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Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 27

Toronto won its last three games, all at home; they’re 1-7 in last eight road games, 4-11 vs spread in last 15 road games. Four of their last five games stayed under. New York lost six of its last eight games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine home games. Six of their last eight games went over. Knicks lost their last five games with Toronto; six of last nine series games went over the total. Raptors won last two visits to Manhattan by 27-4 points.

Bucks won four of last five games; they’re 2-8 vs spread in last ten road games. Six of their last nine games went over total. Cavaliers won eight of their last ten games; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six home games. Last three Cavalier games stayed under. Cleveland won five of last six games with Milwaukee; eight of last nine series games went over the total. Bucks lost last three visits to Ohio, by 15-9-11 points.

Golden State won six of its last seven games, is 7-4 vs spread in its last 11 road games. Four of their last six games went over. Sixers covered their last seven games overall, their last 11 home games. Six of their last seven games went over total. Warriors won their last six games with Philly but 76ers covered last three; Golden State won its last three visits here, by 20-5-3 points. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Atlanta lost four of its last five games, is 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Hawks’ last four games stayed under the total. Celtics five of their last seven games, are 0-5 vs spread (5-0 SU) in last five home games. Last three Boston games stayed under the total. Hawks won seven of last ten games with Boston; teams split last four meetings played here. Six of last seven series games stayed under.

Pacers lost seven of their last eight games; they’re 0-2-1 vs spread in last three road games. Last four Indiana games stayed under the total. Rockets won six of their last seven games, are 3-1 vs spread in last four home games. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Home side won six of last seven Indiana-Houston games; Pacers lost last three visits here, by 26-12-4 points. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Heat won three in row, 16 of its last 18 games; they’re 6-1 vs spread in last seven home games. Over is 6-4 in their last ten games. Mavericks lost three of last four games, are 8-2 vs spread in last ten home games. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. Miami won nine of its last ten games with Dallas; they won/covered last four games in this gym. Last five series games stayed under.

Timberwolves are 4-3 in their last seven games, but 1-3 vs spread in last four on road. Three of their last four games stayed under. Sacramento won five of last seven games; they covered four of last five home games. Last five Kings games stayed under the total. Kings won their last two games with Minnesota, by 3-4 points; teams split last four series games played here. Four of last six series games stayed under.
 

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Monday, February 27

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. NEW YORK
Toronto is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto
New York is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home

7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CLEVELAND
Milwaukee is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 games
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games at home
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

7:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
Golden State is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Golden State

7:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Boston's last 17 games at home
Boston is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta

8:30 PM
MIAMI vs. DALLAS
Miami is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

9:30 PM
INDIANA vs. HOUSTON
Indiana is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Houston's last 21 games when playing at home against Indiana
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana

10:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Minnesota's last 13 games
Minnesota is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Sacramento is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Minnesota
 

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Dunkel

Monday, February 27


Minnesota @ Sacramento

Game 513-514
February 27, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
113.300
Sacramento
111.872
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 5
212
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+5); Over

Miami @ Dallas

Game 511-512
February 27, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
111.981
Dallas
116.120
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 4
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 2
200
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+2); Over

Indiana @ Houston

Game 509-510
February 27, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
118.397
Houston
131.883
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 13 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 10
230
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-10); Under

Atlanta @ Boston

Game 507-508
February 27, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
117.044
Boston
128.178
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 11
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 4 1/2
212
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-4 1/2); Under

Golden State @ Philadelphia

Game 505-506
February 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
122.865
Philadelphia
119.002
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 4
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 13 1/2
231 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+13 1/2); Under

Milwaukee @ Cleveland

Game 503-504
February 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
115.385
Cleveland
120.191
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 4
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 8 1/2
217
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+8 1/2); Over

Toronto @ New York

Game 501-502
February 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
121.343
New York
117.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 4
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-2); Over
 

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NBA betting road map: Miami remains the NBA's hottest bet


Miami was 11-30 through its first 41 games (19-22 ATS) but over their last 18 games the Heat have won and covered 16 - with an average pointspread differential of +9.44.


The NBA's trade deadline is in the rear view mirror, and the only blockbuster trade was an unexpected one. The New Orleans Pelicans acquired DeMarcus Cousins from the Sacramento Kings for a mix of uninspiring players and draft picks. Meanwhile, the one team many expected to make a move, the Boston Celtics, stood pat as GM Danny Ainge was unable to find an offer compelling enough to part with any of his highly-valued draft picks.


The next three days will see some additional player movement as those players who are bought out will be free to sign with another team and be eligible for the playoffs. The clear winners of the trade deadline were the Golden State Warriors and the Cleveland Cavaliers, as no team emerged as a bigger threat to supplant either from its perch at the top of their respective conferences.


Let's take a look at the upcoming week in the NBA.


Spread Watch


Has there ever been a turnaround by a more unlikely team than what is happening right now with Miami? (Hint: the answer is 'no.')


Miami was 11-30 through its first 41 games (19-22 ATS), and nobody thought Erik Spoelstra's team was greatly underachieving, but over their last 18 games the Heat have won and covered 16 - with an average pointspread differential of +9.44. When Miami was in the midst of its 13-game SU/ATS win streak, the criticism was that its slate of opponents was not overly difficult (notwithstanding its upset of the best team in history, Golden State). It's true that just three of those 13 opponents had winning records (although eight had better records than the Heat), but check out the three teams Miami has just defeated on its current three-game SU/ATS win streak: Houston, Atlanta and Indiana. All three are above .500, and the Heat covered the spread by double-digits in each of those games - by an average of 17.3 points.


