SATURDAY, OCTOBER 12
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| UAB at ARMY | 12:00 PM | ARMY -27.0 | +500 |
| TOL at BUFF | 12:00 PM | BUFF +10.5 | +500 |
| MIZZ at MASS | 12:00 PM | MIZZ -27.5 | +500 |
| WASH at IOWA | 12:00 PM | WASH +3.0 | +500 |
| SOCAR at ALA | 12:00 PM | ALA -21.0 | +500 |
| WIS at RUTG | 12:00 PM | RUTG -1.0 | +500 |
| CLEM at WAKE | 12:00 PM | WAKE +21.0 | +500 |
| AKR at WMU | 03:30 PM | WMU -10.0 | +500 |
| LOU at UVA | 03:30 PM | UVA +7.5 | +500 |
| STAN at ND | 03:30 PM | STAN +22.5 | +500 |
| PSU at USC | 03:30 PM | USC +3.5 | +500 |
| CIN at UCF | 03:30 PM | UCF -3.0 | +500 |
| TEX at OKLA | 03:30 PM | TEX -17.0 | +500 |
| MEM at USF | 03:30 PM | USF +9.0 | +500 |
| NIU at BGSU | 03:30 PM | NIU +2.5 | +500 |
| SJSU at CSU | 03:30 PM | SJSU +2.0 | +500 |
| PUR at ILL | 03:30 PM | ILL -22.5 | +500 |
| SDSU at WYO | 03:30 PM | WYO -1.0 | +500 |
| CAL at PITT | 03:30 PM | PITT -3.5 | +500 |
| ARIZ at BYU | 04:00 PM | BYU -2.5 | +500 |
| OHIO at CMU | 04:00 PM | OHIO -3.0 | +500 |
| MSST at UGA | 04:15 PM | MSST +33.0 | +500 |
| USM at ULM | 05:00 PM | ULM -5.5 | +500 |
| AFA at UNM | 07:00 PM | UNM -6.5 | +500 |
| UNT at FAU | 07:00 PM | UNT -5.0 | +500 |
| FLA at TENN | 07:00 PM | TENN -14.0 | +500 |
| WSU at FRES | 07:00 PM | FRES +3.5 | +500 |
| ARST at TXST | 07:00 PM | ARST +13.5 | +500 |
| APP at ULL | 07:30 PM | ULL -10.5 | +500 |
| MISS at LSU | 07:30 PM | LSU +3.5 | +500 |
| OSU at ORE | 07:30 PM | ORE +3.5 | +500 |
| ORST at NEV | 07:30 PM | ORST -3.0 | +500 |
| VAN at UK | 07:45 PM | VAN +13.0 | +500 |
| SYR at NCST | 08:00 PM | SYR -2.5 | +500 |
| ISU at WVU | 08:00 PM | ISU -3.5 | +500 |
| MRSH at GASO | 08:00 PM | GASO -1.0 | +500 |
| MINN at UCLA | 09:00 PM | UCLA +4.0 | +500 |
| KSU at COLO | 10:15 PM | KSU -3.5 | +500 |
| BSU at HAW | 11:00 PM | BSU -21.0 | +500 |
NCAAFB BEST BETS OCTOBER !
10/12/2024............................4 - 10 - 0.............................28.57%..........................- 35.00
10/11/2024..............................3 - 2 - 0.............................60.00%...........................+ 4.00
10/10/2024..............................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 1.00
10/09/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/08/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/05/2024...........................14 - 18 - 1...........................43.75%............................- 29.00
10/04/2024................................5 - 2 - 0...........................71.42%............................+ 19.50
10/03/2024.,..............................3 - 1 - 0...........................75.00%............................+ 9.50
TOTALS..................................33 - 37 - 1............................47.14%............................ - 33.00
AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
10/12/2024............................4 - 10 - 0.............................28.57%..........................- 35.00
10/11/2024..............................3 - 2 - 0.............................60.00%...........................+ 4.00
10/10/2024..............................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 1.00
10/09/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/08/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/05/2024...........................14 - 18 - 1...........................43.75%............................- 29.00
10/04/2024................................5 - 2 - 0...........................71.42%............................+ 19.50
10/03/2024.,..............................3 - 1 - 0...........................75.00%............................+ 9.50
TOTALS..................................33 - 37 - 1............................47.14%............................ - 33.00
AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 7 college football spreads……
— Alabama (-2.5) @ Tennessee
— Nebraska @ Indiana (-5)
— South Carolina @ Oklahoma (-2.5)
— Michigan @ Illinois (-1)
— Georgia @ Texas (-3.5)
— Kentucky @ Florida (-2)
Thought of the Day
Happy Thanksgiving to all our Canadian friends…….
Monday’s quiz
Where did Jared Goff play his college football?
Sunday’s quiz
NFL QB’s Jared Goff, Patrick Mahomes have fathers who played major league baseball.
Saturday’s quiz
Last time Detroit Tigers made it to the World Series (2012), Hall of Famer Jim Leyland was their manager.
*************************************
Baltimore won last four games, scoring 28-35-41-30 points.
Ravens’ first 3 drives: 17 plays, 79 yards, 3 points.
Ravens rest of game: 51 plays, 405 yards, 27 points.
Ravens are 7-3 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite.
Over is 5-1 in Baltimore’s games this year.
Ravens ran ball 37 times for 176 yards.
Washington ran ball 18 times for 52 yards.
Baltimore was 6-10 on third down, Commanders 4-12.
Washington’s team total: over 5-1
Over is 5-1 in Washington games this year.
Bears 35, Jaguars 16
Bears’ first two drives: six plays, 7 yards, two punts.
Bears’ next six drives: 45 plays, 353 yards, 35 points.
Last three games, Chicago scored 13 TD’s on 29 drives.
Opponents’ team total: under 6-0
Jaguars in first half: 25 plays, 112 yards, 3 punts, 3 points.
Last five games, Jaguars were outscored 88-35 in first half.
Bears outgained Jacksonville, 373-278.
Jaguars are 12-20 ATS last 32 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Texans 41, Patriots 21
Texans’ first two drives: 19 plays, 100 yards, 14 points.
Houston ran ball 28 times for 192 yards.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 15-8 as an NFL starter.
Houston had four takeaways (+3); they didn’t have any in previous 3 games.
New England lost last five games, outscored 68-33 in first half.
Patriots are 14-53 on third down in their last four games.
NE is 1-10-1 ATS in last dozen games as a home underdog.
Patriots are 30-44 since Tom Brady left town.
Eagles 20, Browns 16
Cleveland’s only TD was on a blocked field goal late in first half.
Cleveland scored 17-18-15-16-13-16 points in its 1-5 start.
Browns are 15-78 on 3rd down so far, 10-16 on 4th down.
Browns have gained 230-297-217-152-215-244 yards so far.
Browns are 5-11-1 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
On their last five drives, Browns were 3-4 on field goals; no TD’s.
Eagles outgained Cleveland, 372-244.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 12-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
QB Hurts is 39-22 as an NFL starter.
Packers 34, Cardinals 13
Packers’ first five drives: 34 plays, 251 yards, 24 points.
Cardinals’ first four drives: 14 plays, 34 yards, four punts.
QB Murray is 30-41-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Last four games, Arizona opponents are 28-47 on third down.
Green Bay led 24-10 at halftime.
QB Love was 22-32/258 passing, with four TD’s.
Packers have 17 takeaways in six games (+9 turnovers)
Green Bay is 27-16-1 ATS in last 44 home games.
Buccaneers 51, Saints 27
Tampa Bay led 17-0 after the first quarter.
Mayfield threw 3 INTs in 2nd quarter; Saints led 27-24 at half.
Bucs’ last five drives: 31 plays, 299 yards, 27 points.
Buccaneers scored 33-30-51 points in their last three games (7 TD’s/19 drives).
Tampa Bay is 12-9-2 in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Saints in 2nd half: 32 plays, 107 yards, outscored 27-0.
New Orleans lost its last four games, by 3-2-13-24 points.
Rookie QB Rattler was 22-40/243 passing in his first NFL start.
Saints are 9-12-2 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points,
Colts (-1) @ Titans
Colts are 10-3 SU/ATS in last 13 visits to Nashville.
Colts are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
Under Steichen, Colts are 10-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
All six Colts games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Colts were 7-15 on third down, Tennessee 4-11.
Tennessee is 0-6 ATS in last six games coming off a win.
Titans have averaged 5.3/5.3/4.9/4.6/3.5 yards/pass attempt.
QB Levis is 4-10 as an NFL starter.
Famous birthdays, October 14th:
Al Oliver, 78
Charlie Joiner, 77
Brent Strom, 76
Lori Petty, 61
Joe Girardi, 60
PJ Brown, 55
Jim Jackson, 54
Merrill Kelly, 36
Jared Goff, 30
Chargers 23, Broncos 16
Chargers in first half: 46 plays, 247 yards, 20 points.
