NFL NOVEMBER BEST BETS !
11/12/2023..............................8 - 7 - 0...............................53.33%.........................+ 1.50
11/09/2023.............................1 - 0 - 1.............................100.00%.........................+ 5.00
11/06/2023.............................0 - 2 - 0..............................00.00%..........................- 11.00
11/05/2023............................12 - 5 - 0..............................70.58%.........................+ 32.50
11/02/2023..............................2 - 0 - 0.............................100.00%........................+ 10.00
TOTALS................................23 - 14 - 1............................. 62.16%.........................+ 38.00
11/12/2023..............................8 - 7 - 0...............................53.33%.........................+ 1.50
11/09/2023.............................1 - 0 - 1.............................100.00%.........................+ 5.00
11/06/2023.............................0 - 2 - 0..............................00.00%..........................- 11.00
11/05/2023............................12 - 5 - 0..............................70.58%.........................+ 32.50
11/02/2023..............................2 - 0 - 0.............................100.00%........................+ 10.00
TOTALS................................23 - 14 - 1............................. 62.16%.........................+ 38.00
Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting college football spreads this week:
— Kansas State (-7) @ Kansas
— Washington (-2) @ Oregon State
— UCLA @ USC (-6)
— SMU (-6) @ Memphis
— Texas (-7) @ Iowa State
— UNLV @ Air Force (-5)
Quote of the Day (from 2 years ago)
“Coach Fisher continues to demonstrate he is building our program for long-term success and he is a perfect fit for Texas A&M. There is momentum in all phases of our program and we are excited about what lies ahead for Aggie Football.”
Texas A&M athletic director Ross Bjork, in September 2021
Tuesday’s quiz
Who coached the Rams, the first time they played in a Super Bowl?
Monday’s quiz
Pete Carroll was coach of the Patriots before Bill Belichick.
Sunday’s quiz
Memphis Grizzlies called Vancouver home, before they moved to Tennessee.
************************************
In the next 60 days, A&M has to pay Fisher $19.3M; in the 60 days after that, A&M owes Fisher another $7.2M. Thats million, with an M.
From 2025-31, Texas A&M will pay Fisher another $7.2M a year- from this point on, they have to pay him a total of $77M. Whoever is writing those checks must really hate being 6-4.
— By the way, Mississippi State also fired their coach Monday; Zach Arnett had a 4-6 record in his first full year as head coach, replacing the late Mike Leach, who died suddenly last year. Arnett’s buyout is around $4M; he figures to land somewhere as a defensive coordinator in ’24.
— San Diego State football coach Brady Hoke will retire at the end of the season; Aztecs are 3-7 this season, their first losing season since 2009. San Diego State is 26-19 since Hoke returned as head coach in 2020.
Overall, he is 104-90 as a head coach.
— Penn State lost 24-15 to Michigan Saturday; the next day, they fired offensive coordinator Mike Yurcich. In their losses to Ohio State/Michigan this year, Nittany Lions gained 240-238 total yards.
— Broncos 24, Bills 22
Denver kicked a 36-yard FG at the gun for the win.
Denver missed a 41-yard FG on prior play; Bills had 12 guys on the field.
Broncos win despite missing two extra points.
Third straight win for the Broncos.
Bills ran ball 26 times for 192 yards (7.4 yards/carry).
Buffalo turned ball over four times, including their first two drives.
Bills are 5-0 giving up 20 or less points, 0-5 giving up more than 20.
Buffalo lost four of its last six games (0-6 ATS) SU.
— College football conference trends:
Favorites are 31-16 ATS in SEC games.
Underdogs are 24-19 ATS in Sun Belt games.
Pac-12 home underdogs are 12-4 ATS
Mountain West home underdogs are 6-10 ATS
Favorites are 25-15 ATS in MAC games.
AAC home favorites are 7-16 ATS
ACC home underdogs are 13-6 ATS
Big X home underdogs are 13-5 ATS
Big 14 home underdogs are 6-15 ATS
Conference USA favorites are 18-11 ATS
— NFL divisional trends:
NFC East teams are 9-14 ATS outside the division
NFC North home favorites are 10-2-1 ATS outside the division
NFC South home underdogs are 6-2 ATS outside the division
NFC West underdogs are 1-6 ATS outside the division
AFC East home favorites are 5-3-1 ATS
AFC North road underdogs are 3-8-1 ATS outside the division
AFC South home teams are 4-10-1 ATS outside the division
AFC West home teams are 7-4 ATS outside the division
— Word of the Day: assume- to take for granted that something is true, without proof.
— Arizona Wildcats alum, former big league manager Terry Francona was behind the Arizona bench when the Wildcats beat Duke in basketball the other day in Durham.
— Over the last four seasons, LA Chargers are 10-13 in games decided by 3 or less points, 0-4 this season.
— College football QB’s with most plays of 20+ yards this season:
76- Jayden Daniels, LSU
57- Michael Penix, Washington
55- Caleb Williams, USC
— Dallas Cowboys won/covered all four home games this year; they’ve won 12 home games in a row overall, the longest home winning streak in franchise history.
— This stat is from NFL Research:
Over the last 40 years, these teams spent the least time trailing in a game, over the first 10 games of their season:
14:46- 1984 Dolphins (started season 10-0, lost Super Bowl)
27:07- 1998 Broncos (started season 10-0, won Super Bowl)
28:46- 2023 Ravens (started season 7-3)
43:42- 1990 Giants (started season 10-0, won Super Bowl)
51:03- 2007 Patriots (started season 10-0, lost Super Bowl)
— Penn 76, Villanova 72
Quakers shot 56.7% inside arc, made only 21-34 on foul line.
Villanova was 9-33 on the arc.
Bad loss for Villanova team starting four seniors.
— Michigan 89, St John’s 73
Michigan led 48-38 at half, shot 58% inside arc, scored 1.24 ppp.
St John’s shot 37.5% inside the arc.
— Raptors 111, Wizards 107
Washington led 106-90 with 7:20 left in game.
Siakam scored 39 points; Raptors were +18 with him on court.
Interesting college football spreads this week:
— Kansas State (-7) @ Kansas
— Washington (-2) @ Oregon State
— UCLA @ USC (-6)
— SMU (-6) @ Memphis
— Texas (-7) @ Iowa State
— UNLV @ Air Force (-5)
Quote of the Day (from 2 years ago)
“Coach Fisher continues to demonstrate he is building our program for long-term success and he is a perfect fit for Texas A&M. There is momentum in all phases of our program and we are excited about what lies ahead for Aggie Football.”
Texas A&M athletic director Ross Bjork, in September 2021
Tuesday’s quiz
Who coached the Rams, the first time they played in a Super Bowl?
Monday’s quiz
Pete Carroll was coach of the Patriots before Bill Belichick.
Sunday’s quiz
Memphis Grizzlies called Vancouver home, before they moved to Tennessee.
************************************
Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..
— Texas A&M’s football team is 6-4 this year, 4-3 in SEC; in 5+ years under Jimbo Fisher, they went 45-25, 27-21 in SEC games, winning their last game 51-10 over Mississippi State. That wasn’t good enough for whoever calls the shots in College Station- over the weekend, they told Fisher to take a hike, but Fisher has to be laughing all the way to the bank.In the next 60 days, A&M has to pay Fisher $19.3M; in the 60 days after that, A&M owes Fisher another $7.2M. Thats million, with an M.
From 2025-31, Texas A&M will pay Fisher another $7.2M a year- from this point on, they have to pay him a total of $77M. Whoever is writing those checks must really hate being 6-4.
— By the way, Mississippi State also fired their coach Monday; Zach Arnett had a 4-6 record in his first full year as head coach, replacing the late Mike Leach, who died suddenly last year. Arnett’s buyout is around $4M; he figures to land somewhere as a defensive coordinator in ’24.
— San Diego State football coach Brady Hoke will retire at the end of the season; Aztecs are 3-7 this season, their first losing season since 2009. San Diego State is 26-19 since Hoke returned as head coach in 2020.
Overall, he is 104-90 as a head coach.
— Penn State lost 24-15 to Michigan Saturday; the next day, they fired offensive coordinator Mike Yurcich. In their losses to Ohio State/Michigan this year, Nittany Lions gained 240-238 total yards.
— Broncos 24, Bills 22
Denver kicked a 36-yard FG at the gun for the win.
Denver missed a 41-yard FG on prior play; Bills had 12 guys on the field.
Broncos win despite missing two extra points.
Third straight win for the Broncos.
Bills ran ball 26 times for 192 yards (7.4 yards/carry).
Buffalo turned ball over four times, including their first two drives.
Bills are 5-0 giving up 20 or less points, 0-5 giving up more than 20.
Buffalo lost four of its last six games (0-6 ATS) SU.
— College football conference trends:
Favorites are 31-16 ATS in SEC games.
Underdogs are 24-19 ATS in Sun Belt games.
Pac-12 home underdogs are 12-4 ATS
Mountain West home underdogs are 6-10 ATS
Favorites are 25-15 ATS in MAC games.
AAC home favorites are 7-16 ATS
ACC home underdogs are 13-6 ATS
Big X home underdogs are 13-5 ATS
Big 14 home underdogs are 6-15 ATS
Conference USA favorites are 18-11 ATS
— NFL divisional trends:
NFC East teams are 9-14 ATS outside the division
NFC North home favorites are 10-2-1 ATS outside the division
NFC South home underdogs are 6-2 ATS outside the division
NFC West underdogs are 1-6 ATS outside the division
AFC East home favorites are 5-3-1 ATS
AFC North road underdogs are 3-8-1 ATS outside the division
AFC South home teams are 4-10-1 ATS outside the division
AFC West home teams are 7-4 ATS outside the division
— Word of the Day: assume- to take for granted that something is true, without proof.
— Arizona Wildcats alum, former big league manager Terry Francona was behind the Arizona bench when the Wildcats beat Duke in basketball the other day in Durham.
— Over the last four seasons, LA Chargers are 10-13 in games decided by 3 or less points, 0-4 this season.
— College football QB’s with most plays of 20+ yards this season:
76- Jayden Daniels, LSU
57- Michael Penix, Washington
55- Caleb Williams, USC
— Dallas Cowboys won/covered all four home games this year; they’ve won 12 home games in a row overall, the longest home winning streak in franchise history.
— This stat is from NFL Research:
Over the last 40 years, these teams spent the least time trailing in a game, over the first 10 games of their season:
14:46- 1984 Dolphins (started season 10-0, lost Super Bowl)
27:07- 1998 Broncos (started season 10-0, won Super Bowl)
28:46- 2023 Ravens (started season 7-3)
43:42- 1990 Giants (started season 10-0, won Super Bowl)
51:03- 2007 Patriots (started season 10-0, lost Super Bowl)
— Penn 76, Villanova 72
Quakers shot 56.7% inside arc, made only 21-34 on foul line.
Villanova was 9-33 on the arc.
Bad loss for Villanova team starting four seniors.
— Michigan 89, St John’s 73
Michigan led 48-38 at half, shot 58% inside arc, scored 1.24 ppp.
St John’s shot 37.5% inside the arc.
— Raptors 111, Wizards 107
Washington led 106-90 with 7:20 left in game.
Siakam scored 39 points; Raptors were +18 with him on court.
