Cnotes NBA April's Best Bets Thru the Playoffs- Trends,News,Stats !

[CNOTES]

NBA

Friday, April 11

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Game of the Day: Pacers at Heat
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Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat (-5, 184)

The two best teams in the Eastern Conference are struggling down the stretch, but one of them moves closer to claiming the top seed in the East when the Indiana Pacers visit the Miami Heat on Friday. Indiana holds a half-game edge over Miami entering the clash and a victory would reduce its magic number to one for clinching the No. 1 spot. The Pacers are just 8-12 over their past 20 games while the Heat is in the midst of a 10-11 stretch.

Miami could be without guard Dwyane Wade (hamstring) for the ninth straight contest and frontcourt reserve Chris Andersen (knee) also could be on the sidelines for the third time in four games. Forward LeBron James is much more concerned with the health of his club than landing the top seed in the East. “It’s not controlling our destiny about the No. 1 seed,” James told reporters. “We want to get healthy. That’s all that we care about, going into the postseason healthy. … Once everyone comes back, then we can get everything rolling.” Indiana rested its entire starting five while posting a 104-102 win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, NBATV, FSN Indiana, Sun Sports (Miami)

LINE HISTORY: Early lines in Las Vegas have Miami set as 5-point favorites but suggest a move to -3 if Wade is out. The total opened 184 and could dip to 181 if Wade is inactive.

POWER RANKINGS: Pacers (-11.0) - Miami (-13.8) + Home Court (-3.0) = Heat -5.8

INJURY REPORT: Miami - D. Wade (Ques. Hamstring), G.Oden (Ques. Back), U. Haslem (Ques. Stomach), C. Anderson (Ques. Knee). Pacers - A. Bynum (Out Knee)

ABOUT THE PACERS (54-25): Indiana’s ragged play reached a low point when it was crushed by the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday for its seventh loss in nine games. Seeing a tired and lackluster group led to coach Frank Vogel benching all five starters against the Bucks, which allowed key players like Paul George, David West and Roy Hibbert to get some much-needed rest. The Pacers were able to notch a victory courtesy of Chris Copeland’s game-winning shot with 1.2 seconds left. “We needed this to get a little confidence to feel better about ourselves,” veteran forward Luis Scola told reporters. “Start to get some rhythm back and we needed a win.”

ABOUT THE HEAT (53-25): Miami knows there is an advantage to gaining the No. 1 seed after being taken to seven games by the Pacers in last season’s Eastern Conference playoffs before prevailing at home. The Heat see Indiana as a threat and would feel much more comfortable if they win this showdown and overtake the Pacers for the top spot. “It’s going to be intense,” Heat center Chris Bosh said. “It’s going to be a hard-fought game. There’s something at stake. It will pretty much be the playoffs and I think it will be a great atmosphere. We expect them at their best.”

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Miami.
* Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Indiana at Miami
The Heat (31-8 at home) play host to a Pacers team that is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Miami is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-6). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, APRIL 11

Game 701-702: Washington at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 118.827; Orlando 110.947
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 8; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 6 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-6 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: New York at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 119.276; Toronto 122.222
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 3; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 5 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+5 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Indiana at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 110.549; Miami 125.496
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 15; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 6; 182 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-6); Over

Game 707-708: Atlanta at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 115.590; Brooklyn 119.183
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 3 1/2;
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+5); Under

Game 709-710: Charlotte at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 121.270; Boston 110.931
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 10 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 4 1/2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-4 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: New Orleans at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 117.034; Oklahoma City 127.339
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10 1/2;
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 15 1/2; 204
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+15 1/2); Under

Game 713-714: Houston at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.780; Minnesota 123.468
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 214
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 2; 218
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+2); Under

Game 715-716: Detroit at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 109.992; Chicago 127.677
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 17 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 10 1/2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-10 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: Philadelphia at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 108.101; Memphis 121.076
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 13; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 15; 199
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+15); Under

Game 719-720: Cleveland at Milwaukee (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 120.669; Milwaukee 112.365
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 8 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 4; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-4); Over

Game 721-722: Phoenix at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 122.805; San Antonio 131.339
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 8 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 2 1/2; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-2 1/2); Over

