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Tuesday, March 4

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Do good ATS teams make good NCAA bracket picks?
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March Madness is one of the biggest events for sports bettors, whether it’s cashing in on a Cinderella team against the spread or correctly navigating your NCAA bracket pool. Those two things may go hand-in hand.

Can ATS success transition into a good tournament team? We asked some of Covers Experts’ sharpest NCAAB handicappers to see what a teams’ ATS record can tell us about their NCAA tournament potential.

ATS and the Final Four

It's safe to say that when it comes to filling out your Final Four you should feel comfortable picking schools with strong ATS records.

Ten of the last 12 programs to make the Final Four have had ATS records of .500 or better that season. Only Kentucky (16-22 ATS) in 2012 and VCU (18-21 ATS) in 2011 have had losing records against the spread and made a run to the Final Four.

With that in mind, top teams - and top breadwinners - like Wichita State (21-6-1 ATS), Villanova (19-8 ATS), Southern Methodist (17-8 ATS), and Virginia (16-9-1 ATS) could all be smart picks to go deep in the tournament this year.


ATS record on the road

While a terrific ATS record isn’t always a clear indicator of just how well a team will do come tourney time, breaking down that success against the spread may give hints of how tough a program is when faced with adversity. Looking at the ATS record on the road can give you an idea of a team's resolve.

"I am very interested in a team's ATS record away from home against quality foes - say, teams that made the Big Dance or even teams that made the Big Dance or NIT, CIT or CBI,” says Teddy Covers. "Teams with good ATS records in that particular subset are most assuredly teams I'd be looking to pick in my bracket as well."

This year's road ATS kings with chances of going deep in the tournament include Michigan State (8-2 ATS), Wichita State (11-1 ATS), and New Mexico (6-2 ATS).


Overrated/Underrated ATS teams

Sometimes a bad ATS record can be just as informative as a good one when penciling in your bracket picks. Chasing trends and hot streaks come March Madness can often lead basketball fans in the wrong direction.

Covers' Expert Steve Merril treats the regular and postseason as two separate entities and believes that you can find some sleeper tournament teams amongst those that fell short of the oddsmakers’ expectations during conference play. These programs are usually good enough to make the cut Selection Sunday and view the tournament as a “new season”. In fact, Merril sees great opportunity to bet against teams on long ATS streaks during March Madness.

"If anything, I would look to play against teams with good ATS records as they have probably become a bit overrated, especially from a handicapping perspective," he says. "In fact, teams on a 3-0 SU and ATS run have been a long-term losing play in the NCAA tournament."

Whichever way you look at it, ATS records can be a significant part of the evaluation process when filling out your NCAA bracket. If you can find the right trends at the right time, you may just get an edge on your opponents in your bracket pool and avoid the upset at the sportsbook.
 
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Tuesday, March 4

Tar Heels still hot SU, but cooled off for bettors

For a recent stretch, North Carolina was arguably not only the hottest team on the floor, but also at the betting window. The Tar Heels peeled off a 9-0 SU and ATS streak that included key home wins over archrival Duke and Pittsburgh, and a trio of road wins and covers in ACC play.

Carolina is still hot SU, winning its last three games to stretch its streak to 12 in a row. But the Heels have lost their touch at the betting window, dropping their last three, including Monday’s 63-61 squeaker over visiting Notre Dame, with Carolina a 12-point chalk.


Slumping Syracuse a big fave vs Georgia Tech

Syracuse was undefeated all the way up until Feb. 19, when Boston College dealt the Orange a shocking 62-59 upset home loss. The ‘Cuse has dumped three of its last four SU after Saturday’s 75-56 road beatdown at the hands of Virginia, and the Orange haven’t cashed since Feb. 12, going 0-4-1 ATS following a 58-56 win at Pittsburgh as a 2-point pup.

The Orange (26-3 SU, 13-10-2 ATS) are home tonight against struggling Georgia Tech (13-16 SU, 10-12-1 ATS), which should bode well for a SU victory. But Syracuse opened as a 15.5-point chalk, which could be tough to cover for a team that just lost by 19 and had its previous five games decided by a total of 14 points.


Smaller conferences dominate top of ATS standings

If you’re looking for the big-boy basketball schools, one place you won’t find them is in the top 10 of the ATS standings. Villanova is the only big-name program in the top 10 as conference tournament season looms.

The Wildcats (26-3 SU) are third with a 19-8 ATS mark, but every other team in the top 10 is a mid-major or even a small major, from Wichita State at No. 1 to Southern Methodist at No. 10. In between are Cleveland State, Portland, Utah, Buffalo, Texas-El Paso, Tulsa, and IUPU-Ft. Wayne.


Shockers close regular season as ATS champs

Wichita State has staked its claim to the regular-season pointspread championship. The Shockers pounded Missouri State 68-45 laying 16 points at home Saturday to finish a perfect regular season at 31-0, and they were quite impressive at the betting window too.

Wichita State went 21-6-1 ATS, cashing a whopping 77.8 percent of its games, including its last five in a row as it preps for the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament later this week in St. Louis. No other team has enough regular-season games remaining to catch the Shockers.


Kansas C Embiid out with back injury

Kansas freshman center Joel Embiid will sit out the team's final two regular-season games because of a back injury.

The No. 8 Jayhawks (22-7, 13-3 Big 12) play Texas Tech on Wednesday and are at West Virginia on Saturday. Kansas already won the regular-season Big 12 title.

"I think he could return for the Big 12 tournament," coach Bill Self told ESPN.com on Monday. "But it shouldn't impact the NCAA tournament."

Embiid missed Kansas' win over TCU on Feb. 15 after injuring his back. After playing the next three games, he re-injured it in the second half of Saturday's loss at Oklahoma State.

Embiid, a 7-footer, is averaging 11.2 points, 8.1 rebounds and 2.6 blocks per game. He could be the top pick in the NBA draft if he leaves school early.
 
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Short Sheet

Tuesday, March 4

IOWA ST is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after one or more consecutive overs

BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-10 ATS after playing a road game

GEORGIA TECH is 0-10 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog

N ILLINOIS is 9-0 ATS in road games after a combined score of 115 points or less

AKRON is 0-7 ATS after a combined score of 125 points or less
 
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Tuesday, March 4

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Handicapping this week's mid-major conference tournaments
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For some, March Madness doesn’t begin until Selection Sunday. For others, it starts with the big conference tournaments. But for numerous mid-major leagues around the country, March Madness starts this week with conference tournaments kicking off.

Here’s what to watch for in the mid-major conference tournaments beginning this week:

America East – March 8-15

Favorite: Vermont (21-9 SU, 3-3 ATS) – Vermont, an NCAA tournament staple that has a Cinderella moment to its name already, won the regular season title by two games. It will be looking forward to cashing in home-court advantage in the championship to do the conference double.

Upset watch: Albany (15-14 SU, ATS N/A) – Albany is the defending America East Tournament champ and will be looking to defend its title with a string of upsets.


Atlantic Sun – March 4-9

Favorite: Mercer -160 (21-8 SU, 0-2ATS) – Mercer comes into the Atlantic Sun tournament with the regular season title over Florida Gulf Coast and will be trying to avoid watching FGCU win the conference tournament and roll into the NCAA for a second year.

Upset watch: North Florida +7,000 (16-15 SU, 1-2 ATS) – The Osprey earned a 79-76 overtime win on Mercer's home court last week and are peaking at the right time.


Big South – March 5-9

Favorite: Coastal Carolina +280 (18-12 SU, 1-1 ATS) – Coastal Carolina is the winner of the South conference and has a narrow 72-70 non-conference loss to Ole Miss that shows its talent level.

Upset watch: Radford +650 (20-11 SU, 2-1 ATS) – With 20 wins, Radford has the most wins of any team in the Big South despite its 10-6 conference record.


Colonial Athletic Association – March 7-10

Favorite: Delaware +190 (22-9 SU, 14-8-1 ATS) – Delaware is 26th in the nation in scoring and is a sexy pick to be one of the Cinderella schools in the NCAA tournament. First it has to survive the Colonial tournament.

Upset watch: William & Mary +700 (18-11 SU, 15-7-1 ATS) – It’s 17th in the country from downtown and posting a solid 15-7-1 ATS mark. The Tribe are the team outside of 22-9 Delaware and Towson that could make a run in this tournament.