NFL
Week 11
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Trend Report
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Cincinnati @ Baltimore
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Baltimore's last 12 games at home
LA Chargers @ Green Bay
LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 7 games
LA Chargers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Green Bay
Green Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Arizona @ Houston
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 9 games
Houston
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Dallas @ Carolina
Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina's last 10 games
Pittsburgh @ Cleveland
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games at home
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago @ Detroit
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Detroit
Detroit is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Tennessee @ Jacksonville
Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games
Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Las Vegas @ Miami
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 8 games
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Giants @ Washington
NY Giants
NY Giants is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Giants's last 8 games
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Washington's last 24 games when playing NY Giants
Tampa Bay @ San Francisco
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco
San Francisco is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
San Francisco is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Seattle @ LA Rams
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
LA Rams
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
LA Rams is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Seattle
NY Jets @ Buffalo
NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Minnesota @ Denver
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia @ Kansas City
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Philadelphia is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
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Week 11
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Cincinnati @ Baltimore
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Baltimore's last 12 games at home
LA Chargers @ Green Bay
LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 7 games
LA Chargers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Green Bay
Green Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Arizona @ Houston
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 9 games
Houston
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Dallas @ Carolina
Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina's last 10 games
Pittsburgh @ Cleveland
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games at home
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago @ Detroit
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Detroit
Detroit is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Tennessee @ Jacksonville
Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games
Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Las Vegas @ Miami
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 8 games
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Giants @ Washington
NY Giants
NY Giants is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Giants's last 8 games
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Washington's last 24 games when playing NY Giants
Tampa Bay @ San Francisco
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco
San Francisco is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
San Francisco is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Seattle @ LA Rams
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
LA Rams
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
LA Rams is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Seattle
NY Jets @ Buffalo
NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Minnesota @ Denver
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia @ Kansas City
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Philadelphia is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting NFL spreads this week:
— Bengals @ Baltimore (-4)
— Steelers @ Cleveland (-4)
— Cardinals @ Houston (-4)
— Chargers (-3) @ Green Bay
— Giants @ Washington (-10)
— Titans @ Jacksonville (-6.5)
Quote of the Day
“I think it’s a good reminder for all free agents considering signing in New York both foreign and domestic that to play for that team you’ve got to be made of Teflon, both mentally and physically because you can never let your guard down, even in the offseason.”
Joel Wolfe, Giancarlo Stanton’s agent
Wednesday’s quiz
In the classic movie Major League, what number did Charlie Sheen’s character (Wild Thing Vaughn) wear?
Tuesday’s quiz
Ray Malavasi coached the Rams, the first time they played in a Super Bowl (XIV)
Monday’s quiz
Pete Carroll was coach of the Patriots before Bill Belichick.
**********************************
Kentucky led 48-41 at halftime, by 14 with 16:21 left to play.
Dickinson had 27 points, 21 rebounds for Kansas.
Kentucky was 12-38 on the arc, 13-38 inside the arc.
Kentucky played only eight guys; five of them are freshmen.
— Marquette 71, Illinois 64
Marquette was +7 in turnovers (15-8)
Kolek scored 24 points, grabbed six rebounds, had 4 assists.
Illinois starts four seniors; they were 11-33 on the arc.
— Duke 74, Michigan State 65
Duke was 24-30 on foul line, Spartans 7-12.
Blue Devils led by 11 at half; they shot 59% inside the arc.
— Oregon State 81, Appalachian State 71 OT
Oregon State was 13-34 on the arc, 13-30 inside arc.
Beavers are 3-0, with two of the wins in overtime.
— Western Kentucky 86, Murray State 81
WKU shot 53.7% inside arc, 8-16 on arc, scored 1.16 ppp.
Racers led by 5 with 11:23 left to play.
— Toledo 78, Wright State 77
Wright State shot 66.7% inside arc, still got beat.
Toledo played 10 guys; five freshmen, five juniors.
Good night for Toledo; their football team also won by a point.
— Cal-Irvine 70, USC 60
Impressive win for Russell Turner’s Anteaters and the Big West.
Trojans shot 26.3% from the floor; hard to win that way.
— Upsets of the Night:
Cal-Irvine (+14) 70, USC 60
Ill-Chicago (+11.5) 72, Loyola Chi 67
Santa Clara (+9.5) 89, Stanford 77
Temple (+4.5) 66, Drexel 64
— Word of the Day: continuity- the unbroken, consistent existence or operation of something over a period of time.
— Buffalo Bills fired OC Ken Dorsey Tuesday; they’ve lost three of last four games- in their last five games, they’re minus-9 in turnovers. Josh Allen has regressed at QB since the last OC left to become a head coach (Brian Daboll).
Buffalo has trailed after the first quarter in five of their last six games.
— There are 42 bowl games coming up, starting next month; lot of games on TV. As recently as 1981, there were only 15 bowl games.
— Saw a list of the six highest pointspreads in NFL history; in those six games, the underdog went 5-1 against the spread.
— So far this season, Cleveland Browns have run 166 more plays than their opponents, an average of 18.4/game. Takes a lot of strain off their defense.
— Washington Nationals DFA’d 1B Dom Smith; he hit .254 in 153 games this past season, with only 46 RBI, not a lot for a 1B.
— Milwaukee Brewers are going to name bench coach Pat Murphy their new manager; he’s been the Brewers’ bench coach since 2016. Before that, Murphy worked for the Padres for six years, and before that, he was baseball coach at Notre Dame, Arizona State.
— RIP to Padres’ owner Peter Seidler, who passed away this week at age 63. Seidler was the grandson of the late Walter O’Malley, who owned the Dodgers when they moved from Brooklyn to Los Angeles. Seidler was a two-time cancer survivor who was well-liked in San Diego.
San Diego had the 3rd-highest payroll in baseball this year, but went 82-80 and missed the playoffs; they’re expected to cut payroll next year and right now, they’re the only MLB team without a manager for next year.
Interesting NFL spreads this week:
— Bengals @ Baltimore (-4)
— Steelers @ Cleveland (-4)
— Cardinals @ Houston (-4)
— Chargers (-3) @ Green Bay
— Giants @ Washington (-10)
— Titans @ Jacksonville (-6.5)
Quote of the Day
“I think it’s a good reminder for all free agents considering signing in New York both foreign and domestic that to play for that team you’ve got to be made of Teflon, both mentally and physically because you can never let your guard down, even in the offseason.”
Joel Wolfe, Giancarlo Stanton’s agent
Wednesday’s quiz
In the classic movie Major League, what number did Charlie Sheen’s character (Wild Thing Vaughn) wear?
Tuesday’s quiz
Ray Malavasi coached the Rams, the first time they played in a Super Bowl (XIV)
Monday’s quiz
Pete Carroll was coach of the Patriots before Bill Belichick.
**********************************
Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..
— Kansas 89, Kentucky 84Kentucky led 48-41 at halftime, by 14 with 16:21 left to play.
Dickinson had 27 points, 21 rebounds for Kansas.
Kentucky was 12-38 on the arc, 13-38 inside the arc.
Kentucky played only eight guys; five of them are freshmen.
— Marquette 71, Illinois 64
Marquette was +7 in turnovers (15-8)
Kolek scored 24 points, grabbed six rebounds, had 4 assists.
Illinois starts four seniors; they were 11-33 on the arc.
— Duke 74, Michigan State 65
Duke was 24-30 on foul line, Spartans 7-12.
Blue Devils led by 11 at half; they shot 59% inside the arc.
— Oregon State 81, Appalachian State 71 OT
Oregon State was 13-34 on the arc, 13-30 inside arc.
Beavers are 3-0, with two of the wins in overtime.
— Western Kentucky 86, Murray State 81
WKU shot 53.7% inside arc, 8-16 on arc, scored 1.16 ppp.
Racers led by 5 with 11:23 left to play.
— Toledo 78, Wright State 77
Wright State shot 66.7% inside arc, still got beat.
Toledo played 10 guys; five freshmen, five juniors.
Good night for Toledo; their football team also won by a point.
— Cal-Irvine 70, USC 60
Impressive win for Russell Turner’s Anteaters and the Big West.
Trojans shot 26.3% from the floor; hard to win that way.
— Upsets of the Night:
Cal-Irvine (+14) 70, USC 60
Ill-Chicago (+11.5) 72, Loyola Chi 67
Santa Clara (+9.5) 89, Stanford 77
Temple (+4.5) 66, Drexel 64
— Word of the Day: continuity- the unbroken, consistent existence or operation of something over a period of time.
— Buffalo Bills fired OC Ken Dorsey Tuesday; they’ve lost three of last four games- in their last five games, they’re minus-9 in turnovers. Josh Allen has regressed at QB since the last OC left to become a head coach (Brian Daboll).
Buffalo has trailed after the first quarter in five of their last six games.
— There are 42 bowl games coming up, starting next month; lot of games on TV. As recently as 1981, there were only 15 bowl games.
— Saw a list of the six highest pointspreads in NFL history; in those six games, the underdog went 5-1 against the spread.
— So far this season, Cleveland Browns have run 166 more plays than their opponents, an average of 18.4/game. Takes a lot of strain off their defense.
— Washington Nationals DFA’d 1B Dom Smith; he hit .254 in 153 games this past season, with only 46 RBI, not a lot for a 1B.
— Milwaukee Brewers are going to name bench coach Pat Murphy their new manager; he’s been the Brewers’ bench coach since 2016. Before that, Murphy worked for the Padres for six years, and before that, he was baseball coach at Notre Dame, Arizona State.
— RIP to Padres’ owner Peter Seidler, who passed away this week at age 63. Seidler was the grandson of the late Walter O’Malley, who owned the Dodgers when they moved from Brooklyn to Los Angeles. Seidler was a two-time cancer survivor who was well-liked in San Diego.
San Diego had the 3rd-highest payroll in baseball this year, but went 82-80 and missed the playoffs; they’re expected to cut payroll next year and right now, they’re the only MLB team without a manager for next year.
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 11
Thursday’s game
Bengals (5-4) @ Ravens (7-3)
— Bengals won/covered four of last five games, scoring 26.6 ppg.
— Last five games, Bengals are +8 in turnovers. (13-5)
— Cincinnati split its four road games SU this season.
— Cincinnati is 5-1-1 ATS in last seven games as a road underdog.
— Bengals are 15-7-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
— Last three games, Cincy averaged 7.6/7.6/7.1 yards/pass attempt.
— Last two games. Cincy had ten TD’s on 30 drives.
— Bengals are 4-2-1 ATS in last seven AFC North road games.
— Last five games, Bengals scored TD on their first drive of game.
— Under is 5-4 in their games this season.
— Team total: under 6-3. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Ravens won four of last four games (3-2 ATS).
— Last seven games, Ravens outscored foes 125-28 in first half.
— Baltimore is 6-12 ATS in last 18 games as home favorite (3-2 TY)
— Ravens are 7-1 when they score 20+ points, 0-2 if they do not.
— Baltimore is 1-6 ATS in last seven AFC North home games.
— Ravens are 13-16-1 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss.
— Baltimore is minus-6 in TO’s in its losses, +4 in wins.
— Lamar Jackson is 53-22 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— over is 3-1 in Baltimore’s last four games.
— Team total: over 7-3. Opponents’ team total: under 6-3-1
— Ravens (+3) won 27-24 in Cincinnati, in Week 3
— Cincinnati won four of last six series games.
— Bengals are 7-2 ATS in last nine visits to Baltimore.
— Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.
Sunday’s games
Steelers (6-3) @ Browns (6-3)
— Steelers won/covered four of their last five games.
— Steelers are 8-3 ATS in last 11 games as road underdogs (2-0 TY)
— Steelers scored 26-23-17-24-20-23 points in wins, 7-6-10 in losses.
— Pittsburgh has been outgained in every game this year.
— Steelers have been outgained by 100.4 yards/game.
— Last two games, Pittsburgh ran ball for 166-205 yards.
— Last eight games, Steelers have a +11 turnover margin.
— Steelers are 6-3 ATS in last nine AFC North road games.
— Seven of nine Steeler games stayed under the total.
— QB Pickett is 13-8 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 4-3-2. Opponents’ team total: over 5-4
— Browns are 4-1 since their bye week.
— Last five weeks, Cleveland ran ball for 151.2 yards/game.
— Cleveland has run 18.4 more plays/game than opponents TY.
— Browns are 2-9-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
— Browns are 4-0 giving up less than 24 points, 2-3 allowing 24+.
— Cleveland is 4-1 SU/ATS in its home games.
— Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in last five AFC North home games.
— Cleveland is 9-13-1 ATS last 23 games as a home favorite (2-1 TY).
— Opponents have converted only 29-112 third down plays.
— Over is 3-1 in last four Cleveland games.
— Watson is 37-31 as an NFL starter, 8-4 with Cleveland.
— Team total: over 7-1-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Browns (-2.5) lost 26-22 at Pittsburgh in Week 2.
— Steelers scored two defensive TD’s in that game.
— Pittsburgh won five of last six series games.
— Steelers lost three of last four visits to Cleveland.
— Last three meetings went over the total.
Cardinals (2-8) @ Texans (5-4)
— QB Murray was 19-32/249 passing LW, in his first ’23 start.
— Arizona is 1-6 SU/2-5 ATS last seven games (5 losses by 10+ points).
— Last eight games, Arizona gave up 27.0 ppg.
— Cardinals have lost 19 of last 23 games SU (9-11 ATS in last 20).
