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poor use of words , let me re-phrase;

'That massive print presented was at a top , it was channelling .'

rather the print presented on a day where price action was at a resistance level
 

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fukcin kudos to that dude(s) (3X bear). Not a good idea to be on the wrong side of these large prints, generally.

gap downs

levels r levels

https://ca.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-futures-streaming-chart

click 1D, then far right the widescreen icon

look, its pretty much approaching a zone of protection , it needs to hold it. A STARK negative divergence is occuring on multiple indicators, most notable the stoi

- IF it cant had this zone? back to re-test 3218 ish ( double bottom or toast)

anything in the short term that can make it break this zone its approaching? u betcha--- 4 tech gorillas report thursday












buckle up :103631605
 

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TREMENDOUS chart damage done today on the major indices... GAP DOWNS........large gaps on the major indices fill... these will fill , in time-- target . The gap on the VIX will fill, bank that (meaning , the vix will come down in time to fill that gap., its inversely related to the spy)


DIA (the DOW)

6 mth , 200 SMA

big.chart



not much to be said here...the chart is clear ... algos, grandmothers all have an eye on the 200 sma , ....can she hold?

.in terms of entry -- , bullish candle off support/zone of support/trendline/major MVA...the more confluence the better-----exmaple; see the two green (white in this case ) hammer patterns back to back in late sept: held support, held the 200 sma, bullish candle anatomy, AND not one BUT TWO hammer patterns.: high probability trade set up...........lets see if something similar presents in time .




the 4 big tech giants tommorw folks, after the close...........great theatre



ES - 3218ish MUST MUST MUST hold.................held backed, used only 3 "must's




 

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https://www.usatoday.com/story/mone...nnualized-q-3-businesses-reopened/6064109002/

solid. Dont turn on CNN, that news flash lasted 20 seconds..they have a 24/7 -little- bug -cases- tally going on.The market, generally cares whether the economy is getting better or worse, rather than the now.


very very sensitive event risk day gentlemen. 4 tech biggies after the close


shits and giggles , MASSIVE apple prints went off late yesterday

APPL 8,000,000 shares @ 112.87 .....$902,960,000.....lol.
 

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nah, too volatile for my blood. The vix had two days in early sept , the day's ranges were ; $25.75 to $36 and $38.25 to $29.75,respectively lol. Yeah $30 for sure is a big level; since mid -sept (from the chart above) $30 level has been rejected SEVEN times. I use the vix to gauge the fear level(beadth of potential candles)/and additive info for the major indices as they r largely inversely correlated

great job on 13% in a day on it, holly molly!!!


QQQ

6 mth daily

8 ema

big.chart


below the 8 ema, not good. No signalling either way for direction from the candles. Back to back inside candles (tuesday/wed), back to back doji's. Indecision..at the crossroads......algos/traders all waiting on Pelosi. Look how it refuses to give up the low of the mother candle, Monday's long red candle-- it will likely lose it if no good news, imo . Event based, adn again no clues from the candles..if today's candle also is a doji? look out for friday, a series of djoi's r more powerful than 1 doji- to break decisively . A break to the upside would target $295

arent they saying a 'deadline' lol to get the deal done is Friday? or today?....unsure.

on the futures, the ES formed a lower low, not good. It lost the bottom of the box. Trying to recover ; if she forms a green candle that covers the body of yesterday's candle and reclaims the 8 ema? bullish ....keep in mind a very very very event based situation.

https://www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-futures-streaming-chart

clikc 1d, widescreen icon far right , the 8 ema is not on the chart but can be form the indicators icon


my 2-cents


VIX
Man it ripped after the 30.00.. what do you think the new entry is?
If the low 30's play I'd consider holding over night...The daily reset is where you can $$$$
 

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VIX

6 mth daily

8 ema

big.chart




food for thought , u already know this.....but..... if something is channeling and one wants an entry when it BREAKS the top of the channel- place a buy stop order just a bit past said top. So in this case, the VIX tested $30 seven times , all rejected, until it VIOLENTLY broke through. So, buy stop order at say $30.25-- hits it, and filled. Gotta have a stop of course, ....and with this vehicle ...can get stopped on the day of entry@):mad:



now what? $30 was resistance ....its now SUPPORT, it cant lose it.