Game 723-724: Portland at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 117.470; Utah 111.876
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 5 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 7 1/2; 199
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+7 1/2); Under

Game 725-726: Golden State at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 122.173; LA Lakers 114.194
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 8; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 9 1/2; 220
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+9 1/2); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, April 11

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WASHINGTON (40 - 38) at ORLANDO (23 - 55) - 4/11/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-5 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (33 - 45) at TORONTO (46 - 32) - 4/11/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 34-44 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 17-27 ATS (-12.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
TORONTO is 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
TORONTO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (54 - 25) at MIAMI (53 - 25) - 4/11/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 12-11 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 13-10 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
12 of 23 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (35 - 43) at BROOKLYN (43 - 35) - 4/11/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 5-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (40 - 38) at BOSTON (23 - 55) - 4/11/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 26-49 ATS (-27.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 61-96 ATS (-44.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 42-22 ATS (+17.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a division game this season.
CHARLOTTE is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
CHARLOTTE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (32 - 46) at OKLAHOMA CITY (57 - 21) - 4/11/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-28 ATS (-12.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 157-208 ATS (-71.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 86-116 ATS (-41.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 93-75 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 81-65 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 50-35 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (52 - 26) at MINNESOTA (39 - 39) - 4/11/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (29 - 50) at CHICAGO (46 - 32) - 4/11/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 34-45 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a division game this season.
DETROIT is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
CHICAGO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 34-51 ATS (-22.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-5 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 9-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (17 - 61) at MEMPHIS (46 - 32) - 4/11/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-45 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-43 ATS (-16.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-32 ATS (-12.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 45-68 ATS (-29.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 53-40 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 34-42 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (32 - 47) at MILWAUKEE (14 - 64) - 4/11/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 131-99 ATS (+22.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 72-90 ATS (-27.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 32-40 ATS (-12.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
MILWAUKEE is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 24-33 ATS (-12.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MILWAUKEE is 68-95 ATS (-36.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 7-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (47 - 31) at SAN ANTONIO (61 - 18) - 4/11/2014, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (51 - 28) at UTAH (24 - 54) - 4/11/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 32-42 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 25-35 ATS (-13.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
UTAH is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-4 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (48 - 30) at LA LAKERS (25 - 53) - 4/11/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 72-89 ATS (-25.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 48-66 ATS (-24.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 25-38 ATS (-16.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA LAKERS are 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 41-59 ATS (-23.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 7-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 8-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Friday

April 11, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Heat are 0-10 ATS (-6.55 ppg) since Nov 22, 2009 at home after a loss in which their DPS was positive on the road.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Cavaliers are 11-0 OU (19.41 ppg) since Feb 09, 2010 with at least one day of rest after a win at home in which they shot at least 50% from the field.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Suns are 13-0 OU (18.38 ppg) since Feb 19, 2012 after Channing Frye shot worse than 33% from the field on the road.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Heat are 0-11 OU (-9.05 ppg) since Apr 02, 2008 at home with at most one day of rest after a game on the road in which they shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Knicks are 0-8 ATS (-8.88 ppg) since Dec 29, 2011 after Carmelo Anthony shot worse than 33% from the field in a road loss.

-- The Heat are 0-7 OU (-11.00 ppg) since Feb 04, 2013 at home after Lebron James scored at least 30 points on the road.

 

[CNOTES]

Friday's Tips

April 10, 2014


Knicks at Raptors – 7:05 PM EST

New York: 33-45 SU, 34-44 ATS
Toronto: 46-32 SU, 45-31-2 ATS

The Knicks are running out of time to make up a two-game deficit to the Hawks for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. New York heads to Toronto on Friday, as the Raptors are sneaking closer to their first Atlantic Division title since 2007, owning a three-game lead over the Nets. The Knicks are coming off consecutive losses to the Wizards and Heat, while Carmelo Anthony has been nursing a sore right shoulder which limited him to 4-of-17 shooting for just 13 points at Miami.

The Raptors beat the Knicks in the first two meetings this season on a back-to-back set in December, with each victory coming by double-digits. Anthony sat out both those games due to injury, as Toronto has won three of the past four home matchups with New York. Toronto failed to cover as 13 ½-point favorites in Wednesday’s 125-114 win over Philadelphia, the fourth consecutive victory for the Raptors.