— Murray is 26-32-1 as an NFL starter.
— Arizona is 4-11 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
— Arizona is 6-11 ATS last 17 games as a road dog (1-4 this year).
— Last six games, Cardinals allowed 27 TD’s on 87 drives.
— Four of five Arizona road games stayed under the total.
— NFC West road underdogs are 2-5-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 6-4. Opponents’ team total: over 5-4-1
— Houston is 5-2 SU/ATS in its last seven games.
— Texans’ last three games were decided by 2-2-3 points.
— Houston led six of its last seven games at halftime.
— Texans won last three home games, by 24-7-2 points.
— since 2019, Houston is 2-10 ATS as a home favorite (0-2 TY).
— Last two weeks, Texans scored 69 points, despite going 7-24 on 3rd down.
— Houston is 20-16-1 in last 27 games coming off a win.
— Stroud is 5-4 as an NFL starter.
— First five games, Texans were +5 in turnovers; last four games, minus-3
— AFC South teams are 16-11 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 4-4-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-3
— Home team won last five series games.
— Cardinals lost, 31-21/30-19, in last two visits to Houston.
— Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Chargers (4-5) @ Packers (3-6)
— Chargers are 0-4 TY in games decided by 3 or fewer points.
— Bolts scored 30-27-38 points in their last three games (2-1).
— under Staley, Chargers are 5-5-2 ATS as a road favorite (2-1 TY).
— under Staley, Bolts are 9-8-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
— Chargers have ten takeaways (+7) in wins, three (minus-2) in losses.
— Herbert is 29-30 as an NFL starter.
— Opponents are 14-56 on 3rd down in LA wins, 25-59 in losses.
— Under is 5-1-1 in last six Charger games.
— Chargers are 9-6-3 ATS in last 17 games vs NFC opponents.
— AFC West teams are 11-14-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 5-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Green Bay is 1-5 SU/ATS in its last six games.
— Last seven games, Packers were outscored 93-29 in first half.
— Green Bay has 12 giveaways in last six games (minus-7).
— Packers are 1-7 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Green Bay has outscored opponents 51-24 on 1st drive of a half.
— Jordan Love is 3-7 as an NFL starter.
— Packers split four home games this year (under 3-1)
— Green Bay is 1-6 ATS this year in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Packers are 2-8 ATS in last ten games vs AFC opponents.
— Green Bay is 5-7 ATS in last dozen games coming off a loss.
— NFC North underdogs are 6-11-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 6-3. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Packers won four of last five series games.
— Chargers lost 27-20/31-24 in last two visits to Wisconsin.
— Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Giants (2-8) @ Commanders (4-6)
— Giants lost last three games, last two by combined 79-23.
— Last three weeks, Big Blue was outscored 59-3 in first half.
— Giants are 1-7 SU/2-5-1 ATS in last eight games, scoring 10.8 ppg.
— Last three weeks, Giants are 5-43 on third down.
— Last eight games, Giants were outscored 78-39 in 2nd half.
— Giants are averaging only 259 yards/game this season.
— Last six games, Giants are +6 in turnovers.
— Giants are 11-5 ATS in last 16 NFC East road games.
— Last six games, Giants have 7 TD’s, 38 3/outs on 88 drives.
— Under is 8-2 in Giant games this season.
— Team total: under 7-3. Opponents’ team total: over 6-4
— Washington lost six of last eight games SU (4-3-1 ATS)
— Commanders are 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS at home this year.
— Washington is 1-5 giving up more than 17 points, 3-1 giving up 17 or less.
— Last five weeks, Commanders are +2 in turnovers.
— Last three weeks, Commanders are 23-44 on third down.
— Washington is 10-13 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
— Last eight weeks, Commanders were outscored 110-73 in 1st half.
— three of their last five games stayed under the total.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 5-6 as NFL starter.
— Washington is 7-14-1 ATS in last 22 NFC North home games.
— Team total: 7-3 over. Opponents’ team total: over 7-3
— Giants (+2.5) beat Washington 14-7 at home four weeks ago.
— Giants are 6-2-1 SU in last nine series games.
— Giants are 8-2 ATS in last ten visits to Washington.
— Under is 7-1 in last eight meetings.
Titans (3-6) @ Jaguars (6-3)
— Titans lost four of their last five games.
— Tennessee is 0-5 SU in true road tilts, losing by 1-24-7-4-14 points (1-4 ATS)
— Titans are 3-0 scoring 27+ points, 0-6 scoring 16 or less.
— Last three games, Tennessee converted 15-52 on third down.
— Titans are 10-7-1 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog.
— Tennessee is 16-14-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss (2-2 TY)
— Tennessee is 9-4 ATS last 13 AFC South road games.
— Titans are minus-4 in turnovers (5-9) so far this season.
— Rookie QB Levis is 1-2 as an NFL starter.
— Seven of their nine games stayed under total.
— Team total: under 6-3. Opponents’ team total: over 4-2-3
— Jaguars won/covered five of their last six games.
— Jacksonville scored 9-17-3 points in losses, 20+ points in wins.
— Jaguars are 13-15 ATS last 28 games as home favorites.
— Jaguars are 6-8 ATS in last 14 AFC South home games.
— Under Pederson, Jags are 15-13-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Jaguars converted only 11 of last 51 third down plays.
— Last two games, Jaguars are minus-5 in turnovers.
— Pederson is 62-51-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— Lawrence is 18-25 as an NFL starter- he won a national title in college.
— Team total: over 4-4-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Titans won 10 of last 13 series games (lost last two)
— Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in last six visits to Jacksonville.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings played here.
Bears (3-7) @ Lions (7-2)
— Chicago split its last four games, after a 1-5 start.
— Last three games, Bears scored 13-17-16 points.
— Bears are +5 in turnovers in wins, minus-12 in losses.
— Chicago has one takeaway the last three weeks (minus-5)
— Chicago sis 1-7 when it scores less than 30 points
— In Bagent’s four starts, Bears are 26-54 on third down.
— For season, Bears have been outscored 135-90 in second half.
— last 2+ years, Bears are 12-32 SU/16-26-2 ATS.
— Chicago is 7-13-1 ATS in last 21 games as road underdogs (2-3 TY).
— Chicago is 2-9 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
— Four of their five games stayed under the total.
— Bears are 4-8 ATS in last 12 NFC North road games.
— Team total: under 6-4. Opponents’ team total: over 6-4
— Lions won/covered six of their last seven games.
— Lions gave up 37-38 points in their two losses.
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 7-2 ATS as home favorite (3-1 TY).
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 11-4 ATS coming off a win.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 30-12-1 ATS overall.
— Detroit is 8-1 ATS in last nine NFC North home games.
— Last two games, Lions ran ball for 222-200 yards.
— Opponents converted only 14 of last 43 third down plays.
— Goff is 63-50-1 as an NFL starter, 19-19-1 with the Lions.
— over is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Team total: under 5-4. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Teams split last six series games.
— Bears are 4-8-1 ATS in last 13 visits to Detroit.
— Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Raiders (5-5) @ Dolphins (7-2)
— Las Vegas is 2-0 since its coaching change, giving up 6-12 points.
— In those games, Raiders allowed one TD on 22 drives, vs bad QB’s.
— Home team won/covered Raiders’ last seven games.
— Raiders lost last four road games, by 28-7-18-12 points (0-4 ATS)
— Last four games, Las Vegas is 14-47 on third down.
— Raiders are 1-3 ATS as a road underdog this season.
— Under is 8-2 in Raider games this season.
— Raiders are 5-6 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
— AFC West underdogs are 2-6 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 9-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-3
— Dolphins’ six wins are over teams with a combined 15-42 record
— Favorites are 8-0 ATS in their games this season (week 1 was pick ‘em).
— Miami scored 31+ points in five of six wins; 20-17-14 in losses.
— Last six games, Miami is minus-6 in turnovers (4-10).
— Overall, Dolphins have scored 37 TD’s on 94 drives.
— At home, Miami has scored 24 TD’s on 48 drives.
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 8-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Miami covered five of last six post-bye games.
— Over is 3-1 in their home games.
— Tagovailoa is 27-16 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 5-4. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Teams split their last four meetings.
— Raiders are 1-3 SU/0-3-1 ATS in last four visits to Miami.
— Last eight series games went over the total.
Cowboys (6-3) @ Panthers (1-8)
— Cowboys won/covered three of last four games.
— Six Dallas wins were by combined score of 220-67 (37-11 average).
— Dallas scored 16-10-23 points in losses, 40-30-38-20-43-49 in wins.
— Dallas lost three of its last four road games.
— Cowboys are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite (2-1 TY)
— Cowboys are +8 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
— Dallas is 15-11 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.
— since 2019, Dallas is 7-1 ATS as a double digit favorite.
— QB Prescott is 70-42 as an NFL starter.
— NFL East favorites are 9-5 outside the division.
— Team total: over 6-3. Opponents’ team total: under 4-4-1
— Carolina is 1-3 SU/1-2-1 ATS at home, losing by 3-8-14 points.
— Last five games, Panthers were outscored 85-43 in first half.
— In three post-bye games, Panthers scored 2 TD’s on 27 drives.
— In three post-bye games, Carolina scored 15-13-13 points.
— Carolina is 9-17-1 ATS in last 27 games following a loss.
— In Young’s eight starts. Carolina averaged 5+ yards/pass attempt once.
— Panthers scored 27 points in game veteran QB Dalton started (5.5 ypa)
— Last three games, Carolina was held to 224-275-213 total yards.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Panthers have been outscored 125-74 in second half of games.
— Team total: under 6-3. Opponents’ team total: over 5-4
— NFC South teams are 11-17-1 ATS outside the division.
— Dallas won nine of last 12 series games.
— Cowboys are 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to Charlotte.
— Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Buccaneers (4-5) @ 49ers (6-3)
— Bucs lost four of last five games, but covered last three.
— Tampa Bay’s last three losses were by 3-6-2 points.
— Bucs have 16 takeaways in nine games (+9 turnovers)
— Bucs ran ball for 96 yards/game in wins, 41-46-73-78-81 in losses.
— Tampa Bay is 4-0 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— since 2016, Bucs are 3-1 ATS as a double digit underdog.
— Under is 7-2 in Tampa Bay’s games this season.
— Buccaneers are 16-18-3 ATS in last 37 games coming off a win.
— Mayfield is 36-44 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— NFC South underdogs are 11-17-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 4-3-2. Opponents’ team total: under 7-1-1
— 49ers scored 30+ points in wins, 17-17-17 in losses.
— SF lost three of last four games, but won 34-3 last week.
— 49ers have outscored opponents 108-59 in 2nd half.
— First 5 games, SF ran ball for 156.4 yards/game (108-65-113 last 3 games).
— 49ers are 13-10-2 ATS in last 25 games as a home favorite (3-1 TY).
— SF is 12-11 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— 49ers are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a double digit favorite.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 13-4 as NFL starter.
— NFC West home teams are 7-4 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 5-4. Opponents’ team total: over 6-3
— 49ers won six of last nine series games.
— Bucs are 2-5 ATS in last seven visits to Santa Clara.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
Seahawks (6-3) @ Rams (3-6)
— Seattle won three of last four games (0-2-1 ATS last three games)
— Seahawks scored 37-37-24-20-24-29 points in wins, 13-13-3 in losses.
— Seahawks were outscored 60-6 in second half of their losses.
— Last three games, Seattle converted 9-38 third down plays.
— Seattle is 10-16-1 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
— Seattle split its four road games TY, beating Lions/Giants.
— Geno Smith is 28-32 as an NFL starter, 16-14 with Seattle.
— Seattle is 22-22 SU last 2+ years, after going 34-18 from 2018-20.
— Seahawks are 3-6 ATS in last nine NFC West road games.
— Under is 4-2 in Seattle’s last six games.
— Team total: under 5-4. Opponents’ team total: over 5-3-1
— Stafford (thumb) is expected to be back in lineup here.
— Rams lost four of their last five games.
— LA scored 30-29-26 points in its wins, 23-16-14-17-20-3 in losses.
— Rams are 1-3 SU/1-2-1 ATS at home this season.
— Rams are 3-2 when they run ball for 92+ yards, 0-4 when they don’t.
— Rams were outscored 78-35 in 2nd halves of their losses.
— Under McVay, Rams are 4-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Stafford is 22-16 as a starter with the Rams.
