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what is the likely outlook if Biden was to win...passes...and Harris was to take over........? she a renegade?
 

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National poll is useless. Only a handful of states deciding the outcome of the election. OH/PA/FL is in play. It's very hard for either one of them losing 2/3 of those states then make a comeback. This election could be Gore v. Bush all over again.
 
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what is the likely outlook if Biden was to win...passes...and Harris was to take over........? she a renegade?

"She" has the most liberal voting record in the Senate according to people who track that stuff.

Renegade? The Queen in the Senate.
 

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haha, doesnt sound too good.... would be a hell of an accomplish to lose to Biden!! we shall see!!


VIX

6 mth daily

big.chart




not a chance its losing $22 @):mad:


UUP (the battered USD)

6 mth daily

big.chart


the most critical chart for precious metal holders...... she needs to make a call



they need to pay folks . this stimulus shit has to go through, lol . reckoning , likely to get a pull up into, then sell after. .....



https://www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-futures-streaming-chart

click 1d, far right widescreen

in a box- top of the box; 3535ish
bottom of the box ; 3418ish

that's a WIDE box!!!!!! haha, tip ur hat to the vix

if it brks the bottom of the box, has a date with the 50 SMA (i'd expect a bounce here)


fun facts;

- BTC showing steady strength...hmmm

- SPY/ACWI : one a 1 yr regression channel the spy is 2-standard deviations away from normal price action on the low , likely to outperform global equities in due time



another sector , other than clean energy that has raced in anticipation of a Biden win is Cannabis. TLRY if breaks $6.50 has fucjin tons of room to run. $4.5 to $6.25 in a month. yikes. Similar activity with other weed stocks. just a fyi
(ACWI-global equities)
 

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from above;

UUP


'the most critical chart for precious metal holders...... she needs to make a call'

whoa.....





BTC......what's up?
:think2:





https://www.investing.com/crypto/bitcoin/chart


click candle icon .....click 1M (monthly)......widescreen far right


popcorn-eatinggif
 

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haha, doesnt sound too good.... would be a hell of an accomplish to lose to Biden!! we shall see!!


VIX

6 mth daily

big.chart




not a chance its losing $22 @):mad:


UUP (the battered USD)

6 mth daily

big.chart


the most critical chart for precious metal holders...... she needs to make a call



they need to pay folks . this stimulus shit has to go through, lol . reckoning , likely to get a pull up into, then sell after. .....



https://www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-futures-streaming-chart

click 1d, far right widescreen

in a box- top of the box; 3535ish
bottom of the box ; 3418ish

that's a WIDE box!!!!!! haha, tip ur hat to the vix

if it brks the bottom of the box, has a date with the 50 SMA (i'd expect a bounce here)


fun facts;

- BTC showing steady strength...hmmm

- SPY/ACWI : one a 1 yr regression channel the spy is 2-standard deviations away from normal price action on the low , likely to outperform global equities in due time



another sector , other than clean energy that has raced in anticipation of a Biden win is Cannabis. TLRY if breaks $6.50 has fucjin tons of room to run. $4.5 to $6.25 in a month. yikes. Similar activity with other weed stocks. just a fyi
(ACWI-global equities)


Do you play the VIX long?, it's a strange mix of indicators and on good days contrasts the market ... I play it occasionally but never hold it over night ..I did pull 13% outa it recently in a few hours
Gotta have brass to hold that one. 30.00 is a key entry according to what I've read recently

Great thread
 

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nah, too volatile for my blood. The vix had two days in early sept , the day's ranges were ; $25.75 to $36 and $38.25 to $29.75,respectively lol. Yeah $30 for sure is a big level; since mid -sept (from the chart above) $30 level has been rejected SEVEN times. I use the vix to gauge the fear level(beadth of potential candles)/and additive info for the major indices as they r largely inversely correlated

great job on 13% in a day on it, holly molly!!!