Pacers at Heat – 7:35 PM EST

Indiana: 54-25 SU, 36-42-1 ATS
Miami: 53-25 SU, 36-40-2 ATS

These two rivals keep going back and forth sitting atop the Eastern Conference as Indiana pulled back in front on Wednesday in spite of pulling back its starters. The Pacers edged the Bucks, 104-102 as one-point road favorites as head coach Frank Vogel didn’t play any of his starters. Amazingly, Indiana has covered just four of its last 26 games, while losing each of its past three in the road underdog role by double-digits.

The Heat got tripped up by the Grizzlies on Wednesday night, 107-102, the third loss in the last four games for Miami. Despite this skid, Miami has posted a 6-2-1 ATS record the past nine games, which includes the 84-83 defeat at Indiana as two-point underdogs on March 26. The home team has won each of the last seven matchups in this series, with the ‘under’ cashing five times. Miami is riding a 7-3 run to the ‘under,’ while holding eight opponents in this stretch to less than 100 points.

Hawks at Nets – 7:35 PM EST

Atlanta: 35-43 SU, 34-43-1 ATS
Brooklyn: 43-35 SU, 42-36 ATS

The Hawks are on the verge of capturing the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, in spite of finishing with a below .500 record. Atlanta rallied late to knock off Boston on Wednesday, 105-97 to cash as seven-point favorites, the fourth win in the last six games. The Hawks are 8-3 to the ‘under’ the last 11 contests, while hitting the ‘under’ in four of the past five away from Philips Arena.

Since the start of February, the Nets have won 15 consecutive games at the Barclays Center, while covering 13 times in this stretch. Jason Kidd’s club has taken each of the first two meetings with the Hawks this season, including a 91-86 triumph as 1 ½-point home favorites in early January, the fourth win in five tries over Atlanta since January 2013. Thirteen times during this home winning streak the Nets have scored at least 100 points, while posting a 7-3 record to the ‘over’ the last 10 in Brooklyn.

Suns at Spurs – 8:35 PM EST

Phoenix: 47-31 SU, 50-27-1 ATS
San Antonio: 60-18 SU, 43-35 ATS

The Suns are still in the mix for a playoff spot after low expectations to start the season. Phoenix puts its three-game winning streak on the line, while winning seven of its past nine away from the Valley. Jeff Hornacek’s squad held off an undermanned Pelicans’ team in Wednesday’s 94-88 road triumph as nine-point favorites, the fourth victory this season over New Orleans. Since a three-game skid last month, the Suns have turned up the heat by posting an 11-3 SU and 9-5 ATS record in the last 14 contests.

The Spurs return home with no rest following Thursday’s contest at Dallas, as San Antonio goes for its 15th consecutive win at the AT&T Center. The last time the Spurs lost at home came way back on January 29 against the Bulls, while the Suns covered in their previous appearance in San Antonio in November as 13-point underdogs in a 99-96 defeat. Everyone is under the impression that Gregg Popovich may sit players on the second of a back-to-back, but the Spurs have won and covered four of their last five without rest.

 

[CNOTES]

Record as of THURS. Night:

Aprils Best Bets:

16 - 11..........................*****

10 - 1..........................DOUBLE PLAYS

7 - 7 - 1...........................TRIPLE PLAYS


Friday, April 11

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Washington 0 0th Washington -7.5 500
Orlando 0 Over 195 500

New York 0 0th Toronto -5.5 500
Toronto 0 Under 194 500

Charlotte - 7:30 PM ET Charlotte -4 500 *****
Boston - Under 193 500

Atlanta - 7:30 PM ET Atlanta +4 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Brooklyn - Under 199 500

Indiana - 7:30 PM ET Indiana +6 500 *****
Miami - Under 182 500

Detroit - 8:00 PM ET Detroit +10 500
Chicago - Over 193 500

Philadelphia - 8:00 PM ET Philadelphia +14.5 500 *****
Memphis - Under 201 500

Houston - 8:00 PM ET Minnesota -1.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Minnesota - Over 216 500