Horizon League – March 4-11

Favorite: Green Bay -210 (24-5 SU, 15-10 ATS) – Leading the way with leading scorer Keifer Sykes, Green Bay is the class of the Horizon League and could be a dangerous seed in the NCAA tournament in a couple of weeks.

Upset watch: Oakland +3,500 (12-19, 10-18 ATS) – Senior Travis Bader owns the NCAA career 3-point record for makes and could be a problem should he heat up this week.


MAAC – March 7-10

Favorite: Iona +165 (20-9, 14-13 ATS) – Iona clinched the regular season Metro title with a big road win over Manhattan over the weekend which edges them as the favorite over the Jaspers.

Upset watch: Canisius +525 (20-11 SU, 18-9 ATS) – While it may have lost out on the Metro regular season title by three games, Canisius hit the 20-win plateau and is in the Top 50 in many offensive categories in addition to a stellar ATS record.


Missouri Valley Conference – March 6-9

Favorite: Wichita State -400 (31-0 SU, 21-6-1 ATS) – Undefeated after the regular season, Wichita State will be looking to avoid being handed their first loss of the year in the conference tournament.

Upset watch: Indiana State +900 (21-9 SU, 11-17 ATS) – The Sycamores are considered the best challenge in the MVC to Wichita State's dominance.


Northeast Conference – March 5-11

Favorite: Robert Morris +110 (19-12 SU, 1-3 ATS) – After winning the 2013 NEC regular season title, Robert Morris failed to win the conference title for the third year after two straight championship game appearances. This year it hopes the fourth time is a charm.

Upset watch: St. Francis +750 (NY) (18-13 SU, 1-1 ATS) – St. Francis has one of the best defenses in the NEC and could be tough to break down during the conference tournament.


Ohio Valley Conference – March 5-8

Favorite: Belmont +110 (23-8 SU, 13-15 ATS) – Belmont always play a tough non-conference schedule and this year has managed to still get 23 wins, winning the OVC East by three games.

Upset watch: Morehead State +500 (19-12 SU, 11-16 ATS) – Always one of the toughest rebounding teams out there, you can never count out the fight of the Morehead State players.


Patriot League – March 3-12

Favorite: Boston University -115 (22-9 SU, 4-3 ATS) – Regular season champs, Boston University has talented all-around guard Maurice Watson Jr. who is averaging 13 points, six assists and two steals per game.

Upset watch: Bucknell +510 (16-13, 2-1 ATS) – Never count out the Bison, who did the conference double last year.


Southern Conference – March 7-10

Favorite: Davidson (19-11, 15-13 ATS) – The Wildcats remain the class of the SoCon and are once again favorites after a regular season title.

Upset watch: Elon (18-13, 11-16-ATS) – Elon handed Davidson its only conference loss this season and will be counting on that experience to prevent the Wildcats from another double.


Summit League – March 8-11

Favorite: North Dakota State (23-6, 11-13 ATS) – The Bison have the best field goal percentage in the nation at 50.1 percent and will be tough to knock off in the tournament. They are consistent as ever, winning seven straight to end the season.

Upset watch: Denver (15-14 SU, 11-13-1 ATS) – Denver is 21st in the nation from behind the 3-point line, and is the last team to knock off the Bison.


West Coast Conference – March 6-11

Favorite: Gonzaga -115 (25-6 SU, 15-13-1 ATS) – They may not be as highly regarded as they were last year, but once the Bulldogs are once again the class of the WCC heading into the tournament after a regular season title.

Upset watch: San Francisco +1,100 (20-10 SU, 15-11 ATS) – The Dons are on a five-game winning streak heading into the WCC tournament and could find a way to knock off favorites Gonzaga and BYU to shock the world and make the NCAA tournament.
 
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Tuesday, March 4


Michigan looks to continue dominance vs. Illinois

The Michigan Wolverines will try to continue their dominance over the Illinois Fighting Illini when the two teams face off Tuesday night.

In the the last six meetings between the two teams the Wolverines are 5-1 straight up and 6-0 against the spread. Michigan is listed as a 2.5-point road fave versus Illinois tonight.
 
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Florida at South Carolina

March 3, 2014


Florida will take its unbeaten SEC record and 21-game winning streak to Columbia on Tuesday night to face South Carolina.

As of early Monday night, most books had Florida (27-2 straight up, 12-12-1 against the spread) installed as a 12-point road favorite.

Billy Donovan's team blasted LSU by a 79-61 count Saturday to easily take the cash as a 12-point home 'chalk.' The win by an 18-point margin was actually a misleading final, as the Gators led by 20-plus points nearly the entire second half and by 29 at one point.

For the second straight game, Dorian Finney-Smith was UF's leading scorer as he dropped 16 points on the Tigers. Michael Frazier II and Casey Prather chipped in with 14 points apiece. Prather was in a 4-for-15 shooting slump in the two previous games, but he made 6-of-7 attempts to improve his field-goal percentage to 61.7.

After missing three consecutive games with a groin injury, UF reserve point guard Kasey Hill returned to play 21 minutes against LSU. Hill appeared to be at full speed, contributing four points, five assists and a pair of steals. Freshman center Chris Walker got the most PT he's seen since gaining eligibility, logging 14 minutes of action. Walker scored two points, grabbed six rebounds, blocked two shots and had one steal.

Frank Martin's team is coming off of the signature win of his brief two-year tenure, sending Kentucky back home with a 72-67 loss Saturday night. The Gamecocks snapped a three-game losing streak by winning outright as 10-point home underdogs. They hooked up money-line supporters with a generous payout in the +330 range (paid $330 on $100 wagers).

Brenton Williams was the catalyst with a game-high 24 points. Williams also had three steals and three assists without committing a turnover. He buried 15-of-16 attempts from the free-throw line.

Sindarius Thornwell finished with 14 points, four assists and three rebounds, while Michael Carrera added 11 points, seven boards and three blocked shots.

South Carolina (11-18 SU, 14-10-2 ATS) has won three of its last four home games. The Gamecocks have been even better at home for our purposes, compiling a 7-2-2 spread record in their last 11 games at Colonial Life Arena.

UF has struggled in its last 10 games as a double-digit favorite, going 3-6-1 ATS.

UF has won five in a row over South Carolina, going 3-2 ATS. When these SEC rivals met in Gainesville on Jan. 8, the Gators captured a 74-58 non-covering triumph as 16.5-point home favorites. The 132 combined points hit right on the total for a push.

UF senior point guard Scottie Wilbekin scored a game-high 17 points, while Tyrone Johnson led South Carolina with 12 points and six rebounds.

The 'over' is 5-1-1 in the last seven head-to-head encounters between UF and USC.

The 'under' is 14-11 overall for the Gamecocks, 6-6 in their home games. But we should note a lucrative 6-1 run of 'unders' in South Carolina games in its last seven (regardless of the venue).

The 'under' has been a major money maker in UF games dating back to last season. In the Gators' last 38 lined contests, the 'under' has cashed at a 26-11-1 clip. The 'under' is 16-8-1 overall for UF this year.

ESPNU will have the broadcast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets**

-- Most books opened Michigan as a three-point favorite for Tuesday's 7:00 p.m. Eastern tip at Illinois on ESPN. The Illini is coming off a stunning 53-46 win at Michigan St. as a 12.5-point road underdog. The 'under' has cashed in six straight Illinois games. The Illini, which has held four consecutive opponents to 49 points or less, has won three in a row and ended a five-game home losing streak with last week's win over Nebraska.

-- Kansas has already wrapped up its 10th straight Big 12 regular-season championship. Therefore, Bill Self has decided to sit freshman center Joel Embiid for KU's last two regular-season games. Embiid has been nursing a back injury that re-surfaced in Saturday's loss at Oklahoma St.

-- In its 93-67 win Saturday at Air Force, UNLV's Roscoe Smith sustained a concussion that will keep him out of Wednesday's game against San Diego St. Smith leads the Mountain West in rebounding and averages a double-double (11.0 points per game, 11.0 RPG).

