Costanza's Belgian Jupiler League Picks

Costanza · Feb 9, 2007

I'm taking a look at this weeks matches later today. Gonna keep doing what I've done so far by only posting confident picks =)

2white · Feb 9, 2007

I'm very confident in your picks: will keep looking, thank you again !:money8:

2white · Feb 9, 2007

....2 hrs left

....2 more hours to go.........:ughhh:

Costanza · Feb 9, 2007

Pick 15: Moeskroen - Beveren (Under 2.75 Goals) @ 1.74 (3 Units)
---> http://jupilerleague.blogabet.com/

Costanza · Feb 10, 2007

Last 10 picks:
Pick 05: Sint-Truiden - Lierse @ 1.80 (4 Units) --> SCORE 4 - 0 [WON + 3.2 Units]
Pick 06: Lierse - Germinal Beerschot @ 1.95 (6 Units) --> SCORE 2 - 3 [WON + 5.7 Units]
Pick 07: Racing Genk - Club Brugge [Draw No Bet] @ 1.66 (4 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [NO BET + 0 Units]
Pick 08: Bergen - AA Gent [Draw No Bet] @ 1.66 (5 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 1 [WON + 3.3 Units]
Pick 09: Zulte-Waregem - moeskroen @ 2.10 (4 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [LOST - 4.0 Units]
Pick 10: Bergen - Beveren (Under 2,5 Goals) @ 1.80 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.6 Units]
Pick 11: AA Gent - Westerlo @1.70 (3 Units) --> SCORE 2 - 0 [WON + 2.1 Units]
Pick 12: SK Lierse- Charleroi @1.725 (5 Units) --> SCORE 2 - 1 [LOST - 5.0 Units]
Pick 13: AA Gent- Club Brugge [Draw No Bet] @1.935 (3 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [NO BET + 0 Units]
Pick 14: Westerlo - Beveren (Under 2.5 Goals) @ 2.00 (2 Units) --> SCORE 2 - 0 [WON + 2.0 Units]
Pick 15: Moeskroen - Beveren (Under 2.75 Goals) @ 1.74 (3 Units) --> SCORE 4 - 2 [LOST - 3.0 Units]

Some surprising results tonight, glad I only sticked with 1 play.
2 teams that scored only 3 times in 6 last matches all together making 6 goals in 1 match.
Odds actually dropped to 1.61 before the match
I'll take the loser and move on to next week...

Picks = 15
Won / No Bet / Lost = 8/ 3 / 4 (67%)
Units Bet = 55 units
Units Return = 66.2 units
Average Stake = 3.7 units
Profit = + 11.2 Units
ROI = 120 %

2white · Feb 13, 2007

where your picks are at?

Costanza: where do I go to get to see your picks on time to be played ?
Thank you in advance....and bare with me if I still didn't get it.

Costanza · Feb 16, 2007

Pick 16: Bergen - Club Brugge (-0.5) @ 1.74 (3 Units)

The match starts in about 8 hours from now.
writeup will be up later today on http://jupilerleague.blogabet.com

2white · Feb 16, 2007

On It

got it. Good luck on this one:smoker2:

Costanza · Feb 16, 2007

Pick 07: Racing Genk - Club Brugge [Draw No Bet] @ 1.66 (4 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [NO BET + 0 Units]
Pick 08: Bergen - AA Gent [Draw No Bet] @ 1.66 (5 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 1 [WON + 3.3 Units]
Pick 09: Zulte-Waregem - moeskroen @ 2.10 (4 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [LOST - 4.0 Units]
Pick 10: Bergen - Beveren (Under 2,5 Goals) @ 1.80 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.6 Units]
Pick 11: AA Gent - Westerlo @1.70 (3 Units) --> SCORE 2 - 0 [WON + 2.1 Units]
Pick 12: SK Lierse- Charleroi @1.725 (5 Units) --> SCORE 2 - 1 [LOST - 5.0 Units]
Pick 13: AA Gent- Club Brugge [Draw No Bet] @1.935 (3 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [NO BET + 0 Units]
Pick 14: Westerlo - Beveren (Under 2.5 Goals) @ 2.00 (2 Units) --> SCORE 2 - 0 [WON + 2.0 Units]
Pick 15: Moeskroen - Beveren (Under 2.75 Goals) @ 1.74 (3 Units) --> SCORE 4 - 2 [LOST - 3.0 Units]
Pick 16: Bergen - Club Brugge (-0.5) @ 1.74 (3 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [LOST - 3.0 Units]

Not going like it should lately, might have another play this weekend. You better fade untill things start to turn around. My overall goal is to have above 10% profit at the end of the season.

Picks = 16
Won / No Bet / Lost = 8/ 3 / 5 (62%)
Units Bet = 58 units
Units Return = 66.2 units
Average Stake = 3.6 units
Profit = + 8.2 Units
ROI = 114 %

Costanza · Feb 16, 2007

Pick 17: Anderlecht - Moeskroen (+2) @ 1.92 (2 Units)

Hope to turn things around, looking into 1 more play for this weekend.

