Cnotes NBA Season Trends/News/ Stats/ Picks All You Need To Know !

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 28

Toronto @ Golden State

Game 719-720
December 28, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
120.953
Golden State
138.458
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 17 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 9 1/2
225
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-9 1/2); Under

Sacramento @ Portland

Game 717-718
December 28, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
116.582
Portland
117.949
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 1 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
N/A

Minnesota @ Denver

Game 715-716
December 28, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
117.673
Denver
119.645
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 4
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+4); Over

Phoenix @ San Antonio

Game 713-714
December 28, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
110.096
San Antonio
130.101
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 20
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 14 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-14 1/2); Over

LA Clippers @ New Orleans

Game 711-712
December 28, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
119.238
New Orleans
117.900
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 1 1/2
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 4 1/2
204
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+4 1/2); Over

Brooklyn @ Chicago

Game 709-710
December 28, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
107.185
Chicago
122.982
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 16
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 9 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-9 1/2); Under

New York @ Atlanta

Game 707-708
December 28, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
117.358
Atlanta
116.319
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 1
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
New York
N/A

Milwaukee @ Detroit

Game 705-706
December 28, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
116.213
Detroit
125.018
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 9
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 3 1/2
198 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-3 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ Orlando

Game 703-704
December 28, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
121.855
Orlando
115.929
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 6
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 3 1/2
199
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+3 1/2); Over

Indiana @ Washington

Game 701-702
December 28, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
114.739
Washington
122.782
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 8
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 4
213
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-4); Under

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
December 28, 2016


All four favorites in the NBA on Tuesday night picked up victories, while three of them picked up covers. Boston, Oklahoma City, and Houston all won by double-digits in the chalk role, while the Jazz squeezed by the Lakers, 102-100 as 5 ½-point road favorites. The OVER split in four games, as the UNDER has improved to 9-6 since Monday night.


Game of the Night – Raptors at Warriors (-9 ½, 225) – 10:35 PM EST


Toronto continues its six-game Western Conference road swing in Oakland tonight against Golden State. The Raptors (22-8 SU, 20-9-1 ATS) captured the first two contests at Utah and Portland in the favorite role, although Dwane Casey’s club didn’t cover as eight-point favorites in Monday’s 95-91 nail-biter over the Blazers. Toronto has won eight of its past nine games overall, including seven consecutive victories away from Air Canada Center.


Golden State (27-5 SU, 14-17-1 ATS) has yet to lose consecutive games this season as the Warriors hope to keep that streak alive tonight following a shocking meltdown in Sunday’s 109-108 defeat at Cleveland. The NBA Finals rematch was going Golden State’s way as the Warriors built a 94-80 advantage with 9:34 remaining, but the Cavaliers rallied with a 29-14 run the rest of the way for their fourth straight win over the Warriors. Kevin Durant posted a solid 36-point, 15-rebound performance for Golden State, but the Warriors dropped to 1-6 ATS in their past seven road contests.


The Raptors look to avenge a 127-121 home setback to the Warriors on November 16 as six-point underdogs. Toronto actually outscored Golden State in three of four quarters, but the killer was the Warriors chasing the Raptors in the second period, 32-15 to take control of the contest. Stephen Curry led the way with 35 points, barely offsetting Toronto’s DeMar DeRozan, who put up 34 points in the loss. The Warriors have won eight of the last nine meetings with the Raptors since January 2013, while capturing 11 straight home matchups and covering 10 times in Toronto’s last 11 visits to the Bay.


From a totals perspective, the Warriors are riding a 10-1 run to the UNDER the last 11 games, including three consecutive UNDERS at Oracle Arena. The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four with the total listed at 225 or higher, which is tonight’s total. Toronto is on a modest 3-1 UNDER clip the previous four games, but the OVER has cashed in its past seven trips to Golden State.


Head-to-Head Trends


Pacers at Wizards (-4, 212 ½) – Indiana edged Washington in its first matchup this season, 107-105 at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, but the Wizards cashed as 5 ½-point underdogs. Seven of the past eight meetings have eclipsed the OVER, while the Pacers are 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five visits to the Verizon Center.


Hornets (-2, 203 ½) at Magic – Charlotte has dominated this series recently by winning six of the past seven matchups, including a 109-88 home blowout earlier this month. The Hornets have seen plenty of success in Orlando by going 3-1 SU/ATS in the past four visits to central Florida, while three of those contests have sailed OVER the total.


Bucks at Pistons (-3 ½, 199) – Detroit snapped a five-game skid in Monday’s win over Cleveland, as the Pistons try to start a winning streak against the Bucks. Milwaukee has lost four straight meetings with Detroit since last season, as the Bucks fell at the Palace of Auburn Hills, 98-83 in late October.


Knicks at Hawks (-2, 212) – New York has been a thorn in Atlanta’s side recently by winning three straight meetings, including a 104-94 home triumph as 4 ½-point ‘dogs on November 20. Five of the last six matchups have hit the OVER, while five straight meetings in Atlanta have gone OVER the total since 2014.


