Cnotes March NCAABB Conference Playoffs Thru The Madness Picks-Trends-News-Stats !!

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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack


-- Utah 123, Lakers 75-- Not a professional-level effort by the visitors.


-- Morehead State 86, Nevada 83-- Best-of-3 CBI final continues Wed. in Reno.


-- Old Dominion 75, Tennessee Tech 59-- ODU was only up 32-30 at half.


-- UCSB 70, Northern Illinois 63-- Gauchos were down 15 in first half.


-- Oakland 90, Towson State 72-- Grizzlies were 31-39 on the charity stripe.


-- East Tennessee State 88, Louisiana Tech 83-- Guyn had 34 pts, 10 reb, 6 ass't.


**********


Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but........


13) Some concern for the Mets; Matt Harvey was scratched from today's start with some sort of non-baseball medical situation. This was supposed to be the tuneup for his Opening Night start in Kansas City. Hopefully it is not serious.


12) Mets and Cubs are headed to Las Vegas for exhibition games Thursday/Friday at Cashman Field in downtown Vegas. Always enjoy going to minor league games there while I'm in Las Vegas- the Mets' AAA team plays there.


11) Old friend Nick Swisher got released by Atlanta Monday; when a bad team cuts you, it could be the end of the line. Always liked Swisher when he played for the A's and even after; seems like a good-natured guy.


10) Was watching Rangers-Dodgers last night; in my opinion, Orel Hershiser is the best TV analyst in baseball. Very smart, you learn stuff from him but he still keeps his sense of humor. Ron Darling is also very good and there are others: Mark Gubicza, Tom Grieve, Bob Brenly that to me stand out above the rest.


9) Oklahoma basketball coach Lon Kruger was a really good baseball player; he was drafted by the Astros in 1970, the Cardinals in 1974 and played one year of minor league ball in the St Louis system, before he found his calling as a coach.


8) My opinion on retired baseball players complaining about the current players showing off: Please be quiet. Just stop. Shut up. No one wants to hear guys from the past sound like Clint Eastwood in Gran Torino-- "Get off my lawn!!!!"


7) Georgia Tech is targeting Duke assistant Jeff Capel for its head coaching job, but if you're Capel's friend, don't you tell him to pass on this job? Being at Duke, he will get plenty more head coaching offers (he has been a head coach, at VCU, Oklahoma). Georgia Tech seems like a hard place to win, the way the ACC is set up now.


6) Santa Ckara was brilliant in hiring Herb Sendek as its coach; they'll be happy.


UNLV fired alum Dave Rice on January 10, then stumbled thru 11 weeks of looking like incompetent administrators, before finally hiring Little Rock's Chris Beard. Fans will like Beard's fiery demeanor; looks like he can coach, but its going to take time to rebuild a roster that has been ravaged by attrition the last few months.


5) Former UConn coach Jim Calhoun picked Oklahoma to win the national title while appearing on ESPNU Monday.


4) NIT semifinals tonight: BYU-Valparaiso, George Washington-San Diego State.


3) Next few weeks we'll hear a lot about kids transferring, coaches getting new jobs. Some of next winter's games will be won or lost this spring; teams have so little on their benches, if they lose a couple kids unexpectedly, and don't replace them with good players, they will wind up like Duke was this seasonl with only six players you trust. Teams like that don't last long in March.


2) Green Bay Packers rarely sign veteran free agents away from other teams, but they signed TE Jared Cook Monday. I'll try to be nice here, but Cook got a lot of money in free agency from the Rams a few years back and did little to justify the expense. Now he has Aaron Rodgers throwing to him, which has to help a great deal, but iif he doesn't get open more than he did in St Louis, even that won't matter.


1) Syracuse lost to St John's this season.........
St John's lost to College of the Incarnate Word.....
College of the Incarnate Word lost to Our Lady of the Lake.....
Our Lady of the Lake lost to Oklahoma Arts & Sciences......


What would the spread be if Syracuse played Oklahoma Arts & Sciences?
 

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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BYU (26 - 10) vs. VALPARAISO (29 - 6) - 3/29/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 61-101 ATS (-50.1 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
BYU is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
BYU is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
BYU is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
BYU is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
BYU is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
BYU is 82-124 ATS (-54.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
VALPARAISO is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
VALPARAISO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGE WASHINGTON (26 - 10) vs. SAN DIEGO ST (28 - 9) - 3/29/2016, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 41-63 ATS (-28.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 77-105 ATS (-38.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UC-IRVINE (28 - 9) at COLUMBIA (24 - 10) - 3/29/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Short Sheet

Tuesday, March 29

BYU at Valparaiso, 7:00 ET
BYU: 33-56 ATS when playing on a neutral court
Valparaiso: 24-11 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins

George Washington at San Diego State, 9:30 ET
George Wash St: 1-5 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins
San Diego St: 75-40 ATS after a win by 15 points or more




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 29

NIT
BYU scored 88.3 ppg in winning its three NIT games; with all three tilts at home. Cougars are 12-4 outside WCC- they've won four of last five games away from home. Valparaiso is 13-2 outside Horizon; they won last five road games, last of which was 29 days ago. Valpo has #6 eFG% defense; they're #31 experience, play slow tempo. BYU plays fast, #11 tempo. Horizon teams are 2-1 vs WCC clubs this year; all three games were decided by 6 or less points.

San Diego State is 21-3 since a 7-6 start that cost them an at-large spot in NCAAs; Aztecs are young team with best eFG% defense in country- they're 5-1 in last six games away from home. George Washington won 14 of 16 outside A-14, but vs #238 non-conference schedule. Colonials scored 83.7 ppg in winning first three NIT games, with impressive win at Monmouth. Both teams play slowish tempo. Aztecs made 22-48 on arc in last three games; if they shot like that in non-conference schedule, they wouldn't be in this tournament.

CBI
Morehead State leads best-of-3 series, 1-0
Game 2 is Wednesday night in Reno.

CIT
Cal-Irvine won eight of last nine games, taking last two on road to get to finals of CBI; 7-6 center Ndiaye played 23:00 in his return Sunday- no Irvine player played more than 30:00. Anteaters are 23-0 vs teams not in top 100. Columbia won seven of last nine games; this is their sixth home game in row. Lions allowed 62 ppg in winning first three tourney games. Columbia used three players 31:00+ in its win over NJIT Sunday.

Las Vegas 8
All four of these teams played yesterday, after lengthy layoffs.

Old Dominion won eight of last nine games, losing in C-USA title game by hoop to Middle Tennessee, which upset Michigan State in NCAAs. Monarchs are 20-3 vs teams outside the top 150- they've got #18 eFG% defense. UCSB won 10 of its last 11 games after a 9-12 start, they were down 15 to No Illinois Monday, rallied for 70-63 win. Gauchos played couple starters 32:00+; ODU used only one kid more than 28:00. These two leagues (C-USA/Big West) split two games this season.

Oakland is 11-3 in last 14 games; they ran Towson St off floor Monday, going 31-39 on line. 5-9 PG Felder dominated game. Grizzlies play #9 tempo in country, but East Tennessee State will run with them- total in this game will be very high. Bucs are 11-3 in their last 14 games- they're 9-6 vs #41 non-league schedule. ETSU is #15 experience team, shoots 38.2% on arc (#16)- they were 11-28 on arc last nite. ETSU lost two of three vs top 100 teams, losing by 35-21; they upset Georgia Tech back in November. This will be fun to watch.




