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Long Sheet

Week 10


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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Six of the top baseball free agents this winter:
— Shohei Ohtani, DH
— Yoshinobu Yamamoto, P
— Blake Snell, P
— Cody Bellinger, OF/1B
— Aaron Nola, P
— Josh Hader, RP

Quote of the Day
“I think my reaction is the same as everyone in the organization and the fan base. We’re just shocked initially.”
Milwaukee P Corbin Burnes, after manager Craig Counsell bolted to the rival Cubs

Tuesday’s quiz
Chargers have played in one Super Bowl; who was their QB in that game?

Monday’s quiz
Nick Saban went 15-17 in two years coaching the Miami Dolphins, just before he became coach at Alabama.

Sunday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes was the 10th pick in the 2017 NFL Draft; Mitchell Trubisky was the only QB picked ahead of him that year.

******************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

Chargers 27, Jets 6:
Chargers ran a punt back 87 yards for a TD, 1:25 into the game.
Chargers’ second offensive TD came on a 2-yard drive, after a turnover.
Under is 5-0-1 in last six Charger games.
Bolts are 6-3-3 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Jets converted only 3-17 third down plays.
Jets are 5-10-1 ATS in last 16 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Jets still haven’t averaged more than 5.8 yards/pass attempt in any game.
Jets scored 22-31-20-13 points in wins, 10-10-20-6 in losses.
Jets have now won three of last four games, which is good, but in those four games:
they scored only 3 touchdowns on 48 drives.
they went 3/out 15 times on those 48 drives- their offense is dismal.

College basketball started Monday night……..

— James Madison (+16) 79, Michigan State 76 OT
Dukes were a freakin’ 16-point underdog; a great win for them.
MSU shot 1-20 on the arc, 23-37 on foul line, and lost by 3.
JMU jumped out to a 25-12 lead, but trailed by 6 with 8:35 left in the game.

— Princeton (+5.5) 68, Rutgers 61— Not often an Ivy League team beats a Big 14 team.

— Wake Forest 101, Elon 78
Elon led 36-15 early on.
Deacons shot 74.4% inside the arc.

— Abilene Christian (+10.5) 64, Oklahoma State 59
Visiting Wildcats shot 54% inside the arc, led by 18 with 13:25 left in game.

— Bradley 73, UAB 71, OT
Visiting Braves led by 20 in first half.
UAB stormed back, led by 11 with 6:42 left in game.
Blazers were 3-19 on arc, 18-29 on foul line.

— Belmont 89, Georgia State 87— This was a really good game between two good mid-majors, kind of a like a play-in game to the tournament in March.
Belmont was 17-22 on foul line, Georgia State 8-14.

— Bad Beat of the Night; Tex-San Antonio 78, Western Illinois 68, OT— Very tough beat if you had the Leathernecks, +5.5.

— Word of the Day: Shill— someone who gets paid to talk about or describe someone or something in a favorable way.

— Managerial changes in baseball:
Cubs hired Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell, gave him $8M a year.
Mets hired Bronx bench coach Carlos Mendoza as their new manager.
Cleveland Guardians hired Stephen Vogt as their new manager.
Vogt played 10 years in the big leagues; he played 70 games in the majors as recently as 2022. He was a bullpen coach in Seattle last year.
Mendoza managed in the minor leagues for two years, has been a big league coach since 2018.
Counsell had a 9-year regular season record of 707-625 with Milwaukee; he was 7-12 in the five years he led Milwaukee in the playoffs.

— Nine weeks into the season, the entire AFC North is over .500.

— So far this season, under has been a profitable play in the NFL:
since Week 3, under is 67-35-1
since Week 5, under is 47-23-1
prime-time games, under is 21-7
overall for the whole season, under is 82-52-1

— Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson is leading the NFL in completion %age; last year, he finished 25th in that category. New offensive coordinator Todd Monken has worked wonders with the Ravens’ offense so far this season.

— Over their last four games, Buffalo Bills have a minus-6 turnover ratio; hard to win that way.

— ESPN”s Doc Rivers said this last week about the Dallas Mavericks, who have two stars on their team, Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving:
“They have to want to play together” which sounds simple, but it doesn’t happen all the time.

— Kudos to Arizona Wildcats football coach Jedd Fisch, who has his Wildcats at 6-3 and eligible to go bowling in December. From 2018-22, Arizona was 15-38, so this is a huge leap forward for the Wildcats.

— I’d like to thank the support staff at YouTubeTV; had a problem with the set-up on my TV last Friday, wound up on the phone for a half-hour with a support person in the Phillipines and he fixed the problem for me. Appreciate your help.
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Baylor 88, Auburn 82— Very high-level early season game.
North Texas 83, Northern Iowa 77 OT— Mean Green made 11-22 on the arc.
Fort Wayne 82, DePaul 74— Summit team beats a Big East squad.
St John’s 90, Stony Brook 74— Rick Pitino wins his Johnnies’ debut.
Indiana 69, Florida Gulf Coast 63— Surprisingly tough win for the Hoosiers.
— Rams signed QB Carson Wentz; he has 11 days until Rams play again.

Quote of the Day
“There has never been a better time to be a part of our athletic department and this program. My family and I are so proud to be at this university, and I am looking forward to many more seasons representing the most passionate fan base in the country. There’s no place like Kansas.”
Kansas basketball coach Bill Self; that’s what you say when you sign a $53M contract

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Shaquille O’Neal play his college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
Chargers have played in one Super Bowl; Stan Humphries was their QB in that game.

Monday’s quiz
Nick Saban went 15-17 in two years coaching the Miami Dolphins, just before he became coach at Alabama.

**********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Early season NBA trends

NBA trends (thru Tuesday)

I’ll try to post this once a week like the NHL trends…….

Hawks (4-3):
— won four of their last five games.
— over 3-0 at home

Celtics (5-1):
— won five of first six games SU (3-2-1 ATS)
— over 5-1, 2-0 at home

Nets (3-4):
— covered six of seven games (5-1 ATS as an underdog).
— 3-1 SU at home, 0-3 SU on road.
— over 3-0 at home

Hornets (2-4):
— lost four of their last five games SU.
— 3-2 ATS as an underdog.
— last four games went over the total.

Bulls (3-5)
— lost three of their last four games.
— 2-6 ATS, 1-4 as a favorite.

Cavaliers (3-4):
— 1-3 SU at home, 2-1 on road.
— 1-3 ATS as a favorite.
— under 5-2

Mavericks (6-1):
— won six of first seven games.
— 3-1 ATS on the road.
— over 5-2

Nuggets (7-1):
—won/covered last three games.
— 4-1 ATS as home favorites
— under 3-0 on road, over 3-2 at home

Pistons (2-6):
— lost five of their last six games.
— 3-4 ATS as an underdog.
— over 5-1 last six games

Warriors (6-2):
— won six of last seven games SU
— 2-4 ATS as a favorite
— under 5-3

Rockets (3-3):
— won/covered last three games.
— 3-1 ATS at home, 0-2 on road.

Pacers (4-3):
— 3-2 ATS as a favorite.
— over 6-1

Clippers (3-3):
— 3-1 ATS in LA, 0-2 ATS on road.
— over 3-2-1

Lakers (3-4):
— 3-0 SU at home, 0-4 SU on road.
— 2-5 ATS, 1-3 as a favorite.
— under 5-2

Grizzlies (1-6):
— lost six of first seven games SU.
— 1-4 ATS as a favorite.
— over 3-1 last four games

Heat (3-4):
— 0-5 ATS in last five games.
— 0-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— under 3-1 at home

Bucks (4-2):
— 0-5-1 ATS this season, all as a favorite.
— over 3-1 last four games.

Timberwolves (4-2)
— won/covered last three games
— 4-0 ATS at home, 0-2 on road.
— under 3-1 at home

Pelicans (4-3):
— all three losses were by 18+ points
— 2-2 SU/ATS at home, 2-1 on road.

Knicks (3-4):
— covered three of last four games
— 4-2-1 ATS this season
— 2-1 ATS as a favorite, 2-1-1 as an underdog
— under 5-0 last five games

Thunder (4-3):
— covered five of seven games.
— 2-1 ATS as a favorite, 3-1 as an underdog.
— three of last four games went over total.