This week the Heat's schedule will be decidedly easier as they kick it off with games against Dallas, Philadelphia and Orlando (all among the worst eight teams in the league) before finishing up with Cleveland. Will Miami's turnaround continue? I wouldn't bet against it - at least not on Monday - as the Heat are 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS their last 11 versus Dallas.


Totals Watch


The Memphis Grizzlies, under former coach Dave Joerger, were a defensive-oriented ball-club. One of the reasons for Joerger's hire in Sacramento was that Kings management wanted those principles instilled among their young players.


The results this season are decidedly mixed as Sacramento currently ranks No. 23 in defensive efficiency. But lately, the Kings have been playing very good defense as only two of the Kings' last seven opponents have scored more than 100 points. One of those clubs was Golden State which "only" scored 109 versus Sacramento - nine points below its offensive average.


Not surprisingly, the Kings have gone 'under' the total in six of their last seven games (including the last five in a row). This week, Sacramento will face Minnesota, Brooklyn, Utah and Denver. The game versus the Jazz looks to be the best candidate to go 'under' as Utah has held its last four opponents to 95 points or less (3-1 'under') and the last three meetings between the Jazz and Kings have been relatively low-scoring affairs.


Injury Watch


Chris Paul was back on the court this past Friday versus the Spurs after missing his team's previous 14 games as he recovered from left thumb surgery. The Clippers went 6-8 SU and 8-6 ATS in those 14 games, so his return was seen as the catalyst to pushing the Clips back up in the Western Conference standings.


Unfortunately, Los Angeles lost 105-97 to the Spurs, but did bounce back with a hard-fought three-point overtime win versus Charlotte (although they failed to cover the spread in both games).


For the season, Los Angeles is 28-10 SU and 19-19 ATS with Paul in the lineup, and that .736 win percentage would have placed L.A. in third place in the Western Conference if it had been able to maintain their play in the games without Paul. Their chances of catching the Rockets for the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference are growing increasingly slim as Houston is five games up in the loss column.


This week the Clips will have a great opportunity to close that gap as they'll host the Rockets on Wednesday before traveling to the midwest to play road games at Milwaukee and Chicago. The Clippers should rout Houston, as Los Angeles will be playing with revenge from a 140-116 loss at Houston earlier this season and .585 (or better) teams are 79-25 SU and 64-38-2 ATS since 1992 as home favorites in the regular season if they're playing with revenge from a 24-point (or worse) defeat.


Schedule Watch


After a 22-8 start to the season, in which Toronto outscored its opponents by 9.0 points per game, Dwane Casey's men stumbled greatly. Toronto lost 16 of its next 26 games so management decided to make some changes.


The first was a Valentine's Day trade with the Orlando Magic to acquire Serge Ibaka. Then, this past Thursday, GM Masai Ujiri dealt Jared Sullinger and a couple of 2nd round draft picks to Phoenix for P.J. Tucker. The addition of Ibaka and Tucker greatly improves Toronto's defense. Ibaka is a great rim protector while Tucker is a tough-minded, versatile defender.


Since bringing in Ibaka, the Raptors have gone 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS and have held their opponents to just 96 ppg - more than 10 points below the offensive average of those three teams.


This week, Toronto will travel to Madison Square Garden to play the Knicks on Monday, before a home-and-home series with the Washington Wizards on Wednesday and Friday. The Wizards are currently the No. 3 seed in the Eastern Conference so these two games are among the biggest games left on Toronto's schedule. The Raptors have won all five of the meetings between these two clubs the past two seasons.


Look for Toronto to extend its win streak vs. the Wizards to six games, as Toronto will have a scheduling advantage on Wednesday. The Wizards will be playing without rest, while the Raptors will be rested. The Raptors are 89-62 SU and 81-65-3 ATS at home when rested against an unrested foe.
 

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Monday's NBA Essentials
February 27, 2017



Game of the Night - Indiana at Houston (TNT, 9:30 ET)


Although DeMarcus Cousins' drama and Boston's "will they or won't they" act starred at this year's trade deadline, the Pacers and Rockets got in strong supporting roles.


Paul George didn't appreciate that his market value was being gauged, but ultimately wasn't moved to Boston or his preference, L.A. Larry Bird didn't get him any help either, holding firm with the team he's assembled.


There were nothing but rainbows and lollipops on Houston's end, since it was able to pluck Lou Williams from the Lakers for a late first-round pick and Corey Brewer, adding to its offensive arsenal. Teams called about Patrick Beverley's availability, but he stayed put to play the pitbull role that works so well on a team where so many others are looking to score while he seeks out the dirty work.


The Rockets have averaged 135.5 points over their first two wins coming out of the All-Star break, defeating New Orleans and Minnesota. The schedule intensifies to open March with games against four of the West's top six, followed by a trip to Chicago and the Cavs making their lone venture into town. There are no back-to-backs in the mix, so we'll get a great read on how seriously to take Houston's championship aspirations over the next two weeks.


Head coach Mike D'Antoni has thumped his chest and declared more offense is sure to come as he revels in a system that GM Daryl Morey has helped facilitate. It's a different take on his seven-seconds-or-less days in Phoenix. In the present, James Harden is in the Steve Nash role of catalyst, but the 3-pointer has replaced even bothering with alley-oops to Amar'e Stoudemire and Shawn Marion. Why settle for the two when Eric Gordon, Ryan Anderson, Trevor Ariza and now Williams can spot up and drop one in for the extra point?


The Rockets made 22 3-pointers on Saturday night against Minnesota, breaking the mark Golden State set last season with their eighth game of 20 or more makes from beyond the arc in '16-'17. The plan is to put this record completely out of reach.


According to the Houston Chronicle, D'Antoni's instructions to Williams upon his arrival were to "only shoot when you touch it."