NCAAB

Tuesday, March 29

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
UC IRVINE vs. COLUMBIA
UC Irvine is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of UC Irvine's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbia's last 6 games at home
Columbia is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home

7:00 PM
BYU vs. VALPARAISO
No trends available
Valparaiso is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Valparaiso is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

9:00 PM
GEORGE WASHINGTON vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego State's last 12 games
San Diego State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
 

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NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 29


UC Irvine @ Columbia

Game 777-778
March 29, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UC Irvine
61.259
Columbia
59.791
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UC Irvine
by 1 1/2
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbia
by 1 1/2
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UC Irvine
(+1 1/2); Over

Santa Barbara @ Old Dominion

Game 781-782
March 29, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Santa Barbara
60.637
Old Dominion
59.287
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Santa Barbara
by 1 1/2
130
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Old Dominion
by 1
124
Dunkel Pick:
Santa Barbara
(+1); Over

Brigham Young @ Valparaiso

Game 773-774
March 29, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brigham Young
65.360
Valparaiso
69.732
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Valparaiso
by 4 1/2
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Valparaiso
by 2
146 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Valparaiso
(-2); Over

George Washington @ San Diego State

Game 775-776
March 29, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
George Washington
63.763
San Diego State
70.175
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego State
by 6 1/2
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego State
by 3
128 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego State
(-3); Over
 

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Final Four Opening Line Report: Books weigh in on NCAA Tournament semifinals


Since the NCAA Tournament’s round of 64 began March 17, we’ve seen a flurry of 60 games in 11 days while watching the field whittled down to the Final Four. Now, there’s only one No. 1 seed standing, along with a pair of No. 2s and a stunning No. 10.


No. 10 Syracuse vs. No. 1 North Carolina (-9.5)


Syracuse is the odd man in and will face No. 1 North Carolina on one side of the bracket in next Saturday’s Final Four in Houston.


The Orange rallied from a 15-point second-half deficit against No. 1 Virginia to post a shocking 68-62 victory as an 8-point underdog in Sunday’s Midwest Region final. Trailing 54-39, the Orange (23-13 SU, 20-15 ATS) outscored the Cavaliers 29-8 over the final 9½ minutes.


Syracuse is the first No. 10 seed to reach the Final Four, and the Orange will be prohibitive underdogs to the Tar Heels, who opened as 9.5-point favorites.


North Carolina pulled away from No. 6 Notre Dame 88-74 as a 9.5-point chalk in Sunday’s East Region final. It was the ninth consecutive SU win for the Tar Heels (32-6 SU, 19-18-1 ATS), who are also on a 7-1 spread-covering streak.


Jay Kornegay, executive vice president for race and sports at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook, told Covers that there wasn’t much debate on the opening line.


“We had a 9, a 10, a 9.5, so we were all really close. It wasn’t a long discussion,” Kornegay said. “I’m sure the public will be on the favorite. The guessing game is where the big money will come in at. The numbers are so good that you don’t see the big money sometimes.”


It’s a rare instance that an NCAA semifinal has a spread approaching double digits.


“It’s a pretty big number for a Final Four game, so I’d suspect we’ll see a little Syracuse money,” Kornegay said. “We think 9.5 is a good number for the sharps. If the public drives it up to double digits, it wouldn’t surprise me to see a bigger play on the underdog.”


The Golden Nugget didn’t post a number on Sunday night, but oddsmaker Aaron Kessler was a little surprised the early line wasn’t a little higher.


“Notre Dame is no worse than Syracuse, and North Carolina has been nothing but impressive at every stop,” Kessler said. “We’ll probably be on the high side of that number. I’ve got to anticipate a lot of public money on Carolina in this one.”


Kessler said he sees a lot of similarities between Notre Dame and Syracuse – which bodes well for the Tar Heels.


“It’s a good matchup for them, kind of like the Notre Dame game,” he said. “North Carolina is the bigger, stronger team, by a lot. Carolina’s just got great athletes at every position.”


John Lester, senior lines manager for Bookmaker.ag, shared concerns about the hefty underdog.


“I'm not sure how we're going to attract Syracuse money on this game,” Lester said. “The line will be inflated, and we'll still be heavily one-sided on North Carolina. The Tar Heels are as complete a team as we've seen in a while, and they can simply turn it on when needed, which you can't say about many NCAA teams in history. However, the Orange have been defying odds since the outset of the tourney. So why not one more time?”


No. 2 Villanova (-2) vs. No. 2 Oklahoma


Villanova advanced with a 64-59 victory as a 2-point underdog against overall No. 1 seed Kansas in the South Region final Saturday. Oklahoma was a 1-point pup in Saturday’s West Region final against Oregon, but rolled to an 80-68 victory.


The ‘Cats (33-5 SU) are barely above water against the oddsmakers, at 19-17 ATS this season, though the Sooners (29-7 SU) are just 14-20 ATS, which rates 317th in the nation. However, this game is a rematch of a Dec. 7 regular-season meeting on a neutral floor in Hawaii, where the Sooners, catching 5 points, boat raced the Wildcats 78-55.


Kessler was a bit surprised with where the line sits at this point.


“Oklahoma has been a very public team this year, so I think Villanova’s upset of Kansas has already come into play,” Kessler said. “I tend to think the line might come down a little bit. I’m not sure we’ll see a flip, but I think it will go lower before it goes higher. If it goes up to 3, I’ll probably be in line!”


To Kessler’s point, the line actually did drop at Bookmaker.ag – but then it rebounded all the way to 2.5.


“Most of the action in the first half hour was on Oklahoma, but when we dropped Villanova from -1.5 to -1, we saw an influx of money on the favorite,” Lester said. “Some of the sharps were just waiting to see where the opener went, and once it was basically a pick 'em, they pounced on the Wildcats. We quickly moved to -2 and then -2.5.”


The matchup of No. 2 seeds is the more interesting one, according to Kornegay, who said the Superbook opened at Villanova -1.5 but has since moved to 2.


“I expect this one to be pretty solid, and the more popular game to wager on,” he said. “This is a more intriguing matchup. There’ll be support for both teams here.”
 

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CBB ATS


CBB > (783) OAKLAND@ (784) E TENN ST | 2016-03-29 23:30:00 - 2016-03-29 23:30:00
Play ON OAKLAND against the spread in all games
The record is 20 Wins and 7 Losses for the this season (+12.3 units)


CBB > (773) BYU@ (774) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-29 19:00:00 - 2016-03-29 19:00:00
Play ON VALPARAISO against the spread in Road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest
The record is 16 Wins and 3 Losses for the since 1992 (+12.7 units)

CBB > (773) BYU@ (774) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-29 19:00:00 - 2016-03-29 19:00:00
Play AGAINST BYU against the spread in Road games in all tournament games
The record is 23 Wins and 53 Losses for the since 1992 (-35.3 units)


----------------


CBB MONEYLINE


CBB > (777) UC-IRVINE@ (778) COLUMBIA | 2016-03-29 19:00:00 - 2016-03-29 19:00:00
Play AGAINST COLUMBIA using money line in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 13 Wins and 40 Losses for the since 1992 (-34.7 units)


CBB > (775) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (776) SAN DIEGO ST | 2016-03-29 21:30:00 - 2016-03-29 21:30:00
Play ON SAN DIEGO ST using money line in All games on Tuesday nights
The record is 11 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+10 units)

CBB > (775) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (776) SAN DIEGO ST | 2016-03-29 21:30:00 - 2016-03-29 21:30:00
Play ON SAN DIEGO ST using money line in All games in all games
The record is 63 Wins and 20 Losses for the last three seasons (+38 units)


