Cnotes March NCAABB Conference Playoffs Thru The Madness Picks-Trends-News-Stats !!

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NCAA Location Advantages
March 15, 2016




While most of the NCAA tournament games will generally be played in unfamiliar venues and spacious arenas with mixed fan bases, it is worth taking a look at the travel required and the groupings of teams in each pod. Here is a brief look at some of the advantages and disadvantages presented by the selection committee this season with regards to location in the opening games.


Providence, Rhode Island:


The team most thrilled to be in Providence has to be Yale, hailing from New Haven, Connecticut just about 100 miles southwest of Rhode Island’s capital city. With Yale ending a long NCAA Tournament drought this season, the afternoon session tickets on Thursday featuring the NC-Wilmington/Duke matchup and the Yale/Providence matchup are hot tickets. Duke should get solid support in this grouping with a fan base that is well populated in the major northeast cities nearby, but like ACC counterpart Miami, the team has to be a bit disappointed to not be in Raleigh where #1 seeds North Carolina and Virginia will be playing Thursday. Buffalo fans have a manageable drive to Providence to support the #14 seeded MAC Tournament champions, but the evening sessions won’t likely have one overwhelming fan base. Arizona seems the most out of place in this group as the #6 seed facing long travel for a Thursday game in which they won’t know the opponent until Tuesday night, facing off with the winner of the highly anticipated Vanderbilt/Wichita State matchup in the First Four.




Raleigh, North Carolina:




ACC squads North Carolina and Virginia get a favorable placement in Raleigh with a very short trip for the Tar Heels in what should feel like a home game and the venue is less than 250 miles from the Virginia campus as well. While both of those #1 seeds are heavy favorites in the opening games, it is worth remembering that both teams really struggled in the first round games last season, barely escaping with victories playing in favorable venues in Charlotte and Jacksonville. Assuming the top seeds move on, the location edge may be more important on Saturday as the 8/9 matchup teams are all making long trips with North Carolina set to face the winner between Providence and USC and Virginia slated to face the winner of the Butler/Texas Tech game.


Des Moines, Iowa:


Three schools from Iowa are in the NCAA Tournament, but none finished with a high enough seed to earn a favorable spot in Des Moines. #1 overall seed Kansas had three attractive nearby options for the opening weekend games and Des Moines is the closest, just a few dozen miles closer to campus compared to St. Louis or Oklahoma City. Blue should dominate the seats on Saturday with Kentucky also in this grouping and even though it is close to a 10-hour drive from Lexington the Wildcats are always well supported. Indiana fans, like Kentucky fans, were certainly hoping to get a St. Louis draw as both teams have to feel a little snubbed by the committee both in seeding and location as well as staring at each other in a potential headlining matchup Saturday just to reach the Sweet 16. Connecticut vs. Colorado figures to be a great opening round 8/9 matchup and while Des Moines is a reasonable trip from Boulder, none of the other schools in this grouping figure to have much impact in making a dent on the Kansas crowd.


Denver, Colorado:


With no double-digit spreads in the four Thursday games in Denver, this grouping might be one to watch for potential upsets. None of the eight schools in this group are set particularly close to Denver, but flights are rather easy from Salt Lake City to the Mile High City in March as Utah is probably the biggest beneficiary to the Pepsi Center draw. Up tempo squads Iona and Iowa State face off in the early game Thursday and it will be interesting to if the altitude has an impact. Also of note with regards to the altitude will be how teams that are fairly reliant on lumbering big men will handle the thin air with Purdue and Gonzaga most noteworthy to watch. Utah is also led by star center Jakob Poeltl, but the elevation jump from Salt Lake City to Denver isn’t that dramatic compared with say West Lafayette to Denver. Iona and Seton Hall are the only eastern schools that were shipped out to Denver with Seton Hall as a #6 seed facing #11 seed Gonzaga perhaps drawing one of the bigger location disadvantages in the tournament relative to the seeding as the slight favorite status of the Bulldogs displays.


Brooklyn, New York:


There is a lot of college basketball played in the greater New York City area, but it has been a while since a prominent team emerged and this Brooklyn venue won’t provide any sort of dramatic home court edge to the schools in play. #2 seed Villanova can‘t complain about this landing spot, but they did not wind up in the East region which would have meant games in Philadelphia next week if the Wildcats can advance. West Virginia fans also have a reasonable trip as do Temple fans for an intriguing set of Friday games. Ultimately the big city setting may favor the powerful fan bases from the Midwest with Notre Dame and Iowa support likely to be strong and should Michigan survive Wednesday’s First Four matchup the Wolverines would face the Irish in a rivalry better known on the gridiron in what would be a highly-anticipated game. West Virginia would draw the winner of that game if they get by a dangerous #14 seed in Stephen F. Austin.


Oklahoma City, Oklahoma:


While the Sooners had a bit of late season slide, they were still handed a favorable NCAA Tournament draw, still getting a #2 seed ahead of #3 seed West Virginia who finished ahead of the Sooners in the standings and beat Oklahoma in the Big XII semifinals. Oklahoma is opposite an Oregon squad most consider to be the least proven of the #1 seeds in the West region and the opening weekend games are in Oklahoma City, just a half hour drive from Norman as crimson and cream figure to dominate Chesapeake Energy Arena. That could be overwhelming for Cal State Bakersfield in the program’s first NCAA Tournament appearance as well as potential second round foes VCU and Oregon State who are playing far from home. In the other pod, Texas and Texas A&M figure to receive strong support with a reasonable drive north for both fan bases in what could be a great second round storyline in a rematch from earlier this season between former conference foes.


St. Louis, Missouri:


Michigan State wasn’t given a #1 seed and the St. Louis venue is still a nearly eight-hour drive from East Lansing. That was the best option the Spartans had with only Des Moines as a venue at a similar distance. If Michigan State survives the opening weekend, they will be rewarded with games in Chicago which could really pay off in potential matchups with Utah or Virginia. While Michigan State should be well supported in St. Louis, the Gateway City will likely also receive a great deal of travelers taking I-70 from Dayton and Cincinnati. It is also a reasonable trip south from Madison as #7 seeds Wisconsin and Dayton received favorable placement for coin-flip opening round 7/10 matchups against Pittsburgh and Syracuse teams with more distance to cover. Weber State and Syracuse have the most substantial travel as most of the schools in this group should get fans at the Scotttade Center with #2 seeds Michigan State and Xavier likely bringing the most enthusiasm.


Spokane, Washington:


Nothing is terribly close by out west, but Oregon was dealt a favorable venue in Spokane, a seven-hour drive from Eugene and even closer trip from Portland where plenty of alumni reside. Oregon isn’t expected to have a tough time in the opening round vs. a Wednesday First Four winner and the potential second round matchup would feature an eastern squad Cincinnati or St. Joseph’s to give the Ducks a big advantage. Hawaii and California are technically western squads and Spokane certainly is the closest opening round venue available, but that is far from a short trip for those schools and #4 seeded Bears would travel much further east to Louisville should they advance. South Dakota State and Maryland also will have long journeys to get fans to Veterans Arena as this looks like a venue that will be overtaken by Ducks fans.
 

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Wednesday's First Four Tips


**Southern vs. Holy Cross**


-- Southern and Holy Cross will square off in Dayton on Wednesday night with the winner advancing to face West Region No. 1 seed Oregon on Friday in Spokane, WA. Tip-off is slated for 6:40 p.m. Eastern on TruTV.


-- The Westgate SuperBook opened Southern (22-12 straight up, 3-3 against the spread) as a 2.5-point favorite Sunday night. On Monday, the Las Vegas betting shop sent the total out at 131. As of early Tuesday night, most books had the Jaguars favored by two with a total of 129.5 points. The Crusaders were +120 to win outright (risk $100 to win $120).


-- Southern won three in a row at the Southwestern Athletic Conference Tournament to garner the league's automatic bid. The Jaguars beat Jackson State 54-53 thanks to a putback bucket from Adrian Rodgers with 13 seconds remaining in the finals at Toyota Center in Houston. Trelun Banks scored a game-high 19 points, while Rogers finished with seven points, 11 rebounds and two steals. The Jags failed to take the cash as two-point favorites.


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-- Southern is No. 186 in the RPI Rankings, but it only faced one Top-100 team, losing 70-56 at Grand Canyon. The Jaguars did win 76-72 at Mississippi State and 68-58 at Wyoming. They also went on the road to face bigger schools and lost 86-68 at Arkansas, 72-67 at Memphis and 83-76 at La. Tech.


-- Southern is led by Rodgers, who averages a team-high 16.5 points per game and 5.4 rebounds per contest. Banks scores at a 12.6 PPG clip.


-- Holy Cross (14-19 SU, 5-0 ATS) is led by Malachi Alexander, who averages team-highs in scoring (12.0 PPG), rebounds (5.6 RPG), assists (2.7 APG) and field-goal percentage (47.7%).


-- Holy Cross was the No. 9 seed in the Patriot League Tournament. The Crusaders went winless in Patriot road games during the regular season, but they won four in a row on the road to earn the conference's automatic bid. Holy Cross's last three wins came as an underdog of nine points or more, including a 59-56 win at Lehigh in the finals as a 10-point 'dog. The Crusaders raced out to a 20-6 lead and held on at crunch time. Alexander paced the winners with 26 points, nine rebounds and three assists without a turnover. He made 7-of-10 from the field and 6-of-7 from downtown. Eric Green added 13 points.


-- Holy Cross is back in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2007. Although first-year head coach Bill Carmody spent 13 season as the head coach at Northwestern, the only school from a Power Five conference that's never been invited to the NCAA Tournament, this isn't Carmody's NCAA debut by a longshot. He was an assistant for Pete Carril from 1982-1996, so he was on the sidelines for the 1995 win over UCLA, the defending national champions. Carmody was also a part of the Tigers' team that nearly pulled the biggest upset in Tourney history when they led No. 1 seed and Alonzo Mourning nearly the entire game before losing by one. After taking over for Carril as head coach, he took Princeton to a pair of NCAA Tournaments, beating UNLV in the 1998 Tournament before his 27-2 squad lost a heartbreaker to Michigan State in the Round of 32.


-- Holy Cross is No. 249 in the RPI Rankings. The Crusaders faced just one team in the NCAA field, losing 92-59 at Kansas.


-- The 'under' is 4-2 overall for Southern.


-- The 'under' is 3-2 overall for Holy Cross.


**Tulsa vs. Michigan**


-- Michigan (22-12 SU, 16-16 ATS) earned one of the final at-large berths thanks to a pair of wins at the Big Ten Tournament. Most notably, John Beilein's squad beat Indiana, the league's regular-season champ, 72-69 in come-from-behind fashion as a 7.5-point underdog in the quarterfinals. Trailing by five with 2:26 remaining, Duncan Robinson scored six straight points to pull his team even. After a defensive stop, Michigan was able to hold the ball for the last shot and Kameron Chatman hit a 3-ball from the corner with 0.2 seconds remaining to lift the Wolverines to victory, allowing UM backers to cash lucrative +320 money-line tickets.


-- Michigan lost its best player Caris LeVert (16.5 PPG, 5.3 RPG and a 74/25 assists-to-turnovers ratio) in early January and veteran point guard Spike Albrecht to season-ending injuries. LeVert attempted to come back for one game in February, but Beilein decided to shut him down for the season, while Albrecht had to retire because of a lingering hip injury. Those losses speak to the character of this team in that it still found a way to get into the Tournament.