Houston christened the Cousins-Anthony Davis marriage in New Orleans by reminding everyone that bigs don't impact the game as much when you stay out of the paint, attempting 51 3-pointers. Afterward, the Rockets head coach hinted we'd better get used to seeing such a high volume of 3-point attempts fired up from this group the rest of the way. Williams matched a season-high with seven makes, immersing himself into the culture immediately.


"It's easy to play with these guys," Williams told reporters. "It's a very open style. Everybody eats. Everybody's happy. It fits my style."


Against Minnesota on Saturday, the Rockets fired up 44 3-pointers through three quarters and ended up with 58 attempts despite the fact they were trying to close out a game they led by 18 entering the fourth. Six Rockets put up at least seven 3-pointers. Their 142 points were a season-high, collected exclusively from the deep perimeter, the lane or the free-throw line. The total has been set around 230 for their last two games and is again in that neighborhood tonight.


Beverley played 29 minutes against the Wolves despite originally being scratched due to a groin injury, so his availability for tonight could be in question. He also got into it with Ricky Rubio, shoving Minnesota's point guard at one point in an incident that has yet to be ruled on by the league. The Pacers have backup forward Al Jefferson questionable with a dental issue and are coming off an 18-point loss in Miami that marked their seventh defeat in eight games. They were held to a 16-point fourth quarter and managed just 95 points against the Heat, their second-lowest output in a game in 2017. George was ejected for getting separate technical fouls early in the third quarter and comes into this one frustrated as his team makes the second stop on a five-game road trip.


Indiana is surrendering an NBA-worst 118.7 points per 100 possessions during its skid and will be looking to find its way against an attack that currently looks to be the league's most potent. The Pacers did win the first matchup in Indianapolis 120-101 on Jan. 29 in a game where George scored 33 and the team's bench dominated, shooting 18-for-27. Harden was held to 3-for-17 shooting, so expect him to be motivated here. The under has connected in four consecutive Pacers games.


Ex-Kentucky bigs are everywhere


It's hard to get away from Cousins these days. Not only is this Pelicans experiment of combining him with Anthony Davis among the most riveting story lines in the league, Cousins kept his name in the news by being unjustly whistled for an 18th technical foul in Oklahoma City that may keep him out of New Orleans' next game if not rescinded. His former team will be playing for the third time since shipping him out of town, welcoming in Minnesota.


The Kings lost to Charlotte on Saturday afternoon, tempering some of the excitement after they trounced Denver in the post-Boogie era opener. Most disappointing was Willie Cauley-Stein following up a 29-point, 10-rebound explosion with 2 points and 2 boards against the Hornets. He missed all five of his shots and was a non-factor. Thus far, he's been a bust over his career, especially when compared to his college teammate Karl-Anthony Towns, who started next to him up front on that 2014-15 Kentucky team that opened 38-0 before losing in the national semifinals.


Cauley-Stein went sixth after Towns was selected first in the 2015 Draft and is still looking for an opportunity to make a major impact, averaging just 7 points and 5 rebounds last year while Towns logged a double-double and won Rookie of the Year. This season, Towns is averaging 24 points and 12 boards, while Cauley-Stein found himself benched from the rotation at one point. In two games against Towns this season, he's averaged eight minutes of action. Sacramento won both games with Cousins outplaying Towns, but this will be Cauley-Stein's show when he comes in to spell starter Kosta Koufos.


Minnesota swept all four encounters when Towns and Cauley-Stein were rookies. They saw the most of one another in the final meeting as Cousins rested, starting against one another. Cauley-Stein hung tough, scoring 15 points in 33 minutes despite foul trouble, grabbing six boards. Towns posted 17 and 10, his 50th double-double as a rookie. For his career, Cauley-Stein has four, the most recent of which heightened hopes that he'll be able to flourish now that he's out of Cousins' shadow. Tonight is a big night for him, especially since team president Vlade Divac promised to step down if the team is not better off in two years for moving the face of their franchise in a move panned by most due to how little they got in return.


Sacramento is just one game behind Denver for the eighth and final playoff spot, while Minnesota is just three games behind. The Timberwolves are in the midst of a four-game road swing an are actually favored here, making this a must-win consiering they will visit the Jazz and Spurs next. Minnesota is 3-5 SU as a road favorite this season and has seen the over prevail in 11 of their last 14 games. Sacramento is on a five-game under run and has come in below the posted total in nine of their last 11.


Injury Concerns


Kristaps Porzingis is doubtful to play in tonight's home game against the Raptors. He left injured in Thursday's loss to Cleveland and didn't play as the Knicks survived Philadelphia on Saturday on a Carmelo Anthony winner. Joakim Noah was also absent in that game and is dealing with a hamstring issue. If those guys can't go, Kyle O'Quinn and Willy Hernangomez would start for New York. The Raptors continue to be without Kyle Lowry, who is out indefinitely with a wrist injury. Cory Joseph has averaged 13.5 points and six assists in lifting the Raptors to home wins over Boston and Portland while filling in.


LeBron James is dealing with a case of strep throat, so there's a high probability he'll use this illness as a chance to rest up for the playoffs. He's questionable against the Bucks tonight. Cleveland is 4-19 without James in the lineup since he returned to town in '15, losing all four times he's been absent this season.


Avery Bradley could return to the Celtics lineup against Atlanta after an 18-game absence. An Achilles injury has kept him out of 22 of the last 23 games, limiting him to only three appearances in 2017. Bradley was the subject of trade talk as a highly valuable two-way guard, but has been replaced nicely by Marcus Smart, who has really stepped up to fill the void as the strong defender required next to Isaiah Thomas. This will be Boston's third game in four nights, so they could use his fresh legs against the Hawks, who are an underdog against Boston for just the second time in their last nine matchups.