Magic (4-3):
— 2-1 ATS at home, 3-1 on road.
— under 5-1-1

76ers (5-1):
— won last five games SU, covered all six.
— 5-0 ATS as a favorite, 1-0 as an underdog.
— over 4-2

Suns (3-4):
— lost three of last four games
— 1-2 ATS at home, 3-1 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games

Trailblazers (3-4):
— won/covered three of last four games
— under 3-1 last four games
— have been an underdog in every game

Kings (2-4):
— lost four of last five games
— under 3-2 last five games

Spurs (3-4):
— favorites are 3-0 ATS in their home games.
— 2-4 ATS as an underdog.
— over 6-1

Raptors (3-4):
— 2-1 ATS as a favorite, 2-2 as an underdog.
— under 5-2

Jazz (2-6):
— lost last three games, by 2-28-17 points.
— 1-3 ATS on the road
— over 4-0 at home

Wizards (1-5):
— lost last four games (2-2 ATS).
— over 5-1
 

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Armadillo's Write-up

Week 10

Thursday's game
Panthers
(1-7) @ Bears (2-7)
— Carolina is 0-4 SU/ATS) on road this year, losing by 14-10-18-21.
— Last four games, Panthers were outscored 76-33 in first half.
— In two post-bye games, Panthers scored 2 TD’s on 18 drives.
— Last week, Young threw two pick-6’s vs Colts.
— In Young’s six starts. Carolina averaged 5+ yards/pass attempt once.
— Panthers scored 27 points in game veteran QB Dalton started.
— Carolina’s only win was 15-13; they allowed 20+ points in their losses.
— Carolina is 6-12 ATS in last 18 games as a home underdog (0-4 TY).
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Panthers have been outscored 118-71 in second half of games.
— Carolina is 8-17-1 ATS in last 26 games following a loss.
— NFC South teams are 9-16-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 5-3. Opponents’ team total: over 5-3


— Chicago lost three of last four games, scoring 13-13-17 in losses.
— Bears are +5 in turnovers in wins, minus-12 in losses.
— Chicago turned ball over 5 times last week (minus-5)
— Chicago scored 40-30 points in its wins; they’re 0-7 otherwise.
— In Bagent’s three starts, Bears were 20-39 on third down.
— For season, Bears have been outscored 132-83 in second half.
— last 2+ years, Bears are 11-32 SU/16-25-2 ATS.
— Chicago is 11-8-1 ATS in last 20 games as home favorites (0-1 TY).
— Chicago is 17-24-3 ATS in last 44 games coming off a loss.
— Three of their four games stayed under the total.
— NFC North favorites are 6-3 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 5-4. Opponents’ team total: over 6-3


— Bears won five of last six series games.
— Panthers are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Chicago.
— Underdogs covered four of last five meetings.
— Under is 5-4-1 in last ten series games.


Sunday’s games
Colts
(4-5) vs Patriots (2-7) (@ Frankfurt, Germany)
— Colts allowed 20 or less points in wins, 29+ in losses.
— Indianapolis lost three of its last four games.
— Backup QB Minshew is 10-19 as an NFL starter, 2-3 TY.
— Colts won/covered three of their four road games TY.
— Indy has scored 20+ points in all nine games.
— Colts are 10-6 ATS last 16 games as an underdog away from home.
— Colts are 16-17 ATS in last 33 games coming off win.
— Colts are 8-12 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Over is 6-3 in Indy’s games this season.
— AFC South teams are 14-9 ATS outside the division.
— This is 7th year in row Colts have a different #1 QB
— Team total: over 7-1-1. Opponents’ team total: over 5-4


— Patriots lost five of their last six games (1-5 ATS).
— Patriots were outscored 92-40 in first half of those games.
— New England is minus-5 in turnovers this year.
— NE is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games as an underdog.
— Since Brady left, NE is 27-32 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— In his career, Belichick is 82-97 without Brady.
— Mac Jones is 18-23 as an NFL starting QB.
— Last six games, Patriots were outgained by 102.2 yards/game.
— Patriots are 14-16-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss.
— Under is 6-2-1 in New England games this season.
— AFC East teams are 9-12 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 8-1. Opponents’ team total: 6-3 over


— New England won seven of last eight series games.
— Favorites covered last three meetings.
— Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.


Browns (5-3) @ Ravens (7-2)
— Browns are 3-1 since their bye week.
— Last four weeks, Cleveland ran ball for 144.5 yards/game.
— Browns are 1-9-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
— Browns are 4-0 giving up less than 24 points, 1-3 allowing 24+.
— Cleveland is 1-2 SU/0-2-1 ATS in its road games.
— Cleveland is 3-10 ATS in last 13 AFC North road games.
— Cleveland is 5-7-1 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog.
— Opponents have converted only 27-104 third down plays.
— Under is 4-2 in last six Cleveland games.
— Watson is 36-31 as an NFL starter, 7-4 with Cleveland.
— NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 11-11 ATS this year.
— Team total: over 6-1-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3


— Ravens won last four games, last three by a combined 106-33.
— Last six games, Ravens outscored foes 108-19 in first half.
— Baltimore is 6-11 ATS in last 17 games as home favorite (3-1 TY)
— Ravens scored 24+ points in its wins, 19-10 in losses.
— Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in last six AFC North home games.
— Ravens are 10-14 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— Baltimore is minus-5 in TO’s in its losses, +4 in wins.
— Lamar Jackson is 53-21 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— Under is 6-3 in Baltimore games this season.
— Team total: over 6-3. Opponents’ team total: under 6-2-1


— Ravens (+3) won 28-3 in Cleveland in Week 4
— That was game #3 QB Thompson-Robinson was Browns’ QB.
— Ravens won five of last seven series games.
— Browns are 8-5 ATS in last 13 visits to Baltimore.
— Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.


Texans (4-4) @ Bengals (5-3)
— Houston won four of its last six games (4-2 ATS)
— Houston led five of its last six games at halftime.
— Three of their last four games were decided by exactly two points.
— Texans are 1-3 SU/2-2 ATS on road this year.
— Houston is 7-4-1 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Texans QB Stroud threw for 470 yards, 5 TD’s last week.
— Houston is 19-16-1 in last 26 games coming off a win.
— Stroud is 4-4 as an NFL starter.
— First five games, Texans were +5 in turnovers; last three games, minus-2
— AFC South teams are 14-9 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 4-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-2


— Bengals won/covered last four games, scoring 26.5 ppg.
— Last four games, Bengals are +7 in turnovers. (10-3)
— Burrow (calf) is moving around lot better than he was before their bye.
— Cincinnati is 7-2-1 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite.
— Bengals are 11-2 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
— Last two games, Cincy averaged 7.6/7.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Last two games. Cincy had seven TD’s on 18 drives.
— Bengals have a Thursday night game at Baltimore next week.
— Under is 5-3 in their games this season.
— Team total: under 6-2. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3


— Teams haven’t met since 2020, once since 2017.
— Texans won seven of last nine series games.
— Houston won/covered last four visits to Cincinnati.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.


49ers (5-3) @ Jaguars (6-2)
— 49ers lost last three games, scoring 17-17-17 points.
— SF scored 30-30-30-35-42 points in 5-0 start (4-0-1 ATS).
— 49ers have outscored opponents 95-56 in 2nd half.
— First 5 games, SF ran ball for 156.4 yards/game (108-65-113 last 3 games).
— 49ers are 4-6-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite.
— Since 2012, SF is 3-7-1 SU/2-9 ATS in post-bye games.
— last two games, 49ers are minus-4 in turnovers (+8 10/first six games)
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 12-4 as NFL starter.
— NFC West teams are 10-9-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 4-4. Opponents’ team total: over 6-2


— Jaguars won/covered their last five games.
— Jacksonville outscored last four opponents 75-19 in first half.
— Jaguars scored 21-23-25-37-31-20 points in wins, 9-17 in losses.
— Jaguars are 10-16 ATS last 26 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Jaguars are 9-3-1 ATS in last 13 post-bye games.
— Under Pederson, Jags are 9-6 ATS as an underdog.
— Under Pederson, Jags are +12 in turnovers (minus-20 in 2021)
— AFC South teams are 14-9 ATS outside the division.
— Pederson is 62-50-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— Lawrence is 18-24 as an NFL starter- he won a national title in college.
— Team total: over 4-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3


— San Francisco won/covered last four series games.
— 49ers won 42-10/30-10 in last two visits to Jacksonville.
— Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.