New Orleans - 8:00 PM ET New Orleans +15.5 500
Oklahoma City - Under 205 500

Cleveland - 8:30 PM ET Cleveland -4.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Milwaukee - Over 207 500

Phoenix - 8:30 PM ET Phoenix +3.5 500 *****
San Antonio - Under 206 500

Portland - 9:00 PM ET Portland -9 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Utah - Under 198 500

Golden State - 10:30 PM ET L.A. Lakers +9.5 500 *****
L.A. Lakers - Over 219.5 500

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Saturday, April 12

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Detroit Pistons best NBA Over bet of the last 24 years
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When the final horn sounded on Detroit’s recent 122-100 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers, the 2013-14 Pistons etched themselves into NBA betting history.

The final score of Wednesday’s game marked the 53rd time Detroit topped the total this season, overtaking the 1990-91 Indiana Pacers, who went 52-28 Over/Under, as the best NBA Over bet of the past 24 years. And Detroit may not be done there.

The Pistons, at 53-26 Over/Under (67 percent Over), still have three more games to go before the end of the season. They visit the Chicago Bulls – the NBA’s best Under bet at 31-47 O/U – Friday, host the Toronto Raptors (42-36 O/U), and make a trip to play the Oklahoma City Thunder (39-39 O/U) before shutting it down in Motown.

The Pistons were highly regarded as the standard for defense during their NBA title runs as the “Bad Boys” in the late 80’s and early 90’s, and were among the league’s stingiest teams when they made back-to-back Finals appearances in 2004 and 2005, winning the championship by shutting down the powerful Los Angeles Lakers in 2004.

However, Detroit has been one of the most steady Over winners in recent years. The Pistons haven’t finished below .500 Over/Under since 2008-09 and have a combined 217-169-5 O/U count since – playing Over the total in 56 percent of their games the past five NBA seasons.

“It is interesting to note that the Pistons' Over run began right after their strong championship teams that played better defense,” says Covers Expert Steve Merril. “Perhaps the oddsmakers were a bit slow to adjust to the weaker Detroit teams that followed, especially weaker on defense.”

Detroit has steadily crushed the total this season, opening the schedule with a 7-2 Over/Under stretch. The market quickly overreacted to the Pistons’ Over potential and the team stayed Under the number for three straight games. That was the longest Under run Detroit bettors saw all season, with the Pistons posting more than two straight Unders only twice.

Detroit rolled to 10 Over wins in a row between Dec. 8 and Dec. 23, fattening the pockets of total bettors just in time for the holidays. Its current form finds the franchise on a 6-1 O/U streak, allowing an average of 114 points against in each of those Over paydays. That’s almost 10 points higher than the team’s season average of 104.5 points against.

“The extreme Over teams usually have a combination of good offense and bad defense, but if I had to choose one, I'd say bad defense is the cause for a more extreme Over team,” says Merril. “The reason is because offenses will always have good and bad or cold shooting nights, while bad defensive teams are normally bad every night.”

Since 1990, only eight teams have finished the season with 50 or more Over wins. Behind the Pistons and Pacers are the 1991-92 Charlotte Hornets, who finished with a 51-31 O/U mark. The 2001-02 Dallas Mavericks, 2007-08 New York Knicks, 2006-07 Minnesota Timberwolves, 2002-03 Los Angeles Lakers, and 2002-03 Golden State Warriors all topped the total 50 times in their respective seasons.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Saturday, April 12

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Trend Report
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3:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. LA CLIPPERS
Sacramento is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Sacramento is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
LA Clippers are 18-4 SU in their last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of the LA Clippers last 20 games

7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. WASHINGTON
Milwaukee is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

7:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Charlotte is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Charlotte is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

7:30 PM
MIAMI vs. ATLANTA
Miami is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Miami is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
Atlanta is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami

7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. CLEVELAND
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Cleveland's last 24 games at home
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston

8:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. HOUSTON
New Orleans is 2-4-2 ATS in its last 8 games
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Houston is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home

8:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. DALLAS
Phoenix is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing Dallas
Phoenix is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games
Dallas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Phoenix

9:00 PM
UTAH vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 10 games at home
Denver is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

3:30 PM
TORONTO vs. DETROIT
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. NEW YORK
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
New York is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, April 12