CBB > (775) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (776) SAN DIEGO ST | 2016-03-29 21:30:00 - 2016-03-29 21:30:00
Play ON SAN DIEGO ST using money line in All games in all lined games
The record is 63 Wins and 20 Losses for the last three seasons (+38 units)

CBB > (777) UC-IRVINE@ (778) COLUMBIA | 2016-03-29 19:00:00 - 2016-03-29 19:00:00
Play ON UC-IRVINE using money line in All games in road games
The record is 13 Wins and 3 Losses for the this season (+10.8 units)


CBB > (783) OAKLAND@ (784) E TENN ST | 2016-03-29 23:30:00 - 2016-03-29 23:30:00
Play ON E TENN ST using money line in All games in all games
The record is 20 Wins and 8 Losses for the this season (+13.15 units)


CBB > (781) OLD DOMINION@ (782) UC-SANTA BARBARA | 2016-03-29 21:00:00 - 2016-03-29 21:00:00
Play AGAINST OLD DOMINION using money line in All games when playing with one or less days rest
The record is 13 Wins and 17 Losses for the last three seasons (-24.4 units)
-----------------------


CBB FIRST HALF


CBB > (773) BYU@ (774) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-29 19:00:00 - 2016-03-29 19:00:00
Play AGAINST BYU ?>in the first halfin All games after a non-conference game
The record is 6 Wins and 20 Losses for the last two seasons (-16 units)


CBB > (777) UC-IRVINE@ (778) COLUMBIA | 2016-03-29 19:00:00 - 2016-03-29 19:00:00
Play ON UC-IRVINE ?>in the first halfin Road games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 18 Wins and 5 Losses for the last two seasons (+12.5 units)


CBB > (775) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (776) SAN DIEGO ST | 2016-03-29 21:30:00 - 2016-03-29 21:30:00
Play ON GEORGE WASHINGTON ?>in the first halfin All games in all tournament games
The record is 12 Wins and 2 Losses for the last two seasons (+9.8 units)


CBB > (777) UC-IRVINE@ (778) COLUMBIA | 2016-03-29 19:00:00 - 2016-03-29 19:00:00
Play ON UC-IRVINE ?>in the first halfin All games when playing with one or less days rest
The record is 16 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+11.6 units)

CBB > (775) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (776) SAN DIEGO ST | 2016-03-29 21:30:00 - 2016-03-29 21:30:00
Play ON GEORGE WASHINGTON ?>in the first halfin All games after a non-conference game
The record is 10 Wins and 2 Losses for the this season (+7.8 units)


-------------------


CBB TOTALS


CBB > (773) BYU@ (774) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-29 19:00:00 - 2016-03-29 19:00:00
Play UNDER VALPARAISO on the totalin All games after a non-conference game
The record is 1 Overs and 13 Unders for the last two seasons (+11.9 units)


CBB > (773) BYU@ (774) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-29 19:00:00 - 2016-03-29 19:00:00
Play OVER BYU on the totalin Road games in all tournament games
The record is 11 Overs and 1 Unders for the last two seasons (+9.9 units)

CBB > (781) OLD DOMINION@ (782) UC-SANTA BARBARA | 2016-03-29 21:00:00 - 2016-03-29 21:00:00
Play UNDER OLD DOMINION on the totalin All games in all neutral court games
The record is 1 Overs and 11 Unders for the last two seasons (+9.9 units)


CBB > (773) BYU@ (774) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-29 19:00:00 - 2016-03-29 19:00:00
Play OVER BYU on the totalin All games in all tournament games
The record is 13 Overs and 2 Unders for the last two seasons (+10.8 units)

CBB > (783) OAKLAND@ (784) E TENN ST | 2016-03-29 23:30:00 - 2016-03-29 23:30:00
Play OVER E TENN ST on the totalin Road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games
The record is 10 Overs and 1 Unders for the last two seasons (+8.9 units)


CBB > (775) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (776) SAN DIEGO ST | 2016-03-29 21:30:00 - 2016-03-29 21:30:00
Play UNDER GEORGE WASHINGTON on the totalin Road games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 5 Overs and 18 Unders for the last two seasons (+12.5 units)


CBB > (775) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (776) SAN DIEGO ST | 2016-03-29 21:30:00 - 2016-03-29 21:30:00
Play UNDER GEORGE WASHINGTON on the totalin Road games in non-conference games
The record is 3 Overs and 15 Unders for the last three seasons (+11.7 units)


CBB > (777) UC-IRVINE@ (778) COLUMBIA | 2016-03-29 19:00:00 - 2016-03-29 19:00:00
Play UNDER UC-IRVINE on the totalin All games after allowing 60 points or less
The record is 10 Overs and 29 Unders for the last three seasons (+18 units)
 

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Tuesday's NIT Semifinals
March 29, 2016


**Brigham Young vs. Valparaiso**


-- The Westgate SuperBook opened this NIT semifinals showdown at Madison Square Garden as a pick ‘em with a total of 146. As of early this morning, however, the Crusaders were listed as two-point favorites with a total of 146.5 points. The Cougars were +115 on the money line (risk $100 to win $115), leaving Valpo at -135.


-- Valparaiso (29-6 straight up, 17-14-1 against the spread) advanced to New York City by capturing a trio of home wins over Texas Southern (84-73), FSU (81-69) and Saint Mary’s (60-44). The Crusaders took the cash in the wins over the Seminoles and Gaels as 4.5 and 3.5-point home ‘chalk.’ In the win over Saint Mary’s, Valpo limited the Gaels to only 13 second-half points. Valpo won the battle on the boards by a 36-27 margin. Alec Peters scored 20 points, pulled down eight rebounds and dished out five assists without a committing a turnover. Keith Carter contributed 11 points, while Vashil Fernandez produced nine points, seven rebounds and six blocked shots.


-- Bryce Drew’s team owns a 6-9 spread record in 15 games as a single-digit favorite.


-- Valpo played seven games against teams in the NCAA Tournament field, going 4-3 both SU and ATS. The Crusaders smashed Iona 83-58 as 7.5-point home favorites and also won 63-57 at Oregon St. as one-point puppies. They lost 73-67 but covered as 6.5-point ‘dogs at Oregon, which eventually was a No. 1 seed and advanced to the Elite Eight.


-- Peters averages 18.5 points and 8.4 rebounds per game. The 6’9” junior forwards is shooting 51.1 percent from the field, 44.8 percent from downtown and 85.2 percent from the free-throw line. Carter (10.3 PPG) is the only other double-digit scorer, while Fernandez pulls down 7.4 RPG and 3.3 blocked shots per contest.


-- BYU (26-10 SU, 18-14 ATS) made its way to the Big Apple by winning three consecutive home games over UAB (97-79), Virginia Tech (80-77) and Creighton (88-82). The Cougars went 2-1 ATS with their only non-cover coming against the Hokies as eight-point home ‘chalk.’ Zac Seljaas buried 5-of-6 shots, all from 3-point land, en route to scoring 19 points and grabbing seven rebounds in the quarterfinals win over the Bluejays. Nick Emery added 17 points, seven boards and five assists. Star Kyle Collinsworth was limited to 20 minutes of playing time, but the senior forward still managed 10 points, five boards and four assists. Kyle Davis (18) and Chase Fischer (15) were also in double figures.


