Costanza's Belgian Jupiler League Picks

Costanza · Apr 14, 2007

Pick 17: Anderlecht - Moeskroen (+2) @ 1.92 (2 Units) --> SCORE 2 - 1 [WON + 1.84 Units]
Pick 18: Genk - Roeselare (Over 2.5 Goals) @ 1.794 (3 Units) --> SCORE 3 - 0 [WON + 2.38 Units]
Pick 19: Standard - AA Gent (+0.75) @ 1.855 (2 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 1 [WON + 1.71 Units]
Pick 20: Moeskroen - GBA (-1.5) & 1 = No Bet @ 3.40 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [NO BET + 0 Units]
Pick 21: Lokeren - STVV (1st Goal = Over 24.5 Minutes) @ 1.885 (2 Units) --> 20' (1 - 1) [LOST - 2.0 Units]
Pick 22: Racing Genk - Anderlecht (+0.25) @ 1.781 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [WON + 0.39 Units]
Pick 23: Bergen - Racing Genk @ 1.901 (3 Units) --> (5 - 0) [LOST - 3.0 Units]
Pick 24: Club Brugge - Brussels (Under 2.75 Goals) @ 1.833 (2 Units) --> (4 - 1) [LOST - 2.0 Units]
Pick 25: Lierse - Anderlecht (-1) @ 1.929 (3 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 4 [WON + 2.787 Units]
Pick 26: Standard - Beveren (Under 3 Goals) @ 1.943 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [WON + 0.943 Units]
Pick 27: Beveren - Cercle Brugge (-0.25) @ 1.993 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 28: Moeskroen - Brussels @ 2.04 ( 1 Unit) --> SCORE 2 - 2 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 29: Standard - Bergen (+ 1.5) @ 1.971 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.94 Units]

Standard unable to cover the spread, Bergen had the better chances in the 1st half but they were unable to score. Standard was able to make a goal at the end of the 1st half. Bergen got a red card in the beginning of the 2nd but Standard was unable to make a 2nd goal.

updated record:

Picks = 29
Won / No Bet / Lost = 15/ 4 / 10 (60.1% Winners)
Units Bet = 83 units
Units Return = 94.552 units
Average Stake = 2.9 units
Profit = + 11.552 Units
ROI = 114 %

JohnMolson · Apr 15, 2007

doesn't look like either team can score in the Charleroi game:ughhh:

Costanza · Apr 15, 2007

charleroi got it done in the 70th minute, 1 - 0 and things are looking good at the moment. Charleroi was the better team in the 1st half and Brugge was nowhere, 2nd half started with some open chances on both sides but all were saved or missed. Charleroi started pushing and was able to score after a couple more chances. 14 minutes left to play, looking good to get the win or in the worst case the No Bet

k:

JohnMolson · Apr 15, 2007

nice

Costanza · Apr 15, 2007

Pick 17

: Anderlecht - Moeskroen (+2) @ 1.92 (2 Units) --> SCORE 2 - 1 [WON + 1.84 Units]
Pick 18: Genk - Roeselare (Over 2.5 Goals) @ 1.794 (3 Units) --> SCORE 3 - 0 [WON + 2.38 Units]
Pick 19: Standard - AA Gent (+0.75) @ 1.855 (2 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 1 [WON + 1.71 Units]
Pick 20: Moeskroen - GBA (-1.5) & 1 = No Bet @ 3.40 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [NO BET + 0 Units]
Pick 21: Lokeren - STVV (1st Goal = Over 24.5 Minutes) @ 1.885 (2 Units) --> 20' (1 - 1) [LOST - 2.0 Units]
Pick 22: Racing Genk - Anderlecht (+0.25) @ 1.781 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [WON + 0.39 Units]
Pick 23: Bergen - Racing Genk @ 1.901 (3 Units) --> (5 - 0) [LOST - 3.0 Units]
Pick 24: Club Brugge - Brussels (Under 2.75 Goals) @ 1.833 (2 Units) --> (4 - 1) [LOST - 2.0 Units]
Pick 25: Lierse - Anderlecht (-1) @ 1.929 (3 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 4 [WON + 2.787 Units]
Pick 26: Standard - Beveren (Under 3 Goals) @ 1.943 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [WON + 0.943 Units]
Pick 27: Beveren - Cercle Brugge (-0.25) @ 1.993 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 28: Moeskroen - Brussels @ 2.04 ( 1 Unit) --> SCORE 2 - 2 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 29: Standard - Bergen (+ 1.5) @ 1.971 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.94 Units]
Pick 30: Charleroi - Club Brugge [Draw No Bet] @ 1.800 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]

3th time in 4 picks that a win was given away, charleroi allowed brugge to score in overtime. Nothing won or lost on this one

updated record:

Picks = 30
Won / No Bet / Lost = 15/ 5 / 10 (60 % Winners)
Units Bet = 85 units
Units Return = 96.552 units
Average Stake = 2.9 units
Profit = + 11.552 Units
ROI = 114 %

Back next week with more...

