Cnotes NBA Season Trends/News/ Stats/ Picks All You Need To Know !

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, March 3


Boston @ LA Lakers

Game 839-840
March 3, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
114.827
LA Lakers
115.361
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 1
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 7 1/2
220
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+7 1/2); Under

San Antonio @ New Orleans

Game 837-838
March 3, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
123.162
New Orleans
120.214
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 3
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 7
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+7); Under

Oklahoma City @ Phoenix

Game 835-836
March 3, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
112.492
Phoenix
116.861
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 4 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 4
225
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+4); Under

Brooklyn @ Utah

Game 833-834
March 3, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
117.946
Utah
126.495
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 8 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 14
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+14); Under

Memphis @ Dallas

Game 831-832
March 3, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
123.028
Dallas
111.881
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 11
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 3
189 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-3); Over

LA Clippers @ Milwaukee

Game 829-830
March 3, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
120.756
Milwaukee
123.694
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 3
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 4
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+4); Over

Cleveland @ Atlanta

Game 827-828
March 3, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
125.183
Atlanta
119.366
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 6
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 3
214
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-3); Over

Miami @ Orlando

Game 825-826
March 3, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
122.719
Orlando
114.280
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 8 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 3 1/2
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-3 1/2); Over

New York @ Philadelphia

Game 823-824
March 3, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
111.964
Philadelphia
120.443
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 8 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 2
217
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+2); Under

Toronto @ Washington

Game 821-822
March 3, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
118.348
Washington
125.037
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 6 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5
207
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-5); Under

 

[CNOTES]

Friday's Tip Sheet
March 2, 2017


Game of the Night – Cavaliers at Hawks – 7:05 PM EST – ESPN


Cleveland has eliminated Atlanta in each of the past two postseasons, pulling off a pair of sweeps. The Hawks picked up a modicum of revenge in the first meeting this season at Quicken Loans Arena with a 110-106 victory as 7 ½-point road underdogs on November 8. The backcourt of Dennis Schroder and Kent Bazemore lit up Cleveland for 53 points, including seven three-pointers to snap an 11-game losing streak to the Cavaliers dating back to the start of the 2015 playoffs.


The Cavaliers (41-18 SU, 27-30-2 ATS) finished the month of February with a 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS mark, but stumbled to start March by dropping a 103-99 decision at Boston on Wednesday. LeBron James and Kyrie Irving each scored 28 points for Cleveland, but the Cavaliers were limited to 40% shooting from the floor to suffer their second loss to the Celtics in the last 10 tries. In the process, Cleveland dropped to 0-3 ATS the last three games and 1-6 ATS this season in the road underdog role.


Atlanta (34-26 SU, 29-31 ATS) started the second half of the season with ugly losses at Miami and Orlando, while averaging 88 points per game. The Hawks rebounded by routing the Celtics as road underdogs on Monday, 114-98, while holding off the Mavericks on Wednesday, 100-95. Mike Budenholzer’s team hasn’t won three straight games since pulling off a seven-game hot streak in January, as the Hawks are 0-3 in the last three tries off consecutive victories.


The Hawks have been listed as a home underdog only twice this season, knocking off the Spurs in overtime and suffering a 25-point setback to the Jazz. Atlanta is riding a 5-0-1 mark to the UNDER the last six games, including three straight UNDERS at Philips Arena. Cleveland has won and covered five of the previous seven opportunities as a road favorite, while capturing five consecutive victories at Philips Arena since 2015.

We Meet Again


The Wizards used a 26-1 run in the second quarter on Wednesday to pull away from the Raptors, 105-96 to snap a five-game skid to Toronto dating back to the start of the 2015-16 season. Toronto travels to Washington on Friday seeking revenge for that defeat as the Raptors have won in three straight visits to the Verizon Center, including a 113-103 triumph back in November.


Washington held off Golden State on Monday as seven-point underdogs to improve to 20-2 in its last 22 games on its home court. The Raptors have struggled on the road to say the least since late December by compiling a 3-12 record, including an 0-5 mark as an underdog. The three victories in this stretch haven’t exactly come against the elite of the league, beating the Nets twice and the Lakers.


Home Cooking


The Mavericks have been one of the best ATS teams since January by compiling a solid 16-6 ATS record, including an incredible 11-1 ATS mark at American Airlines Center. Dallas looks to cover another number when Memphis heads to the Lone Star State for a Southwest division battle.


The Grizzlies start a tough back-to-back set in Texas as Memphis travels to Houston on Saturday. Memphis looks to extend its winning streak to three following victories over Denver and Phoenix, as the Grizzlies limited the Mavericks to 64 points in their first meeting this season in mid-November. David Fizdale’s squad has performed well on the highway by capturing six of their last eight away contests, but have finished UNDER the total in the last two on the road since six straight highway OVERS.


Rivalry Renewed


The Celtics and Lakers meet for the second time this season as the two squads hook up at Staples Center. Boston begins a five-game swing against Western Conference foes, which includes games next week against the Clippers and Warriors. Brad Stevens’ club held off the Lakers last month at TD Garden, 113-107 as 11-point favorites, but the Celtics have lost in four of their last five trips to Los Angeles.


The Lakers are riding a five-game losing streak following Tuesday’s 109-104 home setback to the Hornets. Los Angeles has dropped six of its past nine in the role of a home underdog, as its last victory at Staples Center came on January 31 against Denver.


Never That Easy

San Antonio takes its five-game winning streak into New Orleans, looking to cover against the Pelicans at Smoothie King Center for only the second time in the last 11 visits. In the previous trip to New Orleans on January 27, the Spurs were blown out by the Pelicans as seven-point road favorites, 119-103. Gregg Popovich’s team is rolling on the highway by winning six of their last seven away from AT&T Center, including three straight covers as a favorite.