— Rams lost three of last four post-bye games.
— Under is 4-1 in Rams’ last five games.
— LA is 9-7-1 ATS in last 17 NFC West home games.
— Team total: under 5-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3-1
— Rams (+5) won 30-13 in Seattle back in Week 1.
— LA is 12-7 SU in last nineteen series games.
— Seahawks are 2-9 ATS in last 11 visits to Los Angeles.
— under is 6-1 in last seven series games.
Jets (4-5) @ Bills (5-5)
— Jets lost last two games, 27-6/16-12.
— In three post-bye games, Jets scored one TD on 38 drives.
— Jets scored 22-31-20-13 points in wins, 10-10-20-6-12 in losses.
— Jets have been outscored 114-64 in first half of games.
— Last week’s 6.1 yards/pass attempt was their best this season.
— Jets are 9-13 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 15-20 ATS as an underdog
— Last five games, Jets converted 25-107 third down plays.
— Jets have scored eight TD’s, have 34 3/outs on 101 drives.
— Wilson is 11-19 as an NFL starter.
— Jets are 2-7 ATS in last nine AFC East road games.
— Team total: under 5-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-2
— Buffalo lost four of its last five games SU (0-6 ATS).
— Buffalo fired OC Dorsey on Tuesday.
— Bills are 5-0 giving up 20 or less points, 0-5 giving up more than 20.
— Last five games, Buffalo has a minus-9 turnover ratio.
— Bills are 14-11-1 ATS in last 26 games as a home favorite.
— Buffalo outscored last nine foes 136-62 in second half.
— Josh Allen is 52-34 as an NFL starter.
— Bills are 12-9 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
— Buffalo is 2-5 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Five of their last six games stayed under the total.
— Buffalo is 6-3-1 ATS in last ten AFC East home games.
— Team total: under 5-5. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4-1
— Bills (-2.5) lost 22-16 to Jets in Week 1.
— Buffalo led 13-3 at half, but turned ball over three times.
— Bills won six of last eight meetings.
— Jets are 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 visits to Orchard Park.
— under is 7-2 in last nine series games.
Vikings (6-4) @ Broncos (4-5)
— Minnesota won/covered last five games, scoring 19-22-24-31-27 points.
— Minnesota has 11 takeaways in last five games (+6)
— Vikings are 5-1 when they allow less than 27 points.
— QB Dobbs is 43-64/426 passing, with 3 TD’s, no INT’s, 2 wins.
— Dobbs is 2-9 as an NFL starter, 1-0 with Vikings.
— Vikings are 9-8-1 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win (4-1 TY).
— Minnesota is 4-1 SU/4-0-1 ATS on the road this year.
— Vikings ran ball for 146-122 yards last two weeks (73.4 yds/game in 8 games).
— Under is 6-2 in Minnesota’s last eight games (0-2 last two).
— NFC North road underdogs are 3-8-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 5-5. Opponents’ team total: under 6-3-1
— Broncos won last three games, giving up 17-9-22 points.
— Last five games, Denver ran ball for 134.8 yards/game.
— Underdogs are 5-0 ATS in Denver’s home games this year
— Broncos outscored last three opponents 38-17 in first half.
— Last seven games, Denver was outscored 40-21 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Last seven weeks, Broncos were outgained by 130.3 yards/game.
— AFC West favorites are 9-8 ATS outside the division.
— Broncos are 6-12 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Last four Bronco games stayed under the total.
— Russell Wilson is 121-76-1 as an NFL starter, 8-16 with Denver.
— Team total: under 5-4. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Broncos won three of last four series games.
— Last four meetings were all decided by 4 or less points.
— Vikings lost 23-20/22-19 in last two visits to Denver.
Monday’s game
Eagles (8-1) @ Chiefs (7-2)
— Eagles won eight of first nine games (5-2-2 ATS)
— Weeks 1-5, Philly ran ball for 163.8 yards/game (80-99-59-73 last 4 games)
— Last five games, Philly is minus-6 in turnovers.
— Last three games, Eagles have 13 TD’s on 27 drives.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 4-7 ATS as an underdog.
— Eagles scored 23+ points in all of their wins, 14 in the loss.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 33-14 SU.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 7-6 ATS vs AFC opponents.
— Hurts is 33-14 as an NFL starter.
— Under is 3-1-1 in their road games.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles won post-bye games 27-17/35-13.
— Team total: over 6-2-1. Opponents’ team total: over 5-4
— Chiefs won seven of their last eight games.
— Last two games, Chiefs were outscored 24-0 in second half.
— KC has outscored opponents 155-59 in first half.
— Chiefs have 11 takeaways in their wins (+1), 2 in losses (minus-3)
— KC is 12-4 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite.
— Chiefs held seven of last eight opponents under 5.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Last two games, Chiefs ran ball for only 68-62-93 yards.
— Under is 4-0-1 in their last five games.
— Chiefs are 6-3 ATS in last nine post-bye games.
— AFC West teams are 11-14-1 ATS outside the division.
— Mahomes is 82-21 SU as an NFL starter.
— Team total: under 7-2. Opponents’ team total: under 7-2
— Andy Reid was Eagles’ coach from 1999-2012
— Reid is 4-0 SU/3-0-1 ATS against the Eagles, scoring 34.3 ppg.
— Last meeting was Chiefs’ 38-35 win in Super Bowl LY.
— Over is 4-1-1 in last six series games.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 11
Thursday’s game
Bengals (5-4) @ Ravens (7-3)
— Bengals won/covered four of last five games, scoring 26.6 ppg.
— Last five games, Bengals are +8 in turnovers. (13-5)
— Cincinnati split its four road games SU this season.
— Cincinnati is 5-1-1 ATS in last seven games as a road underdog.
— Bengals are 15-7-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
— Last three games, Cincy averaged 7.6/7.6/7.1 yards/pass attempt.
— Last two games. Cincy had ten TD’s on 30 drives.
— Bengals are 4-2-1 ATS in last seven AFC North road games.
— Last five games, Bengals scored TD on their first drive of game.
— Under is 5-4 in their games this season.
— Team total: under 6-3. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Ravens won four of last four games (3-2 ATS).
— Last seven games, Ravens outscored foes 125-28 in first half.
— Baltimore is 6-12 ATS in last 18 games as home favorite (3-2 TY)
— Ravens are 7-1 when they score 20+ points, 0-2 if they do not.
— Baltimore is 1-6 ATS in last seven AFC North home games.
— Ravens are 13-16-1 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss.
— Baltimore is minus-6 in TO’s in its losses, +4 in wins.
— Lamar Jackson is 53-22 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— over is 3-1 in Baltimore’s last four games.
— Team total: over 7-3. Opponents’ team total: under 6-3-1
— Ravens (+3) won 27-24 in Cincinnati, in Week 3
— Cincinnati won four of last six series games.
— Bengals are 7-2 ATS in last nine visits to Baltimore.
— Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.
Sunday’s games
Steelers (6-3) @ Browns (6-3)
— Steelers won/covered four of their last five games.
— Steelers are 8-3 ATS in last 11 games as road underdogs (2-0 TY)
— Steelers scored 26-23-17-24-20-23 points in wins, 7-6-10 in losses.
— Pittsburgh has been outgained in every game this year.
— Steelers have been outgained by 100.4 yards/game.
— Last two games, Pittsburgh ran ball for 166-205 yards.
— Last eight games, Steelers have a +11 turnover margin.
— Steelers are 6-3 ATS in last nine AFC North road games.
— Seven of nine Steeler games stayed under the total.
— QB Pickett is 13-8 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 4-3-2. Opponents’ team total: over 5-4
— Browns are 4-1 since their bye week.
— Last five weeks, Cleveland ran ball for 151.2 yards/game.
— Cleveland has run 18.4 more plays/game than opponents TY.
— Browns are 2-9-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
— Browns are 4-0 giving up less than 24 points, 2-3 allowing 24+.
— Cleveland is 4-1 SU/ATS in its home games.
— Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in last five AFC North home games.
— Cleveland is 9-13-1 ATS last 23 games as a home favorite (2-1 TY).
— Opponents have converted only 29-112 third down plays.
— Over is 3-1 in last four Cleveland games.
— Watson is 37-31 as an NFL starter, 8-4 with Cleveland.
— Team total: over 7-1-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Browns (-2.5) lost 26-22 at Pittsburgh in Week 2.
— Steelers scored two defensive TD’s in that game.
— Pittsburgh won five of last six series games.
— Steelers lost three of last four visits to Cleveland.
— Last three meetings went over the total.
Cardinals (2-8) @ Texans (5-4)
— QB Murray was 19-32/249 passing LW, in his first ’23 start.
— Arizona is 1-6 SU/2-5 ATS last seven games (5 losses by 10+ points).
— Last eight games, Arizona gave up 27.0 ppg.
— Cardinals have lost 19 of last 23 games SU (9-11 ATS in last 20).
— Murray is 26-32-1 as an NFL starter.
— Arizona is 4-11 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
— Arizona is 6-11 ATS last 17 games as a road dog (1-4 this year).
— Last six games, Cardinals allowed 27 TD’s on 87 drives.
— Four of five Arizona road games stayed under the total.
— NFC West road underdogs are 2-5-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 6-4. Opponents’ team total: over 5-4-1
— Houston is 5-2 SU/ATS in its last seven games.
— Texans’ last three games were decided by 2-2-3 points.
— Houston led six of its last seven games at halftime.
— Texans won last three home games, by 24-7-2 points.
— since 2019, Houston is 2-10 ATS as a home favorite (0-2 TY).
— Last two weeks, Texans scored 69 points, despite going 7-24 on 3rd down.
— Houston is 20-16-1 in last 27 games coming off a win.
— Stroud is 5-4 as an NFL starter.
— First five games, Texans were +5 in turnovers; last four games, minus-3
— AFC South teams are 16-11 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 4-4-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-3
— Home team won last five series games.
— Cardinals lost, 31-21/30-19, in last two visits to Houston.
— Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Chargers (4-5) @ Packers (3-6)
— Chargers are 0-4 TY in games decided by 3 or fewer points.
— Bolts scored 30-27-38 points in their last three games (2-1).
— under Staley, Chargers are 5-5-2 ATS as a road favorite (2-1 TY).
— under Staley, Bolts are 9-8-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
— Chargers have ten takeaways (+7) in wins, three (minus-2) in losses.
— Herbert is 29-30 as an NFL starter.
— Opponents are 14-56 on 3rd down in LA wins, 25-59 in losses.
— Under is 5-1-1 in last six Charger games.
— Chargers are 9-6-3 ATS in last 17 games vs NFC opponents.
— AFC West teams are 11-14-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 5-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Green Bay is 1-5 SU/ATS in its last six games.
— Last seven games, Packers were outscored 93-29 in first half.
— Green Bay has 12 giveaways in last six games (minus-7).
— Packers are 1-7 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Green Bay has outscored opponents 51-24 on 1st drive of a half.
— Jordan Love is 3-7 as an NFL starter.
— Packers split four home games this year (under 3-1)
— Green Bay is 1-6 ATS this year in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Packers are 2-8 ATS in last ten games vs AFC opponents.
— Green Bay is 5-7 ATS in last dozen games coming off a loss.
— NFC North underdogs are 6-11-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 6-3. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Packers won four of last five series games.
— Chargers lost 27-20/31-24 in last two visits to Wisconsin.
— Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Giants (2-8) @ Commanders (4-6)
— Giants lost last three games, last two by combined 79-23.
— Last three weeks, Big Blue was outscored 59-3 in first half.
— Giants are 1-7 SU/2-5-1 ATS in last eight games, scoring 10.8 ppg.
— Last three weeks, Giants are 5-43 on third down.
— Last eight games, Giants were outscored 78-39 in 2nd half.
— Giants are averaging only 259 yards/game this season.
— Last six games, Giants are +6 in turnovers.
— Giants are 11-5 ATS in last 16 NFC East road games.
— Last six games, Giants have 7 TD’s, 38 3/outs on 88 drives.
— Under is 8-2 in Giant games this season.
— Team total: under 7-3. Opponents’ team total: over 6-4
— Washington lost six of last eight games SU (4-3-1 ATS)
— Commanders are 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS at home this year.
— Washington is 1-5 giving up more than 17 points, 3-1 giving up 17 or less.
— Last five weeks, Commanders are +2 in turnovers.
