Cnotes NCAA Basketball Picks Thru March Madness & Madness GOY !!

[CNOTES]

MARCH TOTALS:

16- 27 - 3.....................SINGLE PLAYS

11 - 8 - 1............................DOUBLE PLAYS

8 - 9 - 1.............................TRIPLE PLAYS

2- 1 ...........................CONFERENCE GOY





Saturday, March 8

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Kentucky - 12:00 PM ET Florida -8.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Florida -

Southern Methodist - 12:00 PM ET Southern Methodist +4 500 *****
Memphis -

St. John's - 12:00 PM ET St. John's +3 500
Marquette -

Kansas - 12:00 PM ET West Virginia +5 500 *****
West Virginia -

Cincinnati - 12:00 PM ET Cincinnati -7.5 500
Rutgers -

Ohio - 12:00 PM ET Ohio -2 500
Miami (OH) -

New Hampshire - 12:00 PM ET Vermont -18 500
Vermont -

Mount St. Mary's - 12:00 PM ET Wagner -8 500 *****
Wagner -

Rider - 12:00 PM ET Iona -9 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Iona -

Vanderbilt - 1:30 PM ET Mississippi -6 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Mississippi -

Baylor - 1:30 PM ET Kansas St. -4.5 500 *****
Kansas St. -

Virginia Tech - 2:00 PM ET Virginia Tech +7 500
Georgia Tech -

Georgetown - 2:00 PM ET Georgetown +9.5 500 *****
Villanova -

Boise St. - 2:00 PM ET Boise St. -7.5 500 *****
Air Force -

Oklahoma St. - 2:00 PM ET Iowa St. -4.5 500 *****
Iowa St. -

Temple - 2:00 PM ET South Florida -3 500
South Florida -

Connecticut - 2:00 PM ET Louisville -9 500
Louisville -

Wake Forest - 2:00 PM ET Miami-Florida -7 500 *****
Miami-Florida -

Eastern Michigan - 2:00 PM ET Eastern Michigan +5.5 500
Toledo -

St. Francis (PA) - 2:00 PM ET St. Francis (PA) +10.5 500
Robert Morris -

Bowling Green - 2:30 PM ET Buffalo -10.5 500 *****
Buffalo -

Utah - 2:30 PM ET Utah +4.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Stanford -

Western Kentucky - 2:30 PM ET Georgia St -10 500 *****
Georgia St -

Northeastern - 2:30 PM ET Northeastern +4 500 *****
Drexel -

Western Carolina - 2:30 PM ET Elon University -3 500
Elon University -

MD Baltimore Cty - 2:30 PM ET Albany -10.5 500
Albany -

Siena - 2:30 PM ET Siena +4.5 500
Canisius -

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Saturday, March 8

OHIO U: 0-12 ATS off a road win against a conference rival

CORNELL: 18-2 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more

TX-ARLINGTON: 11-0 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record

BUFFALO: 10-1 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread

PITTSBURGH: 2-13 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite

WRIGHT ST: 15-2 ATS in road games after 3 consecutive conference games

OKLAHOMA ST: 9-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders

IOWA ST: 24-4 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less

 

[CNOTES]

AFTERNOON SESSION:

San Diego - 3:00 PM ET San Diego +4 500
San Francisco -

Army - 3:30 PM ET Army +8.5 500 *****
Boston U -

Oklahoma - 4:00 PM ET Oklahoma -11 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Texas Christian -

Arizona - 4:00 PM ET Arizona -3 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Oregon -

Arkansas - 4:00 PM ET Alabama +0 500 *****
Alabama -

Texas - 4:00 PM ET Texas Tech +1.5 500
Texas Tech -

Auburn - 4:00 PM ET Texas A&M -5.5 500
Texas A&M -

South Carolina - 4:00 PM ET South Carolina +2 500 *****
Mississippi St. -

Missouri - 4:00 PM ET Missouri +9 500
Tennessee -

Pittsburgh - 4:00 PM ET Pittsburgh -1.5 500 *****
Clemson -

Colorado St. - 4:05 PM ET Wyoming -1.5 500
Wyoming -

George Washington - 4:30 PM ET George Washington -9 500 *****
Fordham -

Southern California - 4:30 PM ET Southern California +9.5 500
Washington -

Ball St. - 4:30 PM ET Northern Illinois -6.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Northern Illinois -

Arizona St. - 4:30 PM ET Oregon St. -1 500
Oregon St. -

Seton Hall - 4:30 PM ET Seton Hall +2 500 *****
Butler -

 

[CNOTES]

LATE AFTERNOON GAMES:


Georgia - 5:00 PM ET Georgia +7 500 *****
Louisiana State -

Montana - 5:00 PM ET Montana -1 500
Northern Arizona -

Weber St. - 5:05 PM ET Weber St. +1 500 *****
Eastern Washington -

Holy Cross - 5:30 PM ET American U. -4.5 500
American U. -

Loyola Marymount - 5:30 PM ET Loyola Marymount +11.5 500
Brigham Young -

Indiana - 6:00 PM ET Michigan -10 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Michigan -

James Madison - 6:00 PM ET James Madison +8 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Towson -

Maine - 6:00 PM ET Stony Brook -15.5 500
Stony Brook -

Colorado - 6:30 PM ET California -4 500 *****
California -

St. Peter's - 6:30 PM ET Manhattan -9 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Manhattan -

 

[CNOTES]

EVENING GAMES:



Richmond - 7:00 PM ET Dayton -10 500
Dayton -

Dartmouth - 7:00 PM ET Dartmouth +9.5 500
Yale -

UC Riverside - 7:00 PM ET UC Riverside +10 500 *****
Long Beach St. -

Pennsylvania - 7:00 PM ET Cornell +4 500
Cornell -

Northern Colorado - 7:00 PM ET Southern Utah +9.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Southern Utah -

Duquesne - 7:00 PM ET George Mason -5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
George Mason -

Harvard - 7:00 PM ET Harvard -9 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Brown -

