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Monday's NBA Essentials


March 23, 2015


Rockets at Pacers – 7:05 PM EST
Get used to having to monitor the potential availability of Dwight Howard. The three-time Defensive Player of the Year and would-be anchor of the Rockets resistance is expected to return at some point this week. He was upgraded to doubtful, but is highly unlikely to return without a full practice. Josh Smith has been nursing a sore ankle, point guard Patrick Beverley has a sore shoulder he’s been playing through, Jason Terry is dealing with a lingering hamstring injury and Trevor Ariza has been sick. Considering key forward Terrance Jones has also been sidelined by a collapsed lung, it’s a wonder Houston has won three of four and not surprising it comes off an ugly home loss at the hands of Phoenix on Saturday night. MVP candidate James Harden has served as the driving force in spite of all the injuries, but even he’s shown signs of wearing down. In the Rockets last three losses, he’s averaged 18.3 points on 15-for-51 shooting. During their last three wins, he’s averaged 33.7 points, highlighted by the 50 he dropped against Denver. Harden scored 45 points on 12-for-18 shooting in Houston’s 110-98 home win against the Pacers on Jan. 19, connecting on seven 3-pointers and dishing out seven assists. The Rockets have seen the under come in five of the last eight games.


Paul George is also likely to make his long-awaited return to action at some point this week, but the Pacers have been very quiet about precisely when that may happen. The Pacers can certainly use him to provide a lift, beginning the week on a five-game losing streak that has dropped them out of the top-eight in the Eastern Conference. Rodney Stuckey, Indiana’s second-leading scorer, left Saturday night’s 123-111 loss to Brooklyn with a sore left calf, casting doubt on his availability for this one. In a game that was critical to the team’s run at a playoff spot, it was disconcerting to see Indiana surrender the most points scored and highest field goal percentage (61.3) surrendered this season. George Hill has quietly been terrific during this current losing streak, shooting 41-for-72 (59 pct) and averaging 19 points and 4.8 assists. The Pacers go back on the road for four of the next five after this one, making it a very important game. Due to their uncharacteristic defensive struggles, five of their last seven games have gone over the posted total. Indiana is 1-5 ATS in their last six.


Celtics at Nets – 7:35 PM EST


Rookie Marcus Smart will return from a one-game suspension for a cheap shot on San Antonio’s Matt Bonner and should be fresh to help lift a Celtics team that blew a fourth-quarter lead and had to work OT in a costly 105-97 setback at home against Detroit on Sunday night. Evan Turner and Avery Bradley played the majority of the minutes at guard, combining for 33 points on 13-for-31 shooting, so getting back Smart to provide a spark should be key as Boston looks to snap a three-game losing streak. Jae Crowder added 17 points in a team-high 44 minutes on the wing, while sixth man Kelly Olynyk shot just 1-for-9 despite a team-high nine boards, serving as the biggest culprit for the team’s 36 percent shooting. Isaiah Thomas , who keyed the Celtics unlikely rise into the race for a playoff spot, hasn’t played since March 9 due to a back injury. He had averaged over 20 points per game off the bench since arriving from Phoenix. Despite going over last night due to OT, Boston has seen five of its last eight games played go below the posted total, another indication of how much they’ve missed Thomas. There have been reports he’s targeting Wednesday as a return date, but monitor this situation in case he’s able to make an early return.


The Nets have topped the 120-point mark in three of their last four games to quiet talk that the team had little interest in making a late run at the No. 8 seed. In fact, coming off a huge win at Indiana, Brooklyn now continues a stretch that sees them face each of the teams involved in the race for No. 8, continuing at Charlotte on Wednesday. Center Brook Lopez scored 26 points on 11-for-14 shooting and Bojan Bogdanovic added 21 on a perfect 8-for-8 from the field. Keep an eye on Bogdanovic, who 30-for-47 from the field over his last four games, averaging 17.8 points off the bench. Deron Williams hasn’t played more than 28 minutes in a single game over his last five, so the Nets are looking to keep him fresh despite not resting him on the second night of a back-to-back. He had 17 points and six assists against Indiana and looks to be getting back into the type of groove he was in just after the All-Star break. Brooklyn has won four of five and are in search of only its second three-game winning streak of 2015. They haven’t won more than three in a row this season. Six of their last seven games have gone over the posted total, a rarity under the defensive-minded Lionel Hollins. The Nets are looking for a split of the season-series against Boston.


Hornets at Bulls – 8:05 PM EST


Charlotte rallied from an awful first quarter that saw it fall behind by double-digits, exploding to score 91 points over the next three quarters in a 109-98 win in Minnesota. The Hornets picked up their first game of a five-game road swing that concludes tonight and helped them go a half-game up in the race for the final playoff berth in the Eastern Conference. Michael Kidd-Gilchrist scored 18 points on 8-for-10 shooting and grabbed nine rebounds against the Timberwolves, while Al Jefferson ended up with 18 points and 11 boards, while Marvin Williams added a team-high 24 points off the bench, so the frontcourt was really the driving force against the depleted Timberwolves. Kemba Walker is rounding back into form after missing over six weeks of action and has now scored in double-figures in three consecutive games for the first time since mid-January after coming up with 16 points, eight assists and six streals in Minnesota. The Hornets have lost four of their last five on the second night of a back-to-back.


Chicago was outscored 54-19 over the final quarter-and-a-half in a disappointing 107-91 loss to the Pistons on Saturday night. Outside of Pau Gasol, who had 17 second-half points on 5-for-8 shooting, saw his teammates go 7-for-30 around him in completely falling apart. Taj Gibson did return from an ankle injury, but his availability cut into the minutes of rookie Nikola Mirotic, who had been the driving force of the team’s offense in the absence of Derrick Rose and Jimmy Butler. Mirotic scored a month-low eight points on 1-for-8 shooting, never getting in a rhythm. Butler is expected to return from his elbow injury here, so we'll see how frontcourt minutes are managed. He’s averaging 20.4 points and 8.2 rebounds in March. Chicago has fallen into the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference. The Bulls are 9-3 at home since February began and have played games that have gone over the posted total in 10 of the last 11, including eight straight.