— Last three weeks, Commanders are 23-44 on third down.
— Washington is 10-13 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
— Last eight weeks, Commanders were outscored 110-73 in 1st half.
— three of their last five games stayed under the total.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 5-6 as NFL starter.
— Washington is 7-14-1 ATS in last 22 NFC North home games.
— Team total: 7-3 over. Opponents’ team total: over 7-3
— Giants (+2.5) beat Washington 14-7 at home four weeks ago.
— Giants are 6-2-1 SU in last nine series games.
— Giants are 8-2 ATS in last ten visits to Washington.
— Under is 7-1 in last eight meetings.
Titans (3-6) @ Jaguars (6-3)
— Titans lost four of their last five games.
— Tennessee is 0-5 SU in true road tilts, losing by 1-24-7-4-14 points (1-4 ATS)
— Titans are 3-0 scoring 27+ points, 0-6 scoring 16 or less.
— Last three games, Tennessee converted 15-52 on third down.
— Titans are 10-7-1 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog.
— Tennessee is 16-14-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss (2-2 TY)
— Tennessee is 9-4 ATS last 13 AFC South road games.
— Titans are minus-4 in turnovers (5-9) so far this season.
— Rookie QB Levis is 1-2 as an NFL starter.
— Seven of their nine games stayed under total.
— Team total: under 6-3. Opponents’ team total: over 4-2-3
— Jaguars won/covered five of their last six games.
— Jacksonville scored 9-17-3 points in losses, 20+ points in wins.
— Jaguars are 13-15 ATS last 28 games as home favorites.
— Jaguars are 6-8 ATS in last 14 AFC South home games.
— Under Pederson, Jags are 15-13-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Jaguars converted only 11 of last 51 third down plays.
— Last two games, Jaguars are minus-5 in turnovers.
— Pederson is 62-51-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— Lawrence is 18-25 as an NFL starter- he won a national title in college.
— Team total: over 4-4-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Titans won 10 of last 13 series games (lost last two)
— Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in last six visits to Jacksonville.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings played here.
Bears (3-7) @ Lions (7-2)
— Chicago split its last four games, after a 1-5 start.
— Last three games, Bears scored 13-17-16 points.
— Bears are +5 in turnovers in wins, minus-12 in losses.
— Chicago has one takeaway the last three weeks (minus-5)
— Chicago sis 1-7 when it scores less than 30 points
— In Bagent’s four starts, Bears are 26-54 on third down.
— For season, Bears have been outscored 135-90 in second half.
— last 2+ years, Bears are 12-32 SU/16-26-2 ATS.
— Chicago is 7-13-1 ATS in last 21 games as road underdogs (2-3 TY).
— Chicago is 2-9 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
— Four of their five games stayed under the total.
— Bears are 4-8 ATS in last 12 NFC North road games.
— Team total: under 6-4. Opponents’ team total: over 6-4
— Lions won/covered six of their last seven games.
— Lions gave up 37-38 points in their two losses.
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 7-2 ATS as home favorite (3-1 TY).
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 11-4 ATS coming off a win.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 30-12-1 ATS overall.
— Detroit is 8-1 ATS in last nine NFC North home games.
— Last two games, Lions ran ball for 222-200 yards.
— Opponents converted only 14 of last 43 third down plays.
— Goff is 63-50-1 as an NFL starter, 19-19-1 with the Lions.
— over is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Team total: under 5-4. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Teams split last six series games.
— Bears are 4-8-1 ATS in last 13 visits to Detroit.
— Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Raiders (5-5) @ Dolphins (7-2)
— Las Vegas is 2-0 since its coaching change, giving up 6-12 points.
— In those games, Raiders allowed one TD on 22 drives, vs bad QB’s.
— Home team won/covered Raiders’ last seven games.
— Raiders lost last four road games, by 28-7-18-12 points (0-4 ATS)
— Last four games, Las Vegas is 14-47 on third down.
— Raiders are 1-3 ATS as a road underdog this season.
— Under is 8-2 in Raider games this season.
— Raiders are 5-6 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
— AFC West underdogs are 2-6 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 9-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-3
— Dolphins’ six wins are over teams with a combined 15-42 record
— Favorites are 8-0 ATS in their games this season (week 1 was pick ‘em).
— Miami scored 31+ points in five of six wins; 20-17-14 in losses.
— Last six games, Miami is minus-6 in turnovers (4-10).
— Overall, Dolphins have scored 37 TD’s on 94 drives.
— At home, Miami has scored 24 TD’s on 48 drives.
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 8-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Miami covered five of last six post-bye games.
— Over is 3-1 in their home games.
— Tagovailoa is 27-16 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 5-4. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Teams split their last four meetings.
— Raiders are 1-3 SU/0-3-1 ATS in last four visits to Miami.
— Last eight series games went over the total.
Cowboys (6-3) @ Panthers (1-8)
— Cowboys won/covered three of last four games.
— Six Dallas wins were by combined score of 220-67 (37-11 average).
— Dallas scored 16-10-23 points in losses, 40-30-38-20-43-49 in wins.
— Dallas lost three of its last four road games.
— Cowboys are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite (2-1 TY)
— Cowboys are +8 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
— Dallas is 15-11 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.
— since 2019, Dallas is 7-1 ATS as a double digit favorite.
— QB Prescott is 70-42 as an NFL starter.
— NFL East favorites are 9-5 outside the division.
— Team total: over 6-3. Opponents’ team total: under 4-4-1
— Carolina is 1-3 SU/1-2-1 ATS at home, losing by 3-8-14 points.
— Last five games, Panthers were outscored 85-43 in first half.
— In three post-bye games, Panthers scored 2 TD’s on 27 drives.
— In three post-bye games, Carolina scored 15-13-13 points.
— Carolina is 9-17-1 ATS in last 27 games following a loss.
— In Young’s eight starts. Carolina averaged 5+ yards/pass attempt once.
— Panthers scored 27 points in game veteran QB Dalton started (5.5 ypa)
— Last three games, Carolina was held to 224-275-213 total yards.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Panthers have been outscored 125-74 in second half of games.
— Team total: under 6-3. Opponents’ team total: over 5-4
— NFC South teams are 11-17-1 ATS outside the division.
— Dallas won nine of last 12 series games.
— Cowboys are 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to Charlotte.
— Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Buccaneers (4-5) @ 49ers (6-3)
— Bucs lost four of last five games, but covered last three.
— Tampa Bay’s last three losses were by 3-6-2 points.
— Bucs have 16 takeaways in nine games (+9 turnovers)
— Bucs ran ball for 96 yards/game in wins, 41-46-73-78-81 in losses.
— Tampa Bay is 4-0 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— since 2016, Bucs are 3-1 ATS as a double digit underdog.
— Under is 7-2 in Tampa Bay’s games this season.
— Buccaneers are 16-18-3 ATS in last 37 games coming off a win.
— Mayfield is 36-44 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— NFC South underdogs are 11-17-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 4-3-2. Opponents’ team total: under 7-1-1
— 49ers scored 30+ points in wins, 17-17-17 in losses.
— SF lost three of last four games, but won 34-3 last week.
— 49ers have outscored opponents 108-59 in 2nd half.
— First 5 games, SF ran ball for 156.4 yards/game (108-65-113 last 3 games).
— 49ers are 13-10-2 ATS in last 25 games as a home favorite (3-1 TY).
— SF is 12-11 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— 49ers are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a double digit favorite.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 13-4 as NFL starter.
— NFC West home teams are 7-4 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 5-4. Opponents’ team total: over 6-3
— 49ers won six of last nine series games.
— Bucs are 2-5 ATS in last seven visits to Santa Clara.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
Seahawks (6-3) @ Rams (3-6)
— Seattle won three of last four games (0-2-1 ATS last three games)
— Seahawks scored 37-37-24-20-24-29 points in wins, 13-13-3 in losses.
— Seahawks were outscored 60-6 in second half of their losses.
— Last three games, Seattle converted 9-38 third down plays.
— Seattle is 10-16-1 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
— Seattle split its four road games TY, beating Lions/Giants.
— Geno Smith is 28-32 as an NFL starter, 16-14 with Seattle.
— Seattle is 22-22 SU last 2+ years, after going 34-18 from 2018-20.
— Seahawks are 3-6 ATS in last nine NFC West road games.
— Under is 4-2 in Seattle’s last six games.
— Team total: under 5-4. Opponents’ team total: over 5-3-1
— Stafford (thumb) is expected to be back in lineup here.
— Rams lost four of their last five games.
— LA scored 30-29-26 points in its wins, 23-16-14-17-20-3 in losses.
— Rams are 1-3 SU/1-2-1 ATS at home this season.
— Rams are 3-2 when they run ball for 92+ yards, 0-4 when they don’t.
— Rams were outscored 78-35 in 2nd halves of their losses.
— Under McVay, Rams are 4-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Stafford is 22-16 as a starter with the Rams.
— Rams lost three of last four post-bye games.
— Under is 4-1 in Rams’ last five games.
— LA is 9-7-1 ATS in last 17 NFC West home games.
— Team total: under 5-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3-1
— Rams (+5) won 30-13 in Seattle back in Week 1.
— LA is 12-7 SU in last nineteen series games.
— Seahawks are 2-9 ATS in last 11 visits to Los Angeles.
— under is 6-1 in last seven series games.
Jets (4-5) @ Bills (5-5)
— Jets lost last two games, 27-6/16-12.
— In three post-bye games, Jets scored one TD on 38 drives.
— Jets scored 22-31-20-13 points in wins, 10-10-20-6-12 in losses.
— Jets have been outscored 114-64 in first half of games.
— Last week’s 6.1 yards/pass attempt was their best this season.
— Jets are 9-13 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 15-20 ATS as an underdog
— Last five games, Jets converted 25-107 third down plays.
— Jets have scored eight TD’s, have 34 3/outs on 101 drives.
— Wilson is 11-19 as an NFL starter.
— Jets are 2-7 ATS in last nine AFC East road games.
— Team total: under 5-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-2
— Buffalo lost four of its last five games SU (0-6 ATS).
— Buffalo fired OC Dorsey on Tuesday.
— Bills are 5-0 giving up 20 or less points, 0-5 giving up more than 20.
— Last five games, Buffalo has a minus-9 turnover ratio.
— Bills are 14-11-1 ATS in last 26 games as a home favorite.
— Buffalo outscored last nine foes 136-62 in second half.
— Josh Allen is 52-34 as an NFL starter.
— Bills are 12-9 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
— Buffalo is 2-5 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Five of their last six games stayed under the total.
— Buffalo is 6-3-1 ATS in last ten AFC East home games.
— Team total: under 5-5. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4-1
— Bills (-2.5) lost 22-16 to Jets in Week 1.
— Buffalo led 13-3 at half, but turned ball over three times.
— Bills won six of last eight meetings.
— Jets are 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 visits to Orchard Park.
— under is 7-2 in last nine series games.
Vikings (6-4) @ Broncos (4-5)
— Minnesota won/covered last five games, scoring 19-22-24-31-27 points.
— Minnesota has 11 takeaways in last five games (+6)
— Vikings are 5-1 when they allow less than 27 points.
— QB Dobbs is 43-64/426 passing, with 3 TD’s, no INT’s, 2 wins.
— Dobbs is 2-9 as an NFL starter, 1-0 with Vikings.
— Vikings are 9-8-1 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win (4-1 TY).
— Minnesota is 4-1 SU/4-0-1 ATS on the road this year.
— Vikings ran ball for 146-122 yards last two weeks (73.4 yds/game in 8 games).
— Under is 6-2 in Minnesota’s last eight games (0-2 last two).
— NFC North road underdogs are 3-8-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 5-5. Opponents’ team total: under 6-3-1
— Broncos won last three games, giving up 17-9-22 points.
— Last five games, Denver ran ball for 134.8 yards/game.
— Underdogs are 5-0 ATS in Denver’s home games this year
— Broncos outscored last three opponents 38-17 in first half.
— Last seven games, Denver was outscored 40-21 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Last seven weeks, Broncos were outgained by 130.3 yards/game.
— AFC West favorites are 9-8 ATS outside the division.
— Broncos are 6-12 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Last four Bronco games stayed under the total.
— Russell Wilson is 121-76-1 as an NFL starter, 8-16 with Denver.
— Team total: under 5-4. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Broncos won three of last four series games.