St. Bonaventure - 7:00 PM ET VCU -9.5 500
VCU -

Princeton - 7:00 PM ET Columbia +1.5 500
Columbia -

Indiana - Purdue - 7:00 PM ET IUPU - Ft. Wayne -11 500
IUPU - Ft. Wayne -

Wright St. - 7:00 PM ET Cleveland St. -4 500 *****
Cleveland St. -

Eastern Kentucky - 7:00 PM ET Belmont -5.5 500 *****
Belmont -

UC Davis - 7:30 PM ET UC Irvine -15.5 500
UC Irvine -

Providence - 8:00 PM ET Creighton -11.5 500 *****
Creighton -

Louisiana-Monroe - 8:00 PM ET Louisiana-Monroe +4.5 500
Arkansas-Little Rock -



----------------------------------------------------------------------


Texas-Arlington - 8:05 PM ET Texas-Arlington +1.5 500
South Alabama -

Louisiana-Lafayette - 8:05 PM ET Arkansas St. -2.5 500 *****
Arkansas St. -

Illinois - 8:30 PM ET Illinois +11.5 500
Iowa -

Texas State - 8:30 PM ET Texas State +2.5 500
Troy -

Charleston - 8:30 PM ET William & Mary -2.5 500 *****
William & Mary -

Binghamton - 8:30 PM ET Binghamton +7.5 500
Hartford -

Citadel - 8:30 PM ET Wofford -13 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Wofford -

North Carolina - 9:00 PM ET North Carolina +9 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Duke -

Niagara - 9:00 PM ET Niagara +6.5 500 *****
Quinnipiac -

Santa Clara - 9:00 PM ET Santa Clara +12 500
Gonzaga -

Wis.-Milwaukee - 9:30 PM ET Green Bay -11.5 500 *****
Green Bay -

Fresno St. - 10:00 PM ET Fresno St. -6 500 TRIPLE PLAY
San Jose St. -

UC Santa Barbara - 10:00 PM ET Cal Poly SLO +2 500
Cal Poly SLO -

UNLV - 10:05 PM ET UNLV +2.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Nevada -

Montana St. - 10:05 PM ET Montana St. +4 500
Sacramento State -

Idaho State - 10:05 PM ET Idaho State +5 500
Portland St. -

New Mexico - 10:05 PM ET New Mexico +4.5 500 *****
San Diego St. -

UCLA - 11:00 PM ET UCLA -9.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Washington St. -

Pepperdine - 11:30 PM ET St. Mary's -6 500
St. Mary's -

Cal St. Fullerton - 11:59 PM ET Cal St. Fullerton +11.5 500
Hawaii -

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday's Big Ten Tips

March 8, 2014


Michigan has already clinched the Big Ten regular season title, but the next four teams in the standings will be in action against one another this Sunday in their season finale looking to build some momentum heading into this week’s Big Ten Tournament.First, No. 22 Michigan State will travel to Columbus to square-off against the Ohio State Buckeyes in a 4:30 p.m. ET start. Sunday night’s top matchup in the Big Ten pits No. 9 Wisconsin on the road against Nebraska.

No. 22 Michigan State Spartans at Ohio State Buckeyes (CBS, 4:30 p.m. ET)

The Spartans remained neck-and-neck with Michigan in the Big Ten standings for most of the season but a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last 10 conference games brought an end to their title hopes. Overall, they are 12-5 SU in Big Ten play with an 11-6 record against the spread. The total has gone OVER in four of their last six games.

Michigan State is coming off a huge 86-76 victory over No. 24 Iowa this past Thursday as a 4 ½-point home favorite. In the win over the Hawkeyes, four of five starters scored in double figures which mirrored the same exact scoring scenario for the season. Gary Harris leads this foursome with an average of 17.7 points, with Adreian Payne a close second with 15.8 points per game. The Spartans are scoring an average of 76.5 PPG while shooting an effective 47.3 percent from the field and 39.1 percent from 3-point range.
Ohio State cruised through the non-conference portion of its schedule with a perfect 13-0 record SU that had the team ranked third in the AP poll. After opening conference play with double-digit victories against Purdue and Nebraska, the wheels started coming off with four straight losses.

They were able to turn things around from there with a 7-2 SU run, but lately it appears that the Buckeyes are up to their old tricks with back-to-back losses to Penn State and Indiana as road favorites. They are now 9-8 both SU and ATS in conference play. The total has stayed UNDER in three of their last five outings.

The Buckeyes are averaging a pedestrian 70 PPG and shooting just 45 percent from the field, but they have hung their hat this season on a defense that is ranked seventh in the nation in points allowed (58.8). Ohio State has allowed 60 points or more in four of its last six games which could be of some cause for concern for Saturday’s matchup. LaQuinton Ross leads the team in scoring with 14.6 PPG and Lenzelle Smith Jr. is the only other Buckeye scoring in double figures (11.8).

Ohio State opened as a three-point home favorite for the second game in this season’s series after losing to Michigan State 72-68 in overtime as a six-point road underdog on Jan. 7. The total went OVER the 134-point betting line in that game after staying UNDER in six of the previous seven meetings. The underdog in this series is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 games.

No. 9 Wisconsin Badgers at Nebraska Cornhuskers (Big Ten Network, 7:30 p.m. ET)

Wisconsin can lock-up the second seed in the Big Ten Tournament with a win on Sunday night or with a Michigan State loss to Ohio State. It is 12-5 SU in conference play on the strength of an eight-game SU winning streak. It has been hit or miss betting on the Badgers with a 4-4 record ATS during this run. The total has been evenly split at 4-4 as well. Overall, they have gone just 7-10 ATS against the rest of the Big Ten and the total has stayed UNDER in three of their last four road games.

The Badgers have displayed some solid balance on offense with six different players averaging at least nine points as part of a team scoring average of 73 PPG. They are shooting 45.6 percent from the field and a very efficient 75.3 percent from the foul line, which is ranked 16th in the nation. Frank Kaminsky put up 22 points in this past Wednesday’s 76-70 victory over Purdue, but Wisconsin could not cover the 12-point spread at home. He leads the team with 13.3 PPG and 6.3 rebounds; however Sam Dekker has been able to mirror those numbers with 13.1 points and 6.3 boards as well.

Nebraska has just one SU loss in the Big Ten over its last eight games to move into fourth-place in the standings at 10-7 SU. It has failed to cover in two of its last three contests, but overall it has gone a healthy 13-4 ATS in conference play. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of the Cornhuskers’ last 10 games. This is not all that hard to understand considering they are averaging 66.7 PPG and shooting 42.6 from the field.

Terran Petteway is one of two Nebraska players scoring in double figures with an average of 17.8 points. He is shooting just 42.9 percent from the floor but an impressive 82 percent from the free throw line. The other player is Shavon Shields with 12.2 PPG. These two have averaged over 32 minutes of playing time this season while starting all 29 games. The Cornhuskers are allowing an average of 64.6 PPG and they have now held their opponents to fewer points than this in seven of their last eight games.

