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Friday's NBA Essentials
January 20, 2017



Game of the Night - Golden State at Houston (ESPN, 8:05 ET)


For drama’s sake, it’s too bad that Kevin Durant and James Harden have such a good relationship. The NBA is always at its best when Zaza Pachulia gets to play enforcer and the on-court banter is contentious.


The Rockets handed the Warriors one of their six losses this season, so there’s a revenge factor in play, but Harden, Durant, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green all know each other well from Team USA duty and All-Star games and get along. There won’t be the bad blood element that made Golden State’s 121-100 Wednesday night win over Oklahoma City so juicy, but we may get a competitive game for longer than a half here.


That may largely depend on the health of Houston shooters Ryan Anderson (flu) and Eric Gordon (toe), who have each missed games over the past week-plus. Gordon missed a pair of games early last week due to the issue and then had a 3-for-17 shooting night in Tuesday’s 109-103 loss at Miami, shooting 1-for-10 from beyond the arc. He was able to rebound with a 25-point night in Wednesday’s win vs. Milwaukee, his second-highest scoring output since mid-December, by knocking down seven 3-pointers. If Anderson shakes off any sluggish effects from his illness, Harden will have all his weapons around him for this showdown between the NBA’s two highest-scoring teams.


Oddsmakers have set this total at 237.5, which makes it the highest of the season, eclipsing the 234.5 that was placed on the Jan. 15 Rockets-Nets game. Houston won in Brooklyn 137-112, delivering the ‘over.’ The Warriors’ previous highest total was set at 234 in their 135-90 win over Portland on Dec. 17. The first meeting between these teams on Dec. 1 at Oracle saw the total set at 232, a figure eclipsed in overtime of the Rockets’ 132-127 2OT win that ended even at 113 after regulation. Houston snapped a run of nine consecutive losses to Golden State.


Anderson matched Harden’s output of 29 points while Gordon added 23 off the bench in a game where both teams fired up 44 3-pointers, setting an NBA record. Harden added 15 boards and 13 assists, while Durant scored 39, his largest output prior to Wednesday night’s 40 points against the Thunder.


Thompson shot just 4-for-20, missing 10 of 13 3-pointers, so he’ll be looking to get loose in this one as Mike D’Antoni and Steve Kerr square off for the second time as head coaches after sharing an extensive history working together in Phoenix last decade. That alone promises a fast tempo. These teams rank second (103.1) and fourth (101.3) in pace, with the Warriors the faster of the two, trailing only Brooklyn (104.3).


Golden State owns the NBA’s longest win streak (5) and its best road record, coming in 16-3, but has covered just seven times outside Oakland. Houston has the league’s third-best winning percentage at home, having won 17 of 21. It’s 11-10 ATS at the Toyota Center. This will mark only the second time this season that the Rockets will be a home underdog, having fallen to San Antonio as a 1.5-point dog on Nov. 12. The Warriors have been favored in every game this season and are beginning a four-game swing that will take them through Orlando, Miami and Charlotte. The Rockets open a five-game road trip in Memphis tomorrow and won't play another home game until Jan. 31.


East potential playoff preview pick'em
If the Eastern Conference playoffs began today – a leap, since we’re at the halfway point – the Hornets and Raptors would be squaring off in the 2-7 pairing. While fully aware there’s a long way to go, it’s worth humoring a potential meeting for the sole reason that sportsbooks have labeled this a pick’em in Charlotte. Presumably, that means Toronto would be roughly a 6-point favorite at home in a series opener, which illustrates just how wide open the East playoffs may be outside of heavily-favored Cleveland.


While key Raptors forwards DeMarre Carroll (neck), Patrick Patterson (knee) and Lucas Nogueira (concussion) are all question marks and Charlotte may again be missing backup guard Jeremy Lamb, both teams will have their primary catalysts in play, making this a fun barometer game.


If it’s as entertaining as the first meeting, a 113-111 Toronto win that featured Kemba Walker scoring 40 and DeMar DeRozan dropping 34, you’re going to need to be sure you’ve got this game going on a tablet. That meeting also closed as a pick’em.


DeRozan was deservedly voted in as an All-Star starter alongside Cleveland guard Kyrie Irving in results announced Thursday, while teammate Kyle Lowry and Charlotte’s Walker and Nicolas Batum will all get support from coaches for reserve spots. Lowry has joined DeRozan as an All-Star in each of the last two seasons, but neither Walker nor Batum has ever been honored, making this a statement game for both.


Walker hit 7-of-12 from 3-point range in the Nov. 11 loss, grabbing 10 rebounds and dishing out six assists, while Batum finished with 18-10-6, so they’ll be quite comfortable in this matchup. Walker is shooting a career-best 46 percent from the field and .415 percent from 3-point range and his 23.0 points per game rank eighth in the East. With Boston’s Isaiah Thomas and Washington’s John Wall also playing at an All-Star level, it seems like they’ll only be room for either Walker or Lowry, not both.


Batum is one of the conference’s top two-way players and is averaging career-bests in points (15.0), rebounds (7.4) and assists (5.9). He’s struggled with his shot, shooting career-worst percentages from the field (.398) and 3-point range (.320), but he’s been invaluable and does all the little things coaches appreciate, so he’ll certainly be on the bubble. After missing losses in San Antonio and Houston due to knee issues, Batum has twice flirted with triple-doubles, but shot just 2-for-12 from 3-point range and less than 38 percent from the field. Straightening out his shot will be a huge variable in this one.


Charlotte is just 2-7 in its last nine, but comes off its first win since Jan. 4, a 107-85 rout of Portland. Toronto had its four-game winning streak snapped by the 76ers on Wednesday, ending Lowry's string of 14 consecutive wins against his hometown team. The 94-89 loss snapped a seven-game run of scoring 100 or more points in which the Raps averaged 117.4. They shot just 6-for-24 from 3-point range, but remain second in the entire league in offensive efficiency (113.3), just behind Golden State (113.4). Toronto leads the Eastern Conference and ranks third overall in scoring, averaging 111.0 points per contest. It has won five of the last six over Charlotte, including three straight. The ‘under’ has prevailed in four of the past five Hornets games.


Notable Head-to-Head Trends


-- The 76ers are looking to cover the number for the ninth time in 10 games, a streak that began on Dec. 30 and has seen the former league doormat go 7-2 outright. After not having a single three-game winning streak since Jan. 2014, Philadelphia could win three in a row for the second time this month if they defeat the Trail Blazers. The Sixers have won five straight games with Joel Embiid in the lineup and catch Portland in a slump since its lost three straight. The Blazers have won three of the last four in the series.


-- We'll see if Giannis Antetokounmpo can celebrate becoming a first-time All-Star by snapping Milwaukee's three-game losing streak. The Bucks have failed to cover in six of eight, but face a Magic squad they've beaten twice already this season. Orlando is playing at home for the first time since Jan. 6 and hasn't won at Amway Arena since Dec. 26. The Magic are 2-9 since, going 4-7 ATS, and have lost four of five in this series. Leading scorer Evan Fournier (16.5 ppg) remains out with a foot injury.