The Pelicans snapped their three-game skid in Wednesday’s blowout of the Pistons, but New Orleans has yet to win a game with DeMarcus Cousins in the lineup. Cousins returns following a one-game suspension as the Pelicans have been held to 99 points or fewer in two of three losses since the mid-February trade with Sacramento. Since beating Cleveland in January, the Pelicans own a 1-4 SU/ATS record in the past five as a home underdog with the only victory coming against the Spurs.


Gone Silent


The Jazz were squeezed out by the Thunder on Tuesday, but failed to show up the next night in a 27-point home defeat to the Wolves. Utah tries to get back in the win column against a team that hasn’t experienced many victories this season as Brooklyn invades Salt Lake City. The Nets were the last team to reach the 10-win plateau by knocking off Sacramento on Wednesday to end a 16-game skid.


Utah has struggled as a heavy favorite this season by putting together a dreadful 3-8 ATS record when laying at least eight points. The Jazz opened as 14-point favorites, as Utah was tripped up by Brooklyn last season at home as 11 ½-point chalk in a 98-96 setback in February 2016.


Head-to-Head Trends


-- The Knicks and 76ers have played a pair of games decided by one point apiece this season with the home squad winning each time. New York travels to Philadelphia seeking consecutive victories for the first time since late December, while the 76ers have covered 12 straight games at the Wells Fargo Center.


-- The road team has captured all three matchups between the Heat and Magic, as Orlando won the last two meetings in Miami. The final contest of the regular season between these division rivals takes place in central Florida as the Magic close out a five-game homestand (1-3 SU/ATS). The Heat have won 17 of their previous 20 games, including a 7-2 mark on the highway.


-- The Clippers hit the road for a back-to-back set in Midwest, traveling to Milwaukee on Friday, followed by a trip to Chicago on Saturday. Los Angeles has covered in six of its past seven road contests, while winning eight of the last nine matchups with Milwaukee. The Bucks have stumbled to a 2-8 ATS mark in their previous 10 games at BMO Harris Bradley Center.


-- Oklahoma City and Phoenix each play with no rest as the two squads meet in the Valley. The Suns lost the first two matchups with the Thunder in OKC earlier this season, while dropping six straight meetings with Oklahoma City. The Thunder has struggled with no rest this season by compiling a 3-8 record after losing at Portland on Thursday.

 

[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, MARCH 3


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


TOR at WAS 07:00 PM


WAS -5.0


U 207.0


MIA at ORL 07:00 PM

MIA -3.5


O 208.5


CLE at ATL 07:00 PM

CLE -3.0


O 214.0


NY at PHI 07:00 PM


PHI +2.0


U 217.0

LAC at MIL 08:00 PM


MIL +4.5


O 211.5


MEM at DAL 08:30 PM


MEM -3.5


O 190.0


OKC at PHO 09:00 PM


PHO +4.0


U 225.0


BK at UTA 09:00 PM


BK +13.5


U 205.5


SA at NO 09:30 PM


NO +6.5


U 208.0

BOS at LAL 10:30 PM


LAL +7.5


U 219.5

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack


— Jacksonville State 65, Belmont 59— Bruins went 15-1 in OVC, lost first tourney game. Most famous JSU alum? Maybe Dieter Brock, longtime CFL QB who led Rams to playoffs in 1985.


— Princeton 73, Harvard 69— Tigers are 13-0 in Ivy; Harvard was 13-28 on arc, still lost.


— Campbell 66, Redford 50— 17-16 Camels (#7 seed) are in the Big South finals.


— Western Michigan 88, Central Michigan 80— Broncos head to MAC tourney on an 8-game win streak.


— Akron 66, Kent State 56— Surprisingly intense rivalry game in the MAC.


— Noah Syndergaard’s salary this year? $605,500.


**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..


13) Former players at Georgetown are grumbling about the program’s recent struggles, but they won’t go on record with complaints, because they’re afraid of former coach John Thompson, father of current coach John Thompson III. Grown men are actually afraid of him.


JTIII got the Hoyas to the Final Four ten years ago, but they’ve only made the NCAA’s one of last four years and since ’07, Georgetown is 3-7 in NCAA tournament games, losing to mid-majors like Davidson-Ohio U-VCU-Florida Gulf Coast.


Apparently lot of the program’s biggest donors are former Hoya players, so if you alienate the elder Thompson, you risk losing those donors, who are loyal to him, meaning JTII probably gets to keep his job as long as he wants it. Must be fun to be the athletic director.


12) Longtime LA Kings radio announcer Bob Miller is retiring after 44 years with the team; he is beloved by hockey fans in southern California.


11) Best wishes to Minnesota Vikings’ coach Mike Zimmer, who is having his 5th/6th procedures on his damaged eye that caused him to miss a game last season.


10) Jake Elmore is a baseball journeyman; he’s appeared in 197 games over the last five years, but here’s the thing— he’s been on a different team all five years.


2012— 73 plate appearances in 30 games for Arizona
2013— 136 PA in 52 games for Houston
2014— 12 PA in five games for Cincinnati
2015— 158 PA in 51 games for Tampa Bay
2016— 99 PA in 59 games for Milwaukee


He’s played all nine positions, even pitching an inning for the Astros. This spring, he is in camp with the Blue Jays.


9) I’ve never seen numbers on this, but I’m thinking the hardest free throw for any player is the first one they take in a game, especially for visiting players.


First time you shoot with a different background, it can be tough. Someone with a fancy computer should do a study on this, but if I was coaching and we needed to foul late in the game, I’d go after a guy who hadn’t been at the line yet in that game.


