European football 2008

[quantumleap]

Great call on the Under in that Vaasa game, tailed you on that one :toast:

Glad you won. It's almost like free money.

:money8:

 

[quantumleap]

Almost a sweep with my 2-unit pick ending up as a draw. I'll take it.

Fred 1, HamKam 1, push, 0.00
Kalmar 4, GAIS 1, WINNER, +0.80
Ängelholm 4, Enköping 1, WINNER, +0.71
Bromma 3, Qviding 0, WINNER, +0.86
Vaasa 0, Mariehamn 0, WINNER, +0.61

Today: 4-0-1, +2.98

YTD: +14.52

 

[Betting4Fun]

Almost a sweep with my 2-unit pick ending up as a draw. I'll take it.

Fred 1, HamKam 1, push, 0.00
Kalmar 4, GAIS 1, WINNER, +0.80
Ängelholm 4, Enköping 1, WINNER, +0.71
Bromma 3, Qviding 0, WINNER, +0.86
Vaasa 0, Mariehamn 0, WINNER, +0.61

Today: 4-0-1, +2.98

YTD: +14.52

WTG Quantum!..damn didnt even bother checking any of those seeing the names:lolBIG: but profit is profit,rock on

 

[quantumleap]

Thanks B4F.

Updating my record:

8-11-08: 0-0-0 +0.00
8-12-08: 0-0-0 +0.00
8-13-08: 1-3-1 -1.30
8-14-08: 1-0-0 +0.85
8-15-08: 1-0-0 +0.75
8-16-08: 1-0-0 +1.13
8-17-08: 3-0-0 +2.48
8-18-08: 1-0-0 +0.79
8-19-08: 0-1-0 -1.00
8-20-08: 0-0-0 +0.00
8-21-08: 0-1-1 -2.00
8-22-08: 1-1-0 -0.49
8-23-08: 1-0-0 +1.18
8-24-08: 4-0-1 +2.98

For the week:
7-3-2, +1.46

 

[quantumleap]

Updating my system plays records:

My first system has been Dr. Jekyl/Mr. Hyde:

Post....Team.........Result
---------------------------
52......NEC Nijmegen +1.05
71......NEC Nijmegen +0.73
86......NEC Nijmegen +0.99
120.....NEC Nijmegen +1.10
125.....NEC Nijmegen +0.91
129.....NEC Nijmegen +0.84
134.....NEC Nijmegen +1.93
146.....NEC Nijmegen +0.80
165.....Qviding..... +1.15
192.....Athlone..... +1.09
198.....Galway...... +0.94
199.....Limerick.... -1.00
199.....Athlone..... +0.98
212.....Väsby....... +1.20
212.....Enköping.... -1.00
226.....Galway...... -1.00
226.....Sligo....... +0.00
226.....Shamrock.... -1.00
226.....Atlantis.... +0.95
236.....H-Linna..... +0.93
236.....Strømsgodset +0.69
243.....Atlantis.... -1.00
243.....Qviding..... -1.00
243.....Vasby....... +0.00
263.....Qviding..... +0.79
271.....Hameenlinna. -1.00
296.....Ängelholm... +0.71

20-7, +10.78 (12-7, +2.43 since NEC)

Then I started following Kalmar:

Post....Team.........Result
---------------------------
74......Kalmar.. +1.11
88......Kalmar.. +0.93
96......Kalmar.. +3.15
108.....Kalmar.. +1.71
115.....Kalmar.. +1.13
118.....Kalmar.. -1.00
125.....Kalmar.. 0.00
150.....Kalmar.. -3.00
159.....Kalmar.. +0.75
182.....Kalmar.. -2.00
212.....Kalmar.. +0.96
238.....Kalmar.. +0.63
279.....Kalmar.. +0.00

9-3-2, +4.37

Then I developed the Killer Bees:

Post....Team.........Result
---------------------------
152.....Elfsborg.... +0.80
180.....Oulu........ -1.00
182.....Fredrikstad. +2.18
194.....Lyn......... +0.78
199.....Limerick.... -1.00
212.....Molde....... -1.00
212.....Kalmar...... +0.96
238.....Elfsborg.... +1.21
243.....Vasby....... +0.00
253.....Cork........ +0.75
271.....Hameenlinna. -1.00

6-4-0, +2.68

And finally I have been tracking my pk bets where a team has been on a non-losing streak:

Post....Team.........Result
---------------------------
15......Åtvidaberg.. +0.00
165.....Qviding..... +1.15
187.....Helsingborg. +1.00
187.....HamKam...... -1.00
189.....Hammarby.... +0.00
198.....Galway...... +0.94
238.....Bodø/Glimt.. +0.85
243.....Vasby....... +0.00
253.....Cork........ +0.75
257.....Hønefoss.... +1.13
261.....Jippo....... +0.61
271.....Hameenlinna. -1.00
279.....Kalmar...... +0.00
291.....Honka....... +1.18
296.....Fredrikstad. +0.71

9-2-4, +6.32

 

[MonsterBuck]

Hey QL, are these systems your own inventions? Could you explain those? Thanks, and good luck with your future picks :toast:

 

[quantumleap]

Hey QL, are these systems your own inventions? Could you explain those? Thanks, and good luck with your future picks :toast:

Yes, these are my own systems and now would be a good time to explain them again.