-- Michigan is led by the trio of Zak Irvin, Derrick Walton Jr. and Robinson. Irvin averages 11.7 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game. Walton is averaging 11.7 points, 5.7 rebounds, 4.5 assists and 1.6 steals per game. Robinson (11.2 PPG) is a pure shooter who is draining 44.8 percent of his 3-pointers and 90.5 percent at the free-throw line.


-- Michigan has been a single-digit favorite nine times this season, producing a 5-4 spread record. The Wolverines played 14 games against teams in the NCAA field, going 4-10 SU and 5-9 ATS.


-- Michigan is No. 58 in the RPI, going 3-7 against the Top 25, 4-11 versus the Top 50 and 4-12 against the Top 100.


-- As of Tuesday night, most spots had Michigan favored by four with a total of 143. Gamblers can take the Golden Hurricane on the money line for a +165 return (risk $100 to win $165).


-- The winner will advance to Friday's Round of 64 to face sixth-seeded Notre Dame from the East Region at Barclays Arena in Brooklyn.


-- Tulsa (20-11 SU, ATS) was the last team included in the field. The Golden Hurricane is No. 61 in the RPI, posting a 1-1 record against the Top 25, a 4-5 mark versus the Top 50 and an 8-8 ledger against the Top 100. However, it lost to mediocre Memphis twice in its last three games by double-digit margins, including an 89-67 shellacking in the first game of the AAC Tournament. Frank Haith's team also lost at home to Oral Roberts, was smashed by 15 at Houston and lost to another bubble team (South Carolina) by eight on a neutral court. Tulsa had only two wins on the road or on a neutral floor against Top-100 teams, winning at SMU and knocking off Ohio on a neutral floor. The win over the Mustangs on the road was obviously the deciding factor in its inclusion in the field.


-- Tulsa has been an underdog eight times, compiling a 4-4 spread record with three outright wins.


-- Tulsa played nine games against teams in the field, going 5-4 SU and 6-3 ATS.


-- Tulsa is led by a pair of senior guards in James Woodard and Shaquille Harrison. Woodard averages 15.6 points, 5.2 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 1.0 steals per game. Harrison (14.8 PPG) averages team-bests in rebounding (5.5 RPG), assists (4.1 APG), field-goal percentage (46.3%) and steals (1.9 SPG).


-- The 'over' is 17-13 overall for Tulsa, hitting in three straight and seven of its last eight.


-- The 'over' is 19-12-1 overall for Michigan, but the 'under' has cashed in back-to-back games and four of its last five contests.


-- This game will tip in Dayton about 30 minutes after the conclusion of Holy Cross-Southern on TruTV.
 

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CBB ATS


CBB > (629) PRINCETON@ (630) VIRGINIA TECH | 2016-03-16 20:00:00 - 2016-03-16 20:00:00
Play ON VIRGINIA TECH against the spread in Home games after a conference game
The record is 8 Wins and 0 Losses for the this season (+8 units)


CBB > (629) PRINCETON@ (630) VIRGINIA TECH | 2016-03-16 20:00:00 - 2016-03-16 20:00:00
Play ON VIRGINIA TECH against the spread in All games after allowing 80 points or more
The record is 13 Wins and 2 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.8 units)


CBB > (647) W CAROLINA@ (648) VERMONT | 2016-03-16 19:00:00 - 2016-03-16 19:00:00
Play AGAINST W CAROLINA against the spread in All games in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5
The record is 6 Wins and 24 Losses for the since 1992 (-20.4 units)


-------------------


CBB MONEYLINE


CBB > (677) TEXAS A&M CC@ (678) LA-LAFAYETTE | 2016-03-16 20:00:00 - 2016-03-16 20:00:00
Play AGAINST LA-LAFAYETTE using money line in All games in first round tournament games
The record is 2 Wins and 11 Losses for the since 1992 (-15.55 units)


CBB > (667) NORFOLK ST@ (668) COLUMBIA | 2016-03-16 19:00:00 - 2016-03-16 19:00:00
Play AGAINST COLUMBIA using money line in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games
The record is 7 Wins and 31 Losses for the since 1992 (-27.75 units)


----------------


CBB FIRST HALF


CBB > (663) TX-ARLINGTON@ (664) SAVANNAH ST | 2016-03-16 19:00:00 - 2016-03-16 19:00:00
Play ON TX-ARLINGTON ?>in the first halfin All games in non-conference games
The record is 9 Wins and 0 Losses for the this season (+9 units)


CBB > (629) PRINCETON@ (630) VIRGINIA TECH | 2016-03-16 20:00:00 - 2016-03-16 20:00:00
Play AGAINST VIRGINIA TECH ?>in the first halfin All games in non-conference games
The record is 0 Wins and 7 Losses for the this season (-7.7 units)


CBB > (635) UAB@ (636) BYU | 2016-03-16 22:00:00 - 2016-03-16 22:00:00
Play ON UAB ?>in the first halfin All games versus the 1rst half line in road games
The record is 11 Wins and 2 Losses for the this season (+8.8 units)


CBB > (673) TENN-MARTIN@ (674) C MICHIGAN | 2016-03-16 20:00:00 - 2016-03-16 20:00:00
Play ON C MICHIGAN ?>in the first halfin All games versus the first half line in all games
The record is 18 Wins and 6 Losses for the this season (+11.4 units)


--------------------


CBB TOTALS


CBB > (631) HOFSTRA@ (632) GEORGE WASHINGTON | 2016-03-16 20:00:00 - 2016-03-16 20:00:00
Play UNDER GEORGE WASHINGTON on the totalin All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game
The record is 2 Overs and 16 Unders for the last three seasons (+13.8 units)

CBB > (621) TULSA@ (622) MICHIGAN | 2016-03-16 21:10:00 - 2016-03-16 21:10:00
Play UNDER TULSA on the totalin Road games after allowing 80 points or more
The record is 1 Overs and 14 Unders for the since 1992 (+12.9 units)

CBB > (673) TENN-MARTIN@ (674) C MICHIGAN | 2016-03-16 20:00:00 - 2016-03-16 20:00:00
Play UNDER C MICHIGAN on the totalin All games off a loss against a conference rival
The record is 0 Overs and 8 Unders for the this season (+8 units)

CBB > (653) MONTANA@ (654) NEVADA | 2016-03-16 22:00:00 - 2016-03-16 22:00:00
Play UNDER NEVADA on the totalin Home games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 2 Overs and 14 Unders for the last two seasons (+11.8 units)
 

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NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 16

Pepperdine @ Eastern Washington

Game 651-652
March 16, 2016 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pepperdine
52.187
Eastern Washingto
55.009
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Washingto
by 3
160
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Washingto
Pick
156
Dunkel Pick:
Eastern Washingto
Over

Wagner @ St. Bonaventure

Game 625-626
March 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wagner
54.572
St. Bonaventure
63.962
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Bonaventure
by 9 1/2
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Bonaventure
by 11 1/2
145
Dunkel Pick:
Wagner
(+11 1/2); Over

Montana @ Nevada

Game 653-654
March 16, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montana
52.641
Nevada
54.087
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nevada
by 1 1/2
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nevada
by 4 1/2
136
Dunkel Pick:
Montana
(+4 1/2); Under

Bucknell @ Monmouth

Game 627-628
March 16, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bucknell
51.972
Monmouth
57.153
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Monmouth
by 5
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Monmouth
by 8
157
Dunkel Pick:
Bucknell
(+8); Over

Idaho @ Seattle

Game 655-656
March 16, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Idaho
49.170
Seattle
50.051
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
122
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Idaho
by 2
127
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+2); Under

Princeton @ Virginia Tech

Game 629-630
March 16, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Princeton
63.281
Virginia Tech
61.700
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Princeton
by 1 1/2
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 3 1/2
152
Dunkel Pick:
Princeton
(+3 1/2); Over

Texas-Arlington @ Savannah State

Game 663-664
March 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas-Arlington
55.777
Savannah State
43.628
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas-Arlington
by 12
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas-Arlington
by 13 1/2
135 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Savannah State
(+13 1/2); Over

Hofstra @ George Washington

Game 631-632
March 16, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hofstra
56.990
George Washington
64.956
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
George Washington
by 8
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
George Washington
by 6
150 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
George Washington
(-6); Under

Boston University @ Fordham

Game 665-666
March 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston University
46.154
Fordham
51.714
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fordham
by 5 1/2
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fordham
by 7 1/2
143
Dunkel Pick:
Boston University
(+7 1/2); Over

Houston @ Georgia Tech

Game 633-634
March 16, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
64.238
Georgia Tech
69.812
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia Tech
by 5 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Tech
by 3 1/2
148
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Tech
(-3 1/2); Under

Norfolk State @ Columbia

Game 667-668
March 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Norfolk State
47.172
Columbia
62.645
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbia
by 15 1/2
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbia
by 12
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbia
(-12); Under

UAB @ Brigham Young

Game 635-636
March 16, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UAB
56,980
Brigham Young
71.762
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 15
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 9 1/2
162
Dunkel Pick:
Brigham Young
(-9 1/2); Under

New Hampshire @ Fairfield

Game 669-670
March 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Hampshire
48.700
Fairfield
57.616
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fairfield
by 9
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fairfield
by 6 1/2
146
Dunkel Pick:
Fairfield
(-6 1/2); Under

Albany @ Ohio

Game 643-644
March 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Albany
53.382
Ohio
58.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio
by 5 1/2
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 3 1/2
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio
(-3 1/2); Under

Army @ New Jersey Tech

Game 671-672
March 16, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Army
42.569
New Jersey Tech
46.921
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Jersey Tech
by 4 1/2
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Jersey Tech
by 2 1/2
149
Dunkel Pick:
New Jersey Tech
(-2 1/2); Under

Houston Baptist @ NC-Greensboro

Game 645-646
March 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston Baptist
41.316
NC-Greensboro
46.865
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC-Greensboro
by 5 1/2
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC-Greensboro
by 7 1/2
152 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston Baptist
(+7 1/2); Over

UT Martin @ Central Michigan

Game 673-674
March 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UT Martin
46.583
Central Michigan
57.609
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Michigan
by 11
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Michigan
by 8 1/2
147
Dunkel Pick:
Central Michigan
(-8 1/2); Under

Southern @ Holy Cross

Game 619-620
March 16, 2016 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern
51.200
Holy Cross
45.766
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern
by 5 1/2
124
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern
by 2
129
Dunkel Pick:
Southern
(-2); Under

Western Carolina @ Vermont

Game 647-648
March 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Carolina
52.408
Vermont
58.427
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vermont
by 6
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vermont
by 8 1/2
145
Dunkel Pick:
Western Carolina
(+8 1/2); Over

UC Irvine @ North Dakota

Game 675-676
March 16, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UC Irvine
56.683
North Dakota
55.155
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UC Irvine
by 1 1/2
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UC Irvine
by 4 1/2
142 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Dakota
(+4 1/2); Over

Tulsa @ Michigan

Game 621-622
March 16, 2016 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
58.781
Michigan
65.572
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 7
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 4
143
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan
(-4); Under

Nebraska Omaha @ Duquesne

Game 649-650
March 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nebraska Omaha
49.728
Duquesne
57.430
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duquesne
by 7 1/2
180
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duquesne
by 4 1/2
176 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Duquesne
(-4 1/2); Over

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UL Lafayette

Game 677-678
March 16, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas A&M-Corpus
51.830
UL Lafayette
57.296
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UL Lafayette
by 5 1/2
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UL Lafayette
by 7 1/2
151 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas A&M-Corpus
(+7 1/2); Over

