Cnotes March NCAABB Conference Playoffs Thru The Madness Picks-Trends-News-Stats !!

[CNOTES]

Sunday's Big Ten Tip Sheet
March 5, 2016


The Indiana Hoosiers have already clinched the Big Ten regular season title heading into Sunday’s finale at home against the Maryland Terrapins, but there will be bragging rights on the line in a 4:30 p.m. (ET) tip at Assembly Hall in the first meeting this season between two of the top teams in the conference.


Wrapping-up play in the Big Ten regular season, Wisconsin will go on the road to face Purdue at 7:30 p.m. with the Badgers looking to avenge a loss to the Boilermakers in their first conference game of the year.

No. 14 Maryland Terrapins at No. 12 Indiana Hoosiers (CBS, 4:30 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Indiana -4

Betting Matchup

It has been a bumpy ride for the Terrapins down the stretch run of the season with just two straight-up wins in their last five games while going 1-3-1 against the spread. Maryland closed as a favorite of eight points or more in all three of those recent losses. This past Thursday in an 81-55 romp over Illinois, the Terrapins were able to cover as 15 ½-point home favorites and the total stayed UNDER 143. It has now stayed UNDER in nine of their last 11 games.

Both sophomore guard Melo Trimble and senior forward Jake Layman posted 18 points in Thursday’s win and the team as a whole shot a blazing 56 percent from three-point range; hitting 14-of-25 attempts. Trimble has led the way all season long with 14.3 points per game and Layman is one of four other Maryland players scoring in double figures. The Terrapins are averaging 76.3 PPG and shooting an efficient 49.2 from the field.

Indiana’s run to the top of the standings in the Big Ten has been fueled by a current four-game SU winning streak with a 3-1 mark ATS. In a big 81-78 win against Iowa to open the month of March, the Hoosiers closed as four-point road underdogs. The total went OVER 151 ½ points in that game and it has gone OVER in four of their last six outings. They are 14-3 SU in conference play with a 9-8 record ATS.

Senior guard Yogi Ferrell led all scorers in the win over Iowa with 20 points and four of Indiana’s five starters posted at least 11 points in that game. Ferrell is the fourth-highest scorer in the Big Ten this season with 17.1 PPG and he also leads the team in assists with 5.5 a game. The Hoosiers are ranked 11th in the nation in scoring with 82.8 PPG and they are hitting 50.2 percent of their shots from the floor.

Betting Trends

-- The Terrapins are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games and just 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in 12 of their last 16 games following a SU win.

-- The Hoosiers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games at home and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played on Sunday. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games against a team with a SU winning record.

-- The favorite in this Big Ten battle is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and the total has gone OVER in four of the last five games.

Wisconsin Badgers at No. 15 Purdue Boilermakers (Big Ten Network, 7:30 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Purdue - 6

Betting Matchup

The Badgers are tied for second in the Big Ten standings with a SU 12-5 record and they are building some solid momentum for the postseason with 11 SU victories in their last 12 games. Betting on Wisconsin has also been hot with a 10-2 record ATS in those 12 outings. The total stayed UNDER 131 ½ points in Wednesday’s 62-49 win against Minnesota as 10-point road favorites and it has stayed UNDER in the Badgers’ last seven games.

Junior forward Nigel Hayes has been Wisconsin’s leading scorer this season with 16.1 PPG and he is adding 5.7 rebounds and 3.1 assists to the mix. Freshman forward Ethan Happ is averaging another 11.9 points and he is the team’s top shooter with a 53.2 field goal percentage. The Badgers are well down the list in the Big Ten in scoring with 68.9 PPG, but they remain one of the top defensive teams in the nation with a points-allowed average of 63.5.

Purdue has won its last two games with a victory at home against Maryland and a road win this past Tuesday over Nebraska as a favorite in both contests to move to 11-6 SU in conference play. The Boilermakers have been able to cover in two of their last three games and the four-point win over Maryland ended as a PUSH. Prior to that, they had been a tough team to bet on with a 1-7 record ATS in their previous eight games. The total has gone OVER in their last three outings and it has gone OVER in five of their last eight games.

Sophomore forward Vince Edwards got hot in Tuesday’s win at Nebraska with a team-high 20 points while shooting 8-for-12 from the field. He is one of four players averaging at least 10 PPG and the name at the top of the list with an average of 14.8 points is senior center AJ Hammons. The big man has been able to eclipse this average in three of his last four starts. The Boilermakers are the fourth-highest scoring team in the Big Ten with 77.5 PPG.

Betting Trends

-- The Badgers have covered in five of their last six road games and they are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in 15 of their last 18 games on the road.


-- The Boilermakers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five home games, but they have covered in seven of their last 11 home games against a team with a SU winning record on the road. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games played at home.


--The road team in this conference matchup has gone 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in five of the last seven meetings at Purdue. The Boilermakers struck first blood in this season’s series with a 61-55 road victory on Dec. 29 as five-point road favorites.

 

[CNOTES]

Hot & Not Report
March 5, 2016




Who's Hot


East Carolina Pirates (8-2-1 ATS L/11) – The Pirates have covered four in a row as they head into their AAC game against Memphis Sunday, a team they knocked off 84-83 back on Jan. 24 in Memphis as a 16 1/2-point underdog. That win against the Tigers kickstarted an 8-2-1 ATS run.


Wisconsin Badgers (10-2 ATS L/12) – The Badgers head to Purdue Sunday, as the defending national runner-up look to stay hot against the number. These teams haven't met since the Boilermakers won 61-55 back on Dec. 29 despite being a five-point favorite, and like many Wisconsin games it was an 'under' result.


Who's Not


Cincinnati Bearcats (2-5 ATS L/7) – The Bearcats host Southern Methodist in an important AAC game. Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS over their past five games, and they're 4-3 SU/2-5 ATS over the past seven outings. They lost the first meeting against SMU down in Texas back on Jan. 7, 59-57, but they were able to cover as six-point underdogs in a low-scoring game.


Connecticut Huskies (2-6 ATS L/8) – The Huskies have been a team to fade lately, as they have won just three times in their past seven outings, covering just twice in the past eight dating back to Feb. 7. They host UCF Sunday, a team they trounced 67-41 as 7 1/2-point favorites in Orlando Jan. 31.


North Dakota State Bison (2-7 ATS L/9) – The Bison have really struggled against the number recntly, failing to cover in five of their past six, and seven of the past nine heading into Sunday's tilt against IUPUI. NoDakState failed to cover either of their two regular season battles with the Jaguars.


Tulane Green Wave (0-4 ATS L/4) – The Green Wave are 0-4 SU/ATS over the past four outings heading into Sunday's home game against Temple. The Green Wave are also 1-6 ATS in their past seven games at home. Tulane is also 3-11-1 ATS in their past 15 games dating back to Jan. 5, so this non-cover thing is nothing new.

Total Notes


-- The 'over' has connected in four in a row for Army heading into their battle with Holy Cross in conference tournament action. The first two games averaged 137.0 points.


-- The 'under' has cashed in three straight for Cincinnati, and the under is 5-1-1 over the past seven outings. The 'under' hit in their first meeting with Sunday's opponent, SMU, in their first meeting Jan. 7 in Dallas.


-- The 'under' is an impressive 7-3 in the past 10 for Illinois heading into their road game at Penn State Sunday, including 3-0 in their past three conference road outings.


-- It has been all about the 'under' lately for Maryland. They travel to Indiana Sunday. The 'under' is 9-2 over the past 11 for the Terps, and 14-4 in their past 18 games dating back to Dec. 27.


-- The 'over' has been the play for Omaha in Summit League action recently. The 'over' is 7-1 in the past eight for the Mavericks as they prepare for their tournament game against Denver Sunday. That includes an over result in the most recent meeting Feb. 6.


-- The 'over' is an impressive 5-1 in the past six outings for Tulane heading Sunday's battle with Temple. The Green Wave have allowed 73 or more points in six consecutive games, this the 'over' streak.