Nets at Bulls (-10, 213 ½) – Chicago owns a 4-1 SU/ATS record in the past five matchups with Brooklyn, as the Bulls chased the Nets at Barclays Center on Halloween, 118-88 as 6 ½-point favorites. The Nets have held their own at the United Center by splitting the last four visits to Chicago, including a 105-102 upset as 10 ½-point underdogs last December.

Clippers at Pelicans (-4, 203 ½) – Los Angeles has captured the first two matchups with New Orleans this season with both victories coming by double-digits. The Clippers are short-handed with Chris Paul and Blake Griffin sidelined, as L.A. is 0-3 since Paul went out last week with a hamstring injury. The Pelicans have been listed as a favorite only once in the past 10 meetings, falling 95-89 as two-point chalk last December.


Suns at Spurs (-15, 213 ½) – San Antonio doesn’t have issues with any team it seems like it and that story is the same with Phoenix. The Spurs are 8-0 SU and 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight matchups with the Suns, including a 107-92 triumph as eight-point road favorites in mid-December. The Suns have dropped 13 of the past 14 meetings in San Antonio since March 2009, but are 3-1 ATS in their last four opportunities as a double-digit underdog against the Spurs.


Wolves at Nuggets (-4, 217 ½) – The road team has dominated this series of late by winning seven of the last eight matchups, including Denver’s 102-99 victory at the Target Center in early November. The Nuggets have captured the last four meetings in the series, but the Wolves have won two of the past three visits to Pepsi Center with the only loss coming in overtime last season.


Kings (-3, 211) at Blazers – These Western Conference rivals have played two close contests this season with the home team winning each time. Portland edged Sacramento in overtime at the Moda Center in mid-November, 122-120, but the Kings picked up revenge at home last Tuesday, 126-121. The Blazers have won seven straight home meetings with the Kings, but Sacramento has covered four times in this stretch.

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Wednesday
December 28, 2016



ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Hawks are 0-14 ATS (-12.89 ppg) with rest off a road game in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points since May 20, 2015.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Hornets are 0-12-1 OU (-14.96 ppg) off a road game in which they had 6+ double digit scorers since Feb 04, 2014.


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Pelicans are 10-0 OU (11.45 ppg) since Jan 15, 2016 at home after Anthony Davis was the Pelicans’ high scorer in a win.

CHOICE TREND:


-- The Nets are 0-13 ATS (-12.27 ppg) on the road with less than two days rest after they shot over 50% from the field since Apr 02, 2014.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Spurs are 0-8 OU (-13.38 ppg) since Mar 19, 2016 after Lamarcus Aldridge was the Spurs’ high scorer at home.

 

[CNOTES]

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 28


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


CHA at ORL 07:00 PM


CHA -3.5 *****


O 204.5


IND at WAS 07:00 PM


IND +5.0


O 213.0


NY at ATL 07:30 PM


NY +3.5 *****


O 211.0


MIL at DET 07:30 PM


DET -3.0


U 201.5


BK at CHI 08:00 PM


BK +9.5


O 212.5 *****


LAC at NO 08:00 PM


NO -5.0 *****


U 204.0


PHO at SA 08:30 PM


SA -14.5


U 216.0


MIN at DEN 09:00 PM


DEN -4.0


U 217.0


SAC at POR 10:00 PM


SAC -1.0


U 208.0


TOR at GS 10:30 PM


TOR +9.5 *****


U 225.5 *****

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack


Odds to win this year’s NBA championship……


— Golden State Warriors -$140


— Cleveland Cavaliers 11-5


— San Antonio Spurs 9-2


— Los Angeles Clippers 10-1


— Toronto Raptors/Boston Celtics 22-1


— Houston Rockets/Oklahoma City Thunder 40-1


**********


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Random thoughts after my vacation


13) It is good to be home; had great fun at the Aria Hotel in Las Vegas for eight days, but now it is time to get to work on college basketball. Having fun can be tiring.


12) There was a middle-aged man doing pushups in the McCarran Airport terminal by gate B14 Wednesday morning; I enjoyed my jelly doughnut while watching him exercise.


11) One of the basic rules of life: If there is a screaming child on an airplane that I am on, the child will undoubtedly be sitting right behind me. Just because.


10) $8 for WiFi is a sound investment for a 5-hour flight. Makes the time go so much faster.


9) Walking on the Las Vegas Strip at night is something everyone should do at least once; great place to people watch. It is better in summer than winter, but any time of year is fine.


Not a lot of English being spoken in Las Vegas this week; lot of visitors from other countries. Lot of people taking pictures of the ceiling in the Bellagio.


8) Planet Hollywood improved their sportsbook; put little dining area in near the bar, with white furniture that brightens the whole place up.


I’m watching the end of the Laker game Tuesday; game is 99-99 with 0:58 left, total is 204.5. Two guys in their 20’s come in and stand next to me; one of them has over 204.5. It looked good for his bet until a couple of missed foul shots, then lousy shot selection by D’Angelo Russell doomed him. My new friend was not happy. I went on my way.


7) If you ran an NFL franchise that needed a QB, would you trade a 1st and 4th-round draft choice to New England for Jimmy Garoppolo? Apparently that offer is on the table.