Belmont @ Georgia

Game 623-624
March 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Belmont
55.904
Georgia
62.970
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 7
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia
N/A
 

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Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SOUTHERN U (22 - 12) vs. HOLY CROSS (14 - 19) - 3/16/2016, 6:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN U is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TULSA (20 - 11) vs. MICHIGAN (22 - 12) - 3/16/2016, 9:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TULSA is 123-91 ATS (+22.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BELMONT (20 - 11) at GEORGIA (19 - 13) - 3/16/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WAGNER (22 - 10) at ST BONAVENTURE (22 - 8) - 3/16/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST BONAVENTURE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.
ST BONAVENTURE is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
WAGNER is 1-0 against the spread versus ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
ST BONAVENTURE is 1-0 straight up against WAGNER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BUCKNELL (17 - 13) at MONMOUTH (27 - 7) - 3/16/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONMOUTH is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
MONMOUTH is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
MONMOUTH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MONMOUTH is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
MONMOUTH is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PRINCETON (22 - 6) at VIRGINIA TECH (19 - 14) - 3/16/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all home games this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in home lined games this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
VIRGINIA TECH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
PRINCETON is 89-64 ATS (+18.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
PRINCETON is 126-95 ATS (+21.5 Units) in road games since 1997.
PRINCETON is 126-95 ATS (+21.5 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
PRINCETON is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
PRINCETON is 73-44 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOFSTRA (24 - 9) at GEORGE WASHINGTON (23 - 10) - 3/16/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOFSTRA is 35-15 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOUSTON (22 - 9) at GEORGIA TECH (19 - 14) - 3/16/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UAB (26 - 6) at BYU (23 - 10) - 3/16/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 218-164 ATS (+37.6 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
BYU is 137-103 ATS (+23.7 Units) in all home games since 1997.
BYU is 137-103 ATS (+23.7 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
BYU is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
UAB is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BYU is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ALBANY (24 - 8) at OHIO U (21 - 11) - 3/16/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 135-99 ATS (+26.1 Units) in all home games since 1997.
OHIO U is 135-99 ATS (+26.1 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
OHIO U is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
OHIO U is 90-62 ATS (+21.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
OHIO U is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
ALBANY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ALBANY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
ALBANY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ALBANY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOUSTN BAPTIST (17 - 16) at UNC-GREENSBORO (14 - 18) - 3/16/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 45-79 ATS (-41.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


W CAROLINA (16 - 17) at VERMONT (21 - 13) - 3/16/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W CAROLINA is 6-24 ATS (-20.4 Units) in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 since 1997.
W CAROLINA is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
W CAROLINA is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
W CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
W CAROLINA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
W CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
VERMONT is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
VERMONT is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEBRASKA-OMAHA (18 - 13) at DUQUESNE (16 - 16) - 3/16/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
DUQUESNE is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
DUQUESNE is 58-83 ATS (-33.3 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
DUQUESNE is 38-62 ATS (-30.2 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
DUQUESNE is 125-159 ATS (-49.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
DUQUESNE is 63-97 ATS (-43.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
DUQUESNE is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PEPPERDINE (18 - 13) at E WASHINGTON (17 - 15) - 3/16/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E WASHINGTON is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
E WASHINGTON is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MONTANA (21 - 11) at NEVADA (19 - 13) - 3/16/2016, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IDAHO (21 - 12) at SEATTLE (14 - 16) - 3/16/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 94-63 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TX-ARLINGTON (23 - 10) at SAVANNAH ST (16 - 15) - 3/16/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TX-ARLINGTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOSTON U (18 - 14) at FORDHAM (17 - 13) - 3/16/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FORDHAM is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON U is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NORFOLK ST (17 - 16) at COLUMBIA (21 - 10) - 3/16/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBIA is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEW HAMPSHIRE (19 - 12) at FAIRFIELD (19 - 13) - 3/16/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
FAIRFIELD is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
FAIRFIELD is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARMY (19 - 13) at NEW JERSEY TECH (17 - 14) - 3/16/2016, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY TECH is 1-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TENN-MARTIN (19 - 14) at C MICHIGAN (17 - 15) - 3/16/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENN-MARTIN is 74-102 ATS (-38.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
C MICHIGAN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
TENN-MARTIN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UC-IRVINE (25 - 9) at N DAKOTA (17 - 15) - 3/16/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N DAKOTA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
UC-IRVINE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEXAS A&M CC (25 - 7) at LA-LAFAYETTE (17 - 14) - 3/16/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA-LAFAYETTE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


 

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Armadillo's Write-Up


Wednesday, March 16



Play-in games


Wednesday

Southern won at Miss State/Wyoming, lost by 5 at Memphis; Jaguars finshed 4th in SWAC, losing 4 of last 5 games before winning conference tourney. Since 2003, SWAC teams are 1-6 in play-in games, with win in 2010 by Ark-Pine Bluff. Holy Cross was 3-12 in last 15 games before it won four straight road games to win Patriot tourney; Crusaders run the Princeton offense, but they shoot only 32.7% on arc, not good enough if you run that offense. Southern is 15-6 vs teams outside the top 200.


Michigan finished 8th in Big 14, its best player is out for year; they are 5-7 in last 12 games- they lost to UConn by 14, SMU by 24 in couple games vs AAC. Tulsa is most experienced team in country; they're 4-2 in last six games, but losses were both to mediocre Memphis. Hurricane is 5-7 vs top 60 teams- they lost to Oral Roberts at home. AAC teams are 6-2 vs Big 14 teams this year; favorites were 5-2 vs spread in those games, with one pick 'em. Again, in five years of "varsity" (#11-seed) play-in games, underdogs are 7-3 vs spread.
 

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NCAAB

Wednesday, March 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
WESTERN CAROLINA vs. VERMONT
Western Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Carolina's last 5 games on the road
No trends available

See more trends!
MARCH 16, 7:00 PM
NEBRASKA OMAHA vs. DUQUESNE
No trends available
Duquesne is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Duquesne's last 9 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 16, 7:00 PM
ALBANY vs. OHIO
No trends available
Ohio is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio's last 7 games

See more trends!
MARCH 16, 7:00 PM
HOUSTON BAPTIST vs. UNC GREENSBORO
No trends available
UNC Greensboro is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
UNC Greensboro is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 16, 7:00 PM
WAGNER vs. ST. BONAVENTURE
No trends available
St. Bonaventure is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Bonaventure's last 6 games

See more trends!
MARCH 16, 7:00 PM
BELMONT vs. GEORGIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Belmont's last 6 games on the road
Belmont is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia's last 8 games
Georgia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

See more trends!
MARCH 16, 7:30 PM
BUCKNELL vs. MONMOUTH
No trends available
Monmouth is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Monmouth's last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 16, 8:00 PM
TENNESSEE-MARTIN vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Tennessee-Martin is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tennessee-Martin is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 5 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 16, 8:00 PM
PRINCETON vs. VIRGINIA TECH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Princeton's last 5 games on the road
Princeton is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Virginia Tech is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

See more trends!
MARCH 16, 8:00 PM
NORFOLK STATE vs. COLUMBIA
No trends available
Columbia is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbia's last 6 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 16, 8:00 PM
HOFSTRA vs. GEORGE WASHINGTON
Hofstra is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
George Washington is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games at home
George Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 16, 8:00 PM
BOSTON UNIVERSITY vs. FORDHAM
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fordham's last 5 games
Fordham is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 16, 9:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. GEORGIA TECH
Houston is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Georgia Tech's last 13 games

See more trends!
MARCH 16, 9:05 PM
PEPPERDINE vs. EASTERN WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pepperdine's last 11 games on the road
Eastern Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Eastern Washington is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 16, 10:00 PM
IDAHO vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Idaho's last 14 games on the road
Idaho is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Idaho
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 16, 10:00 PM
UAB vs. BYU
UAB is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of BYU's last 6 games at home
BYU is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 16, 10:00 PM
MONTANA vs. NEVADA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montana's last 6 games on the road
Montana is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Nevada is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada's last 6 games

See more trends!
MARCH 16, 10:10 PM
MICHIGAN vs. TULSA
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tulsa's last 8 games
Tulsa is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
 

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March Madness Sleepers


Listed below are teams listed at No. 5 or higher that I believe can make an impact in this year's NCAA Tournament.

South Regional

8) Uconn
...This team reminds of the 2011 UConn team that went through its conference tournament in five days to clinch a berth to the tournament. They then took that momentum and the incredible play of point guard Kemba Walker to take down the nets. This year Uconn had to win or go deep in conference tournament and did so with a spectacular 4OT performance and a 3/4 court shot at the buzzer to force the 4th OT. Center Amidah Brimah is a 7 footer who is finally healthy and looking like a tough obstacle to score on with his shot blocking. Then you have sophomore sensation forward Daniel Hamilton that is a tough cover. Top-seed Kansas better not look pass these Uconn Huskies or it will be out in the second round.

5) Maryland...I had this squad as a Final Four 4 contender as did other head coaches in the beginning of the year. However, PG Melo Trimble injured his hamstring halfway through the season and has not been the same. Add to that his confidence has suffered as well. If he some how comes out of his shell (no pun intended), then this team can easily advance to the Elite 8 or Final 4. Forward Jake Layman is the key to this team. He creates matchup problems and helps free up forward Robert Carter and center Diamond Stone in the paint to get easy baskets.

11) Wichita State...Head coach Gregg Marshall is one of the best in the nation that can give opponents fits with his defensive schemes. Plus, the backcourt of Fred VanFleet and Ron Baker will make this team a tough out. Wichita State is ranked first in the nation in defensive efficiency and holds opponents below 59 pts a game. The Shockers held Vanderbilt to 50 points in the "First Four" game on Tuesday and both Arizona and Miami, Fl. better not overlook this team in the South.


West Regional

8) Saint Joseph's
...The public finally got to see one of the best one two combos in G/Fs DeAndre' Bembry and Isaiah Miles for the Hawks. They are so difficult to guard because they can shoot, dribble, and drive to the basket. The tandem just made a very good VCU team look average in the Atlantic 10 Championship game. Bettors backing the No. 1 Ducks in this region should be weary of St. Joe's.

13) VCU....Speaking of teams that lost to the above Saint Joseph Hawks, these Rams won't be an easy out by any means. They play a deep bench and have a great inside outside combo in C Mo Alie-Cox and a guard tandem in Melvin Johnson and Jaquan Lewis. I expect the Rams to beat Oregon State in the first round and eventually meet No. 2 Oklahoma in the second round. This will be in a fight to the finish here and I won't be surprised if we see our first major upset with a #13 seed beating a #2 Seed.

East Regional

11) Michigan
....There always seems to be a team each year that people feel that doesn't deserve to be in the dance. Then they come out and win a couple of games to say we belong. Maybe it will be Michigan this year. A lot say Michigan was a surprise. Tulsa to me was a big mistake. Michigan has a style that can be an issue for a lot of teams that might have a difficult time going small. West Virginia, a No. 3 seed in the East, uses a press defense to throttle opponents into turnovers. This won't happen against this Michigan Wolverines team that has four ball handlers and ranks in the Top 10 in turnover efficiency on offense. Beware #3 West Virginia.

7) Wisconsin...The Badgers won't repeat their great run last year to the Championship but they will be a tough out. Their defense and style are perfect for tournament play. Much like a poor mans Virginia, if the opponent doesn't pay attention to details the Badgers can sneak up on you. The Badgers would meet No. 2 seed Xavier in the next round and the Musketeers better play their 'A' game to,escape an upset bid from these Badgers.