-- Collinsworth has destroyed the NCAA’s career record for triple-doubles by producing 12, including one in the win over UAB on March 16. He averages 15.2 points, 8.3 rebounds, 7.5 assists and 1.9 steals per game.


-- Fischer (18.2 PPG) is BYU’s leading scorer, hitting 36.8 percent of his treys. Emery, an explosive freshman guard, averages 16.2 PPG and has a 90/51 assists-to-turnovers ratio. Emery is second on the Cougars in steals (48).


-- BYU has been an underdog five times, posting a 2-3 spread record with one outright win at Gonzaga.


-- Dave Rose’s squad hasn’t lost to a team not named Gonzaga since falling to Pacific 77-72 as a 17-point home favorite on Feb. 6.


-- Rose’s team always plays at a frenetic pace, evidenced by its 84.0 PPG average that ranks sixth in the country.


-- Totals have been an overall wash (16-16) for the Crusaders, but they have watched ‘over’ go 6-2 in their last eight games.


-- The ‘over’ is 18-15 overall for the Cougars, 3-1 in their last four outings.


-- Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.


**San Diego State vs. George Washington**


-- The Westgate opened San Diego State (28-9 SU, 17-13 ATS) as a three-point favorite with a total of 130.5 points. As of early this morning, the line remained at three with total down to 129. The Aztecs are -165 on the money line, while gamblers can take the Colonials at +145 to win outright (risk $100 to win $145). San Diego St. was favored by 1.5 points for first-half wagers.


-- Steve Fisher’s squad found its way to MSG in NYC with three consecutive home wins (SU and ATS) over IPFW (79-55), Washington (93-78) and Georgia Tech (72-56). San Diego State pulled away late in the second half to dispose of the Yellow Jackets as a five-point home favorite. Trey Kell scored a team-best 18 points thanks to 4-of-5 shooting from 3-point range. Winston Shepard added 12 points, five rebounds and two assists without a turnover, while Malik Pope posted a double-double with 10 points and 10 rebounds.


-- San Diego State owns an 11-6-1 spread record in 18 games as a single-digit favorite this year.


-- Shepard (11.4 PPG) averages team-highs in assists (3.1 APG) and rebounds (6.5 RPG). Kell is averaging a team-high 12.7 PPG.


-- San Diego State has one of the nation’s top defensive teams, ranking tops in field-goal percentage defense (37.1%). The Aztecs are third in the country in scoring defense (60.5 PPG) and is fifth in defending the three-point line (29.8%).


-- George Washington (26-10 SU, 16-16 ATS) beat Florida 82-77 as a 1.5-point home favorite in the quarterfinals. Tyler Cavanaugh drained 4-of-5 from long distance and scored a game-high 23 points for the winners. Kevin Larsen finished with 19 points, 13 rebounds and three assists. Patricio Garino had 13 points and eight boards.


-- Two nights before knocking off the Gators, GW collected an 87-71 win at Monmouth as a two-point road underdog. Cavanaugh was the catalyst with 22 points and 12 rebounds. Larsen added 19 points, five boards and five assists without a turnover. Garino finished with 19 points and six rebounds, while Joe McDonald had 16 points and seven boards.


-- GW’s toughest NIT game actually came in the opener when it slipped past Hofstra, 82-80.


-- George Washington went 4-4 ATS with three outright wins over teams in the NCAA field. The victims included Virginia, VCU and Seton Hall.


-- The ‘over’ is 18-15 for the Colonials after hitting in their last six straight games. This is the second-lowest total they have had seen this year. The previous low was 125 in a 73-68 win over Virginia as a 6.5-opint home underdogs that saw the 141 combined points go ‘over’ the tally.


-- The ‘under’ is 17-16 overall for the Aztecs, but they have watched the ‘over’ go 8-4 in their last 12 games.


-- This game will tip 30 minutes after the conclusion of BYU-Valpo.
 

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TUESDAY, MARCH 29

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS




UCI at CLMB 07:00 PM


UCI +1.5


U 140.0





BYU at VALP 07:00 PM

VALP -2.5


O 148.0




UCSB at ODU 09:00 PM


ODU -2.0


O 124.0




GW at SDSU 09:00 PM


SDSU -3.0


O 133.0





ETSU at OAK 11:30 PM


ETSU +6.5


O 172.5
 

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Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack


-- Old Dominion 64, UCSB 49-- Monarchs advance to Vegas 16 final; they'll play....


-- Oakland 104, East Tennessee State 81-- Oakland's opponent tonight will defend.


-- Valparaiso 72, BYU 70-- Crusaders advance to NIT final against........


-- George Washington 65, San Diego State 46-- Surprisingly easy win for GW.


-- Columbia 73, Cal-Irvine 67-- Lions win CBI championship.


-- ESPN said Saint Louis hired Travis Ford as its new basketball coach, then school put out a press release saying "....the process is still ongoing". Alrighty then.


**********


Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Happy Hump Day, everyone.......


Today, a quick comment/thought on every National League team, with baseball season starting up in a few days.......


Arizona-- Spent ten of $$$ in off-season, adding Zach Greinke, are winning awful lot of spring training games, which means bupkus. We'll see starting Monday. Jean Segura looked like Ty Cobb this spring, after hitting .257 in Milwaukee LY.


Atlanta-- Last year at Turner Field, open fancy new stadium in Cobb County in 2017, are building a team that will be strong when they get there. Of their 30 top prospects in minor leagues, they've traded for 15 of them, by far most in majors.


Cubs-- Made playoffs last year, now expectations are off the charts; having a mime lead stretching exercises and doing fun things to break up the monotony of a long year might get old if Cubs struggle early on. They're favored to win World Series.


Reds-- In serious rebuild mold; Reds' TV guys are complaining that Joey Votto might walk 200 times, with Todd Frazier gone. If so, why not just bat him leadoff? If your Opening Day starter is Raisel Iglesias, no disrespect, but.....that not good.


Rockies-- Last five years, are combined 120 games under .500. Traded Tulowitzki for a SS who makes as much money and is now suspended for domestic violence-- what sense did that make? Top pitching prospect Gray may start season on the DL.


Dodgers-- New manager in Dave Roberts; plenty of injuries on pitching staff. Still amuses me that LA has a huge payroll, but justin Turner bats third, a guy the Mets just didn't want. How good is Japanese pitching import Maeda?


Marlins-- Mattingly is new manager, Barry Bonds is hitting coach, but they won't be playing. Need to keep Stanton/Fernandez healthy. Moved some of fences in, lowered others, which was overdue. Have only made playoffs twice, but won WS both times.


Brewers-- New GM looks like he is 15; another rebuilding team, despite being over .500 three of last five years. Will they trade Lucroy/Braun to fortify their farm system as they rebuild for the future?


Mets-- Defending NL champs have new DP combo, same fine rotation. Curious to see if Washington can challenge them, since rest of division looks lame. David Wright got late start to spring; who plays 3B if his back flares up again?


Phillies-- Maikel Franco has eight homers this spring, most in majors. Still saddled with Ryan Howard's ludicrous contract- he hit .229 LY and he can't defend. Phillies' second run next week will be the 90,000th run in franchise history.


Pirates-- Clint Hurdle managed in playoffs in four of his last eight years as a manager, while with Rockies/Pirates- why did Colorado let him go? Can Pirates get another .370 OB% out of catcher Cervelli? Josh Harrison replaces traded Walker at 2B.


Cardinals-- Have been in playoffs last five years and 12 of last 16. When do they get Yadier Molina back to full strength? Is Ruben Tejada good enough to man SS until Peralta gets back after All-Star break? Mike Leake should help the rotation.