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (27 - 52) at LA CLIPPERS (55 - 24) - 4/12/2014, 3:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 9-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (15 - 64) at WASHINGTON (41 - 38) - 4/12/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 73-90 ATS (-26.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 22-42 ATS (-24.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 43-60 ATS (-23.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 110-143 ATS (-47.3 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-5 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (17 - 62) at CHARLOTTE (40 - 39) - 4/12/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-44 ATS (-17.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-33 ATS (-13.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-41 ATS (-17.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
CHARLOTTE is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
CHARLOTTE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 54-29 ATS (+22.1 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-5 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 7-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (24 - 55) at CLEVELAND (32 - 48) - 4/12/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 7-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (54 - 25) at ATLANTA (36 - 43) - 4/12/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (32 - 47) at HOUSTON (52 - 27) - 4/12/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (47 - 32) at DALLAS (48 - 32) - 4/12/2014, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (24 - 55) at DENVER (35 - 44) - 4/12/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 32-43 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 25-36 ATS (-14.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
UTAH is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
DENVER is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 6-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-5 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 12

Hot teams
-- Clippers won five of their last seven games.
-- Charlotte won five of its last six games.
-- Miami won six of its last nine games. Hawks won four of last five.
-- Suns won nine of last twelve games. Dallas won four of last five.
-- Denver Nuggets covered their last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Kings lost last four games, by 33-2-15-1 point.
-- 76ers lost 31 of last 33 games, covered five of last seven.
-- Washington lost last two, covered one of last four at home. Bucks lost six of its last seven games.
-- Celtics lost nine of last ten games (3-6-1 vs spread). Cavaliers lost three of their last four games.
-- Houston lost five of its last eight games. Pelicans lost their last seven games (2-4-1 vs spread).
-- Jazz lost eight of last nine games (0-5-1 vs spread last six).

Series records
-- Clippers won eight of last nine games with Sacramento.
-- Bobcats won six of last seven games with Philly.
-- Wizards won four of last five games with Milwaukee.
-- Heat won nine of last ten games with Atlanta.
-- Celtics won six of last eight games with Cleveland.
-- Rockets won six of last seven games with New Orleans.
-- Suns lost 12 of last 15 games with Dallas.
-- Jazz split their last six visits to Denver.

Totals
-- Seven of last eight Sacramento games stayed under; five of Clippers' last seven games went over.
-- Six of last eight Philly games went over total.
-- Five of last six Milwaukee games went over total; nine of Wizards' last ten games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Miami games went over total.
-- Four of last five Boston games went over total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Rocket-Pelican games.
-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Phoenix games.
-- Five of last seven Utah games went over total.

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Saturday

April 12, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Heat are 13-0 ATS (8.92 ppg) since Feb 21, 2013 on the road when facing a team that covered by double digits against them in their previous same-season meeting.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Rockets are 10-0 OU (16.95 ppg) since Jan 13, 2010 with no rest off a loss in which they led at the end of the third quarter.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Wizards are 0-8 ATS (-11.38 ppg) since Nov 16, 2013 at home after Trevor Ariza scored fewer than 10 points.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Celtics are 0-11 ATS (-7.82 ppg) since Dec 17, 2008 on the road with at most one day of rest after playing at home after a win in which they made fewer baskets than their opponent.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Suns are 6-0-1 OU (11.00 ppg) since Mar 09, 2013 after PJ Tucker had more rebounds than points in a road loss.

-- The Kings are 0-10 OU (-13.60 ppg) since Apr 15, 2013 on the road when facing a team they lost to in their previous same-season match-up as a dog.