Midwest Regional

5) Purdue
...The imposing front court lineup of AJ Hammons, Isaac Haas, and Caleb Swanigan can carry them deep into the tournament . If their guards of Vince Edwards, Raphael Davis, and PJ Thompson can contribute there is no reason why this team can't get pass No. 4 Iowa State (over seeded) and No. 1 Virginia.

6) Seton Hall...Led by the electric sophomore guard tandem of Khadeen Carrington and Isaiah Whitehead this team just defeated in my opinion two top 5 caliber teams in Villanova and Xavier to win the Big East tournament. What was impressive to me is that both coaches of Villanova (Jay Wright) and Xavier (Chris Mack) said that Seton Hall's defense was the best they have seen all year. If I'm No. 3 Utah, I'd be shaking In my boots right now.

10) Syracuse...Similar to Michigan, this team has been told they shouldn't be in the dance. With a 1-5 record to end the season you can't say that coach Jim Boeheim didn't have influence on the NCAA tournament committee . This will give them some added incentive as they play against Dayton and possibly Michigan State. F Tyler Roberson and G Michael Gbinije can carry this team. If the Spartans can't find their outside shot it could be a major upset for the Orange over No. 2 Michigan State.

Quick Thoughts:

I believe the South is the toughest regional by far.


I believe the committee was off this year on seeding and certain teams being left out. I'm not sure if they even watched more than a couple of games. Sometimes looking at analytics amd numbers doesn't tell a story. They seem to have missed on a lot of fronts.


Duke should be a No. 6 Seed


Kentucky should be a No. 3 Seed


Texas A&M should be a No. 4 Seed


Wichita State should be a No. 7 Seed


Saint Joseph's should be a No. 6 Seed


Oregon State should be No. 10 Seed and VCU a No. 7 Seed


Indiana and Purdue should be No. 4 Seeds


Iowa State should be a No. 6 Seed


Seton Hall should be a No. 4/5 Seed


Syracuse, Vanderbilt, Tulsa, Oregon State should be home and replaced by Monmouth, Saint Mary's, Valparaiso and San Diego State
 

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2016 NIT, CBI, CIT Results


National Invitation Tournament (NIT)


REGION 1 - ST. BONAVENTURE


Date Matchup Score ATS Result


Mar. 15 Alabama at Creighton (-8.5) 72-54 Favorite-Under (144)
Mar. 16 Wagner at St. Bonaventure - -
Mar. 16 Princeton at Virginia Tech - -
Mar. 16 Alabama-Birmingham at Brigham Young - -
Mar. 17-23 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 17-23 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 17-23 TBD vs. TBD - -


REGION 2 - VALPARAISO


Date Matchup Score ATS Result


Mar. 15 Texas Southern at Valparaiso (-15) 84-73 Underdog-Over (143)
Mar. 15 Davidson at Florida State (-9) 84-74 Underdog-Under (168)
Mar. 15 New Mexico State at St. Mary's-CA (-10.5) 58-56 Underdog-Under (131)
Mar. 16 Belmont at Georgia - -
Mar. 17-23 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 17-23 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 17-23 TBD vs. TBD - -


REGION 3 - SOUTH CAROLINA


Date Matchup Score ATS Result


Mar. 15 High Point at South Carolina (-16.5) 88-66 Favorite-Over (145.5)
Mar. 15 Long Beach State at Washington (-9.5) 107-102 Underdog-Over (167.5)
Mar. 15 IUPU-Fort Wayne at San Diego State (-9.5) 79-55 Favorite-Under (143.5)
Mar. 16 Houston at Georgia Tech - -
Mar. 17-23 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 17-23 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 17-23 TBD vs. TBD


REGION 4 - MONMOUTH-NJ


Date Matchup Score ATS Result


Mar. 15 Akron at Ohio State (-4.5) 72-63 (OT) Favorite-Under (147.5)
Mar. 15 North Florida at Florida (-7.5) 97-68 Favorite-Over (162.5)
Mar. 16 Bucknell at Monmouth-NJ - -
Mar. 16 Hofstra at George Washington - -
Mar. 17-23 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 17-23 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 17-23 TBD vs. TBD - -


SEMIFINALS & FINALS


Date Matchup Score ATS Result


Mar. 29 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 29 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 31 TBD vs. TBD - -




College Basketball Invitational (CBI)


FIRST ROUND


Date Matchup Score ATS Result


Mar. 15 Morehead State (+6, +220) at Siena 84-80 Underdog-Over (149)
Mar. 16 Omaha at Duquesne - -
Mar. 16 Albany at Ohio
Mar. 16 Houston Baptist at North Carolina-Greensboro - -
Mar. 16 Western Carolina at Vermont - -
Mar. 16 Pepperdine at Eastern Washington - -
Mar. 16 Montana at Nevada - -
Mar. 16 Idaho at Seattle - -


QUARTERFINALS AND SEMIFINALS


Date Matchup Score ATS Result


Mar. 21 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 21 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 21 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 21 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 23 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 23 TBD vs. TBD - -


FINALS (BEST-OF-THREE)


Date Matchup Score ATS Result


Mar. 28 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 30 TBD vs. TBD - -
April 1 TBD vs. TBD (if necessary) - -




CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT)


FIRST ROUND


Date Matchup Score ATS Result


Mar. 14 Jackson State (+6.5, +250) at Sam Houston State 81-77 (OT) Underdog-Over (140)
Mar. 14 South Carolina State at Grand Canyon (-13) 78-74 Underdog-Over (151.5)
Mar. 15 Mercer at Coastal Carolina (-6) 65-57 Favorite-Under (142)
Mar. 15 Louisiana-Monroe at Furman (+2, +120) 58-57 Underdog-Under (142)
Mar. 15 Ball State at Tennessee State - -
Mar. 16 Boston University at Fordham - -
Mar. 16 Tennessee-Martin at Central Michigan - -
Mar. 16 New Hampshire at Fairfield - -
Mar. 16 Norfolk State at Columbia - -
Mar. 16 Texas-Arlington at Savannah State - -
Mar. 16 Army at New Jersey Tech - -
Mar. 16 UC Irvine at North Dakota - -
Mar. 16 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at Louisiana-Lafayette - -


SECOND ROUND AND QUARTERFINALS


Date Matchup Score ATS Result


Mar. 18-20 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 18-20 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 18-20 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 18-20 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 18-20 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 18-20 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 22-24 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 22-24 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 22-24 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 22-24 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 22-24 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 22-24 TBD vs. TBD - -


SEMIFINALS & FINALS


Date Matchup Score ATS Result


Mar. 27 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 27 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 29 TBD vs. TBD - -


Vegas 8 Postseason Tournament


QUARTERFINALS


Date Matchup Score ATS Result


Mar. 28 Tennessee Tech vs. Old Dominion - -
Mar. 28 Northern Illinois vs. UC Santa Barbara - -
Mar. 28 Oakland vs. Towson - -
Mar. 28 Louisiana Tech vs. East Tennessee State - -


SEMIFINALS & FINALS


Date Matchup Score ATS Result


Mar. 29 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 29 TBD vs. TBD - -
Mar. 30 TBD vs. TBD - -
 

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Maryland enters NCAA lacking momentum
March 15, 2016


COLLEGE PARK, Md. (AP) Maryland needs a solid performance in the NCAA Tournament to avoid the stigma of being an underachieving squad that failed to capitalize on an abundance of talent.


After adding three solid starters to a team that finished second in the Big Ten last season, the Terrapins raced to a 22-3 start and were ranked No. 2 in the second week of February.


From there, things went sour. A surprising home loss to Wisconsin launched a horrid run of five defeats in eight games - including an embarrassment at Minnesota and an 18-point drubbing by Indiana.


Now, coming off a 64-61 setback against Michigan State in the semifinals of the Big Ten Tournament, 18th-ranked Maryland enters the NCAA Tournament as a fifth seed, looking to fulfill the grand expectations it carried into the season four months ago.


The quest begins Friday against South Dakota State.


''We played in a really tough league, we had a tough schedule and we lost ourselves for a little bit but we're ready to play,'' coach Mark Turgeon said Tuesday after running the team through a vigorous practice. ''We're 25-8 and we feel really good about ourselves. We got a lot better last week, we've gotten a lot better this week. By Friday, we're going to be a lot better than we are right now. We're in a good spot. We're a really good team.''


That's certainly how it looked on paper in November. Sophomore guard Melo Trimble and senior Jake Layman, who received NCAA Tournament experience last season, were joined by 6-foot-11 freshman Diamond Stone and transfers Rasheed Sulaimon and Robert Carter Jr.


When they're working in unison, the Terps are tough to beat. Lately, though, they've been exceedingly average. The hope is that a strong showing in the second half against the Spartans last weekend was the start of something big.


''We continue to have great practices and you see it all coming together,'' Turgeon said. ''The Michigan State game gave us a lot of confidence. Shot 35 percent and lost by three. I would like to think the guys are excited and feel good about what lies ahead.''


Trimble, the Big Ten preseason player of the year, went 2 for 15 from the floor in that game. But he was wearing a big smile Tuesday.


''After that loss to Michigan State, we could just hang our heads and not have any confidence for the next tournament,'' Trimble said. ''But the way we practiced today, you'd have thought we won the (Big Ten) tournament. This team has a lot of confidence in our defense.''


All five starters are averaging in double figures, but Maryland's bid to go far in the tournament could be decided by its performance on the other end of the floor. The Terrapins were blowing away Nebraska in the Big Ten quarterfinals before a lackadaisical effort made the game far closer than it should have been.


''I think what we've done to this point is lock in when we need to lock in, defensively,'' Turgeon said. ''We're up 20 against Nebraska and we wouldn't lock in to finish that game off. Michigan State, we locked because we had to. And there was just part of the season where we just weren't playing well. But most of the time they've locked in.''


If Maryland doesn't get it right in the NCAA Tournament, there will be no second chance.


''I feel like this is what we've been preparing for the whole year,'' Carter said. ''This was our goal from the beginning of the season. We want to be our best at this time and we feel like it's time to make a run.''


Last year, the Terrapins were eliminated in the second round. Far more is expected of this squad.


''We want to leave a legacy,'' Layman said. ''That's our mindset going forward.''
 

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Thursday - Session 1


West Region (Providence, RI)


No. 13 UNC Wilmington Seahawks vs. No. 4 Duke Blue Devils (CBS, 12:15 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Duke -10 ½, 156 ½

Betting Matchup

The Seahawks punched their ticket to the Big Dance with a successful run through the CAA Tournament. They have won five of their last six games straight-up, but their record falls to just 2-3-1 against the spread during this same run. Junior guard Chris Flemmings has led an offensive attack that is ranked 39th in the nation in scoring (79.2 points) with an average of 16.1 points per game.

Duke made an earlier than expected exit from the ACC Tournament with an 84-79 loss to Notre Dame as a two-point favorite. The Blue Devils have now failed to cover in their last five games while going 2-3 SU. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of their last 13 games. Duke is the 17th-highest scoring team in the country with 81.5 PPG led by sophomore guard Grayson Allen (21.6 points) and freshman guard Brandon Ingram (16.8 points).

Betting Trends

-- The Seahawks are 2-0-2 ATS in four previous appearances in the NCAA Tournament and the total has gone OVER in seven of their last eight neutral-site games.