Padres-- Ross-Shields-Cashner is really strong top 3 of rotation. Will Alexei Ramirez be solid at SS? They've also moved some of fences in. Padres are hoping Myers can be solid at 1B and that Jon Jay can anchor the outfield in CF.


Giants-- Its an even-numbered year, so.....Bumgarner is only starting pitcher who is under 30- they added Cueto/Samardzija, but Samardzija was awful LY with White Sox. Hopefully people realize what a great manager Bruce Bochy is.


Nationals-- Dusty Baker is the new skipper, after team went 83-79 and missed the playoffs for second time in last four years. It is a contract year for Strasburg, so if he has a big year, scumweasel agent Scott Boras will ask for the moon next winter.
 

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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MOREHEAD ST (23 - 12) at NEVADA (22 - 14) - 3/30/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEVADA is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
NEVADA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
NEVADA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
MOREHEAD ST is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MOREHEAD ST is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MOREHEAD ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
MOREHEAD ST is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
MOREHEAD ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MOREHEAD ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MOREHEAD ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MOREHEAD ST is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MOREHEAD ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 1-1 against the spread versus MOREHEAD ST over the last 3 seasons
MOREHEAD ST is 2-0 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OLD DOMINION (24 - 13) vs. OAKLAND (23 - 11) - 3/30/2016, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Short Sheet

Wednesday, March 30

Morehead State at Nevada, 9:00 ET
Morehead St: 21-10 ATS in road lined games
Nevada: 21-9 OVER at home after a game forcing opp to commit 8 or less turnovers




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 30

NIT
Final is Thursday

CBI
Morehead State leads best-of-3 series, 1-0
This is second game of best-of-3 series. Nevada won seven of last eight home games, 11 of its 16 non-league games; they gave up 15 offensive rebounds in 86-83 loss at Morehead State Monday. Morehead won 10 of last 11 D-I games, are more experienced, deeper team, but now they go to high altitude in Reno, which favors Wolf Pack. Eagles won last four road games, winning at Siena/Ohio in this tourney. If Reno wins. Game 3 of series is here Friday night.

Las Vegas 8
These teams are playing for third night in a row.

Old Dominion won nine of last ten games, winning first two games here by 16-15 points. Monarchs played in first game the last two days, have slight edge in rest time. Oakland is 12-3 in last 15 games; winning first two here by 15-23 points, scoring 97 ppg- they won't score 97 here vs an ODU squad that has #18 eFG% defense. Oakland plays #9 tempo in country, ODU plays #349, huge contrast in style. Monarchs are 1-4 vs top 100 teams; Grizzlies are 1-6 vs top 100 teams.




NCAAB

Wednesday, March 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

9:00 PM
MOREHEAD STATE vs. NEVADA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Morehead State's last 6 games on the road
Morehead State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Nevada is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Nevada is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
 

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NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 30


Morehead State @ Nevada

Game 519-520
March 30, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Morehead State
56.662
Nevada
58.477
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nevada
by 2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nevada
by 4 1/2
146
Dunkel Pick:
Morehead State
(+4 1/2); Under

Old Dominion @ Oakland

Game 521-522
March 30, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Old Dominion
63.030
Oakland
62.480
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Old Dominion
by 1
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
by 2
147
Dunkel Pick:
Old Dominion
(+2); Over
 

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2016 NIT, CBI, CIT Results


SEMIFINALS & FINALS


Date Matchup Score ATS Result
Mar. 29 Valparaiso (-2.5) vs. BYU 72-70 Underdog-Under (149)
Mar. 29 George Washington (+3, +130) vs. San Diego State 65-46 Underdog-Under (133)
Mar. 31 Valparaiso vs. George Washington


-----------------


FINALS (BEST-OF-THREE)


Date Matchup Score ATS Result
Mar. 28 Nevada at Morehead State (-5.5) 86-83 Underdog-Over (144.5)
Mar. 30 Morehead State at Nevada - -
April 1 Nevada at Morehead State (if necessary) - -


-------------------


SEMIFINALS & FINALS


Date Matchup Score ATS Result
Mar. 29 Old Dominion (-2.5) vs. UC Santa Barbara 64-49 Favorite-Under (124.5)
Mar. 29 Oakland (-6.5) vs. East Tennessee State 104-81 Favorite-Over (174.5)
Mar. 30 Old Dominion vs. Oakland - -
 

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CBB ATS


CBB > (521) OLD DOMINION@ (522) OAKLAND | 2016-03-30 22:00:00 - 2016-03-30 22:00:00
Play ON OAKLAND against the spread in Road games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 12 Wins and 2 Losses for the this season (+9.8 units)


CBB > (519) MOREHEAD ST@ (520) NEVADA | 2016-03-30 21:00:00 - 2016-03-30 21:00:00
Play ON MOREHEAD ST against the spread in All games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games
The record is 10 Wins and 2 Losses for the this season (+7.8 units)


CBB > (713) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (714) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-31 19:00:00 - 2016-03-31 19:00:00
Play ON VALPARAISO against the spread in All games when playing with one or less days rest
The record is 10 Wins and 2 Losses for the this season (+7.8 units)


----------------


CBB MONEYLINE


CBB > (713) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (714) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-31 19:00:00 - 2016-03-31 19:00:00
Play ON VALPARAISO using money line in All games when playing with one or less days rest
The record is 11 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.45 units)


CBB > (519) MOREHEAD ST@ (520) NEVADA | 2016-03-30 21:00:00 - 2016-03-30 21:00:00
Play ON NEVADA using money line in All games as a favorite
The record is 14 Wins and 2 Losses for the this season (+11.6 units)


CBB > (713) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (714) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-31 19:00:00 - 2016-03-31 19:00:00
Play ON GEORGE WASHINGTON using money line in All games in non-conference games
The record is 24 Wins and 8 Losses for the last three seasons (+19.7 units)

CBB > (519) MOREHEAD ST@ (520) NEVADA | 2016-03-30 21:00:00 - 2016-03-30 21:00:00
Play ON NEVADA using money line in All games in all home games
The record is 12 Wins and 3 Losses for the this season (+9.65 units)


CBB > (521) OLD DOMINION@ (522) OAKLAND | 2016-03-30 22:00:00 - 2016-03-30 22:00:00
Play AGAINST OLD DOMINION using money line in All games when playing with one or less days rest
The record is 10 Wins and 11 Losses for the last two seasons (-21.85 units)

CBB > (521) OLD DOMINION@ (522) OAKLAND | 2016-03-30 22:00:00 - 2016-03-30 22:00:00
Play AGAINST OAKLAND using money line in All games after allowing 80 points or more
The record is 12 Wins and 21 Losses for the last three seasons (-23 units)


---------------------


CBB FIRST HALF


CBB > (519) MOREHEAD ST@ (520) NEVADA | 2016-03-30 21:00:00 - 2016-03-30 21:00:00
Play AGAINST NEVADA ?>in the first halfin Home games after allowing 80 points or more
The record is 0 Wins and 9 Losses for the last three seasons (-9.9 units)

CBB > (519) MOREHEAD ST@ (520) NEVADA | 2016-03-30 21:00:00 - 2016-03-30 21:00:00
Play AGAINST NEVADA ?>in the first halfin All games on Wednesday games
The record is 1 Wins and 10 Losses for the this season (-10 units)