Saints (5-4) @ Vikings (5-4)
— New Orleans is 4-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-3 scoring less than 20.
— Saints have 10 offensive TD’s on their last 34 drives.
— Last five games, New Orleans is +8 in turnovers.
— Last two games, Saints were 13-26 on third down.
— Last five weeks, Saints outscored foes 61-27 in second half.
— Saints have been outscored 19-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— NO is 14-8 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog (1-0 TY)
— Saints are 6-12-1 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
— Under is 7-2 in Saints’ games this season.
— NFC South teams are 9-16 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 6-3. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4


— QB Dobbs came off bench and won game for Vikings LW.
— Dobbs is 1-9 as an NFL starter; he actually practiced this week.
— Minnesota won/covered last four games, scoring 19-22-24-31 points.
— Minnesota has nine takeaways in last four games (+4)
— Vikings are 4-1 when they allow less than 27 points.
— Vikings are 8-8-1 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win (3-1 TY).
— Minnesota is 7-13 ATS in last 20 games as a road home favorite.
— Vikings ran ball for 146 yards LW, their most this season.
— Under is 7-2 in Minnesota games this season.
— NFC North teams are 11-13-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 5-4. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3-1


— Vikings won four of last six series games.
— Saints are 2-3-1 ATS last six visits to Minnesota (last one, 2018)
— Over is 4-1-1 in last six series games played here.


Packers (3-5) @ Steelers (5-3)
— Green Bay is 1-4 SU/ATS in its last five games.
— Last five games, Packers were outscored 76-16 in first half.
— Green Bay has ten giveaways in last five games (minus-5).
— Packers are 14-13-2 ATS in last 29 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Green Bay has outscored opponents 48-20 on 1st drive of a half.
— Jordan Love is 3-6 as an NFL starter.
— Packers are 12-5-1 ATS in last 18 games as road underdog.
— Green Bay is 1-6 ATS this year in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
— Packers are 2-7 ATS in last nine games vs AFC opponents.
— Green Bay is 4-7 ATS in last eleven games coming off a win.
— Team total: under 6-2. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3


— Steelers won/covered three of their last four games.
— Steelers are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as home favorites (1-0 TY)
— Last five games, they were outscored 57-19 in first half.
— Steelers scored 26-23-17-24-20 points in wins, 7-6-10 in losses.
— Pittsburgh has been outgained by 111.1 yards/game this season.
— Last seven games, Steelers have a +9 turnover margin.
— Steelers are 5-2 ATS in last seven games vs NFC opponents.
— Seven of eight Steeler games stayed under the total.
— Pitt is 30-16-1 ATS in last 46 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— QB Pickett is 12-8 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 3-3-2. Opponents’ team total: over 4-4


— Steelers won four of last six series games.
— Packers lost 31-28/37-36 in last two visits to Pittsburgh.
— Four of last five meetings went over the total.


Titans (3-5) @ Buccaneers (3-5)
— Titans lost three of their last four games.
— Tennessee is 0-4 SU in true road games, losing by 1-24-7-4 points (1-3 ATS)
— Titans scored 27-27-28 points in wins; they scored 15-3-16-16-16 in losses.
— Last two games, Tennessee converted 9-37 on third down.
— Titans are 10-6-1 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.
— Tennessee is 16-13-1 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss (2-1 TY)
— Tennessee is 7-5 ATS last 12 games against NFC opponents.
— Titans are minus-4 in turnovers (5-9) so far this season.
— Levis is 1-1 as an NFL starter.
— AFC South underdogs are 11-6 ATS outside the division.
— Six of their eight games stayed under total.
— Team total: under 5-3. Opponents’ team total: over 4-2-2


— Bucs lost four in row, five of last six games (3-3 ATS).
— Tampa Bay’s last three losses were by 3-6-2 points.
— Bucs have 15 takeaways in eight games (+9 turnovers)
— Bucs ran ball for 102.3 yards/game in wins, 41-46-73-78-81 in losses.
— Tampa Bay is 2-6-1 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
— Bucs are 8-6-1 in last 15 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Under is 6-2 in Tampa Bay’s games this season.
— Buccaneers are 6-7 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC teams.
— Mayfield is 35-44 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— NFC South favorites are 3-7-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 4-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-1-1


— Tennessee are 5-1 SU/4-0-2 ATS in last six series games.
— Titans split their last two visits to Tampa.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Falcons (4-5) @ Cardinals (1-8)
— Falcons lost three of their last four games (underdogs 4-0 ATS)
— Falcons were 10-18 on third down LW, in Heinicke’s first ’23 start.
— Last six games, Atlanta is minus-9 in turnovers (5-14)
— since 2017, Atlanta is 5-9 ATS as a road favorite (0-1 TY)
— Falcons are 5-9-1 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Atlanta is 16-22-3 in last 41 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Falcons are 4-5 SU, have led (1-6-2) at halftime once.
— Atlanta has been outscored 107-60 in first half of games.
— Heinicke is 12-13-1 as an NFL starting QB.
— Under is 13-4 in their last 16 games overall, 6-3 TY.
— Team total: under 5-4. Opponents’ team total: over 4-3-2


— QB Murray is expected to make ’23 debut (check status)
— Arizona is 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS last six games (5 losses by 10+ points).
— Cardinals have been outscored 135-47 in 2nd half of games.
— Last seven games, Arizona gave up 27.6 ppg.
— Cardinals have lost 19 of last 22 games SU (8-11 ATS in last 19).
— Three of last four Cardinal games stayed under the total.
— QB Murray is 25-32-1 as an NFL starter; Tune is 0-1.
— Arizona is 11-9 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
— Arizona is 3-1 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Last five games, Cardinals allowed 24 TD’s on 77 drives.
— All four Arizona home games went over the total.
— NFC West teams are 10-9-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 5-4. Opponents’ team total: over 5-4


— Atlanta won six of last eight series games.
— Falcons are 0-3 SU/ATS in last three visits to Arizona.
— Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Lions (6-2) @ Chargers (4-4)
— Lions won/covered five of its last six games.
— Lions gave up 37-38 points in their two losses.
— since 2020, Detroit is 3-1 ATS as a road favorite (2-0 TY)
— Lions won/covered three of its four road games TY.
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 2-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 29-12-1 ATS overall.
— Detroit is 9-2 ATS in last eleven post-bye games.
— Lions are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC opponents.
— Opponents converted only seven of last 29 third down plays.
— Goff is 62-50-1 as an NFL starter, 18-19-1 with the Lions.
— NFC North teams are 11-13-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 4-3. Opponents’ team total: under 4-3


— Chargers won last two games, outscoring foes 41-10 in first half.
— Bolts scored 28-24-30-27 points in wins; they’re 0-2 scoring less than 24.
— under Staley, Chargers are 8-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Bolts are 6-3-3 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
— Chargers have ten takeaways (+7) in wins, three (minus-1) in losses.
— Herbert is 29-29 as an NFL starter.
— Opponents are 14-56 on 3rd down in LA wins, 21-46 in losses.
— Under is 5-0-1 in last six Charger games.
— Chargers are 9-5-3 ATS in last 17 games vs AFC opponents.
— AFC West teams are 9-13-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 4-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3


— Home team won last four series games.
— Lions lost 33-28/51-14 in last two visits to San Diego (last one, 2015)
— Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.


Giants (2-7) @ Cowboys (5-3)
— QB’s Jones/Taylor are out; 3rd-stringer DeVito is 17-27/174 passing TY.
— This will be DeVito’s first NFL start (Matt Barkley is backup)
— Giants are 1-6 SU/2-4-1 ATS in last seven games, scoring 10 ppg.
— Giants are 2-1-1 ATS in last four games.
— Last seven games, Giants were outscored 57-22 in 2nd half.
— Giants are averaging only 268.8 yards/game this season.
— Last five games, Giants are +5 in turnovers.
— Giants are 11-4 ATS in last 15 NFC East road games.
— Last five games, Giants have 5 TD’s, 32 3/outs on 76 drives.
— Last time the Giants were this big an underdog was 2007.
— Under is 8-1 in Giant games this season.
— Team total: under 7-2. Opponents’ team total: over 5-4


— Cowboys split their last six games SU.
— Five Dallas wins were by a combined score of 171-50 (34-10 average).
— Dallas scored 16-10-23 points in losses, 40-30-38-20-43 in wins.
— Cowboys are 13-5 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite (3-0 TY)
— Cowboys are +9 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
— Dallas is 10-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
— since 2019, Dallas is 6-1 ATS as a double digit favorite.
— Dallas allowed 400-421 total yards in its losses.
— QB Prescott is 69-42 as an NFL starter.
— NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 11-11 ATS.
— Team total: over 5-3. Opponents’ team total: under 4-3-1


— Cowboys (-3.5) beat the Giants 40-0 in Week 1 in New Jersey.
— Dallas blocked FG for TD, also had a defensive TD.
— Cowboys won six in row, 12 of last 13 series games.
— Giants are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Dallas.
— Over is 4-0 in Giants’ last four visits here.