-- The Blue Devils are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games in this tournament and the total has gone OVER in their last four games at a neutral site.

Midwest Region (Raleigh, NC)


No. 9 Butler Bulldogs vs. No. 8 Texas Tech Red Raiders (truTV, 12:40 p.m. ET)


Opening Odds: Butler -4, 147 ½

Betting Matchup


The Bulldogs posted a 12-9-1 record ATS as favorites this season and their 74-60 loss to Providence in the Big East Tournament as 3 ½-point favorites was just the second time they failed to cover in their last 10 games. The total went OVER in seven of those contests. Butler comes into this tournament averaging 80.6 PPG and shooting 46.6 percent from the field behind four different players scoring in double figures.

Texas Tech finished seventh in a very competitive Big 12 conference this season with a SU record of 9-9 and it was 19-12 overall. The Red Raiders dropped three of their last four games SU including a bad 67-62 loss to TCU as 7 ½-point favorites in the conference tournament. Their offense has sputtered during this recent slide with an average of just 67 points over the four games.

Betting Trends

--The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a Big 12 opponent and the total has gone OVER in seven of their last 11 nonconference games.

--The Red Raiders have failed to cover in 13 of their last 16 games played at a neutral site and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five NCAA Tournament games.

--These two last met in 2007 with Butler winning 81-71 as a five-point road favorite. The total went OVER the 123.5-point closing line.


South Region (Des Moines, IA)


No. 9 Connecticut Huskies vs. No. 8 Colorado Buffalos (TNT, 1:30 p.m. ET)


Opening Odds: Connecticut -3, 132 ½


Betting Matchup


The Huskies are once again hitting their stride at the right time of the year. A recent run to the AAC Tournament title extended their current winning streak to four games (SU and ATS) and the total has gone OVER in five of their last seven contests. Four of Connecticut’s five starters scored in double figures in a 72-58 romp over Memphis in the AAC title game and it held the Tigers to shooting just 37.5 percent from the floor.


Colorado bowed-out of the Pac-12 Tournament with an 82-78 loss to Arizona, but it was able to cover as a 7 ½-point underdog. The Buffaloes have now covered ATS in their last five games and they went 8-5 ATS this season when closing as underdogs. Senior forward Josh Scott is the team’s leading scorer with 16.1 PPG while shooting 53.2 percent from the field. He is also pulling down an average of 8.7 rebounds a game.


Betting Trends


--The Huskies have covered ATS in 15 of their last 18 games in this tournament and the total has gone OVER in four of their last six neutral-site games.


--The Buffaloes are 1-4 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games and the total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games outside their conference.


Midwest Region (Denver, CO)


No. 13 Iona Gaels vs. No. 4 Iowa State Cyclones (TBS, 2:00 p.m. ET)


Opening Odds: Iowa State -8, 166


Betting Matchup


Iona is getting quite a bit of play as an upset special in this matchup after stringing together eight-straight wins. This run includes a huge 79-76 victory over Monmouth in the MEAC Tournament Finals in a game that closed as a PICK. The Gaels have been kind to bettors with a 7-1 record ATS during this run and four of five starters scored at least 15 points in that title game.


The Cyclones slid to 3-4 SU in their last seven games with a tough 79-76 loss to Oklahoma as four-point underdogs in their only Big 12 Tournament game. They also covered as 11-point road underdogs in a season-ending 85-78 loss to Kansas. Iowa State has been one of the more prolific scoring teams in the nation this season with 81.8 PPG, but its defense is well down the list in points allowed (75.0).


Betting Trends


--The Gaels have gone 4-0 ATS in their last four games against a team with a SU winning record and the total has stayed UNDER in their last four games at a neutral site.


--The Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss and the total has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 11 neutral-site games.


--These two met once before in 2005 with Iona cruising to an 89-72 victory as a 13 ½-point road underdog. The total went OVER a total line of 142.
 

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Friday - Session 1
March 16, 2016


Midwest Region (St. Louis, MO)


No. 10 Syracuse Orange vs. No. 7 Dayton Flyers (CBS, 12:15 p.m. ET)


Opening Odds: Syracuse -1, 131


Betting Matchup


Syracuse’s record with Jim Boeheim coaching the team proved to be good enough to earn a spot in the 68-team field, but the Orange still comes into this game with just one straight-up win in their last six games while going 3-3 against the spread. The total has gone OVER in six of their last eight outings. Senior forward Michael Gbinije led the team in both points (17.8) and assists (4.4) and he has been able to raise that scoring average to 24 points a game over his last four starts.


The Flyers run to an Atlantic 10 Tournament title was cut short in a stunning 82-79 loss to St. Joe’s as 2 ½-point favorites. They are now a costly 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 contests and the total has gone OVER in eight of their last 11 games. In that A-10 semifinals’ loss, senior forward Dyshawn Pierre put-up 22 points while going 8-15 from the field. Dayton is averaging 73 points a game while holding opponents to 65.8 points on defense.


Betting Trends


-- The Orange are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 games against a team from the A-10 and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five NCAA Tournament games.


-- The Flyers are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five ACC matchups and the total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight games in this tournament.


-- These two met in the 2014 NCAA Tournament with Dayton squeezing-out a 55-53 win as an 8 ½-point underdog. The total stayed UNDER 131 points in that game.


South Region (Brooklyn, NY)


No. 15 UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. No. 2 Villanova Wildcats (truTV, 12:40 p.m. ET)


Opening Odds: Villanova -16, 141 ½


Betting Matchup


The Bulldogs made their way back into the Big Dance with a run to the Big South Tournament Championship after finishing third in the regular season at 12-6 SU. They covered ATS in all three tournament games and the total stayed UNDER in two of the contests. Freshman guard Dylan Smith has led the team in scoring this season with 13.5 PPG.

Villanova’s bid to match its regular season Big East title in its conference tournament came up just short in a 69-67 loss to Seton Hall as a six-point favorite in the title game. It was only the second SU loss in the Wildcats last 14 games, but they are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 outings. The total has gone OVER in eight of their last nine games. Junior guard Josh Hart is averaging a team-high 15.5 PPG and he has exceeded that average in four of his last five starts.


Betting Trends


-- The Bulldogs have gone 3-1-1 ATS in five previous NCAA Tournament games and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games at a neutral site.


-- The Wildcats have failed to cover in five of their last seven games in this tournament and the total has stayed UNDER in 10 of their last 15 neutral-site games.


West Region (Oklahoma City, OK)


No. 10 VCU Rams vs. No. 7 Oregon State Beavers (TNT, 1:30 p.m. ET)


Opening Odds: VCU -4, 141


Betting Matchup


VCU’s run at the A-10 Tournament title also came up short in its 87-74 loss to St. Joe’s in the title game. The Rams closed as four-point favorites and it was the first time they failed to cover in their last four games. Senior guard Melvin Johnson tweaked his ankle, but he is listed as probable for Friday. He led VCU in scoring this season with 17.4 PPG and the team as a whole is averaging 77.3 points.


The Beavers finished seventh in the Pac-12 with a SU record of 9-9 and their run in the conference tournament ended with a 76-68 loss to California in a game that ended as a PUSH. The total went OVER 137 ½-point line in that game and it has gone OVER in seven of their last eight outings. Senior guard Gary Payton II has led the way with 15.9 PPG as part of team scoring average of 72.1 points. He led the team in scoring in the loss to Cal with 20 points.


Betting Trends


-- The Rams are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral-site games and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five nonconference games.


-- The Beavers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss and the total has gone OVER in their last seven games at a neutral site.


South Region (Spokane, WA)


No. 13 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. No. 4 California Golden Bears (TBS, 2:00 p.m. ET)


Opening Odds: California -6 ½, 141 ½


Betting Matchup


Hawaii’s three-game run to the Big West Tournament Championship ended with a tight 64-60 victory against Long Beach State as a 4 ½-point favorite. The Warriors are now 11-2 SU in their last 13 games, but a costly 2-5 ATS in their last seven outings. They won the regular season title as well with a SU 13-3 run through conference play behind a scoring average of 77.6 PPG complementing a points-allowed average of 66.5.


The Golden Bear’s Pac-12 Tournament run ended after the win against Oregon State with an 82-78 loss to Utah as 2 ½-point underdogs. Cal remains one of the hottest teams in the conference coming into this tournament with a SU 9-2 record in its last 11 games while going 8-2-1 ATS. This is another well-balanced lineup with 75.1 PPG while holding teams to 67 points at the other end of the court.


Betting Trends


-- The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Pac-12 and the total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six neutral-site games.


-- The Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the Big West and the total has stayed UNDER in their last five nonconference games.


-- These two last met in 2006 with California winning 72-56 as a three-point home favorite. The total stayed UNDER the closing 140 ½-point line.
 

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2016 NCAA Tournament Results
March 16, 2016


NCAA TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS


Wager Favorites-Underdogs


Straight Up 2-0
Against the Spread 2-0


Total
Over-Under 1-1


First-Four Games


TUESDAY, MARCH 15


Matchup Score ATS Result


Florida Gulf Coast (-5.5) vs. Fairleigh Dickinson 96-65 Over (153.5)
Vanderbilt vs. Wichita State (-3.5) 70-50 Under (134)


WEDNESDAY, MARCH 18
Holy Cross vs. Southern - -
Michigan vs. Tulsa - -


First Round - Thursday March 17


SESSION 1


Matchup Score ATS Result
UNC Wilmington vs. Duke - -
Butler vs. Texas Tech - -
Connecticut vs. Colorado - -
Iona vs. Iowa State - -


SESSION 2


Matchup Score ATS Result
Yale vs. Baylor - -
Hampton vs. Virginia - -
Austin Peay vs. Kansas - -
Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Purdue - -


SESSION 3
Matchup Score ATS Result
Buffalo vs. Miami-Florida - -
Chattanooga vs. Indiana - -
TBD vs. North Carolina - -
Fresno State vs. Utah - -




SESSION 4


Matchup Score ATS Result
TBD vs. Arizona - -
Stony Brook vs. Kentucky - -
Providence vs. Southern California - -
Gonzaga vs. Seton Hall - -


First Round - Friday, March 18


SESSION 1


Matchup Score ATS Result
Syracuse vs. Dayton - -
UNC Asheville vs. Virginia - -
Virginia Commonwealth vs. Oregon State - -
Hawaii vs. California - -


SESSION 2


Matchup Score ATS Result


Middle Tennessee vs. Michigan State - -
Temple vs. Iowa - -
Cal State-Bakersfield vs. Oklahoma - -
South Dakota State vs. Maryland - -


SESSION 3


Matchup Score ATS Result
Pittsburgh vs. Wisconsin - -
Stephen F. Austin vs. West Virginia - -
Green Bay vs. Texas A&M - -
TBD vs. Oregon - -


SESSION 4
Matchup Score ATS Result
Weber State vs. Xavier - -
TBD vs. Notre Dame - -
Northern Iowa vs. Texas - -
Cincinnati vs. St. Joseph's -


Second Round


SATURDAY, MARCH 19


Matchup Score ATS Result
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -


SUNDAY, MARCH 20


Matchup Score ATS Result
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -


Sweet Sixteen


THURSDAY, MARCH 24


Matchup Score ATS Result
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -


FRIDAY, MARCH 25
Matchup Score ATS Result
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD


Elite Eight


SATURDAY, MARCH 26
Matchup Score ATS Result
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -


SUNDAY, MARCH 27
Matchup Score ATS Result
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD


Final Four & Championship


SATURDAY, APRIL 2 & MONDAY APRIL 4


Matchup Score ATS Result
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
TBD vs. TBD - -
 

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March Madness: Some businesses will let workers watch NCAA
March 16, 2016


NEW YORK (AP) March Madness is taking over at small companies that are letting employees watch the NCAA basketball tournament while they work.