— Last four meetings were all decided by 4 or less points.
— Vikings lost 23-20/22-19 in last two visits to Denver.
Monday’s game
Eagles (8-1) @ Chiefs (7-2)
— Eagles won eight of first nine games (5-2-2 ATS)
— Weeks 1-5, Philly ran ball for 163.8 yards/game (80-99-59-73 last 4 games)
— Last five games, Philly is minus-6 in turnovers.
— Last three games, Eagles have 13 TD’s on 27 drives.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 4-7 ATS as an underdog.
— Eagles scored 23+ points in all of their wins, 14 in the loss.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 33-14 SU.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 7-6 ATS vs AFC opponents.
— Hurts is 33-14 as an NFL starter.
— Under is 3-1-1 in their road games.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles won post-bye games 27-17/35-13.
— Team total: over 6-2-1. Opponents’ team total: over 5-4
— Chiefs won seven of their last eight games.
— Last two games, Chiefs were outscored 24-0 in second half.
— KC has outscored opponents 155-59 in first half.
— Chiefs have 11 takeaways in their wins (+1), 2 in losses (minus-3)
— KC is 12-4 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite.
— Chiefs held seven of last eight opponents under 5.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Last two games, Chiefs ran ball for only 68-62-93 yards.
— Under is 4-0-1 in their last five games.
— Chiefs are 6-3 ATS in last nine post-bye games.
— AFC West teams are 11-14-1 ATS outside the division.
— Mahomes is 82-21 SU as an NFL starter.
— Team total: under 7-2. Opponents’ team total: under 7-2
— Andy Reid was Eagles’ coach from 1999-2012
— Reid is 4-0 SU/3-0-1 ATS against the Eagles, scoring 34.3 ppg.
— Last meeting was Chiefs’ 38-35 win in Super Bowl LY.
— Over is 4-1-1 in last six series games.
Thursday’s 6-pack:
Pitchers who have won a Cy Young in each league:
— Roger Clemens
— Roy Halladay
— Randy Johnson
— Pedro Martinez
— Gaylord Perry
— Max Scherzer
— Blake Snell
Quote of the Day
“Anyone who is great at anything does it for their own approval, not someone else’s.”
Gil Grissom, from the TV show CSI
Thursday’s quiz
In the Showtime series Ray Donovan, what famous actor played Ray’s father?
Wednesday’s quiz
In the classic movie Major League, Charlie Sheen’s character (Wild Thing Vaughn) wore number 99.
Tuesday’s quiz
Ray Malavasi coached the Rams, the first time they played in a Super Bowl (XIV)
**********************************************
Watson has now missed 39 games the last three years, for on/off field reasons; Cleveland owes him $138M on his deal from 2024-26, with Watson moving forward with a surgically repaired shoulder. Not ideal.
— Chicago Bears are starting QB Justin Fields this week against Detroit:
Fields has been sacked on 12.9% of his drop-backs (32nd)
Tyson Bagent has been sacked on only 3.4% of his drop-backs (1st)
— QB Justin Herbert has started 59 games for the Chargers; in those games……..
Chargers scored 1,502 points
Chargers gave up 1,502 points
— Blake Snell became the 7th pitcher to win a Cy Young Award in both leagues.
— 76ers traded James Harden to the Clippers November 1st; since then, Philadelphia is 6-2, while the Clippers are 0-6, which doesn’t make much sense, but it is what it is.
— Milwaukee Bucks are off to a 7-4 start this season; they’re only 1-9-1 against the spread.
— Word of the Day: Consultant- a person who provides expert advice professionally.
— Princeton 70, Duquesne 67- Tigers shot 67% inside the arc; they’re 3-0, with two road wins and two top 100 wins.
— Boston College 68, Richmond 61- Spiders led 28-14 early on, 34-30 at the half, but BC out-rebounded Richmond 44-31, outscored them 17-8 on foul line.
— Toledo 32, Bowling Green 31
Underdog Falcons led 28-10 at halftime.
Toledo threw a 59-yard TD pass with 1:45 left for the win.
Rockets are 10-1 this year, 7-0 in the MAC.
— Northern Illinois 24, Western Michigan 0
NIU scored on a 66-yard run, a 55-yard punt return.
Huskies were 11-16 on third down, WMU 4-13.
NIU ran ball 50 times for 287 yards.
— Eastern Michigan 30, Akron 27 OT
EMU drove 66 yards, tied game on FG with 0:10 left in regulation.
Akron was 12-19 on third down, EMU 6-14.
Eagles are 5-6; need win next week to be bowl eligible.
— Ohio 34, Central Michigan 20
Ohio took 10-0 lead on a 21-yard pick-6.
Chippewas threw TD passes of 50, 62 yards.
Bobcats averaged 9.5 yards/pass attempt.
— Miami OH 23, Buffalo 10
Miami is 9-2, 6-1 in MAC.
Buffalo completed only 7-17 passes.
Miami outrushed the Bulls, 180-131.
— Found out this week that Showtime Anytime is shutting down December 14; this isn’t good, I watched lot of shows/movies on there, shows like Billions, Ray Donovan, The Circus. Will have to do some research and find a better alternative to Showtime.
Pitchers who have won a Cy Young in each league:
— Roger Clemens
— Roy Halladay
— Randy Johnson
— Pedro Martinez
— Gaylord Perry
— Max Scherzer
— Blake Snell
Quote of the Day
“Anyone who is great at anything does it for their own approval, not someone else’s.”
Gil Grissom, from the TV show CSI
Thursday’s quiz
In the Showtime series Ray Donovan, what famous actor played Ray’s father?
Wednesday’s quiz
In the classic movie Major League, Charlie Sheen’s character (Wild Thing Vaughn) wore number 99.
Tuesday’s quiz
Ray Malavasi coached the Rams, the first time they played in a Super Bowl (XIV)
**********************************************
Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….
— Browns’ QB Deshaun Watson is having shoulder surgery, is out for the year; Cleveland is starting rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson this week against the Steelers, instead of PJ Walker, which is kind of a surprise. Walker played better than DTR when Watson was hurt before.Watson has now missed 39 games the last three years, for on/off field reasons; Cleveland owes him $138M on his deal from 2024-26, with Watson moving forward with a surgically repaired shoulder. Not ideal.
— Chicago Bears are starting QB Justin Fields this week against Detroit:
Fields has been sacked on 12.9% of his drop-backs (32nd)
Tyson Bagent has been sacked on only 3.4% of his drop-backs (1st)
— QB Justin Herbert has started 59 games for the Chargers; in those games……..
Chargers scored 1,502 points
Chargers gave up 1,502 points
— Blake Snell became the 7th pitcher to win a Cy Young Award in both leagues.
— 76ers traded James Harden to the Clippers November 1st; since then, Philadelphia is 6-2, while the Clippers are 0-6, which doesn’t make much sense, but it is what it is.
— Milwaukee Bucks are off to a 7-4 start this season; they’re only 1-9-1 against the spread.
— Word of the Day: Consultant- a person who provides expert advice professionally.
— Princeton 70, Duquesne 67- Tigers shot 67% inside the arc; they’re 3-0, with two road wins and two top 100 wins.
— Boston College 68, Richmond 61- Spiders led 28-14 early on, 34-30 at the half, but BC out-rebounded Richmond 44-31, outscored them 17-8 on foul line.
— Toledo 32, Bowling Green 31
Underdog Falcons led 28-10 at halftime.
Toledo threw a 59-yard TD pass with 1:45 left for the win.
Rockets are 10-1 this year, 7-0 in the MAC.
— Northern Illinois 24, Western Michigan 0
NIU scored on a 66-yard run, a 55-yard punt return.
Huskies were 11-16 on third down, WMU 4-13.
NIU ran ball 50 times for 287 yards.
— Eastern Michigan 30, Akron 27 OT
EMU drove 66 yards, tied game on FG with 0:10 left in regulation.
Akron was 12-19 on third down, EMU 6-14.
Eagles are 5-6; need win next week to be bowl eligible.
— Ohio 34, Central Michigan 20
Ohio took 10-0 lead on a 21-yard pick-6.
Chippewas threw TD passes of 50, 62 yards.
Bobcats averaged 9.5 yards/pass attempt.
— Miami OH 23, Buffalo 10
Miami is 9-2, 6-1 in MAC.
Buffalo completed only 7-17 passes.
Miami outrushed the Bulls, 180-131.
— Found out this week that Showtime Anytime is shutting down December 14; this isn’t good, I watched lot of shows/movies on there, shows like Billions, Ray Donovan, The Circus. Will have to do some research and find a better alternative to Showtime.
NFL NOVEMBER BEST BETS !
11/16/2023.............................0 - 2 - 0................................00.00%........................- 11.00
11/12/2023..............................8 - 7 - 0...............................53.33%.........................+ 1.50
11/09/2023.............................1 - 0 - 1.............................100.00%.........................+ 5.00
11/06/2023.............................0 - 2 - 0..............................00.00%..........................- 11.00
11/05/2023............................12 - 5 - 0..............................70.58%.........................+ 32.50
11/02/2023..............................2 - 0 - 0.............................100.00%........................+ 10.00
TOTALS................................23 - 16 - 1............................. 58.97%.........................+ 27.00
11/16/2023.............................0 - 2 - 0................................00.00%........................- 11.00
11/12/2023..............................8 - 7 - 0...............................53.33%.........................+ 1.50
11/09/2023.............................1 - 0 - 1.............................100.00%.........................+ 5.00
11/06/2023.............................0 - 2 - 0..............................00.00%..........................- 11.00
11/05/2023............................12 - 5 - 0..............................70.58%.........................+ 32.50
11/02/2023..............................2 - 0 - 0.............................100.00%........................+ 10.00
TOTALS................................23 - 16 - 1............................. 58.97%.........................+ 27.00
Friday’s 6-pack:
Leading scorers in the NBA early this season:
31.9— Joel Embiid, Phil
30.7— Steph Curry GSt/Luka Doncic Dal
30.1— Kevin Durant, Phx
30.0— Nikola Jokic, Den
29.5— Giannis Anteokounmpo, Milw
29.3— Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC
Quote of the Day
“I cannot teach anybody anything, I can only make them think.”
Socrates
Friday’s quiz
In 1996, Cleveland Browns moved to Baltimore and re-branded as the Ravens; who was the Ravens’ QB that first season in Baltimore?
Thursday’s quiz
In the Showtime series Ray Donovan, Jon Voight played Ray’s father.
Wednesday’s quiz
In the classic movie Major League, Charlie Sheen’s character (Wild Thing Vaughn) wore number 99.
*************************************
Bengals led 10-7 when Burrow left with an injured right hand/wrist.
Bengals rest of game: 6 drives- 32 plays, 162 yards, 10 points.
Backup QB Browning was 8-14/68 passing; he also ran for 40 yards.
Last six games, Cincy scored 45 points on their first drive of game.
Ravens won five of their last six games (4-2 ATS).
Baltimore is 7-1 when it scores 20+ points, 0-2 if they do not.
Ravens have led all 11 games after the 3rd quarter this year.
Ravens’ team total: over 8-3
— This year, NFL teams are 1-6 SU, 0-7 ATS the week after playing the Cowboys.
— So far this season, the NFL team that was bet the most each week at BetMGM is 3-6-1 against the spread in that game.
— Carolina Panthers’ coach Frank Reich will resume his play-calling duties this week, with the Panthers wallowing at 1-8. Reich had given play-calling duties to OC Thomas Brown for four weeks, with Carolina going 1-3 in those games.
Panthers have a rookie QB, and two rookie coordinators, not a recipe for success.
— Pitt 24, Boston College 16- Pitt QB Yarnell threw for 207 yards and a TD, ran for another score in his second career start. Panthers ran ball 33 times for 197 yards.
— When NBA teams play 2nd game of back/back nights this year:
home first night, on road 2nd night- 2-8 ATS
on road both nights- 9-4 ATS
at home both nights- 3-8-1 ATS
road first night, at home 2nd night- 4-7 ATS
— Thunder 128, Warriors 109
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 24 points, dished out seven assists.
Isaiah Joe scored 23 points in 25:00 off the bench.
Golden State lost five of its six home games.
Draymond Green’s 5-game suspension is going to cost him $769,970 in salary; in his career, he’s been fined a total of roughly $1.4M by the NBA.
— Heat 122, Nets 115
Jimmy Butler scored 36 points, was +9 in 35:00.