6) Dez Bryant’s TD pass against the Lions Monday night was the only left-handed TD pass in the NFL this season.


5) Tampa Bay Lightning head coach John Cooper was once a public defender in Lansing, MI; not sure how he got from there to being an NHL head coach, but he should write a book.


4) Oakland Raiders’ QB Matt McGloin is 1-5 as an NFL starter, with all six starts coming in 2013, when he helped ruin my ridiculously injury-riddled fantasy team (he was my 7th QB that year).


McGloin’s only win was against Houston, coached then by Gary Kubiak. McGloin needs to beat Kubiak’s Broncos this week for the Raiders to win the AFC West title.


3) I’m typing this and Bill Walton is at the UCLA-Oregon game talking about clothing-optional beaches in California. He is a gem.


2) Rookie QB Carson Wentz bought his offensive linemen shotguns for Christmas; if I’m coaching the Eagles, not sure I think thats such a great idea.


1) Northwestern 31, Pittsburgh 24— Cubs won World Series, Northwestern won a bowl game; whats next? Northwestern in NCAA tournament? That could happen too.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, December 29

Dallas @ LA Lakers

Game 511-512
December 29, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
117.330
LA Lakers
114.924
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 2 1/2
204
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+2 1/2); Over

Toronto @ Phoenix

Game 509-510
December 29, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
120.933
Phoenix
120.096
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 8 1/2
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+8 1/2); Under

Philadelphia @ Utah

Game 507-508
December 29, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
109.584
Utah
125.125
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 15 1/2
183
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 13
196
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-13); Under

Oklahoma City @ Memphis

Game 505-506
December 29, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
122.800
Memphis
120.246
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2 1/2
194
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 2
198 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+2); Under

Boston @ Cleveland

Game 503-504
December 29, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
126.523
Cleveland
122.823
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 3 1/2
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 6
215
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+6); Over

Miami @ Charlotte

Game 501-502
December 29, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
112.174
Charlotte
121.885
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 9 1/2
192
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 6
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-6); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 29

Hornets won four of last six games with Miami; teams split last four games played here. Last six series games stayed under total. Favorites covered six of last eight series games. Heat lost five of last six games; they’re 7-2 in last nine games as a road underdog. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Charlotte won three of last four games, covered four of last five as a home favorite- under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

Cavaliers won seven of last eight games with Boston (5-3 vs spread); Celtics lost four of last five visits here (3-2 vs spread). Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Boston won six of last seven games; they’re 3-2 as road underdogs. Last five Celtic games went over total. Cleveland won five of its last six games; they’re 8-2 in last ten games as a home favorite- their last three games stayed under total.

Home side won five of last six Thunder-Grizzly games; Oklahoma City lost three of last four visits here. Favorites covered last six series games, with last three going over total. Thunder won/covered their last four games; they’re 3-4 as road underdogs. Four of last five OKC games went over total. Memphis lost five of last seven games overall, three of last four at home; they are 3-5 as home favorites. Four of their last five games went over total.

76ers lost their last eight games with Utah (3-5 vs spread); they lost last four visits to Salt Lake City (2-2 vs spread). Five of last six series games stayed under total. Philly lost five of its last six games; they covered four of last five games as a road underdog. Under is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Jazz lost three of last four games; they’re 4-8 as home favorites. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Suns won four of last six games with Toronto, but Raptors won three of last five visits to desert. Underdogs covered four of last five series games- five of last six went over total. Toronto lost in Oakland last night; they’re 8-2 in last ten games, 3-3 as road favorites, 2-1-1 if they played night before. Phoenix lost six of last seven games; they’re 5-5 as home underdogs. 2-2 if they played night before. Suns’ last five games went over the total.

Lakers lost their last ten games with Dallas (3-7 vs spread); Mavericks won last six series games played here. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Dallas lost five of last eight games; they’re 7-10 as a road underdog. Last two Dallas games went over total. Lakers lost five of last six games; they’re 1-3-1 as a home favorite. Four of their last six games went over the total.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Thursday, December 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Miami
Charlotte is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. CLEVELAND
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Boston is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing Boston
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 12 games

9:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. UTAH
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Utah's last 13 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Utah is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games

9:00 PM
TORONTO vs. PHOENIX
Toronto is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Toronto's last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games

10:30 PM
DALLAS vs. LA LAKERS
Dallas is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 8-16-1 ATS in their last 25 games
LA Lakers are 2-13 SU in their last 15 games

 

[CNOTES]

MIAMI (10 - 22) at CHARLOTTE (18 - 14) - 12/29/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 159-123 ATS (+23.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.
MIAMI is 55-42 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 8-8 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 8-8 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (19 - 13) at CLEVELAND (23 - 7) - 12/29/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games this season.
BOSTON is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games in December games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games first half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 245-200 ATS (+25.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-6 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 9-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (20 - 12) at MEMPHIS (20 - 14) - 12/29/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (7 - 23) at UTAH (19 - 13) - 12/29/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (22 - 9) at PHOENIX (9 - 23) - 12/29/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (9 - 23) at LA LAKERS (12 - 23) - 12/29/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 360-299 ATS (+31.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 471-394 ATS (+37.6 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 86-60 ATS (+20.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
DALLAS is 75-48 ATS (+22.2 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 140-105 ATS (+24.5 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 147-191 ATS (-63.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 53-73 ATS (-27.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 8-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

Inside the Paint - Thursday
December 29, 2016


It’s been a chalky week in the NBA with favorites going 23-7 straight up and 16-14 against the spread since Sunday. Thursday’s card has six games on tap, which includes the nationally televised double-header on TNT.