CBB > (519) MOREHEAD ST@ (520) NEVADA | 2016-03-30 21:00:00 - 2016-03-30 21:00:00
Play AGAINST NEVADA ?>in the first halfin All games in non-conference games
The record is 7 Wins and 26 Losses for the last three seasons (-21.6 units)

CBB > (713) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (714) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-31 19:00:00 - 2016-03-31 19:00:00
Play ON GEORGE WASHINGTON ?>in the first halfin All games in all tournament games
The record is 13 Wins and 2 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.8 units)

CBB > (713) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (714) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-31 19:00:00 - 2016-03-31 19:00:00
Play ON GEORGE WASHINGTON ?>in the first halfin All games in non-conference games
The record is 11 Wins and 2 Losses for the this season (+8.8 units)


----------------------


CBB TOTALS


CBB > (521) OLD DOMINION@ (522) OAKLAND | 2016-03-30 22:00:00 - 2016-03-30 22:00:00
Play UNDER OLD DOMINION on the totalin All games in all tournament games
The record is 3 Overs and 20 Unders for the last three seasons (+16.7 units)

CBB > (521) OLD DOMINION@ (522) OAKLAND | 2016-03-30 22:00:00 - 2016-03-30 22:00:00
Play UNDER OLD DOMINION on the totalin Road games in all tournament games
The record is 2 Overs and 16 Unders for the last three seasons (+13.8 units)

CBB > (521) OLD DOMINION@ (522) OAKLAND | 2016-03-30 22:00:00 - 2016-03-30 22:00:00
Play UNDER OLD DOMINION on the totalin All games in all neutral court games
The record is 1 Overs and 12 Unders for the last two seasons (+10.9 units)


CBB > (713) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (714) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-31 19:00:00 - 2016-03-31 19:00:00
Play UNDER VALPARAISO on the totalin All games after a non-conference game
The record is 2 Overs and 13 Unders for the last two seasons (+10.8 units)


CBB > (713) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (714) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-31 19:00:00 - 2016-03-31 19:00:00
Play UNDER GEORGE WASHINGTON on the totalin Road games in non-conference games
The record is 3 Overs and 16 Unders for the last three seasons (+12.7 units)


CBB > (519) MOREHEAD ST@ (520) NEVADA | 2016-03-30 21:00:00 - 2016-03-30 21:00:00
Play UNDER NEVADA on the totalin Home games revenging a road loss vs opponent
The record is 2 Overs and 13 Unders for the last three seasons (+10.8 units)

CBB > (519) MOREHEAD ST@ (520) NEVADA | 2016-03-30 21:00:00 - 2016-03-30 21:00:00
Play UNDER NEVADA on the totalin Home games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 4 Overs and 15 Unders for the last two seasons (+10.6 units)


CBB > (519) MOREHEAD ST@ (520) NEVADA | 2016-03-30 21:00:00 - 2016-03-30 21:00:00
Play OVER MOREHEAD ST on the totalin All games when playing with one or less days rest
The record is 13 Overs and 3 Unders for the last two seasons (+9.7 units)

CBB > (519) MOREHEAD ST@ (520) NEVADA | 2016-03-30 21:00:00 - 2016-03-30 21:00:00
Play OVER MOREHEAD ST on the totalin Road games when playing with one or less days rest
The record is 9 Overs and 1 Unders for the last two seasons (+7.9 units)
 

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WEDNESDAY, MARCH 30


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS




MORE at NEV 09:00 PM


MORE +3.5


O 146.5




ODU at OAK 10:00 PM


OAK -1.5


O 145.0
 

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THURSDAY, MARCH 31


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS




GW at VALP 07:00 PM


GW +2.0


O 133.0
 

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NIT Championship
March 31, 2016


Valparaiso and George Washington didn’t hear their respective names called on Selection Sunday, but they’ve looked the part of NCAA Tournament teams in making it to Thursday’s NIT finals at Madison Square Garden in New York City.


The Westgate SuperBook opened Valparaiso (30-6 straight up, 17-15-1 against the spread) as a one-point favorite with a total of 133 points. As of late Wednesday night, most spots had the Crusaders favored by two with the total remaining at 133. They are -135 on the money line, while the Colonials are +115 on the comeback (risk $100 to win $115).


Valpo dominated its first three games at home, but it needed a blocked shot at the buzzer to hold off BYU 72-70 in Tuesday’s semifinals. The Cougars came up short, but they cashed tickets in backdoor fashion as three-point underdogs.


Valpo led by as many as 16 points in the second half but disappointed its backers in the end. The 142 combined points dipped ‘under’ the 149-point total after looking on pace in the early going.


Bryce Drew’s team raced out to a 44-30 advantage at intermission. However, BYU stormed back and took its first lead of the game with 4:26 left to play.


BYU Chase Fischer scored a bucket to cut the deficit to 71-70 with seven seconds remaining. After being fouled, Valpo’s Shane Hammink made only one of two free throws, but he swatted away a long 3-point attempt at the horn. The miss from the charity stripe proved costly for gamblers backing the Horizon League regular-season champs, however.


Alec Peters led the Crusaders with 15 points, nine rebounds, four assists and a pair of steals. David Skara drained 3-of-5 attempt form long distance and finished with 15 points, and six rebounds. Keith Carter contributed 13 points, five boards, four assists and two steals, while Hammink tallied 10 points, five assists, three steals, three boards and five blocked shots.


Valpo has the nation’s premier shot blocker in senior center Vashil Fernandez, who averages 3.3 blocked shots per game. Fernandez had three rejections against BYU. The 6’10 big man from Kingston, Jamaica, averages 5.6 points and 7.3 rebounds per game.


Peters averages team-bests in scoring (18.4 points per game), rebounding (8.4 RPG) and field-goal percentage (50.7%). Carter (10.3 PPG) averages team-highs in assists (4.4 APG) and steals (1.6 SPG).


Valpo has been a single-digit favorite 16 times this season, limping to a 6-10 spread record. The Crusaders are currently in a 4-9 ATS slump in their last 13 games (regardless of the fave/’dog situation).


George Washington (27-10 SU, 17-16-1 ATS) advanced to the finals by virtue of Tuesday’s 65-46 win over San Diego St. as a three-point underdog. The 111 combined points fell ‘under’ the 132.5-point total.


Tyler Cavanaugh paced the winners with 20 points and 11 rebounds. Patricio Garino added 13 points and five rebounds.


GW played stifling defense, limiting the Aztecs to 17-of-59 shooting (28.8%) from the field and 3-of-22 from 3-point land (13.6%).


Mike Lonergan’s team found its way to MSG in NYC with wins over Hofstra, Monmouth and Florida. The Colonials edged Hofstra by an 82-80 count in the opening round, but they failed to cover the number as six-point home ‘chalk.’


Cavanaugh was the catalyst with 20 points and 11 rebounds. Garino added 18 points, while Kevin Larsen produced 16 points, seven boards, seven assists and four steals.


GW went on the road in Round 2 to beat Monmouth 87-71 as a two-point underdog. Cavanaugh dropped 22 points and 12 rebounds on the Hawks, while Larsen finished with 19 points, five boards and five assists without a turnover. Garino had 19 points and six rebounds, while Joe McDonald contributed 16 points and seven boards.


GW won an 82-77 decision over Florida in the NIT quarterfinals, hooking up its backers as a two-point home ‘chalk.’ Cavanaugh buried 4-of-5 launches from 3-point range and scored a game-high 23 points. Larsen finished with 19 points, 13 rebounds and three assists, while Garino had 13 points and eight boards.