8) Valparaiso tied for first place in Horizon League, but Alec Peters, their best player, has a stress reaction in his leg and is done for the season, which is a huge blow to their chances to win the conference tournament.


UCLA’s TJ Leaf sprained his ankle Wednesday night; he didn’t return to the game- they haven’t said how bad it is, but Bruins have very little depth, so if he is out for a few weeks, it is bad news.


7) Boise State’s Nick Duncan is from Australia; apparently he had never seen snow before coming to Boise, so when it snowed his freshman year and it snows a lot in Idaho, he didn’t know what to do. Wish I had never seen snow.


6) This is probably a coincidence, but DeMarcus Cousins has been suspended for two games this year because he has 18 technical fouls— his teams won both of those games easily.


5) Odd Stat of the Day: Chicago Bulls have won their last 18 home games that were telecast on TNT.


4) Canada’s team in the World Baseball Classic has Freddie Freeman, Joey Votto and Justin Morneau, so 1B/DH are spoken for, just not sure what Morneau is going to do.


3) Basketball teams are Cincinnati, Houston will be displaced next season while their arenas get facelifts. Think I heard one facelift costs $60M, the other $85M.


Cincinnati will play home games seven miles away next year, in Northern Kentucky’s arena just over the bridge from Cincy.


2) In a Nationals-Astros game Thursday, umps called a ball a home run that replay showed never left the park- it hit the top of the fence in two different places but stayed in the ballpark.


It amazes me that there are people who would prefer to have no replay and instead waste time having managers arguing with umpires, which accomplishes nothing. Replay corrects a lot of missed calls and while not a perfect system, is good for the game.


1— People bet on exhibition baseball and I’ve often wondered why, but thought of a solid angle today that could actually work. I’m probably late with this, but…….


Teams play their best lineups when they’re televising back to their home markets; for instance, as I type this, the Mets are on SNY and they’re playing their top guys against a rag-tag group of Astros. Syndergaard pitched a couple innings; they put their best foot forward today, as much as they would in a game on March 3rd. No guarantees, but it gives them an edge.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 4

Detroit split its last eight games; they’re 3-7 vs spread in last ten road games. Six of their last eight games stayed under total. 76ers are 13-0 vs spread in last 13 home games; they lost four of last six games overall. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Pistons won four of last five games with Philly; they won by 14-12 points in last two visits here. Sixers are 2-4 vs spread if they won the night before. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Cavaliers are 0-7 vs spread on road if they played night before. Cleveland won six of last eight overall, is 5-2 vs spread in last seven road games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Heat won four of last six games, are 9-2 vs spread in last 11 home games- they’re 8-2-1 vs spread if they played night before. Home side won last eight Cleveland-Miami games; Cavaliers lost last four visits here (0-4 vs the spread). Three of last four series games stayed under.

Raptors won their last six games, are 5-6-1 vs spread if they played night before- they’re 6-11 vs spread in last 17 road games. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Milwaukee is 5-3 in its last eight games, 3-9 vs spread if they played night before. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Toronto won its last seven games against the Bucks (6-1 vs spread); they won/covered last four visits to Wisconsin. Seven of last nine series games stayed under total.

Clippers are 1-4 since All-Star break; they’re 5-7 vs spread if they played night before, 6-2 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Bulls won five of last six games, are 5-1 vs spread in last six home tilts. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Clippers won seven of last nine games with Chicago; they won three of last four visits to Windy City. Four of last five series games stayed under total.

Timberwolves won four of last five games, are 6-3 vs spread in last nine road games. Five of their last six games stayed under total. San Antonio won its last six games, is 4-6 vs spread in its last ten home games, 8-2 vs spread if they played night before. Under is 6-2 in Spurs’ last eight games. Spurs won their last nine games with Minnesota (7-2 vs spread); Wolves lost last four visits to the Alamo (2-2 vs spread). Seven of last nine series games went over.

Grizzlies are 5-6 in last 11 games, 2-4 vs spread in last six on road, 10-4 vs spread if they played night before. Over is 10-5 in their last 15 games. Rockets won seven of last nine games; they’re 5-8 vs spread in last 13 home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Memphis is 5-3 in its last eight games with Houston; road teams won six of last nine games in series. Grizzlies won three of last four visits to Houston. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Charlotte lost seven of last nine games; they covered five of last seven on road. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Nuggets won three of last four games; they’re 8-3 vs spread in last 11 home games. Four of their last six games stayed under the total. Denver is 6-4 in its last ten games with Charlotte; nine of those ten games stayed under total. Hornets lost three of last five visits to Denver.

Brooklyn lost 17 of last 18 games; they’re 7-3 vs spread in last ten road games, 6-3-1 vs spread if they played night before. Six of their last nine games went over the total. Trailblazers lost five of last seven games; they covered one of last four at home. Last three Portland games went over total. Nets lost six of last seven games with Portland; they lost four of last five visits to Oregon (2-3 vs spread). Last three series games went over the total.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Saturday, March 4

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

6:00 PM
DETROIT vs. PHILADELPHIA
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Milwaukee is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games

8:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Cleveland's last 20 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Miami is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games

8:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games when playing Chicago
LA Clippers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Chicago is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

9:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Charlotte is 4-6-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte

9:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. HOUSTON
Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Memphis is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home

9:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

10:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. PORTLAND
Brooklyn is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Portland
Brooklyn is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Portland
Portland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Portland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (29 - 32) at PHILADELPHIA (23 - 38) - 3/4/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 30-43 ATS (-17.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
DETROIT is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) off an upset win as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (42 - 18) at MIAMI (28 - 34) - 3/4/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days this season.
CLEVELAND is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 36-26 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (37 - 25) at MILWAUKEE (27 - 33) - 3/4/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 382-445 ATS (-107.5 Units) in home games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 348-423 ATS (-117.3 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 143-185 ATS (-60.5 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 122-159 ATS (-52.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 9-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (36 - 25) at CHICAGO (31 - 30) - 3/4/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 215-268 ATS (-79.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 199-258 ATS (-84.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 123-166 ATS (-59.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 59-91 ATS (-41.1 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
CHICAGO is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in home games after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (25 - 36) at SAN ANTONIO (47 - 13) - 3/4/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 34-25 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 78-60 ATS (+12.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 501-416 ATS (+43.4 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 180-134 ATS (+32.6 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 159-121 ATS (+25.9 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 61-42 ATS (+14.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (36 - 26) at HOUSTON (43 - 19) - 3/4/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-5 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (26 - 35) at DENVER (28 - 33) - 3/4/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 161-202 ATS (-61.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
DENVER is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
DENVER is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (10 - 50) at PORTLAND (25 - 35) - 3/4/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 62-77 ATS (-22.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
PORTLAND is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

Inside the Paint - Saturday
March 4, 2017


ATS Rankings · Totals (O/U) Report · Betting Projections If you bet the NBA on a regular basis and lean to taking the points, then take a bow because your "Money Train" has arrived. Since Monday, underdogs have gone 21-16 straight up and 27-10 (73%) against the spread in the Association.


Eight more matchups on tap for Saturday and similar to last night, we’ve got plenty of home underdogs on the slate.

Game of the Night - L.A. Clippers at Chicago (ABC, 8:30 p.m. ET)


Even though Los Angeles (36-25 SU, 30-31 ATS) has faced serious injuries this season, it’s fair to say the team has been a major disappointment especially when you look at their talent. Hoping for a deep playoff run is a serious reach and head coach Doc Rivers hasn’t been able to push the right buttons since the All-Star break.


Los Angeles dropped a 112-101 decision on Friday at Milwaukee and has now lost four of five in the second-half of the season and the lone win came in overtime to a struggling Charlotte squad at home.


Despite the struggles, the Clippers opened as 1 ½-point road favorites over the Bulls on Saturday.


Even though they lost to the Bucks last night, L.A. has gone 14-9 SU and 9-14 ATS versus the Eastern Conference but eight of the nine losses came on the road.


While the Clippers have been struggling, Chicago (31-30 SU, 31-30 ATS) has rediscovered itself with a 5-1 record in its last six games. On Thursday, the Bulls notched an impressive 94-87 win over the Warriors as seven-point home underdogs and that improved their record to 19-12 SU and 16-15 ATS at home this season.


As an underdog at the United Center, Fred Hoiberg’s team has gone 7-2 both SU and ATS this season with wins coming against quality opponents like the aforementioned Warriors, along with the Cavaliers and Spurs.


The Clippers have gotten the better of the Bulls recently, winning two straight and seven of the last 10 between the pair. In the first meeting this season on Nov. 19, Los Angeles captured a 102-95 win at the Staples Center but failed to cover as an eight-point favorite.


Chicago nipped Los Angeles 83-80 last season at home but the Clippers had won and covered their five previous trips to the “Windy City” prior to that setback. The ‘under’ is on a 4-1 run in this series.


The total opened 212 and the early betting trends show an ‘under’ lean and that shouldn’t be surprising with Chicago’s strong lean to the low side (37-24) this season.


Something could have to give here knowing the Clippers have been a very strong ‘over’ bet (21-11) away from home this season. Also, the defense for Los Angeles has been a mess lately with the club allowing 116.6 points per game during its recent five-game span.

East vs. West


Along with the above matchup, we have two other non-conference games on tap for Saturday, both taking place on the West Coast.

Charlotte (26-35 SU, 25-33-3 ATS) at Denver (28-33 SU, 32-28-1 ATS)


As bad as the Hornets (+5) have been in 2017, they’re still receiving respect from the oddsmakers and tonight’s line versus Denver will likely have bettors backing the host. Charlotte started the second-half of the season on the road and its gone 2-3 with victories coming against the Kings and Lakers. They were just run 120-103 at Phoenix on Thursday but the other setbacks both came in overtime.


Denver is currently in the eighth spot in the West and it enters this game with confidence after ripping the Bulls (125-107) and Bucks (110-98) by double digits on the road earlier this week.


Charlotte has had trouble on the road (10-22 SU, 13-16-3 ATS) this season and Denver has always been a tough out at the Pepsi Center but this year's mark isn’t exactly great at 16-14 SU and 15-14-1 ATS. Denver swept the regular season series last year versus Charlotte and both games went ‘under’ the number.


While the Nuggets appear to be a better lean tonight on paper, be aware that the club is just 5-5 at home versus Eastern Conference foes. Total bettors should note that the ‘over’ has gone 8-1-1 in those games and tonight's number is listed as high as 222.


Hornets forward Frank Kaminsky (shoulder) will miss this game and that hurts an already depleted frontcourt.


Brooklyn (10-50 SU, 26-32-2 ATS) at Portland (25-25 SU, 24-36 ATS)


The late-night tip from the Moda Center is setting up to be the “chase” or “press” game and I’m assuming most bettors will play the Trail Blazers (-11 ½) and the ‘over’ (226 ½). This is the first time this season that Portland is laying double digits while Brooklyn is very familiar with that role (2-20 SU, 12-10 ATS).