-- New Orleans has won six consecutive meetings against the Nets, last losing to Brooklyn in 2014. Anthony Davis' didn't play in the Pelicans' 104-95 win in Brooklyn on Jan. 12 but is expected to participate here despite leaving prematurely after getting banged up in each of the last two games. The Nets have lost a league-worst 11 straight, making them the only team winless in 2017. They've covered only once in that span.


-- Atlanta will look for its sixth straight victory over Chicago as it begins a three-game homestand on the heels of a dreadful 118-95 Wednesday loss at the Pistons. They haven't lost consecutive games since Dec. 5. The under has prevailed in five of the last six Chicago games. Forward Taj Gibson will be a game-time decision due to an ankle sprain but practiced Thursday.


-- On the same night that we get the Rockets-Warriors track meet, it's ironic that the teams tied in running the NBA's slowest pace (93.3) square off. There was no line set as of this writing early Friday morning due to doubt over whether Jazz point guard George Hill will play. He also participated in practice Thursday and should play despite being regarded as a game-time decision. Three of the last four meetings between these two typically low-scoring squads have actually gone 'over the posted total, which has hovered in the 182.5-187 range.


-- The Lakers own the Western Conference's longest losing streak (5) but could get Luol Deng back for this date with the Pacers in the second half of ESPN's doubleheader. Indiana has won six of seven against L.A., which has been tied to courting Paul George as a potential franchise player for the past few years. That could lead to some enthusiastic cheering for at least one of the visitors. George scored 30 against the Lakers at Staples last year and has scored 30 or more in two of the last three against them.
 

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Friday's Tip Sheet
January 20, 2017



Favorites rolled to a perfect 5-0 record both straight-up and against the spread on Thursday, including home victories by the Cavaliers and Spurs, who meet up on Saturday. The Clippers had their seven-game winning streak snapped by the Timberwolves, 104-101, while the Heat ended Dallas’ three-game hot streak, 99-95.


Game of the Night – Warriors (-4 ½, 236 ½) at Rockets – 10:30 PM EST – ESPN


Two of the top three teams in the Western Conference meet up in Houston as the Warriors are coming off a perfect 4-0 homestand. Golden State (36-6 SU, 18-23-1 ATS) is fresh off a pair of victories over the two teams the Warriors faced in the final two rounds of the playoffs last season. Steve Kerr’s squad routed the Cavaliers in an NBA Finals rematch on Monday, 126-91 as nine-point favorites, while pulling away from the Thunder on Wednesday, 126-91 as Kevin Durant torched his former team for 40 points on 13-of-16 shooting.


The Warriors square off with their third straight playoff opponent from last season on Friday as Houston (33-12 SU, 28-17 ATS) lost to Golden State in five games of the first round in 2016. The Rockets bounced back from a surprising setback at Miami to beat Milwaukee at home on Wednesday, 111-92 as 6 ½-point favorites. Houston overcame an early deficit to outscore Milwaukee in the second quarter, 30-12, as James Harden led the Rockets with 38 points and six assists.


Both Harden and Golden State’s Stephen Curry were named as Western Conference All-Star starters as the two superstars match up for the second time this season. Houston outlasted Golden State in overtime at Oracle Arena on December 1 in overtime, 132-127 as 11-point underdogs to snap an 11-game skid in Oakland. The Rockets have struggled with the Warriors over the years by compiling a 3-16 SU and 6-13 ATS record in the past 19 matchups since February 2014.

Philadelphia Freedom



The 76ers won only 10 games last season, but have already eclipsed that win total by owning a 14-26 record through 40 games. To show how far Philadelphia has come, the Sixers have four fewer victories than the Blazers, a team who reached the Western Conference semifinals last season. Portland travels to the City of Brotherly Love looking to snap a three-game skid, as the Blazers play the third of a four-game road swing.


Philadelphia has won seven of its past nine games, while compiling an 8-1 ATS record in this span. The 76ers are starting to build a small home-court advantage at Wells Fargo Center by winning four straight, while limiting each of those opponents to 97 points or fewer. Philadelphia and Portland split a pair of matchups last season with the home team winning each time, including a 114-89 blowout by the 76ers last January.

Flying Back



The Hawks were blitzed early in Wednesday’s 118-95 setback to the Pistons as Detroit outscored Atlanta in the first quarter, 42-18. Atlanta is riding a six-game winning streak following a loss as the Bulls invade Philips Arena tonight for the teams’ second meeting this season. The Hawks held off the Bulls in the first matchup in Atlanta in early November, 115-107 to beat Chicago for the fifth straight time. Chicago lost in the final seconds to Dallas on Tuesday, as the Bulls look to improve on a 3-1 ATS mark in the past four as a road underdog.


Time to Sting


The Hornets snapped a five-game losing streak in Wednesday’s 107-85 rout of the Blazers as Charlotte attempts to build a winning streak. Charlotte plays host to Toronto, as the Raptors had their four-game hot streak come to an end in Wednesday’s five-point defeat at Philadelphia. Toronto has had its way with Charlotte by winning five of the past six matchups since April 2015, including a 113-111 triumph at Spectrum Center in mid-November.


Hitting the Highway


Sacramento begins an eight-game road swing following a 1-6 homestand, capped off by a second meltdown in a 106-100 setback to Indiana. The Kings head to Memphis tonight as Sacramento will be without forward Rudy Gay for the remainder of the season after rupturing his Achilles’ tendon on Wednesday. The Grizzlies have dropped three of their last four contests off Wednesday’s three-point defeat at Washington. The road team has won each of the first two meetings this season between Sacramento and Memphis, but the Grizzlies are 7-2 in the last nine matchups.


Purple Pain


The Lakers have fallen apart of late by dropping five in a row, while going 0-5 ATS in this stretch. Los Angeles hosts Indiana tonight as the Pacers are rolling of late by posting a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS mark in the past eight games. The Pacers erased a 22-point deficit to stun the Kings on Wednesday to improve to 3-7 in the last 10 games away from Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The Lakers have struggled in the underdog role of late by compiling a 1-7 SU/ATS in the last eight opportunities, but cashed at Indiana as nine-point ‘dogs in a 115-108 setback in November.


Head-to-Head Trends


Milwaukee has won four of the previous five matchups with Orlando, including the first two meetings this season. The Bucks travel to Orlando looking to snap a three-game losing streak, while the Magic have dropped seven of their past eight contests.


The Pelicans have seen plenty of success against the Nets recently by winning six straight against Brooklyn since March 2014. New Orleans rallied past Brooklyn at Barclays Center on January 12 without Anthony Davis, 104-95, while the Pelicans’ last three home victories over the Nets have come by six points or fewer.


Utah captured the first two matchups with Dallas at home this season, but visit American Airlines Center for the first time. The Mavericks are 15-2 in the past 17 home meetings with the Jazz since 2007, as Utah edged Dallas in overtime last season in Texas, 121-119.
 