-- Alabama hasn't won at Kentucky since 2006. The Crimson Tide will try to change that Tuesday night at Rupp Arena. Most spots have made UK a 13-point home favorite despite its recent slide. The Wildcats needed a horrible call to force overtime and eventually slip past LSU two Saturdays ago. Then last week, they lost at home to Arkansas before falling at South Carolina.

-- Marquette has won 10 consecutive head-to-head meetings over Providence and has taken the cash in nine straight against the Friars. Nevertheless, Providence is a 3.5-point home favorite tonight vs. the Golden Eagles.

-- The 'over' has cashed in five straight Providence games and seven of its last eight. The 'over' is on a 6-1-1 run for Marquette.

-- Pittsburgh lost outright at home to North Carolina St. as an 11.5-point favorite last night. That's not what the Panthers' resume needed. The Wolfpack's T.J. Warren dropped 41 points on Pitt.

-- Oklahoma St. has won four in a row since the return of Marcus Smart from a three-game suspension. The Cowboys pulled away from Kansas St. on Monday night and covered the number as nine-point home favorites.

-- Pitt wasn't the only bubble team to fall flat Monday night. Xavier fell victim to a letdown spot following Saturday's home win over Creighton. The Musketeers went to New Jersey and got beaten at Seton Hall, 71-62. I think Chris Mack's team is still in good shape, especially after the win over the Bluejays and a non-conference win over Xavier. But a home loss to Villanova and an early exit from the Big East Tournament could lead to anxious moments on Selection Sunday.
 
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Top 10 - Stock Watch

March 4, 2014


At this point of the season, most teams in the Top 10 will be seeded #1 in their conference tournament, but it’ll be important they finish the week off strong, gaining more impression points with the NCAA Tournament committee. With just a week left, let’s see how the teams below will fair.

1) Florida: (27-2 SU) (12-12-1 ATS) - SELL

Although they are the best team in the country, if you’ve been betting on the Gators since November, it’s been worth very little money. Florida’s last game of the regular season is against Kentucky. Will they have the motivation to win and cover?

2) Wichita State: (31-0 SU) (21-6-1 ATS) - HOLD

The Shockers finished the season with a perfect 31-0 record and more impressively covered the spread 77 percent of the time. Don’t expect this to continue in the NCAA Tournament. Oddsmakers are well aware of this stat and know the public will be very anxious to bet them. Be careful of inflated lines in both the MVC Tournament and NCAA Tournament.

3) Arizona: (27-2 SU) (18-10 ATS) - SELL

Arizona will finish out its season on the road with Oregon State and Oregon. I don’t see a lot of trouble with the Beavers, but the Ducks may need one more marquee win to solidify an invite from the committee. I’m expecting a maximum effort from Oregon this weekend.

4) Duke: (23-6 SU) (17-11-1 ATS) - BUY

Syracuse learned firsthand, how hard it is to get calls and win on Coach K Court and I believe history will repeat itself again versus North Carolina. I think the Blue Devils head into the ACC Tournament focused and prepared to become conference champions.

5) Virginia: (25-5 SU) (16-9-1 ATS) - BUY

The Cavaliers should have been in the Top 10 three weeks ago. Head coach Tony Bennett, who is known for defense has his team clicking on both ends of the court. Virginia will be a hard opponent to beat this March.

6) Villanova: (26-3 SU) (19-8 ATS) - SELL

The Wildcats will get all they can handle against Xavier this week and it may just be enough. I would tread very lightly with Villanova for the remainder of the season. I don’t expect them to be in the Top 10 come Monday.

7) Syracuse: (26-3 SU) (13-10-2 ATS) - BUY

The Orange were put through the gauntlet these last two weeks and it cost them three losses, but the good news is, the losing is over…well at least until the ACC Tournament.

8) Kansas: (22-7 SU) (14-14-1 ATS) - SELL

The Jayhawks are another team that will be tested in their last game of the regular season as they hit the road and play West Virginia. This will be a must-win game for the Mountaineers. Will Bill Self have his young team prepared to play in one of the most hostile environments in college sports?

9) Wisconsin: (24-5 SU) (16-13 ATS) - BUY

The Badgers are back in the Top 10 and they should remain with Purdue and Nebraska left on their schedule. Although Wisconsin has had its share of ups and downs this year, this is a team that knows how to win come tournament time. The Badgers are flying just enough, under the radar to surprise a lot of teams and bettors.

10) San Diego State: (25-3 SU) (15-10 ATS) – BUY

San Diego State should cruise through the week, finishing the regular season with only three losses. Steve Fisher is not foreign to postseason play. Last year they were beat in the second round by Florida Gulf Coast. I expect the Aztecs to learn from this experience and play deep into March.
 
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MARCH TOTALS:

9- 20 - 2.....................SINGLE PLAYS

8 - 4............................DOUBLE PLAYS

7 - 2.............................TRIPLE PLAYS

2- 1 ...........................CONFERENCE GOY


Tuesday, March 4

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Central Florida - 6:30 PM ET Temple -3.5 500
Temple -

Buffalo - 7:00 PMET Buffalo +2 500 *****
Akron -

Toledo - 7:00 PM ET Toledo -7.5 500
Central Michigan -

Georgia Tech - 7:00 PM ET Georgia Tech +14.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Syracuse -

Ohio - 7:00 PM ET Ohio +0 500 *****
Bowling Green -

Creighton - 7:00 PM ET Creighton -3.5 500
Georgetown -

Florida - 7:00 PM ET South Carolina +12 500 DOUBLE PLAY
South Carolina -

Northern Illinois - 7:00 PM ET Northern Illinois +9 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Western Michigan -

Ball St. - 7:00 PM ET Ball St. +13.5 500
Eastern Michigan -

Michigan - 7:00 PM ET Michigan -2.5 500
Illinois -

Iowa St. - 7:00 PM ET Baylor -3 500
Baylor -

Miami (OH) - 7:00 PM ET Miami (OH) +6 500
Kent St. -

Stetson - 7:00 PM ET Florida Gulf Coast -14.5 500
Florida Gulf Coast -

Jacksonville - 7:00 PM ET Mercer -14.5 500
Mercer -

North Florida - 7:00 PM ET South Carolina Upstate -9.5 500
South Carolina Upstate -

Lipscomb - 7:00 PM ET Lipscomb +5 500
East Tennessee St. -

Detroit - 7:00 PM ET Wis.-Milwaukee -2 500
Wis.-Milwaukee -

Youngstown St. - 7:00 PM ET Oakland -4 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Oakland -


--------------------------------------------------------------------------


Virginia Tech - 8:00 PM ET Maryland -12 500
Maryland -

Northern Colorado - 8:00 PM ET North Dakota -4 500 DOUBLE PLAY
North Dakota -

Miami-Florida - 8:00 PM ET Miami-Florida +4 500
Clemson -

Georgia St - 8:05 PM ET Georgia St +2.5 500 *****
Arkansas St. -

Illinois-Chicago - 8:05 PM ET Illinois-Chicago +10.5 500
Valparaiso -

South Florida - 8:30 PM ET Houston -6 500 *****
Houston -

Alabama - 9:00 PM ET Kentucky -13 500
Kentucky -

Florida St. - 9:00 PM ET Boston College +2 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Boston College -

Marquette - 9:00 PM ET Marquette +2.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Providence -

Arizona St. - 11:00 PM ET Oregon -7 500
Oregon -
 

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C/note...........thank you........good luck tonight............nicely done with the double and triples.............indy
 
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Thanks guys......not as good tonight.......but there's always tomorrow........w-thumbs!^
 
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ame of the Day: Louisville at SMU


Louisville Cardinals at SMU Mustangs (N/A)

Southern Methodist plays one of the most anticipated home games in school history Wednesday when defending champion Louisville pays a visit. The 18th-ranked Mustangs are 15-0 at home, including 9-0 at Moody Coliseum, which re-opened in January following a major renovation. SMU tuned up for No. 9 Louisville by defeating Central Florida 70-55 on Saturday.