Wizards at Warriors – 10:35 PM EST


John Wall and the Wizards wrap up a four-game Western swing looking to avoid a 1-3 trip and fly back with some momentum to begin a five-game homestand on Wednesday. Things started well when Wall was masterful in an upset of the sizzling Jazz to give the team their fifth consecutive win, but the Clippers and most disappointingly, the Kings have administered double-digit beatings since. It will be interesting to see how the team responds after a demoralizing 109-86 defeat in Sacramento on Sunday that coaches and players blamed on a lack of defensive focus. The Wizards couldn’t get stops out of the gate and then again in a third quarter that saw them outscored 33-20 in a listless performance that has those calling for beleaguered head coach Randy Wittman’s job pulling their hair out. Washington has lost 11 of its last 13 road games, with the under 9-3-1 in that stretch. Paul Pierce, Nene and Marcin Gortat all played 22 minutes or fewer, so fatigue might be less of an issue on this second night of a back-to-back, though all were on the floor for with Wall for the better part of the carnage. Bradley Beal has been the only silver lining, since he appears to be back at 100 percent and is shooting the ball the way he’s accustomed to. The Wizards are playing the second of a back-to-back for the first time since May 7 and have lost four of the last five in this situation. Beal didn’t play for precautionary reasons, so this will be his first back-to-back since Feb. 5, when he aggravated a toe injury that contributed to what became an eight-game layoff.


The Warriors have run their home record to 33-2 as they take the floor at Oracle Arena for the final time this month. A four-game road swing awaits as they look to put the finishing touches on the top seed in the Western Conference, so they won’t be back in town until April 2. Klay Thompson remains out with an ankle injury he’s not going to be rushing back from, so a new-look Warriors squad has maintained the momentum. Thompson is likely to be re-evaluated later this week, so look for Andre Iguodala and Harrison Barnes to continue factoring prominently. MVP frontrunner Stephen Curry is averaging 20 points and 9.2 assists through GSW’s current five-game winning streak. Since he sat out the Warriors’ last loss to Denver, the team has won the last 10 times he’s played and is 11-1 with him on board in March. Golden State is closing in on becoming the first team since the ’95-’96 Chicago Bulls (72-10) to lead the NBA in offensive and defensive efficiency. GSW is 4-1 ATS during this five-game run and have played to six consecutive overs. The Warriors are 13-11 ATS as a double-digit favorite.
 

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Monday, March 23

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. INDIANA
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Houston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 11 games when playing at home against Houston
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

7:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. NEW YORK
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New York
Memphis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
New York is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. BROOKLYN
Boston is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. CHICAGO
Charlotte is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 12 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
Chicago is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Charlotte

9:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. UTAH
Minnesota is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Utah
Minnesota is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

10:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. GOLDEN STATE
Washington is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games

 

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Monday, March 23


T-Wolves' PG Ricky Rubio, questionable Monday

Rubio did not play in the last two games due to a sore right ankle and is questionable Monday against the Jazz.
 

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Monday, March 23

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Game of the Day: Rockets at Pacers
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Houston Rockets at Indiana Pacers (-1, OFF)

Indiana looks to end an ill-timed five-game losing streak at home against Houston on Monday, and there is a chance injured star Paul George will be in the mix for the first time this season. The Pacers' slide - their fourth of at least five games - has put a dent in their playoff hopes, as they entered Sunday's action a half-game out of the final spot in the Eastern Conference. The latest setback involved their worst defensive showing of the season in a 123-111 loss to Brooklyn on Saturday.

The Nets shot 61.3 percent - the highest mark ever for an opponent on Indiana's home court - against a team that has prided itself on defensive play. Houston is trying to hold off four teams for the third spot in the West and entered Sunday trailing second-place Memphis by 1 1/2 games after a 117-102 loss at home against Phoenix on Saturday. James Harden followed up his 50-point effort with 16 on 5-of-19 shooting as the Rockets had a three-game winning streak come to an end.

LINE HISTORY: Most shops opened the Pacers -1, which is where it was sitting at the time of writing.

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (46-23): The somewhat surprising result against Phoenix came in the first game after power forward Terrence Jones was sidelined due to a collapsed lung, which will keep him out of action for at least two more contests. That could put him back in the lineup right around the time star center Dwight Howard - who is considered doubtful for Monday - returns, potentially giving Houston a shot in the arm for the stretch run. The Rockets were outrebounded 49-36 against the Suns, who entered Sunday ranked 14th in the Western Conference in rebounding margin.

ABOUT THE PACERS (30-39): While Houston awaits Howard's return, Indiana is expected to update the status of George on Monday. According to an ESPN report that circulated late last week, there was a chance that George was going to come back against Brooklyn after spending the entire season recovering from a broken leg suffered last summer, but head coach Frank Vogel shot that down. It is expected that George will return during the week, which could be a boost for a struggling squad about to enter a stretch of road-heavy portion of the schedule.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Rockets are 1-7 ATS in their last eight meetings in Indiana.
* Over is 6-0 in the Rockets last six Monday games.
* Over is 4-1 in the Pacers last five home games.

 

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Monday, March 23


Jazz' SF Gordon questionable Monday

Hayward is questionable for Monday's game against the Timberwolves due to a shoulder injury.



Important NBA betting notes you missed in the middle of March Madness

Regardless of whether or not the policymakers in this world ever step up and accomplish what millions of us have been demanding for years, the bottom line is that the first four days of March Madness have yet to be written into law as a national holiday.

An adult spring break, so to speak, so that we can all cease and desist with the song and dance of showing up to work on the inaugural Thursday and Friday of college basketball’s national tournament pretending to produce even so much as an ounce worth of acceptable TPS reports.

We’re certainly not judging, but those of you who spent last Thursday and Friday shuffling back and forth between bamboozling your boss while keeping an eye on the UAB-Iowa State upset may have missed a few noteworthy headlines from the National Basketball Association.

Don’t sweat, we’ve got the necessary intel right here:

Thunderstruck

Oklahoma City general manager Sam Presti held a press conference last Friday to announce that six-time All Star forward Kevin Durant has been removed from all basketball activities and will be out of action indefinitely due to complications arising from foot surgery.

The news came as a significant blow to an eighth-seeded Thunder team that will also be without the services of center Serge Ibaka for 4-6 weeks following knee surgery.

The Durant news moved Oklahoma City’s title odds from 10/1 to 50/1 offshore despite the fact that the team still holds a three-game lead over New Orleans for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference.

Russell Westbrook may be in the midst of an MVP-caliber season, but OKC’s chances of running the table look bleak at best at the moment.

No Klay, no worries

The league-leading Golden State Warriors were supposed to hit a temporary rough patch last Tuesday when word surfaced that All-Star shooting guard Klay Thompson would miss 7-10 days with a sprained ankle.

But in typical 2014-2015 Warriors fashion, Steph Curry and company didn’t miss a beat in the face of adversity, ripping off three straight double-digit victories over Atlanta, New Orleans and Utah by an average of 16.6 points per game.

The Dubs are now 56-13 straight-up and 40-28-1 ATS on the season, but take note that head coach Steve Kerr may be set to rest his starters in the near future with a 7.5-game lead in the West and the playoffs quickly approaching.

Going cold

The loss of shooting guard Wesley Matthews to a torn Achilles tendon has finally caught up to the Blazers, who have lost and failed to cover the number in four straight contests, dropping Portland behind Houston for the third spot in the Western Conference.