 

[CNOTES]

Record as of FRIDAY Night:

Aprils Best Bets:

17 - 15..........................*****

12 - 1..........................DOUBLE PLAYS

8 - 8 - 1...........................TRIPLE PLAYS


Saturday, April 12

Game Score Status Pick Amount


Philadelphia - 7:00 PM ET Philadelphia +12 500 *****
Charlotte - Under 206 500

Milwaukee - 7:00 PM ET Washington -11 500
Washington - Under 203 500

Miami - 7:30 PM ET Atlanta +5 500 *****
Atlanta - Over 194 500

Boston - 7:30 PM ET Cleveland -9 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Cleveland - Over 205.5 500

New Orleans - 8:00 PM ET Houston -14.5 500
Houston - Over 212.5 500

Phoenix - 8:30 PM ET Phoenix +4.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Dallas - Over 210 500

Utah - 9:00 PM ET Denver -9.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Denver - Under 211.5 500

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Oklahoma City at Indiana
The Thunder head to Indiana today to face a Pacers team that is coming off a 98-86 loss to Miami on Friday night and is 4-22 ATS in its last 26 games when playing on 1 days rest. Oklahoma City is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 11 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, APRIL 13

Game 701-702: Chicago at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 123.008; New York 123.778
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 1; 190
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 703-704: Toronto at Detroit (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 121.004; Detroit 112.110
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 9; 213
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 6 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-6 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Orlando at Brooklyn (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 110.947; Brooklyn 124.860
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 14; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 10 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-10 1/2); Over

Game 707-708: Oklahoma City at Indiana (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 125.938; Indiana 114.444
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 11 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+2); Under

Game 709-710: Golden State at Portland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 122.764; Portland 121.753
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 1; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 3; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+3); Under

Game 711-712: Minnesota at Sacramento (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 123.166; Sacramento 116.260
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 7; 221
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 713-714: Memphis at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 119.872; LA Lakers 113.604
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 6; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 12 1/2; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+12 1/2); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, April 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (47 - 32) at NEW YORK (34 - 45) - 4/13/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-5 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 9-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (46 - 33) at DETROIT (29 - 51) - 4/13/2014, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games this season.
TORONTO is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
DETROIT is 35-45 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games this season.
DETROIT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
DETROIT is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DETROIT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DETROIT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (23 - 56) at BROOKLYN (43 - 36) - 4/13/2014, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 33-43 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games this season.
ORLANDO is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games this season.
BROOKLYN is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
BROOKLYN is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-5 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (58 - 21) at INDIANA (54 - 26) - 4/13/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 140-98 ATS (+32.2 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 43-35 ATS (+4.5 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 7-27 ATS (-22.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
INDIANA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (49 - 30) at PORTLAND (52 - 28) - 4/13/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 107-140 ATS (-47.0 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games in April games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-5 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-4 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (40 - 39) at SACRAMENTO (27 - 53) - 4/13/2014, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-5 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (47 - 32) at LA LAKERS (25 - 54) - 4/13/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 93-78 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 89-63 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 54-40 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 72-90 ATS (-27.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 48-67 ATS (-25.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 178-220 ATS (-64.0 Units) after a division game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA LAKERS are 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, April 13

Hot teams
-- Thunder won six of its last eight games.
-- Raptors won seven of their last nine games.
-- Bulls won their last seven games (5-1-1 vs spread). Knicks won four of last six games, but are 15-24 vs spread at home.
-- Portland won seven of its last eight games. Warriors won three of their last four games.
-- Minnesota won four of its last six games.
-- Grizzlies won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost six of last eight games, covered one of last eleven.
-- Detroit lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Orlando lost last eight road games (2-5-1 vs spread). Nets lost last couple games, by 4-5 points; they're 24-15 vs spread at home.
-- Sacramento lost its last five games (2-3 vs spread).
-- Lakers lost their last six games (1-5 vs spread).

Series records
-- Thunder won five of last six games with Indiana.
-- Pistons won eight of last twelve games with Toronto.
-- Magic lost five of last seven games with Brooklyn.
-- Bulls won nine of last eleven games with New York.
-- Warriors won five of their last six games with Portland.
-- Kings lost four of last six games with Minnesota.
-- Lakers lost five of last seven games with Memphis.