Wisconsin opened as a four-point road favorite in what will be the first game between these two conference foes this season. These two have met four previous times since Nebraska joined the Big Ten and while the Badgers have swept the series SU it is tied 2-2 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in three of the four games.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

-- Wichita State hammered Missouri State, is one win away from being the first team since UNLV in '91 to get to the NCAAs undefeated.

-- Doug McDermott scored 45 points on his Senior Night, went over 3,000 career points, as Creighton beat Providence 88-73.

-- Anyone have name of Eldrick Woods' chiropractor? He is in contention and his back doesn't hurt. Amazing!!!

-- Washington Wizards scored 75 points in first half, then didn't score for the first 7:00 of 3rd quarter- they won 114-107 at Milwaukee.

-- Cardinals signed Matt Carpenter for six years, $52M; he led the NL LY in runs, hits and doubles.

-- Free agent pitcher Ervin Santana still hasn't signed this week; he fired his agent and is now looking for a 1-year deal, so he can through this again next winter. Teams are concerned his elbow isn't healthy.

*****

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday......

13) Most underrated college hoop player: Bryce Cotton of Providence. In the Friars' last 23 games, Cotton has played 953 minutes, an average of 41.4 mpg; he's played all 50:00 in four double OT games this season- he's scored 22+ points in each of the Friars' last seven games.

12) Florida 84, Kentucky 65-- Gators look like best team in America with Championship Week starting. Kentucky had some good spurts in this game, still lost by 19. Florida has a lot of weapons.

11) Oregon 64, Arizona 57-- Ducks are red-hot and off the bubble- they've won seven games in a row. Dana Altman is an excellent coach. Oregon made 10-19 from the arc, Arizona 2-11, which is how upsets happen.

10) Iowa State 85, Oklahoma State 81 ot-- Cyclones were down 16, hit a tying 3-pointer at the buzzer to force OT, then beat Oklahoma State for the second time this year-- the first time was in triple OT in Stillwater.

9) San Diego State 51, New Mexico 48-- Lobos were up 41-25 with 11:10 left, lost to Aztecs for only second time in last seven meetings. If you gave New Mexico four points, they beat you with a 3-pointer at the buzzer.

8) St John's 91, Marquette 90 2ot-- Red Storm wore blue uniforms, won for 10th time in last 13 games, after starting Big East play 0-5. They play the Big East tournament at home; St John's still needs a win or two to get into the NCAA tournament.

7) Milwaukee 73, Green Bay 66 ot-- Top-seeded Green Bay gets upset at home by its in-state rival; Panthers go to Dayton to play #3 seed Wright State in the Horizon League final Tuesday night.

6) Serious question: Do college athletic departments recruit cheerleaders? Think about it, attractive cheerleaders would help at recruiting time-- if they do, the person who recruits Oregon's cheerleaders deserves a raise.

5) Gonzaga 77, Santa Clara 75-- David Stockton scored a driving layup with 0:01.4 left, bailing the Zags out after they blew a 5-point lead in the last 40 seconds. Gonzaga is not aas good as they have been in recent years.

4) West Virginia 92, Kansas 86-- Bob Huggins bags a $25,000 bonus for beating Jayhawks, who don't give up 92 points if big guy Joel Embiid plays. Freshman star Andrew Wiggins scored 41 points for Kansas.

3) I'd like to see college basketball adopt the NBA's 8-second rule to get the ball over halfcourt. Just think it would invigorate the game some.

2) Bad Beat of the Day; Clemson +1.5. Tigers led 67-62 with 0:08 left, Pitt missed a 3-pointer, but still scored five points in the last 0:03 to force OT, where they beat Clemson for second time this season. Bitter loss.

Oklahoma State (+3) at Iowa State was a close second.

1) Upsets of the Day:
Milwaukee (+12) upsets Green Bay in Horizon tourney.
Illinois (+11) wins 66-63 at Iowa. Hawkeyes are 4-7 in their last 11 games.
Washington State (+10) beats UCLA 73-59; red flag for Bruins.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 8

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VIRGINIA (25 - 5) at MARYLAND (16 - 14) - 3/9/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MARYLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
MARYLAND is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MARYLAND is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
MARYLAND is 39-16 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
VIRGINIA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
VIRGINIA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
VIRGINIA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
VIRGINIA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VIRGINIA is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 5-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (23 - 7) at OHIO ST (22 - 8) - 3/9/2014, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 278-231 ATS (+23.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
OHIO ST is 278-231 ATS (+23.9 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
OHIO ST is 177-139 ATS (+24.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
OHIO ST is 216-166 ATS (+33.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OHIO ST is 137-103 ATS (+23.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 4-3 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 4-3 straight up against OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SYRACUSE (26 - 4) at FLORIDA ST (18 - 11) - 3/9/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAINT LOUIS (25 - 5) at MASSACHUSETTS (23 - 6) - 3/9/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAINT LOUIS is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-0 against the spread versus SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-1 straight up against SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LASALLE (14 - 15) at ST JOSEPHS (21 - 8) - 3/9/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LASALLE is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games this season.
LASALLE is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
LASALLE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
LASALLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games this season.
LASALLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
LASALLE is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
LASALLE is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) after a conference game this season.
LASALLE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LASALLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
ST JOSEPHS is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOSEPHS is 2-1 against the spread versus LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
ST JOSEPHS is 2-1 straight up against LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON COLLEGE (8 - 22) at NC STATE (18 - 12) - 3/9/2014, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 103-66 ATS (+30.4 Units) in road games since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 103-66 ATS (+30.4 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 98-64 ATS (+27.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 94-64 ATS (+23.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
NC STATE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 3-2 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 5-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WISCONSIN (25 - 5) at NEBRASKA (18 - 11) - 3/9/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
NEBRASKA is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all home games this season.
NEBRASKA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NEBRASKA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
NEBRASKA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEBRASKA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
NEBRASKA is 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 2-2 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 4-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S DAKOTA (12 - 17) vs. DENVER (15 - 14) - 3/9/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S DAKOTA is 2-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-1 straight up against S DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W ILLINOIS (10 - 19) vs. S DAKOTA ST (18 - 11) - 3/9/2014, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S DAKOTA ST is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
S DAKOTA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games this season.
S DAKOTA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
S DAKOTA ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
S DAKOTA ST is 5-2 against the spread versus W ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
S DAKOTA ST is 7-0 straight up against W ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PENN ST (15 - 15) at MINNESOTA (18 - 12) - 3/9/2014, 5:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NORTHWESTERN (12 - 18) at PURDUE (15 - 15) - 3/9/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
PURDUE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 3-2 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 3-2 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MERCER (25 - 8) at FLA GULF COAST (22 - 11) - 3/9/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA GULF COAST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
MERCER is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA GULF COAST is 3-0 against the spread versus MERCER over the last 3 seasons
FLA GULF COAST is 4-4 straight up against MERCER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 9