Surrendering just 97.9 points per game on the season (10th in NBA), the Blazers’ current four-game losing streak has seen the club permit an average of 105.2 points per contest, with three of those four matchups going over the total.

Portland returns home from a five-game road trip Tuesday night for a marquee showdown with the aforementioned Warriors.

Tank alert

With less than 14 games remaining, the Knicks (14-56), Timberwolves (15-54), Sixers (17-52) and Lakers (17-50) are in a tight race for the right to claim the most ping pong balls in this summer’s NBA draft, which means bettors should be on high alert for the very real possibility of strategic tanking.

The Kobe-less Lakers are well on their way having dropped four straight contests while Philly has gone off script by winning back-to-back showdowns.

Fun fact about the Sixers: Despite all the jokes about this franchise prior to the start of the season, Philadelphia has officially gone over their season win total of 15.

Time will tell

Are the East-leading Atlanta Hawks the best team in their conference or simply the organization with the best record?

Only time will tell if Al Horford, Jeff Teague and company can get past LeBron James and the Cavaliers, but take note that the Hawks have dropped three straight contests against some of the league’s elite franchises (at Golden State, at Oklahoma City, vs. San Antonio).

However, what’s especially troubling for Atlanta backers isn’t necessarily the blowout fashion in which the team has been losing as of late (deficit of 15.3 pts/gm), but the fact that the squad was routed by San Antonio Sunday night (114-95) despite the return of All-Star shooting guard Kyle Korver (broken nose).

The upside? Atlanta’s next six games come against six franchises that boast a sub-.500 record.
 

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Long Sheet

Monday, March 23

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HOUSTON (46 - 23) at INDIANA (30 - 39) - 3/23/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 146-105 ATS (+30.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 40-28 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 290-224 ATS (+43.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 112-72 ATS (+32.8 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
INDIANA is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (49 - 21) at NEW YORK (14 - 56) - 3/23/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MEMPHIS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MEMPHIS is 47-24 ATS (+20.6 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 139-103 ATS (+25.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
NEW YORK is 27-41 ATS (-18.1 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games this season.
NEW YORK is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
NEW YORK is 35-50 ATS (-20.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (30 - 39) at BROOKLYN (29 - 39) - 3/23/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 48-34 ATS (+10.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 39-29 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
BOSTON is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in home games this season.
BROOKLYN is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 6-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 7-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (30 - 38) at CHICAGO (42 - 29) - 3/23/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 54-41 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 60-80 ATS (-28.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 51-75 ATS (-31.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 6-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-4 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (15 - 54) at UTAH (31 - 38) - 3/23/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 29-38 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 321-379 ATS (-95.9 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-44 ATS (-18.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
MINNESOTA is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-5 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (40 - 30) at GOLDEN STATE (56 - 13) - 3/23/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 29-39 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
WASHINGTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 76-52 ATS (+18.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 23

Hot Teams
-- Rockets won three of their last four games (2-4 last six AU).
-- Memphis won four of its last five games (1-6 last seven AF).
-- Nets won four of their last five games (0-8 last eight HF).
-- Utah won seven of its last nine games (4-1 last five HF).
-- Golden State won 10 of its last 11 games (4-1 last five HF).

Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost their last five games (1-4 vs spread).
-- New York lost five of last six games (7-3 last ten HU).
-- Celtics lost their last three games (15-4 last 19 AU).
-- Chicago lost six of its last nine games (3-1 last four HF). Hornets lost five of their last seven games (10-4 last 14 AU).
-- Minnesota lost seven of its last eight games (2-6 last eight AU).
-- Washington lost its last two games by 14-23 points, after winning five in row before that (3-6 last nine AU). .

Series Records
-- Home side won last three Houston-Indiana games.
-- Home side won six of last seven Memphis-New York games.
-- Nets are 5-3 in their last eight games with Brooklyn.
-- Hornets won three of last four games with Chicago.
-- Jazz won their last three games with Minnesota.
-- Warriors won seven of last eight games with Washington.

Totals
-- Four of last five Indiana home games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Memphis road games went over.
-- Five of last six Brooklyn home games went over.
-- Last eight Chicago games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Utah home games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Washington road games stayed under.

Back-to-Backs
-- Knicks are 7-10-1 vs spread if they played year before.
-- Celtics are 7-1 vs spread on road if they were at home day before.
-- Hornets are 6-3 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Minnesota is 4-3 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Washington is 4-5 vs spread if they lost night before.

East vs West
SU: West 230-164 ATS: West 202-189-3
East teams HF vs West: 49-55
East teams HU vs West: 45-44
West teams HF vs East: 80-76-3
West teams HU vs East: 24-18
 

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Monday, March 23


Latest skid gives Knicks the worst ATS record

The New York Knicks fell 106-89 to the Toronto Raptors Sunday, failing to cover the spread as 12-point dogs and dropping them to 27-41-1 against the spread. The worst ATS record in the NBA.

The Knicks have now failed to cover the spread in five of their last six contests.

New York will have a tough time ending the skid, as they play their second game in as many nights when they host the Memphis Grizzlies tonight. The Knicks are currently 13-point home dogs.


Raptors now NBA's best over bet with win over Knicks

With the Toronto Raptors 106-89 win against the New York Knicks Sunday, the over is 9-3 in their last 12 games, giving them an NBA best over record this season.

The Raptors are 39-31 over/under on the season, that is a half-game better than the Sacramento Kings, who are 38-31 over/under.

Toronto plays one of the better under teams, the Detroit Pistons (30-38-1 O/U), in their next game Tuesday.
 

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Monday, March 23

Houston at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Houston: 10-1 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite
Indiana: 7-22 ATS in March games

Memphis at NY Knicks, 7:35 ET
Memphis: 14-34 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points
NY Knicks: 27-11 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more

Boston at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
Boston: 15-3 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite
Brooklyn: 4-13 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog

Charlotte at Chicago, 8:05 ET
Charlotte: 11-24 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more
Chicago: 24-9 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more

Minnesota at Utah, 9:05 ET
Minnesota: 9-21 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games
Utah: 20-9 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread

Washington at Golden State, 10:35 ET
Washington: 4-12 ATS in road games after a non-conference game
Golden State: 24-9 ATS in home games
 

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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Current odds to win the Masters in a couple weeks.........

6-1-- Rory McIlroy-- Currently 116th on World Money List.

10-1-- Bubba Watson, Jordan Spieth- They can't serve Waffle House at Champions' Dinner; Augusta National doesn't deal with brand name foods.

12-1-- Jason Day-- Playing better this year becase he is healthy.

15-1-- Adam Scott, Dustin Johnson-- Scott is currently 75th on that $$$ list.