Game of the Night – Boston at Cleveland (TNT, 8:05 p.m. ET)


The Cavaliers (23-7 SU, 15-14-1 ATS) opened as six-point home favorites for this matchup and a few books have moved to seven as of Thursday morning. Cleveland has won seven of the previous eight meetings against Boston which includes a 128-122 decision on Nov. 3 as a 10 ½-point home favorite. The ‘over’ (207) easily cashed in that game but the ‘under’ was on a 6-1 run prior to that result.


Boston (19-13 SU, 18-13-1 ATS) is starting to come together and Tuesday’s 113-103 victory over Memphis was their second straight win and sixth in the last seven games. The Celtics have gone 16-9 since a 3-4 start and bettors should note that they didn’t have Al Horford or Jae Crowder playing in the aforementioned loss at Cleveland.


I’ve identified the Celtics as bullies before and until they improve on their record (7-9) versus teams with winning records, you can’t consider them a serious contender. Boston is listed as a 12/1 choice to win the Eastern Conference at Sportsbook.ag behind Cleveland (1/6) and Toronto (10/1). To put things in perspective, the Cavaliers are 13-5 vs. clubs above .500 while the Raptors are 10-7.


From a betting perspective, Boston has been a very good investment this season and its production on the road has been incredible. The Celtics are 12-7 SU and 13-5-1 ATS as visitors and what’s really impressive is that they’ve been in every game since they got healthy. After starting 1-3 on the road, Boston has won 11 of 15 and the four losses came by a combined 12 points with the worst decision coming at San Antonio (108-101).


The Cavaliers enter this game off a 106-90 loss at Detroit on Monday but LeBron James sat out and the team is now 0-3 without him in the lineup this season. As a home favorite, Cleveland has gone 15-2 SU and 9-7-1 ATS.


Along with the Cavs and Celtics, bettors have five other games to follow and below is my quick handicap.


Miami at Charlotte: I thought this line would be higher knowing the Hornets (-6) have been the better team this season and Miami’s playing with a short-handed roster. Charlotte has won four of its last five and is coming off a 120-101 win over Orlando on Wednesday as a 4 ½-point road favorite. Make a note that the Hornets have gone 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS when playing on no rest this season. Also, Charlotte is 10-3 SU as a home favorite but it’s only managed to produce a 7-6 ATS mark. Miami point guard Goran Dragic (back) is listed as ‘questionable’ for Thursday.

Oklahoma City at Memphis: This will be the first meeting between the pair this season and the Grizzlies opened as short home favorites (-1 ½) over the Thunder and that says a lot especially since the team might not have point guard Mike Conley (toe) in the lineup. Oklahoma City has won and covered four straight and five of its last six yet they’re an underdog in this spot. Memphis has dropped two straight games and the defense looked very suspect (112, 113) in those setbacks. Tough schedule spot for the Grizzlies who are home for this game before heading out West for four straight contests on the road. This total opened 199 ½ and is down to 198 as of Thursday morning. The Thunder have been a great ‘under’ bet on the road (9-4) and Memphis has leaned to the low side (13-6) at FedEx Forum.

Philadelphia at Utah: The Jazz have won eight straight against the 76ers and have covered five of those games, which includes a 109-94 victory on Nov. 7 as a five-point road favorite. Utah has only been a double-digit favorite once this season and while it won, it never had a chance to cover (-13) in a 103-100 win over Dallas at home on Dec. 16. The 76ers are 1-9 SU this season when catching double digits and just 4-6 ATS. Center Joel Embiid is expected to miss and the club has gone 2-6 without him in the lineup this season.

Toronto at Phoenix: Tough game to handicap with both clubs playing on no rest and both coming off rough losses on the road. The Raptors fought back but wound up dropping a 121-111 decision at Golden State while Phoenix was run 119-98 at San Antonio. Toronto has gone 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in back-to-back spots while the Suns have gone 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS in those situations. The Raptors (-8) are laying a heavy price but they’ve been a good investment (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS) as road favorites this season. Meanwhile, the Suns have been a respectable 4-4 SU and 5-3 ATS as home ‘dogs. The ‘over’ has gone 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between this pair and Thursday’s number (220) is the highest total on the board.

Dallas at L.A. Lakers: It’s hard to argue for either one of these clubs but be aware that the Lakers are just 2-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS as home favorites this season. They allowed 114.4 PPG in those games and that’s helped the ‘over’ go 5-0. The sense of urgency could be high for Dallas knowing it has a likely loss on tap with a trip to Golden State scheduled for Friday. The Mavericks already defeated the Lakers this season at the Staples Center, earning a 109-97 win as 4 ½-point road underdogs on Nov. 8. TNT will provide national coverage of this game at 10:35 p.m. ET.