Chargers had 20-play, 69-yard drive that took 10:29- they kicked FG.
Denver in first half: 20 plays, 61 yards, 2 turnovers, no points.
Chargers are 7-3-2 ATS last 11 games as road favorites.
Dobbins ran ball 25 times for 96 yards and a TD.
Chargers led 20-0 at halftime.
Denver is only 20-80 on third down conversions (3-11 this game)
Broncos outscored last five opponents 59-17 in second half.
Broncos are 10-17 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
Chargers had lost their last five visits to Colorado.
Steelers 32, Raiders 13
Steelers ran ball 35 times for 183 yards (5.2 yards/carry)
Steelers allowed 10-6-10-13 points in wins, 27-20 in losses.
Opponents’ team total: under 5-1
Steelers are 15-8-1 ATS in last 24 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Raiders drove 70 yards for a TD on their first drive.
Next eight drives: 36 plays, 130 yards, no points.
Raiders have 12 turnovers in six games (minus-10).
Raiders’ two wins were by 3-4 points, losses by 12-14-16-19 points.
Lions 47, Cowboys 9
Detroit had 10 drives: 5 touchdowns, 4 field goals on first nine.
Goff was 18-25/315 passing, with three TD’s.
Detroit ran ball 36 times for 184 yards.
Lions outscored last three opponents 73-23 in first half.
Star DE Aidan Hutchinson appeared to break his leg
Dallas is 0-3 at home this year, losing by 25-3-36 points.
Cowboys gave up 17-15-17 points in wins, 44-28-47 in losses.
Dallas allowed 14.2/12.1/10.3 yards/pass attempt in their losses.
Cowboys turned ball over on each of their last four possessions.
Falcons 38, Panthers 20
Falcons ran the ball 38 times for 198 yards.
Falcons scored a TD on three of their first five drives.
Atlanta is 12-6 ATS in last 18 NFC South road games.
Falcons scored 22-26-36-38 points in wins, 10-17 in losses.
Panthers trailed this game 22-17 at halftime.
Carolina’s five losses are by 37-23-10-26-18 points.
Carolina is 0-3 SU at home (26-3 Chargers, 34-24 Bengals)
Panthers are 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.
Carolina opponents’ team total: over 5-1
Bengals 17, Giants 7
QB Burrow ran 47 yards for a TD on Cincy’s first drive.
RB Brown put game away with a 30-yard TD run with 1:52 left.
Bengals had allowed 10+ points in 75 consecutive games.
Bengals are 11-6 ATS in last 17 games as a road favorite.
Cincinnati is 20-11-1 ATS in last 32 games coming off a loss
Giants are 0-3 at home (28-6 Vikings, 20-15 Cowboys)
Giants were 5-15 on third down, 3-5 on fourth down.
Giants have one TD on 29 drives in their three home games.
Five of their six games stayed under the total.
QB Jones is 25-41-1 as an NFL starter.
Dodgers 9, Mets 0
Jack Flaherty allowed four baserunners in 7 scoreless IP.
Dodgers have now thrown 33 consecutive scoreless IP.
Mookie Betts knocked in three runs; Ohtani scored twice.
Dodgers grab a 1-0 series lead; Game 2 is today at 5:00.
Interesting Week 7 college football spreads……
— Alabama (-2.5) @ Tennessee
— Nebraska @ Indiana (-5)
— South Carolina @ Oklahoma (-2.5)
— Michigan @ Illinois (-1)
— Georgia @ Texas (-3.5)
— Kentucky @ Florida (-2)
Thought of the Day
Happy Thanksgiving to all our Canadian friends…….
Monday’s quiz
Where did Jared Goff play his college football?
Sunday’s quiz
NFL QB’s Jared Goff, Patrick Mahomes have fathers who played major league baseball.
Saturday’s quiz
Last time Detroit Tigers made it to the World Series (2012), Hall of Famer Jim Leyland was their manager.
*************************************
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday…….
Ravens 30, Commanders 23Baltimore won last four games, scoring 28-35-41-30 points.
Ravens’ first 3 drives: 17 plays, 79 yards, 3 points.
Ravens rest of game: 51 plays, 405 yards, 27 points.
Ravens are 7-3 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite.
Over is 5-1 in Baltimore’s games this year.
Ravens ran ball 37 times for 176 yards.
Washington ran ball 18 times for 52 yards.
Baltimore was 6-10 on third down, Commanders 4-12.
Washington’s team total: over 5-1
Over is 5-1 in Washington games this year.
Bears 35, Jaguars 16
Bears’ first two drives: six plays, 7 yards, two punts.
Bears’ next six drives: 45 plays, 353 yards, 35 points.
Last three games, Chicago scored 13 TD’s on 29 drives.
Opponents’ team total: under 6-0
Jaguars in first half: 25 plays, 112 yards, 3 punts, 3 points.
Last five games, Jaguars were outscored 88-35 in first half.
Bears outgained Jacksonville, 373-278.
Jaguars are 12-20 ATS last 32 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Texans 41, Patriots 21
Texans’ first two drives: 19 plays, 100 yards, 14 points.
Houston ran ball 28 times for 192 yards.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 15-8 as an NFL starter.
Houston had four takeaways (+3); they didn’t have any in previous 3 games.
New England lost last five games, outscored 68-33 in first half.
Patriots are 14-53 on third down in their last four games.
NE is 1-10-1 ATS in last dozen games as a home underdog.
Patriots are 30-44 since Tom Brady left town.
Eagles 20, Browns 16
Cleveland’s only TD was on a blocked field goal late in first half.
Cleveland scored 17-18-15-16-13-16 points in its 1-5 start.
Browns are 15-78 on 3rd down so far, 10-16 on 4th down.
Browns have gained 230-297-217-152-215-244 yards so far.
Browns are 5-11-1 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
On their last five drives, Browns were 3-4 on field goals; no TD’s.
Eagles outgained Cleveland, 372-244.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 12-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
QB Hurts is 39-22 as an NFL starter.
Packers 34, Cardinals 13
Packers’ first five drives: 34 plays, 251 yards, 24 points.
Cardinals’ first four drives: 14 plays, 34 yards, four punts.
QB Murray is 30-41-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Last four games, Arizona opponents are 28-47 on third down.
Green Bay led 24-10 at halftime.
QB Love was 22-32/258 passing, with four TD’s.
Packers have 17 takeaways in six games (+9 turnovers)
Green Bay is 27-16-1 ATS in last 44 home games.
Buccaneers 51, Saints 27
Tampa Bay led 17-0 after the first quarter.
Mayfield threw 3 INTs in 2nd quarter; Saints led 27-24 at half.
Bucs’ last five drives: 31 plays, 299 yards, 27 points.
Buccaneers scored 33-30-51 points in their last three games (7 TD’s/19 drives).
Tampa Bay is 12-9-2 in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Saints in 2nd half: 32 plays, 107 yards, outscored 27-0.
New Orleans lost its last four games, by 3-2-13-24 points.
Rookie QB Rattler was 22-40/243 passing in his first NFL start.
Saints are 9-12-2 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points,
Colts (-1) @ Titans
Colts are 10-3 SU/ATS in last 13 visits to Nashville.
Colts are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
Under Steichen, Colts are 10-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
All six Colts games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Colts were 7-15 on third down, Tennessee 4-11.
Tennessee is 0-6 ATS in last six games coming off a win.
Titans have averaged 5.3/5.3/4.9/4.6/3.5 yards/pass attempt.
QB Levis is 4-10 as an NFL starter.
Famous birthdays, October 14th:
Al Oliver, 78
Charlie Joiner, 77
Brent Strom, 76
Lori Petty, 61
Joe Girardi, 60
PJ Brown, 55
Jim Jackson, 54
Merrill Kelly, 36
Jared Goff, 30
Chargers 23, Broncos 16
Chargers in first half: 46 plays, 247 yards, 20 points.
Chargers had 20-play, 69-yard drive that took 10:29- they kicked FG.
Denver in first half: 20 plays, 61 yards, 2 turnovers, no points.
Chargers are 7-3-2 ATS last 11 games as road favorites.
Dobbins ran ball 25 times for 96 yards and a TD.
Chargers led 20-0 at halftime.
Denver is only 20-80 on third down conversions (3-11 this game)
Broncos outscored last five opponents 59-17 in second half.
Broncos are 10-17 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
Chargers had lost their last five visits to Colorado.
Steelers 32, Raiders 13
Steelers ran ball 35 times for 183 yards (5.2 yards/carry)
Steelers allowed 10-6-10-13 points in wins, 27-20 in losses.
Opponents’ team total: under 5-1
Steelers are 15-8-1 ATS in last 24 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Raiders drove 70 yards for a TD on their first drive.
Next eight drives: 36 plays, 130 yards, no points.
Raiders have 12 turnovers in six games (minus-10).