Northwestern (+3.5) beat Purdue 63-60 in double OT Jan 21; they were down 7 with 5:18 left- their starters were 0-16 from arc. Wildcats are 0-3 in last three visits to Mackey Arena, losing by 13-10-31 points. Purdue lost its last five games, last three by 7 or less points; they've got one Big Dozen win by more than 8 points (82-64 vs Indiana). Northwestern lost its last seven games, losing last game 59-32 at home to Penn State. 12 of last 14 Northwestern games stayed under the total.

Virginia (-11) beat Maryland 61-53 at home Feb 10, its sixth straight win over Terps, as Maryland moves on to Big Dozen; Cavaliers won 13 in a row overall, five in row on road, with three of those by 5 or less points. Maryland won four of its last five home games, with lone loss by hoop to Syracuse; they've lost four of last six overall. Eight of last 11 Virginia games stayed under total. This is Terps' last ACC regular season game.

Michigan State (-5) beat Ohio State 72-68 in OT Jan 7, after blowing its 55-38 lead with 7:14 left; Spartans made 11-19 from arc that game, OSU just 4-18. MSU lost four of last six visits here, are 5-6 in last 11 games overall, losing two of last three on road. Three of last four Spartan games went over total. Buckeyes lost last two games after winning six of seven prior to that; they're #1 in league, allowing 30.4% shooting from arc.

Syracuse lost four of last five games after a 25-0 start; they've got almost no depth with Grant (back) out- their bench had 2 points, 8 fouls in 34 minutes vs Ga Tech- they've scored 62 or less points nine games in row- last time Orange won a game by more than hoop was Feb 9 vs Clemson. Florida State won its last three games, with two on road; they're 2-3 last five home games, with all three losses by six or less points.

Saint Louis lost its last three games by 7-11-5 points, after starting 12-0 in A-13 play; Billikens won four of last five games with UMass, losing by 13 in last visit here in '12. Four of SLU's last six wins were in OT or by a basket. UMass won six of last eight games, winning last two home games by total of 8 points. Minutemen lead A-13, blockimg 14.3% of opponents' shots. Six of last eight Saint Louis games stayed under total.

St Joe's (+2) won 75-64 at LaSalle Feb 15, outscoring Explorers 18-6 on foul in game where LaSalle made 10-23 from arc. Teams split last six in series- this is first time since '07 teams met twice in same season. Four of last five LaSalle games stayed under total. Explorers lost nine of last 12 games, five of six on road, with all five losses by 12+ points. Hawks won last three home games, by 7-15-26 points.

Boston College is 4-13 in ACC but three of four wins were on road; they lost last five games with NC State, losing last four visits to Raleigh by 5-12-14-19 points. Six of last seven Eagle games were decided by 8 or less points. NC State lost its last two home games, is 2-2 as an ACC favorite this season. Last five Wolfpack games and nine of last 11 went over the total. BC is 6-1-1 vs spread on the ACC road this season.

Senior Day at Nebraska (9-2 in last 11 games) figures to be emotional, as Huskers have broken thru to become an NCAA team; Nebraska is 0-4 vs Wisconsin in Big Dozen play, losing by 24-6 in Badgers' two visits here. Nebraska won its last seven home games since losing to Michigan 71-70 59 days ago. Wisconsin won its last eight games, has shot at a #1 seed in NCAAs; they won last five road games, last two by 5 points each.

Minnesota (-1.5) won 68-65 at Penn State Jan 8, their third win in row over Lions, by 14-29-3 points; Nittany Lions lost eight in row here, but three of last five were by 7 or less points. Gophers are 5-9 in their last 14 games, but are 5-3 at home in league, 3-3 as a favorite. Penn State held Northwestern to 32 points last game; they've won three of last five road games. Four of last five Gopher games stayed under total.

CAA tournament (Baltimore)
Delaware played four starters 35+ minutes in yesterday's win, its 17th win in last 19 games; Blue Hens beat Northeastern twice this year, 74-70 (+1) on road, 80-67 (-5) at home Feb 3. Huskies beat Drexel yesterday for second time in 8 days after being 7-18 in previous 25 games; they got to foul line 44 times (32-44) in yesterday's win. Under is 9-5 in last 14 Northeastern games. With its lack of depth, Delaware almost has to play zone defense, so no way Huskies take 44 free throws today.

Towson State made 39-61 on foul line last nite; they were 1-31 just two years ago, 23-9 now, 11-1 in last 12 games; Tigers are in hometown here but not home arena- they swept two games with Wm & Mary, winning 85-70 (+5) on the road, then 70-68 at home (-5.5) 8 days ago. Tribe was down 15 to Charleston last nite, rallied to win; they've won seven of ten games- only one of ther guys played more than 27:00 (Thornton).

MVC tournament final (St Louis)
With win here, Wichita State becomes first team since '91 UNLV to get to NCAAs unbeaten; Shockers beat Indiana State twice this year, 68-48 (-11) at home, 65-58 (-4.5) in Terre Haute Feb 5. Wichita's last seven wins are all by 14+ points. Indiana State had lost three in row coming in, but won last two days- they played three starters 30+ yesterday in its tense win vs SIU. No Shocker played more than 27:00 yesterday.