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Thursday
December 29, 2016




ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Heat are 17-0-1 ATS (7.97 ppg) after a game as a home dog in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field since Feb 06, 2008.



OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Suns are 0-11-1 OU (-11.62 ppg) with no rest off a road game in which they scored a least 18 fast break points since Feb 19, 2014.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Celtics are 9-0-1 ATS (6.80 ppg) since Oct 29, 2016 on the road after Jae Crowder took fewer than 10 shots.


CHOICE TREND:


-- The Grizzlies are 14-0-2 ATS (5.28 ppg) as a favorite off a loss in a road game since Mar 09, 2015.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Suns are 7-0 OU (9.43 ppg) since Nov 27, 2016 after Devin Booker was not the Suns’ high scorer in a loss.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA RECORD + BEST BETS: ( ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS )


OVERALL BETS AND OPINIONS
12/01/2016 7-5-0 58.33% +750
12/02/2016 7-10-0 41.18% -2000
12/03/2016 10-8-0 55.56% +600
12/04/2016 2-6-0 25.00% -2300
12/05/2016 12-8-0 60.00% +1600
12/06/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/07/2016 11-9-0 55.00% +550
12/08/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/09/2016 9-8-0 52.94% +100
12/10/2016 14-5-0 73.68% +4250
12/11/2016 6-4-0 60.00% +800
12/12/2016 8-6-0 57.14% +700
12/13/2016 4-8-0 33.33% -2400
12/14/2016 18-2-0 90.00% +7900
12/15/2016 7-2-1 77.78% +2400
12/16/2016 12-8-0 60.00% +1600
12/17/2016 7-6-1 53.85% +200
12/18/2016 6-6-2 50.00% -300
12/19/2016 4-6-0 40.00% -1300
12/20/2016 12-10-0 54.55% +500
12/21/2016 7-9-0 43.75% -1450
12/22/2016 4-6-0 40.00% -1300
12/23/2016 12-16-0 42.86% -2800
12/25/2016 3-7-0 30.00% -2350
12/27/2016 3-5-0 37.50% -1250
12/28/2016 8-12-0 40.00% -2600


WLT PCT UNITS


ATS Picks 221-228-8 49.22% -14900


O/U Picks 228-224-5 50.44% -9200


BEST BETS:


12/28/16 - 1 - 3 - 0 - 1100


ATS: 45- 50 - 2 - 4850


TOTALS: 51 - 40 + 3500


OCT/NOV
ATS: 98 - 93 - 4


OCT/NOV BIG PLAYS 4 - 3


DECEMBER BIG PLAYS: 36 -28






THURSDAY, DECEMBER 29


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


MIA at CHA 07:00 PM

MIA +7.0 *****


U 204.0 *****


OKC at MEM 08:00 PM

MEM -2.0 *****


U 199.5


BOS at CLE 08:00 PM


BOS +6.5 *****


U 216.5 *****


PHI at UTA 09:00 PM


UTA -14.5


U 195.5 *****

TOR at PHO 09:00 PM


TOR -9.0 *****


O 224.5 *****


DAL at LAL 10:30 PM


DAL +3.0 *****


U 204.5 *****

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack


— Virginia Tech 35, Arkansas 24— Hokies were down 24-nil at the half. This was the 3rd-largest bowl comeback in the last ten years.


— South Florida 46, South Carolina 39 OT— Gamecocks turned ball over twice inside the Bulls’ 5-yard line. No bueno.


— Cavaliers 124, Celtics 118— Cleveland almost blew a 20-point lead.


— LSU dismissed 6-9 Craig Victor from its hoop team; he had scored 15.3 pts/game in Tigers’ last three games before he got the boot.


— Lipscomb 81, Missouri 76— Mizzou will likely be looking for a new coach in March.


— RIP coach LaVell Edwards, 86, who passed away Thursday. he made BYU a national power in football in the 80’s. RIP, sir.


**********


Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Wrapping up a busy couple of days


13) So George Karl wrote a book and in promoting it, seems like he is managing to offend every single person in the NBA. Why is he doing this? Promote your book, don’t burn bridges; there is a difference.


12) You could play four years of college football and never know some of your teammates; thats how big college football squads are. Schools have an 85 scholarship limit, plus they have walk-ons/practice players too. If you’re on opposite sides of the ball, very possible you never meet a few guys.


11) I know absolutely nothing about UFC; my cousin claims that Amanda Nunes will beat Ronda Rousey in their bout Friday night, in case you care about stuff like that.


10) St John’s 76, Butler 73— Chris Mullin’s Red Storm beat Syracuse/Butler in last two games; they’ve got a solid 3-person nucleus. This wasn’t a fluky win; St John’s was only 4-16 on the arc. This was a good solid win- game was tied at the half.


9) Oregon 89, UCLA 87— Exciting, up-an-down game where defense wasn’t exactly a priority. Teams that beat UCLA will have to out-run them. Bruins are very hard to slow down.


8) Pitt 112, Marshall 106— Panthers were up 58-38 at half, but Dan D’Antoni has his team competing for 40:00 and this game got dicey for the Panthers late. Marshall is going to cause some problems in Conference USA.