JohnMolson · Apr 15, 2007

hno: :WTF:

uke1: bastards blew it in the 90th..damn i'm pissed:bigfinger

Costanza · Apr 20, 2007

I've got my eyes on 2 bets for this weekend at the moment,
Racing Genk +0.25 @ 1.806
AA Gent +1 @ 1.971

gonna have a closer look into it later today

Costanza · Apr 22, 2007

odds dropped quite a bit on both matches I had my eye on,
I see value in Anderlecht not winning with more then 1 goal difference & Genk taking at least a point in Brugge.

Pick 31: Anderlecht - AA Gent (+1) @ 1.917 (1 Unit)
Pick 32: Anderlecht - AA Gent [Win By 1 Goal & No bet if X2] @ 2.280 (1 Unit)
Pick 33: Club Brugge - Racing Genk (+0.5) @ 1.500 (2 Units)

available @ Pinnacle / Unibet
more info on http://jupilerleague.blogabet.com

Costanza · Apr 22, 2007

Pick 22: Racing Genk - Anderlecht (+0.25) @ 1.781 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [WON + 0.39 Units]
Pick 23: Bergen - Racing Genk @ 1.901 (3 Units) --> (5 - 0) [LOST - 3.0 Units]
Pick 24: Club Brugge - Brussels (Under 2.75 Goals) @ 1.833 (2 Units) --> (4 - 1) [LOST - 2.0 Units]
Pick 25: Lierse - Anderlecht (-1) @ 1.929 (3 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 4 [WON + 2.787 Units]
Pick 26: Standard - Beveren (Under 3 Goals) @ 1.943 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [WON + 0.943 Units]
Pick 27: Beveren - Cercle Brugge (-0.25) @ 1.993 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 28: Moeskroen - Brussels @ 2.04 ( 1 Unit) --> SCORE 2 - 2 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 29: Standard - Bergen (+ 1.5) @ 1.971 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.94 Units]
Pick 30: Charleroi - Club Brugge [Draw No Bet] @ 1.800 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 31: Anderlecht - AA Gent (+1) @ 1.917 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 32: Anderlecht - AA Gent [Win By 1 Goal & No bet if X2] @ 2.280 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.280 Units]

k:
Anderlecht just won with 1 - 0

updated record:
Picks = 32
Won / No Bet / Lost = 16/ 6 / 10 (61,5 % Winners)
Units Bet = 87 units
Units Return = 99.832 units
Average Stake = 2.7 units
Profit = + 12.832 Units
ROI = 115 %

Costanza · Apr 22, 2007

Pick 22: Racing Genk - Anderlecht (+0.25) @ 1.781 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [WON + 0.39 Units]
Pick 23: Bergen - Racing Genk @ 1.901 (3 Units) --> (5 - 0) [LOST - 3.0 Units]
Pick 24: Club Brugge - Brussels (Under 2.75 Goals) @ 1.833 (2 Units) --> (4 - 1) [LOST - 2.0 Units]
Pick 25: Lierse - Anderlecht (-1) @ 1.929 (3 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 4 [WON + 2.787 Units]
Pick 26: Standard - Beveren (Under 3 Goals) @ 1.943 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [WON + 0.943 Units]
Pick 27: Beveren - Cercle Brugge (-0.25) @ 1.993 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 28: Moeskroen - Brussels @ 2.04 ( 1 Unit) --> SCORE 2 - 2 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 29: Standard - Bergen (+ 1.5) @ 1.971 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.94 Units]
Pick 30: Charleroi - Club Brugge [Draw No Bet] @ 1.800 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 31: Anderlecht - AA Gent (+1) @ 1.917 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 32: Anderlecht - AA Gent [Win By 1 Goal & No bet if X2] @ 2.280 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.280 Units]
Pick 33: Club Brugge - Racing Genk (+0.5) @ 1.500 (2 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 1 [WON + 1.000 Units]

k:
Racing Genk also got it done, close 0 - 1 win.

updated record:
Picks = 33
Won / No Bet / Lost = 17/ 6 / 10 (63 % Winners)
Units Bet = 89 units
Units Return = 102.832 units
Average Stake = 2.7 units
Profit = + 13.832 Units
ROI = 115,5 %

back next week with hopefully more winners...