Golden State's Kevin Durant has been upgraded to probable after missing Saturday's game against Brooklyn with a hand injury. The 76ers won't have Joel Embiid for Philadelphia's only home game against the Warriors this season.


Head-to-head trends


-- The Warriors have won six straight in the series with the 76ers, last losing in Philadelphia in 2013. The 73-win team failed to cover in either one of their victories against last year's group, winning just 108-105 in Philly despite entering that game as a 17-point favorite. The last 10 games in the series have all gone under the posted total.


-- Since losing the 2011 NBA Finals, the Heat have beaten the Mavericks in 10 of 11 games, only losing at home in 2015 in a game where they managed just 72 points. They've dominated otherwise, winning each of the five games in Dallas. The under has connected in four straight. Before squaring off for the championship, the Mavs had actually won 14 consecutive games against the Heat. Miami has won 16 of the last 18 games, pulling within one game of Detroit for the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference entering Monday's action.
 

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Monday's Best Bet
February 27, 2017

Monday NBA Betting Preview
Indiana Pacers vs. Houston Rockets


Sportsbook.ag Odds: Houston (-10.5); Total set at 231



TNT is the leading broadcaster in the NBA with their Thursday night double-headers, but now they've pushed things over to Monday nights to try and expand their brand to another day of the week. These “Players Only” broadcasts should add another interesting flavor to TNT's NBA coverage and it begins with tonight's Pacers/Rockets game as the backend of a double-header.


As far as the actual game goes, this East vs. West matchup is a highly intriguing one as it was the Pacers who laid a beating on Houston about a month ago. Indiana won that game 120-101 as Paul George led the way with 33 points for the Pacers and the entire team shot 54% from the floor. They also held Houston to just 41% shooting from the floor and when the leading MVP candidate James Harden was a -23, had eight turnovers and just 15 points, chances are Houston's going to be in for a rough night.


However, things have changed drastically for both sides since then as Houston's bolstered their playoff bound roster to make a deep run, while Indiana spend the trade deadline dealing with enquiries about Paul George and appear to be in “tank mode” at the moment.


The Pacers enter tonight having dropped seven of their past eight games and posting a 3-5 ATS record during that stretch. They were blown out in Miami a few days ago on the latter half of a back-to-back to start this road trip and the rest of the trip doesn't get any easier.


It's Houston tonight, San Antonio on Wednesday, before going to Atlanta and Charlotte on Sunday/Monday to wrap things up. If the Pacers are entering “tank mode” you'll really get the picture from how they play over this next week. Other than George, and a sometimes-streaky Monta Ellis, the Pacers don't have the firepower to keep up with Houston in Houston if the Rockets are on top of their game. With a 7-2 SU record since that loss to Indiana, there aren't many reasons to believe the Rockets aren't on top of their game right now.


While Houston's defensive tendencies could still use some work, that's not their M.O and everyone knows it. The Rockets are build to run up the scoreboard on layups and 3-point shots and they've used that methodology to sit 3rd place in the West. The offense has come out of the All-Star break on fire, pouring in 129 and 142 points in their two wins as the addition of Lou Williams off the bench has made them an even deeper scoring machine.


Even at -10.5 points, this spread appears to be a touch low for the Rockets given the situation and how well they are going at the moment. Obviously a big number like this could always leave the “back door cover” available to Indiana backers late in the game, but it might not even be close enough for that to become a factor.


The Rockets would love to put a similar style of beating on the Pacers in the return match and with the fragile mentality of Indiana's organization right now in terms of what their next step may be, they might not care at all to fight not to get blown out. Indiana is 2-5 ATS in their last seven on the road against a team that's won 60% of their games this year and is on a 1-4 ATS run when their opponent has the same winning percentage at home.
 

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Hoop Trends - Monday
February 27, 2017



ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Heat are 11-0 ATS (8.68 ppg) after playing as a home favorite since Nov 19, 2016.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Cavaliers are 11-0 OU (11.09 ppg) with rest off a loss since Dec 05, 2016.


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Hawks are 12-0 ATS (11.96 ppg) as a road dog after Paul Millsap played fewer than 30 minutes since Dec 23, 2013.


CHOICE TREND:


-- The Hawks are 0-10-1 ATS (-12.05 ppg) on the road with rest off a 10+ loss in a road game in which they shot under 40% from the field since Feb 02, 2010.

ACTIVE TRENDS:



-- The Celtics are 0-7 ATS (-7.36 ppg) off a game as a favorite in which Isaiah Thomas had more than 30 points since Jan 18, 2017.
 

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Noah expected to miss rest of season
February 27, 2017



New York Knicks center Joakim Noah will undergo arthroscopic knee surgery and miss the remainder of the season, according to multiple reports Monday.


Noah, 32, will undergo the procedure on his left knee Monday, Adrian Wojnarowski of The Vertical reported. The surgery is expected to be a "clean up" of the left knee, league sources told Wojnarowski.


Noah is in the first year of a four-year, $72 million free agent contract he signed in July after playing nine seasons with the Chicago Bulls, who drafted him ninth overall in 2007.


The 6-foot-11, 230-pound Noah has missed the last seven games while dealing with a lingering hamstring injury. He hasn't played since a Feb. 4 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers, when he had four points and two rebounds in just six minutes.


Noah underwent arthroscopic surgery on the same knee in May 2014, but Monday's procedure is due to a new injury, according to ESPN.


Noah is averaging 5.0 points and 8.7 rebounds in 46 games this season. For his career, he owns averages of 9.0 points and 9.4 rebounds.


Meanwhile, the Knicks announced Monday the signing of free agent guard Chasson Randle to a contract. The team also waived guard Brandon Jennings.