-- The 'under' has hit in nine of the past 13 for UCF heading into their battle against Connecticut Sunday. Their first meeting saw a total of just 108 points back on Jan. 31.


-- The 'under' has cashed in seven in a row for Wisconsin heading into Sunday's Big 10 showdown with Purdue. The under is also 11-4 over the past 15 outings, so these low-scoring games are certainly not going away anytime soon.


Miscellaneous


Army (19-12) meets Holy Cross (12-19) in the Patriot League conference tournament Sunday. The Black Knights and Crusaders split a pair of games this season, with both games decided by four points.


Florida Gulf Coast (19-13) meets Stetson (12-21) in the Atlantic Sun Conference championship game Sunday for a chance to go to the Big Dance. The Hatters have gotten hot at the right time, winning three straight, and covering each of the past two as underdogs. The win streak includes an 80-73 win over FGCU, a.k.a. 'Dunk City', in the regular season finale Feb. 25.


Lehigh (16-14) battles American (12-18) in Patriot conference tournament action Sunday. The Mountain Hawks swept the regular season series winning both outings by an average of 19.0 points per game.

 

[CNOTES]

CBB ATS


CBB > (881) WISCONSIN@ (882) PURDUE | 2016-03-06 19:30:00 - 2016-03-06 19:30:00
Play ON WISCONSIN against the spread in All games off a win against a conference rival
The record is 10 Wins and 1 Losses for the this season (+8.9 units)


CBB > (841) TEMPLE@ (842) TULANE | 2016-03-06 14:00:00 - 2016-03-06 14:00:00
Play AGAINST TULANE against the spread in Home games after a conference game
The record is 3 Wins and 14 Losses for the last two seasons (-12.4 units)


CBB > (841) TEMPLE@ (842) TULANE | 2016-03-06 14:00:00 - 2016-03-06 14:00:00
Play AGAINST TULANE against the spread in Home games against conference opponents
The record is 3 Wins and 14 Losses for the last two seasons (-12.4 units)


CBB > (881) WISCONSIN@ (882) PURDUE | 2016-03-06 19:30:00 - 2016-03-06 19:30:00
Play ON WISCONSIN against the spread in All games after a conference game
The record is 12 Wins and 3 Losses for the this season (+8.7 units)


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CBB MONEYLINE


CBB > (839) NEBRASKA@ (840) NORTHWESTERN | 2016-03-06 14:00:00 - 2016-03-06 14:00:00
Play AGAINST NEBRASKA using money line in All games in all lined games
The record is 6 Wins and 14 Losses for the this season (-17.9 units)


CBB > (839) NEBRASKA@ (840) NORTHWESTERN | 2016-03-06 14:00:00 - 2016-03-06 14:00:00
Play AGAINST NEBRASKA using money line in All games in all games
The record is 6 Wins and 14 Losses for the this season (-17.9 units)


CBB > (841) TEMPLE@ (842) TULANE | 2016-03-06 14:00:00 - 2016-03-06 14:00:00
Play ON TEMPLE using money line in All games against conference opponents
The record is 24 Wins and 10 Losses for the last two seasons (+21.95 units)


CBB > (843) UCF@ (844) CONNECTICUT | 2016-03-06 14:00:00 - 2016-03-06 14:00:00
Play AGAINST UCF using money line in All games revenging a home loss vs opponent
The record is 8 Wins and 23 Losses for the since 1992 (-25.05 units)


CBB > (841) TEMPLE@ (842) TULANE | 2016-03-06 14:00:00 - 2016-03-06 14:00:00
Play ON TEMPLE using money line in All games in all games
The record is 37 Wins and 19 Losses for the last two seasons (+26.8 units)

CBB > (879) MARYLAND@ (880) INDIANA | 2016-03-06 16:30:00 - 2016-03-06 16:30:00
Play ON MARYLAND using money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 29 Wins and 12 Losses for the last two seasons (+17.9 units)


CBB > (877) STETSON@ (878) FLA GULF COAST | 2016-03-06 19:00:00 - 2016-03-06 19:00:00
Play ON FLA GULF COAST using money line in All games in conference tournament games
The record is 9 Wins and 2 Losses for the since 1992 (+11.45 units)


CBB > (859) DENVER@ (860) NEBRASKA-OMAHA | 2016-03-06 21:30:00 - 2016-03-06 21:30:00
Play AGAINST DENVER using money line in All games in all lined games
The record is 31 Wins and 43 Losses for the last three seasons (-36.85 units)


CBB > (859) DENVER@ (860) NEBRASKA-OMAHA | 2016-03-06 21:30:00 - 2016-03-06 21:30:00
Play AGAINST DENVER using money line in All games in all games
The record is 31 Wins and 43 Losses for the last three seasons (-36.85 units)


CBB > (837) SMU@ (838) CINCINNATI | 2016-03-06 12:00:00 - 2016-03-06 12:00:00
Play AGAINST SMU using money line in Road games in March games
The record is 9 Wins and 24 Losses for the since 1992 (-20.85 units)


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CBB FIRST HALF


CBB > (881) WISCONSIN@ (882) PURDUE | 2016-03-06 19:30:00 - 2016-03-06 19:30:00
Play ON WISCONSIN ?>in the first halfin All games versus the 1rst half line in road games
The record is 28 Wins and 6 Losses for the last three seasons (+21.4 units)


CBB > (877) STETSON@ (878) FLA GULF COAST | 2016-03-06 19:00:00 - 2016-03-06 19:00:00
Play AGAINST FLA GULF COAST ?>in the first halfin All games as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line
The record is 1 Wins and 11 Losses for the last three seasons (-11.1 units)


CBB > (839) NEBRASKA@ (840) NORTHWESTERN | 2016-03-06 14:00:00 - 2016-03-06 14:00:00
Play AGAINST NEBRASKA ?>in the first halfin All games off a loss against a conference rival
The record is 7 Wins and 22 Losses for the last three seasons (-17.2 units)


CBB > (845) MEMPHIS@ (846) E CAROLINA | 2016-03-06 16:00:00 - 2016-03-06 16:00:00
Play ON MEMPHIS ?>in the first halfin All games off a loss against a conference rival
The record is 18 Wins and 5 Losses for the last three seasons (+12.5 units)

CBB > (843) UCF@ (844) CONNECTICUT | 2016-03-06 14:00:00 - 2016-03-06 14:00:00
Play AGAINST CONNECTICUT ?>in the first halfin All games after a conference game
The record is 10 Wins and 25 Losses for the last two seasons (-17.5 units)


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CBB TOTALS


CBB > (839) NEBRASKA@ (840) NORTHWESTERN | 2016-03-06 14:00:00 - 2016-03-06 14:00:00
Play OVER NEBRASKA on the totalin All games after 3 or more consecutive losses
The record is 9 Overs and 0 Unders for the last two seasons (+9 units)


CBB > (857) N DAKOTA ST@ (858) IUPUI | 2016-03-06 19:00:00 - 2016-03-06 19:00:00
Play UNDER N DAKOTA ST on the totalin All games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games
The record is 4 Overs and 20 Unders for the last three seasons (+15.6 units)


CBB > (881) WISCONSIN@ (882) PURDUE | 2016-03-06 19:30:00 - 2016-03-06 19:30:00
Play UNDER WISCONSIN on the totalin Road games off a win against a conference rival
The record is 0 Overs and 7 Unders for the this season (+7 units)

CBB > (857) N DAKOTA ST@ (858) IUPUI | 2016-03-06 19:00:00 - 2016-03-06 19:00:00
Play UNDER N DAKOTA ST on the totalin All games off a loss against a conference rival
The record is 1 Overs and 10 Unders for the last two seasons (+8.9 units)


CBB > (881) WISCONSIN@ (882) PURDUE | 2016-03-06 19:30:00 - 2016-03-06 19:30:00
Play UNDER WISCONSIN on the totalin All games in road lined games
The record is 1 Overs and 9 Unders for the this season (+7.9 units)


CBB > (857) N DAKOTA ST@ (858) IUPUI | 2016-03-06 19:00:00 - 2016-03-06 19:00:00
Play UNDER IUPUI on the totalin Road games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 3 Overs and 14 Unders for the last two seasons (+10.7 units)

CBB > (839) NEBRASKA@ (840) NORTHWESTERN | 2016-03-06 14:00:00 - 2016-03-06 14:00:00
Play UNDER NORTHWESTERN on the totalin All games when the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5
The record is 4 Overs and 14 Unders for the this season (+9.6 units)

CBB > (871) HOLY CROSS@ (872) ARMY | 2016-03-06 12:00:00 - 2016-03-06 12:00:00
Play OVER ARMY on the total in all games
The record is 12 Overs and 2 Unders for the last three seasons (+9.8 units)

CBB > (871) HOLY CROSS@ (872) ARMY | 2016-03-06 12:00:00 - 2016-03-06 12:00:00
Play OVER ARMY on the totalin All games in all lined games
The record is 12 Overs and 2 Unders for the last three seasons (+9.8 units)

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack


-- Austin Peay 83, UT-Martin 73-- 8th seed in OVC wins the tournament.