"I want people to dread coming in here," SMU coach Larry Brown said after the win over the Knights. "We're not going to be able to hang with Louisville unless we have a better crowd than we had with Cincinnati, and I didn't think that was possible. But we'll see." Brown was referring to the Mustangs' 76-55 rout of the Bearcats back on Feb. 8 - part of a 12-2 stretch over the last seven weeks. The Cardinals were on fire themselves, having won 11 of 12 before losing to Memphis on Saturday.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network

LINE HISTORY: The line and total for this game are currently off the board.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Louisville (-17.2) - SMU (-11.2) + Home Court (-3.0) = Louisville -3.0

INJURY WATCH: SMU - Yanick Moreira (Ques. Knee). Kevin Ware (Out. Shin).

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "This is perhaps the biggest home game ever for SMU basketball as they are a perfect 13-0 SU at home this season and playing their final home game of the season against the defending national champs. Both teams have been excellent on defense this season, but Louisville is the better offensive team when factoring in pace and opponents played." - Covers Expert Steve Merril.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Two of the top teams in the AAC, SMU looks to avenge their loss to Louisville back in January, but this time SMU has home-court advantage. Can they use it to their advantage?" -- Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.ag.

ABOUT LOUISVILLE (24-5, 13-3 AAC, 14-13 ATS, 13-12 O/U): The Cardinals had topped 75 points in six of their previous seven games before the 72-66 loss to the Tigers. Louisville was fortunate that the final score was as close as it was, given that the team shot only 4-of-23 from 3-point range and 12-of-20 from the foul line, not to mention committing 14 turnovers. One bright spot continues to be the splendid sophomore season of Montrezl Harrell, who has averaged 22.3 points and 9.3 rebounds over the last three games.

ABOUT SOUTHERN METHODIST (23-6, 12-4 AAC, 17-8 ATS, 9-15 O/U): The Mustangs trail the Cardinals and Bearcats by one game for first place in the AAC with each team having two games remaining. SMU hopes that it can do a better job on Louisville's Luke Hancock, who torched the Mustangs for a career-high 23 points in the first meeting - an eight-point home win by Louisville on Jan. 12. Nic Moore leads the Mustangs in points (14.1) and assists (4.7) while Markus Kennedy (11.9 points) paces the team in rebounding - seven per game.
 
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Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Georgia Tech 67, Syracuse 62-- Last game Orange won by more than a basket was February 9 against Clemson. 24 days ago.

-- Georgetown 75, Creighton 63-- Bluejays might regret leaving MVC if they don't have big recruiting years this spring and next.

-- Oakland 96, Youngstown State 92 ot-- Bader had 39 points- Grizzlies tied game with 0:01 left, advance in Horizon tourney.

-- East Tennessee State 89, Lipscomb 88 2ot-- 4-5 game in Atlantic Sun was a classic; Buccaneers advance to play Florida Gulf Coast next.

-- Baylor 74, Iowa State 61-- Game was 61-61 with 4:09 left; Cyclones did not score again- their big guys missed a lot of close-in shots.

-- Warriors 98, Pacers 96-- Klay Thompson won game with a 12-footer at 0:00.6 mark, as Warriors survived blowing a 13-point 4th quarter lead.

*****

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.....

13) My first impression of baseball’s replay system was a positive one Monday; umpires don’t leave the field, one is on a headset to an umpire in New York, another to the official scorer in the press box, and the whole review I saw took less than three minutes. Replay was inconclusive, so the original call stood.

12) From what I can tell, managers’ use of their challenge might be the biggest deal; managers get one challenge in innings 1-6- if they use it and are wrong, they’re done with replay for the game, unless the ump invokes his own replay review, which doesn’t seem likely. Umpires control all replay reviews from the 7th inning on.

11) Tuesday was National Pancake Day; a local radio station actually did its morning show from IHoP, which was giving away free pancakes.

10) Kansas big man Joel Embiid will sit out Jayhawks’ last two regular season games to try and get healthy for the postseason.

9) Detroit 2B Ian Kinsler called Texas GM Jon Daniels “ a sleazebag” Monday; the ex-Ranger vented about his former team, which isn’t always a good idea, other than it probably made him feel better.

8) Watched the Twins the other night; they were saying how Minnesota hitting coach Tom Brunansky got annoyed because Twin hitters were going into the clubhouse to watch their at-bats but far too often came back to the dugout complaining about the umpires instead of studying the pitchers’ approach to getting them out. So now he doesn’t want them watching video during the game, which seems like a waste of good technology.

7) Houston Astros’ prospect George Springer walked four times Monday; not often you see that in a spring training game, not often you see a rookie walk four times in any game.

6) Orioles signed Johan Santana to a minor league deal; O’s got ripped for a quiet winter, but they’ve been pretty busy since the Super Bowl. If Santana is healthy he’ll help the Orioles.

5) If I’m running the Knicks, I include Tyson Chandler in my rebuilding plans; he’s a team guy, works hard, doesn’t care if he shoots a lot. He’s had a lousy year, missing 24 games with an illness, but overall, I think he’s worth keeping as they go forward.

4) Navy, Loyola, Md were the first two teams eliminated from conference tournaments, as the Patriot League’s event started first.

3) Why would Toronto mayor Rob Ford go on Jimmy Kimmel’s show? Doesn’t he know he’s going to get ridiculed? This is where he needed a friend, a good friend to step in and say, “No more.”

Just grab him by the shirt and make him cancel his appearance. Now Ford feels like a fool for being set up, but in reality, he should’ve known better.

2) Providence 81, Marquette 80 2ot-- Kid on Marquette drained a 70-footer just after the horn went off in regulation, after both teams fouled three-point shooters in last 0:30. Wild game; Friars scored last four points to win after they once led by 11 in second half. Three Friars played 48+ minutes. .

1) I'm in a 16-team mixed keeper fantasy baseball league; its our 10th year with the league. Was looking thru a top 50 prospects list-- 42 of the top 50 minor league prospects are already on teams in our league. Some pitcher in the Southern League tosses a shutout, he gets picked up. Good league.
 
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CNOTES

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Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 5