Staffers at the marketing company Phelps will be able to keep an eye on the games at their desks or on conference room TVs. CEO Joe Phelps says his 86 employees are hard workers, often staying late or completing projects on weekends, so he's fine if they work a little less hard during when games are on during office hours.


''If you hire the right people in the beginning who are motivated and productive, then we're past the time of measuring and having everyone with their nose to the grindstone all the time,'' says Phelps, whose company is based in Playa Vista, California.


March Madness can be a distraction at many companies, especially during daytime games. The games are streamed online, and many people continually check scores on their smartphones. Productivity can slip, with an estimated $1.9 billion in wages paid to staffers who aren't working because they're preoccupied with games, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas, a company that helps laid-off people find jobs. And if everyone's watching a game at the same time, it can slow a company's computer network.


But many small businesses have found it's better to let staffers watch the games, and that output doesn't really suffer. They find that a little slack makes for a better workplace. And because the decision will likely be made by the owner, and not layers of executives as in a big corporation, the boss can just say, go for it!


Craig Barbee turns the NCAA into a party for the five staffers of his Raleigh, North Carolina, bookkeeping company. The first day, there's a barbecue with burgers and hot dogs, everyone brings in a side dish, and it's OK to stop working for a while.


''We normally watch the first half of the initial game together, and we leave a large TV on in the conference room so people can saunter in and out throughout the day to check scores,'' says Barbee, owner of Raleigh, North Carolina-based The Bookkeeper.




Like other bosses, Barbee acknowledges that his staffers work hard and are responsible, and that he can trust them to get their work done. But he also believes that because The Bookkeeper is located near schools that often make NCAA appearances - and Duke and three branches of the University of North Carolina are in this tourney - he can't expect anyone to ignore the games.


''College basketball is huge here,'' he says.


Many workers are interested because they're part of pools that bet on the games. The American Gaming Association, an industry group, estimates that 40 million people complete 70 million brackets, the printed or online forms fans fill in, predicting which teams will win at every level of the tournament. The more accurate fans' predictions are, the more likely they'll win money if they're participating in a pool.


Owners who want to forbid employees to watch games even on their phones are going to have a hard time enforcing an outright ban, says Eric Cormier, a human resources specialist with Insperity, a Houston-based company that provides HR services.


''If you can't beat them, join them. You're not going to stop people from watching just as you're not going to stop people from clicking on the Internet,'' Cormier says.


Moreover, trying to clamp down on workers is likely to be a morale buster, Cormier says, suggesting bosses instead use the tournament or events like the Super Bowl and World Cup soccer games to build camaraderie and a positive atmosphere.


''Try to embrace it and create opportunities around it as a way to get people to be closer - people who wouldn't normally mix together,'' he says.


Some companies aim for middle ground to get work done and still allow workers to see the games. At SchooLinks, which operates a college application website, CEO Katie Fang will invite the seven staffers to watch the last quarter of televised games together.


''Our team will be able to focus on their work knowing they'll get to watch the good part,'' says Katie Fang, CEO of the Los Angeles-based company. She also plans to take everyone out to a bar to watch Friday afternoon games.


Joe Silverman realized last year he was losing productivity to the tournament as the 20 staffers of his computer repair company kept checking their phones for scores. His solution was to allow them to have the games on the big-screen TV he had installed for customers - and to let them know they do need to focus on their tasks at hand.


''When there is work to perform, they know to listen to it in the background,'' says Silverman, owner of New York Computer Help, located in Manhattan.


He'll keep an eye on the games too.


''I'll watch when it comes to the end of the half and the end of the game,'' he says.
 

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CBB ATS


CBB > (629) PRINCETON@ (630) VIRGINIA TECH | 2016-03-16 20:00:00 - 2016-03-16 20:00:00
Play ON VIRGINIA TECH against the spread in Home games after a conference game
The record is 8 Wins and 0 Losses for the this season (+8 units)


CBB > (629) PRINCETON@ (630) VIRGINIA TECH | 2016-03-16 20:00:00 - 2016-03-16 20:00:00
Play ON VIRGINIA TECH against the spread in All games after allowing 80 points or more
The record is 13 Wins and 2 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.8 units)


CBB > (647) W CAROLINA@ (648) VERMONT | 2016-03-16 19:00:00 - 2016-03-16 19:00:00
Play AGAINST W CAROLINA against the spread in All games in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5
The record is 6 Wins and 24 Losses for the since 1992 (-20.4 units)

-------------------


CBB MONEYLINE


CBB > (677) TEXAS A&M CC@ (678) LA-LAFAYETTE | 2016-03-16 20:00:00 - 2016-03-16 20:00:00
Play AGAINST LA-LAFAYETTE using money line in All games in first round tournament games
The record is 2 Wins and 11 Losses for the since 1992 (-15.55 units)


CBB > (667) NORFOLK ST@ (668) COLUMBIA | 2016-03-16 19:00:00 - 2016-03-16 19:00:00
Play AGAINST COLUMBIA using money line in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games
The record is 7 Wins and 31 Losses for the since 1992 (-27.75 units)


----------------


CBB FIRST HALF


CBB > (663) TX-ARLINGTON@ (664) SAVANNAH ST | 2016-03-16 19:00:00 - 2016-03-16 19:00:00
Play ON TX-ARLINGTON ?>in the first halfin All games in non-conference games
The record is 9 Wins and 0 Losses for the this season (+9 units)


CBB > (629) PRINCETON@ (630) VIRGINIA TECH | 2016-03-16 20:00:00 - 2016-03-16 20:00:00
Play AGAINST VIRGINIA TECH ?>in the first halfin All games in non-conference games
The record is 0 Wins and 7 Losses for the this season (-7.7 units)


CBB > (635) UAB@ (636) BYU | 2016-03-16 22:00:00 - 2016-03-16 22:00:00
Play ON UAB ?>in the first halfin All games versus the 1rst half line in road games
The record is 11 Wins and 2 Losses for the this season (+8.8 units)

CBB > (673) TENN-MARTIN@ (674) C MICHIGAN | 2016-03-16 20:00:00 - 2016-03-16 20:00:00
Play ON C MICHIGAN ?>in the first halfin All games versus the first half line in all games
The record is 18 Wins and 6 Losses for the this season (+11.4 units)


--------------------


CBB TOTALS


CBB > (631) HOFSTRA@ (632) GEORGE WASHINGTON | 2016-03-16 20:00:00 - 2016-03-16 20:00:00
Play UNDER GEORGE WASHINGTON on the totalin All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game
The record is 2 Overs and 16 Unders for the last three seasons (+13.8 units)


CBB > (621) TULSA@ (622) MICHIGAN | 2016-03-16 21:10:00 - 2016-03-16 21:10:00
Play UNDER TULSA on the totalin Road games after allowing 80 points or more
The record is 1 Overs and 14 Unders for the since 1992 (+12.9 units)


CBB > (673) TENN-MARTIN@ (674) C MICHIGAN | 2016-03-16 20:00:00 - 2016-03-16 20:00:00
Play UNDER C MICHIGAN on the totalin All games off a loss against a conference rival
The record is 0 Overs and 8 Unders for the this season (+8 units)

CBB > (653) MONTANA@ (654) NEVADA | 2016-03-16 22:00:00 - 2016-03-16 22:00:00
Play UNDER NEVADA on the totalin Home games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 2 Overs and 14 Unders for the last two seasons (+11.8 units)
 

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WEDNESDAY, MARCH 16


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


SOU at HC 06:40 PM


SOU -2.5




UTM at CMU 07:00 PM


CMU -9.0




NORF at CLMB 07:00 PM


NORF +12.5




WAG at SBON 07:00 PM


SBON -9.0


O 146.0





BU at FOR 07:00 PM


FOR -8.0




BEL at UGA 07:00 PM


UGA -6.0




UNH at FAIR 07:00 PM


UNH +5.0




WCU at UVM 07:00 PM


UVM -6.0




HBU at UNCG 07:00 PM

UNCG -8.0




UTA at SAV 07:00 PM


SAV +12.5
 

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Late Games:


BUCK at MONM 07:30 PM


BUCK +8.0




ARMY at NJIT 07:30 PM

NJIT -3.5




HOF at GW 08:00 PM


HOF +6.0




UCI at UND 08:00 PM


UND +6.5




AMCC at ULL 08:00 PM


ULL -8.5




PRIN at VT 08:00 PM


VT -3.5




HOU at GT 09:00 PM


GT -3.5




PEPP at EWU 09:05 PM


PEPP -1.0




TLSA at MICH 09:10 PM

MICH -2.5




IDHO at SEA 10:00 PM


IDHO -2.5




MONT at NEV 10:00 PM

NEV -3.5




UAB at BYU 10:00 PM


UAB +9.5






Yesterday's Results: 6 - 3
March Madness Record : 7 - 4
Overall For March : 115 - 84 - 3
 

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Thursday - Session 4


South Region – Providence – Dunkin Donuts Center


#11 Wichita State vs. #6 Arizona (-1 ½, 136 ½) – 9:20 PM EST – TNT


-- The Westgate SuperBook opened Arizona (25-8 straight up, 16-17 against the spread) as a one-point favorite on Wednesday morning. The line moved to pick 'em briefly before settling at 1.5 in favor of the Wildcats by early Wednesday afternoon. The total opened at 136.5 and had yet to move. The Shockers are +105 on the money line (risk $100 to win $105).


-- Sean Miller's team finished third in the Pac-12 regular-season standings with a 12-6 record in conference play.


-- Arizona has struggled badly as a single-digit favorite this year, limping to a 4-9 spread record in 13 such spots.


-- Arizona is mired in a 2-7 ATS slump in its last nine games. The Wildcats saw their three-game winning streak snapped in a 95-89 overtime loss to Oregon in the Pac-12 Tournament semifinals this past Friday night in Las Vegas. UA miraculously forced the extra session by burying a 3-pointer to cut the Ducks' deficit to one with 0.8 seconds remaining. Then Mark Tollefsen stole the inbounds pass and was inexplicably fouled with 0.4 left and had a chance to win the game by going to the free-throw line for two shots. Tollefsen missed the first attempt, however, but knocked down the second to force OT. UA's Gabe York scored a team-best 21 points in the losing effort, one that saw it rally from a 15-point halftime deficit. Allonzo Trier added 16 points before fouling out, while Kaleb Tarczewski finished with 11 points, 12 rebounds and two blocked shots.


-- Arizona has played 13 games against teams in the NCAA field, going 6-7 SU and 3-10 ATS in those contests.


-- Arizona's is led by Ryan Anderson, a senior who transferred to UA from Boston College. Anderson is averaging 15.5 points and 10.1 rebounds per game while drilling 54.7 percent of his shots from the field. York is scoring at a 15.2 PPG clip while making 42.5 percent of his launches from 3-point land. Trier is averaging 15.0 PPG.


-- Miller has the sixth-best winning percentage in the NCAA Tournament among active head coaches in this year's field. His teams at Xavier and UA have gone 17-8 (68.0%), yet he's still looking to get to his first Final Four.