Portland notched a solid 114-109 win on Thursday over Oklahoma City as a one-point home ‘dog but it still remains the worst team in the league for bettors. They haven’t covered two straight games since January and as poor as the Nets look in the standings, the club has been competitive under rookie coach Kenny Atkinson.


This series has been all Portland recently, with the Blazers going 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in the last seven encounters versus the Nets. In the first matchup this season, Portland diced up Brooklyn 129-109 as a 4 ½-point road favorite.


FatigueFactor


Saturday’s card will feature nine teams playing on no rest.


Listed below are SU and ATS records for each clubs plus any notable trends to watch.


76ers: 4-10 SU, 8-6 ATS (Started 0-4 ATS but have gone 8-2 since versus the number)


Cavaliers: 4-7 SU, 3-8 ATS (Cavs winless on the road, ‘under’ on a 4-1 run last five)


Heat: 4-7 SU, 9-2 ATS (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS at home, two losses by combined six points)


Raptors: 6-7 SU, 7-5-1 ATS (Three straight wins despite scoring 90 and 92 in two of them)


Bucks: 4-9 SU, 5-8 ATS (Rough start but 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS last three. Over on 7-1 run)


Grizzlies: 10-3 SU, 9-4 ATS (Started 8-0 but 2-3 in last five)


Spurs: 9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS (Only one of the 10 occurred at home and they lost)


Clippers: 5-7 SU, 5-7 ATS (Started 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS but have dropped seven straight since then)


Nets: 0-10 SU, 5-4-1 ATS (Allowed 125, 129 and 112 to opponents from West)

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Saturday
March 4, 2017


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Bucks are 0-13 ATS (-7.69 ppg) as a home dog off a win as a dog in which they shot over 50% from the field since Jan 10, 1997.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Grizzlies are 13-0 OU (16.58 ppg) with no rest off a loss as a favorite since Jan 28, 2013.


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Hornets are 0-11-2 OU (-15.00 ppg) as a dog off a road game in which Kemba Walker took more than 20 shots since Feb 04, 2013.

CHOICE TREND:


-- The Nets are 0-14-2 OU (-9.28 ppg) on the road off a loss as a dog in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent since Nov 24, 1999.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Bulls are 0-8 ATS (-12.81 ppg) at home after Dwyane Wade had a positive plus-minus since Nov 30, 2016.

 

[CNOTES]

Adam Silver says NBA All-Star format will change for 2018
March 4, 2017


Change is coming to the defense-optional All-Star Game, and NBA Commissioner Adam Silver wants to hear ideas.


Silver and players' union President Chris Paul of the Los Angeles Clippers have spoken about how to make the game more competitive. No decisions have been made, but the Western Conference's 192-182 win over the Eastern Conference last month in New Orleans underlined such a need.


Some All-Stars said that night they would like to see a more authentic game, and the league apparently agrees.


''We will change it by next year,'' Silver said. ''It shouldn't be playoff intensity, but the guys should be playing.''


Next year's game is in Los Angeles.


Silver spoke Friday at the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference, hosted by MIT. He even shared an email address - Adam(at)NBA.com - in case anyone wants to share suggestions with him.


''You hear people talking about 4-point shots, something that's not about to happen in the NBA, but maybe in an All-Star Game,'' Silver said. ''Maybe there's a few spots on the floor where it's a 4-point shot. Maybe there's a halfcourt shot in the last minute that's 10 points. I don't know. Those are crazy ideas.''


New Orleans' Anthony Davis scored an All-Star record 52 points in this year's game, 10 points more than the mark by Wilt Chamberlain that stood for 55 years. The West has flirted with 200 points in each of the last two seasons - 196 in 2016, 192 this year. Giannis Antetokounmpo had 12 dunks by himself, and LeBron James was taking (and once, made) shots from the midcourt area.


''We collectively want to try to make All-Star weekend better for the fans,'' Paul told reporters in Milwaukee on Friday. ''All the way around. Even in CBA talks and stuff like that, that was one of the things that the players, the owners and everybody was talking about. Trying to fix that, spice it up a little bit to keep it interesting.''


Bucks coach Jason Kidd, a perennial All-Star as a player, is confident the league will find the right fix.


''Adam's a very smart man,'' Kidd said, ''and they'll figure it out.''


For this year's game, the voting process was changed - fan votes were no longer the sole basis for selecting starters, but instead part of a formula that also took player and media balloting into account. The player-voting element in particular was criticized by some NBA coaches like Golden State's Steve Kerr, who said it wasn't taken as seriously as it should have been.


''In an All-Star game like this, guys aren't trying to get hurt,'' Cleveland's Kyrie Irving said after the All-Star Game. ''We all enjoy the company of each other's presence. But at the same token, us as competitors, when it starts getting close, you can feel it. For me, I would love to play in a competitive game.''

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, MARCH 4


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


DET at PHI 06:00 PM


PHI +4.5


U 212.5




MORE BB LATER THIS AFTERNOON

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, MARCH 4


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


CLE at MIA 08:00 PM


MIA -1.0


U 215.5


TOR at MIL 08:00 PM

MIL +1.0


O 203.0


LAC at CHI 08:30 PM


LAC -2.5


U 209.0


MIN at SA 09:00 PM


MIN +8.0


U 205.5


CHA at DEN 09:00 PM


DEN -5.5


O 221.0


MEM at HOU 09:00 PM


HOU -8.5


O 221.0


BK at POR 10:00 PM

POR -11.0


O 224.0

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack


— Duke and North Carolina have met only once in last 12 ACC tournaments. Duke won 75-58 in 2011 tournament final.


— Heat 120, Cavaliers 92— Cleveland is 0-8 vs spread on road if they played night before.


— South Dakota 78, Western Illinois 69 OT— Top seed in Summit League dodges a bullet.