25-1-- Mickelson-Fowler-Stenson-Snedeker-Walker-Reed

30-1-- Justin Rose-Matt Kuchar-- Anyone know which network carries Masters? They really should advertise more.



**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.......

13) You meet all kinds of interesting people hanging around a sportsbook or a casino bar; this week has been no exception. I've met a homeless guy who spends his afternoons drinking free beer by the sportsbook, an elderly Wisconsin fan, a gambler from Illinois who was the best story teller I've ever met-- I've learned a lot in the last eight days-- hopefully it'll make this website more fun for you to read.

12) College basketball coaching carousel is starting to spin: rumors have Arizona State getting rid of Herb Sendek today; SE Missouri and Bradley fired their coaches, and an interesting hire was Steve McClain at Ill-Chicago. He was pretty good while at Wyoming and has been an assistant at Indiana ever since.

11) BJ Johnson transfers from Syracuse to LaSalle; he had 19 points in a February game with Notre Dame, but scored only 4.2 ppg this season. Couple kids transferred out of South Florida; Anthony Collins only has one year left wherever he goes.

10) Murray State 83, Tulsa 62-- Racers looked like a top 20 team in crushing Tulsa on its home court- they made 14-25 from arc, led by 18 at halftime and won easily even though star Cameron Payne fouled out with 8:00 left.

9) Mike Brey's mother, who passed away Saturday, swam in the 1956 Olympics and once held the world record in the butterfly.

8) Louisiana Tech 84, Texas A&M 72-- Another mid-major spanks an SEC team on its home court; Tech coach Michaeel White is son of Duke's AD, brother of Buffalo's AD- he has a brother-in-law working with him in Ruston.

7) Bucks-Nets have played three times this season; two of three games went to triple overtime. Jason Kidd jumping from Brooklyn to Milwaukee has already made the games emotionally charged, but two triple OT games in same year makes it moreso.

6) Celtics are currently #8 seed in the East; they're eight games under .500. Suns and Pelicans are both over .500 but out of the playoff picture right now. Seems wrong.

5) Relaxed Monday afternoon, watched the A's play in the South Point sportsbook; weird seeing Brandon Moss play against the A's. He helped them so much last three seasons. $1.25 hot dogs by the sportsbook are tremendous, by the way.

4) New York City talk show nitwits were making a big stink out of the Mets starting Bartolo Colon in the season opener. Anyone with half a brain realizes the Mets are going to limit Matt Harvey's innings by stretching out his starts where they can, so they don't have to shut him down in September, the way Washington did with Stephen Strasburg a few years ago. but everyone is a critic, so......

3) Alabama is poised to offer Wichita State's Gregg Marshall $3M a year to coach the Crimson Tide; going to be very interesting; a) if he takes the job or not b) where they turn if he declines their offer. Nick Saban casts a very large shadow.

2) ESPN's 30 for 30 show on former NBA player Chris Herren and his fight against substance abuse is just tremendous television. Very very sad in spots; the story is heading to a happy conclusion, but obviously it is a daily struggle he fights. If you haven't seen it is really is worth watching-- an amazing true story.

1) Had the pleasure to meet website readers Mike/Martha/Walt this weekend; Mike is a sharp gambler who scored big at the baccarat table before leaving town. Walt is a big Notre Dame fan, but I won't hold that against him. Really nice people; it was a pleasure to hang out and shoot the breeze with them.
 

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Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 24

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TORONTO (42 - 28) at DETROIT (26 - 44) - 3/24/2015, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (18 - 50) at OKLAHOMA CITY (40 - 30) - 3/24/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-5 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (32 - 37) at MILWAUKEE (34 - 36) - 3/24/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 39-29 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 135-101 ATS (+23.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MIAMI is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
MILWAUKEE is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 72-101 ATS (-39.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 8-6 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 10-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
10 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (44 - 25) at DALLAS (44 - 27) - 3/24/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 318-251 ATS (+41.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 223-177 ATS (+28.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 892-783 ATS (+30.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 705-603 ATS (+41.7 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 396-336 ATS (+26.4 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 136-96 ATS (+30.4 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 300-240 ATS (+36.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 257-208 ATS (+28.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 29-38 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 9-8 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (17 - 53) at SACRAMENTO (24 - 45) - 3/24/2015, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
SACRAMENTO is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 17-27 ATS (-12.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
SACRAMENTO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (57 - 13) at PORTLAND (44 - 24) - 3/24/2015, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 24

Hot Teams
-- Raptors won three of last four games (2-4 last six AF). Detroit won three of last four games (4-1 last five HU).
-- Oklahoma City won five of last six games (3-1 last four HF). Lakers are 3-3 in last six games, 10-3 vs spread in last 13.
-- Miami won three of its last four games (5-2 AF).
-- Spurs won ten of their last twelve games (4-1 last five AF).
-- Kings won last two games, by 10-23 points (2-7 last nine HF).
-- Golden State won 11 of its last 12 games (2-8 last ten AF).

Cold Teams
-- Milwaukee lost its last six games (2-4 last six HU).
-- Dallas is 5-7 in its last twelve games (1-4 last five HU).
-- 76ers lost their last 14 road games (1-5 last six AU).
-- Portland lost its last four games (2-0 HU).

Series Records
-- Raptors won five of last six games with Detroit.
-- Lakers lost six of last seven games with Oklahoma City.
-- Bucks won their last three games with Miami.
-- Home teams won last five San Antonio-Dallas games.
-- 76ers won five of last six games with Sacramento.
-- Warriors won six of last eight games with Portland.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Toronto-Detroit games went over total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Thunder's last six home games; seven of last nine Laker games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Miami games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six San Antonio road games went over.
-- Four of last five Philly's road games stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Golden State road games.

Back-to-Backs
-- Warriors are 3-1 vs spread on road if they played at home nite before.

East vs West
SU: West 233-164 ATS: West 205-189-3
East teams HF vs West: 49-56
East teams HU vs West: 45-45
West teams HF vs East: 81-76-3
West teams HU vs East: 24-18
 

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Tuesday, March 24

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. DETROIT
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Detroit is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
LA Lakers are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of the LA Lakers last 18 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing LA Lakers

8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Miami is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. DALLAS
San Antonio is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Dallas's last 17 games
Dallas is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against San Antonio

10:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. SACRAMENTO
Philadelphia is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Sacramento is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games

10:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing Portland
Golden State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Golden State
 

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Tuesday, March 24

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Game of the Day: Spurs at Mavericks
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San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks (+2.5, 205.5)

The up-and-down nature of the Dallas Mavericks has hit another downswing at a bad time. The Mavericks will try to avoid a third straight loss when they host the defending champion San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday. Losses to Memphis and at Phoenix over the weekend allowed the Spurs to jump over Dallas in the standings, leaving the Mavericks in seventh place in the Western Conference, one game behind San Antonio.

