Cnotes NBA April's Best Bets Thru the Playoffs- Trends,News,Stats !

[CNOTES]

NBA

Saturday, April 5


Kemba Walker, Charlotte - Prob Sat

Walker is dealing with an ankle injury but is expected to play Saturday against the Cavaliers.


Harden's last second free throws covers spread

The Houston Rockets covered by one-point against the Oklahoma City Thunder on the back of two last second free throws from James Harden.

After Kevin Durant drained a three-pointer for the Thunder to pull them within two, James Harden took the intentional foul from Oklahoma City. With 14 seconds left, Harden sank both free throw attempts for the final points of the game. Though it wouldn't affect the win column straight-up, these two final points made sure the Rockets covered by one.

The cover ended a three game ATS drought for the Rockets and improved their season total to 38-35-2.

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday, April 5

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Minnesota - 7:00 PM ET Minnesota -4.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Orlando - Under 206 500

Chicago - 7:00 PM ET Chicago +2 500 *****
Washington - Under 183 500

Charlotte - 7:30 PM ET Charlotte +3.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Cleveland - Under 195.5 500

Boston - 7:30 PM ET Boston +6.5 500
Detroit - Over 207 500

Brooklyn - 7:30 PM ET Philadelphia +10.5 500 *****
Philadelphia - Under 208.5 500

Toronto - 8:30 PM ET Milwaukee +7 500
Milwaukee - Over 198 500

 

[CNOTES]

Almost a perfect night on the picks.......

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

04/05/14 11-*1-*0 91.67% +*4950 Detail


04/04/14 11-*17-*0 39.29% -*3850 Detail
04/03/14 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
04/02/14 15-*11-*0 57.69% +*1450 Detail
04/01/14 5-*1-*0 83.33% +*1950 Detail

Totals 45-*31-*0 59.21% +5450

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Oklahoma City at Phoenix
The Suns host Oklahoma City tonight with the Thunder coming into the contest carrying an 0-4 ATS record in their last 4 road games. Phoenix is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Suns favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, APRIL 6

Game 501-502: New York at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 119.276; Miami 124.166
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 5; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+7); Under

Game 503-504: LA Lakers at LA Clippers (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 109.094; LA Clippers 130.121
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 21; 230
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 16; 226
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-16); Over

Game 505-506: Atlanta at Indiana (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 113.870; Indiana 116.552
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 2 1/2; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 8; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+8); Under

Game 507-508: Dallas at Sacramento (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 122.711; Sacramento 112.375
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 10 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 509-510: Denver at Houston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 116.400; Houston 126.198
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 10; 228
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 11 1/2; 221
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+11 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Memphis at San Antonio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 121.203; San Antonio 126.417
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 5; 188
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7; 192
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+7); Under

Game 513-514: Utah at Golden State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 109.203; Golden State 125.601
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 16 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 12; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-12); Over

Game 515-516: New Orleans at Portland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 119.152; Portland 119.962
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 1; 187
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 517-518: Oklahoma City at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 124.619; Phoenix 126.022
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 2 1/2; 213 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+2 1/2); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, April 6

Hot teams
-- Miami won four of last five games, covered five of last six. Knicks won three of their last four games.
-- Clippers won six of last eight games, covered four of last five.
-- Mavericks won three of their last four games.
-- Spurs won 19 of last 20 games, covering eight of last ten.
-- Warriors won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Thunder/Suns both won seven of their last nine games.
-- Portland won four of its last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Lakers lost five of their last six games.
-- Sacramento lost four of its last six games.
-- Indiana lost six of its last eight games. Hawks lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Nuggets lost five of their last six games; Rockets lost three of four.
-- Grizzlies are 0-6 vs spread in their last six games.
-- Jazz lost five of their last six games.
-- Pelicans lost last four games, three by 16-5-30-4 points.

Series records
-- Knicks won four of last seven games with Miami.
-- Clippers won six of last seven games with the Lakers, winning last two by 36-48 points.
-- Kings lost 17 of last 20 games with Dallas.
-- Pacers won four of last five games with Atlanta.
-- Nuggets won seven of last eight games with Houston.
-- Spurs won eight of last ten games with Memphis.
-- Warriors are 3-0 vs Utah this year, winning by 14-11-5 points.
-- Thunder won 11 of last 12 games with Phoenix.
-- Trailblazers won seven of last ten games with New Orleans.

