Costanza's Belgian Jupiler League Picks

[Costanza]

Many interesting matches in the Jupiler League this weekend, looking over some things right now. Probably around 4 small plays.

 

[Costanza]

Pick 39: Standard - Club Brugge @ 1.91 (1 Unit)
Full motivation behind this pick available @ http://jupilerleague.blogabet.com

 

[Costanza]

3 more small plays for tonight:

Pick 40: Lierse - Moeskroen (+0.5) @ 1.990 (1 Unit)

Pick 41: Racing Genk - Charleroi (+1.25) @ 2.010 (1 Unit)

Pick 42: Anderlecht - Brussels (Both to score -> NO) @ 1.850 (1 Unit)

 

[Costanza]

Pick 29: Standard - Bergen (+ 1.5) @ 1.971 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.94 Units]
Pick 30: Charleroi - Club Brugge [Draw No Bet] @ 1.800 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 31: Anderlecht - AA Gent (+1) @ 1.917 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 32: Anderlecht - AA Gent [Win By 1 Goal & No bet if X2] @ 2.280 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.280 Units]
Pick 33: Club Brugge - Racing Genk (+0.5) @ 1.500 (2 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 1 [WON + 1.000 Units]
Pick 34: SK Lierse - Westerlo (+0) @ 1.800 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [NO BET + 0.00 Units]
Pick 35: Racing Genk - Moeskroen (Under 3 Goals) @ 2.00 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 3 - 2 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 36: Westerlo - Standard (-1) @ 3.316 (3 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [LOST - 3.00 Units]
Pick 37: Moeskroen - Zulte-Waregem (-0.25) @ 1.943 (3 Units) --> SCORE 3 - 0 [WON + 2.829 Units]
Pick 38: Anderlecht - Beveren (Both to score -> NO) @ 1.82 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 8 - 1 [LOST - 1.00 Units]
Pick 39: Standard - Club Brugge @ 1.91 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 0.910 Units]
Pick 40: Lierse - Moeskroen (+0.5) @ 1.990 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 3 - 3 [WON + 0.990 Units]
Pick 41: Racing Genk - Charleroi (+1.25) @ 2.010 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 0 - 2 [WON + 1.010 Units]
Pick 42: Anderlecht - Brussels (Both to score -> NO) @ 1.850 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 6 - 0 [WON + 0.850 Units]

Just got back from Anderlecht who became champions tonight !
Going 4 - 0 on the bets this week and realising I seriously have to rethink my unit betting for next season.

updated record:
Picks = 42
Won / No Bet / Lost = 22 / 7 / 13 (62,8 % Winners)
Units Bet = 103 units
Units Return = 118.421 units
Average Stake = 2.60 units
Profit = + 15.421 Units
ROI = +15 %

The Belgian League ends next week and I hope to be able to find something interesting...

 

[Costanza]

Gonna have a close look into this weeks matches today,
Was a bit too lazy yesterday and missed out on a very nice line in the Moeskroen game. probably 3 or 4 small plays again this week.

 

[Costanza]

Pick 43: Moeskroen - Standard (+0.25) @ 1.917 (1 Unit)

 

[Costanza]

Pick 44:Westerlo x AA Gent (DRAW & if Gent wins = No Bet) @ 1.959 (1 Unit)
full write-up @ http://jupilerleague.blogabet.com

 

[Costanza]

Pick 45: Lokeren - Lierse @ 3.00 (1 Unit)
-> http://jupilerleague.blogabet.com

 

[Costanza]

small info on the line movements:

* Moeskroen (+0.25) dropped from 1.917 to 1.694
Just like I expected, Standard comfirmed to be playing without most their key players. Conceicao, Geraerts, Defour, Jovanovi, De Camargo are all missing ! Without them, Standard really istn't concidered a competitive team.

* Gent & draw dropped from 1.959 to 1.930
not much has changed, Sterchélé scored a goal yesterday so Ogunsoto will have to score in this match. Still believe the draw gives both a win win situation. Concidering a bet on the over 2.5 at the moment.

* Lierse dropped from 3.00 to 2.68
The league has send a person to monitor this match to see if everything will be played fair knowing the situation with Beveren and adding up the fact that the son of Lokeren Coach is playing with Lierse. So he will relegate if his dad's team takes a points.

 

[Costanza]

Pick 39: Standard - Club Brugge @ 1.91 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 0.910 Units]
Pick 40: Lierse - Moeskroen (+0.5) @ 1.990 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 3 - 3 [WON + 0.990 Units]
Pick 41: Racing Genk - Charleroi (+1.25) @ 2.010 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 0 - 2 [WON + 1.010 Units]
Pick 42: Anderlecht - Brussels (Both to score -> NO) @ 1.850 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 6 - 0 [WON + 0.850 Units]
Pick 43: Moeskroen - Standard (+0.25) @ 1.917 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 2 - 0 [WON + 0.917 Units]
Pick 44:Westerlo x AA Gent (DRAW & if Gent wins = No Bet) @ 1.959 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 1 [WON + 0.959 Units]
Pick 45: Lokeren - Lierse @ 3.00 (1 Unit) --> SCORE 1 - 4 [WON + 2.000 Units]

Very happy to end the season with a nice winning streak and some easy winners. Unit management has not always been what it should have. I'm going to check some statistics on all my plays this season to see what's the best way to improve for next year in the league.

Season Final RX posting record:
Picks = 45
Won / No Bet / Lost = 25 / 7 / 13 (65,8 % Winners !)
Units Bet = 106 units
Units Return = 125.297 units
Average Stake = 2.35 units
Profit = + 19.297 Units
ROI = +18,2 %