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Hoop Trends - Friday
January 20, 2017





ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Grizzlies are 15-0-2 ATS (6.82 ppg) as a favorite off a loss in a road game since Mar 09, 2015

OU TREND OF THE DAY:



-- The Pelicans are 14-0-1 OU (11.50 ppg) at home off a 10+ point win since Feb 23, 2015.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:



-- The Warriors are 0-9 OU (-10.39 ppg) since Nov 04, 2016 on the road after Draymond Green took fewer than 10 shots


CHOICE TREND:


-- The Trail Blazers are 11-0 ATS (7.91 ppg) as a road favorite with rest since Jan 03, 2016.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Bucks are 12-0 OU (16.71 ppg) with less than two days rest off a 10+ point loss in a road game since Dec 18, 2015.
 

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Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack


— Jazz 112, Mavericks 107 OT— Fun game to watch; had to switch to the Dallas TV guys. Utah announcers were so monotone, they had me falling asleep, and this was a fun game.


— 76ers 93, Trailblazers 92— Sixers won eight of their last ten games.


— Youngstown St 92, Green Bay 89— Pretty big upset in the Horizon League.


— Yale 75, Brown 74— Bulldogs were down a dozen at the half.


— Lakers lost D’Angelo Russell to an MCL sprain and a calf strain.


— Monmouth 82, Manhattan 71— Hawks lead St Peter’s by half-game in MAAC.


**********


Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff on a winter day


13) Packers-Falcons Sunday is the last football game at the Georgia Dome; Falcons get a new domed stadium next season. Georgia Dome is where the Rams won their Super Bowl; kind of sad to see it go. Plus, it isn’t that old, maybe 25 years old?


Braves/Falcons both get new stadiums in 2017; people in Georgia must pay lot of taxes.


12) Was fun watching some D-League on TV this week; every college player should be glued to it, to see how many really good college players aren’t in the NBA. Until your game is as refined as it can be, you’d be wise to stay in college, get your education as you prep for pro basketball.


11) To make the NBA, you have to be great at one thing; a player named Devondrick Walker from Texas A&M-Commerce was 12-12 on the arc in two games for the 76ers’ D-League team this week. Shooters are always marketable- maybe the Sixers will call him up.


10) The Texas high school football championship game drew 35,089 fans; thats more than 20 of the 40 college bowl games that were played this season.


9) Florida State’s basketball team is 5-1 in the ACC; opponents are shooting 46.1% outside the arc against the Seminoles, only 42.9% inside the arc. Very unusual set of numbers.


8) Over his last 13 games, totaling 316:00, Rajon Rondo has taken zero foul shots. None. Bupkus.


Over his last 17 games, covering 442:00, he is 0-2 on the charity stripe. How does this happen?


7) Washington Wizards’ Otto Porter didn’t play AAU ball as a kid; his parents wouldn’t let him. His dad was the all-time leading scorer at SE Missouri State, thought Otto would develop better as a player if he just worked on his game and he was right.


6) Speaking of the Wizards, they’re 17-7 in their last 24 games, after a 6-12 start. Glad for coach Scott Brooks, who got a raw deal in Oklahoma City.


5) I had no idea that Mississauga is the 6th-largest city in Canada. Now I know.


4) If you’re a student at U of Oregon, your student ID also serves as a free bus pass for the city of Eugene, so you’ve got that going for you.


3) I’m not sure which is more surprising, that someone didn’t vote for Ken Griffey Jr for the Hall of Fame last year, or that Tim Wakefield got a Hall of Fame vote this year.


2) Georgia leads the SEC, shooting 73.9% on the foul line as a team; there are five teams in the Southern Conference shooter higher than that from the line.


1— It still amuses me how close some fans are to the benches in NBA games; those tickets cost a lot of money, but they’re sitting right next to the trainer or an assistant coach. Have to be some interesting conversations that go on, ya think?
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, January 21

Portland lost its last four games, losing brutal 93-92 game in Philly last night; Blazers are 5-12 as a road underdog. Four of their last six games stayed under total. Celtics won seven of last nine games, are 10-7 as a home favorite. Over is 11-3-1 in their last 15 games. Trailblazers won five of last seven games with Boston, winning two of last three visits here. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Wizards won four games in row and 10 of last 13; they’re 6-5 as road underdogs. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Pistons won last two games after a 4-11 skid; they’re 1-6 in last seven games as a home favorite- over is 6-3 in their last nine games. Washington won five of its last six games with Detroit, losing two of last three visits to Motor City. in series where home side won seven of last eight series games. Four of last six series games stayed under total.

Brooklyn snapped 11-game skid last night in New Orleans; they’re 5-8-1 in last 14 games as a road underdog, 2-2-1 if they played night before. Charlotte won eight of last nine home games, covering last three. Last four Hornet games stayed under the total. Hornets won five of last six games with Brooklyn; over is 4-1 in last five series games played here. Nets split last four visits here, but covered all four games.

Embiid (rest) will not play for 76ers tonite. Sixers won eight of last ten games, are 8-3 in last 11 games as a road underdog. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Hawks won 10 of last 12 games, are 3-1 in last four games as a home favorite. Three of last four Atlanta games went over. Philly lost nine of last ten games with Atlanta (2-7 vs spread in last nine); they lost last five visits here (2-3 vs spread). Four of last five series games went over total.

Milwaukee lost its last four games (0-4 vs spread), is 5-10 as a road underdog, 1-5 if they played night before. Over is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Heat won last two games, are 4-4 as a home favorite. Four of last five Miami games went over the total. Bucks won seven of last nine games with Miami, winning three of last four visits here. Three of last four series games went over total.

Phoenix lost four of last five games, is 3-7 in its last ten games as a road underdog. Suns’ last five games went over total. Knicks lost six of last eight games, are 10-3 as home favorites; last three New York games went over total. Suns won four of last six games with New York; they lost three of last four games in MSG, but are 3-1 vs spread in those games. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Rockets lost four of last six games; they’re 10-6 as road favorites, 8-2 if they played night before. Rockets’ last three games stayed under. Grizzlies won/covered last four home games; they’re 6-4 as home underdogs. Over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Memphis won five of last seven games with Houston; over is 7-3 in last 10 series games. Rockets lost three of last five visits here.

San Antonio won six of its last eight games, is 2-0 as a road underdog. Over is 11-2 in their last 13 games. Cleveland lost three of last five overall, but they’re 19-3 SU at home, 9-4-1 in last 14 games as a home favorite. Under is 7-5 in their last 12 home games. Spurs won eight of last ten games with Cleveland (2-2 since Lebron came back to Cavs); San Antonio won four of last five visits here (3-2 vs spread). Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Sacramento lost seven of last eight games, is 7-10 as a road underdog. Under is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Chicago lost five of last seven games, is 3-10 in last 13 games as a home favorite. Three of Bulls’ last four games went over total. Bulls won last three games with Sacramento by 18-5-7 points; Kings lost last five visits to Windy City, but covered four of the five losses. Last six series games stayed under.

Indiana won seven of last nine games, is 5-8 as a road underdog, 1-6 if they played night before. Last three Pacer games stayed under total. Utah won its last five games but is 2-7 vs spread in its last nine; they’re 6-10 as a home favorite. Last three Jazz games went over total. Jazz won last two games with Indiana after losing six of previous seven series games. Pacers split last four visits here. Four of last six series games stayed under.