-- Western Carolina 88, Wofford 83 2OT-- WCU's point guard played all 50:00.


-- Marshall 109, Southern Mississippi 106 OT-- Losing side scored 90+ points in six of last nine Marshall games.


-- Northern Colorado 78, Montana 72-- Bears were a 15-point underdog.


-- Virginia 68, Louisville 46-- Dismal end to season for Cardinals.


-- Dayton 68, VCU 67 OT-- Atlantic 14 ends in a three-way tie for first.


**********


Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday........


13) It is now Champ Week, not Championship Week; wonder what genius got paid to come up with that one? In any event, it is one of the best weeks all year and it is off to a tremendous start. In lot of ways, this week is better than the NCAAs, since for lot of these schools, just getting in the tournament is the biggest deal of all.


12) Yale 71, Columbia 55-- Yale is in NCAAs for first time since 1962; congrats to the Bulldogs and coach James Jones, a fellow Albany alum and a good guy. He's done a consistently solid job at Yale and now the national media will get to know him.


11) Austin Peay 83, UT-Martin 73 OT-- 69-year old Dave Loos is Austin Peay's coach; he is 491-443 in 30 years as a head coach, 26 of which have been at Peay. Last four years, they're 20-44 in OVC games, but over last four days, they put together a run for the ages, posting four straight upsets to win the OVC tournament.


Coach Loos has ten grandchildren, one of whom is a 5-year old girl who is fighting cancer; hopefully this tournament run gave the family some joy at a sad time.


10) In case you wonder about such things, the three states with the highest rate of sleep deprivation are: Kentucky-Hawai'i-Maryland.


9) The last first-team basketball All-American whose team didn't make the NCAA tournament was Mychal Thompson (Klay's father) at Minnesota in 1978. Its going to happen this year with Ben Simmons and LSU.


8) Saturday was Josh Whitman's first day as the new AD at Illinois; all he did was fire the football coach, who had just signed a 2-year contract in November, so the school has to eat $985,000, and four new assistant coaches who just moved to Champaign have to go and find new jobs. This was totally unexpected.


Lot of speculation on social media had Illinois going after Lovie Smith to be coach.


7) Illinois is 13-17 in basketball this year, 5-12 in conference; in John Groce's four years with the Illini, he is 75-59, 29-42 in Big 14. If I were him, I'd be nervous.


6) Boston College finishes 0-18 in basketball, meaning they go 0-26 in this school year in football/basketball, a level of consistent ineptitude that will go down in history as basically unbeatable. How does the athletic director not get fired there?


5) North Carolina 76, Duke 72-- Duke was 13-34 on arc, 12-33 inside arc; they let Carolina's big men catch the ball 12-15 feet from basket, and defied them to score and it almost worked but it didn't-- Carolina is top seed in ACC tournament, Duke tied for 5th with Notre Dame. They're likely to be lower than a 2-seed for only 4th time in their last 20 NCAA tournaments and are vulnerable to an early upset.


4) Northern Iowa 57, Wichita State 52 OT-- Joe Lunardi was fairly adamant last night that the Shockers are in the tournament, so I'll defer to him on that, but they will have a very, long, nervous week until they see their name in the brackets. Wichita is not that strong on offense-- MVC is only the #12 conference this season.


3) Siena plays Iona tonight in Albany, the #2 seed playing the #3 seed on #3 seed's home court. MAAC teams have bitched about this for years, but Albany is the only place they can hold the tournament and make a lot of money. At the end of the day, no one likes to lose money.


2) IP-Fort Worth has a kid named Max Landis who routinely jacks 28-footers; he is shooting 45.5% behind the arc this year for the 24-8 Mastodons, who play in the semis of the Summit League Monday night- they're a fun team to watch.


1) As a DirecTV subscriber, this was the first year that ESPN3.com was available to me on my laptop-- have enjoyed it a lot. Saw a ton more games, from the Southern Conference to Summit the Big West to the MAC. Some of these leagues are better than you think- if the top seeds can survive their conference tournaments, they could spring some surprises in the NCAA tournament in a couple of weeks.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up


Sunday, March 6


Indiana won its last four games, scoring 78 ppg; they're 8-0 at home in Big 14, with three of last four home wins by 7 or less points. Hoosiers lost two of three vs Maryland LY, winning game here 89-70, losing by 2-6 in other two meetings, one in Big 14 tourney. Big 14 home favorites of 6 or less points are 12-10 vs spread. Maryland is 2-3 in last five tilts after a 22-3 start, losing last two road games, at Minnesota/Purdue.


Wisconsin won 11 of its last 12 games, with loss at Michigan State by 12; Badgers lost 61-55 at home to Purdue Dec 29, first Boiler win in last five series games- Wisconsin won its last two visits here. Purdue is just 4-3 in last seven games, but won its last seven at home. Badgers play the slowest-paced games in conference, but force highest %age of turnovers. Big 14 home favorites of 6+ points are 36-18 vs spread.


Missouri Valley tournament (St Louis)


Northern Iowa won 11 of last 12 games after a 10-11 start; challenge for Panthers is to win big game day after they knocked off MVC's kingpin, in OT. UNI swept its games with Evansville, but by total of five points; 57-54 at home, when they trailed in last minute, 54-52 in Evansville just 8 days ago, in a slow-paced (61 poss) brickfest (both teams were under 0.90 ppp). Purple Aces won six of last seven games, had much easier win yesterday- UNI had two played 42:00 against Wichita State.


CAA tournament (Baltimore)


One year ago today, William & Mary beat Hofstra 92-91 in double OT in this round; Hofstra swept Tribe this year, winning 91-63 at home on Jan 24 (Hofstra was 15-37 on arc, trailed by 9 in first half), 86-80 on the road Feb 11 (Tribe led 9-0, game was tied at half). W&M is just 3-4 in its last seven games; Hofstra won its last seven games. neither team had a tough game yesterday. Hofstra is #20 in country in experience.


NC-Wilmington won 14 of last 16 games, winning at Northeastern 90-73 after Huskies won first meeting 65-63; UNCW lost 78-71 to Huskies in tourney LY- they're 4-2 in last six games vs Northeastern. Huskies won six of last seven games since loss to UNCW; they got injured star Ford back, have played well lately. Seahawks are 4-8 in this tourney since '07; Northeastern won this event LY. Huskies want a slower tempo.


Horizon tournament (Joe Louis Arena, Detroit)


Home side won both Green Bay-Milwaukee games this year; tilts were decided by total of 3 points. Green Bay is 7-3 in last ten series games, but lost in OT to Panthers in tourney two years ago. Milwaukee played seven guys between 22-27:00 in easy win yesterday- they've won four of last five games overall, scoring 83.8 ppg. Green Bay won five of its last six games; both teams here and in top 80 in country in experience.