Raiders’ two wins were by 3-4 points, losses by 12-14-16-19 points.
Lions 47, Cowboys 9
Detroit had 10 drives: 5 touchdowns, 4 field goals on first nine.
Goff was 18-25/315 passing, with three TD’s.
Detroit ran ball 36 times for 184 yards.
Lions outscored last three opponents 73-23 in first half.
Star DE Aidan Hutchinson appeared to break his leg
Dallas is 0-3 at home this year, losing by 25-3-36 points.
Cowboys gave up 17-15-17 points in wins, 44-28-47 in losses.
Dallas allowed 14.2/12.1/10.3 yards/pass attempt in their losses.
Cowboys turned ball over on each of their last four possessions.
Falcons 38, Panthers 20
Falcons ran the ball 38 times for 198 yards.
Falcons scored a TD on three of their first five drives.
Atlanta is 12-6 ATS in last 18 NFC South road games.
Falcons scored 22-26-36-38 points in wins, 10-17 in losses.
Panthers trailed this game 22-17 at halftime.
Carolina’s five losses are by 37-23-10-26-18 points.
Carolina is 0-3 SU at home (26-3 Chargers, 34-24 Bengals)
Panthers are 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.
Carolina opponents’ team total: over 5-1
Bengals 17, Giants 7
QB Burrow ran 47 yards for a TD on Cincy’s first drive.
RB Brown put game away with a 30-yard TD run with 1:52 left.
Bengals had allowed 10+ points in 75 consecutive games.
Bengals are 11-6 ATS in last 17 games as a road favorite.
Cincinnati is 20-11-1 ATS in last 32 games coming off a loss
Giants are 0-3 at home (28-6 Vikings, 20-15 Cowboys)
Giants were 5-15 on third down, 3-5 on fourth down.
Giants have one TD on 29 drives in their three home games.
Five of their six games stayed under the total.
QB Jones is 25-41-1 as an NFL starter.
Dodgers 9, Mets 0
Jack Flaherty allowed four baserunners in 7 scoreless IP.
Dodgers have now thrown 33 consecutive scoreless IP.
Mookie Betts knocked in three runs; Ohtani scored twice.
Dodgers grab a 1-0 series lead; Game 2 is today at 5:00.
NCAAF
Week 8
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Week 8
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Trend Report
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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
NFL underdogs of 5.5+ points this year:
Week 1— 3-1 ATS
Week 2— 6-0 ATS
Week 3— 5-1 ATS
Week 4— 3-2-1 ATS
Week 5— 2-1 ATS
Week 6— 1-3-1 ATS
Quote of the Day
“In practice I think we can get up and down more. I think so often as coaches in modern-day NBA, the league’s gotten so soft, everybody’s afraid to condition and run. We have to.”
Denver Nuggets coach Michael Malone
Tuesday’s quiz
In the football movie Any Given Sunday, where Al Pacino coaches the Miami Sharks, what well known actress plays the owner of the Sharks?
Monday’s quiz
Jared Goff played his college football for the Cal Bears.
Sunday’s quiz
NFL QB’s Jared Goff, Patrick Mahomes have fathers who played major league baseball.
*************************************
Buffalo had 11 penalties for 94 yards.
Jets had 11 penalties for 110 yards; refs threw too many flags.
Buffalo led this game 20-17 at halftime.
Jets missed field goals of 32, 43 yards; Bills missed a PAT.
Jets threw a 52-yard Hail Mary TD on last play of first half.
Rodgers was 23-35/294 passing, with 2 INTs and an INT.
Jets are 17-28 ATS last 45 games as an underdog.
Jets are 9-14 ATS in last 23 games as a home underdog.
Bills scored TD’s on three of their first four drives.
Buffalo is 16-5-1 ATS in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Buffalo won eight of last ten series games.
— Mets 7, Dodgers 3
Mark Vientos broke the game open with a 2nd inning grand slam.
Mets bullpen didn’t allow a run in 4 IP.
Series heads to New York, tied 1-1.
Modern baseball: When the Dodgers threw three consecutive shutouts the last few days, they still made 13 pitching changes in those games.
— New York 5, Guardians 2
Soto, Stanton both homered for New York.
Carlos Rodon allowed 3 baserunners, one run in 6 IP.
Alex Cobb started on mound for Cleveland, only his 5th start all season.
This season, Cleveland OF Steven Kwan had a .988 OPS in Guardians’ wins, .565 in the Guardians’ losses.
— Week 6 was a big week for NFL road favorites; they were 7-0 ATS this week.
— So far this season, NFC North teams are 17-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Imagine being coach of the Dallas Cowboys, playing a game on your boss’s (Jerry Jones) 82nd birthday, and losing 47-9, heading onto a bye week? Not great.
— Today is October 15, Week 7 is looming, and the Detroit Lions still haven’t played a game outdoors this season.
Famous birthdays, October 15th:
Linda Lavin, 87
Jim Palmer, 79
Joe Klecko, 71
Vanessa Marcil, 55
Fred Hoiberg, 52
Connor Barwin, 38
Blaine Gabbert, 35
Teoscar Hernandez, 32
Jack Flaherty, 29
Brandon Pfaadt, 26
Movie of the Day: Before We Go (2014)- Two strangers stuck in Manhattan for the night become good friends when a lot of unexpected things happen in one very long evening.
Nick is a musician trying to catch his one big break in the business, while also trying to avoid an old girlfriend. Brooke is a woman trying to find the right way to dump her husband, who has been cheating on her.
Good movie; I’ve never heard of one person who was in this movie, but it was well done and fun to watch. It is on Tubi, which has several good movies.
— Best college football teams against spread this year:
Army, BYU, both 6-0 ATS
Worst college football teams against spread this year:
0-6- Air Force, Kansas
0-6-1- North Carolina, NC State
— Florida Gators QB Graham Mertz (torn ACL) is out for the year.
— Kentucky is ranked #23 in the preseason college basketball top 25, their lowest rank in the preseason since 2009,
Kentucky alum Mark Pope is the new basketball coach at Kentucky; this past weekend, his coach with the Wildcats, Rick Pitino, was back in Lexington. Pitino has served as a mentor for Pope since he replaced John Calipari as Kentucky’s coach this spring, but it is an unusual situation, seeing how Pitino coaches St John’s now.
Not often do you see a big-time coach helping prop up a different top 25 program. Pitino wore a Kentucky pullover Friday, but had St John’s gear on Saturday.
— Cleveland Browns are first NFL team in 10 years to score less than 20 points in each of their first six games of a season.
— Louisiana-Monroe’s football team is off to a 5-1 start; Warhawks went a combined 10-36 the last four years. Good start this season for first-year head coach Bryant Vincent.
— Wealthiest owners in the NFL:
$94.3B- Rob Walton, Broncos
$21.3B- David Tepper, Panthers
$17B- Stephen Ross, Dolphins
$16.9B- Stan Kroenke, Rams
$15.2B- Jerry Jones, Cowboys
NFL underdogs of 5.5+ points this year:
Week 1— 3-1 ATS
Week 2— 6-0 ATS
Week 3— 5-1 ATS
Week 4— 3-2-1 ATS
Week 5— 2-1 ATS
Week 6— 1-3-1 ATS
Quote of the Day
“In practice I think we can get up and down more. I think so often as coaches in modern-day NBA, the league’s gotten so soft, everybody’s afraid to condition and run. We have to.”
Denver Nuggets coach Michael Malone
Tuesday’s quiz
In the football movie Any Given Sunday, where Al Pacino coaches the Miami Sharks, what well known actress plays the owner of the Sharks?
Monday’s quiz
Jared Goff played his college football for the Cal Bears.
Sunday’s quiz
NFL QB’s Jared Goff, Patrick Mahomes have fathers who played major league baseball.
*************************************
Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….
— Bills 23, Jets 20Buffalo had 11 penalties for 94 yards.
Jets had 11 penalties for 110 yards; refs threw too many flags.
Buffalo led this game 20-17 at halftime.
Jets missed field goals of 32, 43 yards; Bills missed a PAT.
Jets threw a 52-yard Hail Mary TD on last play of first half.
Rodgers was 23-35/294 passing, with 2 INTs and an INT.
Jets are 17-28 ATS last 45 games as an underdog.
Jets are 9-14 ATS in last 23 games as a home underdog.
Bills scored TD’s on three of their first four drives.
Buffalo is 16-5-1 ATS in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Buffalo won eight of last ten series games.
— Mets 7, Dodgers 3
Mark Vientos broke the game open with a 2nd inning grand slam.
Mets bullpen didn’t allow a run in 4 IP.
Series heads to New York, tied 1-1.
Modern baseball: When the Dodgers threw three consecutive shutouts the last few days, they still made 13 pitching changes in those games.
— New York 5, Guardians 2
Soto, Stanton both homered for New York.
Carlos Rodon allowed 3 baserunners, one run in 6 IP.