Clippers are without Paul/Griffin; LA won seven of last eight games, is 2-6 vs spread in last eight road games- under is 6-2-1 in their last nine overall. Denver won three of last four games, is 1-5 vs spread in its last six home games. Nuggets’ last nine games all went over the total. Clippers won six of last eight games with Denver, winning by 15-17 points in last two visits here. Eight of last nine series games stayed under.
 

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Saturday, January 21

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Trend Report
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5:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. BOSTON
Portland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Boston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

6:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. DETROIT
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home

7:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Brooklyn's last 23 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Charlotte is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn

7:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. ATLANTA
Philadelphia is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

7:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. MIAMI
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Milwaukee's last 19 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Miami's last 19 games when playing Milwaukee
Miami is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee

7:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing New York
Phoenix is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing New York
New York is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games
New York is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Phoenix

8:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Houston is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games
Memphis is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Houston

8:30 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. CLEVELAND
San Antonio is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games
San Antonio is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home

9:00 PM
INDIANA vs. UTAH
Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indiana's last 14 games
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

9:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. DENVER
LA Clippers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games when playing LA Clippers
Denver is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
 

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Long Sheet

Saturday, January 21

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PORTLAND (18 - 27) at BOSTON (26 - 16) - 1/21/2017, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
PORTLAND is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 51-36 ATS (+11.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
BOSTON is 72-53 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 124-159 ATS (-50.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
BOSTON is 102-138 ATS (-49.8 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (23 - 19) at DETROIT (20 - 24) - 1/21/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
DETROIT is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (9 - 33) at CHARLOTTE (22 - 21) - 1/21/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
BROOKLYN is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 6-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 6-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (15 - 26) at ATLANTA (25 - 18) - 1/21/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in January games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 8-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (20 - 22) at MIAMI (13 - 30) - 1/21/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 141-183 ATS (-60.3 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 146-108 ATS (+27.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 7-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 7-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (13 - 29) at NEW YORK (19 - 25) - 1/21/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 89-61 ATS (+21.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (33 - 13) at MEMPHIS (26 - 19) - 1/21/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 154-117 ATS (+25.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
HOUSTON is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 110-78 ATS (+24.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
HOUSTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (33 - 9) at CLEVELAND (30 - 11) - 1/21/2017, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 2-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (16 - 26) at CHICAGO (21 - 23) - 1/21/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 88-110 ATS (-33.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 54-74 ATS (-27.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 121-164 ATS (-59.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 42-62 ATS (-26.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 35-51 ATS (-21.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (22 - 20) at UTAH (28 - 16) - 1/21/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in road games this season.
INDIANA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (29 - 15) at DENVER (17 - 24) - 1/21/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Inside the Paint - Saturday
January 21, 2017



Game of the Night – San Antonio at Cleveland (ABC, 8:35 p.m. ET)


The Spurs and Cavaliers met in the 2007 NBA Finals and according to Sportsbook.ag, a major offshore outfit, the pair have a legitimate shot to meet again this summer.


In their NBA Finals Possible Matchups prop, a San Antonio-Cleveland combination garners 11/2 odds (Bet $100 to win $550).


Bettors will get a chance to see the pair in action on Saturday as Cleveland (30-11 straight up, 18-21-2 against the spread) welcomes San Antonio (33-9 SU, 25-17 ATS) to Quicken Loans Arena for a nationally televised showdown.


No overnight line was posted on this game due to the injury status of a couple big men. San Antonio’s Pau Gasol is ‘out’ with a finger injury while Cleveland’s Kevin Love (back) is listed as ‘questionable.’


Coincidentally, these teams met in a primetime showdown last season on ABC and Cleveland ran past San Antonio for a 117-103 victory at home. Since LeBron James returned to the Cavaliers, the series is knotted at 2-2 and three of the four games were decided by four points or left. The total has gone 2-2 during this span.


Cleveland looked sharp in Thursday’s 118-103 home win over Phoenix, covering as an 11-point favorite. Prior to that victory, the Cavaliers were mired in a 4-4 SU and 1-7 ATS rut with six of those games taking place on the road.


San Antonio also notched a blowout win this past Thursday, a 118-104 decision over Denver as 13-point home favorite. While the Cavs have struggled versus the number this season, the Spurs have been a great investment and the point-spread rarely matters in their games. Going back to Dec. 6, San Antonio has covered the number in 15 of its 16 wins.


The Spurs did own the best road mark in the NBA at one point but they’ve been jumped recently by Golden State, who is 17-3 as a visitor. San Antonio started the season 15-0 on the road but it’s just 2-4 in its last six away.


Cleveland has gone 13-5 versus the Western Conference this season and four of the losses came on the road. At home, the Cavs have gone 8-1 SU and 5-4 ATS in nine non-conference affairs. San Antonio is 13-4 SU and 9-8 ATS in non-conference action. On the road, the Spurs are 5-2 (3-4 ATS) versus the East but the two losses came by a combined six points.


As expected, both San Antonio (11-5) and Cleveland (12-6) have produced great records versus teams above .500 this season. If you’re expecting a close affair, the Cavaliers have the edge with a 3-0 mark in games decided by three points or less while the Spurs are 3-4 in that role.


East vs. West


Along with the marquee matchup, there are four other non-conference matchups slated for Saturday.


Portland at Boston:
This game tips a tad early (5:00 p.m. ET) from TD Garden and the Celtics have been installed as healthy home favorites (-7 ½). The Trail Blazers are in terrible form right now, losing four straight and that includes a collapse at Philadelphia last night. Portland has been dreadful versus the East this season (5-11), especially on the road (2-7 SU, 2-7 ATS). The home team went 2-0 in last year’s regular season games between the pair and both Boston and Portland notched exactly 116 points in their victories.


Phoenix at New York: Despite losing at Cleveland on Thursday, the Suns have gone 8-6 versus the East but six of those wins came in the desert. New York has gone 8-6 versus the West this season, which includes a 5-4 both SU and ATS mark at home. The Suns outlasted the Knicks 113-111 in the desert on Dec. 13 and the ‘over’ (219) connected. Phoenix has gone 1-3 in its last four trips to Madison Square Garden and the ‘under’ went 3-1 in those games. The Knicks (-6) have been a great wager as home favorites this season, going 9-2 both SU and ATS.


Sacramento at Chicago: The Bulls have won three straight against the Kings and they captured a 107-102 win in California last season. The ‘under’ has cashed in six straight and seven of the last eight meetings between the pair. Chicago has been shaky as a home favorite (9-8 SU, 7-10 ATS) this season and it’s only 2-5 from the United Center versus opponents from the West. Fortunately for the Bulls, Sacramento is 5-11 versus the East and only managed to go 2-7 on the road in those games.


Indiana at Utah: The Jazz have gone 10-6 versus the East this season and they’re starting to clean up at home, winning four straight non-conference matchups. The Pacers are 4-5 in non-conference games on the road and they’ve only been able to hold one opponent under 100 in this span. The Jazz swept the Pacers in the regular season series last season, which included a 122-119 shootout victory from Salt Lake City.