-- Wichita State (25-8 SU, 19-12 ATS) advanced past Vanderbilt to face sixth-seeded Arizona by winning a 70-50 decision Tuesday night at the First Four in Dayton. The Shockers, who are in the NCAA Tournament for the fifth consecutive year under Gregg Marshall, easily took the cash as 3.5-point favorites by going on an 18-2 run against the Commodores after leading by only two at the under-eight television timeout. Ron Baker and Fred VanVleet, both of whom are seniors and were key cogs in the school's 2013 run to the Final Four, scored 14 points apiece. Baker had nine rebounds, while VanVleet dished out seven assists compared to just one turnover.


-- Wichita State is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 games. Even better, Marshall's troops have gone 14-5 ATS in their last 19 outings.


-- WSU has played nine games against teams in the field, going 3-6 both SU and ATS. The Shockers' best win was a 67-50 triumph over Utah as 3.5-point home 'chalk' back on Dec. 12. They lost an 80-76 heartbreaker at Seton Hall in overtime.


-- VanVleet averages 12.1 points, 5.7 assists, 3.1 rebounds and 1.6 steals per game. He's knocking down 40.8 percent from downtown and 80.9 percent at the charity stripe. Baker averages 14.2 points, 4.9 rebounds, 3.2 assists and 1.5 steals per game. However, Baker has shot at a career-low percentage from 3-point range (35.3%).


-- The 'over' is 22-11 overall for Arizona, cashing in three straight games and seven of its last nine.


-- The 'under' is 17-13-1 overall for the Shockers, cashing in three straight and going 9-2-1 in their last 12 outings.


-- Marshall owns a 9-11 record (45.0%) in the NCAA Tournament, but let's remember that he took seven Winthrop teams to the Tournament in nine years. Those squads went 1-7, beating Notre Dame in an opening-round game in his final year at the school. That obviously leaves him with an outstanding 8-4 record (66.7%) while at Wichita State with one Final Four appearance.


East Region – Raleigh – PNC Arena


#9 Providence (-2, 149 ½) vs. #8 USC – 9:50 PM EST – TBS


-- The winner of this Pac-12-Big East showdown will get top-seeded North Carolina on Saturday in what will essentially be a road game in terms of crowd noise.


-- The Westgate opened No. 9 seed Providence as a two-point favorite. Jay Kornegay and Co. initially adjusted the Friars to 2.5 before dropping to 1.5. The number again bounced around from 1.5 to 2.5 on Monday, but it had settled at two by early Wednesday afternoon. The Westgate opened the total at 149.5 and it briefly move to 150 before coming back to the opening number. The Trojans are +115 on the money line (risk $100 to win $115).


-- Providence (23-10 straight up, 18-14 against the spread) has covered the number in five consecutive games, thought its four-game winning streak was snapped in last Friday's Big East Tournament semifinals. The Friars dropped a 76-68 decision to Villanova, but they nonetheless took the cash as 8.5-point underdogs. One night after dropping 38 points on Butler, Ben Bentil fouled out with 9:40 remaining against the Wildcats. He was held to only three points and committed five turnovers in just 26 minutes of playing time. Nevertheless, PU pulled to within three of 'Nova with 6:59 left thanks to a 15-3 run. Rodney Bullock scored a team-high 18 points and also pulled down seven rebounds. Kyron Cartwright scored 14 points, but star senior PG went 1-of-8 from the field and scored just nine points. Dunn had six assists but also committed three turnovers, but I believe that's a tribute to how well PU is playing by taking Villanova to the wire without its two horses playing effectively.


-- Providence is 4-6 ATS in 10 games as a single-digit 'chalk.'


-- Ed Cooley's team has played 12 games against teams in the NCAA field, posting a 5-7 SU record and a 6-6 ATS mark.


-- Dunn is averaging 16.0 points, 6.4 assists, 5.5 rebounds and 2.5 steals per game. Bentil is one of the nation's most improved players and, like Dunn, he's a future player at the next level. The muscular power forward is averaging 21.2 points and 7.8 rebounds per games.


-- USC (21-12 SU, 18-14 ATS) really slumped down the stretch, going 3-7 both SU and ATS in its last 10 games. All seven defeats came by margins of seven points or more and four of the losses came by double-digit margins.


-- USC has lost outright while going 1-5 ATS in its last six games as an underdog. For the season, the Trojans are 4-6 ATS with three outright victories in 10 games as underdogs.


-- Andy Enfield's squad owns a 5-8 record both SU and ATS in 13 games against teams in the NCAA Tournament field.


-- USC went 5-10 SU and 6-9 AGS in 15 games either on the road or on a neutral court.


-- USC's balanced scoring attack is led by sophomore PG Jordan McLaughlin, who averages 13.4 points, 4.7 assists, 3.7 rebounds and 1.5 steals per game. McLaughlin scored 42 points in a pair of games in the Pac-12 Tournament. He shoots at a 42.3 percent clip from 3-point range. Junior center Nikola Jovanovic averages 12.1 points and 7.0 rebounds per game while making 52.3 percent of his shots from the field.


-- USC trounced UCLA for a third time this year by blasting the Bruins 95-71 as a two-point favorite at the Pac-12 Tournament. Bennie Boatwright was the catalyst with 19 points, nine rebounds and a pair of blocked shots. But in the quarterfinals last Thursday, the Trojans lost an 80-72 decision to Utah as 6.5-point underdogs. McLaughlin had a game-high 24 points in the losing effort, while Julian Jacobs finished with 16 points, eight rebounds, two steals and six assists compared to one turnover.


-- The 'over' is on a 14-6-1 run for the Trojans, who have seen the 'over' go 18-14-1 overall.


-- The 'over' hit at a 19-13 overall clip for the Friars, going 6-3 in their last nine games.


----------------


South Region – Des Moines – Wells Fargo Arena
#13 Stony Brook vs. #4 Kentucky (-14, 143) – 9:40 PM EST – CBS


-- The winner will take on the survivor of Indiana vs. Chattanooga.


-- The Westgate opened Kentucky (26-8 SU, 18-16 ATS) as a 13.5-point favorite with a total of 144. The number went as high as 14.5 but was resting at 14 as of Wednesday afternoon. As for the total, it was down to 143. The Seawolves were +850 on the money line (risk $100 to win $850).


-- UK won the SEC Tournament with wins over Alabama (85-59), Georgia (93-80) and Texas A&M (82-77). The Wildcats needed overtime to sneak past the Aggies as four-point favorites. Tyler Ulis played all 45 minutes, producing 30 points, three steals and five assists compared to merely one turnover. Jamal Murray had 17 points, while Alex Poythress, Derek Willis and Isaiah Briscoe scored 10 points apiece. Briscoe finished with six assists, five rebounds and two steals on 5-of-8 shooting from the field.


-- John Calipari's squad has won 10 of its last 12 games with eight of those victories coming by double-digit margins. UK's only defeats during this span came at Texas A&M and at Vanderbilt. Since the loss at Vandy, UK has won five in a row both SU and ATS. The parlay combination of UK and the 'over' has also hit in five straight.


-- I believe UK has the best backcourt in the country with sophomore PG Tyler Ulis and freshman sensation Jamal Murray, who is one of the country's best pure shooters. Ulis averages 17.2 points, 7.2 assists, 3.2 rebounds and 1.5 steals per game. He has a remarkable 236/62 assists-to-turnovers ratio this year, 29/5 in the last four games. Murray (20.1 PPG) averages 5.1 RPG and makes 42.1 percent of his launches from long distance.


-- UK has compiled a 6-1 spread record in its last seven games as a double-digit favorite. The 'Cats are 9-9 ATS in 18 such spots for the entire season.


-- Since 1987, UK has only lost once in the opening round -- vs. Marquette in 2008.


-- Calipari owns the second-best winning percentage in the NCAA Tournament among active coaches. He is 47-15 for his career (75.8%) with six trips to the Final Four.


-- Stony Brook (26-6 SU, 0-5-1 ATS) won the America East Conference Tournament with wins over UMBC (86-76), Hartford (80-64) and Vermont (80-74). The Seawolves trailed the Catamounts 36-27 at intermission, but senior forward Jameel Warney sparked the second-half comeback in a spectacular performance. Warney dominated with 43 points, 10 rebounds and four blocked shots on 18-of-22 shooting from the field. Carson Puriefoy played all 40 minutes, finishing with 23 points, five 3-pointers, four assists, three rebounds and two steals.


-- Stony Brook played only two teams in the field, losing 79-72 in overtime at Vanderbilt and falling 86-61 at Notre Dame. The Seawolves' best win came at home over Princeton (91-77).


-- Stony Brook ranks 19th in the nation in scoring defense (63.4 PPG).


-- Warney averages team-highs in scoring (19.2 PPG), rebounding (10.7 RPG), blocked shots (3.0 BPG) and field-goal percentage (63.6%). In the three AEC Tourney games, Warney averageed 30.3 points and 15.3 boards per contest. Puriefoy (15.1 PPG) has buried a team-best 81 treys.


-- The 'over' is 4-2 overall for the Seawolves.


-- The 'over' is 19-14-1 overall for the 'Cats.


Midwest Region – Denver – Pepsi Center

#11 Gonzaga vs. #6 Seton Hall (PK, 145 ½) – 9:55 PM EST – TruTV


-- This is a 6/11 Midwest Region showdown in Denver, CO., where altitude will play a role. The winner will face the Utah-Fresno St. survivor on Saturday in the Mile High City.


-- The Westgate opened Gonzaga as a 2.5-point favorite Sunday night. The line moved to two within seven minutes, then down to 1.5 by later that evening. Then on Monday morning, the number moved to one for a few hours before going back up to 1.5. By early Tuesday afternoon Vegas time, the game was a pick 'em, but the Bulldogs were favored by one again Tuesday night. As of Wednesday afternoon, Gonzaga was still favored by one point. The total opened at 143.5 at the Westgate, but the tally was up to 145.5 by Wednesday.


-- Seton Hall (25-8 SU, 23-9 ATS) is the nation's best ATS team and has won four in a row both SU and ATS. Going back further, Kevin Willard's club has won eight of its last nine games while going 7-2 versus the number. If the line holds and the Pirates close as underdogs, we should note that they own an incredible 12-2 spread record with 10 outright victories as 'dogs.


-- Seton Hall had a magical weekend at Madison Square Garden in New York City, winning the Big East Tournament for the first time since 1993 when P.J. Carlesimo roamed the sidelines for the school. Willard's team raced out to an 11-point halftime lead and held off Villanova for a 69-67 win as a six-point underdog, hooking up money-line backers with a +210 return (risk $100 to win $210). Isaiah Whitehead was named the tourney's Most Outstanding Player after dropping 26 points on the Wildcats. The sophomore PG has come a long way since last year when he played selfishly and prompted major issues in terms of team chemistry. Trailing by two, Whitehead penetrated to the rim for a layup and a foul with 18 ticks left. His free throw put the Pirates up 68-67 and a defensive stop and subsequent free throw sealed the deal.


-- Whitehead averages team-highs in scoring (18.4 PPG), assists (5.0 APG) and blocked shots (1.5 BPG). Three other sophomores score in double figures, including Khadeen Carrington (14.3 PPG), Desi Rodriguez (12.5 PPG, 5.2 RPG) and Angel Delgado (10.0 PPG, 9.4 RPG).


-- Seton Hall is in the Tournament for the first time since 2006. Willard has never been dancing either in nine years as a head coach. He was at Iona for three seasons before taking the job in New Jersey. Willard's only career postseason appearance came in his second year at Seton Hall (2011-2012) when it went to the NIT and won one game.