Totals
-- Last five New York games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of last 12 Laker-Clipper games went over total.
-- Seven of last nine Dallas games went over total.
-- Six of last eight Atlanta games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Denver games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last nine San Antonio games stayed under.
-- 18 of last 20 Golden State-Utah games stayed under.
-- 12 of last 16 Thunder-Phoenix games went over.
-- Eight of last ten Pelican games went over the total.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Sunday, April 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. LA CLIPPERS
LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of the LA Lakers last 12 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games at home
LA Clippers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

6:00 PM
DALLAS vs. SACRAMENTO
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Sacramento's last 15 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games

6:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Atlanta is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games at home
Indiana is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home

7:00 PM
DENVER vs. HOUSTON
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Houston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

7:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. SAN ANTONIO
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Memphis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Antonio's last 9 games
San Antonio is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games

9:00 PM
UTAH vs. GOLDEN STATE
Utah is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Golden State's last 23 games

9:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans's last 12 games
New Orleans is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games at home
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. PHOENIX
Oklahoma City is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing Oklahoma City
Phoenix is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Sunday, April 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Knicks at Heat
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New York Knicks at Miami Heat (-7, 187)

Sitting on the periphery of the Eastern Conference playoff race, the New York Knicks can't afford another loss the rest of the way. They'll be in for one of the biggest challenges of the season Sunday afternoon as they face the conference-leading Heat in Miami. New York is coming off a 90-89 heartbreaker to the Washington Wizards on Friday night and enters Sunday's action one game behind the Atlanta Hawks for the eighth and final playoff spot in the East.

Knicks forward Carmelo Anthony indicated that he will play against the Heat after suffering what was termed a "deep bruise" in his right shoulder in the contest against Washington. Miami is in a battle of its own, sitting mere percentage points ahead of the Indiana Pacers in the race for the No. 1 seed in the conference. The Heat lost to the Minnesota Timberwolves 122-121 in double overtime on Friday night despite 34 points from LeBron James.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, ABC

LINE HISTORY: The Heat opened as 6.5-point home faves and are currently at -7. The total opened at 189 and is down to 187.

INJURY WATCH: New York: F Carmelo Anthony - probable Sunday (shoulder). Miami: G Dwyane Wade Doubtful Sunday (hamstring), C Greg Oden questionable (back)

POWER RANKINGS: New York (-5.3) - Miami (-13.8) + home court (-3) = Miami -11.5

WHY BET THE KNICKS (34-43 ATS): New president of basketball operations Phil Jackson may clean house at the end of the season - and the first to depart may be head coach Mike Woodson. While Jackson goes on a "talent hunt," according to a report in the New York Post, he has apparently done little talking with Woodson, who is expected to take the fall for the team's struggles. "We haven't had any conversations," Woodson said. "My focus mainly has been on getting the team in the playoffs and when that time comes, it will happen."

WHY BET THE HEAT (35-38-2ATS): James has had to carry the bulk of the scoring load while swingman Dwyane Wade continues to recover from hamstring and Achilles injuries. Wade remains without a timetable to return, but James said his teammate is "looking better and better every day" and believes that "probably within the next week he should be back on the floor." Wade has been limited to 51 games this season but has been effective in limited action, averaging 19.2 points, 4.8 assists and 4.6 rebounds.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Miami.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Under is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings.
* Knicks are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in Miami.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-five percent of the wagers are on the Heat -6.5.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Sunday, April 6


Pelicans' C Anthony Davis, questionable Sunday

Davis is dealing with a back injury and is questionable to play Saturday against the Magic.


Heat guard Dwyane Wade, doubtful Sunday

Wade is suffering from cramps in his left hamstring and has missed the last five games. He is not expected to play in Sunday's game against the Knicks.


Rockets' center Dwight Howard, doubtful Sunday

Howard has missed the last four games with an ankle injury and is not expected to play Sunday against the Nuggets.


Anthony plans to play with shoulder injury

New York Knicks forward Carmelo Anthony plans to play at the Miami Heat on Sunday, despite having a right shoulder injury.

Anthony said Saturday that the injury is a deep bruise or light sprain and that he has trouble lifting the shoulder. He received treatment for the tight shoulder at the team's facility. He sustained the injury during Wednesday night's win over the Brooklyn Nets.