Zero Days Rest


Half of the 22 teams in action on Saturday will be playing back-to-back spots and there are three matchups that feature both clubs facing no rest.


Listed below are their records on zero days rest this season and notable trends.


Portland: 3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS (Trail Blazers have won and covered three of last four)


Philadelphia: 1-8 SU, 3-6 ATS (76ers are 3-1 ATS last four)


Brooklyn: 0-6 SU, 2-3-1 ATS (Nets allowing 118.7 PPG)


Charlotte: 3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS, 5-3 O/U (Hornets 2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS last three)


Milwaukee: 2-6 SU, 2-6 ATS (Over 3-0 last three, 4-1 last five)


Houston: 10-1 SU, 8-3 ATS (League-Best record)


Memphis: 8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS (Grizzlies 0-2 last two, but 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS at FedEx Forum)


Utah: 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS (Jazz are 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS last four)


Indiana: 1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS (Allowing 120 PPG in four road games)


Sacramento: 2-6 SU, 3-4-1 ATS (Kings are 1-4 last five, only averaging 97 PPG on no rest)


Chicago: 4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS, 3-7 O/U (Three of the four wins came on the road)


Total Notes


The Denver Nuggets have seen 75 percent of their games go ‘over’ (30-10) this season and they enter Saturday’s matchup at home versus the Clippers with a nine-game run to the high side. Los Angeles is playing with a short-handed squad but the ‘over’ has gone 13-7 in its road games this season.


Chicago has been the best ‘under’ bet (29-15) in the NBA this season and that includes a 13-9 home record.


Something has to give in the Brooklyn-Charlotte matchup tonight. The Nets have seen the ‘over’ cash in four straight while the Hornets are on a 4-0 run to the ‘under.’


The lowest total (202 ½) for Saturday takes place between Indiana and Utah. Despite slowing it down and playing great defense, the Jazz have seen the ‘over’ cash in its last three games.
 

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Hoop Trends - Saturday
January 21, 2017


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:



-- The Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS (7.46 ppg) at home with no rest off a 10+ point win since Jan 15, 2005.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Celtics are 12-0 OU (12.88 ppg) at home with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite in which they had at least 25% of their points from free throws since Jan 03, 1996.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:



-- The Trailblazers are 0-9 ATS (-11.83 ppg) since Dec 07, 2016 after CJ McCollum was not the Trailblazers’ high scorer.

SDQL CHOICE TREND
:


-- The Nets are 0-11 ATS (-6.91 ppg) on the road off a game as a dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers since Apr 29, 2015.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Rockets are 8-0-1 OU (13.33 ppg) since Apr 25, 2014 on the road after James Harden had at least 5 turnovers in a home loss.
 

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SATURDAY, JANUARY 21


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


POR at BOS 05:00 PM


BOS -8.0


O 218.5


WAS at DET 06:00 PM


WAS +1.0


U 210.0


BK at CHA 07:00 PM


CHA -12.0


PHI at ATL 07:00 PM

PHI +10.0


O 198.5



MIL at MIA 07:30 PM


MIA -1.0


PHO at NY 07:30 PM

NY -5.5


O 222.0



HOU at MEM 08:00 PM

MEM +1.5



SA at CLE 08:30 PM

SA +2.5


O 212.5



LAC at DEN 09:00 PM


DEN -4.5


O 221.0


IND at UTA 09:00 PM


UTA -7.5


U 201.5



SAC at CHI 09:00 PM


SAC +7.0


U 205.0
 

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Those is bold is my best bets.......




Armadillo: Sunday's eight-pack

Eight golfers who have shot 59 on the PGA Tour:


— Al Geiberger


— Chip Beck


— David Duval


— Paul Goydos


— Stuart Appleby


— Jim Furyk


— Justin Thomas


— Adam Hadwin.


**********


Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……


13) Florida State 73, Louisville 68— More than once on this telecast, Dick Vitale ripped the Florida State fans for being frontrunners: “If you want these fans to come back, you better win this game.”


I’m sure Leonard Hamilton will love those comments, but his team did win.


12) Arizona 96, UCLA 85— This was first time in ten years these teams met when both were in the top 15 in national ratings. Arizona played great defense in this game; they contested 3’s without fouling and held Bruins to 10-31 from the arc.


11) Butler 70, DePaul 69 OT— Blue Demons led 25-5 right off the bat, missed FT with 0:01 left to win game, as Bulldogs avoided what would’ve been a really bad loss.


10) Upsets of the Day:
— Vanderbilt (+12) won 68-66 in a noon game at Florida, snapping a 4-game losing skid.
— Niagara (+10.5) won 57-55 over a St Peter’s team playing its 4th game in seven days.


9) UNLV 87, Air Force 85 (2 OT’s)— Last two times these teams met, there were total of five OT’s played. Rebels tied game with a banked 3 at buzzer of regulation; Falcons returned favor at buzzer of the first OT, then banked another 3 at the buzzer of the second OT to cover the 3-point pointspread.


8) Oklahoma State 83, Texas Tech 64— Cowboys get their first Big X win (1-6); they’ve led five of the seven games at halftime.


7) Wake Forest 93, NC State 88— Wolfpack was 16-27 on foul line, 6-26 on arc, and still scored 88 points. Wake Forest was 29-33 on foul line, which made all the difference.


6) Central Michigan 101, Miami OH 92— 5-foot-9 Marcus Keene scored 50 for the Chippewas, who were down 10 at the half. CMU was 20-33 behind the arc.


5) Notre Dame 84, Syracuse 66— Orangemen have lost eight in row on the road, their longest road losing streak since 1962.


4) Marquette 102, Creighton 94- Bluejays’ first game without injured PG Mo Watson (out for year) didn’t go well.


3) Duke 70, Miami 58— Hurricanes led by 11 at half, then Duke started second half on a 20-1 run. Having Amile Jefferson back helps the Blue Devils.


2) Spurs 118, Cavaliers 115, OT– ABC got a barnburner for their first Saturday primetime game of the year. I’m guessing Lebron James must like the Cavaliers’ sleeved uniforms, or else they wouldn’t wear them. Kawhi Leonard had 41 points for the Spurs.


1— Kentucky 85, South Carolina 69— Sindarius Thornwell scored 34 of Gamecocks’ 69 points, but there is no one in the SEC who can hang with Kentucky in Rupp Arena.
 