Commanders (4-5) @ Seahawks (5-3)
— Washington lost five of last seven games SU (3-3-1 ATS)
— Commanders are 4-0 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— Washington is 1-4 giving up 33+ points, 3-1 if they allow less.
— Last four weeks, Commanders are +3 in turnovers.
— Last two weeks, Commanders are 16-29 on third down.
— Washington is 15-9-1 ATS in last 25 games coming off a win.
— Last seven weeks, Commanders were outscored 101-64 in 1st half.
— three of their last four games stayed under the total.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 5-5 as NFL starter.
— NFC East teams are 12-9-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: 6-3 over. Opponents’ team total: over 6-3


— Seattle split last four games, after a 3-1 start.
— Seahawks scored 37-37-24-20-24 points in wins, 13-13-3 in losses.
— Seahawks were outscored 60-6 in second half of their losses.
— Last two games, Seattle converted 5-24 third down plays.
— Seattle is 15-11 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.
— Seattle is 17-22-3 ATS in last 42 games as a home favorite (2-1-1 TY).
— Geno Smith is 27-32 as an NFL starter, 15-14 with Seattle.
— Seattle is 21-22 SU last 2+ years, after going 34-18 from 2018-20.
— NFC West teams are 10-9-1 ATS outside the division.
— Under is 4-1 in Seattle’s last five games.
— Team total: under 5-3. Opponents’ team total: over 4-3-1


— Washington won four of last five meetings (wins by 2-3-6-3 points)
— Commanders are 3-2-1 ATS in last six visits to Seattle.
— Last three meetings stayed under the total.


Jets (4-4) @ Raiders (4-5)
— Short week, long travel for Gang Green after Monday’s home loss.
— Jets won three of last four games, are 3-1-1 ATS in last five
— Jets scored 22-31-20-13 points in wins, 10-10-20-6 in losses.
— Jets have been outscored 108-55 in first half of games.
— Jets gained 4.7/5.0/3.4/5.6/5.8/4.1/4.8/3.6 yards/pass attempt- not good.
— Jets split their first two true road games this year (over 2-0)
— Under Saleh, Jets are 7-9 ATS as a road underdog
— Last five games, Jets converted 18-91 third down plays.
— Jets have scored eight TD’s, have 32 3/outs on 90 drives.
— Wilson is 11-18 as an NFL starter.
— Jets are 5-9-1 ATS in last 15 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Team total: under 4-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-2


— Las Vegas won last three home games, giving up 13-17-6 points.
— Home team won Raiders’ last six games.
— Last two games, Raiders have five takeaways (+4).
— Last three games, Las Vegas is 9-32 on third down.
— Raiders won three of their four home games SU TY.
— Raiders are 7-3 in last ten games as a home favorite.
— Under is 7-2 in Raider games this season.
— Raiders are 4-6 ATS in last 10 games coming off a win.
— Last two games, WR Adams caught only five passes for 45 yards.
— AFC West teams are 9-13-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 8-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-3


— Raiders won three of last four series games.
— Jets were 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Oakland (last one, 2017)
— Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings.


Monday’s game
Broncos
(3-5) @ Bills (5-3)
— Broncos won last two games, giving up 17-9 points.
— Last four games, Denver ran ball for 138 yards/game.
— Denver is 4-8 ATS in its last dozen road games (0-3 TY)
— Broncos led five of its eight games at halftime.
— Last six games, Denver was outscored 33-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Last six weeks, Broncos were outgained by 140.5 yards/game.
— Denver is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games on artificial turf (0-0 TY)
— Broncos are 10-3 ATS in last 13 post-bye games.
— Last three Bronco games stayed under the total.
— Russell Wilson is 120-76-1 as an NFL starter, 7-16 with Denver.
— Team total: under 5-3. Opponents’ team total: over 4-4


— Buffalo lost three of its last five games (0-5 ATS) SU.
— Bills are 5-0 giving up 20 or less points, 0-4 giving up more than 20.
— Bills have converted 56-113 third down plays this year.
— Bills are 14-10-1 ATS in last 25 games as a home favorite.
— Buffalo outscored last eight foes 122-53 in second half.
— Josh Allen is 52-33 as an NFL starter.
— Bills are 12-8 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
— Last four games, Buffalo has a minus-6 turnover ratio.
— Four of their last five games stayed under the total.
— AFC East favorites are 5-5 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 5-4. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3-1


— Buffalo is 5-1 SU/6-0 ATS in last six series games.
— Broncos are 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS in last four trips to Western NY.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
— Nuggets 108, Warriors 105- Jokic scored 35 points, grabbed 13 rebounds.
— 76ers 106, Celtics 103- Embiid scored 27 points, grabbed 10 rebounds.
— Nets 100, Clippers 93- LA was minus-15 with Harden, +8 without him.
— Suns 116, Bulls 115 OT- Phoenix was 19-48 on the arc, 19-42 inside it.
— Thunder 128, Cavaliers 120- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 43 points.
— Bucks 120, Pistons 118- Damian Lillard scored 34 for Milwaukee.

Quote of the Day
“I think you’ve got to watch that you don’t give off a tight, nervous vibe to your team. As I’ve looked back at the two road trips like this with elite teams, the two times we went to Alabama, the players could feel me get uptight and we played that way. I don’t feel like that this week.”
Ole Miss football coach Lane Kiffin

Thursday’s quiz
Which NBA head coach is a graduate of the Air Force Academy?

Wednesday’s quiz
Shaquille O’Neal played his college basketball at LSU.

Tuesday’s quiz
Chargers have played in one Super Bowl; Stan Humphries was their QB in that game.

***********************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

— Week 14, 1967 was a long time ago, but it pointed the NFL towards Wild Card teams making the playoffs.
Back then, before the NFL-AFL merger, the NFL had four divisions. Coastal Division had the Rams, 49ers, Baltimore Colts and the Falcons.
Going into Week 14, the last week of the season, Colts were 11-0-2, the Rams 10-1-2 (there was no overtime back then). The teams tied 24-24 in Week 5, so if the Rams could beat Baltimore, they would win the division, and since there were no Wild Card teams back then, Colts would miss the playoffs- the Rams would’ve been 1-0-1 head-to-head against them.

Game was played on December 17; my parents had to go out to a Christmas party, and they dragged their two kids along with them. Luckily for 7-year old me, the place had a bar, and for some reason, they let me sit at the bar and watch the game.
All the adults at the bar were rooting for Johnny Unitas and the Colts; 7-year old me was rooting for the team with the cool helmets.
Rams won 34-10; Jack Snow caught an 80-yard TD pass, and the Rams made the playoffs, while the Colts, who were unbeaten going into the last game of the season, did not. Three years later, in 1970, they started with Wild Card teams, so that would never happen again.

— Cincinnati Bengals’ first drive in their last four games:
Week 6- 11 plays, 64 yards, TD
Week 7- 13 plays, 69 yards, TD
Week 8- 10 plays, 85 yards, TD
Week 9- 9 plays, 76 yards, TD
In other words, Joe Burrow is healthy again.

— Teams are 1-6 SU/0-7 ATS the week after playing the Cowboys.

— Tommy DeVito will start at QB for the Giants Sunday, the 10th rookie QB to start a game this season, setting an NFL record.
Sunday, Giants/Vikings are both starting a different QB for the third week in a row, first time that has happened in the NFL since 2015.

— Last 11 times they were an underdog, New England is 1-10 against the spread.

— Texas Rangers’ SS Marcus Semien batted 835 times this year (regular season and playoffs), the most times a player has ever batted in one season.

— Los Angeles Angels named Ron Washington their new manager; Washington used to be the Texas Rangers’ manager- he went 664-611 in eight seasons with Texas, winning an AL pennant in both 2010, 2011.