Totals
-- Nine of last ten Thunder-Pacer games went over.
-- Last five Toronto games went over the total.
-- Under is 28-11 in Orlando road games this season.
-- Four of last five Chicago-New York games went over.
-- Four of last five Golden State games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Minnesota-Sacramento games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Laker games stayed under the total.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Sunday, April 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. INDIANA
Oklahoma City is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indiana's last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

3:30 PM
TORONTO vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

6:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 8 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

7:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. NEW YORK
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing New York
New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

9:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. SACRAMENTO
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Sacramento is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

9:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing Portland
Golden State is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 10 games
Portland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Golden State

9:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. LA LAKERS
Memphis is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
Memphis is 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Sunday, April 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Thunder at Pacers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers (-2, 192.5)

The Indiana Pacers are still hopeful of claiming the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference but the quality of the opponent could pose a problem on Sunday. Indiana hosts the Oklahoma City Thunder – the No. 2 team in the West – as it attempts to wrestle the top spot in the East away from the Miami Heat, who defeated the Pacers on Friday. Oklahoma City leads the Los Angeles Clippers by 2 1/2 games and can clinch the second seed with a victory.

The Thunder rolled to an easy 118-94 victory over the Pacers on Dec. 8 in the team’s first meeting of the season. Forward Kevin Durant scored 32 points as Oklahoma City shot 61 percent from the field, while Indiana shot just 40 percent despite receiving 32 points from forward Paul George. The Thunder have won three straight games after routing the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday. Indiana has lost eight of its last 11 games and its quality of play has alarmingly dropped off after a strong showing over the first three-quarters of the campaign.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, ABC

LINE HISTORY: The Pacers opened as 2-point home favorites Saturday night. The early total opened 192.5 (Over -110).

POWER RANKINGS: Thunder (-13.7) - Pacers (-11.0) + Home Court (-3.0) = Pacers -0.3

INJURY REPORT: Indiana - A. Bynum (Out - Knee)

ABOUT THE THUNDER (58-21): Power forward Serge Ibaka blocked a season-high eight shots and had 16 points and 10 rebounds in the 116-94 win over the Pelicans. The double-double was the 27th of the season for Ibaka and coach Scott Brooks beamed about his effort afterward. “Serge was spectacular,” Brooks said. “He’s right there with the best defensive players in the league. Blocked shots, he had eight, but he altered probably 10 others. And that’s what makes our defense good, when everybody is participating. When we do have a breakdown, he’s out there backing everybody up and covering for everybody’s mistakes.”

ABOUT THE PACERS (54-26): Center Roy Hibbert continued his recent disappearing act by grabbing one rebound in 34 minutes against the Heat. The 7-2, 290-pounder has been practically invisible recently and has just six total rebounds over his past four games. Hibbert is averaging 4.6 rebounds since the All-Star break after averaging 7.7 before it and has reached double digits on the boards just once over the past six-plus weeks. “We’ve got to get more from him,” Indiana coach Frank Vogel said after the loss to Miami. A recent benching of the starting five came after Hibbert was pulled after nine ineffective minutes on April 4, which means the big man had nearly a full week of rest leading into his latest poor effort.

TRENDS:

* Thunder are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
* Over is 18-4 in the last 22 meetings.
* Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
* Underdog is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 76 percent of bets are on Oklahoma City +2.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, April 13

Chicago at New York, 7:35 ET
Chicago: 15-7 ATS after a game where they made 85% of their free throws or better
New York: 3-10 ATS as a home underdog

Toronto at Detroit, 3:35 ET
Toronto: 10-1 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games
Detroit: 8-18 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent

Orlando at Brooklyn, 6:05 ET
Orlando: 5-15 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games
Brooklyn: 12-4 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent

Oklahoma City at Indiana, 1:00 ET
Oklahoma City: 27-17 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games
Indiana: 1-8 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4

Golden State at Portland, 9:05 ET
Golden State: 8-18 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more
Portland: 15-7 ATS off a road win

Minnesota at Sacramento, 9:05 ET
Minnesota: 7-1 ATS off a close home win by 3 points or less
Sacramento: 28-50 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days

Memphis at LA Lakers, 9:35 ET
Memphis: 15-3 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games
LA Lakers: 3-11 ATS in home games after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday's Tips

April 13, 2014


Bulls at Knicks – 7:35 PM EST

Chicago: 47-32 SU, 40-38-1 ATS
New York: 34-45 SU, 35-44 ATS

The Knicks won’t be heading to the postseason after the Hawks clinched the final playoff berth in the Eastern Conference last night. However, New York still has three games remaining in this disastrous season as Chicago heads to Manhattan tonight. The home team has taken all three meetings this season, while the Bulls have won seven of the last eight in the series dating back to 2012.