The 6-2, 185-pound Randle, 24, appeared in eight games for the Philadelphia 76ers this season, averaging 5.3 points over 9.3 minutes, before being waived on Feb. 23.


Jennings, 27, signed a one-year, $5 million contract with the Knicks during the offseason to back up Derrick Rose. The 6-1, 170-pound Jennings averaged 8.6 points, 4.9 assists and 24.6 minutes in 58 games.


"Thank you to all the Knicks fans for the love all year long, and thanks to my teammates and the organization," Jennings tweeted.
 

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76ers: Embiid out indefinitely
February 27, 2017



Philadelphia 76ers forward Joel Embiid is out indefinitely with swelling in his injured left knee.


The team announced Embiid didn't practice Monday and is scheduled for more tests. He has missed the last five games.


From the team's official Twitter feed: "Embiid did not take part in shootaround after (swelling) in left knee. MRI today. Listed out indefinitely."


That announcement comes on the heels of general manager Bryan Colangelo declaring 2016 No. 1 overall pick Ben Simmons out for the season last week. Simmons had a procedure to promote healing in his injured foot, the 76ers said Monday via Twitter:


"Simmons minor foot procedure to stimulate bone growth, accelerate healing. Likely to resume training by end of week."


Without Embiid and Simmons, and having traded Nerlens Noel to the Dallas Mavericks at the deadline last Thursday, the 76ers are 4-6 in their last 10 games and 22-36 overall.


*************************


Shorthanded Cavs gear up for Bucks
February 27, 2017



CLEVELAND -- The Cavaliers are pretty bad without LeBron James.


But they could be really shorthanded Monday night when they host the Milwaukee Bucks in the finale of a four-game homestand and the last of what's been a great month of games for Cleveland.


James has strep throat. Kyle Korver bruised his knee Saturday night. Kevin Love and J.R. Smith are already out recovering from surgeries.


James missed the morning shootaround and the Cavs listed him as questionable against the Bucks. Korver is also listed as questionable, but he participated in the shootaround and said he expects to play.


And while free agent point guard Deron Williams will sign with the Cavs on Monday, he might not be available for the evening's game against the Bucks.


Enter Kyrie Irving, who's coming off a 34-point game in Cleveland's loss to the Chicago Bulls Saturday night and is averaging a career-high 24.6 points per game this season.


"My mindset doesn't change too much," Irving said, when asked about playing without James. "I understand there's a few extra shots I have to take, but I also have to create a lot more plays for my teammates. ... The start of the game, throughout the game, understanding I'm going to need other guys in position to play at an even higher level, especially when we have a gap like 'Bron not playing. You just take it as that and try to put guys in great position to succeed."


Irving nearly notched a triple-double with a season-high nine rebounds and seven assists in a 117-99 loss to the Bulls. He has scored at least 20 points in his last eight games, and needs one more assist to become the eighth player in team history with 2,000 career assists.


But when James doesn't play -- his status is to be determined, as is Korver's -- Irving's presence makes almost no difference. The Cavs are 4-19 without James since the start of the 2014 season and zero for their last seven. Irving was out for at least a couple of those games, but the point remains the same.


The Bucks, meanwhile, lost forward Jabari Parker for the season Feb. 8 to a torn ACL. They improved to 4-3 without him Sunday by beating the Phoenix Suns 100-96. Giannis Antetokounmpo led all players with 28 points and shot 11 of 13 from the field.


Antetokounmpo and Cleveland's James are two of only five players in the NBA this season to be averaging at least 20 points and shooting better than 50 percent from the field.


Michael Beasley scored 17 points off the bench. Malcolm Brogdon scored 15 points to go with seven assists in a reserve role. Former Cavs' sixth man Matthew Dellavedova struggled mightily, failing to score on 0-of-6 shooting.


Tony Snell (13 points, 3 of 6 3-pointers) and Korver are the NBA's top two 3-point shooters since Jan. 1 -- they are both shooting better than 51 percent.


"Lot of good stuff," Bucks coach Jason Kidd said. "Thought we were growing up, this is a growing up game. We're growing, we're going in the right direction."


Khris Middleton, who made his first start this season and finished with eight points and seven rebounds in 28 minutes, will not travel to Cleveland for the game, Kidd said. Middleton missed the first 50 games this season with a torn left hamstring.


***************************


Nets waive veteran forward Luis Scola
February 27, 2017



NEW YORK (AP) The Brooklyn Nets have waived veteran forward Luis Scola.


Scola averaged 5.1 points and 3.9 rebounds in 36 games this season, falling out of the rotation as the league-worst Nets focused more on their younger players.


General manager Sean Marks said Monday the Nets felt that Scola ''deserved the opportunity to contribute to a playoff contender.'' Because he was waived by the March 1 deadline, Scola would be eligible to sign with another team and appear on its playoff roster.


Scola has averaged 12 points while playing for five teams in his 10 NBA seasons, and won an Olympic gold medal with Argentina in 2004.
 

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Raptors PG Lowry to undergo wrist surgery
February 27, 2017



Toronto Raptors point guard Kyle Lowry will undergo wrist surgery Tuesday and is expected to miss the remainder of the regular season.


Lowry will undergo a procedure to remove "loose bodies" from his right wrist, the Raptors announced Monday on their Twitter site. The aim, according to the team, is for Lowry to be back by the playoffs.


The team's second-leading scorer, the 6-foot-1 Lowry is averaging a career-high 22.8 points to go along with 6.8 assists and 4.7 rebounds. He also is shooting 46.3 percent overall and a career-best 41.7 percent from 3-point range.