GW has been an underdog 11 times this year, going 6-5 ATS with five outright wins. The Colonials beat Virginia and Seton Hall at home, while also winning outright at VCU.


The ‘over’ had hit in six straight games for GW until the ‘under’ prevailed in the win over the Aztecs. The Colonials have watched the ‘over’ go 18-16 overall.


The ‘under’ is 17-16 overall for Valpo after cashing in back-to-back contests.


Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.


**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**


-- The beauty of the NCAA Tournament is the thrill of victory. On the flip side, there’s always the agony of defeat. Senior players who have poured their hearts and souls into a collegiate career see it crashing down, sometimes with one shot, other times with 40 forgetful minutes of basketball. Here’s a ranking of the most gut-wrenching defeats of the 2016 Tournament, losses that’ll never leave those that invested so much, only to see it end in heartbreaking fashion:


1-No. Iowa vs. Texas A&M – The Panthers blew a 12-point lead in the final 44 seconds, then lost to the Aggies in double overtime. They turned the ball over four times, while A&M hit six straight shots at the end of regulation.


2-Texas vs. No. Iowa – You simply aren’t supposed to lose in the NCAA Tournament on a half-court shot off the backboard at the buzzer. It just ain’t right, but that was the fate dealt to the Longhorns.


3-Virginia vs. Syracuse – This just in: Jim Boeheim can coach. The ‘Cuse was a bubble team that’s in the Final Four, but only after rallying from a 16-point second-half deficit. This one will sting in Charlottesville for decades.


4-Stephen F. Austin vs. Notre Dame – Rex Pflueger tipped in the winning bucket for the Fighting Irish with 1.5 seconds remaining. This was one of the best games of the entire Tournament, with neither team leading by more than seven at any point. Thomas Walkup’s brilliant collegiate career came to an end after he led the Lumberjacks to a never-a-doubt win over West Virginia in the Round of 64. Walkup had given SFA a five-point lead with a pair of free throws at the 2:05 mark against Notre Dame.


5-Wisconsin vs. Xavier – The Musketeers led by nine with 6:19 remaining, but Wisconsin’s Bronson Koenig refused to lose on this night. Keoenig hit a pair of 3-balls in the last 11.7 seconds, including a fading-out-of-bounds 22-footer from the corner at the buzzer.


6-Syracuse vs. Gonzaga – I hate saying this because refs have an extremely difficult job. I really hate saying it when it’s reality, but the officiating in this Tournament has been a joke (think of Ben Bentil’s phantom fourth foul against North Carolina or the foul on Kansas in a loose-ball scramble at crunch time). Gonzaga should’ve been on the free-throw line down one with Josh Perkins shooting two with a couple of seconds remaining. Perkins was hammered inside but didn’t get the whistle. Gonzaga blew a nine-point cushion with 6:30 left.


-- Lon Kruger owns a 20-16 career record in the NCAA Tournament. He has taken five schools to the Sweet 16 and the Oklahoma coach is headed back to the national semifinals for the first time since he guided Florida to Charlotte in 1994 for the school’s first Final Four appearance in program history.


-- Syracuse and North Carolina faced each other in the 1987 East Region finals at the Meadowlands. Rony Seikaly had dominated the late Dwayne Schintzius, then a lanky true freshman, to lead the ‘Cuse to a Sweet 16 win over Florida and the M&M Boys (Andrew Moten and Vernon Maxwell) in come-from-behind fashion. J.R. Reid had led UNC past David Rivers and Notre Dame in the East semifinals to set up the meeting with the Orangemen, their mascot name back then. Seikaly and Sherman Douglas led Boeheim’s bunch to the win over UNC and a trip to New Orleans, where Keith Smart and Indiana would prevail over the ‘Cuse on Smart’s baseline jumper in the closing seconds. That IU team gave Bobby Knight his third and final national title during Steve Alford’s senior campaign. That Syracuse team had a lanky freshman, too. His name was Derrick Coleman, who isn’t very skinny these days. Coleman came out of nowhere to block a Moten shot when UF led Syracuse by five in the final six minutes. Coleman subsequently threw down court to Greg Monroe, who scored a three-point play the hard way when Maxwell fouled him. The sequence completely turned the game and prevented the Gators from advancing in their first-ever trip to the Big Dance. Who did IU beat in the Final Four that year? That would be Rick Pitino’s Providence team led by a senior guard named Billy Donovan, who would eventually get Florida to four Final Fours as its head coach, including a pair of natties in ’06 and ’07. Anyway, Syracuse and UNC meet again Saturday. The Tar Heels are favored by 9.5 points.
 

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Thursday's Top Action
March 31, 2016




GEORGE WASHINGTON COLONIALS (27-10) vs. VALPARAISO CRUSADERS (30-6)


NIT Championship Game
Madison Square Garden – New York, NY
Tip-off: Thursday, 7:00 pm ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: Valparaiso -2.0, 133


George Washington and Valparaiso will both be looking to cap off magnificent seasons when the teams meet in the NIT Championship on Thursday.


George Washington has had a very impressive tournament, as the team has now knocked off Monmouth, Florida and San Diego State on its way to this game. The Colonials were three-point underdogs against the Aztecs on Tuesday and won that game 65-46. San Diego State shot just 28.8% from the floor in that game and that is the third time in a row that George Washington has held its opponent to less than 45% shooting.


Valparaiso, meanwhile, defeated BYU 72-70 as a two-point favorite on Tuesday. The Crusaders were fresh off of a 60-44 victory over St. Mary’s and this team will be feeling really good coming into this one. One trend worth keeping an eye on in this one is that Valparaiso is an impressive 10-2 ATS when playing with one or less days rest on the season.


The Colonials have really been playing some very good basketball in this tournament and one guy that will need to stay hot for the team is F Tyler Cavanaugh (16.9 PPG, 7.6 RPG). Cavanaugh is averaging 21.3 PPG and 9.8 RPG in the tournament and he has also gone 10-for-18 from the outside as well. His ability to stretch the floor is huge for George Washington and he’ll need to have his stroke on Thursday.


Another guy that will need to come up big for the Colonials is F Kevin Larsen (12.1 PPG, 8.4 RPG). Larsen is yet another big man that is capable of shooting from the outside, but he will mostly be relied on to score around the basket in this game. He struggled a bit against San Diego State, finishing with just seven points in 29 minutes of action. Larsen should, however, find some success against Valparaiso on Thursday. It’s just important that he finds other ways to impact the game if his shot isn’t falling.


In the backcourt, G Patricio Garino (14.1 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 1.4 SPG) will need to be on his game in this one. Garino has had a magnificent tournament, averaging 15.8 PPG through the first four games. He relentlessly attacks the rim and is also a very good shooter from the outside, as he has hit 42.7% of his threes coming into this one. If he is on Thursday then it’d be tough for Valparaiso to deal with both him and Cavanaugh.


Valparaiso felt like it was snubbed from the NCAA tournament, but the only way that the team can even continue to make that claim is by winning the NIT. If the Crusaders are going to win on Thursday then they will need some huge performances from G Keith Carter (10.3 PPG, 4.4 APG, 1.6 SPG), F Alec Peters (18.4 PPG, 8.4 RPG) and C Vashil Fernandez (5.6 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 3.3 BPG). Carter and Peters are the guys that Valparaiso will be counting on offensively. Carter controls the offense and also happens to be a 39.1% shooter from the outside. He’ll need to find his teammates in the right spots and also knock down some of his looks from three on Thursday.