Home side won both Detroit-Wright State games this year; Raiders won by point in first game, lost by 7 at Detroit in rematch. Wright is 6-3 in last nine series tilts, winning last three meetings in Horizon tournament. Titans are 7-3 in last ten games, Wright won its last four; neither squad had tough game yesterday. Detroit 2-3 in this tourney since they won it in '12, when McCallum Jr played. Wright State lost in tourney finals in three of last six years.


MAAC tournament (Albany)


Monmouth had yesterday off; they whacked Fairfield twice this season, winning 86-74 on road Jan 11 (trailed by 11 in first half, made 12-24 on arc), 91-67 at home Feb 5 (Stags were just 8-28 on arc). Fairfield is 8-6 in this tourney last seven years; they're 7-1 in last eight games, but used only two subs for 22:00 last nite. Hawks are 12-1 in last 13 games; they forced 21 turnovers in win vs Rider Friday, used three subs 14:00+.


Iona had yesterday off; they split pair with Siena this year, losing 81-78 at home Feb 13 (Iona led by 12 in second half), Gaels won rematch nine days later, 87-81- Siena was 11-20 on arc in first game, 4-21 in rematch. Iona is 8-2 in this event last four years, losing in finals in last two. Siena is 5-5 in this event last six years, but lost last four second round games. Saints won five of last seven games; they played four guys 30+ minutes in last night's 89-76 win over Manhattan. Game is on Siena's floor.


Southern Conference tournament (Asheville, NC)


Chattanooga was 0-5 in SoCon tourney before yesterday's 59-54 win vs Samford yesterday- Bulldogs were 0-14 on arc in game they led by five at half. Home side won both UTC-Western Carolina games this season; Mocs won 77-58 at home (WC star Brown was 2-14), lost 67-61 when WCU forced 26 turnovers in sloppy game. Mocs won 21 of their last 24 games. Catamounts won eight of last nine games, needed double OT to beat Wofford yesterday- three guys play 44:00+; Brown played 50:00.


East Tennessee State won its last six games, breezing past Mercer by 15 yesterday; Buccaneers split pair with Furman this year, losing 74-70 as Paladins shot 67% inside arc, won rematch 80-75 in game they led by 19 at half (Furman was 20-30 inside arc in both games). Furman lost three of last four games; they have good senior PG. ETSU won last six games, with four of the six wins by six or less points- they're #14 in country in experience. .


Summit tournament (Sioux Falls)


Neb-Omaha is 4-5 in its last nine games after a 14-7 start; road team won both their games with Denver this year. Mavericks won first meeting in Denver, 69-55 (shot 59% inside arc), lost rematch 75-72. Advantage for Omaha, having time to prep for unusual Princeton-style offense- they split pair of games in only Summit tourney, in 2014. Denver is 2-5 in this event last five years, losing three of last four second round games.


North Dakota State won Summit tourney last two years, but lost four of last six games overall; home side won both games with IUPUI this year- Bison lost 73-72 on road Jan 31 (led by 10 with 8:11 left), won 63-59 at home (shot 56% inside arc). IUPUI lost five of last seven games overall; they also lost last four first round games in this tourney, three by 17+ points. Bison won seven of its last eight games overall against IUPUI.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 6

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ILLINOIS (13 - 17) at PENN ST (15 - 15) - 3/6/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 2-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 3-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SMU (25 - 4) at CINCINNATI (21 - 9) - 3/6/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) in March games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 154-192 ATS (-57.2 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 107-144 ATS (-51.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 44-70 ATS (-33.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-1 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-2 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEBRASKA (14 - 16) at NORTHWESTERN (19 - 11) - 3/6/2016, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 83-122 ATS (-51.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 83-122 ATS (-51.2 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 74-104 ATS (-40.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 72-101 ATS (-39.1 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 52-78 ATS (-33.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 2-2 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA is 3-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEMPLE (19 - 10) at TULANE (10 - 20) - 3/6/2016, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 194-150 ATS (+29.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
TULANE is 18-29 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 18-29 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
TULANE is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
TULANE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997.
TULANE is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TULANE is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
TULANE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 2-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 2-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UCF (12 - 16) at CONNECTICUT (20 - 10) - 3/6/2016, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
UCF is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
UCF is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 3-1 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 4-0 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MEMPHIS (16 - 14) at E CAROLINA (12 - 18) - 3/6/2016, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
E CAROLINA is 136-182 ATS (-64.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 128-172 ATS (-61.2 Units) after a conference game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 3-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA is 2-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WI-MILWAUKEE (20 - 12) vs. WI-GREEN BAY (20 - 12) - 3/6/2016, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
WI-MILWAUKEE is 4-3 against the spread versus WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
WI-GREEN BAY is 4-3 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WRIGHT ST (20 - 12) at DETROIT (16 - 14) - 3/6/2016, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-2 against the spread versus WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
WRIGHT ST is 4-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


N IOWA (21 - 12) vs. EVANSVILLE (25 - 8) - 3/6/2016, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
N IOWA is 4-2 against the spread versus EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
N IOWA is 5-1 straight up against EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WM & MARY (20 - 10) vs. HOFSTRA (23 - 8) - 3/6/2016, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
HOFSTRA is 4-3 against the spread versus WM & MARY over the last 3 seasons
WM & MARY is 4-3 straight up against HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NORTHEASTERN (18 - 14) vs. UNC-WILMINGTON (23 - 7) - 3/6/2016, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-WILMINGTON is 4-3 against the spread versus NORTHEASTERN over the last 3 seasons
UNC-WILMINGTON is 4-3 straight up against NORTHEASTERN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


N DAKOTA ST (18 - 12) vs. IUPUI (13 - 18) - 3/6/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N DAKOTA ST is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games this season.
N DAKOTA ST is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
IUPUI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
IUPUI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
IUPUI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
IUPUI is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
IUPUI is 4-2 against the spread versus N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
N DAKOTA ST is 5-1 straight up against IUPUI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DENVER (15 - 14) vs. NEBRASKA-OMAHA (18 - 12) - 3/6/2016, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-2 against the spread versus NEBRASKA-OMAHA over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-2 straight up against NEBRASKA-OMAHA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


W CAROLINA (16 - 16) vs. UT-CHATTANOOGA (27 - 5) - 3/6/2016, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 3-2 against the spread versus W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 4-2 straight up against W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FURMAN (18 - 14) vs. E TENN ST (22 - 10) - 3/6/2016, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
FURMAN is 3-1 against the spread versus E TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
E TENN ST is 2-2 straight up against FURMAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FAIRFIELD (19 - 12) vs. MONMOUTH (26 - 6) - 3/6/2016, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
FAIRFIELD is 4-2 against the spread versus MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
MONMOUTH is 5-1 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SIENA (21 - 11) vs. IONA (20 - 10) - 3/6/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
IONA is 4-3 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 6-1 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOLY CROSS (12 - 19) at ARMY (19 - 12) - 3/6/2016, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
HOLY CROSS is 4-2 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


AMERICAN (12 - 18) at LEHIGH (16 - 14) - 3/6/2016, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AMERICAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in conference tournament games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
LEHIGH is 1-1 against the spread versus AMERICAN over the last 3 seasons
AMERICAN is 4-3 straight up against LEHIGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UNC-ASHEVILLE (21 - 11) vs. WINTHROP (23 - 8) - 3/6/2016, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
WINTHROP is 1-0 against the spread versus UNC-ASHEVILLE over the last 3 seasons
WINTHROP is 5-2 straight up against UNC-ASHEVILLE over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


STETSON (11 - 21) at FLA GULF COAST (19 - 13) - 3/6/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA GULF COAST is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in March games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLA GULF COAST is 1-0 against the spread versus STETSON over the last 3 seasons
FLA GULF COAST is 6-1 straight up against STETSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MARYLAND (24 - 6) at INDIANA (24 - 6) - 3/6/2016, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 2-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WISCONSIN (20 - 10) at PURDUE (23 - 7) - 3/6/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
WISCONSIN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
WISCONSIN is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
WISCONSIN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
WISCONSIN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 3-2 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 4-1 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, MARCH 6


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS




HC at ARMY 12:00 PM


ARMY -7.5




SMU at CIN 12:00 PM


SMU +1.5


U 130.0




ILL at PSU 12:00 PM


ILL +4.0


U 135.0




CWM at HOF 01:00 PM


CWM +1.5




MILW at GB 01:00 PM


GB +3.0

 

[CNOTES]

TEM at TULN 02:00 PM


TEM -6.0




UCF at UCONN 02:00 PM


UCF +17.0




NEB at NW 02:00 PM


NW -4.5




UNI at EVAN 02:00 PM


UNI -1.5




AMER at LEH 02:00 PM


LEH -11.5




UNCA at WIN 02:30 PM


UNCA -2.0




DET at WRST 03:30 PM


WRST -1.5




NE at UNCW 03:30 PM


UNCW -3.0




MEM at ECU 04:00 PM


MEM -5.0


O 148.5




MD at IND 04:30 PM


MD +5.5


U 147.5




FAIR at MONM 04:30 PM


FAIR +8.5




WCU at CHAT 05:00 PM


WCU +8.0

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday's Picks: 20 - 24
YTD: 48 -45-1


Late games posted later........Good Luck......