— Word of the Day: Charlatan— a person falsely claiming to have a special knowledge or skill; a fraud.

— Presbyterian 68, Vanderbilt 62
Horrendous loss for SEC’s Vandy; they led by 10 late in first half.
Presbyterian was 5-27 last year, losing their last 18 games.
Vandy starts three seniors; they were 8-33 on the arc.

— Ball State 20, Northern Illinois 17
Cardinals scored 10 points in last 3:44 for the upset win.
Ball State kicked a 36-yard FG at the gun.
Cardinals were 10-18 on third down, NIU was 3-10

— Western Michigan 38, Central Michigan 28
WMU outscored the Chippewas 17-0 in 4th quarter.
Four of Broncos’ five TD’s were on plays of 22+ yards.
WMU averaged 9.3 yards/pass attempt.

— Ohio U 20, Buffalo 10
Buffalo led 3-0 at halftime.
Bobcats are 6-0 when they score 17+ points.
under Albin, Bobcats are 5-2 ATS as a road favorite.

— Miami OH 19, Akron 0
Miami outrushed the Zips, 186-36.
Red Hawks improve to 8-2 this season.
Akron is 0-7 when they score less than 24 points.

— Bowling Green 49, Kent State 19
6-4 Falcons won their fourth game in a row.
First time since 2017 that BG covered as a road favorite.
Kent State is 0-9 this year against I-A teams.

— Toledo 49, Eastern Michigan 23
9-1 Rockets led 35-3 at halftime.
Only 7 of Toledo’s 60 plays came on third down.
Toledo averaged 15.1 yards/pass attempt.

— Denver Nuggets’ star Jamal Murray (hamstring) is out 3-4 weeks.

— Auburn-Baylor basketball game Tuesday night was high level, the kind of game you see in the Final Four. Two very good teams, who both got better by not playing a stiff to start their season.
 

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THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 9

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CAR at CHI08:15 PMCAR +3.0
U 38.0
+500 +500
 

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NFL NOVEMBER BEST BETS !

11/09/2023...............................1 - 0 - 1.............................100.00%.........................+ 5.00
11/06/2023...............................0 - 2 - 0..............................00.00%...........................- 11.00
11/05/2023............................12 - 5 - 0..............................70.58%...........................+ 32.50
11/02/2023..............................2 - 0 - 0.............................100.00%..........................+ 10.00

TOTALS....................................15 - 7 - 1............................. 68.18%...........................+ 36.50
 

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Friday’s 6-pack:
Last six rookies to win a Silver Slugger Award:
2023- Gunnar Henderson, UT
2022- Julio Rodriguez, OF
2017- Aaron Judge, OF
2016- Corey Seager, SS
2014- Jose Abreu, 1B
2012- Mike Trout, OF

Quote of the Day
“There was a lot of people who worked really hard alongside me. … I am really thankful for the four years I got, coming from zero coaching experience to getting the chance to manage such a great organization that has impacted my life in a great way. There’s great people there. I really don’t have a whole lot negative to say, to be honest. I get mad from time to time but I have a lot to be thankful for.”
Former Cubs manager David Ross

Friday’s quiz
Since 1985, who is the only Chicago Bears’ QB to play in a Pro Bowl?

Thursday’s quiz
Spurs coach Gregg Popovich is a graduate of the Air Force Academy.

Wednesday’s quiz
Shaquille O’Neal played his college basketball at LSU.

****************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

Bears 16, Panthers 13
Former Bear Ihmir Smith-Marsette ran a punt back 79 yards for a TD.
Carolina led 10-9 at halftime- they didn’t score a TD on offense.
Carolina in 2nd half: 35 plays, 91 yards, 3 points.
Panthers ran ball 16 times for only 43 yards.
Chicago’s only TD drive was 38 yards; they took lead for good in third quarter.
Total yardage was 295-213, Chicago
Bears were 6-15 on third down, Carolina 3-15.
Four of last five Chicago games stayed under the total.

— Bears, by the way, have Carolina’s first round pick next spring, plus their own, so there is a decent chance they could get the first two picks in the 2024 Draft. Would they move on from Justin Fields and draft Caleb Williams, or trade one/both of the picks for a boatload of picks/players, to rebuild their roster around Fields?

— James Madison 113, Kent State 108, 2 OT’s
JMU scored five points in last 0:02 of regulation to force overtime.
Dukes made 17-35 on the arc, Kent State 11-28
Golden Flashes were 35-48 on foul line, JMU 24-36.
James Madison upset Michigan State in their opener; great start for the Dukes.

— Cal-Davis 79, Pepperdine 78
Ty Johnson scored 28 points, scoring the game-winning hoop with 0:00.8 left.
Pepperdine led this game 50-31 early in second half.
If you like college basketball, you need to get ESPN+; there are a ton of games on there, from all over the country. This was a fun game to watch, fast-paced action.

— While we’re on college hoop, it is really, really tough to wager on early season games; lot of teams have totally rebuilt their rosters. Their coaches don’t even know what they have; how are we supposed to know?
Plus, NCAA is still deciding on whether some transfers are eligible; Cal Bears just got one of their players declared eligible this week, which is a big help to them.
Was watching Western Kentucky-Wichita State game; two new head coaches, the game was like a rock fight, everyone getting used to each other. Very difficult game to handicap.

— Dayton Flyers lost a good player, Malachi Smith, for the season with a knee injury; Gonzaga also lost a good player for the season- Steele Venters, with a knee injury.

— Word of the Day: Pinnacle— the most successful point, the high point.
Pinnacle is not to be confused with Pinochle, a card game for two or more players using a 48-card deck consisting of two of each card from nine to ace, the object being to score points for various combinations and to win tricks.

— Bryce Harper is going to be the Phillies 1B going forward, which means Rhys Hoskins will be playing elsewhere next season. Hoskins missed 2023 with an injury but he’ll be starting for someone in 2024- he hit 57 homers in 2021-22.

— From 1985-2015, Kentucky’s football team went to only eight bowl games; this year, Mark Stoops’ Wildcats are headed to their 8th straight bowl, which is impressive.
Granted, there are more bowls now than there were in the 80’s, but winning consistently in a league as tough as the SEC is nothing to sneeze at.

— Texas Longhorns’ QB Quinn Ewers will return from injury this week and start against TCU.

— San Diego Padres are going to have assistant farm director Mike Daly manage their AAA farm team next year. Daly has never coached at the professional level; this is unusual.
San Diego still hasn’t chosen a replacement for manager Bob Melvin at the major league level.

— Relief pitcher Will Smith pitched for the Rangers, Astros, Braves the last three years; he is the first player in pro sports history (MLB, NFL, NBA, NHL) to play in at least one game for three different franchises in consecutive seasons who all won a championship.

— Atlanta 120, Orlando 119
Dejounte Murray hit the game-winning 3-pointer for Atlanta.
Trae Young scored 41 points for the Hawks.
Game was played in Mexico City.

— Indiana 126, Milwaukee 124— Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 50 points, had 12 rebounds, but Milwaukee was minus-8 in the 12:00 he was on the bench.
Indiana shot 20-48 on the arc, as they improve to 6-3.

— Louisville 31, Virginia 24
Louisville had TD plays of 52, 73 yards in last 6:20 of game.
Virginia had taken a 21-14 lead by virtue of two defensive TD’s.
Louisville is 9-1; 2-8 Virginia had 13 penalties for 100 yards.

— Southern Miss 34, Louisiana 31 OT
Southern Miss drove 75 yards, tied game on a TD with 1:26 left.
USM was 9-18 on third down, Louisiana was 4-15.
Golden Eagles were an 8.5-point underdog; they ran ball for 229 yards.
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Six most valuable NHL franchises:
$2.65B— Toronto Maple Leafs
$2.45B— New York Rangers
$2.27B— Montreal Canadiens
$1.64B— Chicago Blackhawks
$1.78B— Boston Bruins
$1.72B— Los Angeles Kings

Quote of the Day
“I love playing this game, I love competing. I love being in the locker room with the guys. I’ll never get that again, so I want to make sure I get as many opportunities to do that as I can. I love this team, I love the city, it’s been a blast. Obviously, had a bunch of success in our first year and trying to duplicate that either this year, next year, whenever it is. But, I enjoy playing too much to hang it up.”
Rams’ QB Matthew Stafford

Saturday’s quiz
Which current NBA franchise used to be known as the Cincinnati Royals?