MAAC tournament (Springfield MA)
Iona is 13-1 since losing 85-83 at home to Canisius Jan 17, as Griffins blew 20-point second half lead but outscored Gaels 8-2 in last 4:23 for win. Iona won rematch 101-91 in Buffalo Feb 9, making 13-28 from arc in game they trailed by 7 at half. Griffins played four starters 32:00+ in 6-point win over Siena yesterday. Iona beat Canisius 89-85 in MAAC tourney LY, outscoring Griffs 34-12 on the foul line.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Sunday, March 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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12:00 PM
VIRGINIA vs. MARYLAND
Virginia is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Maryland
Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Maryland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Maryland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Virginia

12:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. PURDUE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northwestern's last 6 games on the road
Northwestern is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Purdue
Purdue is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Northwestern
Purdue is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Northwestern

2:00 PM
SAINT LOUIS vs. MASSACHUSETTS
Saint Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Saint Louis's last 10 games on the road
Massachusetts is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Massachusetts's last 6 games when playing at home against Saint Louis

2:00 PM
SYRACUSE vs. FLORIDA STATE
Syracuse is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games on the road
Florida State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State's last 7 games at home

4:00 PM
LA SALLE vs. SAINT JOSEPH'S
La Salle is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Saint Joseph's
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of La Salle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Saint Joseph's
Saint Joseph's is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saint Joseph's last 6 games

4:30 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. OHIO STATE
Michigan State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Michigan State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Ohio State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio State's last 5 games when playing Michigan State
Ohio State is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home

5:15 PM
PENN STATE vs. MINNESOTA
Penn State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 12 games when playing Penn State

6:00 PM
BOSTON COLLEGE vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 6 games when playing on the road against North Carolina St
Boston College is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against North Carolina St
North Carolina State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 5 games

7:30 PM
WISCONSIN vs. NEBRASKA
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Nebraska is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games at home

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Sunday, March 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Michigan State at Ohio State
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Michigan State Spartans at Ohio State Buckeyes (-3)

The back half of the Big Ten slate has not been particularly kind to either Ohio State or Michigan State, and both still have work to do. The Spartans will attempt to earn the No. 2 seed in the Big Ten tournament when they visit the Buckeyes on Sunday. Ohio State dropped its last two games to fall out of position for a first-round bye in the conference tournament and is looking at the No. 5 seed depending on how things shake out in the final weekend.

Michigan State avoided a three-game losing streak with an 86-76 home win over Iowa on Thursday and is enjoying a period of relative health as it draws to the end of the regular season. Keith Appling shook off hip and wrist injuries to reach double figures with 12 points in the win over the Hawkeyes and Adreian Payne and Branden Dawson are both rounding into form following absences earlier in the Big Ten season. The Buckeyes had some serious problems at the offensive end in a loss at Indiana last weekend and need one more win to finish over .500 in conference play.

TV: 4:30 p.m. ET, CBS

LINE HISTORY: The Buckeyes have opened as 3-point home faves.

POWER RANKINGS: Michigan State (-9.1) - Ohio State (-6.9) + Home Court (-3.0) = Buckeyes -0.8

INJURY WATCH: N/A

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (23-7, 16-11-2 ATS, 15-14-2): The Spartans got Dawson back in a 53-46 loss to Illinois on Mar. 1 and are 18-2 with their leading rebounder in the lineup. Appling missed three games before playing through his various injuries for four straight but declared himself healthy before the Iowa contest and ended up with 12 points on 4-of-7 shooting - his first double-digit scoring performance since the previous meeting with Iowa on Jan. 28. Appling hit the go-ahead 3-pointer in overtime on Jan. 7 and hit 3-of-4 free throws down the stretch to seal a 72-68 home victory as Michigan State took the first meeting from the Buckeyes.

ABOUT OHIO STATE (22-8, 15-14 ATS, 12-16 O/U): The Buckeyes failed to make a 3-pointer (0-of-11) for the first time since 2004 in the 72-64 loss at Indiana last weekend and made 24 of their 25 field goals inside the paint. “I think we’re really lacking in a confidence issue, we’re lacking in a toughness issue in terms of playing through situations,” coach Thad Matta told the Columbus Dispatch. “Those are things that somehow, someway we’ve got to get corrected.” Ohio State has been held under 65 points in five of its last six games.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Ohio St.
* Spartans are 0-3-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Spartans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
* Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Sunday, March 9

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Three steps to spotting NCAAB conference tournament upsets
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The NCAA tournament may get all the hype but for hardcore basketball bettors, the best value lies in the major conference tournaments.

With the big boys kicking off the postseason this week, we pinpoint a few key components when it comes to spotting possible upset teams in the conference tournaments.

Senior value

Schools that are loaded with upperclassmen always get a boost when it comes to March as many players will be ending their basketball careers, leading to great performances.

"Teams with veterans and several seniors often perform well in conference tournaments, especially when they are in must-win situations," Covers Expert Steve Merril says. "These are the type of teams that can sometimes make a run and upset some favorites, especially if the veteran team is facing a younger team that might be better, but young with freshman and sophomores."

Current teams that have large senior cores include Louisville (15-13 ATS), which has talented seniors Russ Smith and Luke Hancock, St. Louis (25-5 SU, 9-18 ATS), which has five seniors on the roster and Iowa State (22-7, 12-15 ATS), which has seniors Melvin Ejim and DeAndre Kane leading the team in scoring, assists, steals and rebounds.


3-point shooting

Like in the NCAA tournament, you can never have enough perimeter shooting. In a one-game format, it’s sometimes impossible to knock off a team that is scoring from downtown at will.

"Teams that shoot the 3-point shot well are also dangerous in conference tournaments because if they get hot during a three or four-day span, they can make a run and upset some more talented teams," says Merrill.

Creighton (23-6, 15-12) is second in the Big East and leads the country in 3-point shooting, at 41.9 percent from downtown, and makes over 10 threes a night. Other teams with strong 3-point averages include UCLA (40.1%), Michigan (40%), UConn (39.4%), Michigan State (39.1%) and Arizona State (39%).


Peaking at the right time

Often times, a team that was slow out off the blocks to start conference play – for whatever reason (injuries, suspensions, coaching changes) – finds its form just in time for the conference tournament. These hot team can shock a higher seed that may have back into the postseason after cooling down late in the schedule.

Teams that are on streaks heading into the conference tournaments include Providence (three straight wins leading into a season finale with Creighton), Memphis (wins over SMU and Louisville this week), North Carolina (10 straight wins leading into season finale with Duke), and Oregon (six straight wins heading into season finale with Arizona).

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Sunday, March 9


Louisville routs UConn, claims share of AAC title

In a game that was billed as a matchup between two of the top guards in the nation, Louisville forward Montrezl Harrell stole the show.

With neither Russ Smith of Louisville nor Shabazz Napier of Connecticut having a productive scoring outing, Harrell got 20 points, 11 rebounds and three assists as the No. 11 Cardinals thumped No. 19 UConn 81-48 Saturday at the KFC Yum! Center.

Louisville (26-5, 15-3) claimed a share of the American Athletic Conference championship with No. 15 Cincinnati. A postgame coin flip went to Cincinnati and left Louisville with the No. 2 seed in the conference tournament.