 

[indiana]

C/note..........BOL with all your action today..............indy

 

[CNOTES]

Monday's WCC Tip Sheet
March 6, 2016


The 2016 West Coast Conference Tournament got underway this past weekend and so far it has gone right according to plan with the top four seeds advancing to Monday night’s semifinals in Las Vegas.


The first matchup pits No. 4 Pepperdine against the top-seeded St. Mary Gaels at 9:00 p.m. ET followed by the No. 3 BYU Cougars squaring-off against the No. 2 Gonzaga Bulldogs at 11:30 p.m ET.


Pepperdine Waves vs. St Mary’s Gaels (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)


Opening Odds: St. Mary’s -7 ½


Betting Matchup


Pepperdine closed-out the regular season with a shaky 3-5 straight-up record in its last eight games while going 4-4 against the spread, but one of those victories came against the Gaels in a 69-63 road win on Feb. 11 as a heavy 12 ½-point underdog. The total went OVER 148 in Saturday’s 90-86 quarterfinal’s victory over San Francisco as five-point favorites and it has now gone OVER in the Waves’ last four outings.


Junior guard Jeremy Major came up big in Saturday’s win with 28 points while going 10-for-12 from the field. The Waves scored 90 points for the first time since pinning 98 points on San Francisco in a regular season win on Jan. 16. They shot 52.6 percent from the field this time around including a 9-for-18 performance from three-point range. Junior guard Lamond Murray Jr. has been the team’s leading scorer all season with 16.2 points per game and he added 16 to the winning effort on Saturday night.


The Gaels’ run to a WCC regular season title at 15-3 SU in conference play included a five-game winning streak down the stretch while covering ATS in their final three contests. St. Mary’s opened-up this tournament with a comfortable 60-48 victory against Loyola Marymount, but it could not cover as a 14 ½-point favorite. The total stayed UNDER the closing 133 ½-point line and it has stayed UNDER in eight of its last 10 games.


St. Mary’s is ranked fourth in the nation in points allowed; giving-up an average of just 60 points a game and it has been able work this number down to 58.4 points over its last five games. The Gaels fall to fifth in the WCC in scoring with an average of 74.7 PPG and this number has also fallen slightly to 71 points during this same stretch. Sophomore guard Emmett Naar is averaging a team-high 13.9 points and he met or exceeded that average in three of his last four starts.


Betting Trends


-- The Waves have failed to cover in four of their last five neutral-site games, but they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven Monday games.


-- The Gaels are 1-5 ATS in their last six games played at a neutral site and they are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games at a neutral site.


-- Head-to-head in this WCC clash, the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in three of the last four games. Pepperdine swept the season series both SU and ATS after closing as an underdog in each game.


BYU Cougars vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs (ESPN2, 11:30 p.m. ET)


Opening Odds: Gonzaga -2 ½


Betting Matchup


BYU had little trouble getting past Santa Clara on Saturday in a 72-60 win, but it could not cover the closing 15 ½-point spread. The total in that game stayed UNDER 153 and it has stayed UNDER in four of its last five games. The Cougars closed-out the regular season with a tight 71-68 loss to Gonzaga as three-point home favorites. The loss snapped a SU five-game winning streak and BYU is now just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five contests.


Senior guard Kyle Collinsworth was recently named the WCC Player of the Year and he stayed hot in the postseason with 13 points, nine rebounds and six assists in Saturday’s win. Another senior guard Chase Fischer has been the Cougars’ leading scorer this season with 18 PPG and he added 14 points against Santa Clara as four of five starters ended the night in double figures. BYU is the highest scoring team in the WCC with an average of 83.6 PPG.


Gonzaga followed-up its big upset of BYU in its season finale with a convincing 92-67 romp over Portland in its first tournament game. The Bulldogs covered as 15 ½-point favorites and the total went OVER the 154 ½-point closing line. They have now gone 5-2 (both SU and ATS) in their last seven games with the total going OVER in four of those contests. Gonzaga actually tied St. Mary’s for the best record in the WCC at 15-3 SU, but it lost both meetings against its bitter rival.


The Bulldogs opened-up a 14-point lead at the half in Saturday’s quarterfinal victory and never looked back. The combination of sophomore forward Domantas Sabonis and senior guard Eric McClellan scored 50 of Gonzaga’s 92 points and the team as a whole shot 50.8 percent from the field. The Bulldogs are second in the conference behind BYU in scoring with 79.3 PPG and senior forward Kyle Wiltjer is the second-highest scorer in the WCC this season with 20.5 PPG.


Betting Trends


-- The Cougars have failed to cover in six of their last seven Monday games, but they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss. The total has gone OVER in nine of their last 10 neutral-site games.


-- The Bulldogs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games played on Monday and the total has gone OVER in 12 of their last 17 games at a neutral site. It has also gone OVER in 15 of their last 22 conference games.


-- The favorite in this conference tilt has gone 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in 10 of the last 12 games. These two teams split the season series SU with the road team covering in each game. The total stayed UNDER in both meetings.

 

[CNOTES]

CBB ATS


CBB > (517) WRIGHT ST@ (518) OAKLAND | 2016-03-07 21:30:00 - 2016-03-07 21:30:00
Play ON OAKLAND against the spread in Road games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 10 Wins and 1 Losses for the this season (+8.9 units)


CBB > (525) W MICHIGAN@ (526) N ILLINOIS | 2016-03-07 20:00:00 - 2016-03-07 20:00:00
Play ON N ILLINOIS against the spread in All games in all home games
The record is 11 Wins and 2 Losses for the this season (+8.8 units)

CBB > (523) TOLEDO@ (524) E MICHIGAN | 2016-03-07 19:30:00 - 2016-03-07 19:30:00
Play AGAINST TOLEDO against the spread in All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games
The record is 4 Wins and 18 Losses for the since 1992 (-15.8 units)


CBB > (531) BYU@ (532) GONZAGA | 2016-03-07 23:30:00 - 2016-03-07 23:30:00
Play AGAINST BYU against the spread in Road games in all tournament games
The record is 23 Wins and 53 Losses for the since 1992 (-35.3 units)


CBB > (519) MIAMI OHIO@ (520) BALL ST | 2016-03-07 19:00:00 - 2016-03-07 19:00:00
Play AGAINST BALL ST against the spread in Home games after a conference game
The record is 3 Wins and 13 Losses for the last two seasons (-11.3 units)


CBB > (519) MIAMI OHIO@ (520) BALL ST | 2016-03-07 19:00:00 - 2016-03-07 19:00:00
Play AGAINST BALL ST against the spread in All games as a favorite
The record is 2 Wins and 11 Losses for the last two seasons (-10.1 units)


CBB > (521) BOWLING GREEN@ (522) KENT ST | 2016-03-07 19:00:00 - 2016-03-07 19:00:00
Play AGAINST BOWLING GREEN against the spread in All games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games
The record is 2 Wins and 10 Losses for the this season (-9 units)


