Ya I watch just about every game, I dont see it gettin past Game 5 and actually think Celts can beat every team in NBA anyway minus Cavs and Lakers (who they have between 0% and 1% of beating now). I'm a hugeeee Celts fan and im pretty devastated so just pretending in my mind that he can be back in a month lol
**But -500ish was too much juice for me to lay on anything...I was hopin it would drop to 350-400 range
**But -500ish was too much juice for me to lay on anything...I was hopin it would drop to 350-400 range
Looks right now like this night couldnt possibly get any worse guys, I'm stunned and feel sick to my stomach at the same time.
Our teams blew a 6-run lead, blew a late 3-run lead, lost 2 different RL's by a run, and also had the lead for half of the Twins game before their bullpen imploded. About an hour ago, I thought we were going towards a 5-2 type of night...now I'll be thrilled with 2-5uppy:
Also, the total that I mentioned as a possible pick (but didnt quite pull the trigger on) won pretty easily, just to rub some salt in the wound.
I'm so sorry to anyone who followed...can't believe this just happenedhno:
Partly because of what the final record will be and mostly just because of the ways in which our losses came, I can say this is probably the worst night of gambling I've ever had and thats obviously saying something (as any gambler knows). I'll do my best to stay positive and disciplined and get it back this weekend. And once again, sorry to anyone who was following...
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WOW, that was only 2 hours ago??? my how things have changed...gambling is messed up, but I love it! hahaSummary, etc to be up shortly on what hopefully finishes up to be the greatest "even" night I've ever had :drink:
Don't want to count the chickens before they hatch, but it looks like you'll come out of today alright.
I was on five of them with you. All but the Giants and the White Sox.
Like you said, about 2 hours ago I was really looking at getting swept. I will need to buy Ramon Hernandez and Jason Kubel some brews next time I see them!
Best of luck closing out the Giants. And get back kicking ass tomorrow
I was on five of them with you. All but the Giants and the White Sox.
Like you said, about 2 hours ago I was really looking at getting swept. I will need to buy Ramon Hernandez and Jason Kubel some brews next time I see them!
Best of luck closing out the Giants. And get back kicking ass tomorrow
Glad they bailed you out tonight! Never like to see anyone get wrecked, especially if I was a major influence on the picks lol
I'm confident we can bounce back tomorrow, there will have to be some adjustments soon but still not convinced its time yet. We coulda maybe had another "plus" today if I had gone the other way on my toughest call of the day (Marlins RL/ML). Chose wrong for basically the first times all year on some of those issues. But hey, if Giants close the door here, we survived what will definitely go down as one of the wildest days of the season without gettin our asses handed to us! :toast:
gonna go Dave Chappelle/Howard Dean on you guys...
BYAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!
Probably the first time anyones ever done it following a losing day but I dont care, AMAZING finish to save the night!
Summary coming up in a minute...I'll be up real late tonight and have my picks up sometime before/if I sleep lol
BYAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!
Probably the first time anyones ever done it following a losing day but I dont care, AMAZING finish to save the night!
Summary coming up in a minute...I'll be up real late tonight and have my picks up sometime before/if I sleep lol
Sure couldn't argue with the plays. It was just one of those days.
Like I said, I have a handful of posters on this and a couple other sites that I like to compare and contrast to my own leans before finalizing my card. Really felt good about all 5 of the games I ended up going with.
It sucks losing those RL games, but I have a personal rule that I don't lay more than -150 juice on any game. If I am so confident they will win I feel much more comfortable laying the runs than the juice.
Just have to chalk this one up as a well capped day, with some really weird shit going on that happened to go against.
Like I said, I have a handful of posters on this and a couple other sites that I like to compare and contrast to my own leans before finalizing my card. Really felt good about all 5 of the games I ended up going with.
It sucks losing those RL games, but I have a personal rule that I don't lay more than -150 juice on any game. If I am so confident they will win I feel much more comfortable laying the runs than the juice.
Just have to chalk this one up as a well capped day, with some really weird shit going on that happened to go against.