QQQ

6 mth daily

8 ema

big.chart


below the 8 ema, not good. No signalling either way for direction from the candles. Back to back inside candles (tuesday/wed), back to back doji's. Indecision..at the crossroads......algos/traders all waiting on Pelosi. Look how it refuses to give up the low of the mother candle, Monday's long red candle-- it will likely lose it if no good news, imo . Event based, adn again no clues from the candles..if today's candle also is a doji? look out for friday, a series of djoi's r more powerful than 1 doji- to break decisively . A break to the upside would target $295

arent they saying a 'deadline' lol to get the deal done is Friday? or today?....unsure.

on the futures, the ES formed a lower low, not good. It lost the bottom of the box. Trying to recover ; if she forms a green candle that covers the body of yesterday's candle and reclaims the 8 ema? bullish ....keep in mind a very very very event based situation.

https://www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-futures-streaming-chart

clikc 1d, widescreen icon far right , the 8 ema is not on the chart but can be form the indicators icon


my 2-cents
 

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gotta tip ur hat to TSLA. Stunning earnings yesterday and....


https://insideevs.com/news/450210/tesla-superchargers-2200-stations-19450-connectors/

[h=1]Tesla Superchargers: Close To 2,200 Stations And 19,450 Connectors[/h]
[h=2]146 new stations and 1,337 connectors were installed during the last three months.[/h][FONT=&quot]The third quarter of 2020 turned out to be one of the strongest in terms of expansion of Tesla Supercharging network in terms of the number of stations and connectors.
Tesla expanded the network by 146 new stations and 1,337 stations:

  • 2,181 stations - 32% more than a year ago
    +146 new stations in a quarter
  • 19,437 individual connectors (stalls) - 33% more than a year ago
    +1,337 connectors in a quarter
The network is now a third bigger than a year ago and that does not even include the ongoing increase of power (installation of the new 250 kW V3 chargers).
The connectors to stations ratio is 8.9 (9.2 in the last quarter).
[/FONT]
 

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they need to pay folks . this stimulus shit has to go through, lol . reckoning , likely to get a pull up into, then sell after. .....



https://www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-futures-streaming-chart

click 1d, far right widescreen

in a box- top of the box; 3535ish
bottom of the box ; 3418ish

that's a WIDE box!!!!!! haha, tip ur hat to the vix

if it brks the bottom of the box, has a date with the 50 SMA (i'd expect a bounce here)



fun facts;

- BTC showing steady strength...hmmm

- SPY/ACWI : one a 1 yr regression channel the spy is 2-standard deviations away from normal price action on the low , likely to outperform global equities in due time



another sector , other than clean energy that has raced in anticipation of a Biden win is Cannabis. TLRY if breaks $6.50 has fucjin tons of room to run. $4.5 to $6.25 in a month. yikes. Similar activity with other weed stocks. just a fyi
(ACWI-global equities)



qqq

3 mth daily 50 sma


big.chart




with surgical precision..........where's fuckin pelosi, on lunch? ....she goign to make this shit unravel? :)
 

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on the futures, the ES formed a lower low, not good. It lost the bottom of the box. Trying to recover ; if she forms a green candle that covers the body of yesterday's candle and reclaims the 8 ema? bullish ....keep in mind a very very very event based situation.

https://www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-futures-streaming-chart

clikc 1d, widescreen icon far right , the 8 ema is not on the chart but can be form the indicators icon


my 2-cents

this is exactly what happened, ES futures candle is closing soon. click the link above, click 1D (daily)....left/right combo, reclaiming the 8 ema
 

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no friday glory or sell off.....all waiitng on congress......could be a gap down or up Monday mornnig if closes/negative news over the weekend . Hard to keep large trading positions over the weekend, for damn sure .

this holly molly print went off today

KBE - 5,800,000 shares @ $34.32 S&P 500 bank etf

https://www.etf.com/KBE#overview


KBE

2 yr weekly

big.chart



KBE

6 mth daily

8 ema

big.chart


-yesterday's candle poured through its 200 sma (not seen on the chart)
- today a doji, classic indecision at a resistence level , as the japanese rice traders would say -when seeing a doji at a top or bottom, take heed

a general rule of the doji is that price action will move in the direction it opens after a doji presents. IF this opens positive on Monday, it likely breaks this resistance and may form a doji sandwich-- target for the upside would be $38


keep in minid a beautiful 25% move on this etf since mid to late sept ......who says the banks arent loved? :)


danzante-2.jpg
 

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thing of beauty bro...

Loreto , Mexico..TPC Danzante Bay


 

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haha, dunno , a few drinks may help us.....

from the forward tees the approach is angled to the neck of the green, a bit chunky and its safe. From the tips, 178 yds, its full carry. Looks downhill...my guess adjusted for slope -165 yds ..gotta carry 160. Has to be hit clean. I'd hit 8 iron, ..flush or KAPUT
 
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haha, dunno , a few drinks may help us.....

from the forward tees the approach is angled to the neck of the green, a bit chunky and its safe. From the tips, 178 yds, its full carry. Looks downhill...my guess adjusted for slope -165 yds ..gotta carry 160. Has to be hit clean. I'd hit 8 iron, ..flush or KAPUT

You don't get a sense of it by looking at that picture but there's gotta be wind there. I would guess a lot on most days. That added factor would make that one m'fer of a hole. A sure multiple ball loser for me. Vicious hole.
 