Costanza · Apr 27, 2007

Nothing interesting this week at first sight, Probably no bets

Costanza · Apr 28, 2007

found 1 valuable play for this week:

Pick 34: SK Lierse - Westerlo (+0) @ 1.800 (2 Units)
odds still available at bet365 & full write-up @ http://jupilerleague.blogabet.com

Costanza · Apr 28, 2007

Pick 22: Racing Genk - Anderlecht (+0.25) @ 1.781 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [WON + 0.39 Units]
Pick 23: Bergen - Racing Genk @ 1.901 (3 Units) --> (5 - 0) [LOST - 3.0 Units]
Pick 24: Club Brugge - Brussels (Under 2.75 Goals) @ 1.833 (2 Units) --> (4 - 1) [LOST - 2.0 Units]
Pick 25: Lierse - Anderlecht (-1) @ 1.929 (3 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 4 [WON + 2.787 Units]
Pick 26: Standard - Beveren (Under 3 Goals) @ 1.943 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [WON + 0.943 Units]
Pick 27: Beveren - Cercle Brugge (-0.25) @ 1.993 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 28: Moeskroen - Brussels @ 2.04 ( 1 Unit) --> SCORE 2 - 2 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 29: Standard - Bergen (+ 1.5) @ 1.971 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.94 Units]
Pick 30: Charleroi - Club Brugge [Draw No Bet] @ 1.800 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 31: Anderlecht - AA Gent (+1) @ 1.917 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 32: Anderlecht - AA Gent [Win By 1 Goal & No bet if X2] @ 2.280 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.280 Units]
Pick 33: Club Brugge - Racing Genk (+0.5) @ 1.500 (2 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 1 [WON + 1.000 Units]
Pick 34: SK Lierse - Westerlo (+0) @ 1.800 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]

Lierse was the better team, but they were unable to score the winner

updated record:
Picks = 34
Won / No Bet / Lost = 17/ 7 / 10 (63 % Winners)
Units Bet = 91 units
Units Return = 104.832 units
Average Stake = 2.7 units
Profit = + 13.832 Units
ROI = 115,2 %

still looking over tomorrows matches

Costanza · Apr 29, 2007

I just can't get around this one and have to make a small bet on it:

Pick 35: Racing Genk - Moeskroen (Under 3 Goals) @ 2.00 (1 Unit)
match startis in a little less then 3 hours, odds available on pinnacle

Costanza · Apr 30, 2007

Pick 22: Racing Genk - Anderlecht (+0.25) @ 1.781 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [WON + 0.39 Units]
Pick 23: Bergen - Racing Genk @ 1.901 (3 Units) --> (5 - 0) [LOST - 3.0 Units]
Pick 24: Club Brugge - Brussels (Under 2.75 Goals) @ 1.833 (2 Units) --> (4 - 1) [LOST - 2.0 Units]
Pick 25: Lierse - Anderlecht (-1) @ 1.929 (3 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 4 [WON + 2.787 Units]
Pick 26: Standard - Beveren (Under 3 Goals) @ 1.943 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [WON + 0.943 Units]
Pick 27: Beveren - Cercle Brugge (-0.25) @ 1.993 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 28: Moeskroen - Brussels @ 2.04 ( 1 Unit) --> SCORE 2 - 2 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 29: Standard - Bergen (+ 1.5) @ 1.971 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.94 Units]
Pick 30: Charleroi - Club Brugge [Draw No Bet] @ 1.800 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 31: Anderlecht - AA Gent (+1) @ 1.917 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 32: Anderlecht - AA Gent [Win By 1 Goal & No bet if X2] @ 2.280 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.280 Units]
Pick 33: Club Brugge - Racing Genk (+0.5) @ 1.500 (2 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 1 [WON + 1.000 Units]
Pick 34: SK Lierse - Westerlo (+0) @ 1.800 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 35: Racing Genk - Moeskroen (Under 3 Goals) @ 2.00 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 3 - 2 [LOST - 1.00 Units]

With less then 10 minutes to go, Genk Got a penalty basicly for free which let them get back in the game and make it an over.

updated record:
Picks = 35
Won / No Bet / Lost = 17/ 7 / 11 (60,7 % Winners)
Units Bet = 92 units
Units Return = 104.832 units
Average Stake = 2.6 units
Profit = + 12.832 Units
ROI = 114 %

Back next week with a couple strong selections in mind allready

Costanza · May 2, 2007

Absolutely love this bet and the odds they are offering at Bet365 !