--------------------


CBB MONEYLINE


CBB > (523) TOLEDO@ (524) E MICHIGAN | 2016-03-07 19:30:00 - 2016-03-07 19:30:00
Play AGAINST TOLEDO using money line in All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games
The record is 0 Wins and 6 Losses for the last three seasons (-13.75 units)


CBB > (531) BYU@ (532) GONZAGA | 2016-03-07 23:30:00 - 2016-03-07 23:30:00
Play ON GONZAGA using money line in Road games against conference opponents
The record is 12 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+11.35 units)


CBB > (525) W MICHIGAN@ (526) N ILLINOIS | 2016-03-07 20:00:00 - 2016-03-07 20:00:00
Play ON N ILLINOIS using money line in All games after scoring 80 points or more
The record is 10 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.85 units)


CBB > (529) PEPPERDINE@ (530) ST MARYS-CA | 2016-03-07 21:00:00 - 2016-03-07 21:00:00
Play ON PEPPERDINE using money line in Road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games
The record is 5 Wins and 1 Losses for the last three seasons (+11.8 units)


CBB > (527) UNC-WILMINGTON@ (528) HOFSTRA | 2016-03-07 19:00:00 - 2016-03-07 19:00:00
Play ON UNC-WILMINGTON using money line in All games against conference opponents
The record is 26 Wins and 11 Losses for the last two seasons (+19.55 units)


CBB > (529) PEPPERDINE@ (530) ST MARYS-CA | 2016-03-07 21:00:00 - 2016-03-07 21:00:00
Play AGAINST ST MARYS-CA using money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games
The record is 15 Wins and 16 Losses for the last three seasons (-28.6 units)


CBB > (521) BOWLING GREEN@ (522) KENT ST | 2016-03-07 19:00:00 - 2016-03-07 19:00:00
Play AGAINST BOWLING GREEN using money line in All games in March games
The record is 2 Wins and 10 Losses for the last three seasons (-12.6 units)


CBB > (515) WI-GREEN BAY@ (516) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-07 19:00:00 - 2016-03-07 19:00:00
Play AGAINST WI-GREEN BAY using money line in All games in tournament semi-final games
The record is 2 Wins and 8 Losses for the since 1992 (-13.4 units)


CBB > (515) WI-GREEN BAY@ (516) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-07 19:00:00 - 2016-03-07 19:00:00
Play AGAINST WI-GREEN BAY using money line in All games in March games
The record is 11 Wins and 23 Losses for the since 1992 (-25.55 units)


CBB > (527) UNC-WILMINGTON@ (528) HOFSTRA | 2016-03-07 19:00:00 - 2016-03-07 19:00:00
Play ON UNC-WILMINGTON using money line in All games in all games
The record is 33 Wins and 16 Losses for the last two seasons (+21.5 units)


---------------------


CBB FIRST HALF


CBB > (525) W MICHIGAN@ (526) N ILLINOIS | 2016-03-07 20:00:00 - 2016-03-07 20:00:00
Play ON N ILLINOIS ?>in the first halfin All games after scoring 80 points or more
The record is 10 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+8.9 units)


CBB > (529) PEPPERDINE@ (530) ST MARYS-CA | 2016-03-07 21:00:00 - 2016-03-07 21:00:00
Play ON ST MARYS-CA ?>in the first halfin All games when playing with one or less days rest
The record is 15 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.6 units)


CBB > (531) BYU@ (532) GONZAGA | 2016-03-07 23:30:00 - 2016-03-07 23:30:00
Play ON GONZAGA ?>in the first halfin Road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games
The record is 27 Wins and 9 Losses for the since 1992 (+17.1 units)


-------------------


CBB TOTALS


CBB > (519) MIAMI OHIO@ (520) BALL ST | 2016-03-07 19:00:00 - 2016-03-07 19:00:00
Play UNDER MIAMI OHIO on the totalin Road games revenging a home loss vs opponent
The record is 1 Overs and 13 Unders for the last three seasons (+11.9 units)

CBB > (521) BOWLING GREEN@ (522) KENT ST | 2016-03-07 19:00:00 - 2016-03-07 19:00:00
Play OVER BOWLING GREEN on the totalin Road games against conference opponents
The record is 24 Overs and 5 Unders for the last three seasons (+18.5 units)


CBB > (541) DELAWARE ST@ (542) SAVANNAH ST | 2016-03-07 17:00:00 - 2016-03-07 17:00:00
Play UNDER DELAWARE ST on the totalin All games versus the first half line in all games
The record is 0 Overs and 9 Unders for the last two seasons (+9 units)


CBB > (521) BOWLING GREEN@ (522) KENT ST | 2016-03-07 19:00:00 - 2016-03-07 19:00:00
Play OVER BOWLING GREEN on the totalin Road games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 21 Overs and 4 Unders for the last three seasons (+16.6 units)


CBB > (525) W MICHIGAN@ (526) N ILLINOIS | 2016-03-07 20:00:00 - 2016-03-07 20:00:00
Play OVER W MICHIGAN on the totalin Road games revenging a road loss vs opponent
The record is 18 Overs and 3 Unders for the since 1992 (+14.7 units)


CBB > (519) MIAMI OHIO@ (520) BALL ST | 2016-03-07 19:00:00 - 2016-03-07 19:00:00
Play OVER BALL ST on the totalin All games in conference tournament games
The record is 15 Overs and 2 Unders for the since 1992 (+12.8 units)


CBB > (529) PEPPERDINE@ (530) ST MARYS-CA | 2016-03-07 21:00:00 - 2016-03-07 21:00:00
Play UNDER ST MARYS-CA on the totalin All games when the total is 130 to 139.5
The record is 10 Overs and 30 Unders for the last three seasons (+19 units)


CBB > (531) BYU@ (532) GONZAGA | 2016-03-07 23:30:00 - 2016-03-07 23:30:00
Play UNDER GONZAGA on the totalin All games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games
The record is 0 Overs and 7 Unders for the this season (+7 units)

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Clippers (40-21) at Mavericks (33-29)
Date: March 07, 2016 8:30 PM EDT

The Los Angeles Clippers have taken to firing up 3-pointers at a pretty eye-catching rate lately with varying results, but they might want to keep with the habit for one more game.


Teams have been doing that against Dallas with plenty of frequency, and the outcomes are negative for the Mavericks more often than not.


Dallas begins a three-game homestand Monday night hoping to avoid a three-game losing streak while the Clippers need a win to dodge consecutive losses for the first time since before Christmas.


The Clippers (40-21) haven't lost consecutive games in 2 1/2 months - which is surprising considering Blake Griffin has only played once in that span - going 24-8 since a three-game skid from Dec. 18-21.


Three of those losses have come in the last seven games with Los Angeles attempting an average of 31.7 shots from beyond the arc, which is higher than any team's season mark. But they've won once in the last six games they've attempted 30 or more. That includes Saturday's 107-97 home loss to Atlanta after being limited to 42 second-half points.


"We just let them back in it," said Chris Paul, who has averaged 24.6 points and 11.6 assists with eight double-doubles in his last nine games. "I had some bad turnovers, and we just didn't have it tonight. Low energy. It's too late in the season to have letdowns like the one we had. That can't happen."


It did the last time out against the Mavericks with Los Angeles building an eight-point lead after one quarter only to be held to 19 points in the second of a 118-108 Dallas win on Nov. 11. Dirk Nowitzki had 31 points on 11-of-14 shooting and 5 of 6 from beyond the arc, and Paul was held to 11 points on 2 of 11. In his last three games against Dallas, Paul has averaged 10.3 points and 7.7 assists while shooting 37.0 percent.


The teams have split two games this season with the home side winning each, and the Mavericks (33-30) have taken the last two played in Dallas by an total of 40 points while shooting 58.1 percent.


Of the nine teams yielding at least 25 3-point attempts per game, the Mavericks' 33.7 percent opponent mark is the lowest, but it's not taking a ton of success from deep for teams to beat them. When opponents put up at least 25 3s and make more than a third of them, Dallas is 7-13.