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good point , wind brings another factor, add the slope change - guessing game............ see the shot, trust it and swing.... nevertheless, on that hole.... its take out an arturo fuente, light her up and enjoy the beauty :toast:

..........................


ES futures open in under an hour As I said with , personally, no way can hold a sizeable trading position over the weekend with this simulus nonsense dangling. No news over the weekend , see what Monday brings...the little bug is running rampant as the planet appears set to go into panic mode. We shall see. The QQQ candle prints thursday and friday r bullish-- back-to-back bullish pin bars off the 50 sma, that's fucki green light in a normal setting . from the chart, obviosly a loss of the lows of those 2 pin bars is not good, it would also take out the 50 sma, lots of stops would be triggered


the VIX put:call ratio ROSE over the last week, hmm.......market expecting LESS VOLATILTY. Waht's going on? ...maybe a decisive win is around the corner. Will be interesting to watch this metric in the upcoming week


................................................................................


sectors/stocks that should be rewarded following election,,,,have looked at a few articles ..............thoughts? ;

1. Trump win
- cant see China/USA relations smoothening lol. Further tensions is more likely. If China decides not to be pushed around, very likely, US agrilculture stocks may be in harm's way.
- conventional energy/OIL : has BEEN HAMMERED as folks likely getting atta dodge in anticiaption of a Biden clean energy wave. Could see an immediate rebound in oil stocks

2. Biden win
-clean energy all day long . Main etf ICLN. Individual stocks really dont know......................EV area also may run, more fuel for iconic TSLA. WKHS another to look at
- china/emeging markets - less trade tensions play
-Cannabis : main etfs; MJ (BY FAR the largest ), YOLO....individual stocks dont really know, certainly CGC one to look at
(-SPY-equal weighted ETF may be more prudent than market weighted )
- healthcare: he's promising some kinda of medicare-like govt option plan? stocks; UNH , CNC (etf players - IYH)
copy/paste;

United Healthcare is particularly well placed because it specializes in Medicare supplemental plans. If Biden is successfully in providing a Medicare-type solution, there will be enormous demand for supplemental plans.
"With respect to Democrat Presidential Nominee Joe Biden's Medicare expansion proposal, (Avalere Health founder Dan Mendelson) estimates that nearly 23 million individuals would be newly eligible for Medicare," write Credit Suisse analysts.

infrastruture- should be good if either wins, but from what im reading likely more fuel in a Biden win? ........ To look at: CAT, SUM, MLM. plenty of etfs for infrastructure/indistrials , but got to look under the hood, havent yet.
 

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note;

earning this week....a few biggies :)

Tues: MSFT
Thurs: APPL, AMZN, FB, GOOG


tech gorilla earnings, covid running amok, US pending election, stimulus dangling.......................shoud be enough drama for a week and a bit....
 

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VIX

6 mth daily, 200 sma

big.chart




whoa.....whoa.......... Gap up............

certainties in life;

- death

-taxes

-the VIX fills its gaps


ALL major indices are below the 8 ema

the little bug going nutty globally and stimulus likely KAPUT...

Donald J. Trump


@realDonaldTrump

<time datetime="2020-10-13T15:01:57.000Z">Oct 13</time>

STIMULUS! Go big or go home!!!



lol, lookin' like they're going home .....


MSFT tomorrow .............then the big 4 to try to save the week.............A CRACKER of a week may unfold.......



Augusta in two weeks........turning back the clock.... The 2019 Masters . When Molinari put into Rae's Creek at 12, Woods was up next-- decisive, no way going at the flag. Kept it dry. FANTASTIC iron shots at 15, 17, 16. What a tremendous sporting moment this was;

 

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MSFT after hours -1.55% - the market not impressed

GOOG, AAPL, FB , AMZN all thursday...........popcorn-eatinggif


post #1331., re KBE ; take the last 2 candles from the right, they werent there when this was posted. That massive print presented was at a top , it was channelling ......posted this;
'a general rule of the doji is that price action will move in the direction it opens after a doji presents. ....'.............cashed their chips.....



this print went off today

SPXS - Direxion daily S@P 500 3x Bear etf 4,000,000 shares @$5.45 $21,800,000 3x bearish call.... wow

3 mth daily. 8 ema


big.chart



nt- a dangerous vehicle to trade. ya BETTER BE RIGHT :)
 

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