Friday’s quiz
Since 1985, Mitch Trubisky (2018) is the only Chicago Bears’ QB to play in a Pro Bowl.

Thursday’s quiz
Spurs coach Gregg Popovich is a graduate of the Air Force Academy.

*************************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

— Michigan football coach Jim Harbaugh has been suspended for three games, as a result of the sign-stealing shenanigans involving the Wolverines. Michigan responded with a temporary restraining order request against the Big 14; by the time you read this, the lawyers will have billed a few more hours and the judge will have made a decision.
Michigan’s next three games are Penn State, Maryland, Ohio State, big games.

— Arizona 78, Duke 73
All five Arizona starters scored scored between 11-14 points.
Wildcats out-rebounded Duke, 45-33.
High-level game; these teams play in Tucson next year.

— Memphis 70, Missouri 55
Mizzou led this game 33-26 at half, got outscored 44-22 in second half.
Mizzou shot 32.1% from floor, 6-28 on arc.
Memphis out-rebounded Mizzou, 47-33.

— Missouri has a guard named Caleb Grill, who has had an interesting career:
2020— Iowa State- Cyclones were 12-20 that year.
2021— UNLV— Rebels went 12-15, the coach quit and bolted to Iowa State, where he used to be an assistant.
2022— Iowa State— back to the Cyclones with the coach- they went 22-13, made Sweet 16.
2023— Iowa State— Cyclones went 19-14, after a 13-2 start.
2024— Missouri— he’s scored 21 points in the Tigers’ first two games.

— Texas A&M 73, Ohio State 66
SEC is supposed to be loaded this year; this game is a good example of this.

— Tennessee 80, Wisconsin 70
Another good game for the SEC, a solid road win.

— Uh-oh scores— games that could signal a long year for the losers:
Chattanooga 81, Louisville 71
Nicholls State 68, LSU 66
Monmouth 73, West Virginia 65


— Word of the Day: Litigation— the process of taking legal action.

— SMU 45, North Texas 21
Mustangs led 17-14 at halftime.
8-0 Mustangs ran ball 58 times for 318 yards, threw for 234 more.

— Princeton 74, Hofstra 67— Good start for Tigers, beating Rutgers/Hofstra this week, as they look to build on their Sweet 16 appearance last year.

— Oregon State 81, Troy 80, 2OT
Trojans had 23 turnovers, OSU had 21.
Beavers were 26-39 on foul line, Troy was 22-29.

— Surprising Item of the Day: Baseball announcer Jason Benetti, who grew up in Chicago as a big White Sox fan, is jumping from the White Sox to the Detroit Tigers. Very surprising, and disappointing for White Sox fans, because Benetti/Steve Stone were a great team.
There are rumors that White Sox owner Jerry Reinsdorf isn’t a fan of Benetti’s, which fueled his departure, but Benetti is an awesome announcer. Born with cerebral palsy, he graduated from Syracuse, then he got a law degree from Wake Forest while broadcasting minor-league ball.
He also works on a national stage for football/basketball, hard to believe someone wouldn’t want him to be their announcer. Friday was a good day for Detroit Tiger fans.

— QB Kyler Murray is starting for the Cardinals, his first action since tearing up his knee last year. Arizona went 1-13 in the fourteen games since Murray got hurt.

— Oakland A’s claimed 3B/OF Miguel Andujar off waivers from Pittsburgh, a good move. Andujar had a .776 OPS in 30 games with the Pirates last year.

— If you like to bet NBA first half props, the Lakers are now 0-9 ATS in the first half of their games this season.

— 76era G Tyrese Maxey is the only NBA player this season who has two games with 10+ assists and no turnovers.

— Random trivia; on the great old TV show M*A*S*H, the actors wore dog tags, because their characters were in the Army. Some of the characters wore their own dog tags, from when they were in the service, but the star of the show, Alan Alda, wore two dog tags from real soldiers who served in wars.
Years later, those dog tags and the boots Alda wore on the show sold at an auction for $125,000, with the proceeds going to charity.
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Six most valuable NHL franchises:
$2.65B— Toronto Maple Leafs
$2.45B— New York Rangers
$2.27B— Montreal Canadiens
$1.64B— Chicago Blackhawks
$1.78B— Boston Bruins
$1.72B— Los Angeles Kings

Quote of the Day
“I love playing this game, I love competing. I love being in the locker room with the guys. I’ll never get that again, so I want to make sure I get as many opportunities to do that as I can. I love this team, I love the city, it’s been a blast. Obviously, had a bunch of success in our first year and trying to duplicate that either this year, next year, whenever it is. But, I enjoy playing too much to hang it up.”
Rams’ QB Matthew Stafford

Saturday’s quiz
Which current NBA franchise used to be known as the Cincinnati Royals?

Friday’s quiz
Since 1985, Mitch Trubisky (2018) is the only Chicago Bears’ QB to play in a Pro Bowl.

Thursday’s quiz
Spurs coach Gregg Popovich is a graduate of the Air Force Academy.

***********************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

— Michigan football coach Jim Harbaugh has been suspended for three games, as a result of the sign-stealing shenanigans involving the Wolverines. Michigan responded with a temporary restraining order request against the Big 14; by the time you read this, the lawyers will have billed a few more hours and the judge will have made a decision.
Michigan’s next three games are Penn State, Maryland, Ohio State, big games.

— Arizona 78, Duke 73
All five Arizona starters scored scored between 11-14 points.
Wildcats out-rebounded Duke, 45-33.
High-level game; these teams play in Tucson next year.

— Memphis 70, Missouri 55
Mizzou led this game 33-26 at half, got outscored 44-22 in second half.
Mizzou shot 32.1% from floor, 6-28 on arc.
Memphis out-rebounded Mizzou, 47-33.

— Missouri has a guard named Caleb Grill, who has had an interesting career:
2020— Iowa State- Cyclones were 12-20 that year.
2021— UNLV— Rebels went 12-15, the coach quit and bolted to Iowa State, where he used to be an assistant.
2022— Iowa State— back to the Cyclones with the coach- they went 22-13, made Sweet 16.
2023— Iowa State— Cyclones went 19-14, after a 13-2 start.
2024— Missouri— he’s scored 21 points in the Tigers’ first two games.

— Texas A&M 73, Ohio State 66
SEC is supposed to be loaded this year; this game is a good example of this.

— Tennessee 80, Wisconsin 70
Another good game for the SEC, a solid road win.

— Uh-oh scores— games that could signal a long year for the losers:
Chattanooga 81, Louisville 71
Nicholls State 68, LSU 66
Monmouth 73, West Virginia 65


— Word of the Day: Litigation— the process of taking legal action.

— SMU 45, North Texas 21
Mustangs led 17-14 at halftime.
8-0 Mustangs ran ball 58 times for 318 yards, threw for 234 more.

— Princeton 74, Hofstra 67— Good start for Tigers, beating Rutgers/Hofstra this week, as they look to build on their Sweet 16 appearance last year.

— Oregon State 81, Troy 80, 2OT
Trojans had 23 turnovers, OSU had 21.
Beavers were 26-39 on foul line, Troy was 22-29.

— Surprising Item of the Day: Baseball announcer Jason Benetti, who grew up in Chicago as a big White Sox fan, is jumping from the White Sox to the Detroit Tigers. Very surprising, and disappointing for White Sox fans, because Benetti/Steve Stone were a great team.
There are rumors that White Sox owner Jerry Reinsdorf isn’t a fan of Benetti’s, which fueled his departure, but Benetti is an awesome announcer. Born with cerebral palsy, he graduated from Syracuse, then he got a law degree from Wake Forest while broadcasting minor-league ball.
He also works on a national stage for football/basketball, hard to believe someone wouldn’t want him to be their announcer. Friday was a good day for Detroit Tiger fans.

— QB Kyler Murray is starting for the Cardinals, his first action since tearing up his knee last year. Arizona went 1-13 in the fourteen games since Murray got hurt.

— Oakland A’s claimed 3B/OF Miguel Andujar off waivers from Pittsburgh, a good move. Andujar had a .776 OPS in 30 games with the Pirates last year.

— If you like to bet NBA first half props, the Lakers are now 0-9 ATS in the first half of their games this season.

— 76era G Tyrese Maxey is the only NBA player this season who has two games with 10+ assists and no turnovers.

