Denmark - SAS Ligaen
Randers +1 1/2 1.72 over Brøndby
FC København lost to Odense today and Brøndby sits just 2 points behind them in 2nd place so Brøndby will be well motivated to win here. However, the line has gone from -1 to -1 1/2 today so I'm guessing this is a big public play.
Randers has been playing well as of late winning 5 in a row until drawing with 3rd-place Odense in their last match. Randers is also missing a couple players but those are on offense. I'm thinking that they will be playing much on defense as they did against Odense and Brøndby will not be able to win by 2 goals.
Randers +1 1/2 1.72 over Brøndby
FC København lost to Odense today and Brøndby sits just 2 points behind them in 2nd place so Brøndby will be well motivated to win here. However, the line has gone from -1 to -1 1/2 today so I'm guessing this is a big public play.
Randers has been playing well as of late winning 5 in a row until drawing with 3rd-place Odense in their last match. Randers is also missing a couple players but those are on offense. I'm thinking that they will be playing much on defense as they did against Odense and Brøndby will not be able to win by 2 goals.
Finland - Veikkausliiga
Haka Valkeakoski PK 1.77 over Tampere United
Haka has only lost once and that was against league-leader Helsinki.
Tampere has only won once and that was against last-place Vaasa. I've been reading where the organization of Tampere are going through a political shakeup.
RoPS Rovaniemi +0.5 1.79 over JJK Jyvaskyla
RoPS has lost twice out of their 3 league matches but those losses were to 2nd-place Inter Turku and 3rd-place FC Lahti.
JJK has not scored a goal in their 3 league matches this year so why are they favored here?
Haka Valkeakoski PK 1.77 over Tampere United
Haka has only lost once and that was against league-leader Helsinki.
Tampere has only won once and that was against last-place Vaasa. I've been reading where the organization of Tampere are going through a political shakeup.
RoPS Rovaniemi +0.5 1.79 over JJK Jyvaskyla
RoPS has lost twice out of their 3 league matches but those losses were to 2nd-place Inter Turku and 3rd-place FC Lahti.
JJK has not scored a goal in their 3 league matches this year so why are they favored here?
First time with the Irish Premiership this year so buyer beware.
Ireland - Premier League
Dundalk PK 1.86 over Drogheda
Drogheda has not won in 6 home matches this year. In fact, they have only scored 2 goals during that time and have only won 1 match out of 11 total. How can they be expected to win here to make this a losing bet?
Dundalk has 2 losses in their last 5 league matches but those 2 were against the 2 teams that are tied for 1st.
Ireland - Premier League
Dundalk PK 1.86 over Drogheda
Drogheda has not won in 6 home matches this year. In fact, they have only scored 2 goals during that time and have only won 1 match out of 11 total. How can they be expected to win here to make this a losing bet?
Dundalk has 2 losses in their last 5 league matches but those 2 were against the 2 teams that are tied for 1st.
Irish Republic - Division 1
Limerick PK 1.74 over Longford Town FC
Limerick has lost only once in their last 6 league matches.
Longford lost 7 matches in a row until their last match which was a draw. In fact, they have only won 1 match in 10 matches this season. How much of a risk is there in the PK here with Limerick?
Limerick PK 1.74 over Longford Town FC
Limerick has lost only once in their last 6 league matches.
Longford lost 7 matches in a row until their last match which was a draw. In fact, they have only won 1 match in 10 matches this season. How much of a risk is there in the PK here with Limerick?
Denmark - SAS Ligaen
SønderjyskE +1 2.07 over Odense BK
What the hell. I'm going to go with my new favorite team SønderjyskE. They are trying to escape relegation and are out of relegation by 2 points. They have not lost in their last 4 matches.
Odense is in 3rd and will be motivated to pick up some points. However, they have only won 1 match by more than 1 goal in their last 7 road matches and that was against Vejle which is the worst team in the league.
SønderjyskE +1 2.07 over Odense BK
What the hell. I'm going to go with my new favorite team SønderjyskE. They are trying to escape relegation and are out of relegation by 2 points. They have not lost in their last 4 matches.
