Dumb & Dumbest Opening Weekend

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fukk...

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I think I'm going to be sick. Anyway.. I'm off to the DRIVE-IN... hey orean, do they have drive-inns in prision?

lol.

Have a good night, boys.

Gil
 

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Hey Oren, where can I see those average predictions from the HSXers? I went to the site but couldn't find where you see that.

JP
 

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Don't give too much credence to those absurd crowd reports. Here's anotehr one from the same msg board that you took the earlier one.

at my theater
the 9 O clock shows were as follows for the three new movies:

Hollywood Homicide was about 60 percent full
Rugrats Go Wild was 40 Percent Full
and Dumb and Dumberer was 50 percent full

Only half full for D and D doesn't bode well.

JP
 

Rx. Senior
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actually 50% full isnt that bad afterall in my view for dumb and dumber.

Also, pay no attention to the Rugrats crowd at the 9pm showing since that is too late for 80% of the viewers.

It is cool that school is out so that will help the Friday take for the movies during the day today.

I am backing off my 45 million now to say that it will go to 29 million. Of course, Fathers day hurts alot!
 

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Playersonly. Do you care for a friendly wager? You have backed off and said $29 mil now. I will give you the number at $25 mil. I will give you -150 on the OVER. I will bet you MY $750 against YOUR $500. I will take the UNDER. Please post a message. Whoever wins pays the other person by Neteller. You have my word that I will pay, and, hopefully, if YOU lose, YOU will pay. Please get back to me tonight. In order for this to go, I need to hear back from you ASAP.

JP
 

Rx. Senior
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Well including my "friends" accounts, I already have $900 on this bet. I can cover it and make a little money if Dumb beats Hollywood by 1.5 million or more!

I will just take my loss with the book and go for now! No reason to lose anymore. I have read that the reviews were not great, but they had a pretty aggressive advertising campaign, so maybe that will lead the push! I did call my local theater, and besides NEMO, this movie EASILY sold the most tickets of any other. Actually, they told me that Hollywood only had 22 people out of a possible 200 I think at the 7pm showing. But people dont go to see movies around here too much, Nemo sold out only 1 time around here! And all movies are played at all 3 theaters within a 15 mile radius. So that is the reason why they didnt sell out.

By the way, I took Hollywood Homicie under 14.9 million at the 10 to 1 last night! That will need some luck as well, but those odds are GREAT!
 

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Oh yes, and your odds above would be incorrect based on your payout. I would have the over at +150 not -150 in your example
 
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hahah, ummmmm you guys are too much. The crowd reports aren't very accurate, but I'll tell you this much. You're going to need more than 60% full to get over 29 million. I also kinda think 60% might be enough for 15 or more. At the very least we aren't looking at a complete bomb here. And it sounds like my DD over HH play is going to lose, or will it? I thought it had a chance before this week's turn of events. **** it. Of course it's too early to tell, I guess. nah, I lost... Here's the website JC:
http://www.hsj.org/features/HSXOpeners/index.shtml

[This message was edited by Oren1 on June 14, 2003 at 02:11 AM.]
 
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.post deleted, what am I on crack? No way Dumb and Dumberer beats Hollywood Homicide by 2 1/2 mil.

[This message was edited by Oren1 on June 14, 2003 at 02:12 AM.]
 
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here's another crowd report favoring the under:

"Went to see Finding Nemo. 8:50 pm show. 150 seat screen about 80% full.

Three of the four largest screens there (750 seats) were showing D&D. I stuck my head in the 7:00 & 8:00 showings before Nemo and each had about 50 people in there. Afterward, I checked the 9:15 and 10:15 shows and they were only about quarter to a third full.

My faith in humanity is restored. At least in my little corner of the world."

damn, I'm looking at a possible 1-2 week, if the under hits, and I'll still win a nice chunk of change cuz I got that hedge at 10-1 odds. I'm hoping it goes over just for the trash talk though.

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uh-oh JC you're in trouble.
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"I saw Dumb and Dumberer at 7:10. It was sold out on 2, 250 seat screens."
 

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Okay, it's 4:30 am EST... so we won't have much longer to wait... I have a few things to say... first... while I was having dinner at my girfriend's house, her 20 year old brother and his 18 year old girlfriend asked what time it was... why... cause they didn't want to be late for D & D... this movie isn't going to do as bad as people think... but it won't go over 18 million... and I'll be very lucky if it goes over 15 million. Playersonly... I don't know where you get your stats... or if you a special needs student... but 29 million... you're lucky we don't kick your ass out of this chat room for predicting such a ridiculous number
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lol. You keep saying the advertising is top notch for this movie. Why? Becuase it's on AOL. I haven't seen one goddamn commercial for D/D. Not one trailer.

So... with that said... we'll all be rushing to our computers as soon as we wake up in the morning. I love this business... I hate it... but I love it.
For all of you who grind out the numbers, risk your hard earned money... I salute you.

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Gil
 

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I figured that Playersonly wouldn't take me up on my bet. What kind of a moron makes a prediction of $45mil for a movie like D and D, then lowers it to $29mil (still absurd), and won't take a wager when someone is offering them +150 on the OVER 25mil.

Get out of here, pal. ONly people with something to offer should be posting in here.

JP
 

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Now, Now. I don't think you should have to offer something to post here... but one shouldn't waist our time with commonts if they won't back up their words with action. Cause isn't that why we're all here... for some action. Sounds like to me, JC, that he's trying to help some bookie even out his hold.

Just a guess.
 

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Based on Friday estimates of $4.63 mil for DandD, it would need a 3.23 multiplier to break $15mil. Not going to happen. Using a more realistic 2.75 multiplier, it will end up at $12.73

Can you say "Bomb"?

JP
 

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How do you come up with those numbers. Check out HEAD OF STATE, JC. It did less on Friday, shitty on Saturday... and it made 13.5... it has a 50/50 chance of going over 15 million... so shut your pie hole you arrogant goof-ball.

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luv ya.
 
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It's probably going under. And it might also beat Hollywood Homicide by 2.5 which made almost a million less. JC, I thought you knew that Hollywood Homicide was going to beat Dumb and Dumberer? Isn't that what you said? ISN'T THAT WHAT YOU SAID! Step up to the table and eat the crow motha****a!

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But I have to salute you on that under play, that was golden. $$$$$$$$$
Where's my dime, Bodog! Hand that shit over bitch!
 
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By the way, the true bomb this weekend is Hollywood Homicide condidering it's budget was probably double that of Dumb and Dumberer's, if not more, plus, it was on 200 more screens, but only brought in a paltry 3.8 million on a Friday in the middle of June. I think I was the one that said it was going to bomb. Who's your daddy?

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