Anthony also played in Friday's 90-89 loss the Washington Wizards, but clearly struggled. He scored just 10 points on five-for-14 shooting with eight rebounds and five assists. However, he attempted no free throws and committed nine turnovers.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, April 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (33 - 44) at MIAMI (52 - 23) - 4/6/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 34-43 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 69-50 ATS (+14.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 8-6 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 10-5 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
11 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (25 - 51) at LA CLIPPERS (54 - 23) - 4/6/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 72-87 ATS (-23.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 43-33 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 27-18 ATS (+7.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 92-63 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 108-145 ATS (-51.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 7-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (33 - 42) at INDIANA (53 - 24) - 4/6/2014, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 32-41 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 155-196 ATS (-60.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
ATLANTA is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
INDIANA is 6-25 ATS (-21.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 8-7 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 9-7 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (46 - 31) at SACRAMENTO (27 - 49) - 4/6/2014, 6:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 8-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (33 - 43) at HOUSTON (50 - 25) - 4/6/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 7-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 7-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (45 - 31) at SAN ANTONIO (59 - 17) - 4/6/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 42-34 ATS (+4.6 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 119-88 ATS (+22.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 428-359 ATS (+33.1 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 139-104 ATS (+24.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 121-84 ATS (+28.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 78-59 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 145-108 ATS (+26.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 92-77 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 53-39 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 11-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 13-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (24 - 52) at GOLDEN STATE (47 - 29) - 4/6/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 32-40 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-5 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-5 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (32 - 44) at PORTLAND (49 - 28) - 4/6/2014, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (55 - 20) at PHOENIX (45 - 31) - 4/6/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 49-26 ATS (+20.4 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) on Sunday games this season.
PHOENIX is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against Northwest division opponents this season.
PHOENIX is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHOENIX is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 136-103 ATS (+22.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
PHOENIX is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 91-74 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 80-64 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 118-78 ATS (+32.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

Record as of Satuday Night:

Aprils Best Bets:

7 - 6..........................*****

8 - 1..........................DOUBLE PLAYS

3 - 5...........................TRIPLE PLAYS

Overall Picks on all rated and non rated games:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

04/05/14 11-*1-*0 91.67% +*4950 Detail
04/04/14 11-*17-*0 39.29% -*3850 Detail
04/03/14 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
04/02/14 15-*11-*0 57.69% +*1450 Detail
04/01/14 5-*1-*0 83.33% +*1950 Detail

Totals 45-*31-*0 59.21% +5450


Sunday, April 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

New York - 1:00 PM ET New York +7 500 *****
Miami - Under 187 500

L.A. Lakers - 3:30 PM ET L.A. Lakers +16 500 *****
L.A. Clippers - Over 226 500

Dallas - 6:00 PM ET Dallas -6 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Sacramento -

Atlanta - 6:00 PM ET Atlanta +8 500 *****
Indiana - Under 186.5 500

Denver - 7:00 PM ET Denver +11 500
Houston - Over 221.5 500

Memphis - 7:00 PM ET Memphis +7 500 *****
San Antonio - Under 191 500

Utah - 9:00 PM ET Golden State -11.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Golden State - Under 194.5 500

Oklahoma City - 9:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -2.5 500 *****
Phoenix - Over 212.5 500

New Orleans - 9:00 PM ET Portland -10.5 500 *****
Portland -

 

[CNOTES]

Win Total Update

April 6, 2014


As the NBA regular season enters the final stretch of the regular season, bettors are starting to win or lose their win total wagers.

Listed below are the early winning tickets and the 11 wagers that are still undecided at least mathematically.

Winners

Charlotte - OVER
Dallas - OVER
Oklahoma City - OVER
Philadelphia - OVER
Phoenix - OVER
Portland - OVER
San Antonio - OVER
Toronto - OVER

Atlanta - UNDER
Brooklyn - UNDER
Chicago - UNDER
Cleveland - UNDER
Denver - UNDER
Detroit - UNDER
L.A. Lakers - UNDER
Miami - UNDER
Milwaukee - UNDER
New York - UNDER
New Orleans - UNDER

Undecided Results

Boston
Golden State
Houston
Indiana
L.A. Clippers
Memphis
Minnesota
Orlando
Sacramento
Utah
Washington