Costanza · Feb 17, 2007

my other selection was going to be
2 units on Beveren - Lokeren [Draw No Bet] @ 1.88

Decided not to push things and skip this one, odds dropped to 1.84 by now

Baqu · Feb 17, 2007

both are correct Constanza :suomi:

arty:

Costanza · Feb 17, 2007

Pick 08: Bergen - AA Gent [Draw No Bet] @ 1.66 (5 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 1 [WON + 3.3 Units]
Pick 09: Zulte-Waregem - moeskroen @ 2.10 (4 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [LOST - 4.0 Units]
Pick 10: Bergen - Beveren (Under 2,5 Goals) @ 1.80 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.6 Units]
Pick 11: AA Gent - Westerlo @1.70 (3 Units) --> SCORE 2 - 0 [WON + 2.1 Units]
Pick 12: SK Lierse- Charleroi @1.725 (5 Units) --> SCORE 2 - 1 [LOST - 5.0 Units]
Pick 13: AA Gent- Club Brugge [Draw No Bet] @1.935 (3 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [NO BET + 0 Units]
Pick 14: Westerlo - Beveren (Under 2.5 Goals) @ 2.00 (2 Units) --> SCORE 2 - 0 [WON + 2.0 Units]
Pick 15: Moeskroen - Beveren (Under 2.75 Goals) @ 1.74 (3 Units) --> SCORE 4 - 2 [LOST - 3.0 Units]
Pick 16: Bergen - Club Brugge (-0.5) @ 1.74 (3 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [LOST - 3.0 Units]
Pick 17: Anderlecht - Moeskroen (+2) @ 1.92 (2 Units) --> SCORE 2 - 1 [WON + 1.84 Units]

Anderlecht got it done with another awefull performance as usual winning with a small difference. Should have gone for the Beveren play, they won the match comming back from 0 - 1 behind and a red card in the 6th minute. I'll have to settle with a minor loss again this week, hope to do better next.

Picks = 17
Won / No Bet / Lost = 9/ 3 / 5 (64%)
Units Bet = 60 units
Units Return = 70.4 units
Average Stake = 3.5 units
Profit = + 10.4 Units
ROI = 117 %

Costanza · Feb 21, 2007

at least 1 early pick is comming up for this weekend, current odds at pinnacle have just too much value to pass on.
gonna do some homework and take a closer look into it first though

Costanza · Feb 21, 2007

Pick 18: Genk - Roeselare (Over 2.5 Goals) @ 1.794 (3 Units)
--> http://jupilerleague.blogabet.com for a full writeup.

Costanza · Feb 22, 2007

Also was going to suggest Zulte-Waregem - AA Gent [Draw No Bet] @ 1.86
Did not have enough time to make a full writeup and the odds droped to 1.75 by now and a big part of the value is gone.

Costanza · Feb 24, 2007

Pick 08: Bergen - AA Gent [Draw No Bet] @ 1.66 (5 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 1 [WON + 3.3 Units]
Pick 09: Zulte-Waregem - moeskroen @ 2.10 (4 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [LOST - 4.0 Units]
Pick 10: Bergen - Beveren (Under 2,5 Goals) @ 1.80 (2 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 1.6 Units]
Pick 11: AA Gent - Westerlo @1.70 (3 Units) --> SCORE 2 - 0 [WON + 2.1 Units]
Pick 12: SK Lierse- Charleroi @1.725 (5 Units) --> SCORE 2 - 1 [LOST - 5.0 Units]
Pick 13: AA Gent- Club Brugge [Draw No Bet] @1.935 (3 Units) --> SCORE 0 - 0 [NO BET + 0 Units]
Pick 14: Westerlo - Beveren (Under 2.5 Goals) @ 2.00 (2 Units) --> SCORE 2 - 0 [WON + 2.0 Units]
Pick 15: Moeskroen - Beveren (Under 2.75 Goals) @ 1.74 (3 Units) --> SCORE 4 - 2 [LOST - 3.0 Units]
Pick 16: Bergen - Club Brugge (-0.5) @ 1.74 (3 Units) --> SCORE 1 - 0 [LOST - 3.0 Units]
Pick 17: Anderlecht - Moeskroen (+2) @ 1.92 (2 Units) --> SCORE 2 - 1 [WON + 1.84 Units]
Pick 18: Genk - Roeselare (Over 2.5 Goals) @ 1.794 (3 Units) --> SCORE 3 - 0 [WON + 2.38 Units]

k:

Picks = 18
Won / No Bet / Lost = 10/ 3 / 5 (66.6%)
Units Bet = 63 units
Units Return = 75.78 units
Average Stake = 3.5 units
Profit = + 12.78 Units
ROI = 120 %

Costanza · Feb 25, 2007

Costanza said:
Also was going to suggest Zulte-Waregem - AA Gent [Draw No Bet] @ 1.86
Did not have enough time to make a full writeup and the odds droped to 1.75 by now and a big part of the value is gone.

odds dropped to 1.708 and I decided to go the other way and take the guaranteed small profit. Started to doubt this pick after getting a couple mixed signals from Zulte-Waregem this week.

back next week normally

Costanza · Mar 8, 2007

Was unable to post my plays last week because my internet connection was broke.

early pick for this week:
Pick 19: Standard - AA Gent (+0.75) @ 1.855 (2 Units)
(full write-up is comming later on)

Costanza · Mar 9, 2007

This one might look like a strange bet

Pick 20: Moeskroen - Germinal Beerschot (-1.5) & No bet if Moeskroen wins @ 3.40 (1 Units)
Full writeup @ http://jupilerleague.blogabet.com

Still looking at 2 more matches for this weekend