— Justin Thomas leads the PGA event in Mexico; he had a hole-in-one on 13th hole.


— Penn 75, Harvard 72— Quakers qualify for Ivy tourney, which is next week on their home court, the Palestra.


— IUPUI 76, North Dakota State 57- -#7 seed upsets #2 seed in Summit League


**********


Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a basketball Saturday…..


13) North Carolina 90, Duke 83— ESPN should add a UNC alum (Brad Daugherty?) to its booth for this game, to even things up a little. I mean, Mike Krzyzewski’s son-in-law calls games for ESPNU. This is a huge rivalry- a little balance would be good.


12) Kansas 90, Oklahoma State 85— High-level game. Jayhawks had lost previous three visits to Stillwater. Bill Self is an Oklahoma State alum.


11) Missouri Valley tournament gets the Illinois State-Wichita State final they wanted; would think both teams get into the NCAA’s. These two teams are so much better than the other eight teams in the league. Final should be an excellent game.


10) Kentucky 71, Texas A&M 63— Wildcats fell behind 25-6, 19-4 in last two games, not a great habit now that it is March.


9) Charleston 67, James Madison 62— CAA officials breathe a sigh of relief as host team averts an upset, which would’ve killed attendance for the semis and maybe the finals. This tournament has always been held in Richmond or Baltimore, more central locations for the schools.


Odd thing: with 0:08 left in this game and Cougars up a point, one of the refs got a bloody nose, which delayed the game for a few minutes.


8) Wake Forest 89, Virginia Tech 84— Danny Manning’s Deacons making a case to get in the Field of 68- this is a quality win.


7) Villanova 81, Georgetown 55— From what you read, not lot of fun to be around the Hoyas’ program these days.


6) Cal-Irvine 79, Cal-Davis 49— Anteaters avenge earlier loss when Cal-Davis was 35-46 on foul line. Anteaters led this by 18 at the half- they win regular season title and #1 seed at Big West tourney in Anaheim next week.


5) Tennessee 59, Alabama 54— Vols were down 36-22 at half, won for only second time in their last seven games. Alabama can start selling tickets for the NIT.


4) St Francis PA 71, Wagner 70— Kid on St Francis hit a really tough 3-pointer that spun around rim couple times before it dropped in at the buzzer. Shooter had man right in his face. Red Flash got the ball at the other end of the court with 0:07.3 left- big road win for them in NEC tourney.


3) Nevada 85, Colorado State 72— Wolf Pack win Mountain West regular season title and #1 seed in Las Vegas next week. Only one team from this league is getting into NCAA’s, so the next time these teams meet could be a lot more important.


2) Upsets of the Day: Youngstown State (+12.5) 81, Oakland 80— Cameron Morse scored 34 as the Penguins advance to the Horizon semi-finals. Youngstown’s winning hoop was as bad a defensive play as you’ll ever see- Oakland left a guy all by himself under the basket.


Florida International (+11) 68, UAB 56— Blazers are fading late in year.
Cal-Santa Barbara (+10) 57, Cal Poly 44
Seton Hall (+8.5) 70, Butler 64— Quality road win for the Pirates.
Milwaukee (+8.5) 43, Valparaiso 41— Valpo’s best player didn’t play; Crusaders are out.


1— Jacksonville State 66, Tenn-Martin 55— JSU coach Harper has won four national titles at lower levels; he also won two C-USA tourneys at Western Kentucky. The guy can coach, and now he has his Gamecocks in March Madness for the first time.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 5

Indiana lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight road games. Last six Pacer games stayed under. Atlanta lost four of its last six games; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine home games. Under is 4-1-2 in their last seven games. Hawks won six of last eight games with Indiana; four of last five series games stayed under the total. Pacers lost their last four visits to Atlanta (1-3 vs spread).

Warriors lost consecutive games for first time in two years; they’re 0-5 vs spread since All-Star break, 0-4 in last four road games. Five of their last six games stayed under. New York lost 8 of last 11 games; they’re 3-7 vs spread in last 10 home tilts. Four of their last five games stayed under. Knicks lost their last five games with Golden State (2-3 vs spread); Warriors won their last three visits to Manhattan, by 23-14-21 points. Five of last six series games stayed under.

Orlando lost seven of last ten games, is 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Wizards won six of last nine games, are 7-4-2 vs spread in last 13 home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Washington won eight of its last ten games with Orlando; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Magic lost four of last five games here (2-3 vs spread).

Boston won three of last four games; they covered five of last seven road games. Under is 5-0-1 in their last six games. Phoenix won four of its last five home games; they’re 3-5 in last eight games overall. Five of their last six games went over. Celtics won last three games with the Suns; road teams won four of last five series games. Over is 3-1 in last four series games. Boston won three of last four games in the desert.

Utah won four of its last six games; they covered four of last six road games (over 5-1). Kings lost last three games, all at home; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five games. Since the Cousins trade, all seven Sacramento games stayed under the total. Jazz won five of last eight games with the Kings; teams split last four meetings played here. Last three series games stayed under total.

Oklahoma City lost its last six road games (1-5 vs spread); home side covered their last seven games. Eight of last nine Thunder games went over total. Mavericks won three of last four games; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Thunder won nine of last ten games with Dallas; they won last four games in this building (3-1 vs spread). Six of last eight series games went over.