— Random trivia; on the great old TV show M*A*S*H, the actors wore dog tags, because their characters were in the Army. Some of the characters wore their own dog tags, from when they were in the service, but the star of the show, Alan Alda, wore two dog tags from real soldiers who served in wars.
Years later, those dog tags and the boots Alda wore on the show sold at an auction for $125,000, with the proceeds going to charity.
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Long Beach State 77, DePaul 73- DePaul called four timeouts in first 15:00.
— Toledo 87, Louisiana 78- Rockets trailed by 16 with 12:41 left to play.
— Holy Cross 68, Georgetown 67- Hoyas led by 11 with 8:07 left.
— Wofford 99, High Point 98- Panthers were 39-48 on foul line, but still lost.
— Bradley 72, Utah State 66 OT- Teams combined to shoot 13-55 on the arc.
— Western Carolina 71, Notre Dame 61- Could be a long winter in South Bend.

Quote of the Day
“”One of the most poorly officiated games I’ve ever seen. Record it. I’m fine with it. F—ing atrocious………Our team is competing their asses off — competing their asses off. And this is what happens? The interactions right now with the officials? Complete disrespect. I know what’s coming. It’s unbelievable…….”
Memphis Grizzlies coach Taylor Jenkins, after Friday’s loss

Sunday’s quiz
Where did the Memphis Grizzlies call home, before they moved to Tennessee?

Saturday’s quiz
Sacramento Kings used to be known as the Cincinnati Royals, then the Kansas City Kings, then the Kansas City-Omaha Kings, before they moved to Sacramento. They were also known as the Rochester Royals, before they moved to Cincinnati.

Friday’s quiz
Since 1985, Mitch Trubisky (2018) is the only Chicago Bears’ QB to play in a Pro Bowl.

*******************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..

— LSU 52, Florida 35
LSU QB Daniels had a pretty good day:
17-26/372 passing, with three TD passes
12 rushes, 234 yards, two more TD’s
Total: 606 yards, five TD’s. Not bad.

— Central Florida 45, Oklahoma State 3
Iowa State 45, BYU 13
This year, UCF, BYU, Houston, Cincinnati joined the Big X. Here is how they’re doing in Big X teams against the pre-existing members of the league:
BYU: 1-5 SU/ATS, outscored by combined 168-78
UCF: 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS, outscored by combined 206-190
Cincinnati: 0-4 SU/ATS, outscored by combined 127-58
Houston: 2-4 SU/3-3 ATS, outscored by combined 220-129.
Total: 4-18 SU/6-16 ATS, outscored by combined 721-455 (average score 40-25)

— Michigan 24, Penn State 15
Wolverines ran ball 46 times for 227 yards.
Michigan threw one pass in 2nd half; that play was nullified by a penalty.
Penn State lost its last six games vs Ohio State/Michigan; during that same time, they’re 21-3 against everyone else.

— Oregon 36, USC 27
Ducks led 22-14 at halftime.
USC lost four of its last five games, after a 6-0 start.
Trojans allowed 301 points in their last seven games (43.0 ppg).

— Missouri 36, Tennessee 7
Tigers are a very quiet 8-2 team.
Mizzou ran ball 51 times for 255 yards.
Tigers converted 11-17 third down plays.

— Washington 35, Utah 28
Utes led 28-24 at the half, didn’t score in second half.
Huskies’ QB Penix was 24-42/332 passing, with two TD’s.
Washington is 10-0, 7-0 in the last season for the Pac-12.
Genius alert— Washington was a 9.5-point favorite; they were leading 33-28 late in the third quarter when they appeared to score on a pick-6, but the DB who picked off the pass had to celebrate early- he dropped the ball on the 2-yard line, and a Utah player fell on the ball.
Oy.
Washington scored on a safety on the next play; there was no scoring in the 4th quarter.

— Florida State 27, Miami 20
Florida State improves to 10-0, 8-0 in the ACC.
Game was 10-10 at halftime.
Seminoles get their third straight win in this rivalry.
Miami completed only 10-30 passes; they did have an 85-yard TD pass.

— North Carolina 47, Duke 45 OT
Tar Heels led 26-14 with 10:00 left in regulation.
UNC needed a 43-yard FG at the gun to force overtime.
Carolina was 11-19 on third down, Duke 5-15.

Upsets of the Week:
Arizona State (+17) 17, UCLA 7
Northwestern (+11) 24, Wisconsin 10
Arizona (+10.5) 34, Colorado 31
Southern Miss (+10) 34, Louisiana 31, OT
Ball State (+9.5) 20, Northern Illinois 17
East Carolina (+7.5) 22, Florida Atlantic 7
Sam Houston State (+7.5) 42, Louisiana Tech 27

Word of the Day: Chicanery— use of trickery to achieve a financial, political, or legal purpose.

— Illinois 48, Indiana 45 OT
Backup QB Paddock was 24-36/507 passing, with 4 TD’s.
Chances are he isn’t the backup anymore.
Indiana tied game on a 26-yard TD pass with 0:28 left.
Illini overcame 14 penalties for 139 yards.
Total yardage: 662-451, Illinois

— Arizona 34, Colorado 31
Wildcats outscored Colorado 10-0 in 4th quarter.
Arizona ran ball 27 times for 207 yards.
Colorado has lost six of last seven games, after a 3-0 start.

— Iowa 22, Rutgers 0
Yet another Iowa game stays under the total.
Hawkeyes are 8-2, lead Big 14 West by two games.
Total yardage was 223-93, Iowa.
Hawkeyes didn’t have a penalty the whole game.

— Texas Tech 16, Kansas 13
Tech led 13-0 after three quarters.
Kansas tied game 13-13 with 0:25 left.
Red Raiders drove 63 yards in four plays, kicked 30-yard FG at the gun.
Kansas QB Bean got hurt; 3rd-string QB Ballard played most of game.

— New Mexico State 38, Western Kentucky 29
From 2018-21, Aggies were 8-30.
In 1.5 years under coach Jerry Kill, Aggies are 15-9; they’ve won six in a row.
Hilltoppers led this game 21-17 at halftime.
Aggies ran ball for 220 yards, 6.1 yards/carry.

— James Madison 44, UConn 6— JMU is 10-0 this season, but they can’t play in a bowl, which is too bad- they’re 18-3 the last two years.
NCAA has a rule that says any school reclassifying to the I-A level cannot play in a bowl for two years; this is JMU’s second year in I-A, so unless someone in charge comes to their senses and let the Dukes go bowling, they’ll be home for the holidays.

— Memphis 44, Charlotte 38, OT
Charlotte led 38-28 with 6:00 left in the game.
Memphis forced OT on a 41-yard FG with 0:35 left in regulation.
Tigers were 7-13 on third down, Charlotte was 4-12.
Both teams turned ball over four times.

— Former Georgia QB Stetson Bennett was a 4th round pick of the LA Rams this year; he is on the non-football injury list, has been among the missing since the summer, but he showed up in Athens Saturday night for the Ole Miss-Georgia game.

— Speaking of Stetson, UNLV’s basketball team beat the Stetson Hatters 71-55; Rebels retired the #12 of Anderson Hunt, a really good guard on their 1990 national championship team.
 

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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 12

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
GB at PIT01:00 PMGB +3.5
O 38.5
+500 +500
CLE at BAL01:00 PMCLE +6.0
O 38.0
+500 +500
NO at MIN01:00 PMMIN +3.0
O 41.0
+500 +500
SF at JAC01:00 PMSF -3.0
U 44.5
+500 +500
TEN at TB01:00 PMTEN +2.5
O 39.0
+500 +500
HOU at CIN01:00 PMCIN -5.5
U 45.5
+500 +500
ATL at ARI04:05 PMATL -2.0
U 43.5
+500 +500
DET at LAC04:05 PMDET -2.5
U 49.0
+500 +500
WAS at SEA04:25 PMSEA -6.0
U 44.0
+500 +500
NYG at DAL04:25 PMNYG +17.5
O 38.5
+500 +500
NYJ at LV08:20 PMLV +1.0
U 36.0
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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NFL NOVEMBER BEST BETS !