anyway, i would never buy with this current presentation (too stretched from the 8 ema). With that said---- if i had to play this i'd do this; look for confluence , mutilple factors putting probability highly in favuor of forward upside the next day; entry at $33.75ish is a site to look at (would fill the gap just below...in general when a gap is filled price tends to revert) -- what also would be nice if it hits the 8 ema, can even pierce it and have a tail on it, but it closes ABOVE the 8 ema with a green candle ...the candle HAS to be a bullish candle on entry day, MUST MUST MUST. End of the day -- this uptrend remains until a bearish candle and CLOSE below the 8 ema.....today was largely a nothing day, NO WAY i'd take a postion either way at 3:50 pm



VIX

2 yr weekly

big.chart



a break of $45 and longs are smiling .....


with election next week....a decisive winner and volatility may take a big hit

again, i dont play the VIX
 

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your call on Chinese internet sector is looking ready to break through a ceiling.....what's goign on?


KWEB


6 mth daily, 8 ema

8 ema

big.chart



KWEB

1 decade monthly


big.chart



damn...........



xi-jinping-clapping-e1509118184978.jpg
 

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ES last 5 min was fuckin wild..............doji, closes above wed's low.........


tremendous theatre
 

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'...A CRACKER of a week may unfold.......'

historically volatile Oct ends with a bang. SPY for ehe week : -5.65%



'- IF it cant holdd this zone? back to re-test 3218 ish ( double bottom or toast)

anything in the short term that can make it break this zone its approaching? u betcha--- 4 tech gorillas report thursday'

the gorillas did not report well, other than GOOG. AAPL was a disaster, BUT $3218 on the ES did not break......going to need something much more lethal to break it. A contested election, perhaps....



SPY

6 mth daily

8 ema


big.chart


clearly $320 ish is critical .. a loss of this and seroius risk for further downside, possible test of the 200 sma........... DEEPLY oversold after last week's bloodbath. There isnt anything from this presentation that says buy me . We could get a bounce to test the 8 ema...

ANY short term trading, holding postions into wed is gambling , imo . Just as I said holding trading positions a week ago over the weekend was dangeruos with the stimulus dangling....




one of my trading mentors is going DEEEEEEEEEEEEP with a wager on the US election, six figures . He provides a detailed reason why, i'll try to get that up soon.
 

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imo

trump win and red senate OR Biden win and blue senate = usd down, gold, equities up

any other combo and i have no idea as to possible direction, no opinion

immediate plays to look at are ; trump win -- fossil fuel violent rebound, biden win - clean energy . I'd think gap ups
 

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on tuesday before the close will be interesting to see what XLE (fossil fuel) and ICLN (clean energy ) r doing, ...esp., relative to each other/market
 

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'immediate plays to look at are ; trump win -- fossil fuel violent rebound, biden win - clean energy . I'd think gap ups'


ICLN

6 mth daily, 8 ema


big.chart


:)

hammer pattern yesterday with a green body to boot clear as day at 3:55 pm . Was disturdign that the market was very green YET ICLN was red, but the hammer pattern told us late buying .......and today--MASSIVE gap on

the market is pricing a biden win folks. EV is to be looked at - see xpev, tsla



keep in mind, the market has gone NUTSO that last 3 days...NUTSO, very stretched, multiple gap ups on the qqq's, not stable and getting stretched from the 8 ema.

kweb broke its ceiling
USD is getting hammered, check out UUP's gap down, has to hold this level its at, if it loses it--- metals all day and miners
 

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note;

powell speaks now. ES below3480 and he hurt the market, above 3530 and could test the all-time highs, or a nothing burger

of course, election stuff .......volatility could spike


the Japanese rice traders; when approaching a level of resistance and a doji appears? take heed . From Friday's close the qqq r up approx 9%. Not a misprint. SHARP vertical ascent , two violent gap ups, stretched from the 8 ema. see the qqq chart adn the candle print at 3:50pm
 

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good point , wind brings another factor, add the slope change - guessing game............ see the shot, trust it and swing.... nevertheless, on that hole.... its take out an arturo fuente, light her up and enjoy the beauty :toast:

..........................