NBA Win Totals - LVH SuperBook
Team Win Total Projected Wins Projected Result
Atlanta Hawks 40 36
Boston Celtics 27 ½ 28
Brooklyn Nets 52 ½ 43
Charlotte Bobcats 27 ½ 39
Chicago Bulls 56 ½ 45
Cleveland Cavaliers 40 ½ 32
Dallas Mavericks 44 48
Denver Nuggets 47 36
Detroit Pistons 41 32
Golden State Warriors 49 ½ 51
Houston Rockets 54 ½ 56
Indiana Pacers 53 ½ 60
Los Angeles Clippers 57 57
Los Angeles Lakers 33 ½ 28
Memphis Grizzlies 49 49
Miami Heat 60 58
Milwaukee Bucks 28 ½ 17
Minnesota Timberwolves 41 42
New Orleans Pelicans 40 33
New York Knicks 49 ½ 32
Oklahoma City Thunder 50 ½ 60
Orlando Magic 24 ½ 24
Philadelphia 76ers 16 ½ 18
Phoenix Suns 21 ½ 46
Portland Trail Blazers 38 ½ 53
Sacramento Kings 31 ½ 29
San Antonio Spurs 55 ½ 62
Toronto Raptors 36 ½ 47
Utah Jazz 27 ½ 28
Washington Wizards 42 42

Projected Result Key: Over Under Undecided

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds to win The Masters this week........

10-1-- Scott-McIlroy.

15-1-- Mickelson-Day-DJohnson, as well as the field.

20-1-- Spieth-ZJohnson

25-1-- Snedeker-Watson-Kuchar

30-1-- Rose-Dufner-Stenson-Schwartzel

40-1-- Oosthuizen-Mahan-Garcia-Bradley-English

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

San Antonio at Minnesota
The Spurs travel to Minnesota tonight to face a Timberwolves team that is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 home games against a team with a winning road record. San Antonio is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, APRIL 8

Game 651-652: Brooklyn at Miami (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 119.885; Miami 127.712
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 6 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-6 1/2); Over

Game 653-654: San Antonio at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 132.259; Minnesota 122.823
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6); Over

Game 655-656: Dallas at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 119.718; Utah 114.203
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 5 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 7 1/2; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+7 1/2); Under

Game 657-658: Oklahoma City at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 123.339; Sacramento 118.109
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+8 1/2); Over

Game 659-660: Houston at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 122.104; LA Lakers 114.606
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 7 1/2; 221
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 10; 225 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+10); Under

Game 661-662: Detroit at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 109.581; Atlanta 114.531
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 5; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 7; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+7); Over

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, April 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (42 - 34) at MIAMI (53 - 23) - 4/8/2014, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (60 - 17) at MINNESOTA (38 - 38) - 4/8/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (47 - 31) at UTAH (24 - 53) - 4/8/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 89-70 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games this season.
DALLAS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
UTAH is 32-41 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 25-34 ATS (-12.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-5 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (55 - 21) at SACRAMENTO (27 - 50) - 4/8/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
SACRAMENTO is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 91-75 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 80-65 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 52-35 ATS (+13.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (51 - 25) at LA LAKERS (25 - 52) - 4/8/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 103-66 ATS (+30.4 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 72-88 ATS (-24.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 48-75 ATS (-34.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 41-58 ATS (-22.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (28 - 49) at ATLANTA (34 - 42) - 4/8/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 33-44 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
DETROIT is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 33-41 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
ATLANTA is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ATLANTA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, April 8

Hot teams
-- Hawks won three of their last four games.
-- Spurs won 20 of last 21 games, covered five of last six. Minnesota won three of its last four home games.
-- Nets/Heat both won five of their last six games.
-- Mavericks won five of their last seven games.
-- Rockets won seven of last ten games, covered one of last five.

Cold Teams
-- Pistons lost five of their last seven games.
-- Jazz lost six of their last seven games.
-- Utah lost six of last seven games (0-3-1 vs spread last four). Thunder lost last three road games, by 9-7-4 points.
-- Lakers lost six of their last seven games.

Series records
-- Hawks won nine of last 12 games with Detroit.
-- Spurs won five of last seven games with Minnesota.
-- Nets are 3-0 vs Miami this year, with two wins by a point.
-- Mavericks won their last four games with Utah.
-- Thunder won last nine games with Sacramento (2-4-1 vs spread in last seven meetings).
-- Lakers lost six of last nine games with Houston.