11/12/2023..............................8 - 7 - 0...............................53.33%.........................+ 1.50
11/09/2023.............................1 - 0 - 1.............................100.00%.........................+ 5.00
11/06/2023.............................0 - 2 - 0..............................00.00%..........................- 11.00
11/05/2023............................12 - 5 - 0..............................70.58%.........................+ 32.50
11/02/2023..............................2 - 0 - 0.............................100.00%........................+ 10.00

TOTALS................................23 - 14 - 1............................. 62.16%.........................+ 38.00
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— Clemson 68, Davidson 65- Tigers trailed 23-5 early, rally to win Asheville tourney.
— UAB 66, Maryland 63- Disappointing weekend for Terps; 0-2 in Asheville.
— Weber State 61, Saint Mary’s 57- Favored Gaels led by 16 with 13:48 left.
— Boise State 63, San Francisco 58- Boise survived going 12-23 on foul line.
— Yale 83, LMU 80- Visiting Bulldogs outscored LMU 24-13 on foul line.
— Nevada 83, Washington 76- Steve Alford’s Wolf Pack never trailed.

Quote of the Day
“I’m sure in his head he (Dan Campbell) didn’t want to give Justin (Herbert) the ball back with a minute and a half (left). It’s a lot of fun when he puts the ball in our hands to make a play.”
Lions’ QB Jared Goff

Monday’s quiz
Who was coach of the Patriots before Bill Belichick?

Sunday’s quiz
Memphis Grizzlies called Vancouver home, before they moved to Tennessee.

Saturday’s quiz
Sacramento Kings used to be known as the Cincinnati Royals, then the Kansas City Kings, then the Kansas City-Omaha Kings, before they moved to Sacramento. They were also known as the Rochester Royals, before they moved to Cincinnati.

***************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..Happy Felix Unger Day!!!!

“On November 13, Felix Unger was asked to leave his place of residence; that request came from his wife……..”
So began one of the funniest TV shows ever, The Odd Couple, which ran on TV from 1970-75, then for many, many years on re-runs.
Spent many an hour watching re-runs of Felix and Oscar when I was a teenager; my dad would come home from work and would roll his eyes at how much I enjoyed The Odd Couple and M*A*S*H re-runs, but he would laugh at those shows, too.
So happy Felix Unger Day and remember, there’s no such thing as a sure thing, that’s why they call it gambling.

Lions 41, Chargers 38
— Lions drove 53 yards, kicked 41-yard FG to win game with 0:02 left.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 30-12-1 ATS overall.
— Lions won/covered six of its last seven games.
— Goff is 63-50-1 as an NFL starter, 19-19-1 with the Lions.
— Chargers’ first four drives: 16 plays, 60 yards, 3 points.
— Chargers’ last five drives: 53 plays, 385 yards, 35 points.
— Detroit outgained the Chargers, 533-445.
— This year, Bolts are 0-4 in games decided by 3 or fewer points.

Cardinals 25, Falcons 23
— Falcons lost four of their last five games (underdogs 5-0 ATS)
— Falcons were 7-14 on third down, Arizona 3-12.
— since 2017, Atlanta is 5-10 ATS as a road favorite
— Last two games, Atlanta was 17-32 on third down.
— Cardinals drove 70 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 0:02 left.
— QB Murray was 19-32/249 passing in his first start in 11 months.
— Arizona is 4-1 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Murray is now 26-32-1 as an NFL starter; Arizona was 1-13 in his absence.

Seahawks 29, Commanders 26 OT
— Washington tied game on 35-yard TD pass with 0:52 left.
— Seattle drove 50 yards, kicked GW 43-yard FG with 0:03 left.
— Commanders are 5-0 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— Washington team total: 7-3 over; opponents’ team total: over 7-3
— Seattle is 6-0 if it scores 20+ points, 0-3 if it doesn’t.
— Seahawks’ first seven drives: 46 plays, 216 yards, 9 points.
— Seahawks’ last five drives: 33 plays, 258 yards, 20 points.
— Seattle is 17-23-3 ATS in last 43 games as a home favorite (2-2-1 TY)

Browns 33, Ravens 31
— Ravens led 31-17 with 10:00 left in game.
— Browns’ last three drives: 35 plays, 199 yards, 16 points.
— Browns’ team total: over 7-1-1.
— Browns are 4-1 SU since their bye week.
— Cleveland was 8-16 on third down, Ravens 2-8.
— Both QB’s threw a pick-6; Watson’s was on 3rd play of game.
— Baltimore is 1-6 ATS in last seven AFC North home games.
— Last seven games, Ravens outscored foes 125-28 in first half.

Texans 30, Bengals 27
— Texans kicked 38-yard FG with 0:05 left for the win.
— Rookie QB Stroud threw for 356 yards (8.9 yards/attempt)
— Houston won five of its last seven games (5-2 ATS)
— Texans are 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
— Houston outgained the Bengals, 544-380.
— Cincy trailed 27-17, tied game 27-27 on FG with 1:37 left.
— Loss snaps Cincinnati’s 4-game winning streak.
— Last five games, Bengals are +8 in turnovers. (13-5)

Colts 10, Patriots 6
— Colts drove 75 yards for TD on their opening drive, game’s only TD.
— Indy is 11-6 ATS last 17 games as an underdog away from home.
— Colts won/covered four of their five road games TY.
— Colts allowed 20 or less points in wins, 29+ in losses.
— 3rd game this year New England didn’t score a TD on offense.
— Patriots lost six of their last seven games (1-6 ATS).
— NE is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog.
— In his career, Belichick is 82-98 without Brady.

49ers 34, Jaguars 3
— 49ers scored 30+ points in all six of their wins.
— 49ers outgained Jacksonville, 437-221.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 13-4 as NFL starter.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Jaguars’ first four drives: 16 plays, 33 yards, 3 punts, one fumble
— San Francisco led 13-3 at halftime.
— Jags’ first 3 drives in 2nd half: 19 plays, 101 yards, 3 turnovers.
— Jaguars are 0-3 when they score less than 20 points.

Vikings 27, Saints 19
— Minnesota outgained the Saints, 388-280.
— New Orleans averaged only 4.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Last six weeks, Saints outscored foes 77-30 in second half.
— New Orleans is 4-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-4 scoring less than 20.
— Vikings led 24-3 at halftime.
— Vikings’ first six drives: 45 plays, 331 yards, 27 points.
— Minnesota has 11 takeaways in last five games (+6)
— Minnesota won/covered last five games, scoring 19-22-24-31-27 points.

Steelers 23, Packers 19
— Green Bay’s first three drives: 20 plays, 151 yards, 13 points.
— Last six games, Packers were outscored 93-29 in first half.
— Green Bay is 1-7 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Green Bay has 12 giveaways in last six games (minus-7).
— Steelers have been outgained in every game, but they’re 6-3.
— Steelers won/covered four of their last five games.
— Pittsburgh is 6-0 when it scores 17+ points.
— Pitt is 31-16-1 ATS in last 48 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.

Buccaneers 20, Titans 6
— Titans lost four of their last five games.
— Tennessee is 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS in true road games.
— Titans are 0-6 scoring less than 27 points.
— Tampa Bay outgained the Titans, 340-209.
— Bucs’ first three drives: 12 plays, 39 yards, no points.
— Bucs’ next five drives: 44 plays, 304 yards, 20 points.
— Tampa’s two TD’s were on TD passes of 43-22 yards.
— Under is 7-2 in Tampa Bay’s games this season.

Cowboys 49, Giants 17
— Dallas beat the Giants twice this year, 40-0/49-17.
— Cowboys are 14-5 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite (4-0 TY)
— Prescott was 26-35/404 passing, with 4 TD passes.
— Six Dallas wins are by a combined score of 171-50 (37-11 average).
— Giants’ first seven drives: 24 plays, 20 yards, no points.
— Giants were 0-12 on third down, Dallas 6-12.
— Giants are averaging only 259.1 yards/game this season.
— Giants are 1-7 SU/2-5-1 ATS in last eight games, scoring 10.8 ppg.

Raiders 16, Jets 12
— Jets’ first three drives: 25 plays, 103 yards, three field goals.
— Jets rest of game: 38 plays, 262 yards, one field goal.
— Jets’ 6.1 yards/pass attempt was their best this season.
— Jets are 5-10-1 ATS in last 16 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Las Vegas won last four home games, giving up 13-17-6-12 points.
— Raiders’ team total: under 9-1; opponents’ team total: under 7-3
— Last four games, Las Vegas is 14-47 on third down.
— Under is 8-2 in Raider games this season.
 

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MONDAY, NOVEMBER 13

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
DEN at BUF08:15 PMDEN +7.5
U 47.5
+500 +500
 

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