Pelicans lost four of last five games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Seven of their last eight games stayed under total. Lakers lost their last six games; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Lakers lost seven of last ten games with New Orleans; Pelicans won three of last four series games played here. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Sunday, March 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:00 PM
INDIANA vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home

3:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. NEW YORK
Golden State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
New York is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State

5:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. WASHINGTON
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Orlando is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games when playing Orlando
Washington is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games

5:00 PM
BOSTON vs. PHOENIX
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Boston is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Phoenix's last 14 games at home
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

6:00 PM
UTAH vs. SACRAMENTO
Utah is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing at home against Utah

8:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DALLAS
Oklahoma City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games
Dallas is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Oklahoma City

9:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games
LA Lakers are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing New Orleans

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (31 - 30) at ATLANTA (34 - 27) - 3/5/2017, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 71-51 ATS (+14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (50 - 11) at NEW YORK (25 - 37) - 3/5/2017, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 78-108 ATS (-40.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 143-118 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 133-109 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (23 - 39) at WASHINGTON (36 - 24) - 3/5/2017, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 26-35 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a division game this season.
WASHINGTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 9-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (40 - 22) at PHOENIX (20 - 42) - 3/5/2017, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
BOSTON is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (38 - 24) at SACRAMENTO (25 - 36) - 3/5/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 90-62 ATS (+21.8 Units) on Sunday games since 1996.
UTAH is 36-12 ATS (+22.8 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 70-43 ATS (+22.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 46-64 ATS (-24.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (35 - 27) at DALLAS (25 - 36) - 3/5/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games this season.
DALLAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) on Sunday games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-6 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (24 - 38) at LA LAKERS (19 - 43) - 3/5/2017, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 63-78 ATS (-22.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 168-212 ATS (-65.2 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 150-196 ATS (-65.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 60-87 ATS (-35.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, March 5


New Orleans @ LA Lakers

Game 833-834
March 5, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
118.941
LA Lakers
105.492
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 13 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 5 1/2
215
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-5 1/2); Over

Oklahoma City @ Dallas

Game 831-832
March 5, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
124.819
Dallas
115.522
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 9 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 1
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+1); Under

Utah @ Sacramento

Game 829-830
March 5, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
125.247
Sacramento
108.747
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 16 1/2
190
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 9 1/2
194 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-9 1/2); Under

Boston @ Phoenix

Game 827-828
March 5, 2017 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
116.929
Phoenix
118.950
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 2
232
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 6
226
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+6); Over

Orlando @ Washington

Game 825-826
March 5, 2017 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
108.446
Washington
127.319
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 19
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 10 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-10 1/2); Over

Golden State @ New York

Game 823-824
March 5, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
133.655
New York
120.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 15
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 10
220
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-10); Under

Indiana @ Atlanta

Game 821-822
March 5, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
119.441
Atlanta
116.102
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 3 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 3
209
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+3); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Sunday, March 5

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Sunday’s NBA Game of the Day: Warriors at Knicks
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New York is playing a rare home game in a stretch that sees the struggling club play 10 of 13 away from home, including Friday's 105-102 loss at Philadelphia.

Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks (+10, 219.5)

The Golden State Warriors have dropped consecutive regular-season contests for the first time in nearly two years and will try to avoid their first three-game losing streak since November of 2013 when they visit the New York Knicks on Sunday. After opening a five-game road trip with a win at Philadelphia, the Warriors lost a thriller at Washington before falling 94-87 at Chicago on Thursday in their first game since losing All-Star Kevin Durant to a knee injury.

Golden State shot a season-low 38.6 percent in their worst offensive output since March 19, 2016 last time out. "A couple of shots we normally make did not fall," guard Stephen Curry told reporters. "That's not the reason we lost. We just need to understand that early in games, when we have new rotations, we cannot take our foot off the gas pedal. Every possession is important for us to pick up a rhythm without (Durant)." The Warriors have had no issues keeping their foot on the pedal when facing the Knicks, as they've won five straight meetings - all by at least 13 points. New York is playing a rare home game in a stretch that sees the struggling club play 10 of 13 away from home, including Friday's 105-102 loss at Philadelphia.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC

LINE HISTORY: The Warriors opened as 9.5-point road favorites over the Knicks but that line was boosted higher to 10 by early Sunday morning. The total hit the betting board at 221 and has steadily dropped to its current number of 219.5.

INJURY REPORT:

Warriors - SF K. Durant (Mid April, knee).

Knicks - C W. Hernangomez (Probable, ankle), SF M. Ndour (Mid March, ankle), C J. Noah (Out For Season, knee).

POWER RANKINGS: Warriors (-15.6) - Knicks (+0.7) + home court (-3) = Warriors -13.3

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (50-11 SU, 27-32-2 ATS, 26-35 O/U): Curry is a woeful 4-for-31 from beyond the arc on the road trip while fellow sharpshooter Klay Thompson is 7-for-33 as they get used to life without Durant, who is out at least four weeks. "We'll adjust without him," Thompson told the media. "We won't make excuses. We'll be better when he comes back. We've just got to push through. We've got enough talent, we've got enough depth." Rookie point guard Patrick McCaw has picked up a tiny bit of the slack during the rare two-game slide, making 6-of-7 shot attempts and both of his 3-point tries.

ABOUT THE KNICKS (25-37 SU, 32-30 ATS, 31-30-1 O/U): The ugliness continues in New York after the setback against the 76ers, as All-Star Carmelo Anthony followed up a 5-for-18 shooting night by calling out his team, and perhaps his coaches. "We play the same way throughout the course of the game," he told the media. "When teams make adjustments, we're still playing the same way as teams make adjustments defensively." Anthony is shooting 38.2 percent in five games since the All-Star break (2-3) while forward Kristaps Porzingis seems over a recent ankle injury, averaging 19 points and eight rebounds in two games since returning from a two-game absence.