NOTES: Louisville tied with Cincinnati for the AAC title but lost a coin toss and is the No, 2 seed for the conference tourney, which begins Tuesday in Memphis. The Cardinals received a bye and will play the winner of the USF-Rutgers game in the second round on Thursday. ... UConn, the No, 4 seed, also received a bye and will play No. 5 seed Memphis on Thursday. ... Of being tied with Cincinnati for the conference title, Louisville coach Rick Pitino said: "I'm delighted to be tied with Mick Cronin's team." Cronin was an assistant to Pitino at Louisville. ... It was Senior Day as Louisville honored G Russ Smith, F Luke Hancock, C Stephan VanTreese and G Tim Henderson before the game. Those four represent the winningest class in school history with 131 wins (against 30 losses) and counting.


McDermott surpasses 3,000 points in Creighton's win

Creighton forward Doug McDermott joined college basketball's elite 3,000-point club on Saturday night.

The senior scored 45 points to raise his careeer total to 3,011 in the 13th-ranked Bluejays' 88-73 victory over Providence in Omaha, Neb.

McDermott became the eight player in men's Divison I basketball to reach the milestone. The two-time All-American got there when he sank a deep 3-point shot with 11:27 remaining in the Big East game for his 34th points of the game.

McDermott, the son of Creighton coach Greg McDermott, left the game with 1:13 remaining to a standing ovation from the record crowd of 18,868 at the CenturyLink Center.

The others to reach 3,000 career points are LSU's Pete Maravich (3,667), Portland State's Freeman Williams (3,249), La Salle's Lionel Simmons (3,217), Mississippi Valley State's Alphonso Ford (3,165), Texas Southern's Harry Kelly (3,066), Saint Peter's Keydren Clark (3,058) and Bradley's Hersey Hawkins (3,008).

Creighton (24-6, 14-4) wrapped up its regular season and enters the Big Eight tournament next week as the No. 2 seed behind Villanova. Providence, on the bubble for an NCAA tournament bid, fell to 20-11 overall and 10-8 in the conference.

Providence's Bryce Cotton, the Big East's second-leading scorer, had all of his 23 points in the second half


Wichita State third team ever to start 33-0

Nobody expected the Wichita State Shockers to be this dominant at the start of the season. The Shockers became only the third team in Men's D-1 history to start 33-0 with a 67-42 victory over Missouri State Saturday.

Wichita State joins the 90-91 UNLV and the 78-79 Indiana State teams as the only schools to go 33-0 in their season.

With the win Saturday, the Shockers move onto the MVC championships Sunday. Wichita State is currently +1000 to win the NCAA championships according to Williamhill.com.

 

[CNOTES]

MARCH TOTALS:

28- 41 - 3.....................SINGLE PLAYS

14 - 14 - 1............................DOUBLE PLAYS

11 - 14 - 1.............................TRIPLE PLAYS

2- 1 ...........................CONFERENCE GOY



Sunday, March 9

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Northwestern - 12:00 PM ET Northwestern +9 500
Purdue -

Virginia - 12:00 PM ET Virginia -3.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Maryland -

Winthrop - 12:00 PM ET Winthrop +2 500
Coastal Carolina -

Syracuse - 2:00 PM ET Syracuse -2 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Florida St. -

Saint Louis - 2:00 PM ET Massachusetts -3 500 *****
Massachusetts -

Mercer - 2:00 PM ET Florida Gulf Coast -2 500
Florida Gulf Coast -

Indiana St. - 2:05 PM ET Wichita St. -14 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Wichita St. -

Northeastern - 2:30 PM ET Delaware -5.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Delaware -

La Salle - 4:00 PM ET St. Joseph's -8.5 500 *****
St. Joseph's -

Michigan St - 4:30 PM ET Michigan St +2.5 500
Ohio St. -

Canisius - 4:30 PM ET Iona -4 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Iona -

William & Mary - 5:00 PM ET William & Mary +3.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Towson -

Penn St. - 5:15 PM ET Penn St. +7 500
Minnesota -

Boston College - 6:00 PM ET N.C. State -6.5 500
N.C. State -

Western Carolina - 6:00 PM ET Davidson -9 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Davidson -

South Dakota - 7:00 PM ET Denver -5 500
Denver -

Quinnipiac - 7:00 PM ET Quinnipiac +6 500
Manhattan -

Wisconsin - 7:30 PM ET Nebraska +2.5 500 *****
Nebraska -

Hartford - 7:30 PM ET Hartford +4.5 500
Stony Brook -

Georgia Southern - 8:30 PM ET Georgia Southern +6.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Wofford -

Western Illinois - 9:30 PM ET Western Illinois +9.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
South Dakota State -

 

[Willie99]

looks like I'm hoping you have a great day

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Wichita State hammered Indiana State, is the first team since UNLV in '91 to get to the NCAAs undefeated. No small feat.

-- Miami Heat lost its last three games, Pacers their last four; Atlanta lost 14 of its last 15 games, is 26-35, but still in #8 slot by three games.

-- Phoenix/Memphis are both 36-26; if playoffs started today, one of them would miss the playoffs. Doesn't seem right.

-- Cardinals signed Cuban free agent SS Aledmys Diaz to a contract that is thought to be for four years, between $4-5M a year. Diaz is 23.

-- 68-year old Cliff Ellis won his first conference tournament in 39 years as a coach, as Coastal Carolina won Big South, over 76-61 over Winthrop.

-- You don't think the Big X is the best league? Oklahoma State is the #8 seed, Baylor is the #7 seed. In a 10-team league. I rest my case.

*****

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Weekend......

13) The more I think about it, the more it annoys me that the major league baseball season is starting at 4am on March 22, in Australia. Its not as bad as having the Super Bowl in London would be, but at what point do owners stop trying to suck every dollar out of every corner of the globe?

12) WCC tournament was off Sunday, but not to give kids a break from a three games-in-three days schedule. BYU is in the WCC now and they don't play ball on Sundays, not even in the NCAA tournament.

11) Albany 67, Vermont 58-- Catamounts went 15-1 in America East, beat Great Danes twice by total of 40 points, but had to play them in Albany in the semi-finals and got upset by Will Brown's club for the second year in a row. My alma mater gets a trip downstate to play Stony Brook on ESPN Saturday morning in the America East finals.

10) Marquette lost its last two games, both by a point, both in double OT; 17-14 Eagles finished 9-9 in Big East, are headed to the NIT.