The Bulls have a shot at grabbing the third seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs, sitting one game ahead of the Raptors heading into Sunday’s action. Chicago rallied from an 18-point deficit to stun Detroit on Friday night, 106-98 for its seventh consecutive victory, but the Bulls didn’t cash as 10-point home favorites. Since falling at Miami in late February, the Bulls have won eight of their past 10 on the highway, while going 4-1-1 ATS in the role of a road favorite.

The Knicks snapped a two-game skid in Friday’s 108-100 road triumph at Toronto as 5 ½-point underdogs, but a 5-5 record since an eight-game winning streak in March derailed any shot at the playoffs. Since March, New York has won five of seven games at Madison Square Garden, but the Knicks own a 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS record in the last seven tries as a home underdog.

Warriors at Blazers – 9:05 PM EST

Golden State: 49-30 SU, 38-38-3 ATS
Portland: 52-28 SU, 43-37 ATS

Both the Blazers and Warriors are headed to the playoffs, as the two teams meet tonight in Portland to improve their seeding. The Blazers will likely face the Rockets in the opening round of the playoffs, but home-court will be decided over the next few days. The Warriors will likely draw the Thunder or the Clippers in the first round, as Golden State will start on the road in the postseason for the second straight year.

Golden State has won four of its past six games, including Friday’s 112-95 victory over the Lakers as 9 ½-point road favorites. The Warriors needed that win after blowing a 20-point lead in Thursday’s one-point home setback to the Nuggets, as Mark Jackson’s club has won eight of 12 road contests since the All-Star break. Golden State has taken two of three meetings from Portland this season, including a thrilling 113-112 triumph at the Moda Center in mid-March, but the Blazers covered as two-point home ‘dogs.

Portland has turned things up since a slumping March by winning seven of its past eight contests, while covering five times. Since that one-point defeat to Golden State last month, the Blazers have won five of their last six at the Moda Center, but are just 2-4 ATS, although three of those non-covers came as a favorite of at least 9 ½ points.

Grizzlies at Lakers – 9:35 PM EST

Memphis: 47-32 SU, 35-42-2 ATS
Los Angeles: 25-54 SU, 38-40-1 ATS

The Grizzlies are fighting it out with the Suns for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference, as Memphis owns a half-game lead heading into tonight’s action. Memphis heads to Phoenix tonight for basically a playoff contest, but the Grizzlies need to avoid a letdown spot tonight against the Lakers.

Los Angeles is playing its final home game of the season, owning a dreadful 14-26 SU and 18-21-1 ATS record at Staples Center. The Lakers come into tonight’s action at 5-11 ATS as an underdog of at least 11 points, while losing each of their last four home games by double-digits. Los Angeles has dropped eight of its past nine contests overall, while covering only twice in this span.

Memphis heads west coming off consecutive home wins over Miami and Philadelphia, while winning four of six since a brief two-game losing streak. The Grizzlies have put together an atrocious 1-9 ATS record away from FedEx Forum since mid-March, including a 1-5 ATS mark when laying points. Memphis has grabbed two of three meetings from Los Angeles this season, including an 89-86 win at Staples Center way back in November.

 

[CNOTES]

Record as of Saturday Night:

Aprils Best Bets:

20 - 16..........................*****

12 - 2..........................DOUBLE PLAYS

9 - 9 - 1...........................TRIPLE PLAYS



Sunday, April 13

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Oklahoma City - 1:00 PM ET Oklahoma City +2 500 *****
Indiana - Under 192 500

Toronto - 3:30 PM ET Detroit +6.5 500 *****
Detroit - Over 206 500 *****

Orlando - 6:00 PM ET Brooklyn -10.5 500 *****
Brooklyn - Under 196.5 500

Chicago - 7:30 PM ET Chicago -3.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
New York - Under 183.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Golden State - 9:00 PM ET Portland -3 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Portland - Under 203.5 500

Minnesota - 9:00 PM ET Minnesota +1 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Sacramento - Under 205 500

Memphis - 9:30 PM ET Memphis -12 500
L.A. Lakers - Under 206.5 500