One of those was Sunday's 116-114 overtime loss in Denver after D.J. Augustin's 3 tied the game with 29 seconds remaining in the extra period.


"You know, we've got to lead the league in being up three and catching 3 balls," Nowitzki told the team's official website after finishing with 30 points and hitting 5 of 8 from long range. "You know, we're a veteran team, and we don't show it lately down the stretch. If you're up three, you've got to protect the 3-point line, and we haven't been doing a good job. And when you leave yourself open to that, it goes to OT and anything is possible."


Dallas has shot 50.1 percent on a five-game stretch, all against under-.500 teams, but has only a 3-2 record to show for it. The Mavericks have won one of their last seven games against teams above that mark and are 4-10 against the five teams leading them in the Western Conference - Golden State, San Antonio, Oklahoma City, the Clippers and Memphis.


Los Angeles is 4-6 against the other teams in that top six.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack


Six of the better minor league prospects for the San Diego Padres.......


1) Javier Guerra, SS-- Acquired from Boston in Craig Kimbrel trade.


2) Manuel Margot, OF-- Better defensively than with the bat.


3) Hunter Renfroe, OF-- Led Texas League in outfield assists LY.


6) Travis Jankowski, OF-- Hit .211 in 90 major league ABs last season.


7) Colin Rea, P-- Allowed 29 hits in 32 big league IP last year.


23) Rymer Liriano, OF-- Had .383 OB% in full year at AAA El Paso LY


**********


Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend........


13) Oddest fact about Peyton Manning's great career-- he played in four Super Bowls, for four different head coaches. Even more unusual than Joe Gibbs winning his three Super Bowls with three different quarterbacks.


12) Northern Iowa 56, Evansville 54-- Panthers led by 14 at the half, blew the lead, but they advance to NCAAs thanks to a fortunate bounce on a last-second shot.


11) North Dakota State 60, IUPUI 45-- Bison advance because partly because IUPUI suspended its best player for undisclosed reasons. Sometimes you need to get lucky.


10) Hofstra 70, Wm & Mary 67-- Last year, Hofstra lost three times to Tribe, with a double OT loss in this round. This year, Hofstra beat W&M three times- their seniors Green/Tanksley combined for 37 points here. Hofstra now plays NC-Wilmington in CAA finals. Teams split their games this year-- both teams that lost blew double digit leads, so tonight's final should be interesting.


9) Iona 81, Siena 70-- Gaels win on Siena's home court- road team won all three series games this year- to reach finals against Monmouth, which got leading rebounder Jones back yesterday-- he missed the Hawks' loss to Iona last month. .


8) Southern Conference-- Chattanooga-East Tennessee State is final tonight; ETSU got swept by the Mocs this year, losing by 10-8 points. Buccaneers won 10 of their last 11 games, with only loss in the rematch with Chattanooga.


7) One of the referees at the Southern Conference tournament is Bruce Benedict, who played 12 years in the major leagues with the Atlanta Braves, where he hit .240 as a catcher. I spent most of his career rooting against him. Why?


My favorite ballplayer while Benedict was playing was Biff Pocoroba; if you know me, you know why. Pocoroba was also a catcher on the Braves and he competed with Benedict for playing time, so I spent several years hoping Benedict failed badly. I'm an idiot, I know- they were both very average, but together a decent platoon unit.


6) Kid named Wendall Williams from College of Cumberlands (I've never heard of it) ran a 4.19 40-yard dash at a tryout in Minnesota. Kid is a track star, hasn't played a lot of football-- he caught 15 passes for 457 yards (with 8 TDs) at an NAIA school. If Al Davis were still alive, Mr Williams would damn sure be a Raider next year.


5) Cincinnati 61, SMU 54-- Mustangs' season is over; both them and Louisville went out meekly this weekend, proving how mental the game can be- they become ineligible for the postseason, and things go south fairly quickly. Human nature.


4) Fresno State is 22-9, 13-5 in conference-- they've had a great year, are #2 seed in Mountain West, but if UNLV beats Air Force in a preliminary game, Fresno will have to play the Rebels in their first tournament game, in the Thomas & Mack Center. Not the best situation, but playing the conference tournament in Las Vegas is the only way the league would make any money. I've heard that somewhere before........


3) Golfer Steven Bowditch is struggling badly with his game, but he was still qualified for the World Golf tournament and he played all 72 holes (there is no cut in tourneys with small fields like this)........in +37. Thats 81-80-80-84 but he banked $48,000.


2) City of San Jose is owed $6.8M in unpaid library fines; so if you live in San Jose and you have an overdue book, pay your damn fine already.


1) Gonzaga-BYU figures to be very good tonight, from Las Vegas, semifinals of the WCC from Orleans Arena. Dick Vitale is going to do the WCC tourney the next two nights which should be very interesting. Mr Vitale isn't ESPN's #1 guy anymore and he can only do one game per night because he had throat surgery couple years ago, but this should be fun, for both him and the viewers.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WI-GREEN BAY (20 - 12) vs. VALPARAISO (26 - 5) - 3/7/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VALPARAISO is 5-2 against the spread versus WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 5-2 straight up against WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WRIGHT ST (20 - 12) vs. OAKLAND (21 - 10) - 3/7/2016, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-3 against the spread versus WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 4-3 straight up against WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI OHIO (12 - 19) at BALL ST (19 - 12) - 3/7/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
BALL ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
BALL ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
BALL ST is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 3-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOWLING GREEN (14 - 17) at KENT ST (19 - 12) - 3/7/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 20-44 ATS (-28.4 Units) in March games since 1997.
BOWLING GREEN is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 3-3 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 4-2 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TOLEDO (17 - 14) at E MICHIGAN (17 - 14) - 3/7/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
TOLEDO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
E MICHIGAN is 99-136 ATS (-50.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 4-4 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN is 4-4 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W MICHIGAN (13 - 18) at N ILLINOIS (20 - 11) - 3/7/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 55-79 ATS (-31.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
W MICHIGAN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all home games this season.
N ILLINOIS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
N ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.
N ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after a conference game this season.
N ILLINOIS is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 4-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 4-2 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UNC-WILMINGTON (23 - 7) vs. HOFSTRA (23 - 8) - 3/7/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOFSTRA is 5-2 against the spread versus UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
HOFSTRA is 5-2 straight up against UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PEPPERDINE (18 - 12) vs. ST MARYS-CA (26 - 4) - 3/7/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST MARYS-CA is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
PEPPERDINE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PEPPERDINE is 5-2 against the spread versus ST MARYS-CA over the last 3 seasons
ST MARYS-CA is 4-3 straight up against PEPPERDINE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BYU (23 - 9) vs. GONZAGA (24 - 7) - 3/7/2016, 11:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 61-101 ATS (-50.1 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
BYU is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
BYU is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
BYU is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
BYU is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
BYU is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
BYU is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
BYU is 82-124 ATS (-54.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
GONZAGA is 134-97 ATS (+27.3 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
GONZAGA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in tournament semi-final games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
GONZAGA is 5-3 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
GONZAGA is 5-3 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DELAWARE ST (7 - 24) vs. SAVANNAH ST (14 - 14) - 3/7/2016, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAVANNAH ST is 1-0 against the spread versus DELAWARE ST over the last 3 seasons
DELAWARE ST is 3-1 straight up against SAVANNAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COPPIN ST (8 - 21) vs. N CAROLINA A&T (10 - 21) - 3/7/2016, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COPPIN ST is 3-0 straight up against N CAROLINA A&T over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HARTFORD (10 - 22) at STONY BROOK (24 - 6) - 3/7/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HARTFORD is 1-0 against the spread versus STONY BROOK over the last 3 seasons
STONY BROOK is 7-0 straight up against HARTFORD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW HAMPSHIRE (19 - 11) at VERMONT (20 - 12) - 3/7/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VERMONT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW HAMPSHIRE is 1-0 against the spread versus VERMONT over the last 3 seasons
VERMONT is 6-1 straight up against NEW HAMPSHIRE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up


Monday, March 7


MAC tournament (campus sites)


Ball State lost three of last four games after 9-5 start in MAC; they beat Miami twice this year, 48-46 at home (trailed by 16 in second half), then 73-56 on road. Cardinals are 2-8 in last 10 first round games, 0-4 the last four years. Miami won three of last four games after a 3-11 start; they're 7-5 in first tourney game last 12 years. Teams split last eight series tilts. Ball State lost four of its last seven home games.