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NEBRASKA (17 - 11) at INDIANA (17 - 12) - 3/5/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 75-108 ATS (-43.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 75-108 ATS (-43.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 62-90 ATS (-37.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 79-109 ATS (-40.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
INDIANA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NEBRASKA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
NEBRASKA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 2-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA is 2-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MASSACHUSETTS (22 - 6) at DUQUESNE (12 - 15) - 3/5/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUQUESNE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
MASSACHUSETTS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DUQUESNE is 52-79 ATS (-34.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
DUQUESNE is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
DUQUESNE is 48-77 ATS (-36.7 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
DUQUESNE is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
DUQUESNE is 54-83 ATS (-37.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-1 against the spread versus DUQUESNE over the last 3 seasons
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-1 straight up against DUQUESNE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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FORDHAM (9 - 18) at RHODE ISLAND (13 - 17) - 3/5/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FORDHAM is 181-227 ATS (-68.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
FORDHAM is 181-227 ATS (-68.7 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
FORDHAM is 138-180 ATS (-60.0 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
FORDHAM is 83-111 ATS (-39.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
FORDHAM is 83-111 ATS (-39.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
FORDHAM is 50-78 ATS (-35.8 Units) on Wednesday games since 1997.
FORDHAM is 118-153 ATS (-50.3 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
RHODE ISLAND is 83-111 ATS (-39.1 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
RHODE ISLAND is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points since 1997.
RHODE ISLAND is 78-121 ATS (-55.1 Units) in all home games since 1997.
RHODE ISLAND is 78-121 ATS (-55.1 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
RHODE ISLAND is 45-86 ATS (-49.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
RHODE ISLAND is 50-76 ATS (-33.6 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
RHODE ISLAND is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
RHODE ISLAND is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
RHODE ISLAND is 20-45 ATS (-29.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
RHODE ISLAND is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
RHODE ISLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus FORDHAM over the last 3 seasons
FORDHAM is 3-1 straight up against RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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DUKE (23 - 6) at WAKE FOREST (15 - 14) - 3/5/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 46-71 ATS (-32.1 Units) in March games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
WAKE FOREST is 165-208 ATS (-63.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 4-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 5-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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LOUISVILLE (24 - 5) at SMU (23 - 6) - 3/5/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
SMU is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
SMU is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all home games this season.
SMU is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
SMU is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SMU is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
SMU is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
SMU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SMU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 59-42 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 59-42 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 105-75 ATS (+22.5 Units) in road games since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 105-75 ATS (+22.5 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 101-72 ATS (+21.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
SMU is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
SMU is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
SMU is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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RUTGERS (11 - 18) at CONNECTICUT (23 - 6) - 3/5/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 2-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 2-1 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MISSISSIPPI ST (13 - 16) at GEORGIA (16 - 12) - 3/5/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 3-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 3-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TEXAS TECH (13 - 16) at KANSAS (22 - 7) - 3/5/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 110-149 ATS (-53.9 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 4-2 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 6-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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OLE MISS (17 - 12) at ARKANSAS (20 - 9) - 3/5/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
OLE MISS is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) on Wednesday games since 1997.
OLE MISS is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
OLE MISS is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 53-79 ATS (-33.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 3-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS is 3-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TENNESSEE (18 - 11) at AUBURN (13 - 14) - 3/5/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 3-0 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 3-0 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TCU (9 - 19) at TEXAS (21 - 8) - 3/5/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 42-69 ATS (-33.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
TCU is 132-180 ATS (-66.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TCU is 82-112 ATS (-41.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 4-0 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TEXAS A&M (17 - 12) at MISSOURI (20 - 9) - 3/5/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 3-1 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 3-1 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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COLORADO (20 - 9) at STANFORD (18 - 10) - 3/5/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
STANFORD is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all home games this season.
STANFORD is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
STANFORD is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-2 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-2 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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DAYTON (20 - 9) at SAINT LOUIS (25 - 4) - 3/5/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAYTON is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
SAINT LOUIS is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all games this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAINT LOUIS is 2-2 against the spread versus DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
SAINT LOUIS is 3-1 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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ST JOSEPHS (21 - 7) at GEORGE WASHINGTON (21 - 7) - 3/5/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOSEPHS is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGE WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ST JOSEPHS is 2-0 straight up against GEORGE WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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W VIRGINIA (16 - 13) at OKLAHOMA (21 - 8) - 3/5/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games on Wednesday games since 1997.
OKLAHOMA is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
W VIRGINIA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 3-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 3-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PURDUE (15 - 14) at WISCONSIN (24 - 5) - 3/5/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 76-104 ATS (-38.4 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
PURDUE is 68-95 ATS (-36.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
PURDUE is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
PURDUE is 53-80 ATS (-35.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
WISCONSIN is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games on Wednesday games since 1997.
PURDUE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-1 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-1 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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AIR FORCE (11 - 16) at NEW MEXICO (23 - 5) - 3/5/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 56-32 ATS (+20.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 56-32 ATS (+20.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 48-26 ATS (+19.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
AIR FORCE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points since 1997.
AIR FORCE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
AIR FORCE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 4-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 4-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NEVADA (13 - 16) at BOISE ST (19 - 10) - 3/5/2014, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 2-1 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-1 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SAN JOSE ST (7 - 21) at COLORADO ST (15 - 14) - 3/5/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in March games since 1997.
SAN JOSE ST is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
COLORADO ST is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO ST is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all lined games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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WYOMING (17 - 12) at UTAH ST (16 - 13) - 3/5/2014, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in March games since 1997.
UTAH ST is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 1-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARIZONA (27 - 2) at OREGON ST (15 - 13) - 3/5/2014, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
ARIZONA is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-1 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 4-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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UTAH (19 - 9) at CALIFORNIA (18 - 11) - 3/5/2014, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
UTAH is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTAH is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) on Wednesday games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 3-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 4-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SAN DIEGO ST (25 - 3) at UNLV (19 - 10) - 3/5/2014, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
UNLV is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
UNLV is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
UNLV is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
UNLV is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 4-1 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 3-2 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SIU EDWARDSVL (11 - 19) vs. TENNESSEE TECH (16 - 15) - 3/5/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SIU EDWARDSVL is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SIU EDWARDSVL is 4-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE TECH over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE TECH is 2-2 straight up against SIU EDWARDSVL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


E ILLINOIS (11 - 18) vs. SE MISSOURI ST (17 - 13) - 3/5/2014, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E ILLINOIS is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all games this season.
E ILLINOIS is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
E ILLINOIS is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
E ILLINOIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
E ILLINOIS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
E ILLINOIS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
SE MISSOURI ST is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games on Wednesday games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SE MISSOURI ST is 5-2 against the spread versus E ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
SE MISSOURI ST is 5-2 straight up against E ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LIBERTY (11 - 20) vs. WINTHROP (17 - 12) - 3/5/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LIBERTY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
LIBERTY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
WINTHROP is 4-0 straight up against LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons




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PRESBYTERIAN (6 - 25) vs. RADFORD (20 - 11) - 3/5/2014, 2:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
RADFORD is 2-2 straight up against PRESBYTERIAN over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CHARLESTON SO (12 - 17) vs. CAMPBELL (12 - 19) - 3/5/2014, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
CAMPBELL is 2-2 straight up against CHARLESTON SO over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LONGWOOD (8 - 23) vs. GARDNER WEBB (17 - 14) - 3/5/2014, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GARDNER WEBB is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
GARDNER WEBB is 2-0 straight up against LONGWOOD over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LAFAYETTE (11 - 19) at BOSTON U (22 - 9) - 3/5/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON U is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON U is 2-0 straight up against LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARMY (14 - 15) at BUCKNELL (16 - 13) - 3/5/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 2-0 against the spread versus BUCKNELL over the last 3 seasons
BUCKNELL is 6-1 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LEHIGH (14 - 17) at HOLY CROSS (18 - 12) - 3/5/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LEHIGH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
LEHIGH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
LEHIGH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
HOLY CROSS is 3-3 straight up against LEHIGH over the last 3 seasons




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COLGATE (13 - 17) at AMERICAN (17 - 12) - 3/5/2014, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
AMERICAN is 5-1 straight up against COLGATE over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FARLEIGH DICKINSON (10 - 20) at ROBERT MORRIS (19 - 12) - 3/5/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ROBERT MORRIS is 5-0 straight up against FARLEIGH DICKINSON over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


C CONN ST (11 - 18) at WAGNER (18 - 11) - 3/5/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
C CONN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus WAGNER over the last 3 seasons
WAGNER is 5-3 straight up against C CONN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ST FRANCIS-PA (9 - 20) at BRYANT (18 - 13) - 3/5/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
BRYANT is 4-1 straight up against ST FRANCIS-PA over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ST FRANCIS-NY (18 - 13) at MOUNT ST MARYS (13 - 16) - 3/5/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST FRANCIS-NY is 3-2 straight up against MOUNT ST MARYS over the last 3 seasons
 
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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 5

Nebraska (-1) beat Indiana 60-55 at home Jan 30, making 8-19 from arc in game they trailed by 16 in first half. Cornhuskers won six of seven, are 5-2 as road underdogs, despite being 2-5 SU on road. Hoosiers won three of last four games; dogs covered five of their last six home tilts. Big Dozen home favorites of 8 or less points are 15-22 vs spread. Home side won all three series games; Huskers lost 76-47 in last visit here.

Louisville (-13) beat SMU 71-63 at home Jan 12, after their first loss to Memphis. Cardinals made 10-23 from arc, SMU 2-11, but Mustangs are 8-0 at home in ACC and won seven of last eight games overall. Louisville also won seven of last eight games, is off another loss to Memphis; they are 5-3 as road favorites, but failed to cover last two. AAC home teams are 9-4 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points.

Ole Miss won six in row, nine of last ten games with Arkansas, but they lost five of last six games overall, with three of five losses by 4 points or less. Rebels lost last five road games, are 2-3 as road dogs. Arkansas won its last five games, covered five of last seven; they're 4-4 as favorites at home, with five of their six home wins by 7+ points. SEC home faves of 7+ points are 22-19 against the spread.

Missouri won three of last four games with Texas A&M, after losing its last eight games vs Aggies before that; Tigers lost two of their last three games, are 2-5 vs spread in last seven- they're 3-4 as favorites at home. SEC home favorites of 5 or less points are 16-10 vs spread. Aggies won three of last four games, covered five of last six, but they covered only once in last five games as a road underdog.

Stanford-Colorado split their first four Pac-12 games, with three of four games decided by 15+ points. Buffs are 1-3 as road underdogs- they're 6-7 SU since Dinwiddie got hurt, with all seven losses by 11+ points. Pac-12 home favorites of 8+ points are 19-16 vs spread. Stanford is 5-1 as a home favorite- they covered last six home games- four of their last five home wins are by 9+ points.