-- Seton Hall has played 11 games against teams in the field, compiling a 6-5 SU record and a 9-2 ATS mark. The Pirates won six of nine games against teams in the RPI Top 50, with their only defeats coming to Villanova and Xavier, who No. 4 and No. 7, respectively. They have two wins over both Providence and Xavier and also knocked off Wichita State. In addition, they beat Ole Miss and Georgia in non-conference play.


-- Gonzaga (26-7 SU, 15-15 ATS) probably would've missed the NCAA Tournament for the first time in Mark Few's tenure had it not won the WCC Tournament for the league's automatic berth. However, the Bulldogs took care of business at The Orleans in Las Vegas by beating BYU and Saint Mary's in back-to-back nights.


-- Gonzaga has won five in a row both SU and ATS, including the 85-75 win over the Gaels as a 2.5-point favorite on March 8 in Sin City. Eric McClellan scored a team-best 20 points thanks to 9-of-9 shooting at the free-throw line. Kyle Wiltjer scored 17 points, while Josh Perkins finished with 16 points and five assists. Domantas Sabonis had 15 points and eight rebounds on 6-of-8 shooting from the field.


-- Gonzaga always plays a brutal non-conference schedule, but it simply worked out that its foes in non-con play didn't produce this year. Tennessee, UCLA, Washington and Washington State had down years, while SMU wasn't eligible for the Tournament. Therefore, the Bulldogs played only three games against squad in the field, going 1-2 SU and 0-2-1 ATS. They beat UConn 73-70 on a neutral court as three-point 'chalk,' while losing 68-63 at home to Arizona and 62-61 vs. Texas A&M on a neutral floor.


-- Wiltjer averages 20.7 points and 6.5 rebounds per game. The senior who is in his second year with the 'Zags after transferring from Kentucky, shoots 49.0 percent from the field, 42.4 percent from downtown and 86.7 percent at the free-throw line. Sabonis (17.4 PPG, 11.6 RPG) averages a double-double and converts 61.7 percent of his attempts from the field.


-- The 'under' is 18-14 overall for the Pirates, but they have seen the 'over' hit at a 5-1 clip in their last six outings.


-- The 'over' is 16-15 overall for the Bulldogs after cashing in each of their last three games.
 

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Consensus Picks
March 16, 2016


Last March, every team was trying to knock off undefeated Kentucky as Wisconsin accomplished that feat in the Final Four. This March, top-seeded Kansas enters the NCAA tournament with four losses, while the other three number one seeds have all lost at least six games (North Carolina, Oregon, and Virginia). The tournament is wide-open this season with second seeds Michigan State, Oklahoma, and Villanova all worthy candidates to win the national title.


Is Kansas the team to beat? According to some of our experts, the answer to that question is yes. However, the Jayhawks are not the overwhelming favorite to hoist the championship plaque on April 4. We polled our experts to provide their Final Four squads, sleeper team, and champion as the results vary across the board.


Joe Nelson believes the top seed from Lawrence will sit in the winner’s circle in early April, “In a season where upsets on the top of the polls were the norm much of the season, Kansas clearly established itself as the best team in the country with a two-game edge in a Big XII conference that rated as the nation’s best. Kansas has a great mix of proven veteran leaders and talented youngsters and Kansas hasn’t lost since late January despite facing Kentucky, West Virginia (twice), Oklahoma, Baylor, Texas (twice), and Iowa State in that stretch for one of the nation’s most difficult schedules. Unlike many of the recent overall top seeds, Kansas won’t be playing all that close to home going to Des Moines and then potentially Louisville, but the region lines up pretty favorably for the Jayhawks barring a major upset.”


In the East region, college hoops expert James Manos has faith that Big 10 regular season champion Indiana will head to the Lone Star State for the Final Four. “It took the Hoosiers a while to come around, but they finished the season strong and enter the tournament playing perhaps their best basketball of the season. The committee did the Hoosiers no favors giving them perhaps the toughest opening round game of any top five seed, vs Chattanooga, and then a daunting second matchup with Kentucky, but the Hoosiers have the talent to beat both those squads and a confidence boosting win over the Wildcats could be just the type of upset that propels this team to the Final Four,” Manos comments.


Oklahoma lost twice in the regular season to Kansas, but Bruce Marshall is high on the Sooners cutting down the nets in Houston, “Expect the Big 12 to dominate the Dance unlike any league since the Big East in 1985. The most transcendent team in the country this season has been Oklahoma, with the most transcendent player in Buddy Hield. In a season in which the earth has been flat in college hoops, a special player such as Hield can tip the balance in favor of the Sooners.”


Marc Lawrence is convinced that Michigan State will overcome its snub for a top seed and win its first championship since 2000, “That the Spartans lead the nation in 3-Point Field Goal Percentage (43.4), Rebound Margin (11.7) and Assists Per Game (20.6) is no coincidence. In addition, they lead all Power 5 conferences in Scoring Margin (16.8) and all Big Dance teams in Defensive Field Goal Percentage (37.7). They are all famous Tom Izzo traits and it’s what leads his troops to the championship game once again this season.”


Here are the Final Four picks from our handicappers:


FINAL FOUR AND CHAMPIONSHIP PREDICTIONS


Handicapper Sleeper East South Midwest West Champion


Antony Dinero California North Carolina Miami Purdue Oregon Oregon


Bill Marzano Seton Hall North Carolina Kansas Michigan State Oregon Michigan State


Bruce Marshall Gonzaga West Virginia Kansas Michigan State Oklahoma Oklahoma


Chip Chirimbes Miami Xavier Kansas Michigan State Oklahoma Michigan State


Doc's Sports Duke North Carolina Kansas Michigan State Oklahoma North Carolina


James Manos Indiana Indiana Kansas Virginia Oklahoma Kansas


Jim Feist Seton Hall Xavier Wichita State Michigan State Texas A&M Michigan State


Jimmy Boyd West Virginia Kentucky Kansas Michigan State Oregon Kansas


Joe Nelson Providence Indiana Kansas Virginia Oregon Kansas


Joe Williams Wichita State West Virginia Kansas Michigan State Oklahoma Kansas

John Fisher
Maryland Xavier Villanova Michigan State Oklahoma Michigan State

Kevin Rogers
Northern Iowa Kentucky Kansas Michigan State Oregon Kansas


Kyle Hunter Purdue North Carolina Kansas Michigan State Oklahoma Michigan State


Marc Lawrence California Kentucky California Michigan State Oklahoma Michigan State


The SportsBoss Wisconsin West Virginia Miami Virginia Texas Virginia

Zack Cimini
Iowa North Carolina Kansas Utah Texas Kansas
 

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Analyzing KenPom Numbers
March 16, 2016




Bracketology – A look at the 2016 NCAA Contenders!


Twelve of the last 13 college basketball national champions have finished above, what we’ll call, the “KenPom Line.”


The KenPom Line refers to teams that finish in both the top 18 in Ken Pomeroy’s offensive efficiency and top 21 in his defensive efficiency rankings.


The only “outlier” that didn’t fall into the criteria listed above was UConn in 2014. The Huskies did fall into the defensive category ranking 10th nationally but fell short of the offensive numbers.


Here are where each of the last 13 National Champions ranked in the two categories…


Year Champion Offensive Rank Defensive Rank


2015 Duke 3 12
2014 Connecticut 39 10
2013 Louisville 4 3
2012 Kentucky 2 8
2011 Connecticut 18 13
2010 Duke 1 8
2009 North Carolina 1 21
2008 Kansas 2 1
2007 Florida 1 17
2006 Florida 3 6
2005 North Carolina 2 12
2004 Connecticut 9 5
2003 Syracuse 14 13


With those KenPom numbers in mind, let’s take a look at which teams look like they have the best shot to win the 2016 National Championship.


KenPom Contenders Offensive Rank Defensive Rank


Kansas 8 5
Michigan State 2 19
North Carolina 4 16
Virginia 9 4
Villanova 11 7


There are a few teams that are on the brink of falling in the “contender” category, but each finds themselves either just outside of the top 18 in offensive efficiency or top 21 in defensive efficiency – or both.


Here are the teams that don’t hit the bullseye but are close…


Teams on the Cusp Offensive Rank Defensive Rank


Xavier 18 36
Oklahoma 20 11
Purdue 21 18
West Virginia 23 6
Iowa 25 31
Maryland 26 37
Vanderbilt 32 34
Texas A&M 36 12


KenPom’s offensive and defensive efficiency ratings are great ways of determining the potential contenders for a national championship as well as candidates to advance to the Final Four. Again, these aren’t completely fool-proof as there have been occasions where teams outside of either of the desired ratings advance to the Final Four (see below).


However, the vast majority of Final Four teams fall at least “close” to the numbers we discussed above. The bottom line is, when teams to push through in your bracket and to win it all, it would be wise to stick with the “KenPom Line Contenders” as your main candidates to do so – teams listed first were the National Champions for that year.


2003 Final Four Offensive Rank Defensive Rank


Syracuse 14 13
Kansas 15 4
Texas 1 80
Marquette 2 119


2004 Final Four Offensive Rank Defensive Rank


Connecticut 9 5
Georgia Tech 26 6
Duke 3 4
Oklahoma State 6 12


2005 Final Four Offensive Rank Defensive Rank


North Carolina 2 12
Illinois 3 4
Louisville 7 37
Michigan State 6 32


2006 Final Four Offensive Rank Defensive Rank


Florida 3 6
UCLA 38 4
LSU 65 2
George Mason 58 13


2007 Final Four Offensive Rank Defensive Rank


Florida 1 17
Ohio State 3 11
UCLA 29 3
Georgetown 2 24


2008 Final Four Offensive Rank Defensive Rank

Kansas 2 1
Memphis 6 2
UCLA 8 5
North Carolina 1 19


2009 Final Four Offensive Rank Defensive Rank


North Carolina 1 21
Michigan State 22 8
Connecticut 18 3
Villanova 25 13


2010 Final Four Offensive Rank Defensive Rank


Duke 1 8
Butler 57 2
Michigan State 36 27
West Virginia 11 23


2011 Final Four Offensive Rank Defensive Rank


Connecticut 18 13
Butler 48 44
Kentucky 10 15
VCU 25 84


2012 Final Four Offensive Rank Defensive Rank


Kentucky 2 8
Kansas 28 3
Ohio State 5 7
Louisville 116 1


2013 Final Four Offensive Rank Defensive Rank


Louisville 4 3
Michigan 1 48
Syracuse 29 8
Wichita State 30 25


2014 Final Four Offensive Rank Defensive Rank


Connecticut 39 10
Kentucky 10 41
Wisconsin 4 49
Florida 18 2


2015 Final Four Offensive Rank Defensive Rank


Duke 3 12
Wisconsin 1 54
Kentucky 5 2
Michigan State 15 47


Inside the Stats


– 25 of 52 (48%) Final Four participants have finished in both the Top 18 in Offensive Rank and Top 21 in Defensive Rank


– 36 of 52 (69%) Final Four participants have been in the Top 18 Offensive Rank


– 37 of 52 (71%) Final Four participants have been in the Top 21 Defensive Rank


– Only 4 of 52 (7.6%) Final Four participants have finished outside of BOTH categories: 9th seeded Wichita State in 2013, 11th seeded VCU in 2011, 8th seeded Butler in 2011, and 5th seeded Michigan State in 2010.


– Only 8 of 52 (15%) Final Four participants ranked below 30th in Offensive Rank.


– Only 9 of 52 (17%) Final Four participants ranked below 37th in Defensive Rank.
 

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