9) Memphis-UConn is an interesting first round game Thursday in the AAC. Huskies lost by 33 at Louisville Saturday; curious to see how they bounce back from that. Losing coach will take some heat, for sure.

8) Mercer 68, Florida Gulf Coast 60-- Bears are in NCAAs for first time in 29 years; they won in Fort Myers, after losing to FGCU in Atlantic Sun final the last two years. Mercer is located in Macon, GA, hometown one of my boyhood heroes, Blue Moon Odom, who pitched for the A's in the 70's.

7) Not the best security at the Thunderdome in Santa Barbara, where a nitwit came out of the stands, ran across the court, and got in the face of Hawai'i coach Gib Arnold, during the game. At lot of mid-major, low major schools, there isn't a lot of cash for security, stuff like that is more likely to happen.

6) Former NBA great Rick Barry turns 70 years old on March 28; he has a son who is a freshman guard at Charleston. Go figure. Canyon Barry is fifth Barry son to play D-I basketball; his mom is #3 on the all-time scoring list at William & Mary, so he has superior scoring genes.

5) I'm watching a replay of Saturday's Indiana-Michigan game, and NFL ref Gene Steratore is working the game; that game ends, and a replay of Sunday's Northwestern-Purdue game comes on-- Steratore is working that game.

How much money do these guys make? In addition to his NFL gig, Steratore has reffed 51 basketball games this season, in 10 different states.

4) Towson State took 61 foul shots Saturday, made 39, in their 80-71 win over James Madison; have never seen that in a 40-minute game before.

3) Towson got upset by Wm & Mary Sunday; CAA final will be Delaware against the Tribe in Baltimore. Blue Hens are the #1 seed.

2) Davidson is bolting the Southern Conference for CAA next year; they got hosed a little on a touch foul with 0:03.3 left in OT in their semi-final loss to Western Carolina.. Always wary of teams bolting a conference when they play in the conference tournament for the last time. I'm just sayin'.....

1) Referre Jim Burr is getting even feistier as his distinguished officiating career continues; he gave out five technical fouls last year in 63 games. So far this year, his crews have given out 18 T's, in only 47 games.

Mr Burr was refereeing games when I was in college in the late 70's; he was a VP at the bank my friend went to. If ever a guy should write a book or go on TV to work games, it is him. Too bad it'll probably never happen.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WM & MARY (19 - 11) vs. DELAWARE (23 - 9) - 3/10/2014, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DELAWARE is 3-1 against the spread versus WM & MARY over the last 3 seasons
DELAWARE is 4-0 straight up against WM & MARY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST MARYS-CA (22 - 10) vs. GONZAGA (26 - 6) - 3/10/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST MARYS-CA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
ST MARYS-CA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
GONZAGA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest this season.
ST MARYS-CA is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
GONZAGA is 5-3 against the spread versus ST MARYS-CA over the last 3 seasons
GONZAGA is 6-2 straight up against ST MARYS-CA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (21 - 10) vs. BYU (22 - 10) - 3/10/2014, 11:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 189-139 ATS (+36.1 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
BYU is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
BYU is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
BYU is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
BYU is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
BYU is 70-111 ATS (-52.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-2 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 5-1 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALL ST (5 - 24) at OHIO U (21 - 10) - 3/10/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 118-87 ATS (+22.3 Units) in all home games since 1997.
OHIO U is 118-87 ATS (+22.3 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
OHIO U is 66-45 ATS (+16.5 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
OHIO U is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
OHIO U is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 2-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 3-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KENT ST (16 - 15) at MIAMI OHIO (12 - 17) - 3/10/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
KENT ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 3-3 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 4-2 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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C MICHIGAN (10 - 20) at E MICHIGAN (18 - 13) - 3/10/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
E MICHIGAN is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 5-1 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN is 3-3 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOWLING GREEN (12 - 19) at N ILLINOIS (14 - 16) - 3/10/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
BOWLING GREEN is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
N ILLINOIS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
N ILLINOIS is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 2-1 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 2-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MANHATTAN (23 - 7) vs. IONA (21 - 9) - 3/10/2014, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 4-3 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 4-3 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (15 - 14) vs. N DAKOTA ST (23 - 6) - 3/10/2014, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-0 against the spread versus N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
N DAKOTA ST is 1-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S DAKOTA ST (18 - 11) vs. IUPU-FT WAYNE (23 - 9) - 3/10/2014, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
S DAKOTA ST is 5-2 against the spread versus IUPU-FT WAYNE over the last 3 seasons
S DAKOTA ST is 6-1 straight up against IUPU-FT WAYNE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W CAROLINA (18 - 14) vs. WOFFORD (18 - 12) - 3/10/2014, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WOFFORD is 3-2 against the spread versus W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
W CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against WOFFORD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MD-EAST SHORE (6 - 23) vs. NORFOLK ST (17 - 13) - 3/10/2014, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORFOLK ST is 6-0 straight up against MD-EAST SHORE over the last 3 seasons

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S CAROLINA ST (9 - 20) vs. SAVANNAH ST (12 - 18) - 3/10/2014, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAVANNAH ST is 6-0 straight up against S CAROLINA ST over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 10

CAA tournament (Baltimore)
Delaware beat William & Mary twice this year, 76-71 (-6) at home, and 89-72 (+4) in rematch Jan 29; Blue Hens won last five series games, are 18-2 in last 20 games; they've played three starters 35+ minutes the last two nights. Wm & Mary, won eight of last eleven games- they had three guys play 32+ minutes Sunday, after only one played more than 27:00 Sunday. Last time the #1 seed won the CAA tourney: 2010.

WCC tournament (Las Vegas)
Gonzaga hammered St Mary's twice this year, 73-51 (-8) at home, then 75-47 (-1) in Moraga nine days ago, game that was 42-22 at half. Gaels are 22-7 in last 29 series games, but just 3-2 in this tournament the last five years. Zags snuck by Santa Clara Saturday on last-second hoop by young Stockton. St Mary's lost five of its last six games against teams in top 100. Eight of last nine St Mary's games stayed under total.

San Francisco won its last six games since losing 68-63 (+11.5) at BYU Feb 8; Dons lost 83-76 in first meeting this year, are 1-5 vs Cougars in WCC play. BYU won five in row, nine of last ten games, with last four wins by 8+ points. USF is 4-3 in this tourney last four years, with all three losses by 5 or less points. Over last decade, BYU is 3-4 in its 2nd conference tournament game. Last seven USF games stayed under total.