Runlines
Yankees -1.5 (-110) LOSER -1.1 Unit
Phillies -1.5 (+120) LOSER -1 Unit
Marlins -1.5 (+120) LOSER -1 Unit
Moneylines
Reds +135 WINNER +1.35 Units
White Sox +155 LOSER -1 Unit
Twins -113 WINNER +1 Unit
Giants +130 WINNER +1.3 Units
Daily Total: 3-4, -0.45 Units @)
Week 2: 17-11, +12.21 Units* (includes +3.17 parlay)
YTD 38-22, +26.08 Units
Only second losing day of the year technically, but man did it feel GREAT! After the craziest day we'll see all month probably, I'm just happy to have survived it so close to even...even turned out to not be our worst day of the year (which is amazing given how it started). Once again...this is why I recommend consistent unit sizes throughout the season and following ALL (or at least the majority) of my card IF you're going to follow at all. I don't rate different games on different confidence levels, I just try to supply a solid amount of winners at good prices so that we can profit steadily all year.
Need to re-evaluate a few things over the next couple of days but as of now, I think we'll have a full card again tomorrow. Be back in an hour or two with the entire Saturday card.
Yankees -1.5 (-110) LOSER -1.1 Unit
Phillies -1.5 (+120) LOSER -1 Unit
Marlins -1.5 (+120) LOSER -1 Unit
Moneylines
Reds +135 WINNER +1.35 Units
White Sox +155 LOSER -1 Unit
Twins -113 WINNER +1 Unit
Giants +130 WINNER +1.3 Units
Daily Total: 3-4, -0.45 Units @)
Week 2: 17-11, +12.21 Units* (includes +3.17 parlay)
YTD 38-22, +26.08 Units
Only second losing day of the year technically, but man did it feel GREAT! After the craziest day we'll see all month probably, I'm just happy to have survived it so close to even...even turned out to not be our worst day of the year (which is amazing given how it started). Once again...this is why I recommend consistent unit sizes throughout the season and following ALL (or at least the majority) of my card IF you're going to follow at all. I don't rate different games on different confidence levels, I just try to supply a solid amount of winners at good prices so that we can profit steadily all year.
Need to re-evaluate a few things over the next couple of days but as of now, I think we'll have a full card again tomorrow. Be back in an hour or two with the entire Saturday card.
OK guys, quick summary of things for people interested...these amounts are reflective of only the actual lines that I bet them on (so not only ML or only RL).
Teams I've been tailing from the start:
Marlins +9.03 Units
White Sox +1.20 Units
Reds +4.03 Units
Teams Ive faded from the start:
Indians +4.38 Units (in our favor)
Angels +2.27 Units (in our favor)
Dbacks +5.29 (in our favor)
Also *IF* I had bet all RL thus far we would be +15.28 units, *IF* had bet all ML it would be +20.03 Units. Those are compared to my combination of the two, which has yielded +24.20 Units. No parlays included in any of these, just sides.
All the choices that I made prior to the season have gained us money overall (and I even chose arguably the best possible "tail" team with the Marlins), so I think I nailed those. Unfortunately, on Thursday I debated adding Phils and dropping the "fade" of Cleveland. I decided wrong on both accounts, or so it seems. However, I'm pretty sure I will continue with all of them through the weekend because they're due and then make adjustments on Monday.
Thoughts are welcome and appreciated. Thanks guys, I'll be looking for more and more suggestions and opinions as the season moves on and becomes tougher to project the over- and underrated teams because the public/Vegas knows more about what to expect.
Teams I've been tailing from the start:
Marlins +9.03 Units
White Sox +1.20 Units
Reds +4.03 Units
Teams Ive faded from the start:
Indians +4.38 Units (in our favor)
Angels +2.27 Units (in our favor)
Dbacks +5.29 (in our favor)
Also *IF* I had bet all RL thus far we would be +15.28 units, *IF* had bet all ML it would be +20.03 Units. Those are compared to my combination of the two, which has yielded +24.20 Units. No parlays included in any of these, just sides.
All the choices that I made prior to the season have gained us money overall (and I even chose arguably the best possible "tail" team with the Marlins), so I think I nailed those. Unfortunately, on Thursday I debated adding Phils and dropping the "fade" of Cleveland. I decided wrong on both accounts, or so it seems. However, I'm pretty sure I will continue with all of them through the weekend because they're due and then make adjustments on Monday.
Thoughts are welcome and appreciated. Thanks guys, I'll be looking for more and more suggestions and opinions as the season moves on and becomes tougher to project the over- and underrated teams because the public/Vegas knows more about what to expect.
good comeback tonight. i've had a TON of comeback wins today and one KEY comeback loss. today was a HUGE day for me.