Lowry's last appearance came in the NBA All-Star Game on Feb. 19, when he scored 19 points and knocked down 5 of 9 3-point attempts. He scored at least 20 points in 10 of his last 13 games, including a four-game stretch from Jan. 27 to Feb. 1 where he netted at least 32 in each.


Cory Joseph started in Lowry's place in the past two games -- both wins -- and scored a combined 25 points while doling out six assists in each. Backup Delon Wright contributed 11 points in Sunday's win over Portland.


"Those guys did a good job," Toronto coach Dwane Casey said of Joseph and Wright after Sunday's win. "Not having our queen bee in there and our top guy to hand the ball off to offensively, defensively, 3-point shooting, we miss that part of it."


Lowry is in his 11th season overall and fifth with the Raptors. The former Villanova product was a first-round draft pick (No. 24 overall) of the Memphis Grizzlies in 2006.
 

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YESTERDAY'S NBA RESULTS:


Date W-L-T % Units Record


02/26/2017 11-5-0 68.75% +2750


MONDAY, FEBRUARY 27



GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


GS at PHI 07:00 PM


PHI +13.5


U 228.0

TOR at NY 07:00 PM


TOR -3.0


O 211.0


MIL at CLE 07:00 PM


MIL +7.5


O 217.0


ATL at BOS 07:30 PM


ATL +4.0


U 213.0


MIA at DAL 08:30 PM


DAL +1.0


O 200.0


IND at HOU 09:30 PM


HOU -10.5


U 231.0


MIN at SAC 10:30 PM


MIN -4.0


U 209.5
 

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C/note........nicely done yesterday..........BOL with tonight's action............indy
 

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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack


— Atlantic Sun tourney started Champ Week last night: both top seeds won easily. Only upset was a slight one, #5-seed Kennesaw State won at SC-Upstate.


— Virginia 53, North Carolina 43— Tar Heels are an ordinary 5-4 on ACC road.


— Baylor’s Jake Lindsey (#3) is the son of Utah Jazz GM Dennis Lindsey.


— Texas released PG Tevin Mack, who had been suspended; curious to see where he surfaces. Longhorns are 3-10 since Mack was suspended.


— Mississippi State gave football coach Dan Mullen a 4-year extension thru 2021. Guy makes $4.5M a year; I was stunned by that.


— 16 Miami Dolphins are in NYC this week, taking part in Miami owner Stephen Ross’ Business Combine that should help players manage and increase their wealth better.


**********


Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….


13) Can be difficult to evaluate pitchers in spring training; take Sunday, when Daniel Gossett looked good pitching against the Angels. Gossett is a prospect, but……


Normally when you face the Angels, you’ll face Calhoun-Trout-Pujols-Maybin in the first two innings. Sunday, Halos’ #3 hitter was Cliff Pennington, not exactly their “A” lineup, so you have to take Gossett’s performance with a grain of salt.


12) I’m a big fan of the Showtime program Billions; turns out that two of the three co-writers on the show also worked together writing Rounders and Oceans 13, two excellent movies.


11) With closer Jeurys Familia due to be suspended (domestic violence) at the start of the season, Addison Reed will be the Mets closer on April 3 and for several weeks after.


10) Toronto Raptors lose G Kyle Lowry (wrist) for the rest of the regular season; they hope to have him back for the playoffs.


9) These stats are from Justin Ray of Golf Channel: Average age of PGA Tour winners this season is 28.7 years old.


From 2000-13, average age of winners on Tour was 33.4 years old. In 2014-15, it was 30.4.


8) Reese Maguire is a minor league catcher in the Blue Jays’ system; think catching is in his genes? His dad caught, his grandfather was a catcher for Duke in the College World Series.


In 1952.


7) Random food fact: I’ve never had Italian ice or a snow cone. Or coffee.


6) NFL Combine is this week, so we’ll see lot of 40-yard dashes and agility drills and no one will remind us that Tom Brady had an awful Combine workout and is one of the best QB’s of all time.


Game film means more than workouts, though I’m guessing the interviews teams do with prospects are REALLY helpful. Like the time Geno Smith fiddled with his cellphone during his interviews. Never should’ve been drafted high after that.


5) San Diego Padres have used 84 players the last two years. Thats a lot.


Seattle Mariners made 37 roster moves between the end of last season and the start of spring training; GM Jerry DiPoto has totally cleaned house, building a new team around his nucleus of Robinson Cano/Felix Hernandez/Hector Cruz


4) Saturday in Las Vegas, an astute gambler played $7 on a 10-team college hoop parlay and it hit, making him $5,040 (720-1 odds). He played four totals and six sides.


3) Texas Rangers are 28-10 against the Astros the last two years, with 13 one-run wins. If the Astros can just go 10-9 against Texas this year, thats a 5-game swing in the AL West race.


2) Only three big leaguers played 162 games last year: Alcides Escobar, Jonathan Schoop and George Springer.


1— Steelers signed WR Antonio Brown to a $17M a year deal, making him the highest-paid WR in the NFL. Maybe next year he can actually listen to his coach’s post-game speeches instead of playing them on Facebook Live.


Brown’s father is Eddie Brown, known here in Albany as Touchdown Eddie Brown, a great player in the Arena League. Eddie Brown once scored nine TD’s in a Firebirds game; he was great fun to watch. Hard to believe it has been 18 years since they won the Arena Bowl.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up


Tuesday, February 28



Golden State won 12 of their last 14 games but are 1-4 vs spread in last five; they’re 7-5 vs spread in last 12 road games. Three of last four Warrior games stayed under. Wizards are 0-2 since All-Star break, after being 18-3 in last 21 games before it. Five of their last seven games went over the total. Warriors won nine of last ten games with Washington; they won their last five visits here (4-1 vs spread, over 5-0).