Totals
-- Last five Detroit games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten San Antonio games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Miami games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Dallas games went over total.
-- Last five King-Thunder games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Houston games went over total; four of last five Laker games stayed under.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Tuesday, April 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:30 PM
DETROIT vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 1-16 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. MINNESOTA
San Antonio is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games
San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games

8:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. MIAMI
Brooklyn is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Brooklyn is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing Miami
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn

9:00 PM
DALLAS vs. UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Dallas's last 22 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

10:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. SACRAMENTO
Oklahoma City is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Sacramento is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

10:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. LA LAKERS
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of the LA Lakers last 14 games when playing Houston
LA Lakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games when playing Houston

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Tuesday, April 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Nets at Heat
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat

The Brooklyn Nets have spent the last few months proving they belong among the elite teams in the Eastern Conference. The Nets will get a chance to make their case once again when they visit the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Brooklyn won each of the first three meetings with the Heat and owns a 32-13 record in 2014 while East-leading Miami is 29-16 in that span with a pair of losses to the Nets.

The Heat appear to have recovered completely from their rough stretch in March and tried to damage the New York Knicks’ playoff dreams with a 102-91 home victory on Sunday. Miami is a game up on the Indiana Pacers for the top spot in the East - two games clear in the loss column - and will get Indiana at home on Friday after a tough back-to-back against Brooklyn and at Memphis. The Nets are still clinging to the hope that they can catch Toronto for the top spot in the Atlantic Division and homecourt advantage in the first round. They sit 2 1/2 games back in that race with six left.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT, Sun Sports (Miami)

LINE HISTORY: Suggested lines out of Las Vegas have the Heat as 6.5-point home faves with a total of 196.

INJURY REPORT: Heat - G Dwyane Wade (Questionable, hamstring), C Greg Oden (Questionable, back), F Chris Andersen (Questionable, back). Nets - F Kevin Garnett (Out, back)

WHY BET THE NETS (42-34 SU, 41-35 ATS, 38-34-4 O/U): Brooklyn got Kevin Garnett (back spasms) back from a 19-game absence on Sunday and the veteran worked his way into game action with 10 points and four rebounds in 13 minutes during a 105-101 win over the Philadelphia 76ers. Garnett is not expected to play on Tuesday but should be back for the second half of the Florida trip at Orlando on Wednesday and is following a strict plan to get back in game shape for the postseason. “Obviously, I’m not where I want to be, but I felt good, I felt strong,” Garnett told reporters. “It’s been a journey to get back to this point, so I’m just trying to contribute at this point.”

WHY BET THE HEAT (53-23 SU, 36-38-2 ATS, 41-35 O/U): Miami is hoping to get one of its own stars healthy for the playoffs in Dwyane Wade, who has missed the last six games with a hamstring injury. The Heat are 5-1 in that span, and LeBron James is carrying the load by putting up at least 32 points in three of the last four games. The superstar put up 38 points in Sunday’s 102-91 triumph. Miami’s best work lately has come on the defensive end, where they have held opponents to an average of 79.2 points in the last five victories.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Miami.
* Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Nets are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.
* Heat are 6-0 ATS in their last six vs. Eastern Conference.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Tuesday, April 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bank Shots: NBA's weekly betting news and notes
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

For the week of March 31-April 6.

Hottest ATS - Chicago Bulls (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS)

The third seed in the Eastern Conference is still up for grabs, and the Bulls have staked their claim to the spot with a five-game winning streak that has them tied with the Atlantic Division-leading Toronto Raptors. Chicago is firing on all cylinders as the regular season winds down, winning all four of its games this week by at least 12 points and capping it with an 18-point drubbing of the host Washington Wizards to improve to 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven. Chicago winds down its schedule with games against Minnesota, Detroit, New York, Orlando and Charlotte.


Coldest ATS - Indiana Pacers (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS)

The Pacers are imploding like few top-tier teams before them, and oddsmakers are scrambling to keep up with the descent. The Pacers are 0-9 ATS in their last nine games, including last week's four-game stretch that saw them get trounced by 26 against San Antonio, squeak out a narrow win over a subpar Detroit team and follow that up with losses to Toronto and Atlanta. The one-sided defeat to the Hawks was so bad, center Roy Hibbert tapped out after just nine minutes and didn't play at all in the second half.


Best Over play - Detroit Pistons (2-2 SU, 4-0 O/U)

You have to give it to the Pistons, who are finishing out their disappointing season the same way they started it: with a high-octane offense and a virtually non-existent defense. Detroit extended its streak of "over" results to five last week, earning a 116-111 win over Milwaukee and a 115-111 triumph over Boston with losses to the Pacers and Brooklyn Nets in between. No team has paid off "over" bettors as well as Detroit, which goes into the final stretch of the season with an absurd 52-25-0 O/U mark.