WINNERS - dodgers, mariners, giants, yankees, cubs, marlins, rays, reds, twins
LOSERS - blue jays, orioles, rangers, phillies
crazy night in the bases. blue jays, orioles, and phillies blew big leads. all my winners were trailing late in the game. i could have lots ALL my games today!!! hahaha
including a 2 - 1 night in hockey.
WINNERS - dodgers, mariners, giants, yankees, cubs, marlins, rays, reds, twins
LOSERS - blue jays, orioles, rangers, phillies
crazy night in the bases. blue jays, orioles, and phillies blew big leads. all my winners were trailing late in the game. i could have lots ALL my games today!!! hahaha
including a 2 - 1 night in hockey.
HAHA you're a volume bettor huh? but thats a solid night, my man! gld someone had a big night. Just an absolutely wild night so pretty much everybody had huge comeback winners and losers today. Pretty fun to look back on it now if you didnt lose your house on it (like I thought I might)
:lol:
Hockey has been surprisingly predictable so far I've noticed. Very unusual for NHL, usually lots of upsets first rd. I would be on a few of them as well but I already had Penguins and Bruins on series lines so I'm just gonna sit back, relax, and collect later on them.
I'm gonna post you all the picks for tomorrow pretty soon btw, I'll be busy watchin all my Boston teams tomorrow so not gonna wait til during the day.
:lol:
Hockey has been surprisingly predictable so far I've noticed. Very unusual for NHL, usually lots of upsets first rd. I would be on a few of them as well but I already had Penguins and Bruins on series lines so I'm just gonna sit back, relax, and collect later on them.
I'm gonna post you all the picks for tomorrow pretty soon btw, I'll be busy watchin all my Boston teams tomorrow so not gonna wait til during the day.
well, i noticed almost all the raods won yesterday so i took a ton of home teams today. i don't know why i took the oriles. ugh... hahaha... a ton of home teams came in today. i made my picks, then i took your games. it just happened that ours didn't match up. so i ended up playing a gajillion games.
oooooooh... i got a prop on the bulls to beat the celts for the series too. hahaha... as well as spurs, blazers, and nuggets in nba and blackhawks, sharks, wings, bruins, canucks, penguins, and capitals in hnl. crazy bets, but i figure MOST of them would not, if not ALL of them.
for tomorrow, i like the rangers, nationals, astros, dodgers, and mariners in mlb and bulls, cavs, spurs, and blazers in nba tomorrow.
for tomorrow, i like the rangers, nationals, astros, dodgers, and mariners in mlb and bulls, cavs, spurs, and blazers in nba tomorrow.
OK guys, a new day Saturday...lets try to actually make some units rather than celebrate another small losin day
One key note is that the Marlins streak for us is over for the moment. I have a feeling we'll jump back on soon but the win streak is bound to end soon plus the inflated odds are just not to our advantage right now vs the Nats. Also, I know a lot of people dont like so many Run-Lines but I think these teams will ROLL tomorrow and they just represent much better value tomorrow than the ML's do, in my opinion (as I think any RL's do if I decide to play them.) Follow if you trust me
Runlines
Giants -1.5 (+130)
Phillies -1.5 (+120)
Twins -1.5 (+160)
Yankees -1.5 (+140)...*(yup back for more, but odds are much nicer today IMO lol)
Moneylines
Reds +110
White Sox +140
Might add another play or two on totals if the lines move in my advantage and/or I'm feelin lucky after the early games...but that should be it right here
GL tomorrow :toast:
One key note is that the Marlins streak for us is over for the moment. I have a feeling we'll jump back on soon but the win streak is bound to end soon plus the inflated odds are just not to our advantage right now vs the Nats. Also, I know a lot of people dont like so many Run-Lines but I think these teams will ROLL tomorrow and they just represent much better value tomorrow than the ML's do, in my opinion (as I think any RL's do if I decide to play them.) Follow if you trust me
Runlines
Giants -1.5 (+130)
Phillies -1.5 (+120)
Twins -1.5 (+160)
Yankees -1.5 (+140)...*(yup back for more, but odds are much nicer today IMO lol)
Moneylines
Reds +110
White Sox +140
Might add another play or two on totals if the lines move in my advantage and/or I'm feelin lucky after the early games...but that should be it right here
GL tomorrow :toast:
