö 0, WINNER, +0.93

Today: +1.70

YTD: +4.52

 

[quantumleap]

Norway - Adeccoligaen
Kongsvinger IL -0.5 1.97 over Sogndal IL
I can't help myself with the favorites. I try to stay away from them, I really do. However, I've won 4 in a row after going 4-4 with them.

Kongsvinger has won 5 in a row including all 4 at home so far this season. This is a good price for such a dominant team at home.

Sogndal has not won on the road this season.

 

[quantumleap]

Finland - Ykkönen
KooTeePee Kotka/Atlantis FC Helsinki under 2 1.98
KTP has scored 2 goals in 5 matches.

Atlantis has scored 3 goals in 5 matches and went scoreless in their first 2 home matches.

 

[SRBI]

Kongsvinger is absolutely awful, after looking at their stats compared to the other team this seemed like an easy HW.

 

[quantumleap]

Kongsvinger is absolutely awful, after looking at their stats compared to the other team this seemed like an easy HW.

As you know, every once in a while we get a surprise in the Scandinavian leagues.

Sogndal 2, Kongsvinger 0, Loss, -1.00
KTP 1, Atlantis 1, Push, 0.00 (goal in extra time)

Today: -1.00

YTD: +3.52

 

[SRBI]

Very true, tough to predict the Scandinavian leagues sometimes...especially the lower leagues.

 

[quantumleap]

Norway - Tippeligaen
Molde FK PK 2.14 over Brann Bergen
This was at +0.5 for Molde earlier in the week. I should have played it then.

Molde is actually a better team on the road than at home. They have scored 10 goals and have only given up 4 goals in 5 road matches.

Brann has only won once in 4 home matches.

 

[quantumleap]

Norway - NM Cupen
Alta -0.5 1.85 over Byasen Trondheim
Alta had been at the bottom of the Adeccoligaen tables but has since won 2 matches.

Byasen is a Divisjon 2 team.