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NBA
Dunkel


Sunday, January 22


Denver @ Minnesota


Game 837-838
January 22, 2017 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Denver
124.473
Minnesota
119.226
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 5
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 4 1/2
221
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+4 1/2); Over


Phoenix @ Toronto


Game 835-836
January 22, 2017 @ 6:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
110.618
Toronto
125.174
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 14 1/2
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 11
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-11); Over


LA Lakers @ Dallas


Game 833-834
January 22, 2017 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
111.917
Dallas
121.466
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 9 1/2
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 5 1/2
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-5 1/2); Under


Golden State @ Orlando


Game 831-832
January 22, 2017 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
129.205
Orlando
119.301
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 10
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 13 1/2
224
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+13 1/2); Over








NBA
Long Sheet


Sunday, January 22


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GOLDEN STATE (37 - 6) at ORLANDO (18 - 27) - 1/22/2017, 12:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 76-106 ATS (-40.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 135-109 ATS (+15.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 125-100 ATS (+15.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 76-52 ATS (+18.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 66-47 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 201-160 ATS (+25.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
ORLANDO is 125-163 ATS (-54.3 Units) in January games since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LA LAKERS (16 - 31) at DALLAS (14 - 29) - 1/22/2017, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 56-71 ATS (-22.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 25-38 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 52-76 ATS (-31.6 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 39-54 ATS (-20.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 9-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PHOENIX (14 - 29) at TORONTO (28 - 15) - 1/22/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 166-130 ATS (+23.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
TORONTO is 112-146 ATS (-48.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DENVER (18 - 24) at MINNESOTA (15 - 28) - 1/22/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 165-216 ATS (-72.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 41-60 ATS (-25.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 6-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 8-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------








NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up


Sunday, January 22


Golden State won its last six games with Orlando (4-2 vs spread); they won last three visits to central Florida by 13-15-16 points. Warriors won last six games overall (5-1 vs spread); they’re 3-6 in last nine games as a road underdog. Five of their last six games stayed under. Orlando lost seven of last nine games, is 2-8 as a home underdog. Four of last five Magic games went over the total.


Lakers lost last ten games with Dallas, covering one of last six; LA lost by 8-4-34 points in last three visits here. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Los Angeles lost five of last six games overall, is 1-11 in its last 12 true road games, 0-4 in last four games as a road underdog. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Mavericks lost three of last four home games, are 1-1 as home favorites. Under is 3-1 in their last four home games.


Suns won five of last seven games with Toronto, covering all seven games; teams split last four series games played here. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Suns won in New York last night; they lost four of last six games but covered six of last eight- they’re 4-3 vs spread in last seven road games. Raptors lost last two games but won/covered four of last five at home. Over is 6-2 in last eight Toronto games.


Denver won its last five games with Minnesota (4-1 vs spread); they won/covered last five visits to Twin Cities, in series where road team won seven of last nine series games. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Nuggets won four of last five games, are 9-7 as road underdogs. Over is 9-1 in their last ten games. Minnesota won four of last six games, covered six of last seven; they’re 5-4 as home favorites. Under is 8-4-1 in their last 13 games.








NBA


Sunday, January 22


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


12:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Golden State is 7-13-1 ATS in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games at home


3:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. DALLAS
LA Lakers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Dallas is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers


6:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. TORONTO
Phoenix is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Phoenix is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix


7:00 PM
DENVER vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
 

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Hoop Trends - Sunday
January 22, 2017



ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Raptors are 0-11 ATS (-5.95 ppg) at home off a 10+ point loss in which they had less than 40% of the total rebounds since Feb 25, 2004.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Nuggets are 11-0 OU (13.77 ppg) after they had 6+ double digit scorers since Dec 12, 2016.


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Warriors are 0-11 OU (-9.00 ppg) since Nov 21, 2016 on the road after Draymond Green was not the Warriors’ high scorer.


CHOICE TREND:

-- The Lakers are 0-10 ATS (-8.95 ppg) as a road dog off a home game after allowing 15+ points less than Vegas projected since Jan 16, 2004.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Warriors are 0-10 OU (-12.80 ppg) on the road with rest since Nov 18, 2016.
 

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Preview: Warriors (37-6) at Magic (18-27)
Date: January 22, 2017 12:00 PM EDT


The moment it happened was still kind of shocking. Here was an All-Star driving into the lane and losing the ball, losing the ball at the hands of a nondescript, little-known defender. These are not run-of-the-mill players. These are the best the league has to offer.


And to do so against a relatively nondescript team such as the Orlando Magic and a young, up-and-coming player like Aaron Gordon is still surprising.


The league is still getting to know this 21-year-old who wowed the basketball world with his athleticism in last year's All-Star dunk contest. And quickly, for those who watch enough, they are beginning to see him put that athleticism and talent to work on the defensive end against some of the league's best perimeter players.


The next challenge? All-Star Kevin Durant and the Golden State Warriors, who come to town for a Sunday afternoon matinee.


That is a challenge Gordon is looking forward to as he expects to be the one guarding the former league MVP throughout the game.


"It's going to be fun. It's going to be a lot of fun," Gordon said. "It's still a five-man defensive scheme. There is going to be a lot of switching going on. I'm very trusting in my team that we are going to get the job done."


According to NBA.com's stats database, Gordon is stellar defensively. Opponents are shooting 40.8 percent on field goal attempts he defends, nearly four percentage points lower than the league average.


Observationally, Gordon turned in some monster performances. That includes frustrating Giannis Antetokounmpo into 17 points on 6-for-17 shooting before fouling out with 4 1/2 minutes to play on a charge drawn by Gordon in Friday's Magic victory.


Durant though presents a new challenge. As does the entire Warriors team.


Durant is beginning to find his rhythm and footing, averaging 28 points per game while shooting 57.8 percent from the floor and 41.5 percent from beyond the arc in his last nine games.


But the Warriors have pushed themselves to the top of the league once again thanks to their defense. Golden State is first in the league in defensive rating, giving up 101.1 points per 100 possessions.


They used that defense to rout the offensively minded Houston Rockets 125-108 on Friday. The 3-point happy Rockets shot only 7 for 35 , leading to the loss.


"We have to defend like that," coach Steve Kerr told the San Francisco Chronicle after the game. "That's what we have to hang our hat on. Because if we can get stops, then we can get out and run. We're pretty tough to stop in transition."


The Warriors' defense puts even further pressure on offenses to perform at a high level and keep the Warriors' offensive weapons from getting out in transition. Their own defense is a tool that makes life harder for their opponents in seemingly every game. It is all part of the challenge of battling the Warriors.


Durant is known for his gaudy scoring numbers, but is no slouch defensively. Similar to Gordon, opponents are shooting 40.9 percent on field goals against him, a 4.5 percentage-point difference from the league average.
 

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Preview: Lakers (16-31) at Mavericks (14-29)
Date: January 22, 2017 3:30 PM EDT


DALLAS -- The Los Angeles Lakers won't have D'Angelo Russell for Sunday's game against the Dallas Mavericks and for the next one to two weeks.


The Lakers announced Saturday night that Russell underwent an MRI and was diagnosed with an sprained MCL in his right knee. He also has a calf strain and bone bruise suffered in Friday's impressive win over the Indiana Pacers.


The point guard did not travel with the team, which said he will be re-evaluated in one week and sidelined for up to two weeks.


Russell was injured about a minute into the game when he tripped while running a pick-and-roll. He left the game and didn't return.


While the Lakers (16-31) went on to win the game, they certainly don't want to be without their second-year quarterback for long. The Lakers are 3-10 this season when Russell has sat out with an injury.


After Friday's game, Lakers coach Luke Walton told reporters that he didn't believe the injury to be serious.


"I don't think it's as bad as I initially thought," Walton said. "When I saw him go down I was pretty worried, but he said he felt all right when I checked on him at halftime."


Russell echoed his coach's thoughts.