Dallas bridged February and March with a stretch of five losses in seven games but appeared to be pulling out of the funk with an impressive three-game winning streak before falling flat again over the weekend. "This is a Dallas Mavericks hard-play problem, all right?" coach Rick Carlisle told reporters. "We don't play hard all the time. And that's a problem.” The Spurs have won three in a row and are coming off a 114-95 triumph at East-leading Atlanta on Sunday.

LINE HISTORY: Most shops opened the Mavs as 2-point dogs, but that line was moved up to +2.5 at the time of writing.

ABOUT THE SPURS (44-25): San Antonio gets a chance to solidify the No. 6 spot this week and possibly move forward in the West with its next three games against the two teams below it in the standings in Dallas (twice) and Oklahoma City. The Spurs shot 56.1 percent from the floor and needed only eight points from Tony Parker to put up 114 against the Hawks as Tiago Splitter (23 points) and Kawhi Leonard (20 points, 10 rebounds, seven assists and four steals) carried the load. "I'm feeling healthy. I'm feeling like I can push myself,” Splitter told KENS5.com “I feel like I have nothing against it. I'm just going in there and putting everything on the court. I'm running better, I'm rebounding better and just feeling stronger. The confidence, of course, goes together with that.”

ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (44-27): Dallas fell behind by 15 points at the half in the 98-92 loss at Phoenix on Sunday and is looking for a better effort from the start over the last 11 games. “We’re not playing up to our ability right now,” forward Chandler Parsons told reporters. “There’s ups and downs in a season, so we can’t get too low right now. Everyone tends to do that when we have a loss, but we still control our own destiny.” The Mavericks’ next seven games are against teams fighting for playoff spots, with the lone sub-.500 opponent in that span at Indiana on Sunday.

TRENDS:

*Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
*Over is 8-1 in Spurs' last 9 overall.
*Underdog is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
*Over is 5-1 in Mavericks' last 6 overall.



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NBA

Tuesday, March 24


LaMarcus Aldridge, Portland - Out Tues

Aldridge left Saturday's game with a sprained left index finger and did not return. He will not play Tuesday against the Warriors.
 

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Inside the Paint - Tuesday


March 24, 2015




The NBA regular season is coming to a close and five of the 16 playoff berths have been clinched, Chicago doing so last night.


Most would agree that the eight seeds in the Western Conference are locked up unless Oklahoma City has another key injury, which would open the door for Phoenix or New Orleans. The seeds in the West, in particular three through seven, are up for grabs and will be tight races the rest of the way.


In the East, the first five seeds are all but set while the final three are up in the air. Miami and Boston currently hold the last two spots but Charlotte, Indiana and Brooklyn are all within striking distance.


The oddsmakers at Sportsbook.ag don’t believe any of the seeding will matter and expect the Warriors and Cavaliers to meet in this year’s NBA Finals. Bettors can wager on that possible matchup and others at the offshore outfit.


NBA Finals Possible Matchups
Cavs vs. Warriors (2/1)
Cavs vs. Spurs (5/1)
Hawks vs. Warriors (6/1)
Cavs vs. Grizzlies (7/1)
Cavs vs. Clippers (12/1)


Monday’s card watched the favorites go 4-2 both straight up and against the spread last night while the total produced a 3-3 record. The visitors went 4-2 and oddsmakers are expecting a repeat performance on Tuesday with four of the six matchups having the road team favored.


Toronto at Detroit: The Raptors opened as short road favorites (-2 ½) and they could be without point guard Kyle Lowry (back), who has missed the last two games. Detroit won’t likely have center Greg Monroe (knee) again and that could be a good thing for the Pistons, who have won three of four without the big man. That run has come after Detroit dropped 10 straight games and knocked itself out of the playoff race. This will be the fourth and final meeting between the pair this season and the first three games were fun to watch. Toronto won two of the first three and the ‘over’ cashed in all three as the teams combined for 210, 225 and 224 points. Stan Van Gundy’s team has gone 6-12 SU and 10-8 ATS as home underdogs this season but Toronto has been great as a road favorite, going 11-3 SU and 8-6 ATS.


L.A. Lakers at Oklahoma City: The Thunder hold a 2 ½-game lead over Phoenix for the eighth and final playoff spot in the West and games like tonight are considered must-win spots, but not necessarily must-bet spots. The Thunder have gone 8-0 as a double-digit favorite this season but they’ve burned bettors with a 2-6 ATS mark. Oklahoma City has won three straight (2-1 ATS) and would appear to be a good lean tonight against Los Angeles but it does have an important game tomorrow at San Antonio, so the look-ahead spot could be in play. L.A. just beat Philadelphia 101-87 on Sunday and it rarely wins back-to-back games, just six times all season. Make a note that the Lakers have gone 10-3 ATS (4-9 SU) since the All-Star break as underdogs and the worst loss came by nine points. OKC has defeated the Lakers twice this season by a combined eight points but both games were played at the Staples Center.


San Antonio at Dallas (TNT): Somebody likes the Spurs in tonight’s matchup! San Antonio opened as a one-point road favorite and that number has been pushed up to 3 ½ at most betting shops. Based on current form, it’s hard to ignore the move. The Spurs have gone 10-2 SU (9-3 ATS) in their last 12 games while the Mavericks are 8-7 SU and 5-10 ATS since the All-Star break. A lot of pundits are placing blame on point guard Rajon Rondo and some of its deserving but not having backup guards Devin Harris (illness) and Jose Barea (ankle) healthy are bigger concerns. This is a tough matchup for both clubs because they’ll meet again on Friday in San Antonio. You can argue it’s more difficult for the Spurs, who will host OKC tomorrow, which means three games in four nights and we all know what head coach Gregg Popovich does in these situations. The two teams have split the first two meetings and the margins were one and six points. The ‘under’ cashed in both contests.


Miami at Milwaukee: Oddsmakers opened Miami as a one-point road favorite and that say a lot. Including Sunday’s loss at Oklahoma City (93-75), the Heat have dropped four straight on the road yet they’re still laying points to a Milwaukee team that has already beaten them three times this season? The Bucks are a mess right now, losers of six straight and is 4-13 since the All-Star break. The trade for Michael Carter-Williams hasn’t worked out and if Milwaukee doesn’t get it together, it could fall down to the seventh or eighth seed in the Eastern Conference. Miami hasn’t dropped back-to-back losses in March plus its gone 4-2 this season after the offense was held to a number in the seventies.