Alex Cobb started on mound for Cleveland, only his 5th start all season.
This season, Cleveland OF Steven Kwan had a .988 OPS in Guardians’ wins, .565 in the Guardians’ losses.
— Week 6 was a big week for NFL road favorites; they were 7-0 ATS this week.
— So far this season, NFC North teams are 17-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Imagine being coach of the Dallas Cowboys, playing a game on your boss’s (Jerry Jones) 82nd birthday, and losing 47-9, heading onto a bye week? Not great.
— Today is October 15, Week 7 is looming, and the Detroit Lions still haven’t played a game outdoors this season.
Famous birthdays, October 15th:
Linda Lavin, 87
Jim Palmer, 79
Joe Klecko, 71
Vanessa Marcil, 55
Fred Hoiberg, 52
Connor Barwin, 38
Blaine Gabbert, 35
Teoscar Hernandez, 32
Jack Flaherty, 29
Brandon Pfaadt, 26
Movie of the Day: Before We Go (2014)- Two strangers stuck in Manhattan for the night become good friends when a lot of unexpected things happen in one very long evening.
Nick is a musician trying to catch his one big break in the business, while also trying to avoid an old girlfriend. Brooke is a woman trying to find the right way to dump her husband, who has been cheating on her.
Good movie; I’ve never heard of one person who was in this movie, but it was well done and fun to watch. It is on Tubi, which has several good movies.
— Best college football teams against spread this year:
Army, BYU, both 6-0 ATS
Worst college football teams against spread this year:
0-6- Air Force, Kansas
0-6-1- North Carolina, NC State
— Florida Gators QB Graham Mertz (torn ACL) is out for the year.
— Kentucky is ranked #23 in the preseason college basketball top 25, their lowest rank in the preseason since 2009,
Kentucky alum Mark Pope is the new basketball coach at Kentucky; this past weekend, his coach with the Wildcats, Rick Pitino, was back in Lexington. Pitino has served as a mentor for Pope since he replaced John Calipari as Kentucky’s coach this spring, but it is an unusual situation, seeing how Pitino coaches St John’s now.
Not often do you see a big-time coach helping prop up a different top 25 program. Pitino wore a Kentucky pullover Friday, but had St John’s gear on Saturday.
— Cleveland Browns are first NFL team in 10 years to score less than 20 points in each of their first six games of a season.
— Louisiana-Monroe’s football team is off to a 5-1 start; Warhawks went a combined 10-36 the last four years. Good start this season for first-year head coach Bryant Vincent.
— Wealthiest owners in the NFL:
$94.3B- Rob Walton, Broncos
$21.3B- David Tepper, Panthers
$17B- Stephen Ross, Dolphins
$16.9B- Stan Kroenke, Rams
$15.2B- Jerry Jones, Cowboys
NCAAF
Weather Report
Week 8
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 8
Tuesday’s games
Troy @ South Alabama (-12.5)
Troy (1-5, 0-2)
Trojans are 0-5 vs I-A teams, with home losses by 21-17 points.
Troy has 2 starters back on offense, 2 on defense
Trojans have 42 starts back on offensive line.
Frosh QB Kilcrease is 25-43/379 passing (3 TD’s, no INTs).
Trojans are giving up 31 ppg vs I-A opponents.
Troy was 23-5 SU last two years; they’re 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS vs I-A teams TY
Last 2+ years, Troy is 6-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Trojans are 13-5 ATS in Sun Belt games (0-2 TY).
Under is 3-1 in Troy’s last four games.
Trojans are 4-8 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
South Alabama (2-4, 1-1)
USA is 1-4 in I-A games (only win 48-14 at App State).
Jaguars lost only I-A home game, 52-38 to North Texas.
USA has 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Jaguars have 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lopez has thrown for 1,306 yards (12 TD’s, one INT).
USA is 6-8 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
Last 4+ years, South Alabama is 15-19 ATS in Sun Belt games.
New coach Applewhite was 15-11 in two years at Houston (’17-’18)
South Alabama is 5-6 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Jaguars’ last four I-A games stayed under the total.
Troy won/covered last six series games.
Trojans are 5-1 SU/4-1-1 ATS in last six visits to Mobile.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Sun Belt home favorites are 5-5 ATS in conference play.
Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee State (-10)
Kennesaw State (0-5, 0-1)
Kennesaw lost its first three I-A games by 12-24-21-39 points.
Owls also lost 27-13 to UT-Martin, a I-AA team.
Kennesaw has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Owls have 33 starts back on offensive line, added six transfers.
Soph QB Bryson is 57-111/616 passing, with 2 TD’s, 6 INTs.
All four of their I-A losses were by 12+ points.
Kennesaw is 1-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Owls were outgained by 236.3 yards/game in their I-A tilts.
Kennesaw is 2-9 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.
Under is 3-1 in their I-A games this season.
Middle Tennessee (1-5, 0-2)
MTSU is 0-5 vs I-A teams, outscored 218-69 (44-14 average).
MTSU beat a I-AA team 32-25, but was outgained, 341-328.
MTSU has 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Blue Raiders have 26 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Vattiato has started 18 games.
MTSU is 7-9 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Mason is 9-11 ATS as a home favorite.
MTSU is minus-8 in turnovers in its I-A games.
MTSU is 5-13 ATS in its last 17 conference games.
Blue Raiders are 6-10 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
Three of their last four games went over.
These teams haven’t met recently.
Favorites are 7-4 ATS in C-USA conference games.
Louisiana Tech (-11) @ New Mexico State
Louisiana Tech (2-3, 1-1)
Tech is 1-3 vs I-A teams; they beat MTSU 48-21 last week.
Bulldogs are minus-7 in turnovers in their four games.
Tech has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tech has 79 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Bullock is 48-68/557 passing (6 TD, no INTs).
Under Cumbie, Tech is 3-11 ATS on the road (1-1 TY).
In his career, Cumbie is 4-8 ATS as a favorite (1-2 TY).
LW, Tech ran ball for 222 yards (averaged 69.7 in previous 3).
Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in their last nine conference games.
Under Cumbie, Tech is 2-5 ATS coming off a win.
New Mexico State (1-5, 0-3)
Aggies are 0-5 vs I-A teams, giving up 42.6 ppg.
Aggies have given up 288.6 rushing yards/game in I-A games.
NM State has 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
Aggies have 115 starts back on offensive line.
Former JC QB Awad is 29-70/363 passing (3 TDs, 3 INTs).
Aggies lost two I-A home games, 30-24 (Liberty), 50-40 (New Mexico).
Last 2+ years, NM State is 3-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Aggies are 15-10 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss (0-4 TY).
NM State has completed less than half its passes in all five games.
Aggies did run for 285-206 yards in their last two games.
Louisiana Tech is 6-1 SU/3-4 ATS in last seven series games.
Tech won last three visits to Las Cruces, by 14-21-4 points (1-2 ATS)
Last three meetings stayed under the to
tal.
Favorites are 7-4 ATS in C-USA conference games.
Weather Report
Week 8
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 8
Tuesday’s games
Troy @ South Alabama (-12.5)
Troy (1-5, 0-2)
Trojans are 0-5 vs I-A teams, with home losses by 21-17 points.
Troy has 2 starters back on offense, 2 on defense
Trojans have 42 starts back on offensive line.
Frosh QB Kilcrease is 25-43/379 passing (3 TD’s, no INTs).
Trojans are giving up 31 ppg vs I-A opponents.
Troy was 23-5 SU last two years; they’re 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS vs I-A teams TY
Last 2+ years, Troy is 6-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Trojans are 13-5 ATS in Sun Belt games (0-2 TY).
Under is 3-1 in Troy’s last four games.
Trojans are 4-8 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
South Alabama (2-4, 1-1)
USA is 1-4 in I-A games (only win 48-14 at App State).
Jaguars lost only I-A home game, 52-38 to North Texas.
USA has 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Jaguars have 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lopez has thrown for 1,306 yards (12 TD’s, one INT).
USA is 6-8 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
Last 4+ years, South Alabama is 15-19 ATS in Sun Belt games.
New coach Applewhite was 15-11 in two years at Houston (’17-’18)
South Alabama is 5-6 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Jaguars’ last four I-A games stayed under the total.
Troy won/covered last six series games.
Trojans are 5-1 SU/4-1-1 ATS in last six visits to Mobile.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Sun Belt home favorites are 5-5 ATS in conference play.
Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee State (-10)
Kennesaw State (0-5, 0-1)
Kennesaw lost its first three I-A games by 12-24-21-39 points.
Owls also lost 27-13 to UT-Martin, a I-AA team.
Kennesaw has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Owls have 33 starts back on offensive line, added six transfers.
Soph QB Bryson is 57-111/616 passing, with 2 TD’s, 6 INTs.
All four of their I-A losses were by 12+ points.
Kennesaw is 1-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Owls were outgained by 236.3 yards/game in their I-A tilts.