"The awkward position I fell in caused a little pain," said Russell, who remained on the floor for several minutes in obvious pain. "But I'm all right. It's just sore."


Russell's absence should open the door for Jordan Clarkson and Lou Williams to absorb his minutes as the Lakers shoot for consecutive wins for the first time since Nov. 12.


Meanwhile, the Mavericks (14-29) are looking to avoid a three-game skid on the heels of a season-best three-game win streak. They've lost consecutive games to Miami and Utah by a total of nine points.


Dallas also got more bad news on the injury front during Friday's overtime loss to the Jazz, losing point guard J.J. Barea, an offensive catalyst off the bench. Barea, who has already missed two chunks of the season due to calf injuries, again will be out for a period of time with a left calf strain.


He hurt himself going up for a jumper late in the game.


"After a shot, I went to step to the side and I think I ran into the fans behind me and the fans sitting down," Barea told reporters following the game. I looked back, but nobody touched me. When I went to step, that's when I knew something was wrong with my calf."


Mavs coach Rick Carlisle said he expects Barea to be out weeks and not just a matter days.


Joining Barea on the sidelines for Sunday's game is center Andrew Bogut, who has missed the last four games with a hamstring injury. In what should be more of a small-ball lineup against the Lakers than the Mavs saw against the Jazz and center Rudy Gobert, who had 27 points and 25 rebounds, Mavs guard Seth Curry, will likely be the beneficiary of extra minutes.
 

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Preview: Suns (14-29) at Raptors (28-15)
Date: January 22, 2017 6:00 PM EDT


TORONTO -- The Phoenix Suns will not have much time to enjoy their win over the New York Knicks on Saturday night.


They must deal with what figures to be a motivated Toronto Raptors team on Sunday afternoon at the Air Canada Centre.


While the Raptors had Saturday off, the Suns earned the 107-105 victory in New York on a 3-pointer by Devin Booker with 31 seconds to play. They then watched as Carmelo Anthony's 3-pointer at the buzzer for the Knicks rolled around the rim and fell out.


Booker had 26 points for the Suns (14-29), who ended a two-game skid.


"The kid's tough," Suns center Tyson Chandler said of Booker. "That kid's really tough. He wants that moment."


Booker scored a team-record 28 points in the fourth quarter last week in a loss to the Dallas Mavericks.


The second-year guard will be facing one of the better guard tandems in the NBA at Toronto in Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan


The Raptors (28-15) will have plenty of motivation. They have lost two in a row, including an embarrassing 113-78 loss to the Hornets in Charlotte on Friday. It was the lowest point total this season for the Raptors.


If they needed any more incentive, they lost 99-91 to the Suns in Phoenix on Dec. 29.


The Raptors became film critics on Saturday, going over recent mistakes and there were plenty to view.


"A lot of it is the mental focus more than anything else, more mental fatigue than physical fatigue," Raptors coach Dwane Casey said. "It's up to us to hold us to hold each other accountable. The players hold each other accountable, we're holding them accountable as a coaching staff.


"There was nobody spared in the film session, that's the way it should be because everybody had mistakes (Friday) night."


The Raptors will know more on Sunday if a couple of injured players will be ready to play.


Patrick Patterson has missed five straight games and nine of the last 11 with a strained left knee in a game at Phoenix, after injuring his left knee at a game in Phoenix.


Lucas Nogueira has missed the past two losses under the NBA's concussion protocol.


Both will be examined Sunday before receiving clearance to play in the game against the Suns.


"We'll find out tomorrow where guys are and how their bodies feel," Casey said.


They are also working in Jared Sullinger, who has only played two games this season because of a foot injury.


"We've been in a little funk lately," Lowry said after the loss on Friday "We're not playing on all cylinders right now. I just think it's that time of year. No excuses at all, there's just this mental fatigue. We are playing some teams that are hungry right now and are playing well."


The Raptors shot only 33.7 percent from the field Friday.


"That's when your defense has to pick back up," Casey said. "Your defense has to carry you until your offense comes back around. You go through that during the season. The most important thing is we have to stay together, stay positive."


Defense was only on the mind of Suns coach Earl Watson when he talked about Suns guard/forward P.J. Tucker.


The thing about defense is there's no perfect technique," Watson said. "It's all on intensity, passion, toughness and a lot of heart. (Tucker) plays with that every time he touches the court. He is one of our best players. To me, he is the most underrated defender in our league, especially on isolations."
 

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Preview: Nuggets (18-24) at Timberwolves (15-28)
Date: January 22, 2017 7:00 PM EDT


MINNEAPOLIS -- Led by two promising big men, the Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves are trying to develop with a core of young talent.


The two teams have dealt with inconsistency this season in between signs of the potential.


Denver's Nikola Jokic and Minnesota's Karl-Anthony Towns have their teams on the upside as they meet Saturday in Minnesota.


Jokic had his sixth straight double-double with 19 points and 10 rebounds on Saturday as the Nuggets beat the Los Angeles Clippers 123-98 for their fourth win in five games.


"He won the battle but I won the war," Jokic said of his matchup with DeAndre Jordan, the reigning defensive player of the year. "We won the game, that's the only thing that matters to me. We were getting competitive as we're supposed to do. Nothing special, nothing different."


Towns had 37 points and 12 rebounds on Thursday as the Timberwolves won for the fourth time in six games by beating the Clippers.


"He was unbelievable," Los Angeles coach Doc Rivers said of Towns. "He nailed a ton of shots, most of them being jump shots, but he really made them all over the floor."


Both centers are in their second year in the NBA. Towns was drafted No. 1 overall by Minnesota. Jokic was a second-round pick, 41st overall.


Towns is 20th in the NBA in scoring at 22.3 points per game and tied for seventh with 12 rebounds a game. Towns hit the game-winning shot against the Clippers on Thursday with 45 seconds left.


"If the ball is in my hands with the game on the line, I feel very confident I'm going to hit those shots," Towns said after scoring 15 points on 6-of-9 shooting in the fourth quarter. "Nothing changed when I had the ball in my hands. I went in there with extreme confidence, extreme energy and a love for the game."


Jokic has been taken a bigger role for the Nuggets and has resulted in Denver's recent streak. After playing 30 minutes just twice over the first 24 games, Jokic had played at least 30 minutes in four straight games before being limited to 21 minutes in Saturday's blowout victory.


The Nuggets led by as many 35 points on Saturday, their biggest lead of the season. They also held a team under 100 points for the first time since Dec. 8.


"We have so many weapons," Denver's Danilo Gallinari said. "We've been using them the right way, the right time."


The Nuggets will be missing two of their weapons on Sunday. Gary Harris is unlikely to play because of an ankle injury and point guard Emmanuel Mudiay told the Denver Post he won't play after leaving Saturday's game with low back soreness.


Gallinari has dealt with an ankle injury and Darrell Arthur has a knee injury but both played Saturday. Jokic has been dealing with an ankle injury, as well.


The Timberwolves are without their starting point guard, too. The Minneapolis Star Tribune reported Rubio would miss the game because of personal reasons. Rookie Kris Dunn and second-year guard Tyus Jones should fill in for Rubio.