MAC tournament (campus sites)
Ball State lost 12 of last 13 games; they lost 71-51 (+14) at Ohio Jan 15, turning ball over 21 times (-9) in game that was only 27-21 at half. Ohio won five of last six series games, winning last two here by 4-20 points. Bobcats are 5-5 in last ten games after starting season 16-5; they've lost last three home games. Cardinals are 2-7 in first tourney games last nine years, with both wins in overtime. Last nine Ball games went over total.

Road team won both Kent-Miami games this year; Kent (+2) won 75-63 in first meeting, lost 73-61 (-6) in rematch six nights ago; Flashes won last two visits here, by 20-12 points. Kent lost four of last five games, six of last eight on road- they're 10-1 in first tourney game last 11 years, Miami is 2-3 in its last five, 3-4 in its last seven home games; Eight of last eleven Miami games stayed under the total.

Eastern Michigan beat Central Michigan twice this year, 72-59 (+3.5) at home, 64-42 (+10.5) here Feb 26, ending 1-6 series skid. Chippewas are 1-4 in this tourney last four years, losing last two games by total of five points. Eastern won two games in tourney LY after being 3-10 prior to that; Eagles won last six home games, with five wins by 12+ points. 8 of last 11 Central Michigan games went over the total.

Northern Illinois is 7-5 in last dozen games, but 10-0-2 vs spread; they are 2-0 as MAC favorites this year. Huskies (+9) won ugly 45-36 game at Bowling Green Jan 12; Falcons scored only 3 points in last 12:05 of loss, which ended 7-game series win streak. BG won its last three visits here. Over is 9-4 in last 13 Bowling Green games. These two teams are the MAC's two worst teams protecting ball (turnovers 24+% of time).

MAAC tournament (Springfield MA)
Iona played four starters 36+ minutes in tense win 75-72 over Canisius; Gaels (-2.5) beat Manhattan 85-73 in first meeting this year, then lost at Draddy Gym 80-77 (+4) in OT 10 days ago, Iona's only loss in its last 15 games. Jaspers won four in row, 10 of last 11 games- they lost 60-57 to Manhattan in this game LY. Four of last five Jasper games went under total. Last time MAAC's #1 seed won conference tourney was 2010.

Summit tournament (Sioux Falls, SD)
Denver (even) beat North Dakota State 67-63 at home, then lost 78-68 in road rematch (+10.5) nine days ago; Pioneers played seven guys last night- Olson played all 40, three other starters 30+. Bison won its last seven games, covering three of last four. Denver is 1-3 in its conference tourney games last three years, played in two other leagues. Eight of last nine ND State games stayed under the total.

South Dakota State won nine of last ten games overall, seven games in a row on this court, with lot of Jackrabbit fans in house; they lost 82-75 (+1.5) at Fort Wayne, then won rematch 79-51 (-4.5) Feb 6, Mastadons' worst loss of year. Jacks played one guy 30+ minutes in easy win; Fort Wayne played Saturday, had Sunday off. These teams are #2/#3 in pace in Summit League, so this game figures to be up-and-down.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Monday, March 10

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
KENT STATE vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
Kent State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Kent State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami (Ohio)
Miami (Ohio) is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kent State
Miami (Ohio) is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games

7:00 PM
BALL STATE vs. OHIO
Ball State is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Ohio
Ball State is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio's last 6 games
Ohio is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games

7:30 PM
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
Central Michigan is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Eastern Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 5 games when playing on the road against Eastern Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games when playing at home against Central Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Eastern Michigan's last 6 games

8:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Bowling Green is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Bowling Green is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Northern Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games when playing Bowling Green
Northern Illinois is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Bowling Green

9:00 PM
ST. MARY'S vs. GONZAGA
No trends available
Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Mary's
Gonzaga is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games

11:30 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. BYU
No trends available
BYU is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
BYU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Monday, March 10

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Long shots of 100/1 or higher that could win the NCAA tournament
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March Madness is the time to get swept up in all the magic and momentum of Cinderella teams taking the NCAA tournament by storm.

Nothing’s better than saying “I told you so” when those underdogs pull off an improbable upset. Well, unless you tossed some money on those stunners before the tournament took off.

Here are five live long shots to win the NCAA tournament, of 100/1 or more odds. Perhaps there’s a Cinderella run in one of them.

Cincinnati Bearcats 100/1 (26-5, 13-12 ATS)

The AAC champion Bearcats have a long-standing reputation for being a tough, hardnosed basketball team and have carried that over to 2014. Possessing the fourth-best defense in the nation and holding teams to a low 58.7 points per outing, the Bearcats can stay in games on most nights just with their defense. If they can find a way to improve on its scoring, by finding support for 20.9 ppg scorer Sean Kilpatrick, Cincinnati could be a nightmare matchup for most teams in the tournament.


Oklahoma Sooners 100/1 (23-8, 18-10-1 ATS)

The Sooners shocked the Big 12 by not only being the best team in Oklahoma (sorry OSU Cowboys), but also finishing second in the conference. Pushing the pace with a strong transition game, Oklahoma is eighth in the nation in scoring. If they get hot, the Sooners don't lose and, with a matching 23-8 record with Kansas, they’re good value at 100-1.


Arizona State Sun Devils 300/1 (21-10, 14-14-1 ATS)

Arizona State cracks this list based on its outstanding 38.8 percent 3-point shooting and the talented combination of guard Jahii Carson (18.9 PPG) and post presence Jordan Bachynski (11.2 PPG, 8.4 RPG, 4.2 BPG), 55.1 FG%. With sharpshooters Jermaine Marshall and Jonathan Gilling supporting Carson and Bachynski, the Sun Devils have enough firepower to play awhile in March.


Arkansas Razorbacks 300/1 (21-10, 15-13 ATS)

The Razorbacks knocked off Kentucky on the road and gave tournament favorite Florida all it could handle in an overtime loss, possessing one of the most lethal paces in the NCAA. Up-and-down basketball at a clip of 80.6 points per game is promising, but the Razorbacks will have to improve on a poor defense and a shaky record away from home.


Oregon Ducks 200/1 (22-8, 16-10-3 ATS)

Finishing off their season with a big home win over Arizona, the Ducks have won seven straight heading into the Pac-12 tournament and are looking to continue that run heading into an almost guaranteed tournament berth. Oregon is ninth in scoring and fourth in free-throw percentage, and is another team that can be a contender if it can get the stops needed to outrun opponents in transition.