7) Nebraska 87, Indiana 83— Cornhuskers were a 16-point underdog but they scored 1.21 points/possession and pulled a big upset in their Big 14 opener.


6) UConn hired back its former football coach Randy Edsall; in 2010, Edsall left UConn to go to Maryland, a move that didn’t help anyone. Getting back in Storrs should help the Huskies.


5) ESPNU has guy named Chris Spatola doing analysis on hoop games; he is Mike Krzyzewski’s son-in-law and also a former point guard at West Point. Sometimes in this crazy world of ours, it isn’t what you know, it is who you know.


4) Lane Kiffin has a weird resume; he is 41 and has already been HC of USC, Tennessee and the Oakland Raiders, but now he is at Florida Atlantic. Is he going backwards? If he wins at FAU will he quickly bolt for greener pa$ture$?


I’ll give Kiffin credit for this; in his three years as OC at Alabama, he had three first-year QB’s and got to the national playoff all three years. Not an easy thing to do.


3) Betting line this week on Matt McGloin’s passing yards for the Raiders: over 235.5 yards is +$135. Under 235.5 yards is -$175. Oakland tries to win the AFC West in Denver Sunday.


2) On February 8, 2017, the Rivers Casino will open in Schenectady, about 12 miles from Armadillo World HQ. Am curious to see what it is like; wonder how long it will be before we can go there and bet on games. I’m guessing that someday, the Trump administration will get sports betting legalized.


1) Sounds like Mark Sanchez is going to get a lot of playing time at QB for the Cowboys Sunday in Philly. Dak Prescott will start, Tony Romo will not play. Have fun handicapping that game.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, December 30

Chicago lost its last five road games; they’re 5-7 as road underdogs (0-4 in last four). Under is 7-1-1 in Bulls’ last nine games. Indiana lost its last four games, is 1-7 vs spread in its last eight; Pacers are 6-5 as home favorites. Under is 5-2-2 in their last nine games. Bulls won six of last eight games with Indiana; under is 8-2 in last ten series games. Chicago lost three of last four visits to Indiana (1-3 vs spread).

Brooklyn lost six of last seven games but covered four of last six; they covered three of last four road tilts. Three of Nets’ last four games stayed under. Washington is 8-3 in its last 11 games; they’re 8-5 as home favorites. Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Wizards won six of last seven games with Brooklyn; last four series games went over the total. Nets lost three of last four visits here (1-3 vs spread).

Heat lost six of last seven games; they’re 8-5 as road underdogs, 4-1-1 vs spread if they played night before. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Boston won six of last eight games; they’re 1-4 in last five games as a home favorite. Over is 5-0-1 in their last six games. Celtics won their last five games with Miami; under is 7-2 in last nine series games. Heat lost by 12-10 points in their last two visits to Beantown.

Detroit lost six of last seven games, is 4-8 as road underdog. Under is 8-4-1 in their last thirteen games. Atlanta is 1-6 vs spread in game following its last seven wins; they’re 0-7-1 vs spread in last eight home games. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Hawks are 6-3 in last nine games with Detroit; road team won four of last five series games. Five of last six series games went over. Teams split last six series games in this building.

Milwaukee lost four of last six road games; favorites are 10-3 vs spread in their road tilts. Four of Bucks’ last five games went over total. Minnesota lost three of its last four games; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Bucks won last four games with Minnesota, winning by 17-10 points in last two played here. Under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games.

New York lost its last four road games; they’re 7-2 vs spread in last nine road games. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. New Orleans won its last three games; they’re 4-8 as home favorites. Under is 5-2 in Pelicans’ last five home games. Knicks are 5-3 in last eight games with New Orleans, but they lost by 11-8 points in last two visits to Bourbon Street; under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Injury-riddled Clippers lost last four games; they’re 3-1 as road underdogs. Last four LA games stayed under the total. Rockets are 13-2 in last 15 games, 5-2 vs spread in last seven home games. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Clippers won last two games with Houston after losing previous five series games; LA lost four of last five games in this building. Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Portland lost 10 of last 12 games; they’re 3-9 as road underdogs. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. San Antonio won/covered seven of last eight games; they won last six home games, covering last five. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Spurs won their last four games with Portland (3-1 vs spread); Blazers lost last three visits here, by 14-13-8 points. Six of last eight series games went over total.

Philly lost five of last six games (1-5 vs spread); they’re 5-7 as a road underdog. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Denver won five of its last seven games; they’re 5-6 as home favorites. Under is 2-0-1 in their last three games. 76ers lost last three games with Denver but won two of last three visits here; visitor won five of last seven series games. Six of last nine series games stayed under the total.

Mavericks are 4-3 in last seven games, 6-4 vs spread in last ten games as road underdogs. Under is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Golden State won eight of last nine games; they are 5-1 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 9-3 in last twelve games. Warriors won last four games and nine of last ten vs Dallas; five of last six series games went over total. Mavericks lost last five visits to Oakland (1-4 vs spread).