"I'm way more prepared," Dunn told the Star Tribune, adding: "I think just because there have been way more games from then to now. I'm starting to understand who I am as a player, what my role is on the team. Just figuring out guys, their tendencies and trying to understand coach's philosophy."


Minnesota begins a stretch of 10 of 14 games at home. The Timberwolves are 9-13 at home this season and 6-17 on the road.
 

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SUNDAY, JANUARY 22


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


GS at ORL 12:00 PM

ORL +14.0


U 224.5



LAL at DAL 03:30 PM


DAL -6.0

O 206.0

PHO at TOR 06:00 PM

PHO +12.0


O 221.5

DEN at MIN 07:00 PM


MIN -4.0


U 221.0
 

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NBA Capsules
January 22, 2017



ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson each hit seven 3-pointers and the Golden State Warriors won their seventh straight game, beating the Orlando Magic 118-98 on Sunday.


Tied at the half, the Warriors woke up from West Coast time in the second half to pull away. This was the first Eastern time zone noon tip for them since 1995, when they lost by 34 points in Orlando.


Curry went 7 for 13 on 3s and scored 27 points while Thompson as 7 for 9 from behind the arc and had 21 points. The Warriors shot 19 of 42 overall from 3-point range while the Magic went 7 for 28.


MAVERICKS 122, LAKERS 73

DALLAS (AP) - Justin Anderson scored 19 points and Dirk Nowitzki added 13 to help Dallas give Los Angeles its worst defeat ever.


It was the Mavericks' 13th straight win over the Lakers, who have lost six of their last seven games this season.


The 49-point defeat just edged Los Angeles' two previous worst losses at 48 points, most recently 123-75 at Utah on March 28, 2016.


The game was close for 10 minutes, with Dallas leading 23-22 before the Mavericks scored the next 15 straight to blow the game open. Nowitzki had seven during the run.


The Mavericks led 67-33 at the half and never looked back.


TIMBERWOLVES 111, NUGGETS 108


MINNEAPOLIS (AP) - Karl-Anthony Towns had 32 points, 12 rebounds and seven assists and hit the go-ahead shot with 42.5 seconds to play to lead Minnesota over Denver.


Towns hit 13 of 19 shots and also had four blocks and Andrew Wiggins scored 24 points in Minnesota's fourth straight home win. Shabazz Muhammad scored 20 points off the bench and the Wolves rallied from nine points down midway through the fourth quarter for the win.


Gary Harris scored 22 points and Nikola Jokic had 18 points and eight rebounds for the Nuggets on the second night of a back-to-back. Wilson Chandler and Jamal Murray added 17 points each for Denver, which played without Emmanuel Mudiay because of a sore back.


Kris Dunn had 10 points and nine assists for the Wolves while starting for Ricky Rubio, who missed the game to attend his grandmother's funeral.


SUNS 115, RAPTORS 103


TORONTO (AP) - Eric Bledsoe scored a career-high 40 points and had 13 assists and Phoenix handed Toronto its third straight loss.


Bledsoe was 11 of 17 from the floor, including 4 of 7 from 3-point range, and Devin Booker added 20 points as the Suns won their second straight road game following Saturday's win at New York. The victory also completed a season sweep of the Raptors for the first time since 2013-14 and improved Phoenix to 11-6 against Eastern Conference teams this season.


DeMar DeRozan had 22 points for Toronto and Jonas Valanciunas added 16 points and 12 rebounds for his 17th double-double of the season. It's the first time the Raptors have lost three straight since Nov. 6-10, 2015.
 

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Armadillo: Monday's six-pack


— Dallas 122, Lakers 73— LA’s 2nd loss by 40+ points in last ten days.


— Home favorites went 8-2 in the NFL playoffs this season. Unusual.


— Concessions prices at Falcons’ new stadium: $5 beers, $2 hot dogs, $2 refillable sodas.


— Suns 115, Raptors 103— Damn good weekend for Phoenix, back/back road wins.


— T’wolves 111, Nuggets 108— Minnesota won five of its last seven games.


— Opening line for the Super Bowl: Patriots -3, with total of 57.5, which would be the highest total in Super Bowl history.


**********


Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend

13) Willie Taggart is the new football coach at Oregon, but his tenure is off to a rocky start; three of his players wound up in the hospital after workouts under the new strength coach (who came with Taggart from USF) who was then suspended for a month.


Then his new offensive coordinator was arrested for DUI last week and will be fired for cause. All this in about a month. No bueno.


12) Al Geiberger was the first golfer to shoot 59 in a PGA event; he won the Memphis Open that week by three shots, Weird thing is, his other three rounds that week? 72-70-72.


How do you shoot 59 one day and not break 70 any of the other three days?


11) Of the eight rounds of 59 on Tour, only four came on par-72 courses.


Adam Hadwin shot 59 this week and didn’t win the tournament.


10) Broadcaster Barry Tompkins is in his mid-70’s now; he teaches broadcasting in college, has been a local sports anchor, been in movies (Rocky IV), broadcast boxing, football, basketball, tennis- he’s had a great career.


Working the LMU-Santa Clara basketball game Saturday night, Tompkins told partner Brad Holland that he never attended college. Apparently he tried to become an actor at an early age and that didn’t go too well. Things worked out really well since then, though.


9) When the NBA players voted for the All-Star teams, 51 players voted for Kristaps Porzingis, 50 players voted for Carmelo Anthony.


8) Cal Poly has an assistant coach from Poland, a freshman big man from Poland and will apparently try to start a recruiting pipeline from Poland, much like what St Mary’s has done with Australian players.


There is a Big West rule that teams have to give at least 7 of their 13 scholarships to kids from California, so the Mustangs will be going international with those other six free rides.


7) Arizona beat UCLA Saturday; heard someone saying that Sean Miller gave everyone else the blueprint for how to beat the Bruins. One small problem with that:


Very few teams have Arizona’s talent level, a level right there with UCLA and few teams defend like Arizona does— they were great at contesting 3-pointers Saturday.


6) There have been 19 games this season where a D-I college player scored 40+ points in a game; that player’s team is 12-7 in those games.


5) Virginia Tech 82, Clemson 81— Tigers have now lost six games in a row, as a promising season has turned into the season from hell.


Same thing at Colorado; the Buffs were picked to finish 4th in the Pac-12; right now, they’re 0-7 after losing in OT at perennial league doormat Washington State.


4) I don’t want to hear anything about 11 or 12 teams from the ACC making the NCAA’s; you finish 11th or 12th in a 15-team league, you don’t deserve to be in the national tournament.


These days, the Big-5 football conferences wield a lot of power, but the line has to be drawn somewhere. Much rather see two teams from mid-major leagues get in the tournament.


3) Patriots 36, Steelers 17— How come the Patriots win so much but no one hires their coordinators to become head coaches?


I’m guessing Antonio Brown didn’t broadcast Mike Tomlin’s postgame speech on Facebook.


2) Falcons 44, Packers 21— This was an awful game, just a complete destruction by the Falcon offense, which put up 493 yards in an easy win.


1— Kickers were 33-33 on field goals this postseason until Mason Crosby’s missed field goal in first quarter in Atlanta.
 

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