Miami was +16 in the 16:00 Kevin Love played off the bench.
Brooklyn’s five subs were a combined minus-46.
— Word of the Day: Consensus- general agreement among a group of people.
— Quarterbacks/wide receivers should get stat credit for pass interference penalties- it amounts to the same as a completed pass, doesn’t it?
— Average starting field position has been a telling stat in the NFC West this year:
6-3 49ers, 6-3 Seahawks have both won field position in every game but one.
3-6 Rams have lost field position in every game but one.
2-8 Cardinals have lost field position every game this season.
— Atlanta was awarded the 2025 major league All-Star Game, four years after MLB moved the event from Truist Park to Denver’s Coors Field over objections to changes in Georgia’s voting rights laws.
— Dayton 70, LSU 67— Bayou Bengals led 60-45 with 9:07 left to play; bad loss for a team that started out 12-1 last year, but wound up 14-19.
— St Bonaventure 66, Oklahoma State 64
Bonnies only played seven guys; all of them played 20:00+.
Oklahoma State led by 10 with 12:58 left in game.
Cowboys shot 55% inside the arc, but still lost.
— Utah 77, Wake Forest 70
Deacons led by 10 at halftime.
Utah shot 55% inside arc, scored 1.17 points/possession.
7-foot senior Carlson scored 31 points, blocked five shots.
— Missouri 70, Minnesota 68
Gophers led 59-39 with 11:25 left in game.
Minnesota was +14 on boards (44-38), minus-8 in turnovers (16-8)
— Nicholls State 102, South Alabama 97, 3OT’s
Favored Jaguars led 48-31 with 17:03 left in game.
As a team, South Alabama was 17-21 on the foul line.
6-6 West scored 31 points, was 15-22 on foul line.
— St John’s 53, North Texas 52
Rick Pitino’s Red Storm led by 14 early, led 30-20 at halftime, then hung on.
Leading scorers in the NBA early this season:
31.9— Joel Embiid, Phil
30.7— Steph Curry GSt/Luka Doncic Dal
30.1— Kevin Durant, Phx
30.0— Nikola Jokic, Den
29.5— Giannis Anteokounmpo, Milw
29.3— Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC
Quote of the Day
“I cannot teach anybody anything, I can only make them think.”
Socrates
Friday’s quiz
In 1996, Cleveland Browns moved to Baltimore and re-branded as the Ravens; who was the Ravens’ QB that first season in Baltimore?
Thursday’s quiz
In the Showtime series Ray Donovan, Jon Voight played Ray’s father.
Wednesday’s quiz
In the classic movie Major League, Charlie Sheen’s character (Wild Thing Vaughn) wore number 99.
*************************************
Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here………
— Ravens 34, Bengals 20Bengals led 10-7 when Burrow left with an injured right hand/wrist.
Bengals rest of game: 6 drives- 32 plays, 162 yards, 10 points.
Backup QB Browning was 8-14/68 passing; he also ran for 40 yards.
Last six games, Cincy scored 45 points on their first drive of game.
Ravens won five of their last six games (4-2 ATS).
Baltimore is 7-1 when it scores 20+ points, 0-2 if they do not.
Ravens have led all 11 games after the 3rd quarter this year.
Ravens’ team total: over 8-3
— This year, NFL teams are 1-6 SU, 0-7 ATS the week after playing the Cowboys.
— So far this season, the NFL team that was bet the most each week at BetMGM is 3-6-1 against the spread in that game.
— Carolina Panthers’ coach Frank Reich will resume his play-calling duties this week, with the Panthers wallowing at 1-8. Reich had given play-calling duties to OC Thomas Brown for four weeks, with Carolina going 1-3 in those games.
Panthers have a rookie QB, and two rookie coordinators, not a recipe for success.
— Pitt 24, Boston College 16- Pitt QB Yarnell threw for 207 yards and a TD, ran for another score in his second career start. Panthers ran ball 33 times for 197 yards.
— When NBA teams play 2nd game of back/back nights this year:
home first night, on road 2nd night- 2-8 ATS
on road both nights- 9-4 ATS
at home both nights- 3-8-1 ATS
road first night, at home 2nd night- 4-7 ATS
— Thunder 128, Warriors 109
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 24 points, dished out seven assists.
Isaiah Joe scored 23 points in 25:00 off the bench.
Golden State lost five of its six home games.
Draymond Green’s 5-game suspension is going to cost him $769,970 in salary; in his career, he’s been fined a total of roughly $1.4M by the NBA.
— Heat 122, Nets 115
Jimmy Butler scored 36 points, was +9 in 35:00.
Miami was +16 in the 16:00 Kevin Love played off the bench.
Brooklyn’s five subs were a combined minus-46.
— Word of the Day: Consensus- general agreement among a group of people.
— Quarterbacks/wide receivers should get stat credit for pass interference penalties- it amounts to the same as a completed pass, doesn’t it?
— Average starting field position has been a telling stat in the NFC West this year:
6-3 49ers, 6-3 Seahawks have both won field position in every game but one.
3-6 Rams have lost field position in every game but one.
2-8 Cardinals have lost field position every game this season.
— Atlanta was awarded the 2025 major league All-Star Game, four years after MLB moved the event from Truist Park to Denver’s Coors Field over objections to changes in Georgia’s voting rights laws.
— Dayton 70, LSU 67— Bayou Bengals led 60-45 with 9:07 left to play; bad loss for a team that started out 12-1 last year, but wound up 14-19.
— St Bonaventure 66, Oklahoma State 64
Bonnies only played seven guys; all of them played 20:00+.
Oklahoma State led by 10 with 12:58 left in game.
Cowboys shot 55% inside the arc, but still lost.
— Utah 77, Wake Forest 70
Deacons led by 10 at halftime.
Utah shot 55% inside arc, scored 1.17 points/possession.
7-foot senior Carlson scored 31 points, blocked five shots.
— Missouri 70, Minnesota 68
Gophers led 59-39 with 11:25 left in game.
Minnesota was +14 on boards (44-38), minus-8 in turnovers (16-8)
— Nicholls State 102, South Alabama 97, 3OT’s
Favored Jaguars led 48-31 with 17:03 left in game.
As a team, South Alabama was 17-21 on the foul line.
6-6 West scored 31 points, was 15-22 on foul line.
— St John’s 53, North Texas 52
Rick Pitino’s Red Storm led by 14 early, led 30-20 at halftime, then hung on.
Saturday’s 6-pack:
NBA payrolls for this season:
$211,820,254— Warriors
$202,129,596— Clippers
$189,506,310— Bucks
$188,405,477— Suns
$185,232,476— Celtics
$181,922,992— Nuggets
Quote of the Day
“Certainly, the hire is important, and it needs to be somebody that understands the state of Texas, understands the history of Texas A&M and can communicate with young people and develop them. I think that’s where it starts. Strong leadership.”
Lions’ coach/Texas A&M alum Dan Campbell, after saying he wasn’t interested in becoming the Aggies’ next football coach
Saturday’s quiz
Which Las Vegas casino is shaped like a pyramid?
Friday’s quiz
In 1996, Cleveland Browns moved to Baltimore and re-branded as the Ravens; Vinny Testaverde was the Ravens’ QB that first season in Baltimore.
Thursday’s quiz
In the Showtime series Ray Donovan, Jon Voight played Ray’s father.
***************************************
Long Beach State (+15) 94, Michigan 86
NC-Greensboro (+14.5) 78, Arkansas 72
Lindenwood (+9.5) 72, Neb-Omaha 70
Tenn-Martin (+8.5) 80, Eastern Kentucky 74
Notre Dame (+7.5) 66, Oklahoma State 64 OT
East Tennessee State (+6.5) 70, Davidson 68
— Myrtle Beach tournament:
Vermont 78, Saint Louis 68
Liberty 83, Wichita State 66
Sunday’s final is Vermont-Liberty, two solid mid-majors.
— Charleston Classic:
Dayton 88, St John’s 81
Houston 76, Utah 66
Sunday’s final is Dayton-Houston, which will feel like March.
— Bad Beat of the Night: Wm & Mary (+7.5) lost 80-71 in overtime to Air Force.
— Villanova 57, Maryland 40
Terps are off to a dismal 1-3 start, shooting 21.6% on the arc.
Villanova led this game 39-15 at halftime.
It is early in season, but Maryland is turning ball over 21.3% of time (#290).
— Statistical Oddity of the Day:
San Antonio Spurs lost 129-120 at home to Sacramento Friday, so obviously, they were minus-9 for the game.
When Zach Collins was on the floor, the Spurs were +19 (minus-28 without him)
When Victor Wembanyama was on the floor, the Spurs were minus-31 (+22 without him)
For two teammates to have a plus/minus 50 points different in the same game is really, really unusual.
— Word of the Day: continuity- something happening over a period of time without being changed or stopped.
Teams who have the same players over a period of time have an advantage over teams with a lot of new players, as long as the talent levels are similar.
On the college basketball page, I’ll mention continuity a lot; it is important in this era, where kids transfer at the drop of a hat.
— Bengals’ QB Joe Burrow tore ligaments in his thumb Thursday night, is out for the year, very bad news for 5-5 Cincinnati.
— Last three years, Rams are 0-9 in November; two years ago, they were 0-3 in November, then won the Super Bowl.
— NHL is playing some games in Sweden this week:
Ottawa 5, Detroit 4 OT- Senators blew a 4-0 lead, then won with 0:02 left in OT.
Toronto 3, Detroit 2- William Nylander has 25 points in Detroit’s 16 games.
They have two more games in Sweden this weekend.
— San Diego State 79, Saint Mary’s 54
Surprisingly one-sided game.
Aztecs led 34-33 at halftime.
Gaels also lost previous game, at home to Weber State; they were picked to win the WCC, but if they’re better than Gonzaga, WCC might be down a little this year, especially with BYU off to the Big X.
— Grand Canyon 76, San Francisco 72
Entertaining game between two good mid-majors.
— I’m watching the UNLV-Pepperdine game on ESPN+, and there is a commercial for a lawyer in Los Angeles, a younger guy who claims “I put the LIT in litigation!!!”
Very unusual commercial.
— UNLV 82, Pepperdine 68
UNLV has made at least one 3-point shot in their last 1,195 games, every game since the NCAA made the 3-point shot a real thing, 37 years ago. Princeton is the only other team to have a 3-pointer in every game since then; they’ve played fewer games than the Rebels.
NBA payrolls for this season:
$211,820,254— Warriors
$202,129,596— Clippers
$189,506,310— Bucks
$188,405,477— Suns
$185,232,476— Celtics
$181,922,992— Nuggets
Quote of the Day
“Certainly, the hire is important, and it needs to be somebody that understands the state of Texas, understands the history of Texas A&M and can communicate with young people and develop them. I think that’s where it starts. Strong leadership.”
Lions’ coach/Texas A&M alum Dan Campbell, after saying he wasn’t interested in becoming the Aggies’ next football coach
Saturday’s quiz
Which Las Vegas casino is shaped like a pyramid?
Friday’s quiz
In 1996, Cleveland Browns moved to Baltimore and re-branded as the Ravens; Vinny Testaverde was the Ravens’ QB that first season in Baltimore.
Thursday’s quiz
In the Showtime series Ray Donovan, Jon Voight played Ray’s father.
***************************************
Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday of basketball
— There were lot of upsets Friday:Long Beach State (+15) 94, Michigan 86
NC-Greensboro (+14.5) 78, Arkansas 72
Lindenwood (+9.5) 72, Neb-Omaha 70
Tenn-Martin (+8.5) 80, Eastern Kentucky 74
Notre Dame (+7.5) 66, Oklahoma State 64 OT
East Tennessee State (+6.5) 70, Davidson 68
— Myrtle Beach tournament:
Vermont 78, Saint Louis 68
Liberty 83, Wichita State 66
Sunday’s final is Vermont-Liberty, two solid mid-majors.
— Charleston Classic:
Dayton 88, St John’s 81
Houston 76, Utah 66
Sunday’s final is Dayton-Houston, which will feel like March.
— Bad Beat of the Night: Wm & Mary (+7.5) lost 80-71 in overtime to Air Force.
— Villanova 57, Maryland 40
Terps are off to a dismal 1-3 start, shooting 21.6% on the arc.
Villanova led this game 39-15 at halftime.