Kennesaw is 2-9 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.
Under is 3-1 in their I-A games this season.
Middle Tennessee (1-5, 0-2)
MTSU is 0-5 vs I-A teams, outscored 218-69 (44-14 average).
MTSU beat a I-AA team 32-25, but was outgained, 341-328.
MTSU has 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Blue Raiders have 26 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Vattiato has started 18 games.
MTSU is 7-9 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Mason is 9-11 ATS as a home favorite.
MTSU is minus-8 in turnovers in its I-A games.
MTSU is 5-13 ATS in its last 17 conference games.
Blue Raiders are 6-10 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
Three of their last four games went over.
These teams haven’t met recently.
Favorites are 7-4 ATS in C-USA conference games.
Louisiana Tech (-11) @ New Mexico State
Louisiana Tech (2-3, 1-1)
Tech is 1-3 vs I-A teams; they beat MTSU 48-21 last week.
Bulldogs are minus-7 in turnovers in their four games.
Tech has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tech has 79 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Bullock is 48-68/557 passing (6 TD, no INTs).
Under Cumbie, Tech is 3-11 ATS on the road (1-1 TY).
In his career, Cumbie is 4-8 ATS as a favorite (1-2 TY).
LW, Tech ran ball for 222 yards (averaged 69.7 in previous 3).
Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in their last nine conference games.
Under Cumbie, Tech is 2-5 ATS coming off a win.
New Mexico State (1-5, 0-3)
Aggies are 0-5 vs I-A teams, giving up 42.6 ppg.
Aggies have given up 288.6 rushing yards/game in I-A games.
NM State has 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
Aggies have 115 starts back on offensive line.
Former JC QB Awad is 29-70/363 passing (3 TDs, 3 INTs).
Aggies lost two I-A home games, 30-24 (Liberty), 50-40 (New Mexico).
Last 2+ years, NM State is 3-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Aggies are 15-10 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss (0-4 TY).
NM State has completed less than half its passes in all five games.
Aggies did run for 285-206 yards in their last two games.
Louisiana Tech is 6-1 SU/3-4 ATS in last seven series games.
Tech won last three visits to Las Cruces, by 14-21-4 points (1-2 ATS)
Last three meetings stayed under the to
tal.
Favorites are 7-4 ATS in C-USA conference games.
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 8
Wednesday’s games
Western Kentucky @ Sam Houston State (-3)
Western Kentucky (4-2, 2-0)
WKU won its two C-USA tilts, 49-21 MTSU, 44-17 UTEP.
WKU’s losses: 63-0 at Alabama, 21-20 at Boston College.
Hilltoppers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
WKU has 91 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Veltkamp is 94-135/1,147 passing (11 TD’s, 5 INTs).
WKU is 16-7-1 ATS in last 24 games as a road underdog.
WKU is 17-9-1 ATS in last 27 conference games.
Hilltoppers are 17-8-1 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
WKU outgained BC 355-279 in their loss in Boston Sept 28.
WKU’s other I-A win was 26-21 (+2.5) over Toledo.
Sam Houston State (5-1, 2-0)
Bearkats won last four games, scoring 31-31-40-41 points.
Bearkats ran ball for 282 yards/game in those wins.
Sam Houston has 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Bearkats have 70 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Watson played JC ball in Iowa last year.
Sam Houston is 2-7 ATS last 9 games as home favorites (2-0 TY).
Bearkats are 14-15 ATS in last 28 conference games.
Bearkats were down 22-0, rallied to beat Texas State 40-39 on Sept 28.
Sam Houston is 5-1 ATS in last five games coming off a win.
Bearkats won their two home games, 31-13/31-11
WKU (-11) beat the Bearkats 28-23 at home last year.
Hilltoppers outgained Sam Houston 465-357, were minus-2 in turnovers.
C-USA home favorites are 4-2 ATS in conference games.
Florida International (-7) @ Texas-El Paso
FIU (2-4, 1-1)
FIU gave up 16-10 points in wins, 31-38-45-31 in losses.
Panthers have a 45-42 loss to I-AA Monmouth.
FIU has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
FIU has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Jankins started 11 games last year.
FIU is a road favorite for first time since 2019.
In his career, MacIntyre is 5-4 ATS as road favorite.
Last 4+ years, FIU is 0-6 ATS as a favorite anywhere.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 8-9 ATS coming off a loss.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 8-10 ATS in conference games.
Texas-El Paso (0-6, 0-3)
Miners lost I-A games by 33-18-10-20-27 points, scoring 14.4 ppg.
UTEP has been outrushed 1,145-466 in its I-A games.
UTEP has 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
Miners have 26 starts back on offensive line, mostly at I-AA level.
Soph QB Locklear came with the new coach from I-AA Austin Peay.
UTEP is 6-5 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog (0-1 TY).
UTEP is 18-13 ATS in last 30 conference games.
Miners are 12-10 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
UTEP lost 27-24 to I-AA Southern Utah.
Last two games, Miners allowed 517-482 TY, in C-USA games.
UTEP won last two series games, 27-14/40-6.
Panthers lost two of last three visits to El Paso.
Last three meetings stayed under the total.
Favorites are 7-4 ATS in C-USA conference games.
Thursday’s games
Georgia State @ Marshall (-9)
Georgia State (2-3, 0-2)
Panthers lost their two Sun Belt tilts, 38-21/21-14.
Georgia State was outrushed 463-86 in those games.
Georgia State has 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
Georgia State has 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Veilleux started five games at Pitt last year
Panthers lost only road game, 35-12 (+21) at Georgia Tech.
Georgia State is 12-6 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog (0-1 TY).
Georgia State is 20-12 ATS in last 32 conference games (0-2 TY).
Panthers are 13-10-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
Georgia State’s only I-A win: 36-32 (+8.5) over Vanderbilt.
Marshall (3-3, 1-1)
Marshall lost 24-23 LW; they led 23-3 after three quarters.
Marshall is 3-0 SU at home, with I-A wins by 7-15 points.
Thundering Herd has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
Thundering Herd has 57 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Earle started twice for North Texas last year.
Marshall won/covered both its I-A home games this year.
Since 2016, Marshall is 13-29-1 ATS as a home favorite (2-0 TY).
Under Huff, Thundering Herd is 11-14-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Huff, Thundering Herd is 8-9 ATS coming off a loss.
Last three games, Marshal ran ball for 226.3 yards/game.
Teams split their first two meetings as Sun Belt rivals.
Georgia State (+6.5) lost 28-23 at Marshall two years ago.
Both series games went over the total.
Boston College @ Virginia Tech (-6.5)
Boston College (4-2, 1-1)
BC was held to 49-65 rushing yards in its two losses.
Eagles ran ball for 175.3 yards/game in their I-A wins.
Eagles have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Eagles have 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Castellanos started 12 games LY.
Boston College is 5-3 ATS last eight games as a road underdog.
In his college career, O’Brien is 7-4 ATS as an underdog.
Eagles are 11-15 ATS in last 26 ACC games.
BC lost 27-21 at Mizzou, 24-14 at Virginia; won 28-13 at Florida State
Eagles’ last four games stayed under the total.
Virginia Tech (3-3, 1-1)
Tech is 0-3 in close games, losing by 7-3-4 points.
Hokies scored 31-37-31 points in their three wins.
Hokies have 11 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Drones started 11 games last year.
Under Pry, Tech is 4-6 ATS as a home favorite (0-2 TY).
Under Pry, Hokies are 11-6 ATS in ACC games.
Under Pry, Hokies are 4-6 ATS coming off a win.
Tech gave up 14-17-7 points in wins, 34-26-38 in losses.
Over is 4-2 in Tech games this season.
Virginia Tech won three of last four meetings.
Boston College is 1-3 SU/ATS last four visits to Blacksburg.
Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 8
Wednesday’s games
Western Kentucky @ Sam Houston State (-3)
Western Kentucky (4-2, 2-0)
WKU won its two C-USA tilts, 49-21 MTSU, 44-17 UTEP.
WKU’s losses: 63-0 at Alabama, 21-20 at Boston College.
Hilltoppers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
WKU has 91 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Veltkamp is 94-135/1,147 passing (11 TD’s, 5 INTs).
WKU is 16-7-1 ATS in last 24 games as a road underdog.
WKU is 17-9-1 ATS in last 27 conference games.
Hilltoppers are 17-8-1 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
WKU outgained BC 355-279 in their loss in Boston Sept 28.
WKU’s other I-A win was 26-21 (+2.5) over Toledo.
Sam Houston State (5-1, 2-0)
Bearkats won last four games, scoring 31-31-40-41 points.
Bearkats ran ball for 282 yards/game in those wins.
Sam Houston has 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Bearkats have 70 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Watson played JC ball in Iowa last year.
Sam Houston is 2-7 ATS last 9 games as home favorites (2-0 TY).