Odense is in 3rd and will be motivated to pick up some points. However, they have only won 1 match by more than 1 goal in their last 7 road matches and that was against Vejle which is the worst team in the league.
Norway - Tippeligaen
IK Start Kristiansand +0.5 1.7 over Brann Bergen
Start has won their last 3 matches and have not lost on the road in 4 matches yet this year.
Odd Grenland Skien PK 1.96 over Lillestrom
Odd has lost only 1 match yet this year.
Lillestrom has not won yet this year. How is PK on Odd a risky bet?
Sandefjord +0.5 2.22 over Stabaek IF
I've been looking and looking as to why Stabaek is favored here but can find nothing. Sandefjord has 6 matches without a loss.
Stabaek has only won 1 match out of 8 this season.
IK Start Kristiansand +0.5 1.7 over Brann Bergen
Start has won their last 3 matches and have not lost on the road in 4 matches yet this year.
Odd Grenland Skien PK 1.96 over Lillestrom
Odd has lost only 1 match yet this year.
Lillestrom has not won yet this year. How is PK on Odd a risky bet?
Sandefjord +0.5 2.22 over Stabaek IF
I've been looking and looking as to why Stabaek is favored here but can find nothing. Sandefjord has 6 matches without a loss.
Stabaek has only won 1 match out of 8 this season.
Limerick 3, Longford 2, WINNER, +0.74 (a goal by each team in the 90th minute)
SønderjyskE 1, Odense 1, WINNER, +1.07 (a goal in the 90th minute makes this one a winner)
Start 1, Brann 1, WINNER, +0.70
Odd 1, Lillestrom 1, Push, +0.00
Stabaek 4, Sandefjord 1, Loss, -1.00 (I should have gone with my instinct to know this was too good to be true)
Tromsdalen 0, Alta 0, Push, +0.00
Today: +1.51
YTD: +2.94
SønderjyskE 1, Odense 1, WINNER, +1.07 (a goal in the 90th minute makes this one a winner)
Start 1, Brann 1, WINNER, +0.70
Odd 1, Lillestrom 1, Push, +0.00
Stabaek 4, Sandefjord 1, Loss, -1.00 (I should have gone with my instinct to know this was too good to be true)
Tromsdalen 0, Alta 0, Push, +0.00
Today: +1.51
YTD: +2.94
Thanks elsewheree.
:toast:
We keep seeing teams with better records getting PK or +0.5. Typically the team with a better record is on the road and we are going to see a lot of pushes on PKs since road teams oftentimes play for the draw.
I think I'll just continue playing this system of dogs and PKs. I may throw in an occasional large favorite from time to time.
Denmark - SAS Ligaen
FC Midtjylland PK 2.28 over Esbjerg
FC Midtjylland has won their last 3 matches.
Esbjerg has lost their last 3 matches.
AGF Aarhus +0.5 1.65 over Randers
Aarhus has lost only once in their last 6 matches and that was against Odense.
Randers is coming off a hard loss against Brøndby.
FC Midtjylland PK 2.28 over Esbjerg
FC Midtjylland has won their last 3 matches.
Esbjerg has lost their last 3 matches.
AGF Aarhus +0.5 1.65 over Randers
Aarhus has lost only once in their last 6 matches and that was against Odense.
Randers is coming off a hard loss against Brøndby.
Sweden - Superettan
Mjallby PK 1.78 over Ljungskile
Mjallby has not lost yet this year.
Ljungskile has won only once and that was against Vasby which is the lowest team in the league.
Jönköpings Södra IF +0.5 1.73 over Syrianska Sodertalje
Jönköpings have not lost in their last 5 matches after losing their first match of the season.
Syrianska is getting too much respect here after beating Elfsborg in the Svenska Cupen. They should suffer a letdown.
Mjallby PK 1.78 over Ljungskile
Mjallby has not lost yet this year.
Ljungskile has won only once and that was against Vasby which is the lowest team in the league.
Jönköpings Södra IF +0.5 1.73 over Syrianska Sodertalje
Jönköpings have not lost in their last 5 matches after losing their first match of the season.
Syrianska is getting too much respect here after beating Elfsborg in the Svenska Cupen. They should suffer a letdown.