Saint Louis (+2) won 67-59 at Dayton Jan 11, holding Flyers to 30.6% from floor, but Billikens lost their last two games after having an 15-0 start in league. SLU is 2-5 as a home favorite, is 0-6 vs spread in its last six games. A-13 home favorites of 8 or less points are 22-17 vs spread. Dayton won seven of last eight games, as they try to claw way onto the bubble; they've lost seven of last nine games with Saint Louis.

St Joseph's won six of last seven games with George Washington, with Hawks winning last three by 12-7-12 points. A-13 home favorites of 4 or less points are 13-10 vs spread. GW is just 2-3 in its last five games, failing to cover last two games as a home favorite. Hawks won last three visits here by 2-9-7 points; they've won last six games (5-1 vs spread) and covered four of five games as a road underdog.

West Virginia (-1.5) beat Oklahoma 91-86 in OT at home Feb 5, after it blew a 14-point second half lead. Mountaineers lost 83-70 here LY in their first Big X visit to Norman. Sooners won three of last four games, are 8-2 vs spread in last 10- they're 2-2 as home favorites. Big X home favorites of 8 or less points are 14-12 vs spread. WVU lost four of last six games, losing last three away games by 14-17-17 points.

Boise State (-3.5) made 9-20 from arc, won 74-65 in Reno Jan 14; Wolf Pack won five of last seven visits here. Broncos won four of last five, are 2-6 as home favorites- their last three home games were decided by total of four points. Mountain West double digit home favorites are 8-11 vs spread. Nevada lost five of its last six games; they covered once in last four games as a road dog, after covering first three tries.

Wyoming (-2.5) beat Utah State 74-57 in Laramie Feb 1, in first league series meeting; Cowboys lost last three games by 5-2-9 points, are 0-5 vs spread in last five games- they're 3-3 as road underdogs. Utah State is 5-3 as home favorites, but they've lost four of last five games overall, are 2-4 SU in last six home games. Nance's knee injury crippled Wyoming. Mountain West home favorites of 8+ points are 10-16 vs spread.

Arizona (-15) beat Oregon State 76-54 Feb 9, shooting 56% inside arc; Wildcats clinched top seed in Pac-12 tourney, but are playing for a #1 seed in NCAAs- they've won last three games by 4-27-28 points- two of their last three road games went OT (1-4 in last five as road favorite). Pac-12 home underdogs of 6+ points are 2-6 vs spread. Oregon State is 3-1 as a home underdog, but lost five of last seven games overall.

Cal won four of five Pac-12 games with Utah, but lost to Utes by 10 in LY's conference tourney; Bears lost three of last four games, are 2-9 vs spread in last 11 games, 0-4 in last four tries as home favorite. Utah won five of last seven games, is 12-3 vs spread in last 15; they're 3-2 as road dog- four of their six road losses are by 4 or less points. Pac-12 home favorites of 5 or less points are 9-7 against the spread.

UNLV's ace rebounder Smith (concussion) is out here, tough blow for a UNLV squad that lost 63-52 (+9) at Viejas Jan 18, in brickfest that saw teams go combined 4-29 from arc. Mountain West home underdogs of 5 or less points are 6-13 vs spread. Aztecs lost last two visits here by 2-2 points; they've lost two of last three road games but are 4-2 as favorites on road. UNLV won eight of last 11 games, covered four of last five.
 
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Wednesday, March 5

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
DUKE vs. WAKE FOREST
Duke is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Wake Forest
Duke is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Wake Forest is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
SAINT JOSEPH'S vs. GEORGETOWN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saint Joseph's last 7 games on the road
Saint Joseph's is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Georgetown is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgetown's last 6 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
FORDHAM vs. RHODE ISLAND
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Fordham's last 9 games on the road
Fordham is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Rhode Island is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Fordham
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rhode Island's last 6 games when playing Fordham

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. GEORGIA
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Mississippi State's last 22 games on the road
Mississippi State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia's last 5 games when playing at home against Mississippi State
Georgia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Mississippi State

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
NEBRASKA vs. INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nebraska's last 5 games on the road
Nebraska is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 12 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
MASSACHUSETTS vs. DUQUESNE
Massachusetts is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Massachusetts is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Duquesne is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Duquesne's last 10 games when playing Massachusetts

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
RUTGERS vs. CONNECTICUT
Rutgers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Rutgers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing at home against Rutgers
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Rutgers

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
LOUISVILLE vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games on the road
Louisville is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Southern Methodist's last 8 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 7:00 PM
SIU EDWARDSVILLE vs. TENNESSEE TECH
No trends available
Tennessee Tech is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing SIU Edwardsville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee Tech's last 6 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 8:00 PM
TCU vs. TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of TCU's last 7 games on the road
TCU is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing TCU
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 8:00 PM
TEXAS TECH vs. KANSAS
Texas Tech is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Kansas
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Texas Tech's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 6 games when playing Texas Tech
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas Tech

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 8:00 PM
TEXAS A&M vs. MISSOURI
Texas A&M is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas A&M's last 6 games when playing on the road against Missouri
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Missouri's last 10 games when playing Texas A&M
Missouri is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Texas A&M

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 8:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. AUBURN
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Auburn
Tennessee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Auburn
Auburn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Auburn's last 10 games when playing Tennessee

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 8:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI vs. ARKANSAS
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arkansas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 6 games on the road
Arkansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
SAN JOSE STATE vs. COLORADO STATE
San Jose State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Jose State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Colorado State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado State's last 8 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
NEVADA vs. BOISE STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nevada's last 7 games on the road
Nevada is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boise State's last 5 games when playing at home against Nevada
Boise State is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games when playing Nevada

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
DAYTON vs. SAINT LOUIS
Dayton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saint Louis
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dayton's last 14 games on the road
Saint Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Saint Louis's last 7 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
SAINT JOSEPH'S vs. GEORGE WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saint Joseph's last 7 games when playing on the road against George Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saint Joseph's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of George Washington's last 5 games when playing Saint Joseph's
George Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Saint Joseph's

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
PURDUE vs. WISCONSIN
Purdue is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Purdue is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Wisconsin's last 10 games
Wisconsin is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
AIR FORCE vs. NEW MEXICO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Mexico
Air Force is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Mexico
New Mexico is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Mexico is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
COLORADO vs. STANFORD
Colorado is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Stanford is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Stanford's last 6 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:00 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. OKLAHOMA
West Virginia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
West Virginia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Oklahoma is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 9:30 PM
EASTERN ILLINOIS vs. SE MISSOURI STATE
No trends available
SE Missouri State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of SE Missouri State's last 17 games when playing Eastern Illinois

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 10:05 PM
WYOMING vs. UTAH STATE
Wyoming is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wyoming's last 8 games on the road
Utah State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah State's last 5 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 11:00 PM
UTAH vs. CALIFORNIA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 9 games on the road
Utah is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 7 games when playing Utah
California is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 11:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. OREGON STATE
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
Arizona is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
Oregon State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Oregon State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

See more trends!
MARCH 5, 11:05 PM
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. UNLV
San Diego State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Diego State's last 15 games on the road
UNLV is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing San Diego State
UNLV is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing San Diego State
 
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Dunkel

Louisville at SMU
The Cardinals (24-5) head to SMU tonight to face a Mustangs team that is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 games versus a team with a winning SU record. SMU is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mustangs favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: SMU (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 5

Game 721-722: Nebraska at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 65.260; Indiana 72.895
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 7 1/2; 126
Vegas Line: Indiana by 5 1/2; 131
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-5 1/2); Under

Game 723-724: Massachusetts at Duquesne (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 60.800; Duquesne 63.467
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 4
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (+4)

Game 725-726: Fordham at Rhode Island (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 49.955; Rhode Island 64.892
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 15
Vegas Line: Rhode Island by 10
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (-10)

Game 727-728: Duke at Wake Forest (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 72.699; Wake Forest 63.159
Dunkel Line: Duke by 9 1/2; 152
Vegas Line: Duke by 12; 145
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+12); Over