Bearkats are 14-15 ATS in last 28 conference games.
Bearkats were down 22-0, rallied to beat Texas State 40-39 on Sept 28.
Sam Houston is 5-1 ATS in last five games coming off a win.
Bearkats won their two home games, 31-13/31-11
WKU (-11) beat the Bearkats 28-23 at home last year.
Hilltoppers outgained Sam Houston 465-357, were minus-2 in turnovers.
C-USA home favorites are 4-2 ATS in conference games.
Florida International (-7) @ Texas-El Paso
FIU (2-4, 1-1)
FIU gave up 16-10 points in wins, 31-38-45-31 in losses.
Panthers have a 45-42 loss to I-AA Monmouth.
FIU has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
FIU has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Jankins started 11 games last year.
FIU is a road favorite for first time since 2019.
In his career, MacIntyre is 5-4 ATS as road favorite.
Last 4+ years, FIU is 0-6 ATS as a favorite anywhere.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 8-9 ATS coming off a loss.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 8-10 ATS in conference games.
Texas-El Paso (0-6, 0-3)
Miners lost I-A games by 33-18-10-20-27 points, scoring 14.4 ppg.
UTEP has been outrushed 1,145-466 in its I-A games.
UTEP has 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
Miners have 26 starts back on offensive line, mostly at I-AA level.
Soph QB Locklear came with the new coach from I-AA Austin Peay.
UTEP is 6-5 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog (0-1 TY).
UTEP is 18-13 ATS in last 30 conference games.
Miners are 12-10 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
UTEP lost 27-24 to I-AA Southern Utah.
Last two games, Miners allowed 517-482 TY, in C-USA games.
UTEP won last two series games, 27-14/40-6.
Panthers lost two of last three visits to El Paso.
Last three meetings stayed under the total.
Favorites are 7-4 ATS in C-USA conference games.
Thursday’s games
Georgia State @ Marshall (-9)
Georgia State (2-3, 0-2)
Panthers lost their two Sun Belt tilts, 38-21/21-14.
Georgia State was outrushed 463-86 in those games.
Georgia State has 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
Georgia State has 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Veilleux started five games at Pitt last year
Panthers lost only road game, 35-12 (+21) at Georgia Tech.
Georgia State is 12-6 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog (0-1 TY).
Georgia State is 20-12 ATS in last 32 conference games (0-2 TY).
Panthers are 13-10-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
Georgia State’s only I-A win: 36-32 (+8.5) over Vanderbilt.
Marshall (3-3, 1-1)
Marshall lost 24-23 LW; they led 23-3 after three quarters.
Marshall is 3-0 SU at home, with I-A wins by 7-15 points.
Thundering Herd has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
Thundering Herd has 57 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Earle started twice for North Texas last year.
Marshall won/covered both its I-A home games this year.
Since 2016, Marshall is 13-29-1 ATS as a home favorite (2-0 TY).
Under Huff, Thundering Herd is 11-14-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Huff, Thundering Herd is 8-9 ATS coming off a loss.
Last three games, Marshal ran ball for 226.3 yards/game.
Teams split their first two meetings as Sun Belt rivals.
Georgia State (+6.5) lost 28-23 at Marshall two years ago.
Both series games went over the total.
Boston College @ Virginia Tech (-6.5)
Boston College (4-2, 1-1)
BC was held to 49-65 rushing yards in its two losses.
Eagles ran ball for 175.3 yards/game in their I-A wins.
Eagles have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Eagles have 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Castellanos started 12 games LY.
Boston College is 5-3 ATS last eight games as a road underdog.
In his college career, O’Brien is 7-4 ATS as an underdog.
Eagles are 11-15 ATS in last 26 ACC games.
BC lost 27-21 at Mizzou, 24-14 at Virginia; won 28-13 at Florida State
Eagles’ last four games stayed under the total.
Virginia Tech (3-3, 1-1)
Tech is 0-3 in close games, losing by 7-3-4 points.
Hokies scored 31-37-31 points in their three wins.
Hokies have 11 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Drones started 11 games last year.
Under Pry, Tech is 4-6 ATS as a home favorite (0-2 TY).
Under Pry, Hokies are 11-6 ATS in ACC games.
Under Pry, Hokies are 4-6 ATS coming off a win.
Tech gave up 14-17-7 points in wins, 34-26-38 in losses.
Over is 4-2 in Tech games this season.
Virginia Tech won three of last four meetings.
Boston College is 1-3 SU/ATS last four visits to Blacksburg.
Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
Armadillo Sports
Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 7 NFL spreads:
— Dolphins @ Indianapolis (-3.5)
— Panthers @ Washington (-7.5)
— Chiefs @ San Francisco (-1.5)
— Jets (-1.5) @ Pittsburgh
— Ravens (-3.5) @ Tampa Bay
— Chargers (-2.5) @ Arizona
Quote of the Day
“It’s just funny how things change, where there was a lot of concern about Shohei not being able to get hits with the runners in scoring position — and now we’re all trying to find ways … to get guys on base so he can hit, right? I kind of find that comical, a little bit.”
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts
Wednesday’s quiz
How many NFL teams have not won a Super Bowl?
Tuesday’s quiz
In the football movie Any Given Sunday, where Al Pacino coaches the Miami Sharks, Cameron Diaz plays the owner of the Sharks.
Monday’s quiz
Jared Goff played his college football for the Cal Bears.
*********************************************
Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings, and Big X basketball notes…….
— Couple of well-known receivers got traded Tuesday:
Jets acquired Davante Adams from Las Vegas, sending a 3rd round pick to the Raiders, a pick that could become a 2nd round pick if the Adams/Jets did really well the rest of this season. Move saves the Raiders $29.6M in dead money on next year’s salary cap.
Cleveland Browns sent Amari Cooper to Buffalo, also for a 3rd round draft pick; Cooper had 53 targets with Cleveland, but caught only 24 of those passes.
— Sounds like Russell Wilson is going to get his first start at QB for Pittsburgh Sunday night, when Steelers host the Jets. Steelers are 4-2 with Justin Fields playing QB in all six games, but they were held under 300 total yards the last two weeks, and Wilson is healthier now.
— Over their last three games, LA Chargers have been outscored 39-3 in the second half.
— New York 6, Cleveland 3
Cleveland P Bibee allowed three runs, got only four outs.
Aaron Judge hit a 2-run home run.
New York leads best-of-7 series, 2-0
— 38.8% of major league pitchers this year have had Tommy John surgery, roughly three of every eight pitchers.
— South Alabama 25, Troy 9
South Alabama led 19-3 at halftime.
Jaguars outgained 1-6 Troy, 318-172.
Troy threw 3 INT’s, averaged only 3.8 yards/pass.
— Middle Tennessee 14, Kennesaw State 5
Blue Raiders ran a punt back 61 yards for a TD.
MTSU outgained the Owls, 284-234.
Kennesaw State is 0-6, in their first year at the I-A level.
Famous birthdays, October 16th:
Timothy Robbins, 66
John Mengelt, 75
Kevin McReynolds, 65
Adrian Murrell, 54
Kordell Stewart, 52
Jonathan Schoop, 33
Bryce Harper, 32
John Wolford, 29
Notes on Big X basketball teams:
— Arizona
Three years under Tommy Lloyd, they’re 88-20, 47-13 in Big X, 4-3 in NCAA’s
In those three years, Wildcats ranked #7-10-11 in the country on offense
— Arizona State
Last four years, Sun Devils were 62-62, 36-41 in Pac-12.
Last three years, ASU ranked #308-275-331 in 3-point FG%.
— Baylor
Bears won national title in 2021; since then, they’re 74-29, 36-18 in Big X.
Last three years, Baylor went WL in NCAA’s all three years, |
Last five years, Baylor was a top 20 offense all five years.
— Brigham Young
BYU hasn’t won an NCAA Tourney game since a play-in game in 2012.
In five years at BYU, Mark Pope was 110-52, 49-29 in WCC, 0-2 in NCAAs.
Pope has moved on to coach Kentucky.
— Central Florida
Last five years, UCF is 39-51 in conference games.
Last four years, Knights ranked #246 or worse in 2-point %age.
UCF’s last NCAA appearance was 2019.
— Cincinnati
Bearcats haven’t made NCAAs since Mick Cronin was coach in 2019
Three years under Wes Miller: 63-43, 25-29 in conference games.
— Colorado
Made NCAA’s twice in last four years.
Last six years, Buffs were 67-49 in Pac-12 games.
Boyle is 3-3 in first round NCAA Tourney games, 0-3 in second round.
— Houston
Last four years, they’re 61-10 in conference games, 11-4 in NCAA Tourney.
Went 32-5, 15-3 last year, their first year in Big X
Last four years, Houston has been a top 10 defensive team.
— Iowa State
In three years under Otzelberger, made NCAA’s last three years, going 4-3 in tourney.
Two years before Otzelberger got there, Cyclones were 5-31 in Big X games.