Portland lost six of its last eight games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in its last nine road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Pistons are 7-4 in their last 11 games, 6-2 vs spread in last eight at home. Five of their last six games stayed under. Detroit won its last three games with Portland, by 17-1-20 points; nine of last ten series games over total. Blazers won two of last three visits to the Motor City- road team won four of last six in series.


Denver lost three of last four games, is 1-5 vs spread in last six road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Bulls won/covered their last four games, both overall and on road. Five of their last seven games stayed under the total. Home side won last seven Denver-Chicago games; Nuggets lost last three visits here, by 28-5-9 points. Eight of last ten series games went over.


Phoenix lost 12 of its last 15 games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four road games. Under is 6-3 in their last nine road games. Grizzlies lost three of last four home games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Memphis won eight of last ten games with Phoenix; over is 5-5 in last ten series games. Suns lost three of last four visits to Memphis (2-2 vs spread).


Utah won/covered its last three games; they won/covered four of last five road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Oklahoma City won/covered its last three games; they’re 11-2 vs spread in last 13 home games. Five of their last six games went over. Thunder won seven of last nine games with Utah; Jazz lost their last four games here (2-2 vs spread). Nine of last ten series games stayed under.


Charlotte lost six of its last seven games; they covered four of last five road games. Five of last seven Hornet games stayed under. Lakers lost their last four games, are 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Lakers lost their last four games with Charlotte, but Hornets lost three of last five series games played here. Three of last four series games went over the total.
 

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Tuesday, February 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. WASHINGTON
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

7:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Portland's last 11 games when playing Detroit
Portland is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games

8:00 PM
UTAH vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Utah is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 10 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games when playing Utah
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

8:00 PM
DENVER vs. CHICAGO
Denver is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Denver
Chicago is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Denver

8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. MEMPHIS
Phoenix is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing Memphis
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games
Memphis is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games

10:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. LA LAKERS
Charlotte is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte
 

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Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 28

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (50 - 9) at WASHINGTON (34 - 23) - 2/28/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 58-84 ATS (-34.4 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 143-116 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 133-107 ATS (+15.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 81-59 ATS (+16.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 46-23 ATS (+20.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 92-123 ATS (-43.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (24 - 34) at DETROIT (28 - 31) - 2/28/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in road games this season.
DETROIT is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (26 - 33) at CHICAGO (30 - 29) - 2/28/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 122-165 ATS (-59.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 59-90 ATS (-40.0 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
CHICAGO is 46-66 ATS (-26.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (18 - 41) at MEMPHIS (35 - 25) - 2/28/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 127-95 ATS (+22.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
MEMPHIS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 7-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (37 - 22) at OKLAHOMA CITY (34 - 25) - 2/28/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 164-127 ATS (+24.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=98 points/game since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=98 points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
UTAH is 36-11 ATS (+23.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 70-42 ATS (+23.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
9 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (25 - 34) at LA LAKERS (19 - 41) - 2/28/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 161-201 ATS (-60.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 63-77 ATS (-21.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 168-211 ATS (-64.1 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 150-196 ATS (-65.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 60-87 ATS (-35.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 4-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Dunkel

Tuesday, February 28


Charlotte @ LA Lakers

Game 711-712
February 28, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
118.565
LA Lakers
106.326
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 12
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 3 1/2
216
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-3 1/2); Over

Utah @ Oklahoma City

Game 709-710
February 28, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
120.732
Oklahoma City
124.120
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 3 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 1
204
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+1); Over

Phoenix @ Memphis

Game 707-708
February 28, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
110.523
Memphis
127.692
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 17
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 10
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-10); Under

Denver @ Chicago

Game 705-706
February 28, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
116.210
Chicago
126.039
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 10
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3
221
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-3); Under

Portland @ Detroit

Game 703-704
February 28, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
115.489
Detroit
116.362
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 5
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+5); Over

Golden State @ Washington

Game 701-702
February 28, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
129.312
Washington
127.907
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 1 1/2
238
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 7
229 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+7); Over
 

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Short Sheet

Tuesday, February 28

Golden State at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
Golden State: 36-18 ATS after a non-conference game
Washington: 5-17 ATS in home games after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 20 or more

Portland at Detroit, 7:35 PM ET
Portland: 6-15 ATS as a road underdog
Detroit: 33-18 ATS as a home favorite

Denver at Chicago, 8:05 PM ET
Denver: 36-18 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games
Chicago: 8-19 ATS off a road win

Phoenix at Memphis, 8:05 PM ET
Phoenix: 22-10 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive road losses
Memphis: 20-10 ATS after playing a road game

Utah at Oklahoma City, 8:05 PM ET
Utah: 36-11 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent
Oklahoma City: 15-6 UNDER off a home win

Charlotte at LA Lakers, 10:35 PM ET
Charlotte: 4-13 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5
Los Angeles: 22-9 ATS in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses
 

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Tuesday's Tip Sheet
February 28, 2017



Game of the Night – Warriors (-6 ½, 229 ½) at Wizards – 7:05 PM EST


It took Golden State (50-9 SU, 27-30-2 ATS) 55 games last season to reach the 50-win plateau, while this season’s roster needed 59 games following Monday’s 119-108 triumph at Philadelphia. The Warriors failed to cover as 14-point favorites, the fourth time in five games that Steve Kerr’s squad hasn’t taken home the cash. Kevin Durant returned from a one-game absence to lead Golden State with 27 points, while Stephen Curry scored 19 points in spite of not hitting a three-pointer in 11 attempts.