TRENDS:

* Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games.
* Knicks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.
* Under is 10-2 in Warriors last 12 vs. NBA Atlantic.
* Under is 5-0 in Knicks last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
* Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 63 percent of users are taking chalk with the visiting Warriors and Over is picking up 62 percent of the totals wagers.

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday's Tip Sheet
March 4, 2017

Game of the Night – Thunder at Mavericks – 8:35 PM EST


Oklahoma City closed out its four-game homestand at 4-0 to finish off February. March hasn’t been too kind to the Thunder (35-27 SU, 34-27-1 ATS), as Billy Donovan’s squad has lost each of its first two games at Portland and Phoenix. The Thunder couldn’t hold onto a fourth quarter lead in Thursday’s 114-109 setback to the Blazers, in spite of Russell Westbrook putting up 45 points for OKC. In Friday’s 118-111 defeat to the Suns, the Thunder received 48 points from Westbrook, but the All-Star guard shot 3-of-12 from three-point range.


Dallas (25-36 SU, 34-27 ATS) has been rolling at home the last few months by compiling a terrific 9-3 SU and 11-1 ATS mark the last 12 games at American Airlines Center. The latest victory came in Friday’s 104-100 triumph over the Grizzlies as 2 ½-point underdogs, as Dallas bounced back after getting limited to a season-low 64 points in the previous matchup against Memphis in November. Rick Carlisle’s club owns a fantastic 8-1 SU/ATS mark in the favorite role at home, as Dallas opened as one-point chalk.


Last season, the Thunder knocked out the Mavericks in five games of the first round in the postseason, including a pair of double-digit victories at American Airlines Center. This season, OKC won the opening matchup at Chesapeake Energy Arena, 109-98 in late January as 9 ½-point favorites. However, Dallas was without the services of Dirk Nowitzki, Wesley Matthews, and the now-departed Deron Williams.


OKC is currently riding an 8-1 run to the OVER, while allowing at least 114 points in its last three road contests (all OVERS). Prior to cashing an OVER on Friday against Memphis, the Mavericks finished UNDER the total in the previous five contests, while busting the 100-point mark for the first time in the last seven games.

Rising Suns


Phoenix may not be headed to the playoffs, but the Suns are turning heads of late by winning consecutive games as a home underdogs against the Hornets and Thunder. The task doesn’t get easier when the Celtics continue their five-game road trip in the Valley, as Boston is fresh off a 20-point blowout of the Lakers on Friday night.


Brad Stevens’ team has compiled a solid 14-4 SU and 13-5 ATS record in the role of a road favorite this season, while holding off the Suns last season as 8 ½-point road favorites, 102-99. Phoenix has yet to win three consecutive games this season, as the Suns are 4-15 SU and 8-11 ATS off a victory.

Waving the Wand

Don’t expect many magic tricks in D.C. when Washington plays host to Orlando. The Magic own a dreadful 1-11 record in the last 12 games off a win since December, coming off Friday’s home blowout of the Heat. Orlando goes for its third victory this season against Washington as the Magic won in its previous visit to Verizon Center in December, 124-116 as 2 ½-point underdogs.


The Wizards have lost two of their past three home contests following an incredible 19-1 run in their previous 20 games in the Nation’s Capital. Scott Brooks’ club has put together a 10-2 record in their past 12 contests off a loss, but the Wizards own a 1-3 ATS mark as a double-digit favorite this season. Meanwhile, Orlando has thrived when receiving 10 points or more by compiling a 5-3 ATS record, including outright victories at San Antonio and Toronto.

Thorn in the Throne


Sacramento came out like gang busters in its first game following the trade of DeMarcus Cousins to New Orleans as the Kings blew out the Nuggets, 116-100 as 6 ½-point underdogs. The Kings have gone backwards since that win by losing three straight games, including a deflating home defeat to the Nets on Wednesday as Brooklyn snapped its 16-game skid. The Kings welcome in the Jazz, looking to close out their five-game homestand with a victory.


Utah rebounded from a humiliating 27-point home loss to Minnesota to knock off Brooklyn on Friday, 112-97 as 13-point favorites. The Jazz have compiled a 6-3 record in their past nine road contests, but Quin Snyder’s squad owns a dreadful 4-9 ATS record in its past 13 games away from Salt Lake City. Utah is making its first trip to Golden 1 Center after splitting a pair of home contests with Sacramento in December.

Stapled Shut

The Lakers have lost any semblance of a home-court advantage recently by losing four straight games at Staples Center, including all three on their current homestand. Two of those defeats have come by at least 20 points, as Boston rolled Los Angeles on Friday as 7 ½-point favorites, 115-95. Since winning three consecutive games in early January at Staples, the Lakers have dropped seven of the past nine home contests as the Pelicans invade Los Angeles on Sunday.


The Pelicans have yet to win a game with DeMarcus Cousins in the lineup, dropping all four contests, including Friday’s 101-98 overtime setback to the Spurs. New Orleans owns a 1-4 record since the All-Star break, winning the lone game with Cousins suspended against Detroit last Wednesday, but are 0-2 on the road. The Pelicans and Lakers exchanged a pair of blowouts in New Orleans back in November, while the Pels have won in three of the past four visits to Staples Center.

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, MARCH 5


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


IND at ATL 01:00 PM

IND +3.0


O 208.5


GS at NY 03:30 PM


GS -10.0


U 219.5


BOS at PHO 05:00 PM


PHO +6.0


O 227.5


ORL at WAS 05:00 PM


WAS -10.5


O 215.0


UTA at SAC 06:00 PM


UTA -9.5


U 194.5


OKC at DAL 08:30 PM


DAL -1.0


U 206.0


NO at LAL 09:30 PM

NO -6.5


O 216.0