Game 729-730: Louisville at SMU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 72.792; SMU 73.844
Dunkel Line: SMU by 1; 133
Vegas Line: Louisville by 2 1/2; 136
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+2 1/2); Under

Game 731-732: Rutgers at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 56.391; Connecticut 69.498
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 13; 143
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 15 1/2; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+15 1/2); Over

Game 733-734: Mississippi State at Georgia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 53.969; Georgia 62.818
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 9
Vegas Line: Georgia by 12
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+12)

Game 735-736: Texas Tech at Kansas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 62.329; Kansas 81.277
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 19
Vegas Line: Kansas by 14
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-14)

Game 737-738: Mississippi at Arkansas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 63.238; Arkansas 68.161
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 5
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 8
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (+8)

Game 739-740: Tennessee at Auburn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 69.591; Auburn 62.366
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 7
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-4 1/2)

Game 741-742: TCU at Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 51.693; Texas 66.816
Dunkel Line: Texas by 15
Vegas Line: Texas by 18
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+18)

Game 743-744: Texas A&M at Missouri (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 62.101; Missouri 67.129
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 5
Vegas Line: Missouri by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+9 1/2)

Game 745-746: Colorado at Stanford (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 65.787; Stanford 71.009
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 5; 132
Vegas Line: Stanford by 8; 143
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+8); Under

Game 747-748: Dayton at St. Louis (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 63.489; St. Louis 66.767
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 3 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 7 1/2; 132
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (+7 1/2); Under

Game 749-750: St. Joseph's at George Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 61.970; George Washington 67.328
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: George Washington by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Washington (-3 1/2)

Game 751-752: West Virginia at Oklahoma (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 64.877; Oklahoma 75.207
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 10 1/2; 168
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 8; 162
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-8); Over

Game 753-754: Purdue at Wisconsin (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 62.425; Wisconsin 72.977
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 10 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 13 1/2; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+13 1/2); Over

Game 755-756: Air Force at New Mexico (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 49.902; New Mexico 71.744
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 22
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 18
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-18)

Game 757-758: Nevada at Boise State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 55.180; Boise State 64.073
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 759-760: San Jose State at Colorado State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 47.620; Colorado State 59.289
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+14 1/2)

Game 761-762: Wyoming at Utah State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 53.763; Utah State 64.545
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 11
Vegas Line: Utah State by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-8 1/2)

Game 763-764: Arizona at Oregon State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 76.962; Oregon State 60.718
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 16; 128
Vegas Line: Arizona by 9 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-9 1/2); Under

Game 765-766: Utah at California (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 69.271; California 65.538
Dunkel Line: Utah by 3 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: California by 3 1/2; 139
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+3 1/2); Under

Game 767-768: San Diego State at UNLV (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 67.013; UNLV 61.247
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 6; 122
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 3; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-3); Under

Game 769-770: SIU-Edwardsville vs. Tennessee Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 42.987; Tennessee Tech 50.572
Dunkel Line: Tennessee Tech by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee Tech by 5
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (-5)

Game 771-772: Eastern Illinois vs. SE Missouri State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 47.374; SE Missouri State 48.032
Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 1
Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 6
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+6)

Game 781-782: Liberty vs. Winthrop (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Liberty 40.363; Winthrop 48.347
Dunkel Line: Winthrop by 8
Vegas Line: Winthrop by 4
Dunkel Pick: Winthrop (-4)

Game 783-784: Presbyterian vs. Radford (2:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Presbyterian 32.557; Radford 48.680
Dunkel Line: Radford by 16
Vegas Line: Radford by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Radford (-13 1/2)

Game 785-786: Charleston Southern vs. Campbell (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charleston Southern 45.496; Campbell 41.517
Dunkel Line: Charleston Southern by 4
Vegas Line: Charleston Southern by 6
Dunkel Pick: Campbell (+6)

Game 787-788: Longwood vs. Gardner-Webb (8:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Longwood 40.328; Gardner-Webb 46.510
Dunkel Line: Gardner-Webb by 6
Vegas Line: Gardner-Webb by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Longwood (+13 1/2)

Game 789-790: Lafayette at Boston U (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Lafayette 50.174; Boston U 61.177
Dunkel Line: Boston U by 11
Vegas Line: Boston U by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston U (-8 1/2)

Game 791-792: Army at Bucknell (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Army 47.588; Bucknell 58.119
Dunkel Line: Bucknell by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Bucknell by 6
Dunkel Pick: Bucknell (-6)

Game 793-794: Lehigh at Holy Cross (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Lehigh 49.664; Holy Cross 54.773
Dunkel Line: Holy Cross by 5
Vegas Line: Holy Cross by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Lehigh (+7 1/2)

Game 795-796: Colgate at American (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colgate 53.531; American 56.300
Dunkel Line: American by 3
Vegas Line: American by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colgate (+6 1/2)

Game 797-798: Fairleigh Dickinson at Robert Morris (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairleigh Dickinson 44.505; Robert Morris 57.487
Dunkel Line: Robert Morris by 13
Vegas Line: Robert Morris by 11
Dunkel Pick: Robert Morris (-11)

Game 799-800: Central Connecticut at Wagner (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Connecticut 44.642; Wagner 58.467
Dunkel Line: Wagner by 14
Vegas Line: Wagner by 11
Dunkel Pick: Wagner (-11)

Game 801-802: St. Francis (PA) at Bryant (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Francis (PA) 38.657; Bryant 52.643
Dunkel Line: Bryant by 14
Vegas Line: Bryant by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bryant (-11 1/2)

Game 803-804: St. Francis (NY) at Mt. St. Mary's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Francis (NY) 50.575; Mt. St. Mary's 56.523
Dunkel Line: Mt. St. Mary's by 6
Vegas Line: Mt. St. Mary's by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mt. St. Mary's (-3 1/2)
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

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NCAAB

Wednesday, March 5

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Four teams sportsbooks don't want to win NCAA tournament
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Sportsbooks try to stay impartial when it comes to outcomes. They don’t want to be cheering for one side or the other – which is the basic principle behind setting a good line.

When it comes to the futures market, however, books can quickly find themselves rooting against teams that would do the most damage if they were to win the championship. And with March Madness clawing at the door, there are a numbers of college basketball teams that sportsbooks don’t want to have their “One Shining Moment” at the end of the NCAA tournament.

Here are four college hoops squads sportsbooks are cheering against this March:

Wichita State Shockers (+1,000)

Wichita State didn’t taste defeat all season and heads into the Missouri Valley Conference tournament as the No. 2 team in the country. The Shockers, who went to the Final Four last year, opened at +6,000 to win the NCAA tournament in Las Vegas last April and took the bulk of their action at +1,200 this season. Many people poo-poo WSU’s strength of schedule, but this team has just as good a chance as any to win the Big Dance.


Michigan State Spartans (+800)

The Spartans have battled injuries all season and have slid back in the Big Ten race with three losses in their last four games. However, this is MSU and Tom Izzo we’re talking about. The Green and White are always a threat to roll deep into the tournament. Michigan State opened at +1,200 and was bet heavily between +700 and +1,000. The Spartans are finally healthy and could be booking their tickets to Arlington if Izzo can coach up his troops once again.


San Diego State Aztecs (+6,000)

The Aztecs have become one of the most dangerous mid-major programs the past few seasons. San Diego State topped the Mountain West Conference with a dominating defense and proved it can run with the big boys, taking wins over Creighton, Marquette, Washington, and Kansas during non-conference play. The Aztecs opened as +10,000 NCAA long shots last spring and were up as high as +30,000 before oddsmakers quickly chopped those prices down.


Florida Gators (+450)

Rarely does the tournament favorite pose that big a threat to the futures book, with the price normally skewed on the best team in the country. But, in the topsy-turvy world of college hoops, Florida didn’t emerge as the consensus No. 1 until later in the year, when the damage was already done. The Gators opened around +1,200 to win the NCAA tournament and early-season issues puffed those odds to +1,500. But once conference play kicked off, bettors pounded Billy Donovan’s kids and have bookies biting their nails when it comes to the SEC’s top team.