ES futures open in under an hour As I said with , personally, no way can hold a sizeable trading position over the weekend with this simulus nonsense dangling. No news over the weekend , see what Monday brings...the little bug is running rampant as the planet appears set to go into panic mode. We shall see. The QQQ candle prints thursday and friday r bullish-- back-to-back bullish pin bars off the 50 sma, that's fucki green light in a normal setting . from the chart, obviosly a loss of the lows of those 2 pin bars is not good, it would also take out the 50 sma, lots of stops would be triggered


the VIX put:call ratio ROSE over the last week, hmm.......market expecting LESS VOLATILTY. Waht's going on? ...maybe a decisive win is around the corner. Will be interesting to watch this metric in the upcoming week


................................................................................


sectors/stocks that should be rewarded following election,,,,have looked at a few articles ..............thoughts? ;

1. Trump win
- cant see China/USA relations smoothening lol. Further tensions is more likely. If China decides not to be pushed around, very likely, US agrilculture stocks may be in harm's way.
- conventional energy/OIL : has BEEN HAMMERED as folks likely getting atta dodge in anticiaption of a Biden clean energy wave. Could see an immediate rebound in oil stocks

2. Biden win
-clean energy all day long . Main etf ICLN. Individual stocks really dont know......................EV area also may run, more fuel for iconic TSLA. WKHS another to look at
- china/emeging markets - less trade tensions play
-Cannabis : main etfs; MJ (BY FAR the largest ), YOLO....individual stocks dont really know, certainly CGC one to look at
(-SPY-equal weighted ETF may be more prudent than market weighted )
- healthcare: he's promising some kinda of medicare-like govt option plan? stocks; UNH , CNC (etf players - IYH)
copy/paste;

United Healthcare is particularly well placed because it specializes in Medicare supplemental plans. If Biden is successfully in providing a Medicare-type solution, there will be enormous demand for supplemental plans.
"With respect to Democrat Presidential Nominee Joe Biden's Medicare expansion proposal, (Avalere Health founder Dan Mendelson) estimates that nearly 23 million individuals would be newly eligible for Medicare," write Credit Suisse analysts.

infrastruture- should be good if either wins, but from what im reading likely more fuel in a Biden win? ........ To look at: CAT, SUM, MLM. plenty of etfs for infrastructure/indistrials , but got to look under the hood, havent yet.


some have risen higher relative to the market



MJ (Cannabis)

6 mth daily, 8 ema


big.chart




UNH

6 mth daily, 8 ema

big.chart





CNC

6 mth daily, 8 ema

big.chart




EEM (emerging markets-- will do very well on a relative basis if the USD is to continue its downtrend for 2020/2021)

6 mth daiyl 8 ema

big.chart


whoa nelly!




fxi/kweb - china -- broken ceilings





this equity market move in 3 days is nothing short of madness , lol. Incredible given the election hasnt even been called
 

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UUP (USD)

3 yr, WEEKLY

big.chart


bearish engulfing pattern that engulfs FOUR weeks of action. This candle is not complete until tommorw 4:oopm, so there's still hope she can recover. Nonetheless, hanging by a thread at a suppot level with a bearish candle?-- a loss of this support , well....chart's kinda clear :). metals, miners, eem all to be rewarded, with metals havign the strongest correlation of the 3




rafa states he's a scratch golfer......um....well, he's taking quite a bit of heat at golf forums. THAT swing and scratch? sorry, not buying it @):mad:
 

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VIX

6 mth daily

big.chart



(the VIX ALWAYS fills its gaps)......let's recap, shits and giggles....take away 5 candles from the right- that's the picture last Friday. Headed into this week with the following looming-- a nasty, angry US election ...the little bug running amok (its on the media sidelines for a week )., central bankers PLEADING to spend monies

how does the week unfold? the SPY has its greatest week in 6 mths............VIX longs end up in ERs across the land........


cant make this shit up ....
 

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is anyone in here still in ozsc with me?

yes, and tlss. Been an absolute shit show since you pumped it. Obviously, it’s gaining some traction lately, but I’m still down huge on it. Hope they both fly...
 

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