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Friday, December 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

4:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. WASHINGTON
Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Brooklyn is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn

7:30 PM
MIAMI vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Miami
Boston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home

8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. ATLANTA
Detroit is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Detroit is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

8:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. MINNESOTA
Milwaukee is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Milwaukee is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against New York

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 10 of the LA Clippers last 15 games on the road
LA Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing Houston
Houston is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games

8:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. SAN ANTONIO
Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
Portland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland
San Antonio is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

9:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. DENVER
Philadelphia is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Denver's last 19 games at home
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

10:30 PM
DALLAS vs. GOLDEN STATE
Dallas is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, December 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (16 - 16) at INDIANA (15 - 18) - 12/30/2016, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 257-311 ATS (-85.1 Units) first half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 41-58 ATS (-22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 30-45 ATS (-19.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 206-154 ATS (+36.6 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
INDIANA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) first half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 7-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (8 - 23) at WASHINGTON (15 - 16) - 12/30/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 375-439 ATS (-107.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 142-184 ATS (-60.4 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (10 - 23) at BOSTON (19 - 14) - 12/30/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (15 - 19) at ATLANTA (16 - 16) - 12/30/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in December games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (15 - 15) at MINNESOTA (10 - 22) - 12/30/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 243-297 ATS (-83.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 205 and 209.5 points since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (16 - 15) at NEW ORLEANS (13 - 21) - 12/30/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (22 - 12) at HOUSTON (24 - 9) - 12/30/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 8-7 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-7 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (14 - 20) at SAN ANTONIO (26 - 6) - 12/30/2016, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (7 - 24) at DENVER (14 - 18) - 12/30/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 44-70 ATS (-33.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (10 - 23) at GOLDEN STATE (28 - 5) - 12/30/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 131-103 ATS (+17.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 121-94 ATS (+17.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 55-37 ATS (+14.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 361-299 ATS (+32.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 472-394 ATS (+38.6 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 76-48 ATS (+23.2 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 156-121 ATS (+22.9 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 189-148 ATS (+26.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 259-213 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 7-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, December 30


Dallas @ Golden State

Game 719-720
December 30, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
111.658
Golden State
139.008
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 27 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 18
212
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-18); Under

Philadelphia @ Denver

Game 717-718
December 30, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
110.859
Denver
119.916
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 9
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 11 1/2
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+11 1/2); Over

Portland @ San Antonio

Game 715-716
December 30, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
115.033
San Antonio
130.901
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 16
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 12 1/2
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-12 1/2); Under

LA Clippers @ Houston

Game 713-714
December 30, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
121.526
Houston
124.343
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 3
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 5
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+5); Under

New York @ New Orleans

Game 711-712
December 30, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
120.419
New Orleans
115.611
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 5
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 2
212
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+2); Under

Milwaukee @ Minnesota

Game 709-710
December 30, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
118.543
Minnesota
125.403
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 7
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 1
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+1); Under

Detroit @ Atlanta

Game 707-708
December 30, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
118.688
Atlanta
113.258
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 5 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 3 1/2
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+3 1/2); Over

Miami @ Boston

Game 705-706
December 30, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
111.962
Boston
126.156
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 14
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 9 1/2
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-9 1/2)/ Over

Brooklyn @ Washington

Game 703-704
December 30, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
111.165
Washington
123.177
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 12
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 8
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-8); Over

Chicago @ Indiana

Game 702-702
December 30, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
119.003
Indiana
114.443
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 4 1/2
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 4
201 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+4); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Friday, December 30

Chicago at Indiana, 4:05 PM ET
Chicago: 10-22 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Indiana: 18-8 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent

Brooklyn at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
Brooklyn: 35-21 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
Washington: 10-26 ATS after a win by 6 points or less

Miami at Boston, 7:05 PM ET
Miami: 51-28 ATS in road games after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds
Boston: 6-19 ATS in home games after a game with 35 or less rebounds

Detroit at Atlanta, 8:05 PM ET
Detroit: 17-6 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite
Atlanta: 0-7 ATS in home games in December

Milwaukee at Minnesota, 8:05 PM ET
Milwaukee: 23-7 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more 4 straight games
Minnesota: 19-45 ATS off a close road loss of 3 points or less

New York at New Orleans, 8:05 PM ET
New York: 9-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog
New Orleans: 46-72 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers

LA Clippers at Houston, 8:05 PM ET
Los Angeles: 8-20 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread
Houston: 14-4 ATS after allowing 105 points or more

Portland at San Antonio, 8:35 PM ET
Portland: 4-12 ATS after playing a game as favorite
San Antonio: 65-48 ATS as a favorite

Philadelphia at Denver, 9:05 PM ET
Philadelphia: 7-17 ATS in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7
Denver: 62-40 ATS in home games after scoring 100 points or more 4 straight games

Dallas at Golden State, 10:35 PM ET
Dallas: 10-1 ATS after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games
Golden State: 13-28 ATS after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games

 

[CNOTES]

Friday's Tip Sheet
December 30, 2016


Favorites fared well in the NBA on Thursday night by posting a 4-2 SU and 3-2-1 ATS mark. Home teams won five of the six contests, including the Suns (+8 ½), who knocked off the Raptors, 99-91. Cleveland (-6) held off Boston at home, 124-118 to win its eighth consecutive game at Quicken Loans Arena, while dropping the Celtics to 1-7 SU as a road underdog this season.