Dr. Jekyl/Mr. Hyde System
This system is when a team does poorly at the start of a season and turns things around. It seems as though the linesmakers are only looking at their position in the tables and not the recent form. There is also a reverse Dr. Jekyl/Mr. Hyde. That's where a team does well at the start of the season and falters later on. Those teams you fade of course.

The Kalmar System
This is simply backing the Kalmar team from the Swedish Allsvenskan league at opportune times. This team is at the top of the league and seems to find ways to win even on the road. I don't blindly bet them because they seem to take things easy before cup matches.

The Killer Bees System
Killer Bees stands for Bad-Beat Bounce-Back Bet. This is when a good team has a string of victories and then loses a match they should win. The theory is that they will try all that much harder in their next match.

PK System
This is when a team has several matches in a row where they have not lost or maybe one loss in several home matches and the line is at PK. It's a bonus when the opposing team also has not won in several recent matches. I have also been betting on recent home form when away form may not be all that good.

 

[GreenDoberman]

Nice sweep there QL. I jumped on that Kalmar over last night. I'm sure they were pissed since they actually had a game go under the other day, lol.

 

[quantumleap]

Nice sweep there QL. I jumped on that Kalmar over last night. I'm sure they were pissed since they actually had a game go under the other day, lol.

LOL! I never looked at it that way before.

Another thing about their game going under is that you can get a good line (2 1/2) for the total the next game just in case they only score 3. I wonder when I'm going to get my limits cut.

 

[quantumleap]

Finland - Veikkausliiga (2 units)
Inter Turku +0.5 1.66 over HJK Helsinki
Inter has not lost in the league this season and they are getting +0.5??? I'll take it.

Sweden - Allsvenskan
Hammarby pk 2.20 over AIK Solna
PK System play. Hammarby played tough against Kalmar in the Svenska Cupen ending 0-0 after 90' eventually losing in extra time. The match prior to that they lost to GAIS but had 14 matches in a row without a loss.

Solna have 1 win in their last 7 matches and that was against Ljungskile which is 4th from the bottom of the tables.

 

[quantumleap]

Finland - Veikkausliiga (2 units)
Inter Turku +0.5 1.66 over HJK Helsinki
Inter has not lost in the league this season and they are getting +0.5??? I'll take it.

Sweden - Allsvenskan
Hammarby pk 2.20 over AIK Solna
PK System play. Hammarby played tough against Kalmar in the Svenska Cupen ending 0-0 after 90' eventually losing in extra time. The match prior to that they lost to GAIS but had 14 matches in a row without a loss.

Solna have 1 win in their last 7 matches and that was against Ljungskile which is 4th from the bottom of the tables.

I knew it was too good to be true. Inter ties it up in the 77th minute only to have HJK score in extra time!

:madmad

 

[MonsterBuck]

Damn, thats a tough one man.

Got the Under on the AIK-Hammar game, think its going be a tight match, highest score 1-1 IMHO.

GL :toast:

 

[quantumleap]

Damn, thats a tough one man.

Got the Under on the AIK-Hammar game, think its going be a tight match, highest score 1-1 IMHO.

GL :toast:

I show that one as being 0-0 after 19'.

:think2:

 

[quantumleap]

Well I got lucky in the 2nd match. Solna goes up 2-1 late until Hammarby scores a tying goal at the 88' mark. You win some, you lose some, you push some.

HJK 3, Inter 2, Loss, -2.00
Hammarby 2, AIK 2, Push, 0.00

Today: 0-1-1, -2.00

YTD: +12.52

 

[quantumleap]

Sweden - Superettan
Vasby United pk 2.01 over BK Häcken Goteborg
This is a Dr. Jekyl System pick since Vasby has done relatively well lately. This is also a PK System play even though they have lost a couple recently. Those were 1-0 results against tough teams (Assyriska and Falkenbergs) on the road.

Häcken started out the season well but have not won in their last 6 matches so they are a Dr. Jekyl team to fade.

 

[quantumleap]

Vasby 0, Häcken 0, Push, 0.00

YTD: +12.52

PK System is now 9-2-6, +6.32

 

[quantumleap]

Finland - Veikkausliiga
FF Jaro Peitasaari pk 2.31 over IFK Mariehamn (2 units)
PK System play here. Mariehamn has not only not won in their last 13 matches (including 6 at home) but they have not scored in their last 6 matches and have only scored 2 goals in their last 10 matches. How is the PK going to lose here?

Jaro has started to improve by winning their last 2 matches including a 3-1 victory over RoPS on the road.

 

[quantumleap]

Finland - Veikkausliiga
FF Jaro Peitasaari/IFK Mariehamn under 2 1/2 1.79
Well it is as I suspected. I did some more searching to find that Jaro has some players missing and that's why the line was at PK. I say was because it is now at +0.5 which I think is still a good line. The reason I say that is because Jaro has replaced missing players with defensive players. That's why this under is so valuable here.

 

[JohnMolson]

wow!!Jaro comes out in the 2nd half and scores 2 quick ones 0-2:toast:

 

[quantumleap]

wow!!Jaro comes out in the 2nd half and scores 2 quick ones 0-2:toast:

Unfortunately in real life I had more on the Under than on the PK and those 2 goals helped to sink my Under.

I think I'll wait until just before the match to make my bets as this one eventually went to +0.5.

Jaro 2, Mariehamn 1, WINNER on PK, +2.62
Jaro 2, Mariehamn 1, Loss on Under, -1.00

Today: 1-1, +1.62

YTD: +14.14

PK System is now 10-2-6, +8.94