Iowa State has been a top 8 defensive team the last three years.
— Kansas
Jayhawks won national title is 2022.
Last five years, Kansas is 1-4 in second round of NCAA’s.
Last time Kansas lost a first round NCAA game: 2006.
LY, Jayhawks were 10-8 in Big X, their worst conference record since at least 1997.
— Kansas State
K-State made NCAA’s once in last four years (got to Elite 8 in 2023).
Wildcats turned ball over 21.7% of time LY (#345)
— Oklahoma State
Steve Lutz is new coach (22-12 @ Western Kentucky, 44-23 @ A&M-Corpus Christi)
Last three years, Cowboys were 20-34 in Big X games
Last three years, Cowboys ranked #293-320-332 in turnover %age
— TCU
Last three years, TCU was 64-39, 26-28 in Big X, 2-3 in NCAA’s
Before 2022, Horned Frogs had been in NCAAs once since 1998.
Last three years, TCU ranked #44-23-13 in defense.
— Texas Tech
Tech has been in five of last six NCAA’s, but with 3 different coaches.
Red Raiders lost national title game in 2019.
LY, Tech was 23-11, 11-7 in Big X, their first year under McCasland.
— Utah
Utes last made the NCAA Tournament in 2016.
Utah picked up the pace LY; they were #57 in tempo LY, #237 the year before.l
— West Virginia
DeVries is Mountaineers’ third head coach in three years.
DeVries got Drake to the NCAA’s three of last four years.
Last three years, West Virginia was 15-39 in Big X games.
Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 7 NFL spreads:
— Dolphins @ Indianapolis (-3.5)
— Panthers @ Washington (-7.5)
— Chiefs @ San Francisco (-1.5)
— Jets (-1.5) @ Pittsburgh
— Ravens (-3.5) @ Tampa Bay
— Chargers (-2.5) @ Arizona
Quote of the Day
“It’s just funny how things change, where there was a lot of concern about Shohei not being able to get hits with the runners in scoring position — and now we’re all trying to find ways … to get guys on base so he can hit, right? I kind of find that comical, a little bit.”
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts
Wednesday’s quiz
How many NFL teams have not won a Super Bowl?
Tuesday’s quiz
In the football movie Any Given Sunday, where Al Pacino coaches the Miami Sharks, Cameron Diaz plays the owner of the Sharks.
Monday’s quiz
Jared Goff played his college football for the Cal Bears.
*********************************************
Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings, and Big X basketball notes…….
— Couple of well-known receivers got traded Tuesday:
Jets acquired Davante Adams from Las Vegas, sending a 3rd round pick to the Raiders, a pick that could become a 2nd round pick if the Adams/Jets did really well the rest of this season. Move saves the Raiders $29.6M in dead money on next year’s salary cap.
Cleveland Browns sent Amari Cooper to Buffalo, also for a 3rd round draft pick; Cooper had 53 targets with Cleveland, but caught only 24 of those passes.
— Sounds like Russell Wilson is going to get his first start at QB for Pittsburgh Sunday night, when Steelers host the Jets. Steelers are 4-2 with Justin Fields playing QB in all six games, but they were held under 300 total yards the last two weeks, and Wilson is healthier now.
— Over their last three games, LA Chargers have been outscored 39-3 in the second half.
— New York 6, Cleveland 3
Cleveland P Bibee allowed three runs, got only four outs.
Aaron Judge hit a 2-run home run.
New York leads best-of-7 series, 2-0
— 38.8% of major league pitchers this year have had Tommy John surgery, roughly three of every eight pitchers.
— South Alabama 25, Troy 9
South Alabama led 19-3 at halftime.
Jaguars outgained 1-6 Troy, 318-172.
Troy threw 3 INT’s, averaged only 3.8 yards/pass.
— Middle Tennessee 14, Kennesaw State 5
Blue Raiders ran a punt back 61 yards for a TD.
MTSU outgained the Owls, 284-234.
Kennesaw State is 0-6, in their first year at the I-A level.
Famous birthdays, October 16th:
Timothy Robbins, 66
John Mengelt, 75
Kevin McReynolds, 65
Adrian Murrell, 54
Kordell Stewart, 52
Jonathan Schoop, 33
Bryce Harper, 32
John Wolford, 29
Notes on Big X basketball teams:
— Arizona
Three years under Tommy Lloyd, they’re 88-20, 47-13 in Big X, 4-3 in NCAA’s
In those three years, Wildcats ranked #7-10-11 in the country on offense
— Arizona State
Last four years, Sun Devils were 62-62, 36-41 in Pac-12.
Last three years, ASU ranked #308-275-331 in 3-point FG%.
— Baylor
Bears won national title in 2021; since then, they’re 74-29, 36-18 in Big X.
Last three years, Baylor went WL in NCAA’s all three years, |
Last five years, Baylor was a top 20 offense all five years.
— Brigham Young
BYU hasn’t won an NCAA Tourney game since a play-in game in 2012.
In five years at BYU, Mark Pope was 110-52, 49-29 in WCC, 0-2 in NCAAs.
Pope has moved on to coach Kentucky.
— Central Florida
Last five years, UCF is 39-51 in conference games.
Last four years, Knights ranked #246 or worse in 2-point %age.
UCF’s last NCAA appearance was 2019.
— Cincinnati
Bearcats haven’t made NCAAs since Mick Cronin was coach in 2019
Three years under Wes Miller: 63-43, 25-29 in conference games.
— Colorado
Made NCAA’s twice in last four years.
Last six years, Buffs were 67-49 in Pac-12 games.
Boyle is 3-3 in first round NCAA Tourney games, 0-3 in second round.
— Houston
Last four years, they’re 61-10 in conference games, 11-4 in NCAA Tourney.
Went 32-5, 15-3 last year, their first year in Big X
Last four years, Houston has been a top 10 defensive team.
— Iowa State
In three years under Otzelberger, made NCAA’s last three years, going 4-3 in tourney.
Two years before Otzelberger got there, Cyclones were 5-31 in Big X games.
Iowa State has been a top 8 defensive team the last three years.
— Kansas
Jayhawks won national title is 2022.
Last five years, Kansas is 1-4 in second round of NCAA’s.
Last time Kansas lost a first round NCAA game: 2006.
LY, Jayhawks were 10-8 in Big X, their worst conference record since at least 1997.
— Kansas State
K-State made NCAA’s once in last four years (got to Elite 8 in 2023).
Wildcats turned ball over 21.7% of time LY (#345)
— Oklahoma State
Steve Lutz is new coach (22-12 @ Western Kentucky, 44-23 @ A&M-Corpus Christi)
Last three years, Cowboys were 20-34 in Big X games
Last three years, Cowboys ranked #293-320-332 in turnover %age
— TCU
Last three years, TCU was 64-39, 26-28 in Big X, 2-3 in NCAA’s
Before 2022, Horned Frogs had been in NCAAs once since 1998.
Last three years, TCU ranked #44-23-13 in defense.
— Texas Tech
Tech has been in five of last six NCAA’s, but with 3 different coaches.
Red Raiders lost national title game in 2019.
LY, Tech was 23-11, 11-7 in Big X, their first year under McCasland.
— Utah
Utes last made the NCAA Tournament in 2016.
Utah picked up the pace LY; they were #57 in tempo LY, #237 the year before.l
— West Virginia
DeVries is Mountaineers’ third head coach in three years.
DeVries got Drake to the NCAA’s three of last four years.
Last three years, West Virginia was 15-39 in Big X games.
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 8
Friday’s games
Florida State @ Duke (-3)
Florida State (1-5, 1-4)
Florida State is 1-5, with only win 14-9 at home over Cal.
Last four games, FSU was held to 13-12-14-16-13 points.
FSU has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Seminoles have 190 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Glenn is 23-45/228 passing (2 TD’s, one INT)
Seminoles was outgained 410-284 by Cal, in their one win.
Florida State was held under 300 TY in all six games.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 4-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Norvell is 5-10-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Seminole games this season.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 13-17 ATS coming off a loss.
Duke (5-1, 1-1)
Duke lost its last game, 24-14 at Georgia Tech.
Duke won its other ACC game, 21-20 over North Carolina.
Blue Devils have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Duke has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Murphy started 2 games at Texas last year.
Duke is 9-3 ATS in last 12 as a home favorite.
In his career, Manny Diaz is 7-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2022, Duke is 11-7 ATS in ACC games.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Duke’s coach and QB last year both bolted el$ewhere for big $$$.
Florida State won last 17 series games.
Seminoles are 8-0-1 ATS in last nine meetings.
FSU won its last seven visits to Durham (5-1-1 ATS)
ACC home favorites are 7-8 ATS in conference games.
Oregon (-27.5) @ Purdue
Oregon (6-0, 3-0)
Oregon scored 37-49-34-31-32 points in its I-A wins.