Peters, meanwhile, is one of the best scorers in the country. He is capable of scoring from anywhere on the floor and is dangerous from three, as he is a 44.5% shooter from behind the arc. The Crusaders will need him to match the production of Cavanaugh in this game. Defensively, Fernandez is the guy the Crusaders will be leaning on. He is one of the best shot-blockers in the nation and if he can avoid foul trouble then he will make things very difficult on the Colonials in this one.
 

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Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack


-- Billy Joel has played 73 concerts at Madison Square Garden, most by anyone


-- One of every seven students at George Washington U is a foreign student.


-- Valparaiso center Vashil Fernandez has 16 brothers and sisters. Sixteen.


-- In his college days, WWE wrestler Titus O'Neill played defensive end for Steve Spurrier's Florida Gators.


-- Eldrick Woods is now the 472nd-ranked golfer in the world.


-- Looks like none of the NHL's seven Canadian team will make the playoffs.


**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud......



13) NBA coaches make a lot of money; but when you read about D'Angelo Russell secretly taping a conversation with a teammate, where the teammate admits cheating on his girlfriend, and then the tape goes public, you realize that some of these teams are traveling circuses where 19-year old millionaires can blow the whole team up.


12) Some football people tweeted Wednesday, ".....he (Russell) is lucky he isn't on a football team, or else........"; well if he played football, he'd still be in college, since football players can't bolt for the NFL until they have three years in college. Growing up emotionally is a big part of why staying in college is often a good idea.


11) If you're the Lakers, don't you have to trade Russell? He has a lot of talent, but it'll take a lot to rebuild trust between his teammates and himself. Dicey situation.


10) Apple and Major League Baseball signed a multi-year deal to equip teams with stats, matchups, video stuff in the dugout area. Baseball is a game of numbers, so much so that you can drown in them- different teams use them different ways.


9) Cubs averaged 15,000+ fans for their spring training home games this month.


8) Oakland Grizzlies started five lefties in a game this week; don't see that a lot.


7) Oakland sharpshooter Max Hooper (he hasn't taken a 2-point shot all year), lost his dad last month. Chip Hooper was once manager of the Dave Matthews Band- his loss has been felt both in the Oakland community and in the music world.


6) Billy Donovan's first head coaching job was at Marshall in 1994, but before he took the job, Mike Brey (then a Duke assistant) turned it down. Brey became coach at Delaware the next year. Both guys have obviously had great careers.


5) Coaching carousel: Travis Ford to Saint Louis, Kyle Smith from Columbia to San Francisco, Zach Spiker from Army to Drexel.


Random fact: Travis Ford appeared in the movie The Sixth Man, playing role of Danny O'Grady. Ford coached at UMass, Eastern Kentucky before Oklahoma State.


4) Nevada 77, Morehead State 68-- Wolf Pack outscored Morehead 27-13 on the foul line, reversing Game 1 results; Eagles were 1-18 on arc in a physical game that saw tempers flare couple times. Decisive Game 3 of series is Friday night in Reno.


3) Old Dominion 68, Oakland 67-- Monarchs had 16 offensive rebounds, were +16 on boards as they won first Vegas 16 tournament, an event with only eight teams in it. Oakland allowed the CBS TV crew incredible access; the sideline reporter sat next to coach Greg Kampe and talked to him for a couple possessions each game, while the game was being played.


2) Good news for Jose Reyes and much more importantly, my fantasy baseball team; domestic violence charges against Reyes will be dropped- his wife won't cooperate with authorities. Reyes makes $22M a year, so the couple stood to lose a fortune if the trial went on as scheduled (Monday), but he isn't totally off the hook yet.


Unfortunately, Reyes might still be suspended by MLB, which suspended Aroldis Chapman 30 games, but then declined to suspend Yasiel Puig for domestic violence incidents. In the meantime, the shortstop for the Armadillos will be Marcus Semien, who hopefully won't get arrested before the season starts.


1) NFL linebacker Sean Weatherspoon was moving last week; during the move, his fiancee found an uncashed game check from last year, worth $138,235. Must be nice that you don't cash all your paychecks and don't notice the difference.
 

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NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, March 31


George Washington @ Valparaiso

Game 713-714
March 31, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
George Washington
63.222
Valparaiso
67.693
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Valparaiso
by 4 1/2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Valparaiso
by 2
132 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Valparaiso
(-2); Over




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 31

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGE WASHINGTON (27 - 10) vs. VALPARAISO (30 - 6) - 3/31/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 78-105 ATS (-37.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
VALPARAISO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NHL
Short Sheet

Thursday, March 31

George Washington at Valparaiso, 7:00 ET
G Washington: 3-11 ATS after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers
Valparaiso: 10-2 ATS when playing with one or less days rest




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 31

NIT
George Washington scored 83.8 ppg in winning first three NIT games, then shut down San Diego State 65-46 in semis; Colonials are 15-2 out of conference, 5-4 vs top 50 teams- they're #26 experience team whose two best NIT games were both away from home, at Monmouth and the semis Tuesday. Valpo is 12-3 out of conference, 3-1 vs teams in the top 60. A-14 teams are 3-1 vs Horizon teams this year, but Valpo got only Horizon win, 58-55 over URI. Valpo played two kids 31:00+ Tuesday; GW played three guys 31+, but their win was fairly stress-free.




NCAAB

Thursday, March 31

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
GEORGE WASHINGTON vs. VALPARAISO
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Valparaiso's last 9 games
Valparaiso is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
 

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CBB ATS


CBB > (713) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (714) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-31 19:00:00 - 2016-03-31 19:00:00
Play ON VALPARAISO against the spread in All games when playing with one or less days rest
The record is 10 Wins and 2 Losses for the this season (+7.8 units)


--------------------


CBB MONEYLINE


CBB > (713) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (714) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-31 19:00:00 - 2016-03-31 19:00:00
Play ON VALPARAISO using money line in All games when playing with one or less days rest
The record is 11 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.45 units)


CBB > (713) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (714) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-31 19:00:00 - 2016-03-31 19:00:00
Play ON GEORGE WASHINGTON using money line in All games in non-conference games
The record is 24 Wins and 8 Losses for the last three seasons (+19.7 units)


-----------------


CBB FIRST HALF


CBB > (713) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (714) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-31 19:00:00 - 2016-03-31 19:00:00
Play ON GEORGE WASHINGTON ?>in the first halfin All games in all tournament games
The record is 13 Wins and 2 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.8 units)

CBB > (713) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (714) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-31 19:00:00 - 2016-03-31 19:00:00
Play ON GEORGE WASHINGTON ?>in the first halfin All games in non-conference games
The record is 11 Wins and 2 Losses for the this season (+8.8 units)

CBB > (713) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (714) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-31 19:00:00 - 2016-03-31 19:00:00
Play ON GEORGE WASHINGTON ?>in the first halfin All games after a non-conference game
The record is 11 Wins and 2 Losses for the this season (+8.8 units)


-----------------


CBB TOTALS


CBB > (713) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (714) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-31 19:00:00 - 2016-03-31 19:00:00
Play UNDER VALPARAISO on the totalin All games after a non-conference game
The record is 2 Overs and 12 Unders for the this season (+9.8 units)


CBB > (713) GEORGE WASHINGTON@ (714) VALPARAISO | 2016-03-31 19:00:00 - 2016-03-31 19:00:00
Play UNDER GEORGE WASHINGTON on the totalin Road games in non-conference games
The record is 3 Overs and 16 Unders for the last three seasons (+12.7 units)
 

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