The only road team to come out on top last night was the Mavericks (+4), who rallied to beat the Lakers at Staples Center, 101-89 to improve to 3-1 in its past four road games since starting the season 1-13 on the highway.


Game of the Night – Clippers at Rockets – 8:05 PM EST


These two Western Conference rivals meet up for the first time this season as the Clippers have gone backwards of late by losing four straight games. Los Angeles (22-12 SU, 16-18 ATS) continues to play without Blake Griffin, while Chris Paul returned to the lineup on Wednesday after missing three games with a hamstring injury. Paul’s appearance in the lineup didn’t help matters for Los Angeles, who fell to New Orleans, 102-98 as 1 ½-point road favorites, in spite of the point guard scoring 21 points. The Clippers are 3-7 ATS the last 10 games overall, while posting an 0-5 ATS mark the past five road contests.


Houston (24-9 SU, 22-11 ATS) began December on fire by winning 10 consecutive games, but the Rockets are 3-2 in their past five since that hot streak. The Rockets are still in second place of the Southwest division behind the Spurs (26-6) in spite of a 13-2 record in December, while coming off Tuesday’s road blowout of the Mavericks, 123-107 as five-point favorites. The Rockets own a solid 11-3 record at Toyota Center this season with two of those losses to the Spurs.


Last season, the Rockets captured the first two matchups against the Clippers, but Los Angeles won the final two games. Houston and L.A. split both meetings at Toyota Center, as the Rockets are 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in the last five home matchups with the Clippers.


Head-to-Head Trends


Bulls at Pacers (-4, 202 ½) – These two Central division rivals meet for the final time in the regular season as the home team has won all three matchups. Chicago held off Indiana at the United Center, 90-85 on Monday, but the Pacers dominated the Bulls at home in early November, 111-94. Each of the past five matchups at Bankers Life Fieldhouse have finished UNDER the total.

Nets at Wizards (-8, 222) – Washington has captured the past four meetings in this series since the start of last season, including a 118-113 comeback victory at Barclays Center earlier this month. The Wizards have lit up the Nets recently by scoring at least 111 points in each of the last four matchups, with all four games sailing OVER the total.

Heat at Celtics – Boston has taken care of Miami twice this season with both victories coming at the American Airlines Arena. The Celtics have won five straight in the series, while limiting the Heat to 95 points or fewer in four of the victories.

Pistons at Hawks (-3 ½, 201) – Detroit has gone through a December to forget (5-9), but began the month with a 121-85 blowout of Atlanta at Philips Arena. The Pistons have won in two of their past three visits to Atlanta, as the road team is 4-1 in the past five meetings. The OVER has hit in four of the last five matchups, as the winning team has posted at least 112 points in the past three meetings.


Bucks at Wolves (PK, 209) – These two teams that share a state border face each other for the first of two matchups this season. Milwaukee has won four straight games against Minnesota, including a pair of double-digit triumphs last season. In the Bucks’ past two visits to the Target Center, Milwaukee has limited Minnesota to 85 and 86 points, as three of the previous four games have finished UNDER the total.


Knicks at Pelicans – These two teams have split their season series the last two years with the home squad going 4-0. Both contests last season were low-scoring affairs with each game finishing UNDER the total, as New Orleans knocked off New York, 99-91 as 5 ½-point home underdogs.


Blazers at Spurs – San Antonio is riding a four-game winning streak against Portland since the start of last season, including a 110-90 blowout at the Moda Center last Friday night. The Spurs have captured four of the last five home matchups with the Blazers, while Portland has lost seven consecutive road games overall.


76ers at Nuggets (-11, 211 ½) – Denver goes for the season sweep of Philadelphia after beating the Sixers earlier this season, 106-98 as four-point favorites. Philadelphia has covered in its past four trips to the Pepsi Center as an underdog of 8 ½-points or more, including in a 104-103 buzzer-beating loss this past March.

Mavericks at Warriors (-18, 212) – Golden State has dominated Dallas the last three seasons with an impressive 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS mark. The Warriors routed the short-handed Mavericks earlier this season, 116-95 as 18 ½-point favorites, as each of the past three meetings at Oracle Arena have sailed OVER the total.

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Friday
December 30, 2016



ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Bucks are 13-0 ATS (10.42 ppg) on the road with less than two days rest off a win as a dog since Dec 15, 2014.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Bucks are 0-13 OU (-22.81 ppg) after a game as a road dog in which they had a shooting percentage 10+ above their season-to-date average since Feb 20, 1998.


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Bulls are 0-12 OU (-15.46 ppg) since Dec 23, 2014 after Jimmy Butler had a double double with rebounds last game.


CHOICE TREND:


-- The Rockets are 13-0 ATS (10.27 ppg) at home with more than one day of rest off a 10+ point win as a favorite since Feb 17, 2009.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Hawks are 0-8-1 ATS (-6.44 ppg) since Mar 12, 2016 after Paul Millsap shot worse than 33% from the field.