Pick 36: Westerlo - Standard (-1) @ 3.316 (3 Units)
full write-up will be available shortly @ http://jupilerleague.blogabet.com

Costanza · May 3, 2007

I have to make this one a 3 uinit play at the odds Pinnacle is currently offering!

Pick 37: Moeskroen - Zulte-Waregem (-0.25) @ 1.943 (3 Units)
write-up will be up later today @ http://jupilerleague.blogabet.com

** odds on 1st play of the week have allready dropped from 3.316 to 2.875

Costanza · May 5, 2007

Pick 25: Lierse - Anderlecht (-1) @ 1.929 (3 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 4 [WON + 2.787 Units]
Pick 26: Standard - Beveren (Under 3 Goals) @ 1.943 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [WON + 0.943 Units]
Pick 27: Beveren - Cercle Brugge (-0.25) @ 1.993 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 28: Moeskroen - Brussels @ 2.04 ( 1 Unit) --> SCORE 2 - 2 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 29: Standard - Bergen (+ 1.5) @ 1.971 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.94 Units]
Pick 30: Charleroi - Club Brugge [Draw No Bet] @ 1.800 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 31: Anderlecht - AA Gent (+1) @ 1.917 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 32: Anderlecht - AA Gent [Win By 1 Goal & No bet if X2] @ 2.280 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.280 Units]
Pick 33: Club Brugge - Racing Genk (+0.5) @ 1.500 (2 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 1 [WON + 1.000 Units]
Pick 34: SK Lierse - Westerlo (+0) @ 1.800 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 35: Racing Genk - Moeskroen (Under 3 Goals) @ 2.00 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 3 - 2 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 36: Westerlo - Standard (-1) @ 3.316 (3 Units) --> Tomorrow
Pick 37: Moeskroen - Zulte-Waregem (-0.25) @ 1.943 (3 Units) --> SCORE 3 - 0 [WON + 2.829 Units]

EASY WINNER !! :103631605

Moeskroen gets it done without a sweat, final score 3 - 0

updated record:
Picks = 36
Won / No Bet / Lost = 18/ 7 / 11 (62 % Winners)
Units Bet = 95 units
Units Return = 110.661 units
Average Stake = 2.64 units
Profit = + 15.661 Units
ROI = +16,5 %

Costanza · May 6, 2007

1 more bet for this weekend (match starts in 5 hours)

Pick 38: Anderlecht - Beveren (Both to score -> NO) @ 1.82 (1 Unit)
short write-up available @ http://jupilerleague.blogabet.com/

Costanza · May 7, 2007

Pick 25: Lierse - Anderlecht (-1) @ 1.929 (3 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 4 [WON + 2.787 Units]
Pick 26: Standard - Beveren (Under 3 Goals) @ 1.943 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [WON + 0.943 Units]
Pick 27: Beveren - Cercle Brugge (-0.25) @ 1.993 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 28: Moeskroen - Brussels @ 2.04 ( 1 Unit) --> SCORE 2 - 2 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 29: Standard - Bergen (+ 1.5) @ 1.971 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.94 Units]
Pick 30: Charleroi - Club Brugge [Draw No Bet] @ 1.800 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 31: Anderlecht - AA Gent (+1) @ 1.917 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 32: Anderlecht - AA Gent [Win By 1 Goal & No bet if X2] @ 2.280 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.280 Units]
Pick 33: Club Brugge - Racing Genk (+0.5) @ 1.500 (2 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 1 [WON + 1.000 Units]
Pick 34: SK Lierse - Westerlo (+0) @ 1.800 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 35: Racing Genk - Moeskroen (Under 3 Goals) @ 2.00 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 3 - 2 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 36: Westerlo - Standard (-1) @ 3.316 (3 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [LOST - 3.00 Units]
Pick 37: Moeskroen - Zulte-Waregem (-0.25) @ 1.943 (3 Units) --> SCORE 3 - 0 [WON + 2.829 Units]
Pick 38: Anderlecht - Beveren (Both to score -> NO) @ 1.82 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 8 - 1 [LOST - 1.00 Units]

Standard unable to get it done & Beveren was able to score from a free kick making it a 8 - 1 score. Still would take those picks any day of the week.

updated record:
Picks = 38
Won / No Bet / Lost = 18/ 7 / 13 (58 % Winners)
Units Bet = 99 units
Units Return = 110.661 units
Average Stake = 2.60 units
Profit = + 11.661 Units
ROI = +11,8 %

2 weeks left in the league, back later with more