Bowling Green lost 10 of last 11 games, losing last six road games, five by 11+ points. Kent State beat Falcons twice this year, 62-59 on road (led 30-19 at half), then 70-54 on Senior Day six nights ago. Flashes are 8-4 in last 12 games with BG, which is on third coach in last three years. Falcons are 3-9 in MAC tourney last nine years, 3-6 in first game. Kent won MAC tourney in '06/'08, is 3-4 in first round games since.


Eastern Michigan won six of its last eight games, beating Toledo twice in last 16 days, 91-85 at home (made 11-16 on arc, was 56-42 at halftime), 79-75 on road three nights ago- EMU trailed by 9 in second half. Toledo made 10-20 on arc Friday, still lost- they beat Eastern in last two MAC tourneys, won last three first round games. Eastern went 2-1 in tourney last three years; their zone is in trouble if team shoots its 3's well.


Northern Illinois is 6-9 in its last 15 games after 14-3 start; they're 8-1 at home in MAC, with only loss to Buffalo. Huskies split with Western Michigan this year, losing by 14 on road Jan 16 (Broncos made 12-26 on arc), winning rematch 76-67 nine days ago (Broncos were 1-13 on arc). NIU is 2-9 in last 11 first round games; both wins were by 3. WMU is 12-1 in its first MAC tourney game the last thirteen years.


CAA tournament (Baltimore)


Hofstra won its last eight games; they split pair with NC-Wilmington, in games where losing sides blew 20/18 point leads. UNCW won 15 of last 17 games- their two wins this weekend were by total of 5 points- their subs play 31.5% of time, Hofstra's subs play least minutes in country. Seahawks beat Hofstra in this game 10 years ago; neither side has been back in finals since. UNCW wants game to go fast; Hofstra has almost no depth, but players who play are very experienced.


Horizon tournament (Joe Louis Arena, Detroit)


Green Bay played last two days. Valpo had a bye to this point; Valpo swept Phoenix this year, shooting 58% inside arc, then 70-68 on road in rematch nine days ago- Crusaders were down 3 with 4:57 left. Phoenix won six of its last seven games; they're 4-8 in this tourney the last eight years. Valpo went 16-2 in Horizon this year; they won this event two of last three years, won 1st round game last five years, three by 9+ points.


Wright State played last two days, won its last five games; they've lost twice to Oakland this season, 89-63 on road, 89-73 at home-- Grizzlies scored 1.31/1.20 ppp in two games. Oakland had by eto here; shooter Max Hooper's dad passed away Sunday- his status here is a ??. Wright State lost in tourney finals in three of last six years. Oakland won 10 of its last 12 games; they're 1-3 in first round games last four tournaments. Wright State only had two guys play more than 27:00 yesterday.


MAAC tournament (Albany)


Iona-Monmouth split two games this year; there was almost fracas after Hawks' 110-102 road win (they made 13-22 on arc, scored 66 points in second half). Monmouth is 13-1 in last 14 games, with only loss 83-67 at home to Gaels, who won last seven games, winning on Siena's floor in semis last night-- three starters played 34:00+. Iona is 9-2 in this event last five years, losing in finals in last two. Monmouth last won tourney in 2006, when they were in NEC.


Southern Conference tournament (Asheville, NC)


Chattanooga won 22 of its last 25 games; they beat East Tennessee State twice this year, 94-84 at home Jan 16 (made 11-20 on arc, were +13 on foul line), 76-69 on road (+13 on line again). Only two Mocs were used more than 28:00 last nite- their two wins this weekend were by total of nine points. Buccaneers won last seven games, they're #14 in country in experience; only two of their guys played more than 27:00 yesterday. Chattanooga is 4-0 vs ETSU since teams became SoCon rivals.


Summit tournament (Sioux Falls)


South Dakota State swept Denver this year, 68-59 at home (Pioneers hit 3-9 on arc), 67-56 on road (Denver was 5-21). Jackrabbits are 10-2 last 12 games- they had yesterday off. Denver is 6-8 in conference tourneys last 10 years; they blew 15-point halftime lead last nite, pulled away for win late. Pioneers are 6-8 in conference tourneys last 14 years- last time they won two games in same tourney was 2010. State is 10-2 in tourney last five years, but haven't won it since 2013.


North Dakota State won Summit tourney last two years, but lost four of last seven games overall; they caught a break yesterday when IUPUI sat its best player. Bison lost 79-74 at Fort Wayne Jan 21 (led by five with 9:22 left), won rematch 62-46 Feb 6. IPFW is 6-8 in conference tourneys last nine years; they're 17-4 in last 21 games overall, had yesterday off. Mastodons won five of last six games; they scored 86+ points in their last seven wins.


WCC tournament (Las Vegas)


Since 2004, St Mary's is 2-8 in second WCC tourney game. Pepperdine gets 6.5 points from St Mary's despite beating Gaels twice this season, 67-64 at home (were down 7 at half), 69-63 on road (Gaels hit 5-14 on line). Waves are 4-5 in last nine games; since 07, they're 0-7 in second WCC tourney game. St Mary's won last seven games overall; they win this game, then hope BYU/Gonzaga beat each other up in the nightcap- no one in WCC is off the bubble.


Since 2004, Gonzaga is 24-3 in WCC tourney, with all three losses in its second tourney game. Road team won both Gonzaga-BYU games this year; Cougars won in Spokane 69-68, rallying back from 13 down with 11:57 left, then lost on Senior Night 71-68, shooting 32% from the floor. BYU is 14-9 in conference tourneys last 10 years, but didn't win any of them. Cougars' last four losses were all by 6 or less points- they're 13-4 in their last 17 games overall.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Monday, March 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. BALL STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 7 games when playing on the road against Ball State
Miami (Ohio) is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Ball State
Ball State is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Miami (Ohio)
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 6 games

7:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. KENT STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 6 games on the road
Bowling Green is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games at home
Kent State is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games

7:30 PM
TOLEDO vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
Toledo is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Eastern Michigan
Toledo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Eastern Michigan's last 12 games when playing at home against Toledo
Eastern Michigan is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Toledo

8:00 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 6 games on the road
Western Michigan is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Northern Illinois is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
Northern Illinois is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Western Michigan

9:00 PM
PEPPERDINE vs. ST. MARY'S
No trends available
St. Mary's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Mary's last 6 games when playing Pepperdine

11:30 PM
BYU vs. GONZAGA
No trends available
Gonzaga is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing BYU
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Gonzaga's last 12 games when playing BYU

 

[CNOTES]

Yesterday's Results: 10 - 4
Ytd: 58 - 49

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, MARCH 7


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS




NDSU at IPFW 07:00 PM


IPFW -2.5




HART at STON 07:00 PM


STON -18.5




GB at VALP 07:00 PM


GB +9.5




UNCW at HOF 07:00 PM


UNCW +2.0




M-OH at BALL 07:00 PM


BALL -6.5




IONA at MONM 07:00 PM


IONA +1.5




BGSU at KENT 07:00 PM


BGSU +7.0




TOL at EMU 07:30 PM


EMU +2.0




UNH at UVM 07:30 PM


UVM -8.5

 

[CNOTES]

COPP at NCAT 08:00 PM


COPP +1.5




WMU at NIU 08:00 PM


NIU -4.5



PEPP at SMC 09:00 PM


SMC -7.5




ETSU at CHAT 09:00 PM


ETSU +5.0




WRST at OAK 09:30 PM


OAK -6.0




DEN at SDST 09:30 PM


SDST -10.0




BYU at GONZ 11:30 PM


GONZ -3.0