Best Under play - Sacramento Kings (2-2 SU, 1-3 O/U)

No team played a perfect "under" week, but the Kings came about as close as anyone. Sacramento opened with a 102-97 win over New Orleans - a game that went just 2.5 points over the total - before defeating the Lakers and dropping decisions to Golden State and Dallas. The absence of electrifying point guard Isaiah Thomas has played a part in the muted Sacramento offense - particularly since, beyond Rudy Gay and DeMarcus Cousins, the Kings don't have any reliable scoring options.


Surveying the schedule

The Phoenix Suns come into the week clinging to the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference, and have a difficult road ahead. The Suns open the week with the first of a three-game road trip in New Orleans - led by shot-blocking phenom Anthony Davis - and follow that up with a tough Texas two-step against the red-hot San Antonio Spurs and seventh-place Dallas Mavericks. Phoenix closes out the sked with a difficult home game against Memphis and a road finale in Sacramento.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Tuesday, April 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
This week's best NBA spot bet opportunites
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Letdown spot

Miami has a tough schedule this week that includes four games against playoff-caliber teams. The Heat open things at home on Tuesday night against Brooklyn, and then travel for a game on Wednesday night in Memphis. Their showdown game against Indiana comes on Friday night before concluding the week in Atlanta on Saturday.

The Heat will be looking to avenge an 84-83 loss to the Pacers on Friday night. If Miami is successful in doing so, then their game the very next night in Atlanta will be a certified letdown spot. Miami will also be playing their fourth game in five nights, so their game against the Hawks also comes in a difficult scheduling spot.


Look-ahead spot

The San Antonio Spurs have three games this week with two on the road and one at home. The Spurs will play in Minnesota on Tuesday night and in Dallas on Thursday. San Antonio then returns home to host Phoenix on Friday night.

San Antonio beat both the Timberwolves and Mavericks the last time they played, but they got blown out by 21 points (106-85) in Phoenix. San Antonio only has two losses over their last 25 games coming into Tuesday’s game, and the rematch game versus the Suns is one the Spurs have circled. San Antonio will be looking to atone for that loss to Phoenix, so they may lack focus the night before in Dallas.


Schedule spot

The Houston Rockets will play four games this week with three of those games on the road. They open the week on Tuesday night in Los Angeles against the Lakers, and then play the next night in Denver. The Rockets play in Minnesota on Friday night before finishing the week at home on Saturday night against New Orleans.

Houston’s trouble spot comes in that Saturday night home game versus the Pelicans. The Rockets will be playing on a back-to-back set and it will also be their third game in four nights and their fourth game in five nights overall. Houston will likely go thru the motions against New Orleans on Saturday night.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Tuesday, April 8


Tony Parker, San Antonio - Out Tuesday

San Antonio Spurs PG Tony Parker started suffering from back spasms and did not return to Sunday's game against the Grizzlies. He underwent an MRI which showed inflammation in his back. He will not play Tuesday against the Timberwolves.


Dumars to step down as Pistons President

Joe Dumars has told multiple sources within the NBA that he plans to resign from his role as the Pistons president. According to The Detroit News, the decision could even come as early as this week.

Dumars has had a rough season in Detroit to say the least. After going on an offseason spending spree, the Pistons ended up being abysmal on the court going 28-49 (32-44-1 against the spread).


Lakers: Calipari is not our next coach

Is John Calipari heading from the Bluegrass State to Hollywood?

Former Kentucky basketball star Rex Chapman tweeted Monday that Calipari, the Wildcats' coach, would be the Los Angeles Lakers' next coach.

The Lakers moved quickly to deny the report, which came shortly before Kentucky took on Connecticut in the national championship game at Arlington, Texas.

The Los Angeles Times quoted Lakers general manager Mitch Kupchak saying the "rumor is untrue."

Calipari is finishing his fifth season at Kentucky, and he led the Wildcats to the 2012 national title. He previously guided Massachusetts and Memphis to the Final Four, though both of those appearances were later erased due to NCAA violations.


Raptors' Valanciunas charged with DUI

Toronto Raptors center Jonas Valanciunas has been charged with driving under the influence of alcohol, the team confirmed Monday.

Ontario Provincial Police arrested Valanciunas at a home early Monday morning.

Valanciunas, 21, is in his second season with the Raptors. He is averaging 11 points and 8.6 rebounds a game.