NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Sunday, March 2
Iowa has gotten soft, losing its last three games while allowing 79-95-93 points; Hawkeyes covered once in last four home games (3-4 overall as a home favorite)- they're 2-11 in last 13 games with Purdue, but did beat Boilers by 10 here LY. Big Dozen double digit home favorites are 12-9 vs spread. Purdue lost three in row, eight of last ten games; they're 3-3 as road dogs, losing last five road games by 3-9-11-18-19 points.
Ohio State won eight of last ten games with Indiana, winning four of last five visits here; Buckeyes won six of last eight games overall, but lost at Penn State in last game, a bad loss. OSU is 4-4 on Big Dozen road, 2-3 as road favorites. Big Dozen home underdogs of 3 or less points are 3-5 vs spread. Indiana lost four of last six games; they're 4-3 at home, 3-1 as home underdogs- dogs covered five of their seven home games.
Maryland won last three games with Clemson by 2-2-13 points; Terps lost four of last six visits here, but won last one by hoop in '12- they've lost three of last four games overall but are 4-0-1 vs spread in last five, losing last three away games by 12-2-8 points. ACC home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-16 vs spread. Clemson lost four of its last six games; they're 2-2 as home favorites, with home wins by 13-8-4-17.
Louisiana Tech won six of last seven games but split its last four games on road; they got star Appleby back for limited action (5 minutes) in last game, for first time since Jan 9. UAB just won three straight road games by total of nine points; they're 3-3 at home, with underdogs covering 5 of the 6 games. C-USA home underdogs of 8 or less points are 14-13 vs spread. Blazers lost three of their last five home games.
Villanova (-2.5) won 94-85 in OT at Marquette Jan 25, after blowing an 11-point lead in last 4:53 of regulation; Wildcats were 10-28 from arc, Eagles just 2-11. Villanova won eight of last nine games, is 4-2 as home favorite, with five of six home wins by 17+ points. Big East double digit home favorites are 10-5 vs spread. Marquette lost three of last four trips to Villanova, with losses by 18-5-4 points.
North Texas won its last four games, winning three in row by hoop each, after starting 2-8 in league. Mean Green lost four of its last six at home, is 1-2 as home dog. C-USA home underdogs of less than 5 points are 7-9 vs spread. UTEP lost three of last five games, is 5-1 vs spread on road, 3-0 as road favorite, winning away games by 9-2-11-14-18 points, with only road loss at Southern Mississippi.
Wisconsin won four in row, 17 of last 19 vs Penn State, winning by 6-3 in last two visits to Happy Valley, which is fairly close to where coach Ryan grew up. Badgers won last six games overall after a 1-5 skid- they won last three road games, by 12-13-5 points. Penn State lost four of its last six games; they're 1-4 as home underdogs. Big Dozen home dogs of 5 or less points are 8-9 against the spread.
Southern Miss won three in row, 10 of last 12 games, but they lost last two road games, at UAB/Middle Tennessee; Golden Eagles are 3-2 as a road favorite, with all three road wins (3-3) by 10+ points. C-USA home underdogs of less than 5 points are 7-9 vs spread. Florida Atlantic lost its last four games, is 0-1-1 as home dog, losing home games (2-4) by 5-4-19-2 points. USM forces turnovers 24.3% of time, #1 in C-USA.
Florida State won its last eight games with Georgia Tech, winning three in row at home by 4-2-14 points; Seminoles lost six of last nine games, but won last game at Pitt- they've lost three of last four at home, are 2-4 as home favorites, with one home win by more than a hoop. ACC home favorites of 9+ points are 11-14 vs spread. Tech lost five of its last six games, but they've covered last five games on foreign soil.
New Mexico (-12) beat Nevada 90-72 at Pit Feb 15, leading 48-24 at half in game that was made respectable by Nevada making 11-21 on the arc. Lobos are 3-0 vs Nevada in Mountain West play, winning by 13 here in LY's visit. MW home underdogs of 6 or less points are 7-11 vs spread. Wolf Pack lost five of last six games, with only win at Air Force; they're 4-3 at home, 1-1 as home dogs. Lobos are 1-3 as road favorites.
Arizona (-5) won 60-57 at Stanford Jan 29, its 8th win in row over the Cardinal, who led by 7 with 12:34 left but scored only four points in last 10:00 of game. Stanford lost last four visits to Tucson by by 14-8-10-7 points; they're 2-2 as road dogs, losing away games by 9-17-4-12- they won five of seven overall. Wildcats are 4-4 as home favorites, winning last two at home by 22-28. Pac-12 double digit home faves are 14-12.
UCLA gets suspended stars Anderson/Adams back from one-game ban after Bruins lost in double OT to Oregon Thursday; Bruins (-5) lost at Oregon State 71-67 Feb 2, making just 6-21 from arc. Beavers lost last eight visits to Westwood, last three by 10 or less points. Pac-12 home favorites of 9+ points are 18-13 vs spread. Bruins are 6-1 as favorites in Pauley Pavilion, with only non-cover when shorthanded Thursday.
Manhattan won four of last five games with Canisius, winning 84-73 in first meeting (+2.5) Feb 7 in Buffalo, making 11-22 from arc, surviving 20 turnovers (-9). Jaspers had emotional OT win over Iona Friday night; they're 5-4 as home faves, winning last three at home by 20-18-3 points. Canisius won/covered its last four road games; they lost last two visits here, by 13-13. MAAC home favorites of 6 or less points are 13-20-1.