Washington (34-23 SU, 32-25 ATS) is winless since the All-Star break following losses to Philadelphia and Utah. In Sunday’s 102-92 home defeat to the Jazz, the backcourt duo of John Wall and Bradley Beal combined to score 45 points, but Wall turned the ball over nine times. The Wizards dropped to 19-2 in their last 21 games at the Verizon Center, as Scott Brooks’ team scored its fewest points at home since a 92-85 victory over Denver on December 8.


Golden State has captured 10 of the past 11 matchups with Washington since 2011, including six straight wins at the Verizon Center. The Warriors have topped the 100-point mark in each of the last six visits to D.C., including a 134-121 shootout victory last February. Curry lit the Wizards up for 51 points in that win, including drilling 11-of-15 shots from downtown.


The Wizards own a 5-2 ATS mark in its last seven opportunities in the underdog role, but is 4-4 ATS this season when receiving points at home. Since suffering their Christmas Day meltdown at Cleveland, the Warriors have compiled a solid 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS mark as a single-digit road favorite in the last six tries.

Top of the Northwest



The Thunder are hanging around in the Northwest division race with the Jazz as the two teams hook up tonight in Oklahoma City. Utah holds a three-game edge after blowing out Washington on Sunday night, as the Jazz look for a perfect 3-0 road trip with a victory. Quin Snyder’s team has turned into a dangerous squad away from Salt Lake City by winning seven of the last 10 road games, while holding four of the past five away opponents to 95 points or fewer.


OKC tries to finish off its homestand at 4-0 following wins over the Knicks, Lakers, and Pelicans. The offense has turned it on at home of late by topping the 105-point mark in six consecutive games at Chesapeake Energy Arena. Seven of the last nine home games have sailed OVER the total, but both contests against the Jazz this season have finished UNDER the total. The Thunder seek their 11th straight home win over the Jazz since 2011, while going 7-2-1 ATS in this stretch.


Finding Consistency

Both the Pistons and Blazers sit below the .500 mark heading towards March as each club lost on Sunday. Detroit lost at home for the third time in the last 12 tries in Sunday’s 104-98 setback to Boston as two-point underdogs, but the Pistons have won and covered in each of their past six opportunities as a home favorite. The Pistons outlasted the Blazers in their last meeting at the Moda Center in January, 125-124 in two overtimes, led by Reggie Jackson’s 31 points on 13-of-26 shooting from the floor.


Portland’s road woes continued in Sunday’s 112-106 setback at Toronto, as the Blazers fell to 10-21 on the highway. Terry Stotts’ club dropped to 1-5 SU/ATS the last six opportunities as a road underdog, while owning a dreadful 1-7 ATS mark in the past eight games overall. Portland is listed as a road ‘dog at Detroit for the first time since January 2010, as the Pistons are 3-3 SU and 4-2 ATS the past six home matchups with the Blazers.

Chicago Fire



The Bulls are turning things around at the right time by winning four straight games to forge above the .500 mark. Chicago dominated Cleveland on Saturday night, 117-99 as six-point underdogs to beat the Cavaliers for the third time this season, as Jimmy Butler posted a triple-double with 18 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists. During this winning streak, Chicago has knocked off three of the top four teams in the Eastern Conference (Cleveland, Boston, and Toronto), as the Bulls host the Nuggets tonight.


Denver has put together an inconsistent February with a 5-7 mark, coming off Sunday’s seven-point home setback to Memphis. The Nuggets have struggled on the highway recently by dropping five of their last six games away from Pepsi Center with the only victory coming over the lowly Knicks on February 10. The home team has won seven consecutive games between the Nuggets and Bulls, as Denver outlasted Chicago, 110-107 in late November at Pepsi Center.


Sun Setting


Phoenix has lost 12 of its last 15 games as the Suns look to close out their three-game road trip at Memphis with a victory. The Suns have been competitive in each loss, falling in overtime at Chicago, while dropping a four-point decision at Milwaukee on Sunday. Phoenix last won on the road at Sacramento at the buzzer on February 3, while allowing at least 100 points in 21 of the past 22 contests overall.


The Grizzlies return to FedEx Forum after rallying to beat the Nuggets on Sunday for only their second win in the last five games. Memphis has lost two straight home contests, but beat Phoenix at FedEx Forum on February 8 by a 110-91 count as 7 ½-point favorites. The Grizzlies are 2-0 this season against the Suns with both victories coming by double-digits, but Memphis is listed as a favorite of 10 points or more for the first time this season.


La La Bland


The Lakers look to snap a four-game skid after dropping the last three contests by 17 points or more. San Antonio ran Los Angeles at Staples Center on Sunday, 119-98 to suffer its fifth home loss in the last seven tries. The Lakers host the Hornets, looking to avenge a 117-113 setback at Charlotte in December as Los Angeles squandered a 14-point halftime lead.


The Hornets ended a 12-game road losing streak in Saturday’s blowout win at Sacramento, as Charlotte continues a seven-game road swing. Charlotte is playing its second game in Los Angeles in three days after falling short in overtime to the Clippers on Sunday, 124-121 as 10 ½-point underdogs, the third cover in the last four games. In spite of dropping 13 of their last 15 games overall, the Hornets have played better of late, but meltdown losses at Toronto and Detroit isn’t helping its playoff chances.
 

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NBA LAST TWO DAYS:


02/27/2017 9-5-0 64.29% +1750


02/26/2017 11-5-0 68.75% +2750





TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 28


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


GS at WAS 07:00 PM


WAS +6.0


O 231.0



POR at DET 07:30 PM


POR +4.5


U 212.5


UTA at OKC 08:00 PM


OKC +1.5

U 204.5



DEN at CHI 08:00 PM


DEN +2.5


O 222.0


PHO at MEM 08:00 PM

MEM -9.0


U 210.0



CHA at LAL 10:30 PM


LAL +3.5


O 215.5
 

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