It is early in season, but Maryland is turning ball over 21.3% of time (#290).
— Statistical Oddity of the Day:
San Antonio Spurs lost 129-120 at home to Sacramento Friday, so obviously, they were minus-9 for the game.
When Zach Collins was on the floor, the Spurs were +19 (minus-28 without him)
When Victor Wembanyama was on the floor, the Spurs were minus-31 (+22 without him)
For two teammates to have a plus/minus 50 points different in the same game is really, really unusual.
— Word of the Day: continuity- something happening over a period of time without being changed or stopped.
Teams who have the same players over a period of time have an advantage over teams with a lot of new players, as long as the talent levels are similar.
On the college basketball page, I’ll mention continuity a lot; it is important in this era, where kids transfer at the drop of a hat.
— Bengals’ QB Joe Burrow tore ligaments in his thumb Thursday night, is out for the year, very bad news for 5-5 Cincinnati.
— Last three years, Rams are 0-9 in November; two years ago, they were 0-3 in November, then won the Super Bowl.
— NHL is playing some games in Sweden this week:
Ottawa 5, Detroit 4 OT- Senators blew a 4-0 lead, then won with 0:02 left in OT.
Toronto 3, Detroit 2- William Nylander has 25 points in Detroit’s 16 games.
They have two more games in Sweden this weekend.
— San Diego State 79, Saint Mary’s 54
Surprisingly one-sided game.
Aztecs led 34-33 at halftime.
Gaels also lost previous game, at home to Weber State; they were picked to win the WCC, but if they’re better than Gonzaga, WCC might be down a little this year, especially with BYU off to the Big X.
— Grand Canyon 76, San Francisco 72
Entertaining game between two good mid-majors.
— I’m watching the UNLV-Pepperdine game on ESPN+, and there is a commercial for a lawyer in Los Angeles, a younger guy who claims “I put the LIT in litigation!!!”
Very unusual commercial.
— UNLV 82, Pepperdine 68
UNLV has made at least one 3-point shot in their last 1,195 games, every game since the NCAA made the 3-point shot a real thing, 37 years ago. Princeton is the only other team to have a 3-pointer in every game since then; they’ve played fewer games than the Rebels.
Sunday’s 6-pack:
All-time passing yards leaders for the Cincinnati Bengals:
32,838 yards— Ken Anderson
31,594— Andy Dalton
27,149— Boomer Esiason
22,694— Carson Palmer
15,134— Jeff Blake
14,083— Joe Burrow
Quote of the Day
“That does mean a lot to be quite honest with you. Being at Purdue, we worked hard to win games. Getting to the Big Ten championship was as good as any accomplishment I had there, and we had some big wins. So, we come here, Year 1, to find a way to get to this championship game means a whole lot.
It just shows that if you’re willing to put in the work, surround yourself with good people, allow others to buy in and work together, take the blame when things aren’t going well, good things can normally happen.”
Louisville coach Jeff Brohm
Sunday’s quiz
Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh was an NFL QB for 14 years, playing for four different teams; what team did he play the most games with?
Saturday’s quiz
Luxor Hotel/Casino in Las Vegas is shaped like a pyramid.
Friday’s quiz
In 1996, Cleveland Browns moved to Baltimore and re-branded as the Ravens; Vinny Testaverde was the Ravens’ QB that first season in Baltimore.
********************************************
Why would one of the best programs in the country play a I-AA team?
Do they charge less for tickets to this game, which ended 66-10?
(I know, they probably don’t)
Seriously, play a Sun Belt team, play a MAC team, play a service academy team or some other stiff, but for Pete’s sake, DO NOT play a freakin’ I-AA team. It is spineless.
— New Mexico State 31, Auburn 10
Boosters at Auburn ain’t going to be happy with this score.
From 2018-21, New Mexico State was 8-30 SU.
In two years under Jerry Kill, Aggies are 16-9- they’ve covered 9 in a row.
Auburn is 6-5; they play Alabama next. Oy.
— UCLA 38, USC 20
Trojans lost five of last six games, after a 6-0 start.
USC allowed 34+ points in each of their last eight games.
UCLA is 7-4, will be favored next week; does this save Chip Kelly’s job?
— UNLV 31, Air Force 27
UNLV trailed 27-14 at halftime; AF didn’t score in 2nd half.
Rebels averaged 11.7 yards/pass attempt.
UNLV plays San Jose State next week; they could go to MW title game.
No matter what, Rebels are going bowling for first time since 2013.
— Louisville 38, Miami 31
Louisville threw 58-yard TD pass with 4:17 left for game-winning TD.
Cardinals will play in ACC title game for first time (vs Florida State)
Last year, Jeff Brohm led Purdue to their first Big 14 title game- good coach.
Miami is 6-5, 11-12 in two years under Mario Cristobal.
— Florida State also played a I-AA team this week, North Alabama; Seminoles’ QB Jordan Travis hurt his ankle and is done for the season. Big loss for Florida State.
— Appalachian State 26, James Madison 23 OT
First loss of the season for James Madison.
JMU tied game on an 11-yard TD pass with 0:57 left.
— Upsets of the Week:
New Mexico State (+25.5) 31, Auburn 10
Appalachian State 26 (+9), James Madison 23 OT
UCLA (+6.5) 38, USC 20
Old Dominion (+6) 20, Georgia Southern 17
Michigan State (+4) 24, Indiana 21
Army (+4) 28, Coastal Carolina 21
— Word of the Day: Loyalty- a sense of duty or devoted attachment to something or someone.
— SMU 38, Memphis 34
Mustangs threw for 286 yards (12.4 yards/attempt).
SMU is 9-2, 7-0 in the AAC.
— Tulane 24, Florida Atlantic 8
Tulane has won nine games in a row, four of them by 7 or less points.
Green Wave is 10-1, 7-0 in the AAC
— Iowa 15, Illinois 13
Sixth straight Iowa game to stay under the total.
Hawkeyes scored winning TD on a 30-yard run with 4:43 left.
First score of the game was a safety for Iowa.
— Arizona 42, Utah 18
From 2018-22, Arizona was 15-38; this year? 8-3, with five straight wins.
Arizona blocked punt for TD, led 21-0 after first quarter.
Wildcats converted 7-11 third down plays.
— Washington 22, Oregon State 20
11-0 Huskies led 22-10 at halftime, hung on for the win.
Neither team completed half their passes.
Beavers ran 73 plays, Washington 48, but OSU had three turnovers.
— Texas Tech 24, UCF 23
Down 23-17, UCF scored TD with 5:30 left; the PAT was blocked.
Knights led 14-0 after the first quarter.
UCF was 8-14 on third down, Tech 3-9.
Red Raiders are bowl eligible; UCF needs another win.
All-time passing yards leaders for the Cincinnati Bengals:
32,838 yards— Ken Anderson
31,594— Andy Dalton
27,149— Boomer Esiason
22,694— Carson Palmer
15,134— Jeff Blake
14,083— Joe Burrow
Quote of the Day
“That does mean a lot to be quite honest with you. Being at Purdue, we worked hard to win games. Getting to the Big Ten championship was as good as any accomplishment I had there, and we had some big wins. So, we come here, Year 1, to find a way to get to this championship game means a whole lot.
It just shows that if you’re willing to put in the work, surround yourself with good people, allow others to buy in and work together, take the blame when things aren’t going well, good things can normally happen.”
Louisville coach Jeff Brohm
Sunday’s quiz
Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh was an NFL QB for 14 years, playing for four different teams; what team did he play the most games with?
Saturday’s quiz
Luxor Hotel/Casino in Las Vegas is shaped like a pyramid.
Friday’s quiz
In 1996, Cleveland Browns moved to Baltimore and re-branded as the Ravens; Vinny Testaverde was the Ravens’ QB that first season in Baltimore.
********************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday……..
Before we start, why the BLEEP is Alabama playing Chattanooga in football?Why would one of the best programs in the country play a I-AA team?
Do they charge less for tickets to this game, which ended 66-10?
(I know, they probably don’t)
Seriously, play a Sun Belt team, play a MAC team, play a service academy team or some other stiff, but for Pete’s sake, DO NOT play a freakin’ I-AA team. It is spineless.
— New Mexico State 31, Auburn 10
Boosters at Auburn ain’t going to be happy with this score.
From 2018-21, New Mexico State was 8-30 SU.
In two years under Jerry Kill, Aggies are 16-9- they’ve covered 9 in a row.
Auburn is 6-5; they play Alabama next. Oy.
— UCLA 38, USC 20
Trojans lost five of last six games, after a 6-0 start.
USC allowed 34+ points in each of their last eight games.
UCLA is 7-4, will be favored next week; does this save Chip Kelly’s job?
— UNLV 31, Air Force 27
UNLV trailed 27-14 at halftime; AF didn’t score in 2nd half.
Rebels averaged 11.7 yards/pass attempt.
UNLV plays San Jose State next week; they could go to MW title game.
No matter what, Rebels are going bowling for first time since 2013.
— Louisville 38, Miami 31
Louisville threw 58-yard TD pass with 4:17 left for game-winning TD.
Cardinals will play in ACC title game for first time (vs Florida State)
Last year, Jeff Brohm led Purdue to their first Big 14 title game- good coach.
Miami is 6-5, 11-12 in two years under Mario Cristobal.
— Florida State also played a I-AA team this week, North Alabama; Seminoles’ QB Jordan Travis hurt his ankle and is done for the season. Big loss for Florida State.
— Appalachian State 26, James Madison 23 OT
First loss of the season for James Madison.
JMU tied game on an 11-yard TD pass with 0:57 left.
— Upsets of the Week:
New Mexico State (+25.5) 31, Auburn 10
Appalachian State 26 (+9), James Madison 23 OT
UCLA (+6.5) 38, USC 20
Old Dominion (+6) 20, Georgia Southern 17
Michigan State (+4) 24, Indiana 21
Army (+4) 28, Coastal Carolina 21
— Word of the Day: Loyalty- a sense of duty or devoted attachment to something or someone.
— SMU 38, Memphis 34
Mustangs threw for 286 yards (12.4 yards/attempt).
SMU is 9-2, 7-0 in the AAC.
— Tulane 24, Florida Atlantic 8
Tulane has won nine games in a row, four of them by 7 or less points.
Green Wave is 10-1, 7-0 in the AAC
— Iowa 15, Illinois 13
Sixth straight Iowa game to stay under the total.
Hawkeyes scored winning TD on a 30-yard run with 4:43 left.
First score of the game was a safety for Iowa.
— Arizona 42, Utah 18
From 2018-22, Arizona was 15-38; this year? 8-3, with five straight wins.
Arizona blocked punt for TD, led 21-0 after first quarter.
Wildcats converted 7-11 third down plays.
— Washington 22, Oregon State 20
11-0 Huskies led 22-10 at halftime, hung on for the win.
Neither team completed half their passes.
Beavers ran 73 plays, Washington 48, but OSU had three turnovers.
— Texas Tech 24, UCF 23
Down 23-17, UCF scored TD with 5:30 left; the PAT was blocked.
Knights led 14-0 after the first quarter.
UCF was 8-14 on third down, Tech 3-9.
Red Raiders are bowl eligible; UCF needs another win.
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 19
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI at HOU | 01:00 PM | ARI +5.5 O 47.5 | +500 +500 |
| PIT at CLE | 01:00 PM | PIT +2.5 U 34.5 | +500 +500 |
| LV at MIA | 01:00 PM | MIA -14.5 U 44.0 | +500 +500 |
| NYG at WAS | 01:00 PM | NYG +8.5 O 39.0 | +500 +500 |
| LAC at GB | 01:00 PM | LAC -3.0 O 44.0 | +500 +500 |
| CHI at DET | 01:00 PM | CHI +7.5 O 48.0 | +500 +500 |
| TEN at JAC | 01:00 PM | JAC -6.5 U 40.0 | +500 +500 |
| DAL at CAR | 01:00 PM | CAR +11.0 O 43.0 | +500 +500 |
| TB at SF | 04:05 PM | SF -13.5 O 42.0 | +500 +500 |
| SEA at LAR | 04:25 PM | LAR -1.0 U 46.0 | +500 +500 |
| NYJ at BUF | 04:25 PM | NYJ +8.5 U 39.5 | +500 +500 |
| MIN at DEN | 08:20 PM | DEN -2.5 O 42.5 | +500 +500 |