Last three games, Ducks gained 546-431-477-496 TY.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Ducks have 144 returning starts on the offensive line.
Ducks poached senior QB Gabriel (49 starts at UCF/Oklahoma).
Oregon is 2-0 on road (49-4 at Oregon St, 34-13 at UCLA)
Under Lanning, Oregon is 8-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Ducks are 13-8 ATS in last 21 games as a road favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 14-6 ATS in conference games.
Ducks are 15-4 ATS in last 19 conference games.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 17-8 ATS coming off a win.
Purdue (1-5, 0-3)
Purdue lost 50-49 in OT LW, after trailing 27-3 in 3rd quarter.
Purdue is 0-5 vs I-A teams, giving up 46.8 ppg.
Boilermakers have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Purdue has 165 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Card has 16 career starts.
Purdue is 0-6 ATS last six games as a home underdog.
Boilers are 8-14 ATS in last 22 conference games.
Purdue gave up 550+ TY in three of five I-A games.
Purdue is 7-10 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-1 in Purdue’s I-A games.
These teams haven’t met since 2009.
Big 18 home underdogs are 6-6 ATS in conference games.
Oklahoma State @ BYU (-9.5)
Oklahoma State (3-3, 0-3)
OSU lost its three Big X games, 22-19/42-20/38-14.
Cowboys gave up 232+ rushing yards in 4 of 5 I-A games.
Cowboys have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cowboys have 214 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Bowman is in his 7th college season (13 starts LY)
OSU is 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.
Oklahoma State is 18-13 ATS in its last 31 Big X games.
Cowboys are 17-11-1 ATS in last 29 games coming off a loss.
Oklahoma State gave up 456-559-558 yards in its three Big X games.
Cowboys scored 39-45 points in their two I-A wins.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
BYU (6-0, 3-0)
BYU won its first two Big X games, scoring 38-34-41 points.
BYU won/covered all five of its I-A games.
Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Broncos have 88 starts returning on the offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started four games LY.
Last 2+ years, BYU is 2-6 ATS as a home favorite.
BYU scored 34+ points in four of five I-A games.
In his career, coach Sitake is 23-32 ATS as a favorite.
Last 2+ years, BYU is 9-8 ATS coming off a win (5-0 TY).
BYU won 38-9/41-19, in its only I-A home games.
Three of their last four games went over the total.
LY, Oklahoma State (-16.5) beat BYU 40-34 at home.
Cowboys outgained BYU, 503-327
Big X home favorites are 8-10 ATS in conference games.
Fresno State (-3) @ Nevada
Fresno State (3-3, 1-1)
Fresno lost its last two games, 59-14/25-17.
Bulldogs have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Fresno has 106 starts returning on offensive line.
Soph QB Keene started 11 games last year.
Skipper is Fresno’s interim coach this season.
Fresno split its two MW games, 38-21 at New Mexico, 14-59 at UNLV
Bulldogs scored 48-38 points in their two I-A wins.
Bulldogs scored 10-14-17 points in their I-A losses.
Fresno is 9-7 ATS last 16 games as a road favorite.
Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in last 10 Mountain West games.
Nevada (3-4, 0-1)
Nevada lost 3 of last 4 games, giving up 35-37 points in last two,
Five of their six I-A games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
Wolf Pack has 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Nevada has 70 starts returning on offensive line.
Junior QB Lewis started ten games last season.
Nevada allowed 441-562 TY in splitting last two games.
Nevada ran for 353 yards in LW’s 42-37 win over Oregon State.
Wolf Pack is 3-6 ATS last nine games as a home underdog (2-0 TY).
This season, Nevada is 4-1 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2017, Wolf Pack is 32-25 ATS in MW games.
Fresno won last three series games, by 2-27-18 points.
Bulldogs are 4-3 SU/6-1 ATS in last seven visits to Reno.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 8
Friday’s games
Florida State @ Duke (-3)
Florida State (1-5, 1-4)
Florida State is 1-5, with only win 14-9 at home over Cal.
Last four games, FSU was held to 13-12-14-16-13 points.
FSU has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Seminoles have 190 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Glenn is 23-45/228 passing (2 TD’s, one INT)
Seminoles was outgained 410-284 by Cal, in their one win.
Florida State was held under 300 TY in all six games.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 4-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Norvell is 5-10-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Seminole games this season.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 13-17 ATS coming off a loss.
Duke (5-1, 1-1)
Duke lost its last game, 24-14 at Georgia Tech.
Duke won its other ACC game, 21-20 over North Carolina.
Blue Devils have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Duke has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Murphy started 2 games at Texas last year.
Duke is 9-3 ATS in last 12 as a home favorite.
In his career, Manny Diaz is 7-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2022, Duke is 11-7 ATS in ACC games.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Duke’s coach and QB last year both bolted el$ewhere for big $$$.
Florida State won last 17 series games.
Seminoles are 8-0-1 ATS in last nine meetings.
FSU won its last seven visits to Durham (5-1-1 ATS)
ACC home favorites are 7-8 ATS in conference games.
Oregon (-27.5) @ Purdue
Oregon (6-0, 3-0)
Oregon scored 37-49-34-31-32 points in its I-A wins.
Last three games, Ducks gained 546-431-477-496 TY.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Ducks have 144 returning starts on the offensive line.
Ducks poached senior QB Gabriel (49 starts at UCF/Oklahoma).
Oregon is 2-0 on road (49-4 at Oregon St, 34-13 at UCLA)
Under Lanning, Oregon is 8-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Ducks are 13-8 ATS in last 21 games as a road favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 14-6 ATS in conference games.
Ducks are 15-4 ATS in last 19 conference games.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 17-8 ATS coming off a win.
Purdue (1-5, 0-3)
Purdue lost 50-49 in OT LW, after trailing 27-3 in 3rd quarter.
Purdue is 0-5 vs I-A teams, giving up 46.8 ppg.
Boilermakers have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Purdue has 165 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Card has 16 career starts.
Purdue is 0-6 ATS last six games as a home underdog.
Boilers are 8-14 ATS in last 22 conference games.
Purdue gave up 550+ TY in three of five I-A games.
Purdue is 7-10 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-1 in Purdue’s I-A games.
These teams haven’t met since 2009.
Big 18 home underdogs are 6-6 ATS in conference games.
Oklahoma State @ BYU (-9.5)
Oklahoma State (3-3, 0-3)
OSU lost its three Big X games, 22-19/42-20/38-14.
Cowboys gave up 232+ rushing yards in 4 of 5 I-A games.
Cowboys have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cowboys have 214 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Bowman is in his 7th college season (13 starts LY)
OSU is 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.
Oklahoma State is 18-13 ATS in its last 31 Big X games.
Cowboys are 17-11-1 ATS in last 29 games coming off a loss.
Oklahoma State gave up 456-559-558 yards in its three Big X games.
Cowboys scored 39-45 points in their two I-A wins.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
BYU (6-0, 3-0)
BYU won its first two Big X games, scoring 38-34-41 points.
BYU won/covered all five of its I-A games.
Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Broncos have 88 starts returning on the offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started four games LY.
Last 2+ years, BYU is 2-6 ATS as a home favorite.
BYU scored 34+ points in four of five I-A games.
In his career, coach Sitake is 23-32 ATS as a favorite.
Last 2+ years, BYU is 9-8 ATS coming off a win (5-0 TY).
BYU won 38-9/41-19, in its only I-A home games.
Three of their last four games went over the total.
LY, Oklahoma State (-16.5) beat BYU 40-34 at home.
Cowboys outgained BYU, 503-327
Big X home favorites are 8-10 ATS in conference games.
Fresno State (-3) @ Nevada
Fresno State (3-3, 1-1)
Fresno lost its last two games, 59-14/25-17.
Bulldogs have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Fresno has 106 starts returning on offensive line.
Soph QB Keene started 11 games last year.
Skipper is Fresno’s interim coach this season.
Fresno split its two MW games, 38-21 at New Mexico, 14-59 at UNLV
Bulldogs scored 48-38 points in their two I-A wins.
Bulldogs scored 10-14-17 points in their I-A losses.
Fresno is 9-7 ATS last 16 games as a road favorite.
Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in last 10 Mountain West games.
Nevada (3-4, 0-1)
Nevada lost 3 of last 4 games, giving up 35-37 points in last two,
Five of their six I-A games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
Wolf Pack has 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Nevada has 70 starts returning on offensive line.
Junior QB Lewis started ten games last season.
Nevada allowed 441-562 TY in splitting last two games.
Nevada ran for 353 yards in LW’s 42-37 win over Oregon State.
Wolf Pack is 3-6 ATS last nine games as a home underdog (2-0 TY).
This season, Nevada is 4-1 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2017, Wolf Pack is 32-25 ATS in MW games.
Fresno won last three series games, by 2-27-18 points.
Bulldogs are 4-3 SU/6-1 ATS in last seven visits to Reno.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.