Philadelphia at Sacramento: Tricky game and the best bet is likely a pass. Sacramento has won and covered two straight and is giving eight points to the 76ers in this spot. The Kings haven’t won three straight since mid-November, which is also the last time they covered three in a row too. So should we expect them do so on Tuesday? They’re not playing the Warriors, rather the 76ers. However, Philadelphia ran past Sacramento a couple weeks ago at home, beating the Kings 114-107 as 4 ½-point home underdogs. The George Karl ‘over’ trend has simmered down with 2 straight ‘under’ tickets but it wasn’t Sacramento’s fault, who scored 101 and 109 points.


Golden State at Portland (TNT): The Warriors are ridiculous right now, winners of six straight and five of the victories came by double digits which has led to a 5-1 ATS mark. Even though Golden State is playing on no rest tonight, it’s likely catching a break with Portland missing All-Star LaMarcus Aldridge (hand). The Warriors have gone 12-3 SU and 9-5-1 ATS on zero days rest this season. These teams met in early November at the Moda Center and Golden State captured a 95-90 victory as a 3 ½-point road underdog. Portland has only been a home ‘dog twice this season and it’s won and covered both games. These teams will meet once again this season on Apr. 9 from the Bay Area.
 

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Tuesday's Top Action


March 24, 2015




SAN ANTONIO SPURS (44-25) at DALLAS MAVERICKS (44-27)


Tip-off: Tuesday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: San Antonio -2.5, Total: 205.5


The Spurs look to win their fourth straight game when they face the Mavericks in Dallas Tuesday.


The Spurs went into Atlanta Sunday and dominated the Hawks in a 114-95 victory as 1.5-point road favorites. San Antonio has now won-and-covered in three straight games, averaging 109.7 PPG and allowing just 95.7 PPG. This team is playing very well on both sides of the ball and it’s a huge reason that it has been able to go 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS in its past 12 games.


The Mavericks, meanwhile, lost 98-92 as 4.5-point road favorites against the Suns on Sunday. Dallas has now lost two straight games SU and four straight ATS. The team has allowed its opponent to shoot over 50% from the field in two straight games and four of its past six. These teams have met twice this season and both teams won SU but lost ATS when hosting the other.


Over the past three seasons, the Spurs are 13-4 SU but just 8-9 ATS against the Mavs. When playing in Dallas in this head-to-head series, the Spurs are 5-3 SU and ATS over the past three seasons. San Antonio is 20-6 ATS in March games over the past two seasons. Dallas, however, is an outstanding 10-0 ATS after trailing in its previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the past three seasons.


SG Manu Ginobili (Ankle) is probable for the Spurs, who are likely to be without PF Aron Baynes (Ankle) in this one. PGs Devin Harris (illness) and J.J. Barea (Ankle) are both expected to miss this game for the Mavericks.


The Spurs have really found themselves as of late and SF Kawhi Leonard (15.9 PPG, 7.4 RPG, 2.5 APG, 2.3 SPG) is playing the best regular season basketball of his career. He had 20 points, 10 boards, seven assists and four steals in 32 minutes in the win over Atlanta on Sunday. Over the past five games, he’s averaging 16.8 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 2.6 APG and 3.4 SPG. He’s shooting 57% from the outside in those games and his defense is too much to handle at times. If a poor dribbler is anywhere near him then Leonard will find a way to take the ball from him. He’ll need to keep up the intensity against Dallas on Tuesday.


PG Tony Parker (14.9 PPG, 5.0 APG, 2.0 RPG) had just eight points and five assists against the Hawks. He did not need to do much offensively in that game, but that should not be the case moving forward. Parker is one of this team’s most reliable weapons on offense and he must get himself going against Dallas. He had 23 points in 35 minutes the only time he faced the team this season and will need to do more of the same Tuesday.


PF Tim Duncan (14.1 PPG, 9.3 RPG, 3.1 APG, 1.9 BPG) played a great all around game against Atlanta, finishing with 12 points, seven rebounds, seven assists and four blocks in 31 minutes. Duncan must play well in his matchup with Dirk Nowitzki Tuesday as the outcome of that battle in the post could determine who ends up winning this game.


C Tiago Splitter (8.0 PPG, 4.8 RPG) has come on strong for this team recently, averaging 14.2 PPG and 7.2 RPG in 23.8 MPG over the past five contests. He’ll need to be very active in this game, as he can’t afford to be completely outworked by Tyson Chandler.


The Mavericks have lost two straight games and now will look to turn things around against the Spurs.


PF Dirk Nowitzki (17.3 PPG, 5.9 RPG) is averaging 17.6 PPG over his past five games and is shooting an absurd 62% from the outside in those contests. He’ll need to stay hot in this one because his team will have no chance of beating San Antonio if Tim Duncan were to drastically outplay him.


PG Rajon Rondo (8.9 PPG, 8.1 APG, 5.6 RPG, 1.4 SPG) also has his work cut out for him in this game, as he’ll need to hold his own against Tony Parker. Rondo has, however, played much better recently, averaging 9.2 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 4.4 RPG and 1.8 SPG over the past five games. He’s shooting 51% from the field in those contests and will need to continue to play well on both sides of the ball moving forward.


C Tyson Chandler (10.2 PPG, 11.4 RPG, 1.3 BPG) struggled against the Suns last game, finishing with just seven points (2-for-7 FG), 11 boards and no blocks in 31 minutes. The Mavericks will need him to do a better job of protecting the rim on Tuesday and he also can’t afford to miss that many shots, as pretty much all of his attempts come from within a few feet of the basket.


Another player who drastically needs to turn it around is SG Monta Ellis (19.0 PPG, 4.2 APG, 1.9 SPG). Ellis was a miserable 4-for-22 from the field against Phoenix, finishing with 11 points in 37 minutes. He’s averaging just 11.5 PPG over the past two games and the Mavericks need him to start scoring.


SF Chandler Parsons (15.6 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 2.4 APG, 1.0 SPG) has struggled against the Spurs this season, averaging just 10.5 PPG in two games against the team. He can really help the Mavericks if he could reach 15 or so in this one.


GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (57-13) at PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS (44-24)


Tip-off: Tuesday, 10:35 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: Golden State -6.5, Total: 203.5


Two of the Western Conference’s elite teams, the Golden State Warriors and Portland Trail Blazers, meet for what should be an exciting matchup on Tuesday night.


Golden State has unquestionably been the best team in the NBA this season and is riding a six game SU winning streak (5-1 ATS) coming into this one. Each of those games was played at home as it defeated teams by an average of 19.2 PPG behind 112.0 PPG of scoring. One of the Warriors’ biggest victories came on Monday when they hosted the Wizards as big 11-point favorites and came away with a hug 107-76 dismantling of their opponent. The Warriors held Washington to a meager 33.3% shooting in the win and allowed them to score just 27 total points in the second half.