Other notables:

Oklahoma State Cowboys (+3,500)
Oklahoma Sooners (+10,000)
Cincinnati Bearcats (+10,000)
 
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NCAAB

Wednesday, March 5


Syracuse's downward spiral continues

Syracuse, undefeated and ranked No. 1 in the nation until just two weeks ago, now can’t seem to regain its winning ways – on the court or at the betting window. The Orange were dealt a shocking home setback Tuesday night against Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets, 14-point underdogs with a 13-16 SU record, won outright, 67-62. Syracuse is now just 1-4 SU in its last five games, with the lone win a narrow 57-55 decision at Maryland as a 4-point chalk.

The ‘Cuse has also failed to cover in six straight outings, going 0-5-1 ATS. The Orange (26-4 SU, 13-11-2 ATS), who were among the national leaders with an 11-4-1 ATS mark through Jan. 29, wrap up the regular season Sunday at Florida State.


Murray State a hot bet in Ohio Valley tourney

Belmont is the No. 1 seed in the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament, which opens today in Nashville. But the OVC team that’s provided the most bang for bettors’ bucks is No. 2 seed Murray State.

The Racers (18-10 straight up) are a sturdy 15-9-1 against the spread, which rates 28th nationally, and that’s despite dropping four of their first five ATS decisions to open the season. Since Dec. 4, Murray State has gone 14-5-1 ATS, including 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10, though the Racers enter the OVC tourney coming off a 118-115 double-overtime loss as a 1.5-point underdog at Southeast Missouri State.

Belmont and Murray State get byes in the first two rounds of the tourney, awaiting opponents for Friday’s semifinals.


After skid, Arizona worth a wager once again

Arizona has emerged from a five-game ATS (against the spread) losing streak – a stretch that included its first SU (straight up) loss and losing Brandon Ashley to a foot injury – to again become a team worthy of a wager.

The Wildcats have gone 6-1 SU without Ashley, already wrapping up the Pac-12 regular-season title with two games to go, and have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games, covering the last four in a row. Prior to their 0-5 pointspread skid, the ‘Cats were among the best in the nation at 13-4 ATS, and they’re now regaining some of that ground with an 18-10 ATS mark that ranks 13th nationally.


Saint Louis winning, but not paying out for bettors

The Saint Louis Billikens have spent the entire season winning for themselves, but not for bettors. Saint Louis has not covered in their past six games leading to a ghastly 9-17 record against the spread.

Saint Louis bettors must also be aware that in the last 23 meetings between the Billikens and the Dayton Flyers the dog is 19-4.

No.16 ranked Saint Louis, will host Dayton Wednesday as 7-point home faves.


SMU Mustangs have been enjoying success ATS

The SMU Mustangs have been paying bettors all season long, especially at home. Over the past 16 games, the Mustangs are 13-3 against the spread including 8-1 at home.

During that 8-1 ATS home streak, the Mustangs have covered against three teams currently ranked in the top 25.

The Mustangs will look to cover as they are a 2.5-point road dog against No.9 Louisville Wednesday.
 
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Pac-12 Tip Sheet

March 4, 2014


The Pac-12 continues the countdown to next week’s conference tournament which will take place in Las Vegas from March 12 to March 15. There is no mystery as to which team will win the Pac-12 regular season title with No. 3 Arizona holding a three-game lead over UCLA with just two games to play. However; what is at stake is seeding position for a number of the other teams in the conference.

We'll take a closer look at some key stats and betting trends for all three Pac-12 matchups on this Wednesday night’s slate.

Colorado Buffaloes vs. Stanford Cardinal (ESPN2, 9 p.m.)

Colorado is currently in fourth place in the Pac-12 standings at 9-7 straight-up and can still end-up ranked No. 2 if a number of things go in its favor this week. The Buffaloes can also fall all the way to 10th-place if they lose-out to Stanford and Cal this week. They are coming off back-to back losses both straight-up and against the spread to Arizona and Utah and they are now 7-9 ATS in conference play. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last eight games.

The Buffaloes have a trio of players averaging between 14 and 15 points per game. Spencer Dinwiddie (14.7 PPG) is the team’s top shooter; but he is out with a season-ending knee injury. Josh Smith (14.6 PPG) leads in rebounds with 8.7 and Askia Booker (14 PPG) is dishing out 3.5 assists. The team, as a whole, is averaging 73.2 points and shooting 44.3 percent from the floor.

Stanford is another team that can move up or down the standings depending on what it does on Wednesday night as well as this Saturday against Utah. It is also 9-7 SU in the Pac-12 with a 10-6 record ATS. The Cardinal have lost their last two games both SU and ATS and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last six games.

They should match up well against the Buffaloes in their only regular season meeting this year with an offense that is averaging 74.9 PPG and shooting 46.4 percent from the field. Chasson Randle leads a foursome of players scoring in double figures with 18.5 points and he is shooting 48 percent from the field. Defensively, Stanford is allowing an average of 69.3 PPG, but this total has climbed to 76.3 points in its last three outings.

The Cardinal have been opened as seven-point home favorites over Colorado for Wednesday night’s contest. Stanford has lost the last two meetings both SU and ATS after winning and covering it the four previous games dating back to 2007. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the six games in this series.

No. 3 Arizona Wildcats vs. Oregon State Beavers (FOX Sports 1, 11 p.m.)

Arizona may have already clinched the Pac-12 regular season title with a SU record of 14-2, but it would love to ensure itself a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament with two more regular season wins and a strong showing in next week’s Pac-12 Tournament. The Wildcats have covered in their last four games as part of an overall ATS record of 9-7 in conference play.

The Wildcats have averaged 74.1 PPG this season behind Nick Johnson’s 16-point scoring average, but they have picked up the pace in their last three outings with an average of 84.6. This could bode well for a long run in the NCAA Tournament when combined with a defense that is ranked fifth in the nation in points allowed (58.2).

Oregon State has stumbled down the stretch with a 2-5 SU record in its last seven games as part of an overall conference record of 7-9; however the Beavers have covered in three of their last four games to improve to 9-7 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last six games. Oregon State has gone 6-4-1 ATS at home this season and the total has stayed UNDER in six of the 11 games.

The Beavers match up well offensively against Arizona, but they are on opposite ends of the spectrum when it comes to playing defense considering they are getting torched for an average of 74.5 PPG. This was fairly evident in a 76-54 loss to the Wildcats on Feb. 9 as prohibitive 16-point underdogs on the road. The total stayed UNDER the closing 134-point line.

Arizona has been opened as a nine-point road favorite this time around. It has failed to cover in its last four trips to Oregon State and overall it is 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The total has been evenly split at 5-5 over the past 10 games between these two.

Utah Utes vs. California Golden Bears (ESPNU, 11 p.m.)

The Utes have won their last two games to even their record in the Pac-12 to 8-8 SU. They also covered in both games as home favorites. Away from home, Utah is 5-3 ATS with the total staying UNDER in five of the eight contests. It has gone a profitable 11-5 ATS in conference play and the total has gone OVER in six of their last eight Pac-12 games.

Delon Wright and Jordan Loveridge have provided a good deal of the production for the Utes this season. Wright leads team in points (16.4) and assists (5.3) while converting on 60.4 percent of his shots from the floor. Loveridge is second on the team in scoring with 15.5 points and he leads in rebounds with 7.4 a game. Utah is averaging 78.3 PPG and it is ranked third in the nation in shooting with a field goal percentage of 50.1 percent.

California gained notoriety in early February by ending Arizona’s 21-game winning streak with a 60-58 victory as a six-point home underdog. What made this win even more improbable was its three-game losing streak heading into that contest. Overall, the Golden Bears are 9-7 SU in conference play with a 7-9 mark ATS after losing their last two games to the Wildcats and Arizona State both SU and ATS.

They have now failed to cover in six of their last seven contests with the total going OVER in four of those games. Cal has scored an average of 69 points during this stretch while allowing an average of 75.7 PPG on the other end of the court. Justin Cobbs is Cal’s top scorer with 15.5 PPG and he is shooting 47.1 percent from the field.

California has been opened as a three-point home favorite over the Utes in this contest. It will look to avenge a 79-69 overtime loss to Utah in last season’s Pac-12 Tournament as an eight-point favorite. These two have met a total of seven times since the 2007/2008 season with Cal winning five of the games SU and holding a slight 4-3 edge ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in five of those contests.
 
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