Portland has had its issues of late, playing each of the past five games on the East Coast and going a meager 1-4 SU and ATS during the road trip. The Blazers were the favorite in two of the losses and showed some poor defense, giving up 105+ points on three occasions. The Grizzlies were their latest opponent and they went in as 3-point underdogs only to lose 97-86 on Saturday. The Blazers actually shot a better percentage from the floor in the defeat, but had 17 turnovers and allowed Memphis to nail 11-of-18 three-pointers (61.1% 3PM).


Golden State has seemed nearly human when playing on the road as it has compiled a 23-11 SU record (15-17-2 ATS) in away games and will face-off against a Portland group which is a tremendous 28-6 SU (19-14-1 ATS) at home. This will be the second of three meetings between these teams this year and it was way back on Nov. 2 when the teams last met, as the Warriors earned a 95-90 win on the road as 3.5-point underdogs. It was an ugly game as each team had at least 17 turnovers and saw the Blazers make 40.2% of their shots; including a putrid 7-of-27 from behind the arc (26% 3PM).


Overall in the past three years, this has been Golden State’s series as it is 6-2 SU (5-3 ATS) in that time and has won each of the past four meetings. As far as trends are concerned, the Warriors are 13-2 ATS (87%) after two straight games where they were called for 18 or less fouls in the past three seasons and Portland is 13-4 ATS (76%) when playing eight or more games in 14 days.


Injuries could really be the difference-maker in this game as Golden State comes in with a clean slate while PF LaMarcus Aldridge (Hand), C Chris Kaman (Shoulder) and SF Nicolas Batum (Back) are expected to miss the game for Portland and SG Wesley Matthews (Achilles) is out for the rest of the season.


There has been no match for the Golden State offense as the team leads the league in scoring (109.7 PPG), field goal percentage (47.7%) and three-point percentage (39.3% 3PM). On the other side of the ball the Warriors have managed to play solid as well, allowing 99.0 PPG (14th in league) behind a league-best 42.4% shooting.


PG Stephen Curry (23.3 PPG, 7.9 APG, 4.3 RPG, 2.1 SPG) has shot 42% on his three-pointers this year and has back-to-back 24-point performances where he made 8-of-14 threes leading up to this contest. He hit on just 6-of-18 shots against this Portland group earlier in the year but had a decent overall game with 21 points, six assists, five rebounds and two steals.


SG Klay Thompson (21.7 PPG, 1.1 SPG, 43% 3PM) returned from a three-game absence on Monday, playing just 18 minutes and scoring eight points on 3-of-9 shooting. He was phenomenal against the Blazers in their first meeting, netting 29 points behind 11-of-22 shooting with three steals.


SF Draymond Green (11.8 PPG, 8.1 RPG, 1.6 SPG, 1.3 BPG) continues to contribute in some way during every game and had 13 points, six rebounds, one block and one steal in just 22 minutes against Washington on Monday. He didn’t do much (5 points, 6 rebounds, 2 steals, 1 block) in the win over Portland back in November.


The Blazers continue to be a solid offensive unit as they are putting up 102.6 PPG (10th in league) on 44.7% shooting (13th-worst in league). They have been tremendous defensively, though, giving up 97.9 PPG (10th in league) behind 43.6% shooting (5th in league).


PG Damian Lillard (21.3 PPG, 6.2 APG, 4.7 RPG, 1.3 SPG) will need to carry the team on his back if they want to have any chance in this one and is coming off a solid showing (27 points, 7 assists) in the loss to Memphis on Saturday. He couldn’t find his stroke in the defeat at the hands of Golden State earlier in the year as he made a putrid 4-of-18 shots, leading to 11 points as he added six rebounds and five assists.


C Robin Lopez (9.8 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 1.5 BPG) will also be looked upon to carry a heavy workload in this one as both Aldridge and Kaman sit but has played poorly (8.6 PPG, 5.2 RPG) over his past five outings. He will look to rebound against a Warriors group which he put a double-double (12 points, 10 rebounds) up against in November.


SG Aaron Afflalo (13.7 PPG) has failed to crack double-digits in each of the past two contests but has been hot from beyond the arc with 11-of-22 shots from long range dropping over the past five games. He saw Golden State once this year when he was a member of the Nuggets and was horrible with two points on 1-of-8 shooting in 24 minutes on the floor.
 

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Messages
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Dunkel

Wednesday, March 25

Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets

Game 751-752
March 25, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn Nets
116.724
Charlotte Hornets
121.548
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte Hornets
by 5
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte Hornets
by 3 1/2
193 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte Hornets
(-3 1/2); Over

Los Angeles Clippers vs New York Knicks

Game 753-754
March 25, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles Clipp
122.874
New York Knicks
105.559
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles Clippers
by 17 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles Clipp
by 14 1/2
197
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles Clipp
(-14 1/2); Over

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards

Game 755-756
March 25, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana Pacers
119.272
Washington Wizard
118.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana Pacers
by 1
186
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington Wizard
by 3 1/2
193
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana Pacers
(+3 1/2); Under

Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic

Game 757-758
March 25, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta Hawks
121.452
Orlando Magic
117.036
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta Hawks
by 4 1/2
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta Hawks
by 8
201 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando Magic
(+8); Under

Chicago Bulls vs Toronto Raptors

Game 759-760
March 25, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Bulls
116.470
Toronto Raptors
129.096
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto Raptors
by 12 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto Raptors
by 2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto Raptors
(-2); N/A

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Game 761-762
March 25, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami Heat
117.929
Boston Celtics
125.374
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston Celtics
by 7 1/2
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston Celtics
by 3 1/2
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston Celtics
(-3 1/2); Under

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Game 763-764
March 25, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland Cavalie
124.764
Memphis Grizzlies
130.307
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis Grizzlies
by 5 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland Cavalie
by 2 1/2
194
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis Grizzlies
(+2 1/2); Over

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Game 765-766
March 25, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston Rockets
121.038
New Orleans Pelic
122.209
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans Pelicans
by 1
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston Rockets
by 2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans Pelic
(+2); N/A

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Game 767-768
March 25, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles Laker
116.002
Minnesota Timberw
113.948
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles Lakers
by 2
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota Timberw
by 2
201 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles Laker
(+2); Under

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz

Game 769-770
March 25, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland Trail Bl
117.214
Utah Jazz
120.990
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah Jazz
by 3 1/2
184
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah Jazz
by 5 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Portland Trail Bl
(+5 1/2); N/A

Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets

Game 771-772
March 25, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia 76er
111.589
Denver Nuggets
125.041
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver Nuggets
by 13 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver Nuggets
by 11
208
Dunkel Pick:
Denver Nuggets
(-11); Over

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs

Game 773-774
March 25, 2015 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City Thu
120.383
San Antonio Spurs
129.312
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio Spurs
by 9
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio Spurs
by 7
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio Spurs
(-7); Over

Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns

Game 775-776
March 25, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento Kings
118.216
Phoenix Suns
112.312
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento Kings
by 6
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix Suns
by 8
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento Kings
(+8); Over
 

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Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 25

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (29 - 40) at CHARLOTTE (30 - 39) - 3/25/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 53-31 ATS (+18.9 Units) in home games in March games since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 48-35 ATS (+9.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 6-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (46 - 25) at NEW YORK (14 - 57) - 3/25/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 30-40 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games this season.
NEW YORK is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
NEW YORK is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
NEW YORK is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 35-51 ATS (-21.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (30 - 40) at WASHINGTON (40 - 31) - 3/25/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
WASHINGTON is 29-40 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 338-407 ATS (-109.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 78-117 ATS (-50.7 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 52-78 ATS (-33.8 Units) in home games after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-7 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 9-6 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (53 - 17) at ORLANDO (22 - 50) - 3/25/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
ATLANTA is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points this season.
ORLANDO is 47-66 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 8-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 8-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (43 - 29) at TORONTO (42 - 29) - 3/25/2015, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (32 - 38) at BOSTON (31 - 39) - 3/25/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 35-48 ATS (-17.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 40-29 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 134-102 ATS (+21.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.
BOSTON is 49-77 ATS (-35.7 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
BOSTON is 86-119 ATS (-44.9 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (46 - 26) at MEMPHIS (50 - 21) - 3/25/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 218-176 ATS (+24.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (47 - 23) at NEW ORLEANS (37 - 33) - 3/25/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 7-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (18 - 51) at MINNESOTA (16 - 54) - 3/25/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 5-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 5-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (44 - 25) at UTAH (31 - 39) - 3/25/2015, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-4 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (17 - 54) at DENVER (27 - 44) - 3/25/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 59-32 ATS (+23.8 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.
DENVER is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
DENVER is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (41 - 30) at SAN ANTONIO (44 - 26) - 3/25/2015, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 892-784 ATS (+29.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 705-604 ATS (+40.6 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 454-381 ATS (+34.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 396-337 ATS (+25.3 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 158-115 ATS (+31.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 115-84 ATS (+22.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 331-278 ATS (+25.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 52-37 ATS (+11.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-5 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-6 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (25 - 45) at PHOENIX (38 - 33) - 3/25/2015, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 26-41 ATS (-19.1 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
SACRAMENTO is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 89-60 ATS (+23.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 147-113 ATS (+22.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
PHOENIX is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-5 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 6-5 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Messages
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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 25

Hot Teams
-- Nets won four of their last six games (4-2 last six AU).
-- Clippers won six of their last eight games (2-8 last ten AF).
-- Bulls won three of their last four games (0-4 last four AU). Raptors won three of last four home games (2-5 last seven HF).
-- Memphis won five of its last six games (2-5 last seven HU). Cavaliers won seven of their last eight games (7-1 last eight AF).
-- Rockets won four of their last five games.
-- Thunder won six of last seven games (3-0 last three AU). San Antonio won three of its last four games (4-0 last four HF).
-- Suns won/covered their last four games. Sacramento won its last three games (3-9 last 12 AU).

Cold Teams
-- Charlotte lost four of its last five games (3-7 last ten HF).
-- Knicks lost six of their last seven games (3-5 last eight HU).
-- Washington lost last three games, by 14-23-31 points (3-6 last nine AU). Pacers lost their last six games (1-5 vs spread).
-- Hawks lost last three games, by 19-8-19 points (2-5 last seven AF).
-- Orlando lost seven of its last eight games (3-4 last seven HU).
-- Miami lost its last five road games (1-4 last five AU). Celtics lost three of last four games (6-2 last eight HF).
-- New Orleans lost four of its last five games.
-- Minnesota lost seven of last nine games (1-5 last six HF). Lakers lost nine of last 12 games, covered 11 of their last 15.
-- Jazz lost three of their last four games (1-3 last four HF). Portland lost its last five games (3-4 last seven AU).
-- 76ers lost four of their last six games (2-5 last seven AU). Denver lost three of its last four games (1-4 last five HF).

Series Records
-- Nets won seven of last ten games with Charlotte.
-- Clippers won their last five games with New York.
-- Wizards won three of last four games with Indiana.
-- Hawks won three of last four games with Orlando.
-- Bulls won their last five games with Toronto.
-- Miami is 5-3 in its last eight games with Boston.
-- Cavaliers lost five of last seven games with Memphis.
-- Pelicans won their last three games with Houston.
-- Lakers lost three of last four games with Minnesota.
-- Jazz lost five of their last six games with Portland.
-- 76ers won six of last nine games with Denver.
-- Thunder lost three of last four visits to San Antonio.
-- Kings won three of last four visits to Phoenix.

Totals
-- Four of last five Brooklyn road games went over total.
-- Four of last five New York home games stayed under.
-- Last seven Washington home games went over total.
-- Last six Orlando home games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Toronto home games stayed under.
-- Last three Miami road games stayed under the total.
-- 12 of last 13 Memphis home games stayed under total.
-- 10 of last 14 New Orleans home games went over total.
-- Five of last six Minnesota home games went over total.
-- Last six Portland road games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Philly road games went over total.
-- Five of last six San Antonio home games went over.
-- Last six Sacramento road games went over the total.

Back-to-Backs
-- Toronto is 9-5 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Miami is 5-2 vs spread if they lost the night before.
-- Lakers are 4-1 vs spread if playing on road second night in row.
-- Portland is 7-7 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Philadelphia ia 10-8 vs spread if they played nighr before.
-- Oklahoma City is 10-4-1 vs spread if it played night before. Spurs are 4-1 vs spread at home if they were on road night before.
-- Sacramento is 6-9 vs spread if it played night before.

East vs West
SU: West 234-164 ATS: West 205-190-3
East teams HF vs West: 49-56
East teams HU vs West: 45-45
West teams HF vs East: 81-77-3
West teams HU vs East: 24-18
 

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Messages
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Wednesday, March 25

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. ORLANDO
Atlanta is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. TORONTO
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago

7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. WASHINGTON
Indiana is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Indiana is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing Washington
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. NEW YORK
LA Clippers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games on the road
New York is 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
New York is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers

7:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. CHARLOTTE
Brooklyn is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Charlotte
Brooklyn is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Brooklyn
Charlotte is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

7:30 PM
MIAMI vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Boston's last 16 games when playing Miami

8:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. NEW ORLEANS
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games when playing Minnesota
LA Lakers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Lakers

8:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Memphis is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Denver
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

9:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. UTAH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Utah's last 14 games

9:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
San Antonio is 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Oklahoma City

10:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing Phoenix
Sacramento is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Phoenix's last 9 games
 

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